Anthony’s Movin’ Out

Wendell Cruz-Imagn Images

A year ago Sunday, Anthony Volpe went down in a heap after diving for a grounder in the 5-6 hole. The Yankee shortstop felt a pop in his non-throwing shoulder, but he stayed in the game, and imaging didn’t turn up anything untoward.

At least not in the moment. The shoulder nagged Volpe for the rest of the season, and after the Yankees’ ALDS loss to Toronto, he went in for surgery to repair a partially torn labrum. Shoulder surgery has a long timeline for rehab — even when performed on the non-throwing shoulder of a position player — so Volpe missed all of spring training. He reported to Double-A for a rehab assignment on April 14, and when his 20 days were up, the Yankees activated him… and optioned him straight to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

Volpe was the Yankees’ Opening Day shortstop in 2023. Over the next three seasons, he appeared in 493 of their 507 regular-season and playoff games; on 476 of those occasions, he was the starting shortstop.

Under any circumstances, the demotion of a three-year incumbent starter would be major news. All the more so here because of the messianic hype that has surrounded Volpe.

In retrospect, maybe it was a bad idea for the New York baseball world to get over its collective skis on Volpe. A first-round pick, an Italian American kid born in Manhattan and raised in North Jersey, a lightning-quick shortstop who hit .309 in spring training to claim the starting shortstop job at age 21 — you could hardly blame the Yankees and their coterie for being excited.

But just in case anyone was tempted to let slide potential comparisons to Derek Jeter, the Yankees — who have taken more numbers out of circulation than a crooked roulette croupier — gave Volpe the lowest uniform number left in circulation. Anything short of Jeterian greatness would be viewed as a failure.

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In three years, Volpe hasn’t been terrible. In 2024, he posted an 87 wRC+ that, buoyed by 28 stolen bases and excellent defensive metrics, made him a 3.5-WAR player. Shortstops who consistently play elite defense, steal double-digit bags, and are only kind of crappy at the plate — those guys play a long time. Elvis Andrus is a folk hero in Texas.

But that doesn’t fly for the Yankees. More than that: My approach to player evaluation is measured and holistic, probably to a fault. And if you came to me and tried to explain why it’s actually good that a guy with a .222 career batting average and a .283 career OBP is a nailed-on starter for my favorite team, I’d turn you upside-down and give you a swirly. Yankees fans can be A Lot, but they were right to demand better.

Especially because, at this moment, the Yankees have a better option at shortstop.

I don’t think José Caballero is a star or anything; he’s a journeyman who’s bounced among franchises that have needed productive infield play. His assets are obvious — he’s stolen 28 bases in 73 games with the Yankees, and he runs hot and cold at the plate. Shortly after joining the Yankees last year, he had a four-game stretch in which he went 7-for-15 with two home runs and four steals. Fans remember that, and forget that he went 2-for-21 over his next 15 games. Caballero is sixth out of 179 qualified hitters in WPA this season, but 111th in wRC+.

Still, he is playing well, and the Yankees (currently 23-11, but only 1.5 games ahead of the second-place Rays) are in a position where any present advantage must be pressed to the fullest extent. Sentimentality is not currently a major motivator. If Caballero is the best man for the job — and he seems to be, at least for now — he ought to play full-time.

Where does that leave Volpe? Is this demotion the end of his run in the role to which he’d ascended with such fanfare? After all, he’s coming off three full seasons without breaking a wRC+ of 90 even once. I don’t care how hyped he was as a prospect, that’s a lot of rope to give anyone.

Having said that, I’d be absolutely astonished if Volpe never reclaimed the Yankees’ starting shortstop job. He was pretty terrible last year: .212/.272/.391, 83 wRC+, 1.0 WAR. He gave back about two wins’ worth of value, relative to 2024, in defense and baserunning.

But he also reworked his swing for 2025. He increased his fast-swing percentage from 3.7% in 2024 to 28.6% last year. His average bat speed went up 3.3 mph, the second-largest year-on-year increase, after Brice Turang. (Hey, did Turang make any notable strides at the plate in 2025? I can’t remember.) Volpe also dropped his GB/FB rate from 1.75 to 0.94, and his chase rate from 29.1% to 23.8%.

I think there’s a nuanced conversation to be had about whether it’s a good idea for a small guy with plus speed to go full-on swing-plane revolution, especially when his strikeout and walk numbers weren’t that good to start. But it’s undeniable that Volpe was trying to do more damage last year; he just didn’t get rewarded.

