Contract Crowdsourcing 2013-14: Mark Ellis
Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent offseasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating this offseason a contract-crowdsourcing project, the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowds to the end of better understanding the 2013-14 free-agent market.
Note that, this year, in addition to asking readers to estimate the years/dollars each free agent is likely to receive, FanGraphs is also requesting that readers make note of how much they’d pay each free agent were they, themselves, actual GMs.
In this edition: Mark Ellis.
Some relevant information regarding Ellis:
- Has averaged 488 PA and 1.8 WAR over last three seasons.
- Has averaged 2.3 WAR per 600 PA over last three seasons.
- Recorded a 1.8 WAR in 480 PA in 2013.
- Is entering his age-37 season.
- Made $5.3M in 2013, as part of deal signed in 2011.
Using the form below, estimate the years and average annual dollar values both likely and ought to be received by Ellis this offseason.
Other Players: Robinson Cano / Omar Infante / Adam Lind / James Loney / Brian McCann / Mike Napoli / A.J. Pierzynski / Carlos Ruiz / Jarrod Saltalamacchia.
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Whether the Dodgers exercise the mutual option will depend on the postseason results and Ellis’s performance in said postseason. If he performs well, I see them exercising it.
if they sign Guerrero then they’ll pass on Ellis.
I think Hart is a more interesting option here. he was set for a fairly big payday after 2013 but lost it all. He had switched to first base in late 2012, but graded badly there after grading average in the OF. He could be valued quite differently depending on if: a team sees him as a potential capable OFer after the injury; a team wants him as a first baseman where he graded poorly but should be able to be better considering most players don’t lose defensive capability moving to a less demanding position; and how his offense will recover at his age.
If the Dodgers decline, they are nuts. I don’t see them paying 4 outfielders and going with an infield of oft-injured HanRam, Punto, and Uribe.
Punto and Uribe are also Free Agents…
I think Ellis will be back with the Dodgers on the M/O.
As a F/A he’d get 2/5
I’d give him 1/7