Archive for Prospects

Top 23 Prospects: Oakland Athletics

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Oakland Athletics. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

A’s Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 A.J. Puk 22 AA LHP 2018 55
2 Franklin Barreto 21 MLB CF 2018 55
3 Jorge Mateo 22 AA CF 2018 50
4 Dustin Fowler 23 MLB CF 2018 50
5 Jesus Luzardo 20 A- LHP 2020 50
6 Sean Murphy 23 R C 2019 50
7 Austin Beck 19 R OF 2021 45
8 Lazaro Armenteros 18 R LF 2021 45
9 Sheldon Neuse 23 AA 3B 2019 45
10 James Kaprielian 23 A+ RHP 2019 45
11 Nick Allen 19 R SS 2021 45
12 Daulton Jefferies 22 A+ RHP 2020 45
13 Grant Holmes 21 AA RHP 2019 45
14 Greg Deichmann 22 A- RF 2020 40
15 Alexander Campos 18 R SS 2023 40
16 Marcos Brito 18 R 2B 2022 40
17 Logan Shore 23 A+ RHP 2019 40
18 Kevin Merrell 22 A- MIF/CF 2021 40
19 Renato Nunez 23 MLB 4C 2018 40
20 Dalton Sawyer 24 AAA LHP 2019 40
21 Nolan Blackwood 22 A+ RHP 2019 40
22 Luis Miguel Romero 23 A+ RHP 2019 40
23 Kyle Finnegan 26 AAA RHP 2018 40

55 FV Prospects

1. A.J. Puk, LHP
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Florida
Age 22 Height 6’7 Weight 220 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
60/65 60/60 55/60 55/60 45/50

Puk had back issues in college and scouts weren’t enamored with his conditioning, but he also featured premium velocity and a plus slider while performing against SEC hitters. He somewhat surprisingly fell to Oakland’s sixth overall selection in the 2016 draft. Reports were even stronger in 2017.

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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 3/6

12:02
Eric A Longenhagen: HI everyone. Busy day of games and writing ahead for me so apologies if I cut things short.

12:02
Hunt: What kind of upside do you see in Akil Baddoo?

12:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Chance to be an above-average everyday player

12:02
Bullpen Cart: Bullpen Cart vs pitching prospect in a race to the mound.  Which player you picking?

12:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Gose

12:02
McNulty: Why is Kyle Cody so underrated? He’s got plus stuff and carried his team to a Carolina League championship this year

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Top 32 Prospects: Atlanta Braves

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Atlanta Braves. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

Braves Top Prospects
Rk Name Age Highest Level Position ETA FV
1 Ronald Acuna 19 AAA CF 2018 65
2 Kyle Wright 22 A+ RHP 2018 55
3 Luiz Gohara 20 MLB LHP 2018 55
4 Mike Soroka 19 AA RHP 2018 55
5 Cristian Pache 18 A CF 2020 55
6 Ian Anderson 18 A RHP 2020 50
7 Austin Riley 19 AA 3B 2018 50
8 Touki Touisaint 20 AA RHP 2018 50
9 Max Fried 24 R LHP 2018 50
10 Joey Wentz 19 A LHP 2020 50
11 Kolby Allard 19 AA LHP 2019 50
12 Brett Cumberland 21 A+ C 2019 45
13 Bryse Wilson 19 A RHP 2020 45
14 William Contreras 20 R C 2021 45
15 Alex Jackson 21 AA C 2019 45
16 A.J. Minter 23 MLB LHP 2018 45
17 Drew Waters 19 R CF 2021 45
18 Tucker Davidson 21 A LHP 2021 45
19 Ricardo Sanchez 19 A+ LHP 2020 45
20 Kyle Muller 19 R LHP 2021 40
21 Drew Lugbauer 21 A C 2020 40
22 Travis Demeritte 22 AA 2B 2019 40
23 Dustin Peterson 22 AAA LF 2018 40
24 Josh Graham 24 AA RHP 2019 40
25 Jacob Lindgren 24 MLB LHP 2018 40
26 Patrick Weigel 22 AAA RHP 2018 40
27 Huascar Ynoa 19 R RHP 2021 40
28 Adam McCreery 25 A+ LHP 2019 40
29 Derian Cruz 18 A 2B 2021 40
30 Freddy Tarnok 19 R RHP 2022 40
31 Ray-Patrick Didder 23 A+ SS 2020 40
32 Jean Carlos Encarnacion 20 R 3B 2021 40

65 FV Prospects

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Venezuela
Age 19 Height 6’0 Weight 180 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/55 65/70 50/65 60/55 45/50 70/70

Acuna has taken an unusual path to becoming an elite prospect. He signed for $100,000 out of Venezuela in 2014, and less than a year later, the Braves knew they had something special. He had gotten more physical while also exhibiting both better-than-expected plate discipline and also lofty exit velocities. Many expected 2016 to be his coming out party — and, in fact, it was in the eyes of scouts who saw him. He had only 179 plate appearances due to injury, though, so he didn’t get a chance to put up the numbers to really draw attention. In 2017, Acuna made the leap from scout favorite and known toolshed to one of the top prospects in baseball.