Volpe ran a .252 BABIP in 2025, a drop of 51 points from the year before. That’s got something to do with hitting more balls in the air (and fewer line drives), but it’s still indicative of bad luck. So is the fact that he increased his xSLG by 70 points from 2024 to 2025, but only got 27 extra points of real-world slugging percentage out of it. His results were almost the same over his past two full seasons in the majors, but he deserved better last year.

The second reason I’d expect Volpe to come back strong after a terrible 2025 campaign is the shoulder injury. He played the last five months of the season with an unsound joint that turns out to be quite important for swinging a bat. Based on health alone, he has to be better now.

Obviously, I don’t expect a healthy Volpe to show up immediately and play like Jeter. Neither do the Yankees, or else they wouldn’t be wasting those at-bats in Lackawanna County.

But even after almost 500 games and 2,000 plate appearances in the majors, Volpe is still a hugely talented ballplayer who only turned 25 last week. He ought to get time behind the scenes to refine his swing and approach with a fully healthy body. Getting the best out of Volpe in the long term is incompatible with returning him to New York now. The Yankees’ hot start — and Caballero’s contributions thereto — has given them the luxury of playing their best shortstop in the majors while simultaneously sending Volpe back to the lab.

He’ll be back, sooner or later, and without the weight of the world on his back.





Michael is a writer at FanGraphs. Previously, he was a staff writer at The Ringer and D1Baseball, and his work has appeared at Grantland, Baseball Prospectus, The Atlantic, ESPN.com, and various ill-remembered Phillies blogs. Follow him on Twitter, if you must, @MichaelBaumann.

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coowell22Member since 2025
2 months ago

Or…. Here comes George Lombard Jr! Surprised you did not name him in the article; seems like Volpe only has this year to prove himself, or the “change of scenery” trade happens and they move forward with Lombard for 2027…

JustinPBGMember since 2018
2 months ago
Reply to  coowell22

And probably batting next to each other in the order, and defense next to each other. An extremely direct competition.

I Like Big BuxtonMember since 2024
2 months ago
Reply to  coowell22

It’s amusing that the first comment on an article about the fallout from giving a hyped Yankees shortstop prospect the starting job before he’s proven himself is… advocating giving a hyped Yankees shortstop prospect the starting job before he’s proven himself.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago

Eh? They have Caballero at SS and McMahon at 3B, both under team control.

“Better than McMahon” may not be a high bar, but it’s still more than they asked of Volpe.

wheelhouseMember since 2022
2 months ago

I think the fan reactions rejoicing that the team agrees that their former highest-ranked prospect of this decade isn’t even good enough to displace Jose Caballero are both missing what that means and also just setting up disappointment when it turns out this was at least halfway about getting an extra year on his contract pre-free agency

mercyMember since 2017
2 months ago
Reply to  wheelhouse

Volpe is still only 25 and the team is playing great right now. No need to mess up a good thing just to revert to what has been. Let him work out his swing in AAA while gaining confidence.

justregularMember since 2023
2 months ago
Reply to  wheelhouse

Yeah, I thought of JJ Hardy Milwaukee a little bit here. Volpe hasn’t been as good – B-Ref gave Hardy 10 career WAR by the incident in August 2009. Volpe is around 8. Both broke in young – it is Volpe’s age-28 season that lined up as his first free agent season were he to amass his 6.000 service consecutively. Max Schuemann and the oldsters McMahon/Goldschmidt on roster today.

PC1970Member since 2024
2 months ago

Well, there’s always a chance Anthony could start workin in a grocery store, saving his pennies for someday. Then Mama Leone could leave a note on the door saying “Sonny move out to the country”..but, working to hard can you a heart-attack-ack-ack-ack-ack-ack.

Do the Yankees have a farm team out in Hackensack?

formerly matt wMember since 2025
2 months ago
Reply to  PC1970

Fond memories of when the great Pirates organist Vince Lascheid would play this as the walkup music for Tony Womack-ack-ack-ack.

matthayden4Member since 2024
2 months ago

‘the Yankees — who have taken more numbers out of circulation than a crooked roulette croupier’

Fantastic.

ScoreboardMember since 2016
2 months ago

Team makes difficult but rationale decision!

sandwiches4everMember since 2019
2 months ago
Reply to  Scoreboard

Given the way the team has handled Volpe up to this point, it is a truly shocking development.

cashgod27Member since 2024
2 months ago

From the moment he debuted until they acquired Caballero last July, Volpe was the only MLB-caliber shortstop in the organization.

