Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 1/28/21

Dan Szymborski: And hello!

Dan Szymborski: Welcome to a so-far uneventful Thursday!

@gallen27: Going along with the current stock market theme, what player do you think teams are shorting but you think should be picked up for high upside?

Dan Szymborski: Call me crazy, but I still like Odorizzi

brad penny for your thoughts: do you find it weird you have a wikipedia article?

Dan Szymborski: Yes. It’s a bit annoying since it’s a decade out of date too; it’s literally before I worked for ESPN!@

Dan Szymborski: I won’t update it — I’m against self-editing Wiki pages as a matter of principle — but it’s still annoying.

Big Joey: If there isn’t MiLB this year, are the Rays forced to promote Franco, as to not waste another year of his development?

Dan Szymborski: I think *if* that happened, Ithe Rays would eventually

Dan Szymborski: I expect there to be minor league ball

Big Joey: What’s your guess as to when Wander Franco will debut?

Dan Szymborski: right now, I’d say August

JJ: Padres apparently have an offer on the table to Wainwright? Do they just think starting pitching is this year’s market opportunity or did Peter Seidler sell his $GME yesterday?

Dan Szymborski: Let’s see rivals complete their rotations when the Padres have a 27-man rotation!

Appa Yip Yip: How do you feel about the Yankees pitching strategy of lining up a series of glass cannons and seeing which ones don’t explode when fired?

Dan Szymborski: Given the high probability of making the playoffs, it’s not a bad one.

Bring Back Mookie (and Jeff): Dan, the rest of you need to get on Ben’s level with his titles and short blurbs. He’s smoking you.

Dan Szymborski: Ben’s good at them!

Dan Szymborski: But Ima still the best at making AI generate baseball clickbait headlines!

Dan Szymborski:

George: Is the Nats bullpen actually going to be good this season? Hand, Harris, Hudson, Rainey, Suero, Finnegan actually feels almost good.

Dan Szymborski: It’s still a very average group.

Dan Szymborski: Everyone looks good before you consider injuries.

Dan Szymborski: Well, not everyone

Dan Szymborski: But you get the idea.

George: Robles or Kieboom breakout this season? Which do you think is more likely?

Dan Szymborski: Kieboom

Paul D: Does handed-mess of a lineup actually matter?  (Thinking of the Jays who will be heavily right handed.  Does that actually mater?

Dan Szymborski: In the big picture, it doesn’t really matter. There are tactical differences, but you’re rarely actually in the position where you have a lefty and an equally desirable righty and you have to choose between exactly one of them

D: Is there anything the Red Sox can do at this point to make themselves contenders? Seems like they’ve punted 2021.

Dan Szymborski: Steamer likes them! They’ll need good luck with Sale and injuries generally

Cory: Which transaction, so far, do you think has had the most impact on the MLB?

Dan Szymborski: Lindor

Jefferson: I’m trying to understand your wise Zips mechanics. I love the concept of not projecting playing time, it makes for far more interesting and informative numbers. But where exactly do the PAs come from, and why wouldn’t everyone just get projected at 600 PAs? Is Zips saying a full time Julio Rodriguez would only get 422 PAs because of injury? Where does that 422 come from

Dan Szymborski: Historical PAs plus position plus age plus injury history

D: Who won the Ottavino trade?

Dan Szymborski: Ottavino likely. The Yankees seemed like they had pretty much given up on using him in high-leverage situations

Erik: Given the strength of the NL East, do you see this current Phillies core winning even a single division title before they tear things down? They’re basically all-in given that they don’t have much left in the minors yet they’re still projecting as nothing close to a playoff team.

Dan Szymborski: As of right now? No.

Dan Szymborski: There’s still time for them to do more, but good free agents are rapidly coming off the board.

Dan Szymborski: Projection systems would differ but signing Realmuto *and* Springer would have still left them third in ZiPS

Dan Szymborski: The Phillies need a lot more than they think; they’re not really on the edge of awesomeness.

Jefferson: Also, thank you for the chats. Yours are by far my favorite each week

Dan Szymborski: I BET IMA GONNA FIND YOU TELLING EVERYONE THIS, LIKE CAVE DAMERON

Tim Tebow’s Thunder Thighs: If you have a stew of meat, peppers and beans with the appropriate seasonings, but remove the beans, is it now chili?  Or has the fibrous occupation of said legumes rendered the entire pot inedible?

