Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 1/21/19

12:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Welcome to HolidayChat

12:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: We have a light schedule on the site today, but since I messed up my chat last week, I didn’t want to miss two!

12:03
Soxtober2048: What would a reasonable return be for Joc Pederson from the White Sox?

12:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Let’s see a useful but limited player with two (I think) arb years

12:04
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Maybe one interesting guy somewhere at the back of hte top 150?

12:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Maybe someone like Basabe?

12:05
Birddog: Most realistic targets for the Orioles in free agency?

12:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Nothing hopefully!

12:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I guess they could give out a pillow deal or two

12:06
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Maybe Carter Capps or someone like that?

12:06
LFC Mike: All is right with the world…a Dan chat on Monday!

12:06
Avatar Dan Szymborski: That’s a poor metric for what’s right in the world.

12:06
Birddog: Do you feel more positive about the general direction the Orioles are going? Or is there scepticism still strong as long at Pete Angelos may still have a say…

12:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m much more positive. And The Peter’s voice has weakened considerably.

12:07
tb.25: It was getting a bit chili without our Dan chats

12:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: No beans about it!

12:07
Chris: Moustakas to the Padres?

12:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I still think they gave up on Myers at third too soon.

12:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think you should give up on these types of experiments without even giving it a go in a full spring training

12:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: We can use host avatars now!

12:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Though a GIF didn’t work

12:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: There, I ‘ll just be Andy Reid Taft for this chat

12:09
James: Can the projection systems that use minor league stats be used to project how a big leaguer would do in the minor leagues? And if so could you project a Mike Trout season in the California League?

12:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Would require some reverse engineering, but it’s possible

12:10
Birddog: What are your three top books any baseball nut should read to get a handle on the modern baseball industry?

12:10
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It really depends on what someone is interested in.

12:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: For example, John Helyar’s Lords of the Realm is solid for anyone interested in labor part or Baseball and Billions for the economics

12:11
CamdenWarehouse: I think you’re going to have to face it that Wednesday afternoon chatting is never going to work for you

12:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yeah, i was running ZiPS and I worked right through two

12:11
Chris: Padres really a mystery team in the Machado sweepstakes?

12:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Skeptical

12:11
Chris: What baseball blogs do you read?

12:12
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Generally, I’m all over the place

12:12
Chris: Who is the best Padre in ZiPS this year?

12:12
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Wellt hat’s cheating

12:12
Russell: With Danny Salazar looking likely to report late for Spring Training do you think that finally kills the idea that the Indians would trade Kluber?

12:12
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think they still do it if there’s a benefit. Even without Salazar, I’m not sure that an OF equivalent of Kluber isn’t more valuable than the actual Kluber

12:14
Matt: Dan – can you talk to some important people and make baseball season start?

12:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think important people would rather do the opposite of things I like.

12:14
LFC Mike: A brutally cold day Dan…what is a preferred lunch on a day like this?  best comfort food ?

12:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Whatever I can make without effort!

12:14
CB Bucknor: After this weekend of NFL missed calls I don’t look so bad now do I?

12:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: You’ve got serious Career Value at sucking.

12:15
CamdenWarehouse: Do you predict Moose makes it in this year?

12:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: No. The “private” votes tend to be kinda craptacular

12:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think he ends up around 70% and gets in next year.

12:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It surprises me too, but Larry Walker may actually get in before he falls off, which I did not envision

12:15
Birddog: Where are the two most likely locations for expansion? Where are the two location you want to see MLB expanded to? (Even if it’s not feasible)

12:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I would get Portland and Vegas more likely, I’d want to see a NC team and another team in NY in an ideal world

12:16
Murmur: Which Orlando Arcia will we be closer to in 2019? The unplayable version from the first four months of 2018, or the not terirble

12:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Somehwat better, but there are serious issues.