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Could a 5-foot-8 Second Baseman Be Drafted First Overall?

Both Kiley and I will be posting in-person scouting reports on draft prospects we see throughout the spring. Well, summer and fall, too. Here is another dump of notes from Arizona.

Typically, these draft-related posts are designed to provide updates on multiple amateur prospects all at once — and I’ve included shorter notes on some other players below. Today, though, I’d like to dwell a bit on a specific collegiate athlete — namely, Oregon State 2B Nick Madrigal.

Madrigal is the best player I’ve seen so far this spring. He was electric for a weekend and a half during the Beavers’ first two series in Surprise but fractured his wrist on a play at the plate during a win against Ohio State. He was 14-for-25 with two doubles, two homers, three steals in three attempts, and no strikeouts when he went down.

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Top 27 Prospects: Texas Rangers

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Texas Rangers. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

Rangers Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Willie Calhoun 23 MLB DH 2018 50
2 Leody Taveras 19 A CF 2020 50
3 Cole Ragans 20 A- LHP 2020 50
4 Yohander Mendez 23 MLB LHP 2018 50
5 Bubba Thompson 19 R CF 2022 45
6 Pedro Gonzalez 20 R CF 2021 45
7 Hans Crouse 19 R RHP 2021 45
8 Ronald Guzman 23 AAA 1B 2018 45
9 Chris Seise 19 A- SS 2022 40
10 Kyle Cody 23 A+ RHP 2019 40
11 Brendon Davis 20 A+ 3B 2022 40
12 Mike Matuella 23 A RHP 2019 40
13 Isiah Kiner-Falefa 22 AA UTIL 2019 40
14 Josh Morgan 22 R INF 2020 40
15 Jonathan Hernandez 21 A+ RHP 2020 40
16 Anderson Tejeda 19 R SS 2021 40
17 Brett Martin 22 A+ LHP 2020 40
18 Joe Palumbo 23 A+ LHP 2020 40
19 Carlos Tocci 22 AAA CF 2018 40
20 Jose Trevino 25 AA C 2018 40
21 Matt Whatley 22 A- C 2021 40
22 Connor Sadzeck 26 AA RHP 2018 40
23 Tyler Phillips 20 A RHP 2022 40
24 Jean Casanova 20 R RHP 2021 40
25 Alex Speas 20 A- RHP 2022 40
26 A.J. Alexy 19 A RHP 2022 40
27 Miguel Aparicio 18 A CF 2020 40

50 FV Prospects

Drafted: 4th Round, 2015 from Yavapai JC (AZ)
Age 22 Height 5’8 Weight 187 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/60 65/65 50/60 30/30 40/40 45/45

Calhoun doesn’t have a position (he’s been tried at third, second, and in the outfield since college), but he’s going to rake. Scouts have him projected for plus hit and power. He takes huge, beer-league-softball hacks but has the hand-eye coordination and bat control to make it work. He could yank out 30 or more homers as soon as he’s given regular at-bats. The corner-outfield and DH situation in Texas is pretty crowded, but he should start seeing regular big-league time this year. There’s some risk that Calhoun’s aggression is exploited the way Rougie Odor’s has been, but otherwise Calhoun looks like a stable mid-order slugger.
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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 2/27

12:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Hi everyone, and welcome back. Gonna keep things to a tight hour this week so I can hustle across the valley to a big league game, but I’ll move as quickly as possible.

12:03
BC: Here are two top tier prospects, Tatis and Bichette. Which one has the biggest upside?

12:03
Eric A Longenhagen: I think Tatis because he might actually stay at SS

12:03
THE Average Sports Fan: Do you think Senzel can be ever decent at SS?

12:04
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s possible. If you assume you can hide what used to be considered subpar range with better positioning then it certainly improves his chances. If I’m skeptical of anything it’s how he’ll look around the bag.

12:04
Eric A Longenhagen: But I guess we’ll see. I don’t like watching Paul DeJong at SS baseball but I guess we’re headed there.

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Draft Notes: In-Person Scouting & Scuttlebutt Galore

Both Eric and I will be posting in-person scouting reports on draft prospects we see throughout the spring. And through summer, too. And the fall, also, for that matter. Here is my first dispatch from Florida. Other will follow from where I am currently — namely, the Dominican Republic. (See my twitter account for real-time updates.) Here’s Eric’s recap of his first week watching amateur action in Arizona.

There’s been a good bit of draft news since our rankings dropped, so let’s run down the news before I get into the games I saw last weekend.

