Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Minnesota Twins. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.
All of the numbered prospects here also appear on The Board, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. That can be found here.
|38||Willie Joe Garry Jr.||19.5||R||CF||2023||35+|
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.
Chalmers had Tommy John in April of 2018, then was acquired from Oakland in exchange for Fernando Rodney in August of that year. He has 40+ FV stuff, he’ll flash three plus pitches (94-97, power mid-80s changeup, low-80s curveball), and he had some dominant starts during the summer after he returned, but he’s very wild, and was erratic in the Fall League. He’s on the 40-man and should debut this year. Gomez touches 98 but his slider quality is very inconsistent. Neff and Cha are low-slot relievers with tailing fastballs and sweeping breakers, classic specialist types who need something else to profile under the new three-batter minimum rule. Laweryson relies on deception and a good breaking ball. He struck out 63 over 46 innings in the Appy League while topping out at 92.
Wells missed 2019 because of Tommy John. His pitches have tough angle because of his size (he’s 6-foot-8) and arm slot. Pre-surgery, his secondaries were average and his heater was above. Jax is 90-94 with a 50 slider and change and above-average command; that’s at least a spot starter. Charlie Barnes has a plus changeup and his fastball has enough sink to offset it’s lack of velo (87-90) and keep him from getting too hurt. Leach was a 40 FV developmental No. 4/5 starter type until he missed all of 2019 with a shoulder issue. Mooney had TJ before the 2019 draft and fell to Day Three. He’s 88-91 with a cutter, curveball, and change, another likely depth arm who may have another gear coming off of rehab.
Morales, age 20, is a very muscular 5-foot-8; he’s got some twitch, average raw, and more walks than strikeouts so far. He has a good body but it has no projection. He has plus raw arm strength but he’s mechanically inconsistent exiting his crouch so his pop times vary. That inconsistency extends to the defense. Aguiar missed 2019 with an elbow injury. He’s a physical projection/visually pleasing swing corner outfield prospect who signed for $1 million back in 2017. He was young for the class so he’ll still be 18 all of next year. Maciel is a 70 runner but we don’t see an offensive impact enabling anything more than a fifth outfielder there. Keirsey could maybe be a 60 run and center field glove with doubles power, but he had hip issues again in 2019 after suffering a pretty severe hip injury while in college. Sosa is also a young-for-the-class power projection bat.
The Twins still have a very deep system, but their position as buyers was leveraged pretty well by sellers ahead of the trade deadline. The players traded to San Francisco for Sam Dyson (Jaylin Davis, Prelander Berroa, and Kai-Wei Teng are on the Giants list) were all pretty good, and Dyson absolutely tanked after the deal, amid some controversy related to the condition of his shoulder. Arguable top 100 prospect Lewin Diaz was sent to Miami for a few months of Sergio Romo.
Much of the pitching in this system will have an opportunity to impact the big league club at some point next season due to the departures from the 2019 rotation. Thorpe will likely be in the rotation at some point, Graterol may be there or in the back of the bullpen, the Twins might hit the gas on Jhoan Duran’s development if they think he’s one of the best five arms in the org at some point later in the summer, and many of the 40 FV arms will likely come up in 2020 as well. Just eyeballing the list, we’d guess about seven pitchers are poised to graduate next year, which, if we assume the Twins will take on a buyer’s posture again next summer, means this system seems likely to take a dip over the next 12 months. But of course, that means there are a bunch of good, young players who’ve grabbed hold of big league roles.