12:16
Matt: I feel like the way to fix the “problem” that seems like might be emerging with free agency and spending is quite simple. Shorten pre-arb by a year, knock 2 years off of arbitration, lower the minimum salary, and create some incentive to sign a player to a deal that might cover at least those 2 years of arb that I did away with (easier said than done, I get it). Obviously, this type of change can only be made with the players giving something up – as required in all negotiations/compromises – but why is this so difficult to grasp? Pay players closer to their value while they’re producing their value, and thus remove the problem of teams not wanting to over pay/over commit in those later years.

12:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Honestly, the arb numbers aren’t that big, you can’t get *that* much of the pie growth.

12:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again, if players want to see their share go up, there need to be more revenues that are sensitive to a team’s wins or perceived wins

12:17
Chris: What is the best case scenario for the Padres?

12:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Well, everybody’s got a best case scenario over 90 wins. I hate the term best case scenario because there’s no agreement on what percentile a result it’s referring to

12:18
Kevin: Is Rowdy Telliz a legit threat to take away at bats from Justin Smoak?  Is Telliz a legit prospect?

12:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think he’ll take away at bats from Smoak

12:19
Avatar Dan Szymborski: YOu don’t release him or anything, but you’re talking about a guy who, for all intents and purposes, has kinda sucked against AAA pitchers.

12:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Even in the much-better 2018, he’s a guy without much defensive value and a .750ish OPS in AAA isn’t that great, even in the IL as opposed to the PCL

12:21
Kiermaier’s Piercing Green Eyes: “It’s [sic] seems every day now someone is making up a new analytical tool to devalue players, especially free agents.” –Evan Longoria. How common among players do you think that attitude is ? Plenty of players have benefited from chances they got or tweaks they made that they owe to analytics, even if it’s true that no one is paying for the Chris Carters of the world who would have gotten bank in the dark ages.

12:21
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s a frustrating situation

12:21
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s not their job to be analytical about this process really; these are guys that see their friends and colleagues getting a lot less money than they expected and they wonder where they’re going to be

12:22
EJ: What are your thoughts on Odubel Herrera?  Can he regain an everyday role or will Quinn steal some at bats this year?

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Still his job, though he’ll see ABs

12:22
Ron Fowler: How many games do the Padres need to win this year before it’s smart to start spending on them? (Besides Myers and Hosmer, obv)

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: 80?

12:22
Chris: Any way Luis Urias can be a ROY candidate this season?

12:22
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Why not?

12:23
Guest: After an acceptable (but unremarkable) AAA stint followed by a solid MLB debut in ’16, Alex Reyes had a 2017 ZiPS projection of 103+ ERA and 1.8 WAR for ’18.  Real life 2017 was in rehab, and ZiPS followed with a consistent 105+/1.4.  However, another rehab year including four dominant MiLB starts in 2018 now result in a 98+/WAR.  There’s something happenin’ here, what it is ain’t exactly clear.

12:23
Avatar Dan Szymborski: ZiPS gives a bigger penalty for a second injury-filled season than the first. I’d have to run the projections on the exact same build that 2017 ZiPS was projected with to get a comparison

12:24
J Dog: still no wRC+ or FIP- on ZiPS? what gives?

12:24
Avatar Dan Szymborski: We haven’t quite aligned what ZiPS is using for wRC and FIP as FG, so I don’t want to create confusion when the numbers are slightly different.

12:24
Chris: What is Dave Cameron doing now?

12:24
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Working?

12:25
Call Me Willy: What are the odds the MLB adopts some sort of Restricted Free Agency model in lieu of arbitration? 3 years at minimum (salary should probably go up), year 4 RFA, year 5 RFA, year 6 RFA, year 7 full FA. You get to keep the control, but can’t restrict the costs as much, possibly? This model might require any time spent on an MLB roster to equal 1 year of service instead of an accumulation of days, but the ramifications would probably be huge.

12:25
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m not sure it gives much of a benefit.

12:25
Birddog: Mychal Givens will probably traded in July… Should the Orioles move him now to maximize value?

12:25
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Might wait until the last of the interesting relievers is off the market

12:25
Big Joey: Over/Under Judge + Stanton combined 90 HRs in 2019

12:25
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Under

12:25
padsfan1984: any plans for more advanced stats to be available in DMB program? Thanks

12:26
Avatar Dan Szymborski: No idea, would have to ask the DMB guys!

