Archive for February, 2014

Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 2/24/14

12:01
Dan Szymborski: Presenting, for your bemusement, the man that’s taller than Henri de Toulouse-Lautrec, in better physical shape than Bartolo Colon, less authoritarian than Nicolas Maduro, and more intellectually honest than Murray Chass: ….oh wait…it’s just Dan Szymborski

12:01
Comment From Papa Grande
Trout 6/150… how do you feel?

12:01
Comment From Papa Grande
Seems like that much money for only two extra years really isnt that awesome

12:02
Dan Szymborski: Those two extra years would be pretty damn expensive on the open market. Trout’s salary would dwarf top salaries today – either he or 2000 A-Rod is the most valuable player to ever be open to bids

12:02
Comment From Concerned Fantasy GM
Hey Dan. Thanks for giving us something to look forward to on Mondays! I’m in an 11 team AL-only keeper league, and worried going into my auction. I do not have a catcher, and it looks like Mauer, Santana, Perez, Wieters, Castro, Gomes, Avila and Zunino are all being kept. Do I break the bank on McCann? Do I target the tandem of Norris and Jaso in Oakland, and hope that together they become a solid option? Any insight you can provide is much appreciated.

12:03
Dan Szymborski: If it doesn’t cripple you, McCann’s a far better fantasy option. It’s closer in real life, bu

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How Teams Are Allocating Their 2014 Payrolls

Spring training is in full gear. Opening Day — Australia style — is 26 days away. Several free agents still hoping for major-league deals remain unsigned, most notably Stephen Drew, Kendrys Morales and Ervin Santana. They each received a qualifying offer from their last team, turned it down, and now sit waiting for a new team to pay them and agree to give up a draft pick. For the most part, though, teams have done the hard work to construct their Opening Day rosters, save for the usual spring training competitions for bench positions and the back end of the bullpen.

Combined, teams have committed more than $3 billion in salary for the 2014 season. The top spender is the Los Angeles Dodgers, at more than $220 million. The most frugal is the Miami Marlins, with approximately $42.5 million in salary obligations.

Every team, no matter the payroll, has to make decisions about how to spend the money allocated for player salaries. We wanted to know about those decisions. What percentage of a team’s payroll is spent on the highest-paid player? The starting rotations? The starting position players? The bullpen? The bench? How many pre-arbitration eligible players likely will be on each team’s Opening Day roster? Do big spending teams allocate their payroll in a different way than smaller spending team? If so, how? And so on.

We will answer those questions in a series of posts.

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The Players’ Association May Target Qualifying Offers

With Nelson Cruz signing a one-year, $8 million contract with the Baltimore Orioles, qualifying offers are back in the spotlight. The executive director of the player’s association, Tony Clark, has issued a statement saying he’s “concerned” about how qualifying offers are affecting the free agent market. Unions deal in politics and in this case concerned can probably be read as “we’re going to make this a sticking point in the next round of negotiations.” The current collective bargaining agreement (CBA) is set to expire after the 2016 season, so the MLBPA will have a couple more years of data in their hands before they pursue any changes.

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Effectively Wild Episode 392: 2014 Season Preview Series: Toronto Blue Jays

Ben and Sam preview the Blue Jays’ season with Adam Sobsey, and Nick talks to Sportsnet baseball columnist Shi Davidi (at 22:49).


Ubaldo Jimenez Sends Orioles Hurtling Toward Nelson Cruz

All offseason long, Nelson Cruz was thought of as a terrifying land mine. Plenty was written elsewhere, plenty was written right here, and in early November, Dave used the term “land mine”, specifically, to refer to Cruz as an acquisition. It was understood that Cruz was seeking a major contract. It was understood that Cruz was overrated as a contributing player. It was understood that everyone was to prepare to laugh at the team that eventually gave Cruz a whopper of a deal. Cruz became something of an unfunny offseason punchline. Then he signed with the Orioles for a year and eight million dollars. There are incentives, worth a total of less than one million dollars.

