2020 ZiPS Projections: Los Angeles Dodgers

After having typically appeared in the hallowed pages of Baseball Think Factory, Dan Szymborski’s ZiPS projections have now been released at FanGraphs for eight years. The exercise continues this offseason. Below are the projections for the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Batters

Looking at the hitting projections, it’s not hard to see why the Dodgers didn’t go all-out to sign Anthony Rendon. Rendon, of course, would be an upgrade for any team, but it’s difficult to see how the Dodgers would have gotten maximum benefit. Their worst projected position is right field, manned primarily by Alex Verdugo, and with his projected WAR of 2.0 in 476 plate appearances, even he falls into the above-average category. And it’s possible that WAR slightly underrates the Dodger lineup simply because positional versatility is one of those things that we foggily know is meaningful, though exactly how meaningful we don’t quite know.

ZiPS has been keen on Cody Bellinger for a while. Indeed, this is quite an aggressive win projection for a first baseman. Bellinger’s career home run projection has gone well past 500 at this point, and ZiPS is even baking in a mildish drop in league home run totals, which we don’t know will actually happen.

Gavin Lux’s long-term projection remains bananas and his presence gives the Dodgers a tremendous amount of flexibility in the trade market. The Dodgers could actually trade someone like Corey Seager without creating a giant crater in their lineup, assuming they had a partner with an extra starting pitcher who could make it worth it (Noah Syndergaard?).

The riskiest projection is Will Smith’s, whose emergence is still quite recent. Catchers tend to have odd, disappointing growth curves, so ZiPS is hedging its bets here. Even with significant regression, Smith projects as a significant plus for the team.

I am mildly amused that David Freese got his best projection in the years after retiring.

Pitchers

This is where the team has shed depth in the last few years, and they’ve needed that depth given how populated their injured list has been. Rich Hill and Hyun-Jin Ryu are unsigned, which leaves Los Angeles thinner than when you could literally fill a second rotation of major-league quality starters after their first one.

ZiPS gives Clayton Kershaw the slight edge in the projections, though this will be the last year for that unless their trajectories change. Rumors of Kershaw’s demise are premature — ZiPS still projects him with 26 WAR remaining in his left arm — but it’s undeniable at this point that he’s off his peak. You can see that in the comps, too, as his near-age comps have declined from the usual mix of pitchers like Sandy Koufax, Carl Hubbell, and Lefty Grove. Now, Koufax’s abrupt end to his career caused him to fall off the list, but the top end of Kershaw’s comp list has a lot more Hall of Very Good types, like John Tudor, Jerry Reuss, and David Wells. But hey, Walker Buehler landed the Tom Seaver comp, thus keeping the team in-line with the Hall of Fame comps in classic Mechanics.

The bullpen projects as solid, but unspectacular. ZiPS sees the team as having a very deep assortment of relief pitching, it’s just not in head-over-heels in love with many of them. Kenley Jansen’s struggles have pulled him out of the elite tier and Blake Treinen’s bounce back season is still in the To Be Determined category.

Prospects

The Dodgers always seem to have a ready stash of prospects who just happen to fit the team’s needs at the right time. Yasmani Grandal leaving and Russell Martin showing aging? Well, here’s Will Smith and Keibert Ruiz. Corey Seager only a couple years from free agency? Okay, let’s have Gavin Lux engage full beast mode in 2019. Pitching defections? Let’s just have Dustin May emerge as a top 10 prospect, and just three years from being signed from out in Fraggle Rock.

ZiPS thinks May could fit in the rotation right now, but the Dodgers will likely be conservative and continue to stretch out Julio Urías and take more looks at Ross Stripling. I’m still cautiously optimistic — from the POV of the Dodgers, of course — that Ryu ends up back with the team.

