Eno Sarris Baseball Chat — 3/19/15
11:18 |
: I’ll be here shortly!
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11:21 |
:
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12:01 |
: dude, my pancakes are almost ready
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12:01 |
How worried are you about Cobb right now? Percentage chance he goes for TJS this season? |
12:01 |
: Well he gets hurt all the time, so lower than another guy that randomly gets this pain? 15%?
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12:02 |
How much do you love deGrom? His stuff looks nasty. I’ve offered someone Wright for deGrom in a keeper points league. I have Kris Bryant. I am afraid of nothing. |
12:02 |
: I love deGrom. He’s in my tier of 10-20 ranked pitchers that I feast on instead of buying ‘aces.’
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12:02 |
What is the strangest chat you’ve ever received? |
12:02 |
: Probably the one about sniffing my hair behind me in line.
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12:02 |
I’m contending in a 16 team, keep indefinitely. Another contending team offered Sale/Howard for my Hamels/Fielder… Do i take it? |
12:03 |
: Nah, I like Hamels.
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12:03 |
I expect Koji to be hurt or ineffective for much of the upcoming season. I picked up Tazawa at my auction with that in mind, and yet I see most saying that Mujica will be first in line to take over. Is this simply a case of siding with experience over talent? In the event Koji missed a lot of time, any chance Tazawa would get the closer’s job eventually? |
12:03 |
: I don’t think ineffective, but yes I can buy hurt. Tazawa for me.
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12:04 |
: Got my pancakes!
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12:04 |
Does Rusney coming back for spring training change anything about Mookie’s position with the team? Will he still be starting opening day? |
12:05 |
: I think we’re looking at four guys with 400+ PA. Dunno who will stay healthy, but considering Victorino and Rusney and Hanley have all had health issues, you might bet on Betts to be the guy with 550.
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12:05 |
Seems like significant love for Starling Marte going into 2015. Considering that the Pitt stadium has a propensity to suppress right handed power – and considering FG has done a piece on this already kind of: do you think that it’s fair to say Gregory Polanco is primed to actually be a BETTER Marte? Bigger, better discipline, speed, power. Plus he’ll hit in 2/3 hole vs. 5. Curious! |
12:06 |
: Not crazy. Not crazy at all. Polanco didn’t hit the ball hard last year, but in my estimation it was a strong debut considering his age.
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12:06 |
is there any point in drafting middle relievers in H2H? would wade davis’s three scoreless innings really help me get that ERA win? |
12:06 |
: Maybe if K/9 is a setting.
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12:06 |
Eno, my good man! What do you expect from Beltran and Teixeira this season? I know their best days are behind them, but could they still be somewhat solid fantasy contributors when healthy? |
12:06 |
: Yes, great bench bats when people are picking prospects.
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12:07 |
What do I do with Wheeler in a dynasty format (no contracts, unlimited DL)? He should be back by age 25-26, but I’m a win-now team. What’s he worth to a team that’s not going anywhere in 2015 (and maybe ’16)? |
12:07 |
: Should get a nice veteran piece back for him. Could you pry a Holliday loose?
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12:07 |
#teampitbull #notallpitbulls #nottherapper |
12:07 |
: dude I love pitbulls. get a bum rap. not the rapper.
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12:08 |
Safe to say AL East has best third basemen of any division? Donaldson, Longoria, Panda, Machado, Headley |
12:08 |
: Yes!
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12:08 |
Hey Eno, really need your help on my 5th keeper in a 12 man 5×5 auction league. Do I keep Nelson Cruz for $13 or Kole Calhoun for $12? |
12:09 |
: Calhoun safer and cheaper imo
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12:09 |
Will Mike Fiers be a useful fantasy SP this year? |
12:09 |
: Yes!
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12:09 |
I went to the Toronado in Seattle the other night, i was talking to the owner, i mentioned beergraphs to him then he calls me a beer nerd now im losing my street cred |
12:09 |
: Wait what you’d think Toronado would love beer nerds
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12:09 |
Lost Stroman as did many others – do I need upgrades with a staff of deGrom, Richards, Archer, Quintana, Hutchison, Salazar, Gausman, Norris, and Jose Fernandez coming later on? |
12:10 |
: If there was a higher upside SP you could get for a bench piece, I’d add quantity before I put a hole in my lineup trying to buy another starter.
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12:10 |
Am I crazy to draft Kang before DeGrom in a keep forever league 10 teams and 6 starters per team? |
12:10 |
: Yes. And I love Kang.
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12:10 |
Do you think Springer will be the Astros full-time CF any time in the near future? Or do you expect them to keep him in RF? |
12:10 |
: Since he’s already off CF, I think he’s off CF.
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12:11 |
: I love pancakes.
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12:11 |
So even though Farrell continues to wear his dunce hat re: Victorino, Mookie is looking very Mookie this ST. Assuming that he ends up batting leadoff for Boston – fair to say his floor for 2015 is 15 homers, 25 steals, 100 runs..290, .800+ ops and an amazingly groomed goatee? |
12:12 |
: Might push that homer total down to 12, batting average down to .280, if we talking floor. Ceiling is pretty close to what you’re talking too, probably .300/15/30. Nice projectable dude if you ask me.
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12:12 |
hey eno, is there a good statistic to analyze minor leaguers for OBP leagues? Asked Kiley on tuesday about Pompey’s MILB OBP vs his predicted MLB OBP which was much lower and he said part of it was due to AVG regression. So how can we predict future players who continue to have good OBP even with AVG regression? |
12:12 |
: Look up Chris Mitchell’s KATOH stuff.
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12:12 |
Your predictions for AL east standings, 1 through 5? |
12:12 |
: Red Sox Blue Jays Yankees Orioles Rays
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12:13 |
For DFS what are some of the best stats to look for? Would comparing pitch values be effective? |
12:13 |
: I don’t love pitch values, but you can see if certain hitters have good contact rates against certain pitches in Brooks, that’s not a bad idea, considering they may face a guy like Masterson and be good against sinkers and sliders. But mostly I look at park, handedness, and quality of opposition.
