Updated Top-10 Prospect Lists: AL East

Below are the updated summer top-10 prospect lists for the orgs in the American League East. I have notes beneath the top 10s explaining why some of these prospects have moved up or down. For detailed scouting information on individual players, check out the player’s profile page which may include tool grades and/or links to Daily Prospect Notes posts in which they’ve appeared this season. For detailed info on players drafted or signed this year, check out our sortable boards.

Baltimore Orioles (Preseason List)

1. Chance Sisco, C
2. D.L. Hall, LHP
3. Ryan Mountcastle, OF
4. Austin Hays
5. Cedric Mullins, OF
6. Cody Sedlock, RHP
7. Keegan Akin, LHP
8. Hunter Harvey, RHP
9. Jomar Reyes, 3B
10. Anthony Santander, OF/1B

Sisco has held serve. He hits and receives well enough to live with his below-average arm in an everyday role behind the plate. Hall has an argument for the top spot. He fell on draft day due to makeup concerns but has a plus fastball/breaking ball combination. Mountcastle, Mullins, and Hays are all having good years and have reinforcing physical tools. Mountcastle’s bat makes his profile stable, the others have approach issues that create risk and bump them below him even though they’re better athletes. Sedlock and Akin are having strike-throwing shortcomings. The rest of the list has been injured. Projectable Colombian righty Jhon Peluffo has an argument for the top 10, as he already has an above-average changeup and flashes an above-average slider, though his delivery draws mixed reviews.

Boston Red Sox (Preseason List)

1. Rafael Devers, 3B
2. Jay Groome, LHP
3. Michael Chavis, 3B
4. Daniel Flores, C
5. Sam Travis, 1B
6. Josh Ockimey, 1B
7. Tanner Houck, RHP
8. Bryan Mata, RHP
9. Cole Brannen, OF
10. CJ Chatham, SS

Chavis is hitting for power and moves up the list as a potential average regular who is close to the majors, one spot ahead of the teenaged Flores, who has huge upside. Chatham has missed much of the year with a hamstring injury, and you could easily replace his name with that of SS Tzu-Wei Lin, as Lin has made substantive changes to his swing and now projects as a high-probability utility man. Twenty four-year old lefty Jalen Beeks has missed bats at Double- and Triple-A this year, but scouts with whom I’ve spoken still consider him likely to be a reliever.

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New York Yankees (Preseason List)

1. Gleyber Torres, SS
2. Clint Frazier, OF
3. Chance Adams, RHP
4. Estevan Florial, OF
5. Justus Sheffield, LHP
6. Dillon Tate, RHP
7. Albert Abreu, RHP
8. Miguel Andujar, 3B
9. Tyler Wade, UTIL
10. Jorge Guzman, RHP

Guzman is sitting 96-100 with relative ease and showing slider feel. Tate and Abreu are dominant at times and wild at others. Florial’s explosive, unpolished physical tools have allowed him to dominate the low minors. Wade and Andujar have made their big-league debuts and project as long-term contributors of some kind. Also of note is 2B Nick Solak, who has reached Double-A in his first full season after hitting .300 with Tampa, and RHP Luis Medina, who is having trouble harnessing his upper-90s lighting in the Appy League.

Tampa Bay Rays (Preseason List)

1. Willy Adames, SS
2. Brent Honeywell, RHP
3. Brendan McKay, LHP/1B
4. Jesus Sanchez, OF
5. Jose DeLeon, RHP
6. Jake Bauers, 1B
7. Wander Franco, SS
8. Lucius Fox, SS
9. Garrett Whitley, OF
10. Josh Lowe, OF

Seven potential top-100 prospects comprise the bulk of a loaded top 10. LHP Resly Linares, who has added some zip to his fastball this year, was also heavily considered. Josh Lowe’s tools are far too special to suddenly abandon despite a poor first full season. OF Justin Williams has close to an .800 OPS at Double-A but gets bumped out simply because of how much blue-chip talent sits atop this farm.

Toronto Blue Jays (Preseason List)

1. Vladimir Guerrero Jr., 3B
2. Anthony Alford, OF
3. Bo Bichette, 2B
4. Teoscar Hernandez, OF
5. Logan Warmoth, SS
6. Sean Reid-Foley, RHP
7. Nate Pearson, RHP
8. Justin Maese, RHP
9. Lourdes Gurriel, UTIL
10. Rowdy Tellez, 1B

Guerrero is one of the best prospects in baseball. Alford was breaking out and made his big-league debut before he broke his hamate. He has had significant injuries each of the last two years (concussion, knee injury, broken hamate), though no recurring ailments. Bichette, of whom I was skeptical as an amateur, moves up because of his freakish feel to hit, which he has carried to the Florida State League. There’s a sizeable gap after him, where things get very crowded. About six players after the top 10 all have arguments for inclusion. Among them is SS Richard Urena, who has started to hit after a bad first few months. C/1B Max Pentecost is hitting in High-A but is already 24 years old.





Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent four years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Info Solutions and two contributing to prospect coverage at ESPN.com. Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.

22 Comments
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TOC
9 years ago

Was Alex Wells (BAL) considered for the list?
10 BB in 125 IP this year, 10.20 SO/W
I know his stuff is average, at best, but at what point does top-notch control from a young player give him prospect clout?

