Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat, Stopwatch Funeral

1:31	Eric A Longenhagen: Hi, everyone. Sorry the chat is late today. I was beginning work on the Cardinals list.

1:31	Eric A Longenhagen: Brewers list went up today, so check that out if you haven’t already.

1:31	Eric A Longenhagen: Okay, off we go…

1:31	Alan: How many prospects in the Atlanta system would be the top prospect in the Marlins’ system?

1:32	Eric A Longenhagen: Like 6? Don’t sleep on Braxton Garrett.

1:32	Barnard: If a player had an 80 hit tool, but the rest of his tools were 20, what would his ceiling be? Incredible pinch hitter?

1:32	Eric A Longenhagen: Non-prospect.

1:32	Minty: For good development purposes, would you give Moncada or Bellinger more than 200 MLB ABs this year?

1:33	Eric A Longenhagen: Moncada yes. Bellinger’s development takes a back seat to the club’s chances of winning a WS.

1:33	Eric A Longenhagen: That doesn’t mean he won’t play in the Majors but his development is less of a prioirit for LA than Moncada’s is for CHW because LA has a chance to win the whole thing.

1:33	Q-Ball: Thank you for your prospect lists, they are great! You seem higher on Jemeir Candelario than most sources, despite the fact that you are not a believer in him at 3B. You must really love the bat more than most then, right?

1:34	Eric A Longenhagen: Love the bat to ball and the feel for the strike zone.

1:34	john wick: who do you think will be the youngest prospect in your top 20?

1:34	Eric A Longenhagen: Just off the top of my head, I’m pretty sure it’s Espinoza.

1:34	SDinSEA: This is extreme, but how valuable would a superb defensive player be with Chris Carter’s offensive statline. Pretend somehow Michael Gettys is that guy. What kind of WAR would we be talking about here?

1:34	Eric A Longenhagen: You’re basically talking about Mike Cameron.

1:34	Barnard: If you had to select one current player in minor league baseball who has the chance to become the best player of all time, however minuscule that chance is, who would it be?

1:34	Eric A Longenhagen: Well…my top is guy Moncada.

1:35	SDinSEA: A BA writer wrote that Morejon would have been drafted ahead of Groome. Forgetting any potential makeup concerns, is Morejon a better talent?

1:35	Eric A Longenhagen: You can’t just scrub makeup from the equation.

1:35	Eric A Longenhagen: Morejon has better stuff right now, Groome has more projection.

1:35	Eric A Longenhagen: But I agree Morejon would’ve gone first.

1:35	Dumb Fantasy guy: I traded Isan Diaz last month for Delvin Perez in a deep league (floors matter). How many times should I slap myself right now?

1:36	Eric A Longenhagen: I have the same FVs on them (I think, Delvin is either a 55 or 60) so you didn’t do badly. I really like Diaz.

1:36	SDinSEA: How does the draft crop this year compare to recent years?

1:36	Eric A Longenhagen: I think it’s quite good.

1:37	Eric A Longenhagen: I’m lower on the prep SS group than most but we essentially had one guy last year so….

1:37	Carl Fogarty: At this point, which Reds’ lefty appears poised for the brighter future: Amir Garrett or Cody Reed?

1:37	Eric A Longenhagen: Reed has better stuff, Garrett better control and projection at this point. Reed has the higher ceiling for me but Garrett is at least a backend starter for a long, long time.

1:38	Erik: Do the Cubs have any prospects good enough to be 5th starters ready to come up at some point this year?

1:39	Eric A Longenhagen: Probably one of Zastryzny and Johnson comes up to pitch in that role at some point but I think both of them are depth arms in the long run.

1:39	Skip: Prospect-ish question. Favorite minor league hat? Favorite hat that you own?

1:40	Eric A Longenhagen: I’m not a hat-wearer but I have an IronPigs hat from when I was told to work concessions during my internship there. Jill has a Salt River Rafters hat she wears sometimes. That’s about the extent of baseball hats in our house.

1:40	Kiermaier’s Piercing Green Eyes: Who do you like better going forward, De Leon or Honeywell?

1:40	Eric A Longenhagen: Both 55s for me. I “like” Honeywell more because he’s kind of a unicorn.

1:41	Dan: Should the Yankees permanently move Mateo to CF? Does he have the bat to play there? The glove?

1:41	Eric A Longenhagen: I haven’t done a whole lot of work on him because the Yankees list is still a bit away but my gut tells me that’s ultimately where he ends up. I reserve the right to change my mind on that in the near future, though.

