| 12:02 |
 Dan Szymborski: The appointed time that the prophecy foretold has now arrived.
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| 12:02 |
: Who would you rather have for the next 5 years? Adley or Julio?
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| 12:03 |
Dan Szymborski: Such a cruel question to pose an O’s fan.
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| 12:03 |
Dan Szymborski: If given the choice, I’d marginally take Julio
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| 12:03 |
Dan Szymborski: young catchers always have an element of scary
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| 12:03 |
Dan Szymborski: even terrific ones
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| 2:03 |
 Jay Jaffe: Good afternoon, folks! Welcome to the first New York edition of my chat in quite some time. I’m back from my two weeks in San Diego and I had my mind on the local ballclubs here — i didn’t get to see much of them from the West Coast due to the timing of games. I covered Tuesday’s game and Frankie Montas’ rebound (https://blogs.fangraphs.com/frankie-montas-and-the-yankees-get-back-on…), wrote about Francisco Lindor’s MVP-caliber season (some folks need to look up the meaning of caliber https://blogs.fangraphs.com/francisco-lindor-is-having-an-mvp-caliber-…), while also covering the Albert Pujols renaissance (https://blogs.fangraphs.com/albert-pujols-is-enjoying-a-renaissance/) and the latest turn in position players pitching (https://blogs.fangraphs.com/suddenly-position-players-are-sealing-more…)
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| 2:05 |
Jay Jaffe: But wait, there’s more! I discussed the Yankees (and to a lesser extent the Cardinals and Jordan Montgomery) with Ben Clemens on the FanGraphs Audio podcast (https://t.co/XJLD76El9I), which also features David Laurila speaking to El Paso Chihuahuas broadcaster-turned-author Tim Hagerty
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| 2:05 |
Jay Jaffe: Anyway, it’s a short chat today because I’ve got to do some dinner shopping in honor of my daughter’s sixth birthday
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| 2:06 |
Jay Jaffe: so let’s get to it!
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| 2:06 |
: Thoughts on Julio extension?
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| 2:07 |
Jay Jaffe:
The structure of Julio Rodriguez’s massive extension is very complicated, but the topline details, sources tell ESPN: $210 million guaranteed over 14 years with the ability to grow to well over $400M. Includes player and team options.
The great @JesseSanchezMLB was on the deal. |
| 12:02 |
Dan Szymborski: And we are live!
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| 12:02 |
Dan Szymborski: Or possibly dead and this is a very odd afterlife.
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| 12:02 |
: The best part about being a padres fan is that we will all be dead someday
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| 12:02 |
: What does Zips think about Verlander’s next contract? Will anyone give him 3 years?
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| 12:04 |
: Why are the orioles putting Gunnar Henderson at 1st base?
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| 12:04 |
Dan Szymborski: Oops, sorry didn’t answer yet lol
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| 2:01 |
Jay Jaffe: Howdy folks and welcome to the West Coast edition of my Friday chat. I’m in San Diego for some family stuff, putting in a full week of work followed by a week of mostly vacation. I went to Wednesday’s Padres game and wrote about Manny Machado’s rebound (https://blogs.fangraphs.com/in-a-revamped-padres-lineup-manny-machado-…) amid the revamped lineup
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| 2:02 |
Jay Jaffe: Today I wrote about Justin Verlander’s comeback from Tommy John surgery. We haven’t seen a starting pitcher anywhere near this age (39) return from TJ and pitch well https://t.co/1TZOJFtWLD
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| 2:02 |
Jay Jaffe: Word of warning as we do the chat: the wifi in my airbnb is brutal, and if it bogs down this could be shorter than usual but we’ll do what we can
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| 2:02 |
Jay Jaffe: and now, on with the show
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| 2:03 |
: What are the Yankees waiting for to call up Peraza?
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| 2:04 |
Jay Jaffe: I don’t think it’s in the cards this year. Sweeney Murti, who covers the Yankees for WFAN, had a good thread on this
Further explanation on this:
Last month, with trade deadline approaching, I asked several NYY coaches and execs about IKF and upgrading SS because of the spotty defense. They all told me they were not as concerned as I, that they valued range over the small bursts of errors 1/8 At this point the Yankees do not have a need for a middle infielder. twitter.com/LususNaturae0/…
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| 12:02 |
Dan Szymborski: Hello people!
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| 12:02 |
Dan Szymborski: And maybe some bots.
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| 12:03 |
Dan Szymborski: Or cats or alien lifeforms.
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| 12:03 |
Dan Szymborski: But probably people.
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| 12:04 |
: Is there a team set up better than the Os over the next decade? I mean, WOW
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| 12:05 |
Dan Szymborski: I mean, O’s won’t have Dodgers money but the should have a nice rest of 2020s!
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| 2:02 |
Jay Jaffe: Good afternoon, folks, and welcome to another edition of my Friday chat. I’m back from a great weekend in Cooperstown, where I survived the 7-man induction ceremony in the blistering heat and got to do some cool stuff like go to the BBWAA party for Lifetime Achievement Award winner Tim Kurkjian at the Otesaga Resort Hotel, the Saturday evening cocktail party in the Hall of Fame plaque gallery, and the party the White Sox threw on behalf of Minnie Miñoso.
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| 2:03 |
Jay Jaffe: I’ve been writing up a storm since returning, with just one entry to go in my annual Replacement Level Killers series, highlighting the biggest lineup holes on contenders. The corner outfielder installment just went up a little while ago https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-2022-replacement-level-killers-left-fi…
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| 2:05 |
Jay Jaffe: With the trade deadline just 4 days away, i see no shortage of questions in the queue about potential trades. I’ll get to some but i’m not going to dwell upon too many because I’m not somebody who has a deep knowledge of prospects and farm systems.
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| 2:06 |
: Likelihood of Soto landing spots by percentage?
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| 2:09 |
Jay Jaffe: Based on multiple reports it appears that the Padres and Cardinals are the two teams way out in front of the pack because of their mixes of controllable young major leaguers and high-ceiling prospects. I’d say that while it’s possible that no trade goes down, we’re looking at a 47.6289% chance of the Padres getting him (that’s an exact figure, btw), about a 31.4858333% chance of the Cardinals getting him, the Dodgers at 4.97367%, the Yankees at 3%, and then the rest of the field making up the remainder.
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| 2:12 |
: Do you think Strider and Harris would be enough to headline an Ohtani trade? And would you think about it if you were the Braves?
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