Should he have been? Probably not. But he was also a good player until he got hurt. Why would they need to bring in competition for a player who had just put up 3.5 WAR in 2024 as a 23-year-old?

SæderMember since 2024
2 months ago

There are so few Filipinos in the big leagues. And Travis D’Arnaud is aging. For now, I think he and Volpe are the only ones from the diaspora actively playing. I for one hope he gets to keep on playing, just so that I can bring up “Filipinos in baseball” in conversation once every year or two!

formerly matt wMember since 2025
2 months ago
Reply to  Sæder

Bruin Agbayani (Benny’s son) is in A ball for the Twins, but a long way off. And Robert Stephenson may be done, sadly.

Kody KralleMember since 2022
2 months ago
Reply to  Sæder

Rico Garcia has a Filipina mom! And is killing it this year.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago

Volpe’s a talented kid.

He is also dead pull RHH with fringey power – there just isn’t a route for that profile to be productive in YS3.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago

75/91 Home/Road split.

A 91 wRC+ with his wheels is a good starter!

booondMember since 2019
2 months ago

Trade for Oswald Peraza

newsenseMember since 2020
2 months ago

Caballero has averaged better than 2.7 WAR per 162 games in a 400 game MLB career – that’s a pretty good player! Coincidentally that’s exactly the same as what ZiPS has projected for Volpe for the next 3 years

asb123Member since 2024
2 months ago

I really wonder if he’s going to get traded sooner or later. I’m sure there are a lot of teams that would take a flier on him, even just to see if he can get back to his 2024 level. Would get him out of the Yankee fan boo-bird glare too.

baseballer8489Member since 2025
2 months ago

If I’m reading it right, Volpe had exactly 3.000 years of service time entering this season, meaning if he’s in the minors for 20 days, he’ll gain another year of team control and not become a FA until after 2029. This has just as much, if not more, to do with the demotion I’m sure. If they can get another year of team control without a grievance from the MLBPA, it’s objectively the right decision regardless of what you think of Volpe vs Caballero.

dangledangleMember since 2024
2 months ago

Please please trade him to the Red Sox for a bag of nickels. He would double the production at short and play better defense. I do think that something is wrong with the Yankees program in general they keep having their high ranked prospects wash out. I’m not really sure what the issue is but it’s been pervasive. Only Ben Rice has broken through and he was not highly ranked even through he was raking in the minors. The Yankees have graduated player after player on the left side of the infield and not gotten much out of them. Something is wrong with their approach

wingedbeater
2 months ago
Reply to  dangledangle

I’m not sure which prospect washouts you’re talking about. Over the last few years, I’d say their highest-ranked position player prospects were Volpe, Peraza, Wells, and Dominguez. Which of those players is a washout? I concede that none of them are All-Stars, but they’re all serviceable to better MLB players in different ways. Whatever happened to Kristian Campbell, for instance, is a far worse player development outcome than any I can recently recall for the Yankees.

gettwobrute79Member since 2026
2 months ago
Reply to  wingedbeater

I’d say Peraza, but even so he’s only 25. Dominguez is too early to judge. But Volpe was good for a bit, as has Wells. And not on your list but Lou Geh-I mean, Ben Rice.

Also how is a washout defined? A highly ranked prospect who never performs? Or a highly ranked prospect who is a solid regular for a couple of years before he goes south (injuries sap his effectiveness, the league figures him out, etc.)? I equate it with the former (also a bust).

If it’s the latter, that’s unfair-prospects should almost never be expected to be stars. If you get a couple years of good MLB production, I don’t think that should ever be considered a washout.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago
Reply to  gettwobrute79

Not to mention that Peraza’s put up an 85 wRC+ with good IF defense and 11 SB in 198 PA since moving to Anaheim and getting consistent reps.

That’s a rounding error from what he was “supposed” to be.

Mario MendozaMember since 2017
2 months ago

Messianic hype? Cleveland is excited for bazzana, st Louis for wetherholt… We don’t begrudge them for that. That’s the level of excitement you’d expect for a good but not great prospect you hope will be your team’s next good middle infielder. And that’s what NY has for volpe. No more no less. They gave him a nice uniform number. They didn’t sign him to a 9-figure contract.

D4PMember since 2019
2 months ago

He’ll need to work hard in AAA, but not too hard, because that can give you a heart attack.