Dan Szymborski: I’m not sure, I’ve never really thought about how much the beans would affect it just cooked in

Dan Szymborski: I’m not sure if food is necessarily an endstate thing or not.

Dan Szymborski: Like a ham sandwich is probably still a ham sandwich even if you had a hot dog sit on the sandwich, temporarily making it a non-sandwich, while you were getting ham out of the fridge

Tim Tebow’s Thunder Thighs: Is there a brand of canned chili you find acceptable?  Are you more of a Hormel or Wolfgang Puck type?  Personally, I prefer my Hormel at room temperature, eaten straight from the can.

Dan Szymborski: Eww

Doug: Do you think Griffin Canning could potentially get Sonny Gray from the Reds?

Dan Szymborski: Not alone, but I could see him being part of a package

Inaccessible Rail: With the Mets shedding Matz payroll, can I now add Bauer to the 40-man roster?

Dan Szymborski: He’ll have to get funding approval from Thicc Dads Club and the rest of Reddit!

Guest: Is the realmuto signing reflected on the Phillies 2021 projections?  What do you think they should do about LF after this year once McCutchen’s contract expires?

Dan Szymborski: Yup, the projections contain Realmuto

Dan Szymborski: As for next year, let’s see who is actually a free agent after next year!

Dan Szymborski: One of the better scenarios would be Bohm hitting so well you can justify him in left and the Phillies signing an opted-out Arenado

Guest: Yankees have all their eggs in the A-team basket; Sale and/or Rodriguez coming back strong would really boost the Red Sox. By the end of the year, do you think the top 4 in that division will be separated by 4 or 5 games, or by 10 or 15 games?

Dan Szymborski: 4 or 5. The Yankees do have some downside

Jefferson: How does Zips like amed Rosario in CF?

Dan Szymborski: Dunno, but I can run it next time it’s open

Rodney: ZiPS seems to believe in the 2019 breakout we saw from Marcus Semien. Even his 10th percentile outcome would be playable for the Jays. What outcome do you think is most likely for him this year?

Dan Szymborski: I’m a bit more pessimistic than ZiPS, but it’s mainly on gut

Rob: How much you losing on gamestonk today?

Dan Szymborski: I’m entertained by the stonk market here, but I stay out of things this volatile.

Dan Szymborski: 20 years ago, I would have been all over this kind of thing

Dan Szymborski: But I have zero stomach for it these days

Dan Szymborski: at some point, you knew the volatility was going to go down and Ida started pondering a straddle, but this is way more fun as an observer

Appa Yip Yip: An underrated aspect of the Springer and Semien signings is that the Jays are now an exceptionally attractive team. Just a whole lot of good looking dudes having fun, playing ball in a particularly flattering shade of blue.

Dan Szymborski: Based on my girlfriend’s reaction to players, I do not understand very well which players are attractive

Dan Szymborski: Or it could just be she has very poor taste

Eddie Waitkus: Does ZiPS take into account offseason physical improvements? I understand the data may be spotty in terms of correlating body changes with performance; however, it’s difficult to look at Vladito and not think that he’s going to improve.

Dan Szymborski: No

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS works where there’s objective data

Big Joey: What’s more likely? Wander Franco has multiple seasons batting over .350 or never has a wRC+ over 130?

Dan Szymborski: The latter

Dan Szymborski: Ichiro hit .350 four times, but .352 was his second best and it was a league that hit .270

Dan Szymborski: and he can still be a STAR without over going over 130

Tim Tebow’s Thunder Thighs: Of the remaining free agents, who do you see as most likely to take a 1 year pillow deal?  Would Ozuna do it again with another team, unwittingly becoming the mercenary Bauer touted himself as just a couple years ago?

Dan Szymborski: Paxton for sure. Maybe Joc

Appa Yip Yip: The Jays and Mets making a trade this year is offseasonception. What do you think of Matz? Seems like a weird target for the Jays.

Dan Szymborski: The Jays could use the depth

resumeman: What do you think of Luis Arraez? Think he’ll be a solid bat?

Dan Szymborski: Yes. He’s a better player than Polanco

Dagin: After the Mets moved off of Matz last night in the trade with the Jays, I’m starting to think it was to move some money around for a potential Bauer deal and keep them under the luxury tax. Thoughts?