1:42	Rick: Based on your comments on Corey ray, would it be fair to say his ceiling is above a 60?

1:42	Eric A Longenhagen: Oh yeah, if he plays CF and hits 25 homers then he’s probably better than a 60. Not everyone thinks he does either/both of those though.

1:42	Eric A Longenhagen: And the meniscus tear….

1:42	ChiSox2020: Why is Ramon Laureano not getting any love after a great 2016?

1:43	Eric A Longenhagen: I like hhim and wrote about him a few times during the Fall League. Chance to be an everyday guy for me.

1:43	Eric Pardinho: Can you form a projection on me? Or am I too young?

1:44	Eric A Longenhagen: Not too young, your signing day is in less than six months. Good velo, strong body, good breaking ball feel, not much physical projection. A 40 FV for me which is likely to result in relatively high placement on a J2 list.

1:44	Nientsniew: Are you coming to Vanderbilt this year? I’m a student there and would love to chat

1:44	Eric A Longenhagen: Vandy is coming to San Diego so hat’s where I’m seeing their guys. If you get a regional, I’m there.

1:44	Bret: What kind of upside does Mike Soroka have? He had impressive results this year, though his strikeout rate fell as he moved up the ladder.

1:45	Eric A Longenhagen: He’s a #3/4 for me.

1:45	Bork: How high is the risk on De Leon?

1:45	Eric A Longenhagen: Probably higher than is usual for an arm that’s had that kind of success at Triple-A. Injuries, had weight issues in college.

1:45	Eric A Longenhagen: And that fastball can be pretty flat. Some are worried he’s going to be homer prone.

1:45	Monsignor Martinez: Hello Eric! Suppose you could go back in time and give any failed prospect an 80-grade tool. Who would you give to to, and what tool would it be?

1:46	Eric A Longenhagen: I’m trying to decide who would be the most broken pitching prospect if he was given 80 command. Phillippe Aumont?

1:47	Eric A Longenhagen: 80 hit Brandon Wood?

1:47	Philip: Which non top 10 padres prospect do you think can be a top 100 guy in a year? Mason Thompson?

1:47	Eric A Longenhagen: I think that’s a solid guess.

1:47	Frozen carrots: Jahmai Jones. top 100 worthy?

1:47	Eric A Longenhagen: Toward the back, yes.

1:47	E: Which catching prospect’s offensive ceiling do you like best among Mejia, Sisco, Collins, Alfaro? What about for offensive floor?

1:48	Eric A Longenhagen: Alfaro has the highest ceiling but I think it’s more likely that Mejia is the best bat of that group.

1:48	Scraunch Haunch: You put a 70 on Margot’s speed but he stole “only” 32 bases last year (74% success rate). Is that about how you expect someone with 70 grade speed to steal bases, or is there a disconnect between his speed and his ability to steal bases right now?

1:49	Eric A Longenhagen: Probably had fewer opportunities to run than you think. Had like 40 XBH and your’re not running very often in the PCL when Hedges and Renfroe are hitting behind you the way they were last year.

1:49	David: Wow…that KATOH projection for Hader. Seems evaluators are polarized on his projection.

1:50	Eric A Longenhagen: It’s amazing, right? Just another one of those things that, if you think he’s a RP, makes you go back and look and see if you’re missing something.

1:50	CamdenWarehouse: Do the KATOH projections in the Top 25s mean first 6 years in the big leagues, in pro baseball, or just the next 6 years?

1:50	Eric A Longenhagen: Details: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/an-improved-katoh-top-100-list/

1:51	Zonk: If you were a mid-season trade partner with the Cubs, what players would you be targeting? What players are likely to sell for less because they are blocked or org surplus? (like Candy)

1:51	Eric A Longenhagen: If you like the guys that are blocked (Candy and Happ) then feel free to target those guys. Otherwise I’m chasing Albertos and de la Cruz.

1:52	Barry : Why should I get excited about Estevan Florial? Why should I not care?

1:52	Eric A Longenhagen: Twitchy LHB with natural loft, high finish, good bat speed. Yes, be excutted.

1:53	Eric A Longenhagen: excited. Don’t get executed.

1:53	Kernel Mustard: Is it right to say that Jake Bauers doesn’t seem to have any outstanding tool except controlling the strike zone? and what’s the ceiling for someone with that toolset?