All along, it was assumed Cruz would end up with something statistically unreasonable. What he got instead is something that’s more or less fine for that kind of player, and this is one of the dangers of reaching conclusions about the market before the market reaches a conclusion about a player. As Dave has illustrated, or will illustrate, it’s interesting that this is what Cruz was reduced to. Something else that’s interesting is how the Orioles’ earlier acquisition of Ubaldo Jimenez in part allowed the Cruz signing to take place.

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Sunday Notes: The Meaning of Luke Scott, Tigers, Dodgers-Giants

The South Korean media should love Luke Scott. The outspoken outfielder will be playing for SK Wyverns this season and there’s a good chance not all of his bombs will come via his bat. Controversy and Scott have gone together like hand in glove.

That is not an indictment of his character. In a politically-correct climate where many athletes coat their opinions with vanilla, Scott’s candidness is refreshing. You may not agree with his views, but they’re dead honest. The erstwhile Astro, Oriole and Ray doesn’t shoot from the hip so much as he shoots from the heart.

Talking with Scott last summer, I learned that a pair of events helped shape not only his career, but also how he approaches life. Read the rest of this entry »


FanGraphs Audio: Aaron Fitt of Baseball America

Episode 426
Aaron Fitt is a writer for Baseball America, covering college baseball almost exclusively for that esteemed publication. He’s also the entirely welcome guest on this edition of FanGraphs Audio.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 42 min play time.)

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How Much to Make of Juan Lagares’ Defense

If you’re not much of a hitter, you might be considered to play a lot anyway for one of two reasons: you’re a pitcher, or you’re an outstanding defender. Juan Lagares isn’t much of a hitter, and he doesn’t project to be much of a hitter, but the evidence and the eyes show he’s an outstanding defender, and that’s why he’s in the mix to start in center field for the Mets. That’s why he’s probably the favorite, or at least, that’s why he probably ought to be. The Mets also happen to be big believers in Eric Young, and that’s their right, and I don’t intend to address that part of the conversation.

What Lagares has on his side are some incredible defensive numbers. We all know to be cautious with those, when we’re talking about individual seasons. The words of this rival team official read like FanGraphs in the newspaper. There’s no question that Lagares is highly talented in the outfield, and that no amount of regression can make him look anything but skilled. But with Lagares in particular, the situation’s a little different, and the numbers have to be treated a little differently.

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Do The Dodgers Have a Problem At Second Base?

The Dodgers have a problem at second base. The Dodgers don’t really have a problem. This’ll make sense soon, I promise.

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Jason Collette – Baseball Chat 02/21/2014

11:56
Jason Collette: Happy Friday, everyone. Only an hour today, so let’s make it a great one!

11:59
Comment From Kris
Andrelton the best of the Braves extensions?

   Jason Collette: The Braves must really believe in the power. The defense is not something that would have played up in arbitration as defensive runs saved means as much to an arbiter as vegetables mean to Ron Swanson. It’s a ballsy move to guarantee 7 years to a guy with barely one full season under his belt & pay him more than Ryan Braun in doing so.

 

12:00
Comment From JV
Where is Nick Franklin on opening day?

   Jason Collette: I read something earlier today that McClendon considers Franklin & Miller on equal footing for the shortstop job and potentially the leadoff role. As much as I like Franklin, I think he is the inferior player in both situations.

 

12:02
Comment From Guest
O’s going to regret the Jiminez contract? AL East is a division of patient hitters who can devour his wildness

   Jason Collette: They had to do something here as their window to contend is shrinking. I prefer him over Big Erv in terms of the ballpark and the division, but this is the best they could do given their medical constraints.

 

12:02
Comment From JV
Kershaw-Medlen-Salazar-Ross-Kluber ok rotation in 12 team mixed?

   Jason Collette: Absolutely – lots of upside with the back 3

 

12:03
Comment From Guest
Do you think Homer Bailey can be a top 15 pitcher by the end of the year?

   Jason Collette: I’ve said it a few times this offseason; in a Kershaw vs the field bet for Cy Young, give me Homer Bailey.

 

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