Dan Szymborski: It’s a chat!

Jose Abreu: My back hurts, should I be afraid on Jon Singleton taking over?

Dan Szymborski: Probably not in serious jeopardy. ZiPS projections for Singleton aren’t great, either

the guy who asks the lunch question: what’s for lunch?

Dan Szymborski: some unsalted peanuts I happen to have here

seth: that lorenzen high school no hitters stat is pretty bonkers, huh?

Jay Jaffe: Good afternoon, folks! Welcome to the first post-trade deadline edition of my Tuesday chats. I just published a piece on the Padres’ loss of Joe Musgrove and their missed opportunities during their series with the Dodgers https://blogs.fangraphs.com/padres-lose-musgrove-and-let-slip-a-golden…

Jay Jaffe: Yesterday I published a piece on the Diamondbacks’ 7-22 slide (!) out of the playoff picture https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-diamondbacks-have-wilted-in-the-heat-o…

Jay Jaffe: And now, on with the show…

Phil: Can you explain this Orioles broadcaster controversy? Don’t they have a PR person to tell them they’re going to be hammered over this? And an HR person to observe that Brown was just literally doing his job? They used to be bad and now they’re good–it’s not like that’s some sort of company secret. I’m not just grumbling (though I am)–I really don’t understand what they expected to happen.

Jay Jaffe: The Orioles have an idiot man-baby for an owner. Brown was reading a stat from the notes that the team prepared for that day’s broadcast – they didn’t need vetting from a PR person because no sane person would have thought such a tidbit about the team’s improvement would have inflamed even the most idiotic man-baby.

Jay Jaffe: Sadly, this is par for the course during the John Angelos era,. Check Britt Ghiroli’s piece at The Athletic for more https://theathletic.com/4757354/2023/08/07/ghiroli-orioles-announcer-k…

Dan Szymborski: Sorry I was slightly late, was finishing up my yearly trade dictator piece.

Kyle: Hey Dan! With Manfred staying on as commissioner thru another round of CBA negotiations, do you think we are headed toward another lockout? Missed games in 2027?

Dan Szymborski: I suspect we always were headed towards a less than smooth CBA after this one expires, but way too soon to tell if it results in missed games.

Dan Szymborski: On a fundamental level, the things that players are really unhappy about really haven’t changed all that much.

Dan Szymborski: Luxury tax threshold still grow slower than inflation and slower than MLB’s revenue growth.

Takao: Bryce Miller for Jonathan India – which team says no?

Jay Jaffe: Good afternoon, folks! Welcome to the last July edition of my FanGraphs chat

Jay Jaffe: I’m back from an exhilarating and exhausting Hall of Fame Induction Weekend in Cooperstown

Jay Jaffe:

Jay Jaffe: Had a blast there, got to do some pretty fun stuff!

Jay Jaffe: Back here on earth, the second installment of this year’s Replacement Level Killers is up, covering second basemen https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-2023-replacement-level-killers-second-…

Jay Jaffe: The series began on Thursday https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-2023-replacement-level-killers-introdu…

Ben Clemens: Good morning. Let’s get started.

171: Wow, Ben waking up to do a chat at 7 am local time. The dedication! Love this guy!

Ben Clemens: I’m leaving for a brief vacation today so I actually insisted on it

Jacob: Kinda a trade value q, do you think buxton will ever figure it out again or is he cooked

Ben Clemens: Man, I happened to catch a lot of his at-bats in this week’s Twins/Mariners series, and he’s clearly compromised right now

Ben Clemens: I think they need to try to get him healthy, he could play a long time like this and not figure it out

Dan Szymborski: https://getyarn.io/yarn-clip/e86a78a7-713d-4d6b-8a93-4fad86923866

bk: Dan, how does ZiPS like Orelvis Martinez moving forward after his breakout season this year (so far)?

Dan Szymborski: Martinez is back to pretty much where his projection was – ZiPS was already aggressive with him

Dan Szymborski: His projection really fell off in the earl going, but he’s been much better last couple months

Kyle: Outside of the big names being thrown around (Ohtani/Soto) which players that will be available at the deadline do you think would best help the Phillies?

Dan Szymborski: Outside of the big names, it gets unimpressive quickly!

Jay Jaffe: Good afternoon, folks!

Jay Jaffe: Welcome to my first chat of the second half of the 2023 season

Jay Jaffe: I’ve got Hall of Fame on the brain after writing a four-part series on the active players making progress towards Cooperstown. Part IV just went live, covering relievers https://blogs.fangraphs.com/cooperstown-notebook-the-2023-progress-rep…

Jay Jaffe: Yesterday’s Part III addressed Ohtani and starting pitchers https://blogs.fangraphs.com/cooperstown-notebook-the-2023-progress-rep…

Jay Jaffe: Part II was shortstops and outfielders https://blogs.fangraphs.com/cooperstown-notebook-the-2023-progress-rep… and Part I catchers and the three bases https://blogs.fangraphs.com/cooperstown-notebook-the-2023-progress-rep…

Kyle B: Hey Jay! Over the all star break we heard a ton of talk about the new CBA and started hearing whispers about the next one….do you think we are staring down another lockout in 2026? Possibly missed games in 2027?