1:53	Eric A Longenhagen: Yeah, I’d agree with that.

1:53	Carlo: Curious about your thoughts about Max Schrock. Can he hit enough to be a regular?

1:53	Eric A Longenhagen: I’m skeptical. More of a 45 than a true 50 for me.

1:53	Dylan: MLB Pipeline just put a 70/75 on Matt Chapman’s defense/arm. Combined with his excellent raw power, an I wrong to be super duper excited to see him play in Oakland in the next couple years?

1:54	Eric A Longenhagen: No, I think you’re allowed to be excited about that guy.

1:54	Philip: Do you surf?

1:54	Eric A Longenhagen: Nope.

1:54	Philip: Would Luis Robert be a top 5 IFA in the 2016 period for you?

1:54	Eric A Longenhagen: (nods emphatically)

1:54	john wick: any chance for isan diaz to improve the hit tool? or is the swing what it is at this point?

1:55	Eric A Longenhagen: I suppose there’s a chance but I’m less inclined to argue that he needs to make an adjustment because, while he’s going to swing and miss, his swing allows him to get to his power consistently anyway.

1:55	MeDeKe: Hi Eric, Brett Phillips seems to be the next coming of Matt Joyce – maybe a little less hit tool and a bit more speed? Thanks.

1:55	Eric A Longenhagen: That’s a pretty good comp and reaffirms my 45 FV there.

1:56	John: A non straightforward prospect question. In soccer, you see many clubs loan out their younger players to get regular playing time with other teams in different leagues. Do you think you would ever see an MLB team loan out a prospect to say a Japanese team?

1:57	Eric A Longenhagen: No. The financial gains from such a practice are probably marginal compared to the risk incurred from outsourcing development.

1:57	Young Radicals: With the increasing cost of high-leverage inning arms on the open market, do you think teams will increase their draft and develop focus for relief arms, or continue to use starters who didn’t make it?

1:57	Eric A Longenhagen: Depends on where teams are in the competitive cycle but I’m always leaning on the “we can make relievers from scratch” train.

1:57	Eric Longenhagen: I’m a fan of Jake Bauers. What say you? Keep in mind that I am you.

1:58	Eric A Longenhagen: Stop trying to break my brain.

1:58	David: Where do you see Dozier going now/at the deadline? Giants? Cardinals? Nats? Mets? Does any “likely” team have a prospect package that entices the Twins?

1:58	Eric A Longenhagen: I think Minnesota waits for someone to get hurt so they can leverage that club. Of course, if Dozier starts slow….

1:59	Guy: As of today, if you had the 3rd pick in the 2016 rule 4 draft, the now top-3 on your board are…?

1:59	Eric A Longenhagen: Gah, my FOUR are Faedo, Kendall, Wright and Greene. Don’t make me narrow it to 3 in January.

2:00	Eric A Longenhagen: Also, it depends on the club and my other picks/bonus pool situation.

2:00	Chachi: I’m hearing positive buzz on OFs Jonathan Machado and Victor Garcia in the STL org. Are they the next emerging Cards guys?

2:00	Eric A Longenhagen: I wasn’t big on them in July.

2:00	Eric A Longenhagen: But again, working on that list now so we’ll see if anyone can convince me otherwise.

2:00	seth r: where would you slot luis castillo and austin brice in the reds system? do you think both of them could start for the Reds in 2017?

2:01	Eric A Longenhagen: Excellent question, I updated the Reds list with those guys. Let me apprehend a link for you…

2:01	Eric A Longenhagen: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-30-prospects-cincinnati-reds/

2:01	BobSteve: Should Robert Stephenson be converted to a reliever this year?

2:02	Eric A Longenhagen: Probably not next year because CIN has time to see if he can figure things out but I do expect that to be his future role.

2:02	Hank: How do you view the Braves rebuild as a prospect writer? As a Braves fan, I keep going back and forth. I know people think highly of the system, but rebuilding around pitching just seems so risky.

2:03	Eric A Longenhagen: I’d take comfort in the fact that they clearly have a plan and that it probably includes awareness for the attrition likely to occur with the pitching.

2:03	Mariners101: What does Mitch Haniger project to? Average bat with good defense?

2:04	Eric A Longenhagen: Wrote him up on the Dbacks list and kept him there until the Mariners list gets done so check that out if you want a deeper report. 6 raw power, 6 speed, has made real changes to the swing.