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12:14 |
Seems like Schoop is likely to beat out Everth for the 2B gig. How do you see it playing out in the end? |
12:14 |
: I think Everth will be useful this year. Hardy’s back is balky, Machado with the knee, Buck can use a good Flaherty type to spell everyone. Plus, if Schoop gets to MLB games and doesn’t do better than last year, he could lose the job. I’ll keep Everth’s projection hovering around 400-450 PA.
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12:15 |
waht do your expect for Jordan Schafer (Twins) Platoon? ,260+ average? |
12:15 |
: Under on the average. Might take the job outright if Hicks keeps blowing his chance. OBP league guy.
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12:15 |
Will Chris Taylors wrist injury plague him all yr, and could miler play cf if Jackson struggles? |
12:16 |
: Arm/wrist injuries are worse for hitters than leg injuries, so legitimate concern. Plus, Taylor is a righty at the plate, so his upside could be lower than lefty Miller’s. Miller was supposedly in the plan for outfield work at some point, so not crazy.
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12:16 |
i asked szym about this on monday, but i really hate rounds 4-6 (ESPN). the starters in that tier are mostly overrated and i’m against getting an OF before the 7th because the position is loaded from then on (none of my leagues are 5OF). is it ok to reach for a guy like arenado or yelich or harvey here? |
12:17 |
: Use my rankings, I bet you’ll find starters there that don’t seem as overrated. That’s where I’m picking pitching. I have Harvey 12th, and I love Arenado, so those would be fine though.
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12:17 |
I haven’t really kept up with RP health; went with Davis/McGee/Doolittle in a K/9 BB/9 NSVH league. I now realize two of those are out through at least May — who should I look for on the scrap heap? (10 teams/3 RPs for ballpark scrap heap size) |
12:18 |
: andrew miller? probably gone. Ottavino? Evan Marshall? Romo? Farquhar?
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12:18 |
Over/under 3 WAR for Jose Reyes? |
12:18 |
: Over. Still good enough.
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12:18 |
Does Fremont get down to SF? Had Coffee/Cinnamon Bourbon Barrel Abominable the other day, amazing brew. |
12:19 |
: Want. Dunno that I see them regularly, but I’m about to be up at city beer store more often (season starting soon).
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12:19 |
Two more selections in a minor league draft where you can keep them for many years….should I target a pitcher that’s close to MLB like Finnegan, Gonzales, or Matz, a catcher like Susac or Realmuto, or a someone like NImmo, Tapia, or Barreto? Thanks |
12:19 |
: No thanks on catcher prospects in fantasy. They can work out and still suck in fantasy. I like the close pitchers for sure. Matz and Gonzales… Finnegan, whoever’s there. Matz first.
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12:19 |
How bullish are you on Jean Segura at his current ADP? |
12:20 |
: Decently. I have him as basically equivalent to Andrus, Escobar, Santana… with probably a bit more power upside than most of those guys.
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12:20 |
Bryce Harper will go 35/100/100/15/.285 and win the NL MVP. True or False? |
12:20 |
: True that it could happen, false that it’s likely.
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12:21 |
in a dynasty league is m Franco a suitable replacement for an aging David Wright? |
12:21 |
: I’d want Franco and another lotto ticket.
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12:21 |
What up Cuz? Hope all is well. So, standard 5×5 plus OBP and SLG. Kole Calhoun or Joc Pederson this season? |
12:22 |
: Calhoun. I mean I love Joc but there’s still risk there.
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12:22 |
BILLY BUTLER SIGNING NOT A TERRIBLE MISTAKE? OH GO FIGURE, ANOTHER FANGRAPHS AUTHOR PROSTRATING THEMSELVES AT THE ALTAR OF BILLY BEANE. /s |
12:23 |
: Dude I wrote the first Billy Butler not crazy piece, not finding a commiserating ear here. Plus, that was written by a former AGM on the Mariners, so I doubt it’s some FanGraphs mojo we somehow got into his head in our non existent office by the cooler.
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12:23 |
What do you expect out of Avisal Garcia this year? At what point a mixed draft would you start considering him?> |
12:24 |
: I think he can .270/20/10 like his projections say, and that’s super valuable. We’ve been talking about Calhoun, how much more do we think he’ll do?
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12:24 |
Do you consider yourself a feminist? |
12:25 |
: My single mother raised me most of my life. She clawed through terrible times to make sure I got an education. I love strong women, and I don’t doubt that they’re equal. “That’s right, women are smaaarter”
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12:25 |
Eno, can Jace Peterson hit .250-.260ish this year? |
12:26 |
: I don’t see why not. He had some zero power years, but most years you couldn’t just knock the bat out of his hands. He’s got speed and a good sense of the zone.
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12:26 |
Best comp to Yelich is? |
12:27 |
: I wonder if he’s Brantley-esque. He’s got more swing and miss to his game, though. You know what? What about Alex Frigging Gordon.
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12:27 |
I promised myself I wouldn’t, but yet again, I seem to be getting lured in by Desmond Jennings. Am I a fool for letting him wine and dine me? |
12:27 |
: I’ve actually got a few shares just because he’s so dang cheap.
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12:27 |
Is Ramirez good enough to hold off Lindor most of the season? What do the Indians do in 2016 between Kipnis, Lindor, Ramirez? |
12:28 |
: No, but I do think he’s maybe good enough to make sure he has a spot on this team. I mean, he’s better than Aviles, so he can take that job. But he might be better than Chisenhall if the arm can take it, and Kipnis could move to the outfield if things fall apart out there.
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12:28 |
What did you do before writing full-time, or has this been your only job? |
12:28 |
: I used to edit. Children’s books. Kumon Publishing was my longest gig, took that place from infancy to where it basically is now in six years.
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12:29 |
Sanchez in the rotation! How many starts will I get to watch Norris pitch in Buffalo? |
12:29 |
: Good news for Cecil. You’ll still see Norris. Typical sixth starter gets at least ten starts if I remember correctly. He could get more, considering the age at the front of that rotation, and Sanchez’s possibility of cratering.
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12:29 |
Do you think Carlos Rodon ends up the #5 starter for ChiSox for 2015 from day 1? And in reality, end up their #3 on the staff? Seems like a David Price pt. 2 situation we’re dealing with no? Not a lot of hotshit power lefties coming up – with bodies that are durable and ass-kicking ready. |
12:30 |
: The consensus is that he won’t be the Sale replacement. So either he’s the #4 or he’s in the minors. I wouldn’t be surprised if he’s at least in the minors for the first couple of weeks.