ChrisMember since 2024
2 months ago

I feel like the criticism Volpe takes has always been a bit weird. Kid had 5.5 fWAR through his age-23 season. I know you would have liked to see the bat develop a bit more, but this was still a good player. Then he got hurt last year, played through it, but couldn’t defend the way he had in the past. People act like the Yankees have been trotting a hopeless replacement-level player out at shot for years.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago
Reply to  Chris

The main thing is the opportunity cost of the Yankees passing on the SS class of 2022 and 2023 to put all of their eggs in the Volpe basket…only for him to be one of the worst hitters in the MLB (lowest OBP and wRAA among players with 1300 PA over the last 3 years).

Being an awful hitter means he has an incredibly volatile profile – his Def needs to be in the +7-10 range to hit average production.

Yankees fans suffered through a year of IKF at short during the greatest right handed offensive season since Integration, while being constantly told that Volpe would take them to the promised land.

…the kid turned out to be a rich man’s IKF, at least if he’s playing half his games in the Bronx.

Mario MendozaMember since 2017
2 months ago

Did they “pass on the SS class” at pick 40 or whatever they had, or was that class already gone? And they did draft Lombard and Dax Kilby with their first picks recently.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago
Reply to  Mario Mendoza

I’m talking about Corey Seager, Carlos Correa, Trea Turner, and Xander Bogaerts.

airforce21oneMember since 2026
2 months ago

Would Seager, Correa, or Bogaerts have been wise investments?

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago
Reply to  airforce21one

Seager’s a no-doubt slam dunk, even with this years BABIP.

And Correa was such insane value on that initial deal that I would have held my nose.

The entire point of having the Yankees’ resources is to take advantage of situations like that.

Mario MendozaMember since 2017
2 months ago

Oh duh. Absolutely should have been in on them because they also haven’t spent any money on 3B. They*could* have signed any of those guys AND played Volpe between SS and 3B and been better off.

Last edited 2 months ago by Mario Mendoza
Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago
Reply to  Mario Mendoza

Sure, why spend $65m on Corey Seager’s 28 and 29 seasons when you can spend $50m on Josh Donaldson’s age 36 and 37 seasons…plus $30m on DJLM’s age 33 and 34 seasons, and $32m on Anthony Rizzo’s age 32 and 33 seasons?

Getting 9.2 WAR for $112m instead of 10.7 WAR for $65m personifies the fiscal responsibility Hal Steinbrenner has brought to the Yankees franchise!

Willians Astu-stu-studilloMember since 2020
2 months ago

Those three players are great examples of why I wasn’t mad when they let Seager get away. The Yankees during that period of time were so comically inept at managing their players’ health that even ironman types would sustain serious injuries or medical issues and crumble into dust. And if the player was legitimately injury-prone, like Donaldson? Disaster. That team should not have been committing top of the scale money to a player with injury yellow flags.

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago

So you think they should have done the Twins Correa deal, then gone for Turner after he opted out?

Willians Astu-stu-studilloMember since 2020
2 months ago

Correa couldn’t pass a physical, so that double ruled him out for me. Turner would have been a good fit. Honestly, Machado was the big miss. They should have signed him back in the day, and all of this would have been moot.

steveo
2 months ago
Reply to  Mario Mendoza

He’s not talking about the draft class. He’s talking about the free agent class of Turner, Seager, Correa, etc.

slz
2 months ago
Reply to  Chris

One of these days a team is going to cash in on one of these guys who get “5.5 fWAR” from standing at shortstop while not actually being good at baseball and make a complete fool out of “consensus MLB scouts” like Murakami is

Cool Lester SmoothMember since 2020
2 months ago
Reply to  slz

5.5 WAR?

650 PA of average SS defense and baserunning with an 85 wRC+ comes to 2 WAR.

If you think that threshold should be 90 wRC+, I agree…and so did Jeff Zimmerman when he recalculated positional adjustments based on 13 seasons of data from the 2015 UZR model, rather than 4 seasons of data from the 2006 UZR model.

(C 7.75, SS 4.75, CF/2B/3B 1.75, RF/LF -4.25, 1B/DH -9.25)

Applying that adjustment to Volpe would give him 5.7 fWAR through three seasons…which does feel more accurate.

Old Washington Senators FanMember since 2020
2 months ago

Dylan Crews has far less track record but more hype (except not in NYC but in expectations) and has is down in AAA too. Nothing is guaranteed in baseball prospects and everything changes everything.

Broken BatMember since 2020
2 months ago

I think Volpe can still bring a decent prospect or.. maybe a MLB average 3b in return. That’s right now. If Yanks put him back at shortstop right now, and the hitting results were not there his trade value is less. Now a trading partner might speculate on him. He IMO is trade bait.