2:04

Richard: I’ve seen conflicting reports on Robert Gsellman. Some say he’s a kitchen sink guy with all average pitches, making him a 4/5. There are also reports that his fastball is plus (at least) and that he has a plus offspeed with potential for growth on other pitches, making him a 2. What do you have to say about this?

2:05	Eric A Longenhagen: It’s a 70 fastball. 92-95 with insane movement. Secondaries are, you’re right, like 50s, 55s. But he locates them pretty well and gets a lot out of them. I think he’s a #3/4 floor guy.

2:05	Eric A Longenhagen: If you have MLB.tv go put on a Gsellman start where he shoved and watch that heater dart around.

2:05	Zonk: Why are there not more Taiwanese prospects? Teams from Taiwan do very well in Little League; where do those players go when they get older?

2:06	Eric A Longenhagen: I don’t have an answer for this but will ask people more in touch with baseball over there what they think. Probably a complex answer to that question.

2:06	baby bull : are there any leading attributes that make Mickey Moniak’s body project able? He seems like a small, skinny kid now, heard he added 20lbs. Interested to see if that causes injury which is always a risk when adding substantial weight. Does he have broad shoulders, tall parents etc

2:06	Eric A Longenhagen: Yeah not you

2:07	Eric A Longenhagen: Yeah, not you’re prototypical frame but he’s not irredeemably skinny. Saw the parents at a game last spring and he’ll probably grow into a stronger, more mature version of what you can already see but he’s not going to be Cutch or Evan Longoria, physically.

2:08	Eric A Longenhagen: I think the Steve Finley body comps are pretty solid. I don’t expect that kind of power from him, though.

2:08	Nick: Faedo and Wright seem like the top tier 2017 college pitchers. I was wondering how would you rank the next tier of guys like Beck, Bukauskas, Houck, Lange, & Solomon?

2:08	Eric A Longenhagen: Right now, probably the order you have them, though Solomon could move up into the middle of that group if you think Houck is a reliever and Lange’s stuff doesn’t bounce back.

2:09	Q-Ball: What impact is the unrest/problems in Venezuela having on player development and scouting there?

2:09	Eric A Longenhagen: There are some scouts who just won’t go there anymore. There are unreported stories of gunpoint muggings and such. It’s a bad situation.

2:10	Frozen carrots: Angels farm is weak overall and top heavy, but is much better than when the year started. Fair assessment?

2:10	Eric A Longenhagen: Probably. I wouldn’t call it “heavy up top” unless you really like Matt Thaiss and I do not. Jones I like, always have. Ward was better in AFL than people expected (guys were putting 30s on him during the season), Marsh is the guy I expect to break out next year.

2:10	RMR: Courtney Hawkins looks like a lost cause as a hitter. Any reason to think he could convert back to the mound? I seem to recall reading that his arm strength has backed up a bit since he was drafted.

2:11	Eric A Longenhagen: Doesn’t have the athleticism for that, in my opinion.

2:11	I: Do you think Vladdy Jr has the tools to be a regular eventually?

2:11	Eric A Longenhagen: I spoke with several people (outside the org, one in) that think he’s in the big leagues at 20.

2:11	Eric A Longenhagen: So, yes.

2:11	Eric A Longenhagen: And I was skeptical of his year as it was happening, for the record. I’m on board now.

2:12	Buddy: Hey Eric love the work you do. What do you think is currently the most deep and talented position group? My opinion is 2B given how many of the SS’s likely won’t stick at short.

2:12	Eric A Longenhagen: That’s a good question and, especially if you think Gleyber moves there, Happ and Moncada stay there, you might be right.

2:13	John: Who of the Padres 16-17 international signing class will be the first to make it to the majors?

2:13	Eric A Longenhagen: Probably Morejon but of the bats I think it’s Rosario.

2:13	Eric A Longenhagen: And yes, I’m including Ona.

2:13	Gavin: Can Gabriel Mejia become Billy Hamilton?

2:14	Eric A Longenhagen: I think there’s a chance, yes. I’m probably the biggest Cheetah fan in the public sphere, though.

2:14	And That: What is your overall grade on Jacob Barnes? He was never really a prospect list darling, especially since becoming a reliever a while ago, but there he was in MIlwaukee last year, throwing 95+ with a really great looking cutter/slider thing.

2:14	Eric A Longenhagen: Loved him in Fall League for what he was. Mid-90s, control, 55 slider. Really solid relief piece.