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12:30 |
What do you make of Kang’s spring so far? Has it lowered, raised, or kept your expectations the same? |
12:31 |
: Liked the oppo homer, don’t love all the Ks, still like the swing and the approach and think there’s opportunity for him. Getting a lot of playing time, and I think he’ll start to get adjusted soon.
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12:31 |
Who are some proven veterans coming off down years that you think are good targets this year? I was thinking Votto, C Davis, D Wright, Choo. Anyone else? |
12:32 |
: I like that bunch the best. Fielder, I’m more worried about. Trumbo, but only if cheap.
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12:32 |
Xander Bogaerts ZiPS: .263/.322/.409 . Wilmer Flores ZiPS: .266/.300/.428 . why is there such a difference in how these two players are perceived? |
12:32 |
: Defense?
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12:33 |
flying out down to tampa for ST tn – looking forward to seeing that new nate eovaldi splitter in person |
12:33 |
: Yah report back
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12:33 |
So I have a question about an idiosyncratic redraft league I’m joining. 10 team mixed. 1 of every position and a UTIL. 1400 Innings Pitched limit. 5 player bench. Here’s where it gets weird: normal 5 categories for hitters plus K’s and OPS. Normal 5 for pitchers plus Complete Games. How would you adjust your strategy? Load up on power bats and risky pitchers who strike out a lot? How should I take hitter K’s into the equation? And can one bet on Complete Games? I’d really like advice, it seems like an interesting challenge. |
12:34 |
: Ignore complete games completely. Sort for ISO and look for Pujols types at the top of your rounds, but don’t worry too much about batter Ks.
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12:34 |
Which of your guys do you prefer in dynasty? Chase Anderson or Shane Greene? |
12:35 |
: Tough one. Greene has the velocity, but without knowing more about that change, a possibly incomplete arsenal. Chase is in the NL, but a tougher park. After watching Greene the other day, I’m thinking maybe Greene. But a tough one.
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12:35 |
Give a definitive yes or no answer…should I slide into first base if I am no trying to avoid a tag? |
12:35 |
: If you are a base stealer who is accustomed to sliding head-first into bags and know how to keep your fingers up, yes.
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12:37 |
In dynasty, who are some under-the-radar prospects you like? I know you super high on Betts last year when not many others were. |
12:38 |
: Ozhaino Albies, Ketel Marte, Nicholas Tropeano, Brandon Nimmo, Rob Refsnyder.
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12:39 |
I’m in SF, at Sightglass right now. What accessible Cali beers should I pick up to take back east, in the non-30$ sour category |
12:39 |
: Anything Alpine. A small sour from Almanac ($11). A Drake’s IPA. Anything Russian River.
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12:40 |
I like your bold predictions minus Shelby Miller. I almost feel like Eovaldi is more Richards-like. |
12:40 |
: He is, but I think he’s going to use the splitter instead of the curve.
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12:40 |
que tipo de pancakes are you comiendo eno? |
12:40 |
: Just regular old right now, but my boy likes em with Nutella. In other news, I just got to the top of the hour in the queue.
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12:40 |
Will the Orioles have to eat salary to trade Brian Matusz? |
12:41 |
: He’s overpaid for a LOOGY actually. He might be a little more than a LOOGY, but he’s a bit overpaid.
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12:41 |
Eno – need Stroman advice….10 team AL-only: Keep at $5 for next year and FAAB replacement level P or throw back and use $5 in this year’s auction? |
12:41 |
: Use the money now. Replacement level P in your league sucks.
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12:42 |
Care to share your target 10-20 SP tier? please and thank you. |
12:42 | : |
12:42 |
have you kept your hair smelling fresh since that chat |
12:42 |
: No, got two kids, but I have looked over my shoulder at the store.
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12:42 |
I think they said last year they like to use Tazawa in any high leverage situation, not save him for the 9th. I would say Mujica is next as closer. |
12:44 |
: Velocity and strikeout rate have been the best predictors of closer change I’ve seen, plus current role. If they using Tazawa in the eighth and he still has more velo and Ks, I’d disregard a lot of what the manager is saying. Think of votes of confidence. They’re nails in the coffin.
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12:44 |
I was live at trouts 2 HR game in Tuesday, but I was more impressed with Lindors inside the parker on Sunday. |
12:44 |
Is it possible you love grips more than beer? |
12:44 |
Your Shlubby Miller prediction is bold….Leo has moved on ya know? |
12:44 |
Of the pitching prospects not expected to make it to the big leagues in 2015, who are some of your favorites? |
12:45 |
: Bit of a blind spot for me because I don’t love owning those guys. I guess Urias and maybe Hunter Harvey?
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12:45 |
Eno, is there a reason for teams to not DL players that are recovering from TJ surgery and wont likely contribute for at least the first month of the season? I’m trying to figure out the rationale for not placing guys like Matt Moore on the DL when he wont be back until May. |
12:46 |
: Just to kill us fantasy people. I guess there’s the choice of 60-day versus regular DL they might get more information about in the short term. They want to keep all their roster spots flexible for as long as possible.
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12:46 |
Read an article at Fangraphs pegging Kang for a .280 average and 25 home runs, at least. Do you see this happening? Also, is his slow start just because of the transition to a new country and other non-worrisome factors or are you approaching with caution? Does he look overmatched out there? Thanks! |
12:46 |
: I don’t think he looks overmatched. I’m personally penciling him in for .260/20 if he can get the playing time. Looks good at short to me.
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12:47 |
I am in a draft that auctions of the first pick with FAAB. We start with 1000, how much should I pay and why ? |
12:48 |
: Depends on your settings, but Trout is generally worth 3-5 bucks more than the second guy. I don’t know what people generally bid in your league, but that’s a big jump. If you take five bucks off the second guy, you drop to 10th.
