NERD Game Scores for July 4, 2017

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric forefather Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game.

How are they calculated? Haphazardly, is how. An explanation of the components and formulae which produce these NERD scores is available here. All objections to the numbers here are probably justified, on account of how this entire endeavor is absurd.

***

Most Highly Rated Game
Arizona at Los Angeles NL | 21:10 ET
Corbin (90.2 IP, 94 xFIP-) vs. Kershaw (116.1 IP, 66 xFIP-)
The Dodgers currently possess the second-best offense in the majors and also the fourth-best defense in the majors. Or, at the very least, they’ve recorded the second-best offensive and fourth-best defensive marks so far. In either case, it’s not surprising they currently occupy first place in the NL West. What might be surprising is that the D-backs are situated just 2.5 games behind them in that division despite having recorded less strong offensive and defensive marks. Probability suggests that they’ll finish the evening either 1.5 or 3.5 games behind.

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Los Angeles NL Television.

Another Brief Note
Today’s Free Game
Today’s free game features New York NL at Washington, starts at 11:05 ET, and can be accessed by means of this hyperlinked text.

Complete Schedule
Here’s the complete and also sortable table for all of today’s games. Pitching probables and game times aggregated from MLB.com and the rest of the internet. Note that calculations both for team and game NERD scores feature adjustment for postseason odds that increases as season progresses. Read more about those adjustments here and here.

NERD Scores for July 4, 2017
Away SP TM GM TM SP Home Time
Seth Lugo NYN 3 5 5 5 7 WAS Joe Ross 11:05
J.A. Happ TOR 7 3 6 8 5 NYA CC Sabathia 13:05
Matt Cain SF 2 2 4 3 8 DET Michael Fulmer 13:10
JC Ramirez LAA 7 3 4 5 2 MIN Kyle Gibson 14:10
Jose Urena MIA 3 4 4 4 3 STL Lance Lynn 14:15
Chris Archer TB 9 7 7 7 6 CHN Jon Lester 14:20
James Shields CHA 0 4 4 4 7 OAK Daniel Gossett 16:05
Jameson Taillon PIT 8 3 5 3 5 PHI Mark Leiter 16:05
Ubaldo Jimenez BAL 1 3 5 8 8 MIL Jimmy Nelson 16:10
Danny Duffy KC 4 4 4 3 7 SEA Felix Hernandez 18:40
Trevor Cahill SD 9 5 8 7 10 CLE Corey Kluber 19:10
Brad Peacock HOU 8 5 6 3 8 ATL Sean Newcomb 19:35
David Price BOS 3 6 5 5 6 TEX Yu Darvish 20:05
Homer Bailey* CIN 4 6 5 5 3 COL Kyle Freeland 20:10
Patrick Corbin AZ 7 9 9 9 10 LAN Clayton Kershaw 21:10
SP denotes pitcher NERD score.
TM denotes team score.
GM denotes overall game score.
Highlighted portion denotes game of the day.

* = Fewer than 10 IP, NERD at discretion of doomed author.





Carson Cistulli has published a book of aphorisms called Spirited Ejaculations of a New Enthusiast.

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6 years ago

Interested to see if Newcomb nibbles a bit more against such a good offense – Bit of a test for him today.