2:14	baby bull : Benintendi or Dahl for you? seems people are split on them, I lean Benintendi

2:14	Eric A Longenhagen: Same

2:15	baby bull : Who is Red Sox best Defensive CF? Betts Bradley Benintendi?

2:15	Eric A Longenhagen: Bradley

2:15	Dubonald Trump: Regarding Brandon Woodruff, I’ve heard that he’s a control but not command guy. What are the signals that signify that this is case? Is it visual scouting of where the catcher sets up or is it something more statistical?

2:16	Eric A Longenhagen: Clubs definitely have ways of measuring command for minor leaguers now but they are loathe to share them so I assume what you’re hearing about Woodruff (which I think is fair) is probably visual.

2:16	Al: Dillon Tate – prospects for this prospect?

2:17	Eric A Longenhagen: Very much a fluid situation. If he is what he was in the AFL then he’s a 4/5 starter or reliever. If he gets back to what he wwas last spring he’s a potential #2.

2:17

The Tone: Dom Smith can’t win – if the power shows up in a big way this year, people are just going to say it was because he was at Vegas. How hard is it to judge true power in such hitter friendly environments, and do you think Smith’s bat speed and physical maturation will allow his power to play up more?

2:18	Eric A Longenhagen: Yeah, the numbers might be crazy in Las Vegas and it might behoove the Mets to make sure he doesn’t develop any bad habits as a result of the hitting environment there.

2:19	Eric A Longenhagen: Smith has always been more of a 18-22 homer guy at peak for me with like 40 doubles and good D at first. His weight loss is, to me, a sign the latter is more in play than anything else.

2:20	Joe: Have the Braves signed or tried to sign any notable international free agents since July?

2:20	Eric A Longenhagen: Not that I’m aware but I expect them to be in on Robert once he clears.

2:20	Eric A Longenhagen: If he clears. No idea what’s going to happen with the Cuba situation under this new administration.

2:20

RMR: What are your thoughts on teams assigning young guys to Low-A to start the year to get them extra PT vs. holding them in extended ST to wait for the SS affiliates? The White Sox seem to have gotten themselves into trouble with this the last couple of years by starting guys at a level they obviously weren’t prepared for.

2:21	Eric A Longenhagen: Each player is a unique snowflake that requires specific consideration. But yeah I think CHW has been a little aggressive with assignments. New farm director there, though. So maybe some changes.

2:21	Billy Madison: What does AJ Reed need to do to succeed in MLB? His MiLB track record seems too strong to think he can’t be productive at the next level.

2:23	Eric A Longenhagen: If he can get to his power because his approach is so good, then he’s an everyday guy. Even at .250/.350/.450 that’s an average 1B, no?

2:23	Eric A Longenhagen: Be patient. I’ve always been lighter on Reed but I think he’s going to be fine.

2:23	Q-Ball: I know you hate to call players out, but can you think of instances where a player’s development failure lies squarely on the player? Can you name a name?

2:23	Eric A Longenhagen: Donavan Tate

2:24	Norbert Toyota : Which of Luke Weaver, Joe Musgrove, Reynaldo Lopez, Brent Honeywell will be most successful in 2018?

2:24	Eric A Longenhagen: Either Weaver or Musgrove. I’ll say Weaver.

2:25	Adam: Have you hear why Mike Dee, former CEO of the Padres was fired?

2:25	Eric A Longenhagen: Ownership was offended by Brass Monkey lyrics

2:25	dan: Hey Eric! really enjoyed the Cubs prospect list, thanks for the good work as always. If you had to guess, who in the 11-20 range of the system will be in the top 5 next season? also, how much value does Canedlario lose as a potential trade piece, presuming a move from 3rd to 1st?

2:26	Eric A Longenhagen: Paredes would be my pick to rise. Advanced bat, will put up numbers.

2:26	Eric A Longenhagen: Not sure about the 2nd question.

2:27	G: If you had told me two years ago that the Brewers would have one of the top farm systems in 2017, I would’ve assumed Gilbert Lara would be a huge reason why. What went wrong?

2:28	Eric A Longenhagen: He just…doesn’t…hit. None of us ever see him hit. We don’t know what’s going on but when it flashes it’s really impressive so everyone is being patient. Still just a teenager.

2:28	Joe: Have you stopped doing podcast?

2:29	Eric A Longenhagen: No, we had some audio loss issues lately. Screw you, computers!