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12:49 |
Pick me up in your fantasy leagues, you won’t regret it. I wasn’t making good contact, but I think it’s because I had played baseball without a break for about 18 months consecutively after playing in the fall and winter heading into last year. My plate discipline is advanced, and I should hit the ball with more authority now that I took an off-season to rest and recover, while adding muscle. I’M A BEAST |
12:49 |
: agreed
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12:49 |
Over/Under |
12:49 |
: Under
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12:49 |
So I draft Soriano thinking he would be signed by now and replacing one of the Hawkins/Cecil/Rays/Feliz/Nathan – and then I would promptly trade him…yet here we are. Any chance he gets signed soon? Or should I just drop him. Closers in my league are very valuable..stoopid, but it pays to trade them. |
12:49 |
: Keep holding on as long as possible.
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12:51 |
:
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12:52 |
Who’s the man demanding you hand over your Land Rover? |
12:52 |
: “MORE RANGE THAN REY ORDONEZ”
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12:52 |
![]() |
12:52 |
scratchin my bald head over this one.. A) Hanley Calhoun Rasmus or B) Brantley Aybar Eaton? Could use the sbs and avg upgrade B would give but torn overall |
12:52 |
: I’ll take A
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12:53 |
are your rankings only on FG+? |
12:53 |
: I only did pitchers this year. Go to ‘draft worksheet’ on draft tools to get the RG team’s rankings.
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12:53 |
I know it’s spring, but do you make anything of Taijuan walker? He seems to have changed his repertoire a bit. If he stays healthy, does he put it all together? |
12:54 |
: He’s absolutely interesting in all leagues. Velocity, good breaking ball, and yes the tweak.
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12:54 |
What is your thoughts on the Cobb situation? Still worth drafting? |
12:54 |
: yes. But you have to ding the IP projection, down to even 150 or so.
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12:54 |
What are some other terms associated with sours? I feel like I’m missing some at the beer store that don’t actually have “sour” anywhere on the label. |
12:55 |
: Geueze. Wild Ale. Some called Fruit Beer. Some saisons, like the ones from Crooked Stave, are sour.
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12:55 |
: Look for barrel aged if you getting a saison, then it’s sour most likely.
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12:55 |
: “I stick around like hockey, like what the puck”
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12:55 |
Yelich’s penchant for hitting worm killers hinders him from a fantasy perspective. I don’t think the homers will ever be nearing 20…but he seems like the perfect 3rd OF. |
12:56 |
: People naturally hit more fly balls as they age. Look at Heyward, who burned worms at first. I think he’ll get there eventually.
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12:56 |
If you’re Eno Sarris, GM of a lesser team, say the Twins or the Padres or the Dbacks, in a division with one clear super-team (Detroit 2011-14, Dodgers 2013-??), do you alter your strategy with the intent of waiting until the super team starts to hit its aging and decline phase before going all-in and running for division title? |
12:56 |
: You just keep building and building and building, but you only buy an in-season Big Piece when the chips fall right one year.
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12:56 |
eno i don’t even know where your rankings are |
12:56 |
: I shared them earlier in this here chat.
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12:57 |
Great piece of Bruce and Votto. Are you bullish on both as bounce back canidates? Prefer one over the other? |
12:58 |
: Bruce’s problem seems less… chronic? Votto’s has been going on for a while. I like em both to bounce back this year. They didn’t play a full slate, Bruce’s stats were already normalizing late late last year, and they spent the offseason prepping with the knee in mind.
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12:58 |
Does Jake McGee get the closing job back after he returns from the DL or is it Boxberger’s now. |
12:58 |
: It’s never anyone player’s role on that team.
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12:58 |
Do you have any advice for transferring from snake draft over to an auction? We’re about to start year 3. What’s the best way to assign values to our keepers? I want to be rewarded for my good late pickups the last couple years so I don’t think assigning current values is fair. |
12:59 |
: My advice is: start over. Really, it’ll hurt, but everything else will anger someone. Otherwise, you could just assign a dollar value to the round in which the were picked last year, but that’s a bit clunky.
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12:59 |
Should I, we, it be targeting Gose a/o Brad Miller in later rounds? Miller got a heckuva jump on Flowers the other day, SB sleeper candidate? |
1:00 |
: Well listen, I’m an open minded guy, but if you’re an it, AND a we, maybe fantasy isn’t the first thing to be worrying about. Miller, I’ll take. Gose… I”m not sure he’s anything more than a defensive replacement. Whiffs of Corey Patterson to me.
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1:00 |
I just imagined an office cooler at the center of a wormhole that connects Dave Cameron’s house to Eno’s, Carson’s and Jeff’s basement. |
1:00 |
Is there a way to search the Fangraphs site by the authors of the article? |
1:01 |
: well, on the FanGraphs blog (use blog drop down), you can hit the author tag and see just their posts.
|
1:01 |
Better fantasy season Belt or Pearce? |
1:01 |
: I’ll take Belt. I’m very skeptical of Pearce.
|
1:01 |
Who is last year’s Corey Kluber? |
1:01 |
: Corey Kluber!
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1:01 |
I think that Butler comment was tongue in cheek. This sort of smarmy “I’m demolishing some attitude that exists out there” is unfortunately increasingly common, and is perhaps more obnoxious than the occasional guy commenting as such and getting voted down. |
1:02 |
: Is fine. I got the same thing when I wrote about Butler though, for reals.
|
1:02 |
Wada Wada Wacha Wacha |
1:02 |
What am I missing on Eovaldi? Last yr 3.37 FIP, 2013 3.59 FIP, and yet ZiPS and Steamer are way down on him with 4.3+ ERA’s projected. |
1:02 |
: Bad K rates. Because he only really had two pitches.
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1:02 |
do you believe in Jimmy Nelson |
1:02 |
: Well, he exists, but I’m not buying.
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1:02 |
Which young SS do you like the best? Seager, Russell, Lindor |
1:03 |
: Russell if we talking real life. Maybe Seager for fantasy, but I love love Russell.
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1:03 |
Eno, I’m looking for some speed once my prospects all go on the NA list. I’m loaded with LF, CF, and 2B depth, have backups every where except C, and little to no guaranteed playing time on my bench. Would you rather grab Everth Cabrera, Sam Fuld, James Jones, or Ender Inceriarte? |
1:03 |
: Ender or Everth.
|
1:03 |
Desmond Jennings went undrafted in my 12 team 4 OF keeper league |
1:03 |
: See? And I think he’s a perfectly fine bench piece there.