Dan Szymborski: Seems a likely scenario

Zach: Opinion on retail brokers halting trade for certain stocks?

Dan Szymborski: From a *do I like it* standpoint, I don’t. If it had been a few billionaire techbros causing this instead of redditors, I don’t think they do it.

Dan Szymborski: But from a *are they entitled to do it* standpoint, there’s no reason to object.

Dan Szymborski: I can speak ill of the consistency of twitter’s policy enforcement without denying they have a fundamental right to police in an unfair manner.

Dan Szymborsnowboard: How much does Zips use statcast for hitting & pitching?  Any adjustments to account for the weird 20 in the 21 projections?

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS uses statcast data to better set a baseline

Dan Szymborski: as for 20, the main adjustment is that the results are likely to be worse

Nate: Do you expect O’Day’s production to be roughly similar to Ottavino’s?

Dan Szymborski: Probably

Dan Szymborski: but they’re relievers so they’re volatile!

LB: What do you make of the potential Amed Rosario-to-Reds conversation? His juxtaposed combo of prospect pedigree, mostly subpar play, and entry into the arb system makes for very odd considerations of his trade value

Dan Szymborski: I mean, it’s fine, but not sure why the Reds bother if they’re so determined to dump more of their starters and maybe Suarez

Dan Szymborski: It’s a bit like selling your car to buy a garage

MiLB Devolution: What happens if you go to a vegan restaurant and they have chile on the menu?

Dan Szymborski: WAIT WHY AM I AT THIS RESTAURANT

Guest: Why do some equate “wanting to win” with “overpaying free agents”?

Dan Szymborski: Because at some point, it’s the only practical way to improve

Dan Szymborski: Make the Phillies win 92 games without signing anyone

Dan Szymborski: I’ll hang on the line.

Nate: Any reason you stopped doing the tv songs? I was hoping for step by step…

Dan Szymborski: No reason really. The joke was probably less amusing to you guys and there was a holiday layoff

Carl: Given that they are combined on the Depth Charts on here, what do you think about the Steamer projection system, and the ways they differ from ZiPS? I’ve seen their pitching projections project my entire teams staff to be worse (in most cases significantly so) than their career numbers, for three years straight now, for example. Would seem to me they regress players to the mean harder than most other systems, or is it something else to it?

Dan Szymborski: It’s a really hard question to answer because I *don’t* run Steamer, so I can’t authoritatively talk about how it works.

Dan Szymborski: But it’s a fine projection system!

Dan Szymborski: Hell, according to at least one person, I can’t even authoritatively talk about MY projection system!

Dan Szymborski:

Mad Joe-Don: I’m updating your wikipedia page now. Not to spoil anything but I think someone will enjoy the sandwich section.

Dan Szymborski: oh lord, maybe i should not have posted that question!

Barrett: Dan, if $NOK doesn’t go to the moon, can I work for you?

Dan Szymborski: Wait, are the redditors going nokia now?

blackcoffee: Are writers too critical of front offices? It’s pretty easy to write an article while sitting at your desk saying so and so team should sign this guy or whatever when in reality it’s MUCH more complicated than that. Or am I misguided and it’s mostly owners that they’re critical of.

Dan Szymborski: I don’t know generally. Some writers I’d say aren’t critical enough.

Dan Szymborski: In my case, it’s my job to be critical

Erik: I find it wild that while two of the big three young phenoms (Soto and Tatis) earned ZiPS comps to Ted Williams and A-Rod, the third (Acuna) was comped to…Jose Canseco? How much is that me being too young to know enough about early-career Canseco and how much is that ZiPS saying that Acuna is really nowhere near the same level as the other two?

Dan Szymborski: I think the former

Dan Szymborski: Canseco was UNBELIEVABLY good in the late 80s

Eminor3rd: Ok be honest, how pumped are you at the potential of a Tanaka/Norimoto/Kishi/Wakui/Shiomi/Takinaka rotation to start the season for the Eagles? Keeping in mind that the rookie phenom Hayakawa will hopefully be knocking on the door for a spot by midseason. It’s a rotation that comes with significant injury risk, but I feel a lot better about Ishibashi/Fujihira/Fukui as depth/replacements than as back-end anchors. It’s crazy how much better that rotation looks by adding Tanaka!