As I first reported (with an assist from Eric), the No. 3 overall prospect on our preseason board, Georgia prep RHP Ethan Hankins, left a start in the first inning with an arm injury that was later revealed to be a sore shoulder. It’s believed that this is just a minor setback that will be resolved with weeks of rehab, which shouldn’t severely impact his draft stock.

Some scouts with whom I spoke before Hankins’ injury were mildly concerned that his debut ranked third behind behind those of Florida prep righties Mason Denaburg and Carter Stewart. (more on those two below.) News regarding Hankins’ injury helps to explain his ineffectiveness, though. He’ll have plenty of time to get healthy and back on track. Here’s to hoping it’s as minor of an injury as expected.

We lost two notable college arms — Texas Tech LHP Stephen Gingery (a second- to third-round prospect) and Florida State LHP Tyler Holton (a performer with solid stuff who didn’t sign in last year’s draft as an eligible sophomore) — to torn UCLs over the weekend.

Beyond that, some quick hit notes from around the country:

  • No. 2 on our list, Arizona prep 3B Nolan Gorman, hit an opposite-field homer in his team’s first action last weekend.
  • Eric saw Oregon State this weekend and will see them again, so he’s holding off on writing about them, but it sounds like 2B Nick Madrigal (No. 6 on our list) and RF Trevor Larnach (No. 29) met and exceeded expectations, respectively, on opening weekend.
  • No. 7 on our list, Stetson RHP Logan Gilbert, featured stuff that was down a tick, but he was effective anyway (and it’s early). Another college pitcher and No. 8 prospect, Ole Miss LHP Ryan Rolison, apparently had a tick better stuff in his debut, flashing 55-60s not only on all three pitches but also his command. One scout described it as “a top-five-pick performance.” I also heard some buzz that the debut of a third collegiate, No. 18 Auburn RHP Casey Mize, was as impressive as his line, and he has some top-10 pick momentum now as well.
  • No. 9 prospect, California prep SS Brice Turang, went deep after fellow California prep RHP Cole Winn (who would’ve been in the 30s of our list if we went a little deeper) exited the game. Winn was 90-95 and touching 96 mph when he faced Turang. Winn is also known for having one of the highest-spin curveballs in the class, behind Notorious RPM Carter Stewart
  • No. 23 on our list, Florida prep CF Connor Scott may already be making that Austin Beck-esque move up the board we mentioned in the draft rankings, hitting a homer earlier this week and continuing to grow on scouts with his wide base of standout tools. Another prep arm, No. 22 RHP Kumar Rocker from Georgia, was solid in his season debut, working 94-98 mph for three innings.
  • No. 19 on our list, Oregon RHP Matt Mercer met expectations in his debut outing, with the expected above average four pitch mix and mid-90’s velocity. We’ve also heard from some scouts that it appears both No. 17 on our list South Alabama CF Travis Swaggerty and Oklahoma RF Steele Walker (just missed the top 30) have added more loft to their swings. Both weren’t really homer threats last summer for Team USA but hit homers this weekend playing in the same tournament in Myrtle Beach. Swaggerty and Walker both have enough raw power to move up boards if they can successfully make and sustain this adjustment.
  • Among players who just missed the top-30 group, Connecticut LHP Tim Cate has some big believers, while others think he’s just a smallish reliever, with one scout reserving judgment on his debut saying he was “just fine.” Stanford RHP Tristan Beck was healthy (a big accomplishment for him at this point), and his stuff was mostly back, which could land him in the middle of round one if he can do that for the rest of the spring.
  • Also, Florida State RHP Cole Sands was into the mid-90s in his debut, and scouts are telling me I need to get in to see the Seminoles to check out their likely new Friday starter (taking Holton’s spot), 2018-eligible bats OF Jackson Lueck and C Cal Raleigh, along with 2019-eligible 3B Drew Mendoza. In what already appeared to be a banner year for talent in Florida colleges and preps, things keeps getting better.

Now, on to the guys I personally scouted last weekend:

Carter Stewart, RHP, Eau Gallie HS (FL)

In the draft-rankings blurb, we noted that Stewart’s curveball is his separator, with some scouts projecting it to a 70 on the 20-80 scale. If his 88-92 mph fastball from this summer can get into the mid-90s, however, he’ll likely rise into the early to mid-stages of the first round. In his season debut, his velocity was 91-94 mph for the whole three-inning outing, pitching in front of 12 of the 30 scouting directors by my count. This was because Denaburg (below) was going in the nightcap at the same field as part of a PBR tournament and, the next day, Florida, Stetson, and USF would all be featuring top-15 type arms within driving distance. Stewart’s curveball wasn’t its normal self, more 50 to 55 with a couple 60s mixed in at 78-82 mph. For a long-limbed teenage pitcher in his season debut, however, throwing a consistently sharp curveball is a tall order.