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1:03 |
Auction calculator for my league settings has Zimmerman/Zimmermann separated by $.20. Who you taking? |
1:04 |
: Jordan.
|
1:04 |
Fav Children’s book you helped edit? |
1:04 |
: My Book of Mazes Around the World. That was my baby.
|
1:04 |
Would you rather have 9 extra games of Kris Bryant to start his career or one full extra season of team control in 2021? (This is the Cubs’ “dilemma,” right?) |
1:04 |
: Full season duh. And I don’t hate them for it. Hate the system.
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1:05 |
If I’m using the auction calculator for ranking players in my non-auction league, do you see any potential drawbacks to cranking up the budget to, say, $500? I thought this would increase separation in rankings to give a little more clarity. Thoughts? |
1:05 |
: Sure, no problem.
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1:05 |
Dang, I hit enter too soon. How do you do a line break? Anyway: Pan=all, Demon=demon, ium=room. Pandemonium=Room with all the demons! That’s what this is! Eno chat! Pandemonium every Thursday! |
1:06 |
You were sick at FG’s spring training. Was you sick from the dick, or was it the flu? |
1:06 |
: This ain’t about you our your bitch ass crew
|
1:06 |
xander isn’t good defensively either |
1:07 |
: Disagree! Plus, Flores is abominable at short if you ask my eyes.
|
1:07 |
Wilmer Flores…I remember when it was being said the only position he could field was 1B after being brought up as a 2B / 3B. Now he’s a SS. How bad, the defense? |
1:07 |
: Real bad. I mean, he won’t fall down if you hit it at him. So not like if you put Duda at short.
|
1:07 |
Given how much the DBacks management want Tomas to play at 3b do they force him in there over Lamb despite his bad defense? |
1:07 |
: No way he plays at third in my book.
|
1:08 |
advisible to attempt to drowned the pool early w Closers in a pts league? |
1:08 |
: You’ll start a run, but there are 30 draftable closers, your two won’t change the calculus as much as two early shortstops.
|
1:08 |
Which SP do you choose as your #2 in a H2H points league with 3 pts/IP… Lester/Greinke/Zimmerman? |
1:09 |
: Lester or Greinke. Lester maybe a better bet for more innings, Greinke a bit more for Ks. Lester seems like a good bet in this league though.
|
1:09 |
Visiting San Diego this weekend. Where is the best place to get a good beer after I land? |
1:10 |
: Monkey Paw because they have a bunch of beers and it’s close to the airport. Stone Liberty Station is reasonably close, but only Stone beers. Great food though. If you went to Ballast Point Little Italy (also close), there’s Bottlecraft across the street for other beers, and good food. God I love San Diego.
|
1:10 |
Asked this over in your Bold predictions but since you’re here – what are your thoughts on Iglesias in the Red’s rotation. Worth a flier in a league that goes 420 players deep or is he more of someone to watch and add from the wire… |
1:11 |
: I’ll just admit I have no idea. Haven’t seen much of him. No numbers. I’m flying blind. 420? Yeah, he seems ownable.
|
1:12 |
Would you rather have Michael Taylor or Steve Moya? |
1:12 |
: Moya’s a man-beast. I think I want him.
|
1:12 |
I keep mixing up Carrasco and Salazar in my head. I’m really not sure which one is which anymore. Also, let’s for real this year not use that team’s name. Call them “Cleveland” or “the Spiders” or something that feels right to you, but not their official name. “The Caucasians” has a nice sound to it too. |
1:12 |
Ottoneu 5×5 I have Bryant $8 and Soler $5. I don’t really want to trade them due to the potential for a huge amount of surplus value, but several people have been asking about them. What would you want in return? |
1:13 |
: you couldn’t pry that Soler from my cold dead hands. Bryant? I’d want a win-now third baseman, a good pitcher, and another young piece.
|
1:13 |
Am I correct in assuming that many cities and towns in Germany have Oktoberfest celebrations? If so, any that I should go to? Not feeling Munchen… |
1:13 |
: Bamberg is a good beer spot. Hamburg is a great city.
|
1:13 |
: Berlin is the cat’s pajamas.
|
1:14 |
I went into my AL-auction targeting House and Greene as my last two SP. I walked out with Eovaldi and Pomeranz instead. How did I do? |
1:14 |
: Sure. great.
|
1:14 |
what is Zumino’s ceiling? |
1:14 |
: .220/30
|
1:14 |
is cliff lee worth stashing on a 60-DL for $1? or is he over? |
1:14 |
: Eh. I mean I bought him in Tout, but it’s unlimited DL spots.
|
1:14 |
Alpine bottles make it to SF???? |
1:14 |
: After Green Flash, yes, from time to time.
|
1:15 |
Buying any cheap Dominic Brown Shares? |
1:15 |
: Haven’t yet, but would. Sometimes you find things in cow patties.
|
1:15 |
:
|
1:16 |
For steals on the bench, who do you like more? Everth Cabrera or Jarrod Dyson? |
1:16 |
: Dyson behind two breakable guys. I’ll take him.
|
1:16 |
a good beer to pair with steak? I usually like a glass of Merlot but planning out some nice tips for Tomorrow night. |
1:16 |
: I’d think I’d go for a Russian imperial stout.
|
1:16 |
Tanaka has looked great this spring… any reason to think he can’t contend for the Cy Young if healthy? |
1:16 |
: helluva caveat
|
1:17 |
You ever get burnt out of the whole beer rigamerole? I mean, not from drinking it but all the hunting, message boards, trading etc? For example is Pliny *that* much better than you standard shelf IPA, or even Dales for that matter? |
1:17 |
: I run my own website, but I think you’d find the banter there isn’t as crazy as a lot of places. And yeah I don’t have the bandwidth to participate everywhere, even if it hurts my standing as a Beer Guy.
|
1:18 |
Nice pitcher ranx! Though I’m surprised to see Shields as high as he is. Maybe that’s another guy I’m downgrading too much. Still, I’m expecting someone else to draft him too high, and for me to mockingly say “snaaaaarf” to my glowing laptop and empty room. |
1:18 |
: I’m actually down on him too, but that’s a nice park for a soft landing.