2:29	Joe Louis: Gavin Lux & Delvin Perez are both obviously a long way off, but what comps come to mind when you think of what they could turn into (and are likely to turn into)?

2:30

Eric A Longenhagen: Lux is like 55 D at SS, maybe some bat to ball and SB skills. Zero power. Delvin is potential 7 at SS, has the bat speed for 6 hit and, if there are proper adjustments made to his swing, like average or better power. His swing would need an overhaul and you’re risking an already solid contact profile if you do it, so I’m not advocating for it. But it’s in there.

2:31	Rafael Roque: Thoughts on Braden Webb? I see he missed the Brewers list? No upside?

2:32	Eric A Longenhagen: Oh, I like Webb and he should probably be in the HM section. Relief for me, went underslot in rd 3.

2:32	Caldwell: Do you watch hockey?

2:32	Eric A Longenhagen: Not anymore.

2:32	Eric A Longenhagen: I used to pretty regularly when I lived in PA. Keith Primeau, etc. Coyotes don’t do it for me.

2:32	Chaz: Outside of Otani, who are the 2 top international guys un-signed?

2:33	Eric A Longenhagen: Robert and, from what I’m hearing, Julio Rodriguez.

2:33	Neel: which team has the worst number 1 prospect?

2:33	Eric A Longenhagen: ARI and LAA both have 50 FVs up top.

2:34

dan: I like Forsythe a lot, but I still felt that 6 years of Jose De Leon was a pretty big overpay. Should I take that as a sign from internal evaluators and lower my expectations for JDL, or keep my evaluation the same and assume the Dodgers had to sacrifice a lot in the future to improve a little now?

2:35	Eric A Longenhagen: I think it’s more of the latter. Forsythe’s value is greater for LA than it is in a vacuum because of what they’re trying to do. They also draft really well, spent a ton of money in Latin America recently and have more assets on the way to either flip or play.

2:35	Eric A Longenhagen: If you think they improved their chances of winning a WS, I’d be stoked they did it without moving Urias, Alvarez or Bellinger.

2:35	Tyler: Where do you envision Leody Taveras and Anderson Tejeda landing on Texas’ Top-10 list? Do either or both make the Top-100?

2:37	Eric A Longenhagen: That list is a ways off but I’m pretty set on Leodys #1, Mendez #2, Tejeda probably somewhere in the top 5. Leodys, Mendez and maybe Ragans or Jurado are top 100 guys.

2:37	Eric A Longenhagen: Ragans’ fastball was filth in the fall. You want a fastball/change/command prospect? That’s your guy.

2:38	Rafael Roque: What’s up with Troy Stokes not on the Brewers list? Last chat you liked him?

2:38	Eric A Longenhagen: My bad, he should be HMs too. He and Trey York confuse me.

2:39	ronnie: how does Sixto Sanchez‘s outlook differ from that of, say, Anderson Espinoza’s at this point?

2:39	Eric A Longenhagen: Espinoza’s secondaries are insane, reports on Sixto’s are more mixed.

2:40	Dudley: How would rate Otani as a major league hitting prospect? Enough upside to justify a DH role, independent of the other thing he does well?

2:40	Eric A Longenhagen: I wouldn’t.

2:41	Gest: How did your diamond mind draft turn out?

2:42	Eric A Longenhagen: Meh. It was okay. I made some moves and added a 1 next year, landed Michael Fulmer, Gsellman, Marquez, Tapia, etc. The Pennsylvania Dutch are in a multi-year rebuild and asking fans and ownership to be patient.

2:43	Andrew: Who do you prefer, Lugo or Gsellman? Eno and Dave disagree on this one.

2:43	Eric A Longenhagen: Gsellman

2:43	Louisville: That was quite a bit of praise for Ray in the Brewers write-up. Do you think their initial promotion of him to High-A was too much and does that hurt his future development at all?

2:44	Eric A Longenhagen: No and no. He was fine there, even if it didn’t show in the statistical output. Hit the ball hard.

2:44	Richard: What are your thoughts on Tommy Edman?

2:45	Eric A Longenhagen: Nice little bat to ball 2B prospect with a good approach. Will need to hit all the way up to retain prospect status which is a familiar archetype for Cardinals prospects and they often succeed in some way.

2:45	Paul: Will these prospect lists be finished by the start of next offseason?

2:45	Eric A Longenhagen: Kiss my ass.

2:45	Colt Holt: Rick ankiel with 80 command!

2:45	Eric A Longenhagen: Also would have been fun.