12:26
Big Joey: Does Gerrit Cole take yet another step forward this year? Is he the next Scherzer?

12:26
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think two steps forward of that magnitude would be damned hard.

12:26
Birddog: Doesn’t Adam Jones and the Giants make sense at this point? Other than the Braves, Blue Jays, and Indians, where else may he land?

12:26
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Not particularly. Jones isn’t really a CF and Oracle Park has a BIG frigging outfield

12:27
Avatar Dan Szymborski: In fact, I think SF would be one of the worst destinations for Jones.

12:27
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He’d be more useful somewhere like Cleveland

12:28
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Or Colorado

12:28
Avatar Dan Szymborski: But we know why Colorado won’t happen…

12:28
Avatar Dan Szymborski:

12:29
Dan: What would a reasonable return be for Joc Pederson from the Braves?

Gohara?

12:29
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think Gohara’s a bit steep

12:29
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Though I like Gohara, so maybe I’m biased

12:30
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Maybe someone like Kyle Muller?

12:30
Big Joey: Are you worried about Jose Ramirez’s 2nd half?

12:30
Avatar Dan Szymborski: No

12:30
Rebbie: Any chance the Rangers are the mystery team for Machado?

12:30
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Long shot.

12:30
Paul: Is this the right time for the Padres to make a “big splash”?  Or should they wait for some ML production from their prospects?

12:31
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If it’s a true big splash, like a Machado or Harper, then yeah, you can’t get those guys at any old time

12:31
Avatar Dan Szymborski: But if big splash means just a few mid-market guys, meh.

12:31
Chris: Would you trade senzel?

12:31
Avatar Dan Szymborski: No.

12:32
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Though you could make the argument that the Reds have haplessly got themselves pot committed for 2019.

12:33
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think they’ve hot-shot themselves to an 80-win-ish team, so there’s no value to pushing the rest of the chips

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: They’ve put themselves in a position where to actually finish this OMG LETS GO FOR IT IN 2019, they’re practically forced to either trade a few actual crown jewels

12:34
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Or sit back and watch the rotation improve to mediocre, Puig be overrated, and Kemp getting way too many ABs and canceling out the benefit

12:35
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m not convinced that a 3B-LF-RF combination of Suarez-Kemp-Puig is actually an improvement on Senzel-Suarez-Winker.

12:36
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Now, they could play Winker over Kemp, but I’m not sure they have the guts to do that

12:36
druidiful: Are we having a lighting round this week?

12:36
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Sure

12:36
CamdenWarehouse: Related – Mike Trout in the Pecos League OOTP sim: https://msabr.com/2018/01/28/if-mike-trout-played-the-rest-of-his-care…

12:36
Mandy is 92% Fresh: Is this is the most Padres talk since Kurt Bevacqua?

12:37
Mandy is 92% Fresh: Who ends up as the Royals closer?  Why, yes, this is a vital question.

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I would imagine Peralta

12:37
Big Joey: Does Jesse Winker get full playing time? I love his plate skills

12:37
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I hope so, but the Reds are close to the Rockies than the Astros/Indians in philosophy

12:37
Billy Boy: It’s 2019. Nobody cares about OPS and ERA+

12:38
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Lots of people do.

12:38
Billy Boy: Is there a reason why you refuse to provide BB%, K%, wRC+, FIP-, et al columns in this year’s ZiPS?

12:38
Avatar Dan Szymborski: How many times EVER has OPS+ vs. wRC+ drastically changed how you feel about a player?

12:39
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And ERA+ vs. ERA-, the order stays the same.

12:39
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The exact statistics chosen are fairly meaningless – what the numbers mean is more crucial than what the numbers are and I always choose the simplest measure that gets the job done.

12:39
Mandy is 92% Fresh: Would you have done a strategic HOF vote this year, like skip Rivera or Halladay to vote for somebody who might slip off the ballot?

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yes. I would not have voted for Rivera.

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And since I’d vote at the end to take advantage of information, I wouldn’t vote for Halladay either.