|
1:18 |
You talked up Sante Adairius a couple times over the last few weeks, and I’m glad you did. I dragged my wife to the brewery during our anniversary trip to California last week and it was awesome. Great saisons and IPAs, and they were even doing free pours of a berliner weisse while we were there. It was a good trip. |
1:18 |
: That place is SERIOUSly good.
|
1:18 |
Is Matz more than a 1$ flyer for this season? |
1:18 |
: Doesn’t have a role yet, so don’t pay more.
|
1:19 |
In a league using K/BB as a category, Phil Hughes is a top __ pitcher? |
1:20 |
: 20. I mean, the BB is due to regress. Can’t break records every year.
|
1:20 |
you have miller as one of your bold predictions but if you were in a draft and prices were all equal you would still take the guys you have ranked higher on your top 175 right? |
1:21 |
: yeah I mean those predictions are just for fun. I might move him ahead of CC, but CC is like two spots ahead of him.
|
1:21 |
Haven’t been in chat in a while… still beery? I’ll just add Sculpin Grapefruit holyyyyyy tasty. |
1:22 |
: Took that to LABR and people loved it.
|
1:22 |
I always assume the internet is going to break on the first day of the tournament. Is the queue shorter than normal today? |
1:22 |
: No, pretty crazy here, still 30 minutes behind.
|
1:23 |
Eovoldi move up in you rankings at all after it looks like his splitter is workinG? |
1:23 |
: Might move him up to Greene territory, from 94 to 86 or so.
|
1:23 |
My buddy works at Fremont he said they just bought a huge warehouse to double their out put from 20k to 50k kegs a yr and their expanding to Ca and skipping Ore |
1:23 |
: yesssssssssssss
|
1:23 |
your predictions for NL div winners and WC winners? I have LA,StL,Was with the WC going to MIA and SD |
1:24 |
: LA, Pit, Was, Mets and Padres
|
1:24 |
I ran some stats by batting order position, are these predictive of a players future production or are they not relevant? Example 1st place in the batting order will steal 16.10% of the time and a guy hitting 7th will steal 5.20% (when on 1st or 2nd).. Should I expect a guy to steal 11% less if he is moved from the 1 spot to the 7 spot? |
1:24 |
: No, they reflect the personnel that’s normally put there.
|
1:24 |
top three ballparks in the world, go: |
1:24 |
: Camden Yards, AT&T Park, and PetCo for the beer.
|
1:25 |
Where are the Ludes? I want me some Ludes!! |
1:25 |
y u no answer clive? |
1:25 |
Watching Oriole property Connaughton play in the tourney right now. Kinda neat. |
1:25 |
Will Giolito make it up at any point this season? |
1:25 |
: Doubt it, Roark can soak up the innings.
|
1:25 |
Have the RG rankings gotten any updates/will they during ST? |
1:26 |
: Should be seeing tiered posiitonal ranks as the bold predictions end, and yes, an overall ranking update.
|
1:26 |
Do you prefer auctions or snake, did 1st auction last yr its so much better imo |
1:26 |
: It’s better but oh man are they long.
|
1:26 |
Should I keep Alcantara or Chase Anderson? I know normally keep the hitter, but Alcantara might be a bench guy. |
1:26 |
: Yeah he doesn’t have a starting role right now. I’d take Chase.
|
1:26 |
Somehow I feel like Dom Brown is dead weight even in my 20-teamer. I just dont see him hitting any of his projections and looks lost to me. Thoughts? |
1:26 |
: He looked lost and then he hit 30 the next year.
|
1:27 |
Is Jamaica one of those places where you shouldn’t drink the water? |
1:27 |
: That’s actually not the biggest problem in my history. I mean, because I’ve hung out a lot in Negril, which is a tourist place. They do a decent job with the water in tourist places.
|
1:27 |
All this talk about sours and now I want one. What are the most likely sours I could find in Toronto? |
1:28 |
: Goose Island Juliette or Halia will run you pretty penny, but they are really good and you can find them. Otherwise, you might find Rodenbacher Grand Cru.
|
1:28 |
lambics! |
1:28 |
: Yes, lambics are sours too!
|
1:28 |
What is the likelihood of TJ House breaking camp with the Indians? |
1:28 |
: 100%
|
1:28 |
I send emails to myself as virtual sticky notes and then I get excited that I have a new email |
1:28 |
: and then they just sit there like another email you have to answer
|
1:28 |
Howard value pick this year? I like the new hands. I’m takin the over on that steamer projection |
1:29 |
: I picked up Howard for a buck in a few leagues last year. I could do it again, but i’m just not that excited.
|
1:29 |
Sullivan is gone for a couple weeks so I can’t ask him, and I’m curious about your take – he wrote a piece in Dec. about Rios getting more inside FBs in 2014. In a similar piece on Pedroia, he hypothesized that Pedey’s thumb injury may have hampered his ability to turn on the inside heat and if off-season thumb surgery cured that problem, it is reasonable to expect more HRs from Pedey in 2015. Rios had a thumb injury in 2014 and off-season thumb surgery. Reasonable to hypothesize that Rios suffered the same issues as Pedey in 2014 and a power resurgence is on the horizon, or is his power decline more age related? |
1:30 |
: It’s possible, and Rios has had wild swings in power before. But! Yes, age is a huge factor here. He might be really close to done.
|
1:31 |
:
|
1:31 |
What;s the best way to determine keeper costs? Just go by the auction cost the year before? |
1:31 |
: Yah, maybe with a little inflation so nobody has a $10 Trout for five years.
|
1:31 |
Which Seager has the better careeer? |
1:32 |
: By WAR, Corey still a SS. Relevant in fantasy too.
|
1:32 |
Would you rather keep Cobb or Wainwright this year in a 10 team, 5 keeper league factoring in quality starts? Both seem like injury concerns this year, though Cobb’s is more evident. |
1:33 |
: Man I’m down on Waino, but he’s pitching now at least.
|
1:33 |
Waiting on 2B in an 11-team roto league. Better late-round acquisition, Kolten Wong or Rougned Odor. (I’m leaning Rougned.) |
1:33 |
: If it’s 5×5, I’ll take Odor. OBP, Wong.