I’m kidding, I know no one cares about NPB, but you all should!

Dan Szymborski: I care!

Dan Szymborski: Tanaka going back there is huge

brad penny for your thoughts: will the NL central champ have a winning record?

Dan Szymborski: Yes.

Kyler: Wanted to tell you that I recently became a cat owner and I love it. Never thought a creature would bring so much joy. Cats are funny animals. She keeps us laughing!

Glenn Danszymborski: are there any statistical qualities from 2020 that ZiPS finds particularly credible?

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS is quite sure that the games played in 2020 are an accurate accounting

Moonlight Graham: Do you think Tanaka will make his way back to the MLB in the future?

Dan Szymborski: I dunno. Has anyone actually come here from NPB twice?

Dan Szymborski: My guess would be no

Erik: Can you think of any recent analogs to this Phillies team? I can’t remember the last team that spent so much while still being nowhere close to truly contending.

Dan Szymborski: There’s the angels!

Jeb: Sorry if this is easy – where I can I find an aggregated, league-wide 2021 ZIPS driven playoff probability table?

Dan Szymborski: Oh, I’ll probably do a full public run at spring training open

Dan Szymborski: and, of course, before the season

Guest: If the Phillies make the playoffs it’s because _______ took a surprising step forward

Dan Szymborski: the entire outfield

Guest: Is Fangraphs going to join the bandwagon and become a gambling website?

Dan Szymborski: STONKGRAPHS

A big dumb idiot: How close does ZiPS see the AL East race now?

Dan Szymborski: It hasn’t changed a TON since the Springer piece.

Dan Szymborski:

Dan Szymborski: oops

Dan Szymborski: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-jays-put-a-springer-in-their-step/

Matt: When do you predict you’ll attend your next live baseball game?

Dan Szymborski: June

Dan Szymborski: I’m not going until I have two shots hanging out and chillin’ in my blood

onomatopoeia: Any exciting methodology changes for ZiPS 2021?

Dan Szymborski: Nothing dramatic

Dan Szymborski: Though I took batter percentiles out of beta

Royals Fan: Can KC sign Joc instead of a cheaper outfielder?

Dan Szymborski: It would be in line with what they think they’re doing

Don Von Handburger: Will Canada let me in for vacation this summer?

Dan Szymborski: maybe the fall

Appa Yip Yip: Dan, the WRONG people are manipulating the stock market. This is an all hands on deck scenario. First they came for the hedge funds…

Dan Szymborski: Pretty much.

Dan Szymborski: You guys have probably gleaned by now that I’m a big fan of free markets and I’m not a skeptic simply concern trolling. But a free market means that it’s a free market for EVERYONE and for the bad as well as the good

Don Von Handburger: How long does it take to build up tolerance for hot sauce?

Dan Szymborski: Can you build up a tolerance?

tz: Which AI generated baseball clickbait headline is most likely to become the headline to an actual FanGraphs article?

Dan Szymborski: I Need Some Injury Statistics Please

Dan Szymborski: Actually had the AI write the Anthony Rizzo and David Ross Realize They Live in the Same Town

Dan Szymborski:

Captain Moonlight: a sympathetic reader has apparently updated your wiki during this very chat

Dan Szymborski: Afraid to look

Dan Szymborski: Last time you guys edited it, someone added “he is a bad man with terrible opinions”

Don Von Handburger: “garage” Ooh, la-di-da, Mr. French man!

Dan Szymborski: OK, the carhole

EbenezerBatflip: David Ortiz first round HoF? 2nd round? Projections on how long it will take voters to vote him in?

Dan Szymborski: I think he’ll get in

RIP Hammer: Hi Dan – Thanks for all the work you do!  I could be wrong, but it seems like some players have ZiPs projections for three years under the “ZiPS Three Year Projections” section on their player page, and some (most) have one year. Is there rhyme or reason to that, and is there a way to find three years worth of projections other than on the player page?  Thanks again!

Dan Szymborski: They’re not up yet!

EbenezerBatflip: Do you think Sale will return to form in late 2021, 2022, ever?

Dan Szymborski: It’s possible, but it’s a gamble

Curtis: Why is the HOF seemingly balking at Schilling’s request to be taken off the ballot next year?