12:40
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If fault is assigned for them not being on the ballot, I see it as a fault of the Hall’s design.

12:41
Joe Panik at the Disco: Does ZiPS still see Joe Panik as a 3-WAR player?

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Well now you’re just cheating

12:41
Matt: Pause the chat Dan. I’m gonna go grab lunch. I’ll be back in 20 or so…I’ll let you know when you can start it back up.

12:41
Joe West MLB Umpire: I look pretty good as well after this weekend……and please buy my albums  “Blue Cowboy” and “Diamond Dreams” at your nearest flea market.

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: West wouldn’t even have admitted the call was wrong

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He’d double down

12:41
Avatar Dan Szymborski: and hold grudges against everybody forever

12:42
Avatar Dan Szymborski:

12:42
Avatar Dan Szymborski: At this point, I have obnoxious images for most situations

12:42
Danny: Any hint at which team’s ZIPS release are next?

12:42
Avatar Dan Szymborski: One of the teams that hasn’t gone yet!

12:44
Guy from that show: It was -46 Celsius so -51 Fahrenheit. Warm me up with a wicked baseball factoid

12:44
Avatar Dan Szymborski: This was a patented baseball thing for catchers.

12:44
Avatar Dan Szymborski:

12:44
Broken Bat: Do see the Twins having a potent offense in 2019? To me they have some various pathways to their lineup that is not dependent just on Buxton, or Sano coming to forecasts a few seasons ago. Pitching, seemingly is trailing the offense but they seem to have advanced closer to Indians. Thoughts?

12:45
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I think they’re middle of the pack. I expected them to be more aggressive in free agency than they have been

12:45
Kiermaier’s Hallux Valgus: Any update and additional love for my teammate Brent Honeywell for 2019?

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Last I heard on Honeywell, he was throging bullpens

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: throwing

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: throging?

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: g isn’t even next to w

12:46
Jordan: Do you think there’s any chance the Pirates enter the market for some of the remaining mid-tier FA left? Moustakas seems like he’d make a lot of sense as an upgrade over Colin Moran.

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I just don’t think Moustakas is all that good

12:46
UofIx3: Why doesn’t the union or MLB leadership do something about how relief pitchers are used up and spit out?  I think of someone like Mike Matheny who was nicknamed the Meatgrinder.

12:46
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m not sure how you fix that honestly

12:47
Danny: What are your thoughts on what Lamet looks like when/if he returns this year?

12:47
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Probably similar to how he looked before, but a year older. I guess he could change his beard.

12:47
CamdenWarehouse: What position would Jones play in Colorado? Catcher?

12:47
Avatar Dan Szymborski: LF hopefully

12:47
Barbara Booey: What do you think of Kris Bryant this season? Ramifications of his shoulder injury?

12:48
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m cuatiously optimistic after a winter of recovery. But there is some risk.

12:48
Matt: Ok, Dan. I’m back. You can resume the chat.

12:48
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Thgere was no way that was 20 minutes

12:48
Not Mean But Regressing: I can’t imagine how much less interest I would have in baseball if a single team had been as successful as the Patriots have been for the last almost 20 years – ESPECIALLY if that team was in the same division as my team. Do you think the Patriots are a good argument for sports leagues to strive for parity?

12:48
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s kinda weird, so many pundits complain about MLB’s parity and then worship the NFL

12:49
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And NFL has that built in equalizer of injuries being more severe

12:49
an idiot: Why doesn’t this work?Blue jays sign Machado for his asking price, Guirrelle plays second, Manny gets to play 2nd and Vlad gets to play third until eventually Manny moves back to third and Vlad over to 1st.

12:49
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Well, the Blue Jays probably don’t want to pay it.

12:49
Ray Kinsella: Is it weird that I immediately think of Shawn Kemp rather than Matt? I wonder what the Reign Man is up to these days.

12:49
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I also think of Shawn Kemp first

12:50
Bill: Relevant for incentivising winning

12:50
Not Mean But Regressing: What is the most under-rated percussive instrument for rock drummers?