|
1:33 |
Worded better..I’m in a dynasty league with keep forever players… 30 in pros, 20 prospects. I got offered Manaea and Matt Olson for Huston Street, Alex Reyes, and Bobby Bradley. I have 3 other closers in Betances, Britton, and Rondon. Ahh what to do? #pressure |
1:34 |
: Is Manea that much better than Reyes that you need to do this? It if was street and Bradley for Olson maybe.
|
1:34 |
Eno’s eyes, is Flores abominable at short? |
1:34 |
good thing about the eye test – its useless |
1:34 |
: Except in the case of defense, where the stats are in their infancy.
|
1:35 |
![]() |
1:35 |
are there 2 SS worth drafting early? |
1:35 |
: Probably three.
|
1:35 |
In a 2c league is O’Brien worth a buck? |
1:35 |
: yes
|
1:36 |
Easier to negotiate with, your wife or your 3 year old? |
1:36 |
: I can’t offer my wife M&Ms to get this thing done.
|
1:36 |
Mikellar bar in SF or cellarmaker? |
1:36 |
: Cellarmaker because world-class beers but 1/2 the price.
|
1:36 |
How many PAs are you expecting for John Jaso this season? The projections have him for only around 320-350, which feels low given he’ll be more or less the full time DH on the fat side of a platoon. If he can reach 500-550 PAs is he rosterable in 12-mixer, avg not OBP and 1 C spot? |
1:36 |
: Yes but the problem is also injuries.
|
1:37 |
when is the article on beer grips due? |
1:37 | : |
1:37 |
Draft Saturday… 4 FG tabs open… my head hurts… |
1:37 |
How high in the draft do you pick Soler in a 12 team keep 6 forever? |
1:37 |
whats the higherst you bid for soler in an NL only auction 260 budget? |
1:39 |
: $27 for the NL guy I think. Just below Braun. Keep forever? I think you could take him in the fifth or sixth.
|
1:39 |
Are there any Abita beers you would suggest? |
1:39 |
: Turbodog
|
1:39 |
What are you doing looking through cow patties? |
1:39 |
: I’m not looking for mushrooms okay
|
1:39 |
dont do a chocolatey RIS though; go dark/roasty/bitter |
1:39 |
: Steak man. I agree.
|
1:39 |
what do you know about Trillium? |
1:40 |
: Had one beer so far. Sent to me. Galaxy dry hopped Fort Point pale. Was so so so grassy but also mango smell. Fruity, hoppy, grassy taste. Really nice, but not top ten by itself.
|
1:40 |
: Have another in my fridge.
|
1:40 |
My rotation is Kelly, Masterson, Haren, Alex Meyer, Rubby, Happ, and Morton. I got Thor waiting in the minors? Is it even salvageable or is it better luck next year? Got a couple decent trade pieces. |
1:41 |
: Oh man I… no I don’t like this rotation at all. I mean Kelly and Meyer I like. That’s about it. I think you may want to build haren, Masterson, Morton, and Rubby value by starting season with them, and then trade soon after.
|
1:41 |
chasing beer is much less fun than drinking beer; at a certain point the quality of beer is outweighed by the stress of getting it…imo though I dig a good IPA, there isn’t such difference bw the best local IPA almost anywhere and a “top IPA” as to be worth much effort |
1:41 | : |
1:42 |
Apparently Aaron Sanchez is getting a look in the rotation. What’s his upside? Also, is there a chance Dan Norris beats Estrada out for the #5 spot? |
1:42 |
: I like his stuff because it sizzles, but it didn’t get the whiffs I hoped for in the pen, so I’m not sure I love love him. Norris has more complete arsenal.
|
1:42 |
How firm is your Xander is a top-5 SS prediction? |
1:42 |
: It’s bold. I’m firm on him as a top tenner.
|
1:43 |
One time I saw Wilmer Flores dive to catch a line drive while playing SS |
1:43 |
: There were a few highlights yes. Some controlled falls.
|
1:43 |
More starts at SS this year: Kang or Flores? |
1:44 |
: Ooh that one’s fun. Mercer is pretty cromulent and Kang hasn’t pushed his way into starting yet. I love Matt Reynolds, I want him up, but will they make that move this year or wait. I’ll slump in my chair and take Flores.
|
1:44 |
Hey can you please rank these guys for this year?.. Hahn. Nelson, House, Duffy or Chase Anderson? |
1:44 |
: House… Hahn, Anderson…………..Duffy…………………Nelson
|
1:44 |
Do you drink hard stuff too? Or mostly just beer? |
1:45 |
: Bro in law is into scotch, so some Lagavulin, Laphroig, whatever he’s got going. Was into Vodka and soda when I lived in Manhattan, because man I was a dude trying to get a drink at a crowded bar.
|
1:45 |
Re: NL – wait, the Mets? In the postseason, this year? And no StL? |
1:46 |
: Er. Cardinals have to make it I guess. Cards Pads. Mets finish two games out. Not like I wrote a piece projecting the National League. Was a chat question.
|
1:46 |
Have you had any good looks on Brandon Drury? Saw some video of his swing and my interest has definitely been peaked |
1:46 |
: I like him better than Lamb. Not sure how long it will take his team to get there though.
|
1:46 |
Is Sal Perez overrated or a top-4 catcher? |
1:47 |
: He’s not a catcher I’ll pay for in a one-catcher league. I mean, I probably wouldn’t pay for any catcher in a one-catcher league.
|
1:47 |
Moved to Vancouver BC and after a year sampling the local brews, settled on Fat Tug IPA and Unibroue Le Fin Du Monde as my staples…..checked Beergraphs and they were both firmly in Canada’s top 5. I stamp your beer stats ‘Anecdotally Confirmed’! |
1:47 |
If the Phllies eat 50mm of Howard does any team bite? |
1:48 |
: Still a lot of years lol. No, for $10m maybe an AL team will bite. Problem is, most of them are pretty much roster set.
|
1:48 |
My wife and I got so sick drinking the water in Negril… |
1:48 |
: Oh maybe my stomach was just used to those bugs. Damn.
|
1:48 |
Think Nick Franklin wins the SS battle? |
1:48 |
: Second base battle, yes.
|
1:48 |
Bounceback to slightly above mediocrity for Headley? |
1:48 |
: Yes.
|
1:48 |
Bob Seeger has the best career |
1:49 |
: You’re against the wind here.