I thought ZiPS would ding Keibert Ruiz for a season of mixed results that ended early due to a broken finger. Ruiz’s .254/.329/.330 line at Double-A Tulsa as a repeater was unimpressive, but the fact remains he was still a catcher who couldn’t even legally drink until midseason. Just as ZiPS knows that young catchers develop and progress oddly, which has resulted in it knocking Will Smith down a peg, it also gives a lot of leeway to Ruiz. The day will come when the Dodgers have to choose between Ruiz and Smith, but it’s hard to have sympathy for a team struggling with having to figure out what to do with too many good young catchers.

If you’re looking for a few of those veteran minor league relievers who comes up to the majors and are perfectly average pitchers for a few years before being overpaid by the Rockies, Shea Spitzbarth is ZiPS’s favorite in the Dodgers’ system. With only average velocity to go with a loopy curve and a fosh-like changeup, Spitzbarth’s painful 25 innings in Triple-A probably kept him from getting serious Rule 5 consideration, but ZiPS sees something there and Steamer’s not all that far away from ZiPS. ZiPS isn’t buying Spitzbarth, but it is intrigued by another interesting minor league fringe player in Zach McKinstry, who hit .279/.352/.455 for Tulsa before a .382/.421/.753 Triple-A debut in 23 games. Couple that with the fact that McKinstry has played second, third, and shortstop extensively to go along with a few outfield appearances, and you have an interesting role player to watch.

One pedantic note for 2020: for the WAR graphic, I’m using FanGraphs’ depth charts playing time, not the playing time ZiPS spits out, so there will be occasional differences in WAR totals.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Cody Bellinger L 24 1B 641 547 108 160 32 4 40 120 88 126 16 4
Max Muncy L 29 2B 523 437 81 112 20 1 29 92 77 131 4 1
Corey Seager L 26 SS 561 506 78 141 36 2 19 87 47 108 2 1
Justin Turner R 35 3B 490 428 64 122 25 1 19 66 44 74 3 1
Gavin Lux L 22 SS 605 550 80 147 25 8 21 79 52 136 10 7
Joc Pederson L 28 LF 468 409 70 102 23 2 27 75 49 104 2 3
Will D. Smith R 25 C 445 389 60 91 18 1 24 77 45 121 3 0
Chris Taylor R 29 SS 514 460 67 119 29 5 15 63 45 135 12 3
Alex Verdugo L 24 RF 476 432 55 123 25 2 13 54 37 63 7 2