Dan Szymborski: For the lulz?

Dan Szymborski: More seriously, I dont’ think they want a situation where they start letting players decide whether or not they’re on the list.

George: Keith Law’s top 100 prospect list on the Athletic came out today without a single Nat and it got me thinking. How much correlation is there actually between number of ranked prospects and future team wins? I known good players=good team, but with the randomness + ability to add in FA how different are Farm System rankings from win totals in the 3-5 years following those rankings?

Dan Szymborski: It’s complicated, simply because having good prospects doesn’t mean a team can use them properly.

Dan Szymborski: See Colorado

Don Von Handburger: Speaking of the Phillies, does Mr. Hoskins pronounce his first name like Rice Krispies or Reese’s Pieces?

Dan Szymborski: Presumably Reese

Dan Szymborski: Though I haven’t heard him say his own name

Dan Szymborski: For all I know, he might call himself REEZ Hopkins

Dan Szymborski: And it’s awful to say in Welsh

Dan Szymborski: Because the Welsh have even wackier letter pronunciations that eastern europeans

Dan Szymborski: Szymborski is a horror in polish

Oh No: Know where a guy can find some 1099 forms?

Dan Szymborski: irs.gov?

Todd Bonzalez: How did this reddit post make you feel? (From after they introduced the new quest system)

Dan Szymborski: Uggh

Dan Szymborski: You shouldn’t donate any money to Wikimedia Foundation. At all. Ever.

Dan Szymborski: The board is a dumpster fire.

Christopher, Guest: Steve Cohen ponying up some spare change for shares in a hedge fund that is probably not going under is nowhere near a Tillman Frittata situation, and you know that.The idea of redditors making money at the expense of hedge funds is fine and funny, but continuing to spuriously tie it to the fate of the Mets is lame and lazy.

Dan Szymborski: WE HAVING FUN

Dan Szymborski:

Dan Szymborski: “Actually, Dan, Joe Maddon never assaulted Clayton Kershaw with a table.”

Im Gonna Sound Stupid: Dan, are you really the developer of ZiPS, or are you just pretending? Does “Steve” have some insight??

Dan Szymborski: Steve’s no longer with us. Don’t investigate truths that could be dangerous!

EbenezerBatflip: Any chances for Casas, Jeter Downs or Jarren Duran to make their MLB debuts in 2021?

Dan Szymborski: I think so

Appa Yip Yip: Yes. Your body develops a tolerance for capsaicin. The more spicy food you eat, the spicier you can handle. People in some south Asian countries can legit just eat a plate of roasted chili peppers.

Don Von Handburger: Is a hedge fund inherently more “evil” than some other kind of fund?  It seems like it’s become a catch-all boogeyman for people who don’t even know what a hedge fund is?

Dan Szymborski: I don’t really believe in “evil” in this context

Dan Szymborski: But I do like arrogant people getting some bit of comeuppance

Moose_Bolton: You can absolutely build a tolerance to hot sauce in my experience. I was eating Jalapeno and Habanero hot sauces last year and am on Ghost Pepper and some Reaper sauces now. Do you have any favorite hot sauces?

Dan Szymborski: I wasn’t being sarcastic, I actually didn’t know the extent to which you do this

Dan Szymborski: I figured that it was something you could maybe build up when you were young, but not something you could “train” later on

Nipple Dipper: Dan. Bear with me on this one. I am wondering if it would behoove a team that is clearly not as good to pitch their best starter against another teams 4 or 5. Like you know you aren’t beating a team number one with your best but maybe you could beat them with your best against their 4th. Why not just throw out your 5th starter against their best? Would this be a valid option?

Dan Szymborski: I’ve never really found any real advantage to this

Don Von Handburger: Remember the feud between Orlando Hudson and JP Ricciardi? Do you ever pine for those days? Do you ever pine for the pine-wood derby? pine.

Dan Szymborski: Hudson was trying to be complimentary!

Adam Wayneright: Where would I possibly fit in the Padres rotation?????

Dan Szymborski: 8th starter

Laura: If it’s made with Beyond or Impossible ground “beef”, is it still chili?

Dan Szymborski: No

Dan Szymborski: Chili is ingredient based not structure based

Lex: Paxton signs with ____

Dan Szymborski: a baseball team

Guest: Does it seem like recently there’s been a lot more famous people dying?