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: xylophone

12:50
Avatar Dan Szymborski: What other instrument instantly evokes skeletons?

12:51
Matt: When FG eventually folds ZiPS into Depth Charts projections, I know they manually adjust playing time. But beyond that, is it an average of ZiPS/Steamer? Manual picking & choosing? Different or uniform across players?

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I believe it’s an average

12:51
Tony Schiavone:

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Tony Skee-a-vone!

12:51
Mandy is 92% Fresh: Do not look throging up on urban dictionary

12:51
Avatar Dan Szymborski: oh god

12:52
Avatar Dan Szymborski: OK, it’s not a thing. You sir/ma’am (probably sir) are a liar.

12:52
Mandy is 92% Fresh: Wouldn’t baseball be better if instead of the catcher throwing the ball back to the pitcher, there was an underground ball return like in bowling?  We could call it the Mackey Sasser.

12:52
Avatar Dan Szymborski: If you want to reduce strikeout rates, make the pitchers hold all the baseballs

12:52
Avatar Dan Szymborski: They have to go out to the mound with a backpack full of baseballs.

12:53
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And if they run out of baseballs, the batters gets a ball called for every additional ball the pitcher needs to get through the inning

12:53
Avatar Dan Szymborski: OK, terrible idea, but is it any worse than starting an extra inning with a magic runner ons econd?

12:53
CamdenWarehouse: Do you think MLB and it’s TV affiliates were paying attention to the response to Romo? Will it make a difference?

12:54
Avatar Dan Szymborski: No doubt they’ll say “You know what Tony Romo proves? Sabermetrics are terrible and all color guys should be recently retired players. CALL UP A.J. PIERZYNSKI!”

12:54
Matt: It was 11 minutes, Dan. And you couldn’t even help a brotha out with a chat-pause. Selfish.

12:54
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I never said I was a hero.

12:54
Birddog: Where will Curtis Granderson be flying to in mid February?

12:54
Avatar Dan Szymborski: In a plane?

12:54
Shawn Kemp: I’m planting my seed somewhere or lookin’ for rock.

12:54
Blake: Does the current Angels roster have enough to get Trout to October?

12:54
Avatar Dan Szymborski: They can, but they need some things to break their ways

12:54
LFC Mike: Steak-umms..the “umms” to me represents..”umm do I want to eat this? What  is it?”                                                          whereas Steak-mmms..means “mmm it is good.” You should contact their marketing department ASAP.

12:55
Purple Mays Haze: If a batter was told exactly what pitch is coming (including intended location) such as “slider, down and away on the black” or “4 seamer, at the letters”, whose pitch would STILL have the lowest wOBA?

12:55
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Knuckler?

12:55
Irrational Man: Is Scott Schebler a capable CF or should the Reds get someone better?

12:55
Avatar Dan Szymborski: He’s been suprisingly non-terribad. I’d want a fourth outfielder that can play CF well.

12:55
Blake: I know you aren’t a fan of sir Ausmur. Will he be the one holding LAA back?

12:56
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Not really. He’ll give away more games at the margins, but in fairness — and I haven’t always been fair — he’s still young for a manager and could learn in a different environment

12:56
Larry Hutz: A 4th OF who can play CF well? Isn’t that Billy Hamilton?

12:57
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The whole thing was weird. You stick with Hamilton for so long and only now, when you want to have a risk-averse OHMUHGERD LETS GO FOR IT YEAR you don’t pay a few millionf or his glove?

12:57
AJ: Berrios or Buehler?

12:57
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Buehler

12:57
scottz: Where do you suppose Keuchel ends up? Most likely/in the mix/long shot

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: There aren’t a lot of strong connections for where he WILL go, at least that have leaked yet

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’d like to see the Brewer or Angels bring him in

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: s

12:58
EVCinNYC: Rumors today of Dodgers talking with Pirates about acquiring Marte to fit their right-handed batter needs; he’s healthier than Pollock, doesn’t cost a pick, but probably costs Verdugo.  Worth it despite the PED history?

12:58
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think the Dodgers do it if it requires verdugo.