Mario MendozaMember since 2017
9 years ago

Frazier’s plate disclipline has been just attrocious. People are obsessed with the sound his bat makes when he makes contact… and no one seems more obsessed than him.

CliffH
9 years ago
Reply to  Mario Mendoza

He has been seeing a ton of pitches in the zone, though. Has had good discipline in the minors, so I wouldn’t read too much into the low walk rate in a SSS

mattMember since 2023
9 years ago

You are way more qualified than me in this field. But I think hays>Mountcastle by a good bit, Hays has more power, neither walk at all and Hays has actually started making more contact and is a better athlete. Both orioles and Red Sox farm is gross in depth, Boston even with arguably best prospect in baseball have a bottom 10 farm imo. Baltimore bottom 3

TOC
9 years ago
Reply to  matt

It’s very encouraging to see Hays improve from the A+ –> AA promotion.
Hays is also above Mountcastle for me because of his above average defense. I don’t know where you find minor league defensive numbers, but I’ve read that he’s well above average in right and average in CF.
Is Mountcastle’s bat that much better than Hays’ (if at all) to merit the wide divide in defense?

HowBoutDemOsMember since 2019
9 years ago
Reply to  matt

Yeah, I have to say I was a bit confounded by the explanation on Mountcastle (and implicitly against Hays). “Mountcastle’s bat makes his profile stable, the others have approach issues that create risk and bump them below him even though they’re better athletes.” I don’t quite follow why Mountcastle’s bat makes him stable when he shares the same approach issues as others. Perhaps Eric simply doesn’t think he does have approach issues and that it’s just a function of age. It could use some clarification.

Regardless, I to agree that Hays > Mountcastle. Age is a big deal at these levels, of course (how good will Mountcastle be after two more years?). But Hays’s realized power and above average defense (the latter of which Mountcastle lacks) make him pretty intriguing.

Stovokor
9 years ago
Reply to  matt

Mountcastle’s poor D and lack of athleticism are also likely to push him to LF, adding pressure on the bat to perform. Hays is more likely to be a defensive asset at RF or as an acceptable CF. But keep in mind that Mountcastle is a year younger and is supposed to have great bat control.

TOC
9 years ago
Reply to  Stovokor

I feel like as fans we have a difficult time weighing the advantage of a year and a half of development time and specific hitting mechanics/approach scouting vs the numbers we see on paper.
I do think the point about defense is very valid. It gives Hays a strong floor.

banksy91
9 years ago

Danny Jansen should be number 4 for the Jays or at very least in the top 10. I think Hernandez is overrated.

missingpitching
9 years ago
Reply to  banksy91

Agreed on Jansen. Surprised he isnt on this list. Good catch and throw skills. A solid bat and at AAA. Consistency in offensive production this year could be attributed to health and finally getting glasses!
Disagree on Hernandez. Nice tools and profiles as a 20/20 guy in RF. With the defensive ability to play CF and a strong arm.

gabriel
9 years ago
Reply to  banksy91

Jansen is a significant oversight in my opinion too. Terrific contact skills and he’s maintained his production while moving through three levels this year.

TwinPeaks
9 years ago
Reply to  gabriel

Not sure if he’s an oversight – for some reason prospect evaluators don’t seem that high on him. I am wondering if they have seen him in person this year, though. Better health and fixing his vision seem to have done wonders for him, and he’s kept it up all year. .332 BA across 3 levels and more walks than K’s!

Momus
9 years ago

Man… if Guerrero really does come up to the Jays at some point next year that will be some must-see games. I’m actually pretty excited about all 3 of Alford, Bichette, and Guerrero.

Powder Blues
9 years ago
Reply to  Momus

I doubt they’ll rush him. I’m expecting him to make his first appearance in late ’19 if all goes well.

missingpitching
9 years ago

Guerrero is a beast. More walks than K’s and he’s only 18! Sickels last write up (post watching him) had him sticking at 3B.
Bichette’s bat is special. Unorthodox swing and stance. But the bat stays (a ridiculous amount of time) in the zone and his hand eye is so good he adjusts quickly. Maybe he shifts to 2B, but the profile is still top 20 in baseball.

Damaso
9 years ago

danny jansen really needs some love.

pin·botMember since 2016
9 years ago

Jose De Leon link should be playerid=15463

Jays upon my feet
9 years ago

I think Bichette is the clear cut #2 in the Jays’ system. Placing him behind Alford is…odd. I do agree that it’s the top three, then a drop off though.

Leaving Jansen off is an error. Almost has to be an oversight, which is forgivable.

Powder Blues
9 years ago

Alford has better overall tools (besides the bat), and is closer. Bichette’s profile is still risky, despite excellent early success. I’m looking forward to all three, though.

bobr
9 years ago

What has Jose DeLeon done to maintain a number 5 ranking in the Rays system?

shawkr
9 years ago

no love for Borucki?

BringerOfRain316
9 years ago

This would be my top 10 list for the Blue Jays:

1.Vladimir Guerrero Jr
2.Bo Bichette
3.Anthony Alford
4.Danny Jansen
5.Teoscar Hernandez
6.Ryan Borucki
7.Lourdes Gurriel Jr
8.Sean Reid Foley
9.Rowdy Tellez
10.Reese McGuire

Max Pentecost, Logan Warmoth, Thomas Pannone, Justin Maese, TJ Zeuch, Connor Greene, Josh DeGraff, Nate Pearson also had cases to crack into the top 10.