Jedd Gyorko R 31 3B 350 314 39 78 13 1 15 52 32 78 3 0
A.J. Pollock R 32 CF 403 368 55 94 20 3 16 55 26 84 10 2
Austin Barnes R 30 C 319 278 40 64 14 1 7 35 34 70 5 2
Kiké Hernandez R 28 2B 440 390 57 92 20 2 17 61 42 94 4 0
Keibert Ruiz B 21 C 396 365 43 93 13 0 10 38 24 37 0 0
Jon Kemmer L 29 RF 411 368 51 87 18 2 19 57 32 126 3 3
David Freese R 37 3B 210 187 29 51 9 1 7 35 20 50 0 0
Tyler White R 29 1B 436 386 48 95 21 1 15 60 42 95 1 1
Matt Beaty L 27 1B 434 402 50 106 26 1 10 58 25 61 4 1
Russell Martin R 37 C 257 215 27 44 5 0 6 22 34 63 1 1
Jeter Downs R 21 SS 549 496 64 109 25 3 19 67 42 141 19 10
Edwin Rios L 26 3B 488 448 59 103 22 2 22 74 30 175 1 2
Kris Negron R 34 1B 409 373 47 86 12 3 11 44 26 118 9 3
Jacob Amaya R 21 SS 528 469 56 102 21 4 8 47 52 122 5 8
Andrew Toles R 28 LF 248 234 29 59 14 1 6 30 11 54 5 3
DJ Peters R 24 CF 550 487 63 95 18 3 22 67 46 223 2 2
Zach McKinstry L 25 2B 455 415 49 95 17 4 11 48 33 117 5 6
Connor Joe R 27 1B 434 378 50 85 19 2 11 47 47 104 1 3
Jose Lobaton B 35 C 292 267 27 57 12 1 8 31 21 80 1 0
Jake Peter L 27 2B 400 357 41 75 14 2 8 37 36 119 4 2
Kyle Garlick R 28 RF 385 358 46 81 20 2 18 57 21 132 1 0
Connor Wong R 24 C 446 413 48 87 17 3 17 57 25 170 7 4
Zach Reks L 26 LF 457 411 54 98 15 2 15 54 40 137 3 2
Rocky Gale R 32 C 289 270 25 59 9 1 3 23 12 59 1 1
Cameron Perkins R 29 RF 369 342 40 83 20 2 8 42 19 63 5 2
Sam McWilliams R 22 2B 304 273 34 54 12 1 9 33 25 106 8 1
Chris Parmelee L 32 1B 285 253 32 50 10 0 11 34 29 95 0 1
Ezequiel Carrera L 33 CF 234 210 26 47 7 1 4 16 18 57 8 1
Errol Robinson R 25 SS 419 385 41 84 14 2 6 32 30 110 11 6
Jared Walker L 24 1B 416 365 45 64 13 3 16 47 38 178 4 2
Shane Peterson L 32 RF 358 334 36 74 17 3 9 42 19 105 4 0
Drew Avans L 24 LF 414 379 43 83 12 4 10 39 28 123 18 9
Cristian Santana R 23 3B 512 494 50 114 20 1 16 61 11 138 0 1
Cody Thomas L 25 RF 524 482 55 95 18 5 17 62 33 196 4 4
Jeren Kendall L 24 CF 436 394 41 63 10 6 13 44 36 189 17 11
Carlos Rincon R 22 RF 462 421 50 83 19 1 18 53 35 160 3 2
Donovan Casey R 24 RF 485 452 53 93 15 4 15 54 28 179 11 3
Alex Avila L 33 C 243 199 22 40 7 0 9 27 42 90 1 0
Ryan Goins L 32 2B 421 381 36 86 19 2 6 37 33 108 2 3
Welington Castillo R 33 C 294 273 26 66 12 0 11 44 17 81 0 0