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Top 27 Prospects: Houston Astros

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the World Series champion Houston Astros. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

Astros Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Forrest Whitley 20 AA RHP 2018 60
2 Kyle Tucker 21 AA RF 2019 60
3 Yordan Alvarez 20 A+ LF 2020 50
4 JB Bukauskas 21 A- RHP 2019 50
5 Hector Perez 21 R RHP 2020 45
6 Cionel Perez 21 AA LHP 2019 45
7 Freudis Nova 18 R INF 2021 40
8 Corbin Martin 22 A- RHP 2020 40
9 JD Davis 24 MLB 3B 2018 40
10 Gilberto Celestino 19 R OF 2020 40
11 Rogelio Armenteros 23 AAA RHP 2018 40
12 Jairo Solis 18 R RHP 2021 40
13 Max Stassi 26 MLB C 2018 40
14 Jorge Alcala 22 A+ RHP 2020 40
15 Garrett Stubbs 24 AAA C 2018 40
16 Jonathan Arauz 19 A INF 2021 40
17 Riley Ferrell 24 AA RHP 2018 40
18 Brandon Bailey 23 A+ RHP 2019 40
19 Joe Perez 18 R 3B 2021 40
20 Reymin Guduan 25 MLB LHP 2018 40
21 Dean Deetz 24 AAA RHP 2018 40
22 Abraham Toro-Hernandez 21 A 3B 2021 40
23 Ronnie Dawson 22 A+ OF 2020 40
24 J.J. Matijevic 22 A 1B/LF 2021 40
25 Framber Valdez 24 AA LHP 2018 40
26 Jandel Gustave 25 MLB RHP 2018 40
27 Tyler Ivey 21 A- RHP 2020 40

60 FV Prospects

Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Alamo Heights HS (TX)
Age 19 Height 6’7 Weight 240 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Cutter Command
70/70 55/60 60/60 55/60 50/55 45/55

When Whitley remade his physique during his senior year of high school, his stuff and command both ticked up, and they’ve continued to do so. He now sits 93-97. Whitley’s size and delivery create good angle up and down in the zone, and he can sink or cut his fastball if he wants to. He has a knee-buckling curveball, a hard slider, and a burgeoning changeup that has quickly developed into a plus pitch. Whitley’s delivery is a bit violent, but he throws strikes and already has impressive control for a pitcher this size, age, and with this kind of stuff. This unique combination of stuff, pitchability, and command allowed Whitley to traverse three levels last year, ending with four impressive appearances at Double-A. Whitley struck out 143 hitters in 92.1 innings. He doesn’t turn 21 until mid-September and has ace ceiling.

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Scouting Anthony Banda, Nick Solak, and Taylor Widener

Below are scouting reports on the prospects who changed hands in the three-team trade on Tuesday night that sent OF Steven Souza, Jr. from Tampa Bay to Arizona and INF Brandon Drury from Arizona to the Yankees.

Prospects Acquired by Rays
Name Position Future Value ETA
Anthony Banda LHP 50 2018
Nick Solak 2B 45 2019
PTBNL — — —
PTBNL — — —

Anthony Banda, LHP
In 2017, Banda struggled at notoriously unforgiving Triple-A Reno, where he posted a 5.39 ERA. He made a spot start in Arizona in July and then was up again in August for a three-start look before he finished the year in the D-backs bullpen. Despite his poor on-paper production in 2017, his stuff remains intact and he profiles as a No. 4 starter. Banda sits 92-95 and will touch 96 with his fastball. He has an above-average changeup that he should probably throw more often and an average curveball in the 77-82 mph range. In light of what’s going on with Tampa Bay right now, he’ll probably exceed rookie limitations in 2017. He’s a 50 FV prospect who appeared within the honorable-mention section of our top-100 list.

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Draft Notes from College Baseball’s Opening Weekend

Both Kiley and I will be posting in-person scouting reports on draft prospects we see throughout the spring. Well, summer and fall, too. Here is my first dispatch from Arizona.

Grand Canyon RHP Jake Wong was on the periphery of our preseason top 30, as scouts pegged him as a second- or third-round prospect entering the year. He dominated top-10-ranked TCU on Friday night, allowing two hits and two walks over six inning, striking out nine.

Wong was 94-96 in the first inning before settling into the 92-94 range, touching 95 here and there throughout the rest of his start. The fastball missed bats up above, and within, the strike zone and induced weak ground-ball contact when located down. It’s a plus fastball and easily Wong’s best pitch.

His secondaries were pretty generic. He has an upper-70s curveball that has some depth to it when located beneath the strike zone, but it lacks bite and he babies it into the zone when he wants to throw it for a strike. His changeup ranged from 84 to 89 mph. He has feel for locating it in competitive locales, and it occasionally has bat-missing movement, but it isn’t consistent right now.

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