12:59
Ronnie: UZR seems to spit out a narrower spread of player values, while DRS appears to have a wider range of player outcomes from top to bottom. Do you think one or the other is “more right” in their assessment or that the truth is somewhere inbetween?

12:59
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s hard to say since you never get told what the truth is. I suspect the DRS measures are a bit high on the magnitude side

1:00
Chuncey Wiggins: What is the juiciest industry insight/rumor/development that you were privy to before it became known publicly?

1:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I kinda knew about the Lucchino/Epstein friction before it was commonly known and didn’t realize until later what I had stumbled on at the time.

1:02
Guest: What’s with all the sarcastic answers today? Is it the cold or working on a holiday?

1:02
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It’s the Dan Szymborski chat.

1:02
CamdenWarehouse: I read that as Burritos or Buehler and was surprised by your answer

1:02
Kris: if you are Mark Reynolds and you don’t get a major league offer this year, do you go take millions to play in Korea?

1:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I would. He would rock the KBO if he’s not too old

1:03
Jerry: Are you surprised that San Diego hasn’t been connected to Kyle Seager in trade rumors?

1:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Not really, he’s got that same decline as Headley and the team had no interest in playing him much

1:03
Shoe: Are you buying into Adalberto Mondesi’s 2nd half breakout, or was it a product of late-season baseball and some luck?

1:03
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’m buying it, but I’m not taking a secured loan for the funds

1:04
Matt: Berrios or Mikolas?

1:04
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Berrios

1:04
Fave Dave: Assuming the Cubs FO isn’t being facetious when they say they won’t go after any big free agents, why do you think they refuse to spend despite their window closing?

1:04
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t think they’re being honest, actually.

1:04
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Don’t believe anything you hear from anyone connected in baseball if they have a real incentive to lie.

1:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: OK, I’ve gotten some requests for it, so we’ll do Lightning Round.

1:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: The rules for the Lightning Round are simple, I must answer every off-topic question, with the exception of particular ones I can choose not to (very personal, work-related, politics), regardless of whether I have any knowledge of or insight into the topic.

1:05
Avatar Dan Szymborski: GO

1:05
CamdenWarehouse: cat update?

1:06
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I’ve been playing fetch with Cassiopeia for about 45 minutes with her hedgehog (Hedge Fund) that turned up last week after being missing for like a month.

1:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Mercutio is on an upstairs couch sleeping in the sun, Galileo was sleeping in one of the guest bedrooms at last check and I have to give him his prednisone after this chat.

1:07
LFC Mike: back to the Steak-umms  vs. Steak-mmms battle. Where am I wrong?

1:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I would imagine it’s yumms with the y chopped off for awkwardness

1:07
JKim: Scotch or Bourbon?

1:07
Avatar Dan Szymborski: bourbon easily

1:08
Kyle: are you a wrestling podcast fan?

1:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: don’t really have the bandwidth, though I’m a wrestling fan

1:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: My reading will mostly be twitter or whatever Scott Keith is mad about

1:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I still have one of his old VHS tapes of Netcop Busts that had the most cringey moments like the WCW Rape Mummy

1:08
Mandy is 92% Fresh: Bruce Springsteen pulls you onto the stage — do you dance?

1:08
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I don’t dance.

1:08
AT: Rom coms or Zombie flicks?

1:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Uggh. Zombies

1:09
druidiful: Do you still play World of Warcraft at all?

1:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yes

1:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Thought Battle for Azeroth has lost my interest at present time and I’m mopping up some old stuff in FFXIV before the expansion

1:09
EVCinNYC: Better burrito: Taco Bell vs. Chipotle

1:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Latter

1:09
Matt: Real talk: What are the chances that our reality is actually something similar to the Matrix?

1:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: 10%

1:09
EVCinNYC: crossword or scrabble

1:09
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Crossword

1:10
Mandy is 92% Fresh: Favorite Paul Rudd movie?

1:10
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I love you man

1:10
Fave Dave: Which is more unbearable: extreme heat or extreme cold?

1:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Assuming we’re talking normal realistic extremes (not like -300 or 5000 or something), extreme heat

1:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I walked over to Mom’s yesterday and dug out her driveway in gym shorts and a light jacket.

1:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: (it was 12 degrees)

1:11
Avatar Dan Szymborski: But put me in a humid 95 degree day and I’ve got swamp everything.

1:12
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And it was like this when I was thinner, too.

1:12
jake: you ever play settlers of catan?

1:12
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Yes

1:13
Matt: On a scale of 1 to Potato, how blue is 3

1:13
Avatar Dan Szymborski: ©

1:13
Beef: Not a question. Skyline Chili stinks. Happy Monday.

1:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Truth

1:14
HebrewHammer: Have you tried the Nasomi server for FFXI?

1:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: No.

1:14
CamdenWarehouse: Crossword because you don’t need friends to do it?

1:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Harder to get friends together for games and stuff.

1:14
Avatar Dan Szymborski: My brother-in-law is a huge board game nerd, on Keith-level, but he’s been playing with the same guys for 20 years and I don’t want to intrude on t hat.

1:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Most of my friends have kids and stuff while I’m a weirdo without kids who will die alone and slightly loved!

1:15
Matt: Anyone who chooses Chipotle over Q’doba is a fascist. This is a proven fact.

1:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: It was vs. Taco Bell though

1:15
druidiful: What good books have you read recently?

1:15
Avatar Dan Szymborski: I haven’t read anything for a couple of months.

1:15
LFC Mike: Greatest wrestling heel of all time?

1:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Dibiase

1:16
Mandy is 92% Fresh: throging or chili with beans?

1:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Throging

1:16
YKnotDisco?!: Metroid or Contra? (NES)

1:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Contra, I’m never big on future scenarios

1:16
GSon: Ready Player One: Are you Nolan or Z?

1:16
Avatar Dan Szymborski: z

1:17
YKnotDisco?!: “Back in 2 N 2” or “Reminding you to get your dogs spade and neutered”?

1:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: latter

1:17
GSon: What you’d be yelled at by your mom the most: Running with scissors or running with a knife (poker yer eye out)?

1:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: scissors

1:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: My mom taught me and my friends how to stab someone under their rib cage

1:17
Mandy is 92% Fresh: “Solo” or the other Spiderman (with one with the guy who is not the new one or Tobie Maguire)?

1:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Hmmk probably solo

1:17
EVCinNYC: Fangraphs ad just targeted me with PediaSure Grow & Gain ad from Amazon, and I haven’t had infants in years – your favorite baby formula?

1:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Whatever doesn’t have broccoli

1:17
YKnotDisco?!: Russo doing HH or “Put it on the board, YES!” on loop while trying to sleep? (TV on MAX – no earplugs, etc.)

1:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: latter

1:17
EVCinNYC: Preferred Crossword: NYTimes or USA Today

1:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: times

1:17
YKnotDisco?!: The best that never was?

1:17
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Dynamite Kid

1:18
Mandy is 92% Fresh: “Goofus and Gallant” or “Timbertoes”?

1:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: G&G

1:18
Matt: Why must you assume my Chipotle statement was in any reference to prior Chipotle statements?

1:18
Matt: Hey Dan – you should sing solo. So low no one can hear you. HAH!

1:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski:

1:18
Beef: Batman is..?

1:18
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Bruce Wayne

1:19
Syd the kyd: How much pressure is on the Lakers and Celtics now?

1:19
Avatar Dan Szymborski: There’s a ton!

1:19
Fave Dave: Pats vs Rams

1:19
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Root Rams, Pats will win

1:19
Avatar Dan Szymborski: CAUGHT UP

1:19
Avatar Dan Szymborski: And so ends our amiable concordance.

1:20
Avatar Dan Szymborski: Thanks for coming everyone! Read my stuff or I’ll call the police. See you guys next week!

1:20
Matt: 14.7 psi. That’s how much pressure. Assuming both cities are at roughly sea level

We hoped you liked reading Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 1/21/19 by Dan Szymborski!

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Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.

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