Batters – Advanced
Player BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP RC/27 Def WAR No. 1 Comp
Cody Bellinger .293 .392 .585 157 .293 .315 8.9 6 6.2 Frank Robinson
Max Muncy .256 .373 .506 132 .249 .300 6.9 -4 3.8 Morgan Ensberg
Corey Seager .279 .342 .470 115 .192 .322 6.0 4 3.7 Davey Johnson
Justin Turner .285 .365 .481 124 .196 .307 6.7 1 3.3 Joe Torre
Gavin Lux .267 .331 .456 108 .189 .321 5.5 -2 2.9 Alan Trammell
Joc Pederson .249 .340 .513 124 .264 .270 6.2 2 2.6 Tom Brunansky
Will D. Smith .234 .319 .470 108 .237 .275 5.4 1 2.5 Darrell Porter
Chris Taylor .259 .329 .441 104 .183 .335 5.4 -5 2.1 Robby Thompson
Alex Verdugo .285 .341 .442 108 .157 .309 5.8 4 2.0 Curt Flood
Jedd Gyorko .248 .317 .439 100 .191 .285 5.1 2 1.6 Ed Spiezio
A.J. Pollock .255 .313 .457 102 .201 .291 5.4 -2 1.5 Mike Devereaux
Austin Barnes .230 .326 .363 85 .133 .284 4.2 2 1.1 Erik Pappas
Kiké Hernandez .236 .312 .428 96 .192 .269 4.8 -4 1.1 Steve Lombardozzi
Keibert Ruiz .255 .308 .373 81 .118 .261 4.2 1 1.1 Yadier Molina
Jon Kemmer .236 .311 .451 101 .215 .305 4.9 -1 0.9 Brian Lesher
David Freese .273 .348 .444 110 .171 .338 5.7 -2 0.9 Ken Caminiti
Tyler White .246 .323 .422 98 .176 .290 4.9 0 0.8 Larry Sutton
Matt Beaty .264 .313 .408 91 .144 .290 4.7 2 0.6 Dan Rohrmeier
Russell Martin .205 .331 .312 74 .107 .260 3.5 0 0.5 Chad Kreuter
Jeter Downs .220 .288 .397 81 .177 .268 3.9 -6 0.5 Dick Schofield
Edwin Rios .230 .285 .435 89 .205 .323 4.3 -5 0.5 Jim Presley
Kris Negron .231 .289 .367 74 .137 .307 3.8 8 0.4 Jalal Leach
Jacob Amaya .217 .298 .330 68 .113 .277 3.2 2 0.4 Ramon Vazquez
Andrew Toles .252 .290 .397 82 .145 .305 4.1 3 0.3 Rod Allen
DJ Peters .195 .282 .380 75 .185 .302 3.5 -3 0.2 Brent Clevlen
Zach McKinstry .229 .293 .369 76 .140 .293 3.6 -2 0.1 Travis Dawkins
Connor Joe .225 .316 .373 84 .148 .281 4.0 0 0.1 Ryan McGuire
Jose Lobaton .213 .274 .356 67 .142 .274 3.4 -1 0.1 George Mitterwald
Jake Peter .210 .288 .328 65 .118 .291 3.2 2 0.1 Adam Morrissey
Kyle Garlick .226 .275 .444 88 .218 .303 4.3 -3 0.0 Brian Brady
Connor Wong .211 .263 .390 72 .179 .310 3.5 -5 0.0 Troy Afenir
Zach Reks .238 .311 .394 87 .156 .320 4.3 -6 -0.1 Dale Holman
Rocky Gale .219 .254 .293 46 .074 .269 2.5 4 -0.2 Kirt Manwaring
Cameron Perkins .243 .291 .383 78 .140 .277 4.0 -1 -0.2 Virgil Chevalier
Sam McWilliams .198 .273 .348 65 .150 .285 3.4 -3 -0.3 Ryan Owens
Chris Parmelee .198 .281 .368 72 .170 .265 3.4 1 -0.3 Steve Yeager
Ezequiel Carrera .224 .290 .324 64 .100 .289 3.6 -4 -0.4 Greg Tubbs
Errol Robinson .218 .277 .312 58 .094 .290 3.0 -3 -0.6 Willie Lozado
Jared Walker .175 .272 .359 67 .184 .281 3.2 0 -0.7 Jim Orsag
Shane Peterson .222 .266 .371 68 .150 .295 3.6 -3 -0.8 Todd Dunwoody
Drew Avans .219 .274 .351 66 .132 .297 3.3 -1 -0.8 Gary Cathcart
Cristian Santana .231 .250 .372 64 .142 .288 3.2 -3 -0.8 Juan Salas
Cody Thomas .197 .256 .361 63 .164 .290 3.0 3 -0.9 Jamar Hill
Jeren Kendall .160 .232 .315 45 .155 .260 2.2 4 -1.1 Mike Rosamond
Carlos Rincon .197 .266 .375 69 .178 .267 3.3 -5 -1.1 Chad Roper
Donovan Casey .206 .254 .356 61 .150 .302 3.2 -1 -1.2 Wilkin Ramirez
Alex Avila .201 .342 .372 92 .171 .310 4.3 4 1.2 Wes Westrum
Ryan Goins .226 .287 .333 69 .108 .300 3.2 -1 -0.3 Rodney Nye
Welington Castillo .242 .289 .407 77 .165 .304 4.2 -3 0.1 Keith McDonald