2:46	Anthony: Is Adames a SS in the long-term?

2:46	Eric A Longenhagen: I think so, especially on that club.

2:46	Sterling Malory Chris Archer: I thought we told you never to mention Phillipe Aumonts name ever again…

2:47	Eric A Longenhagen: There was a three week stretch at Triple-A where he was 94-98 with sink, a 70 curveball and 45 control and he was totally unhittable.

2:47	Eric A Longenhagen: And it never returned

2:48	blurgh: Are grades of the speed tool objective, i.e. derived from a stopwatch, or are they as subjective like the other tools?

2:48	Eric A Longenhagen: Mostly objective w/ the watch but detail added (underway, baserunning) more subective

2:48	Randy Savage: Who are you picking in the Superbowl?

2:49	Eric A Longenhagen: New England.

2:49	Eric A Longenhagen: If they neutralized Antonio Brown they’re likely to do the same to Julio with two weeks of prep, right?

2:49	Guest: What do you think Brinson becomes in the majors?

2:49	Eric A Longenhagen: 20/20 guy who plays a solid CF

2:50	Dumpster Fiers: Shed Long end up in your top 100?

2:50	Eric A Longenhagen: He’s a 50 FV for me and a handful of those guys are going to make the back of the list. So there’s a chance. But I’m not going to shove him on there just to be different.

2:50	Colby: How similar are Keibert Ruiz and Francisco Mejia?

2:51	Eric A Longenhagen: Mejia far more explosive.

2:51	ChiSox2020: Kopech is getting a lot of love without much experience. Is it entirely based on his fastball speed?

2:51	Eric A Longenhagen: and slider, and body and on-field makeup.

2:51	Clit Commander: Braxton garrett, tyler kolek, dererk deitrich, adam conley enough for Quintana?

2:52	Eric A Longenhagen: If I’m CHW, take out Kolek, plug in Brian Anderson and we’ve got a deal.

2:52	Joe: How good would Sadaharu Oh have been in the majors?

2:53	Eric A Longenhagen: I have no idea but it would mean Nigel is wearing a different jersey at the end of Spinal Tap

2:53	Nate: Lot’s of hype for Leody Taveras. What type of upside does he have?

2:53	Eric A Longenhagen: Just on upside? 70 hitter who is a 60 in CF.

2:53	Nate: Does Luis Urias‘ stature limit his upside? He seems to have a special bat besides his power.

2:54	Eric A Longenhagen: It limits the kind of future power you can project. If he were 6-2, 170 and hitting like this he’d be one of the best prospects in baseball.

2:55	Notgraphs: Have you written Joey Gallo off? What does his future look like?

2:55	Eric A Longenhagen: No way, can’t write off an athlete like that with 80 raw. Consider how long it took Nellie Cruz and Chris Davis to tap into their power.

2:56	J: Do you just average out the 5 tools for a prospect’s grade or do you weight some more than others?

2:56	Eric A Longenhagen: No, that way of doing things in antiquated.

2:56	Eric: I was surprised to not see Wladimir Galindo 3B/CHC on your Cubs list. Do you have any thoughts on him?

2:56	Eric A Longenhagen: He’s on there toward the bottom.

2:57	Eric A Longenhagen: Nobody thinks he stay at 3B.

2:57	Eric A Longenhagen: That I spoke with, anyway.

2:57	Rhys: How much do you mentally regress stats from hitting friendly/pitching friendly leagues if you haven’t seen the player yet?

2:58	Eric A Longenhagen: There’s no quantifiable way of doing it, I just take hitting environment into consideration when weighing performance.

2:58	Kevin: How do you feel about Alex Kirilloff and Fernando Romero? I think they will be studs respectfully

2:58	Eric A Longenhagen: I really like Kirilloff, think there’s a chance Romero is a reliever.

2:58	Jay: Mitch Keller going to end up with more hype than Taillon or Glas?

2:59	Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, there are people that think Glasnow is the best pitching prospect in baseball. Can’t get more hyped than that.

3:00	Eric A Longenhagen: Alright all, I’m outta here. Thanks for stopping by. See you next week.

BAL	CHW	LAA
BOS	CLE	OAK
NYY	DET	SEA
TBR	KCR	TEX
TOR	MIN	HOU

ATL	CHC*	ARI
MIA	CIN	COL
WSN	MIL	LAD
NYM*	PIT	SDP*
PHI	STL	SFG