|
1:49 |
Give praise or scorn about Ryan Flaherty using only authentic frontier gibberish. |
1:50 |
: Well listen when you hear that whistling on the wind and you know it’s time, and you’ve got no other choice, and you just need someone that can fix that durn wagon wheel before the enemy comes round that daggum corner, well then you know what you’ve got in Ryan Flaherty.
|
1:51 |
Thumbs up or thumbs down: One Direction; Camembert; gentrification; Tony LaRussa; tiny hat umbrellas |
1:51 |
: down, up, up (if only because interesting shops and people show up in those border areas), down, up.
|
1:51 |
Re: TJ increases. I think the overtraining argument is flawed, but what about general physical fitness and training not being conducive for pitchers. when you lift weights its almost impossible to stay completely balanced, kid could grow up with a motion that after professional training it has a different strain on his ligaments, slowly weakens them and then boom snap. alot of these injuries happening in spring when they may take time off from pitching but are concerned about getting in “best shape of their life” which should/would change their motion. |
1:52 |
: Well shoulder injuries are down, and the shoulder is kept together mostly by muscles. So maybe there’s something here.
|
1:52 |
Was there a point while Lucas Duda was dropping to you in the 12th Round of an OBP league that you came to believe it was predestined…It seems such an unlikely event could not occur by random chance alone |
1:52 |
: I had him on my board for like six rounds and was like, come on guys, come on, really? FINE.
|
1:53 |
Between Donaldson, Adrian Gonzalez, and Carlos Santana, whom would you trade for pitching help? |
1:53 |
: Gonzo
|
1:53 |
new sleeper and the bust intro is trippy |
1:53 |
: Thank Teen Archer, Ian Miller. I like it.
|
1:53 |
Could Bruce Rondon be the closer in Detroit? |
1:53 |
: Worth keeping an eye on. Worth rostering in deep leagues.
|
1:54 |
Eno, do you think they’ll drop the bomb? Eno, do you think they’ll like this song? Eno, do you think they’ll try to break my balls? Ooooh aah, Eno, should I build a wall? |
1:54 |
I lost a friend mushroom hunting. He never heard the one that got him |
1:54 |
And I thought I was there for Yasmany Tomas last game ever at 3B….foiled again! |
1:54 |
Yelich’s best comp is obvious Shin-Soo Choo and it isn’t really close |
1:54 |
01011001 01101111 01110101 01110010 00100000 01100011 01101000 01100001 01110100 00100000 01101001 01110011 00100000 01110100 01101000 01100101 00100000 01100010 01100101 01110011 01110100 00100001 |
1:54 |
Tried Firestone Walker (DBA, Opal) this weekend in Arizona for the first time. What a glorious brewery. What’s your favorite from their cornucopia of delicious brews? |
1:55 |
: Double Jack, been pimping that forever. But also like Velvet Merkin and some of their darker beers. Had a tequila barrel aged beer from them I really liked.
|
1:55 |
Dragons Milk Bourbon Barrel ? |
1:56 |
: Yes.
|
1:56 |
Pleased with my offense, but will my rotation of Kluber/Gray/Hughes/Quintana/Fiers sink me? |
1:56 |
: No, I think it’s fine, but according to Maxamuz, Fiers just scratched due to shoulder fatigue which sucks. But hold on for now and you’ll find a waiver guy.
|
1:56 |
Your getting a lot of Flores D because all the most recent articles on him say his D is “ok” |
1:57 |
: We’re all grasping around in the dark, but I’ll say this: not many prospects are moved off short, discussed as possible first basemen or third basemen, and then end up back at short for a long time. You move down the defensive spectrum, generally.
|
1:58 |
What is the most ridiculous thing you’ve ever worn, sincerely and in jest |
1:59 |
: I had a pair of bell-bottom cords in college, and I think I had some manpri pants. Hammer loop jeans. Wore some paisley shirts in college. Loved my marble-green doc martins and wore them with shorts some when I was younger. Had purple hair. Dressed up as Kenny G. Dressed up as Bob Ross.
|
1:59 |
follow up on the Sp rankings… toss up, House, Porcello or Collmenter? |
2:00 |
: House. Well, Porcello is right there, and maybe better considering higher floor. Want no shares of Collmenter.
|
2:00 |
No Jamaican rum? or Caribbean fr that matter? |
2:00 |
: I think I have too many memories of bad things with Jamaican rum from my days there. Can’t stomach it any more.
|
2:00 |
Am I crazy to like Wil Myers more than most? Looking at him to fill my UTIL/4th OF spot in a deep keeper league over the likes of Werth, JD Martinez, Ozuna, L. Martin, etc. Looks pretty good this spring…is hoping for Alex Gordon in his prime numbers realistic? |
2:01 |
: I really like Myers and want more shares. Over Martin for sure. Over the rest? Might be bullish. I’d want one of them and Myers.
|
2:01 |
Worst beer you ever had? Mine was Dogfish Head Festina Peche (I usually like the brewery)? |
2:02 |
: Chili Cave beer, with the chili inside it.
|
2:02 |
Lots of hype in the bold predictions for Travis Snyder. What can we realistically expect from him? |
2:02 |
: .260/18
|
2:02 |
as a mets fan, how much do you hope you are wrong on flores? |
2:02 |
: I do! It would make things a lot easier for the team to be good. But I also like Reynolds, so.
|
2:03 |
Just had Mike Foltynewicz, Junichi Tazawa, and Joey Terdoslavic go back-to-back-to-back in a 50 rounder. Would 65-60-81 be the appropriate grades for their respective names? |
2:03 |
Bob Ross was a boss |
2:03 |
If ever get the chance, can you start a major league interview with “According to Maxamusz…” |
2:03 |
btw i saw Kool Keith last nite |
2:03 |
FW Vintage series is amazing, drink all of the beers |
2:03 |
CC’s velocity is back up. This is good. |
2:03 |
: Ok guys, time got away from me, having fun. Gotta go!
|
With a phone full of pictures of pitchers' fingers, strange beers, and his two toddler sons, Eno Sarris can be found at the ballpark or a brewery most days. Read him here, writing about the A's or Giants at The Athletic, or about beer at October. Follow him on Twitter @enosarris if you can handle the sandwiches and inanity.
Great chat, as always. Thanks for answering a few of my questions.