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Clayton Kershaw L 32 12 7 3.24 27 27 166.7 142 60 24 31 176
Walker Buehler R 25 11 6 3.27 29 29 167.7 138 61 22 41 201
Hyun-Jin Ryu L 33 10 6 3.48 25 24 144.7 140 56 21 24 133
Kenta Maeda R 32 10 8 3.91 34 24 138.0 120 60 19 45 155
Dustin May R 22 9 7 4.08 33 25 141.3 139 64 20 36 129
Rich Hill L 40 7 4 3.59 18 18 87.7 73 35 13 28 103
Ross Stripling R 30 6 4 3.87 32 15 93.0 90 40 14 22 93
Kenley Jansen R 32 4 2 3.15 60 0 60.0 47 21 9 15 78
Julio Urias L 23 4 3 3.92 39 10 80.3 71 35 12 31 91
Blake Treinen R 32 6 4 3.41 59 0 63.3 55 24 5 26 65
Caleb Ferguson L 23 4 2 3.64 54 5 71.7 59 29 9 33 91
Mitchell White R 25 6 5 4.53 23 21 95.3 94 48 14 36 92
Victor Gonzalez L 24 4 4 4.33 39 14 89.3 89 43 11 37 77
Adam Kolarek L 31 5 3 3.34 67 0 56.7 54 21 3 18 42
Joe Kelly R 32 4 3 3.44 56 0 52.3 44 20 4 25 58
JT Chargois R 29 3 2 3.55 49 0 50.7 44 20 5 22 56
Josiah Gray R 22 6 7 4.94 27 26 122.0 123 67 22 35 101
Dennis Santana R 24 6 7 4.86 28 17 100.0 96 54 17 49 106
Pedro Baez R 32 5 3 3.88 65 0 60.3 51 26 9 23 66
Tony Gonsolin R 26 6 6 4.91 25 22 95.3 94 52 18 42 92
Shea Spitzbarth R 25 4 3 3.93 51 0 68.7 60 30 10 29 80
Scott Alexander L 30 3 2 3.83 54 0 51.7 50 22 4 21 40
Leo Crawford L 23 5 6 5.05 25 25 123.0 125 69 23 43 102
Josh Sborz R 26 4 3 3.96 56 0 61.3 55 27 9 23 68
Joe Broussard R 29 3 2 4.18 41 2 51.7 50 24 7 19 49
Kevin Quackenbush R 31 4 3 4.08 52 0 57.3 52 26 9 17 67
Rob Zastryzny L 28 5 6 5.06 24 16 99.7 106 56 18 39 84
Marshall Kasowski R 25 3 3 4.23 35 1 38.3 28 18 4 31 57
Dylan Floro R 29 4 4 4.21 53 0 57.7 59 27 7 18 46
Logan Bawcom R 31 4 5 5.10 20 12 72.3 77 41 14 27 58
Yimi Garcia R 29 2 2 4.24 56 0 51.0 49 24 10 10 53
Casey Sadler R 29 2 2 4.24 34 0 40.3 41 19 7 12 29
Edward Paredes L 33 3 2 4.32 34 0 33.3 31 16 4 16 35
Edwin Uceta R 22 6 7 5.29 26 25 115.7 120 68 23 54 111
Parker Curry R 26 5 5 5.16 28 12 89.0 96 51 18 30 76
Austin Hamilton L 26 5 6 5.14 22 8 68.3 75 39 11 28 49
Russell Martin R 37 0 0 6.00 4 0 3.0 4 2 1 0 2
Ryan Moseley R 25 4 4 4.66 47 2 73.3 71 38 5 53 60
Logan Salow L 25 3 3 4.76 43 2 56.7 49 30 7 43 66
Yadier Alvarez R 24 1 2 5.53 16 9 40.7 36 25 6 35 48
Nolan Long R 26 3 3 4.77 44 1 60.3 53 32 8 43 69
Jaime Schultz R 29 3 3 5.10 45 6 65.3 60 37 12 39 76
Layne Somsen R 31 2 2 4.99 23 0 30.7 30 17 4 20 29
Daniel Corcino R 29 6 7 5.49 24 18 100.0 104 61 20 50 89
Tyler Thornburg R 31 1 2 5.70 41 1 42.7 42 27 10 23 45
Michael Boyle L 26 3 4 5.83 35 6 63.3 69 41 13 35 54
Chris Nunn L 29 2 2 5.98 35 0 46.7 47 31 10 31 50
Jordan Sheffield R 25 3 6 6.44 40 8 58.7 59 42 13 53 64
Justin De Fratus R 32 7 11 6.09 22 19 115.3 140 78 28 32 70
Yordy Cabrera R 29 2 3 6.48 34 4 58.3 66 42 12 36 43
Stetson Allie R 29 1 2 7.28 41 0 38.3 39 31 10 38 44
J.D. Martin R 37 6 9 6.47 21 21 112.7 132 81 23 69 70