Dan Szymborski: Well, death rate *is* up for reasons I probably shouldn’t have to note

Wales: So you speak Welsh? Have you watched Hinterland?

Dan Szymborski: I don’t speak Welsh

Dan Szymborski: but I’ve encountered their names

EbenezerBatflip: Are you going to play the Mass Effect Legendary Edition?

Dan Szymborski: Honestly, that was never my favorite series

Dan Szymborski: Like zombies, I don’t do a LOT of scifi type things

Hal: what kind of neural net do you use for zips?

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS uses more traditional cluster analysis

Guest: Why are Giants seeking more left hitters when their park seems to not favor them? Has something changed?

Dan Szymborski: I think they’re just getting who they can

Dan Szymborski: the park’s not a grea thittin gplace for anyone really

Dan Szymborski: well, speedy doubles hitters maybe

Dan Szymborski: OK, not exactly billy hamilton, but I think Benintendi would be really good in SF

I Used to be Mel Clark: Are the Team Projections ever updated for all of the offseason movement?

Dan Szymborski: The team projections are always updated!

Moonlight Graham: Do you think there should be a sub category of barrels called smithereens where the parameters are really narrow?

Dan Szymborski: Maybe?

Dan Szymborski: Because now that you say it, I want there to be a statcast stat called smithereens

Dan: How much money is left to be added to next year’s payroll? I found 17 teams I thought where trying to improve next year and they collectively have about 1 billion in room below the luxury tax but that includes teams like the Rays and As who aren’t going to spend 200 million.

Dan Szymborski: I dunno, I can’;t calculate that off the top of my head!

EbenezerBatflip: Do you expect MLB to *ever* enforce or change rules about pitching with pinetar/substances ?

Dan Szymborski: Yes

Dan Szymborski: But there are bigger fish to fry right now

Adge: How about a Daniel Murphy, Sin Soo-Choo, or Derek Deitrich on the Jays for a MiLB deal could use a LHH

Dan Szymborski: None of these are terrible ideas

Dan Szymborski: Since none of them will come with a roflcopter contract

tz: Loved Ross/Rizzo….can the AI write “Joe Torre Is So Close To Beheading Alex Rodriguez”???

Dan Szymborski: hang on!

Dan Szymborski:

Greg: Can you explain why ZiPS doesn’t try to mirror what the actual projected playing time will be? Have you thought about using ZiPS calculations with Steamer playing time to see how ZiPS would do against other projection systems? According to Ariel Cohen, ZiPS was the worst projection system last year.

Dan Szymborski: No doubt, because ZiPS is simply not designed for that.

Dan Szymborski: (Though we’ll have pro-rated to depth charts version on the player pages by opening day)

Dan Szymborski: I’d have been surprised if it *didn’t* struggle using Ariel’s methodology

Dan Szymborski: Which isn’t Ariel’s fault, of course.

Dan Szymborski: He was just looking at something very specific that ZiPS isn’t really designed to do “out of the box”

Guest: If you could rename ZiPS what would you rename it

Dan Szymborski: ZiPs

Dan Szymborski: I really made amistake by not having that s small.

Wales II: Hinterland confirms challenging pronunciation of Welsh names.  And it showcases the beauty of Wales quite well to boot.

Christopher, Guest: I envy the self-assurance you have to inhabit your inner idiot troll child. A blessing and a curse, I would imagine.

Dan Szymborski: I have never, ever put myself out there as someone I’m not.

Dan Szymborski: If someone got the idea that I take pretty much *anything* seriously, it wasn’t from me.

Dan Szymborski: The amusing aspects of life, to me, are what make life worth living.

Dan Szymborski: I hope some day, hopefully not in the near-future, when I die, I go out snickering at the whole concept. (My grandfather did)

EbenezerBatflip: Do you expect Devers to stay at 3B?

Dan Szymborski: I think for now

Dan Szymborski: but 2-3 years from now, if he’s a 140 wRC+ guy and struggling at third, I expect then you see a move

Dan Szymborski: On that note, it it is time for me to depart for another week!

Dan Szymborski: Thanks for coming everyone!

Dan Szymborski: And thank you for all the support you’ve shown me and FanGraphs over the last year.

Dan Szymborski: We exist because of you.