Pitchers – Advanced
Player K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ ERA- FIP WAR No. 1 Comp
Clayton Kershaw 9.5 1.7 1.3 4.7% 26.5% .274 128 78 3.50 3.7 John Tudor
Walker Buehler 10.8 2.2 1.2 6.0% 29.6% .284 127 79 3.22 3.7 Tom Seaver
Hyun-Jin Ryu 8.3 1.5 1.3 4.1% 22.5% .290 119 84 3.73 2.9 Tommy John
Kenta Maeda 10.1 2.9 1.2 7.8% 27.0% .288 106 94 3.70 2.1 Mike Bielecki
Dustin May 8.2 2.3 1.3 6.0% 21.6% .295 102 98 3.96 1.8 Milt Pappas
Rich Hill 10.6 2.9 1.3 7.7% 28.2% .279 116 87 3.72 1.6 Al Leiter
Ross Stripling 9.0 2.1 1.4 5.7% 24.1% .297 107 93 3.85 1.3 Elmer Dessens
Kenley Jansen 11.7 2.3 1.4 6.2% 32.4% .277 132 76 3.28 1.0 Trevor Hoffman
Julio Urias 10.2 3.5 1.3 9.1% 26.6% .289 106 94 4.01 1.0 Tug McGraw
Blake Treinen 9.2 3.7 0.7 9.7% 24.2% .292 122 82 3.39 0.9 Roger McDowell
Caleb Ferguson 11.4 4.1 1.1 10.7% 29.4% .294 114 88 3.65 0.8 Billy McCool
Mitchell White 8.7 3.4 1.3 8.7% 22.2% .300 92 109 4.29 0.8 Tim Leary
Victor Gonzalez 7.8 3.7 1.1 9.4% 19.6% .297 96 104 4.30 0.8 Ken Heintzelman
Adam Kolarek 6.7 2.9 0.5 7.4% 17.4% .291 125 80 3.34 0.7 Pablo Torrealba
Joe Kelly 10.0 4.3 0.7 11.1% 25.7% .294 121 83 3.39 0.6 Dennis Higgins
JT Chargois 9.9 3.9 0.9 10.1% 25.7% .295 117 86 3.56 0.5 Tippy Martinez
Josiah Gray 7.5 2.6 1.6 6.7% 19.4% .283 84 119 4.73 0.5 Brad Radke
Dennis Santana 9.5 4.4 1.5 11.0% 23.9% .297 85 117 4.74 0.4 Mike Lumley
Pedro Baez 9.8 3.4 1.3 9.1% 26.1% .275 107 93 4.08 0.4 Donne Wall
Tony Gonsolin 8.7 4.0 1.7 10.0% 21.9% .289 85 118 5.03 0.4 Earl Wilson
Shea Spitzbarth 10.5 3.8 1.3 9.9% 27.2% .291 106 95 4.01 0.4 Blaine Neal
Scott Alexander 7.0 3.7 0.7 9.4% 17.9% .293 108 92 3.86 0.4 Harry Perkowski
Leo Crawford 7.5 3.1 1.7 8.1% 19.1% .283 82 122 5.00 0.4 Aaron Laffey
Josh Sborz 10.0 3.4 1.3 8.8% 26.1% .291 105 95 4.00 0.3 Steve Hoeme
Joe Broussard 8.5 3.3 1.2 8.6% 22.1% .297 99 101 4.15 0.3 Mark Lee
Kevin Quackenbush 10.5 2.7 1.4 7.1% 28.0% .299 102 98 3.77 0.2 Matt Whiteside
Rob Zastryzny 7.6 3.5 1.6 8.8% 19.0% .297 82 122 5.02 0.2 Jeff Musselman
Marshall Kasowski 13.4 7.3 0.9 17.8% 32.8% .300 98 102 3.99 0.1 Charlie Hough
Dylan Floro 7.2 2.8 1.1 7.3% 18.5% .297 99 101 4.10 0.1 John Boozer
Logan Bawcom 7.2 3.4 1.7 8.4% 18.1% .290 81 123 5.21 0.1 Howie Reed
Yimi Garcia 9.4 1.8 1.8 4.7% 24.9% .287 98 102 4.24 0.1 Lance Carter
Casey Sadler 6.5 2.7 1.6 6.9% 16.6% .276 98 102 4.89 0.1 Dan Quisenberry
Edward Paredes 9.5 4.3 1.1 10.9% 23.8% .300 96 104 4.08 0.0 Marshall Bridges
Edwin Uceta 8.6 4.2 1.8 10.4% 21.3% .298 78 127 5.25 0.0 Jeff Fulchino
Parker Curry 7.7 3.0 1.8 7.7% 19.4% .297 81 124 5.11 0.0 Darrell Coulter
Austin Hamilton 6.5 3.7 1.4 9.1% 16.0% .298 81 124 5.07 0.0 Wade Blasingame
Russell Martin 6.0 0.0 3.0 0.0% 15.4% .300 69 144 6.18 0.0 Tiny Bonham
Ryan Moseley 7.4 6.5 0.6 15.4% 17.4% .299 89 112 4.60 -0.1 Rich Gossage
Logan Salow 10.5 6.8 1.1 16.5% 25.3% .296 87 115 4.73 -0.1 Scott Wiggins
Yadier Alvarez 10.6 7.7 1.3 18.2% 25.0% .297 75 133 5.32 -0.2 Mike Thompson
Nolan Long 10.3 6.4 1.2 15.5% 24.9% .294 87 115 4.75 -0.2 Clay Bryant
Jaime Schultz 10.5 5.4 1.7 13.2% 25.8% .293 81 123 5.03 -0.2 Jake Robbins
Layne Somsen 8.5 5.9 1.2 14.1% 20.4% .299 83 120 4.94 -0.2 Ted Abernathy
Daniel Corcino 8.0 4.5 1.8 11.1% 19.7% .292 76 132 5.50 -0.3 Landon Jacobsen
Tyler Thornburg 9.5 4.9 2.1 12.0% 23.4% .286 73 137 5.73 -0.5 Dick Selma
Michael Boyle 7.7 5.0 1.8 11.9% 18.4% .299 71 140 5.80 -0.7 Doug Slaten
Chris Nunn 9.6 6.0 1.9 14.2% 22.9% .298 69 144 5.82 -0.8 Scott Forster
Jordan Sheffield 9.8 8.1 2.0 18.4% 22.2% .299 64 155 6.59 -1.0 Darin Moore
Justin De Fratus 5.5 2.5 2.2 6.2% 13.6% .296 68 147 5.95 -1.0 Allen Davis
Yordy Cabrera 6.6 5.6 1.9 13.0% 15.5% .297 64 156 6.23 -1.1 Marty McLeary
Stetson Allie 10.3 8.9 2.3 19.7% 22.8% .296 57 175 7.25 -1.3 James Warden
J.D. Martin 5.6 5.5 1.8 12.9% 13.1% .296 64 156 6.43 -1.4 Ed Riley

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players that are unsigned, players who will miss 2020 due to injury, and players who were released in 2019. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in June to form a ska-cowpunk Luxembourgian bubblegum pop-death metal band, he’s still listed here intentionally.

Both hitters and pitchers are ranked by projected zWAR — which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those which appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

ZiPS is agnostic about future playing time by design. For more information about ZiPS, please refer to this article.

We hoped you liked reading 2020 ZiPS Projections: Los Angeles Dodgers by Dan Szymborski!

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Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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Cave Dameron
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Cave Dameron

Thank you Dan, very cool!