Effectively Wild Episode 1134: Remembering Roy

EWFI

Ben Lindbergh and Jeff Sullivan mourn the loss of (and celebrate the greatness of) Roy Halladay, then answer listener emails about Halladay’s career, what Aaron Judge and the Astros teach us about strikeouts, whether better pitchers are also better at hitting, the players with the wildest fluctuations in WAR, Eric Hosmer’s stats-defying Gold Glove, the ideal sequencing of 2017 World Series games, the difference between tanking and rebuilding, Yasmani Grandal, Austin Barnes, and the value of catchers, pitch-tipping and gamesmanship, an MLB star signing in NPB, and more.

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Pitch-Framing Data Is Going Insane

The season’s complete, which means the numbers are official. This is convenient for a writer, because it means there shouldn’t be any issues anymore with comparing 2017 to another full season in the past. A full season is a full season. So how about a quick full-season review of the pitch-framing data? There’s something interesting going on. Something dramatic, something that shakes the foundation of the numbers themselves. I have the graphs to prove it.

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Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat – 11/8/17

12:02
Dave Cameron: The normal “Happy Wednesday” greeting seems inappropriate today, given the loss of Roy Halladay yesterday.

12:03
Dave Cameron: So I’ll just welcome you to our chance at a memorial for one of the best pitchers I’ve ever seen.

12:03
Dave Cameron: We’ll do some normal off-season/awards talk too, but if you want to share your favorite Halladay memory, I’d love to read them.

12:05
stever20: So what pitchers of today remind you the most of Halladay?

12:06
Dave Cameron: There isn’t anyone who embodies everything Halladay had. Kluber is maybe closest, so that’s obviously more dominance by strikeouts. Maybe Jose Quintana, though he’s not nearly as good as Halladay was.

12:07
CT: I never rooted for any of Roy Halladay’s teams during his career, but I’ll never forget watching his NLDS no-hitter in 2010 on a 20″ TV because I had no other option that day, but I didn’t care. Seeing Roy pitch, in that game and otherwise, was special and you knew it when you saw it and would put up with just about anything to see him throw.

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How Bad Was Amed Rosario’s Debut, Exactly?

There’s no doubt that Mets shortstop Amed Rosario had a tough debut. He walked three times and struck out 49. Though he showed some power, he usually hit the ball softly and on the ground. Really the only thing that went well, looking back, is that he provided good defense at a position where the team could use an upgrade.

But. How much do we really know about a player after 170 plate appearances? Especially one who hasn’t turned 22 yet? How pessimistic should we be?

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The Cubs Need Yu Darvish

Yu Darvish might be a necessity for a club hoping to keep pace with the NL’s super teams.
(Photo: Mike LaChance)

If Shohei Ohtani isn’t able to play in the major leagues next season, that would quickly make Yu Darvish the clear No. 1 free agent available this winter — and perhaps the only clear top-of-rotation arm. And even if Ohtani is cleared to migrate across the Pacific to play professional baseball, Darvish is likely to walk away as the highest-paid player from this free-agent class.

Yes, Darvish’s awful World Series performance is still fresh in the collective consciousness, but that shouldn’t negate his late-season work with the Dodgers. After some data-informed tweaks (documented here by Eno and also by Andy McCullough of the L.A. Times), Darvish was excellent. With the Dodgers in the second half, the right-hander struck out 61 and walked 13 in 49 innings.

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Has the Next Zack Cozart Passed Through Waivers?

Zack Cozart is going to be an interesting free agent. I mean, at the major-league level, they’re all interesting free agents, but Cozart’s case is particularly intriguing, given his late-blooming power. Cozart seems like one of those guys who was built to take full advantage of a slightly livelier baseball, and given that he’s also a capable shortstop, he’s a valuable asset as long as his power exists. Cozart might not strike it super rich in the coming months, but he’ll get a healthy guarantee from someone. Teams like shortstops who can hit.

Speaking of which, kind of: Zach Vincej. I admit that this is going out on a limb. Not only was Vincej claimed by the Mariners off waivers from the Reds; the Mariners then outrighted Vincej to Triple-A, meaning he’s not on the 40-man roster. Vincej has been freely available, and I wouldn’t say there’s been a feeding frenzy. You probably haven’t heard of him. I hadn’t heard of him. Vincej is not, and never has been, a top prospect. He’s a 26-year-old with nine major-league at-bats.

But I haven’t been able to stop thinking about this. So I felt compelled to put this in writing. Vincej seems like a run-of-the-mill minor-league infielder. Yet he might be just the sort of player who’d most benefit from a promotion.

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What I Loved About Roy Halladay

When a baseball player dies, as Roy Halladay did yesterday, it can be difficult to know what to say. I never met Roy Halladay. I don’t have any personal anecdotes to share or any insight into who he was as a person. I don’t know his family. I only knew him through the television, when I watched him work. And you can’t really know a person that way.

The people that really did know Roy Halladay seemed enamored of him. In awe of him, not just as a player, but as a person. In the last 24 hours, the universal reaction within the baseball community has been that the game lost not just a guy who was great at pitching, but an ambassador for the sport. The stories that have emerged are both heartbreaking and inspiring. Stories like Jayson Werth’s:

“For a guy that was very serious, quiet and reserved, I can remember it like it was yesterday, the look on his face to see us waiting for him to celebrate together,” Werth said. “He loved the game but played for his teammates, for us to love him back like that you could tell it meant a lot. I’d never seen him so genuinely happy. I’ll never forget the expression on his face.”

I never got to see that Roy Halladay. Most of us probably don’t have that kind of connection with him, but yet, there is still the natural desire to mourn. For most of us, Roy Halladay wasn’t really part of our lives anymore, but it still feels like we lost something. So, today, while acknowledging that our loss cannot compare to the sort endured by those who knew him in a more personal way, I’d like to honor the Roy Halladay I did know.

This guy.

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FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 11/7/17

6:21
Paul Swydan:

Do you think the Hall of Fame should waive the fifth year of Roy Halladay’s waiting period and put him on the ballot this year instead of next year?

Yes (35.8% | 95 votes)
 
No (33.2% | 88 votes)
 
I’d like to say yes, but with the ballot so crowded I’m afraid he might crowd out someone deserving. (22.6% | 60 votes)
 
I can’t decide (8.3% | 22 votes)
 

Total Votes: 265
9:01
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody.

9:02
hscer: I wonder what we’re going to be talking about…sigh…

9:02
Nic: RIP Roy Halladay.You will be remembered.

9:02
Nathan: RIP Roy Halladay

9:02
Pablo: Just dug my Doctober shirt out from under my bed and put it in the wash so that I can wear it out this weekend. If you see me at the UT game or around Austin please say hello. RIP

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Roy Halladay: 1977 – 2017

Roy Halladay died in a plane crash on Tuesday, in the Gulf of Mexico, near to the Florida coast. He was the only victim, and he was 40 years old. Halladay loved to fly — following his retirement from baseball in 2013, it became one of his major pursuits.

We know Halladay for his career, and it was an incredible one. He ran a four-digit ERA in 2000, and three years later, he won the AL Cy Young. Seven years later, he won the NL Cy Young, and along the way he threw a perfect game and a playoff no-hitter while making an All-Star roster eight times. Out of a career nearly sidetracked before it really began, Halladay fashioned a Hall-of-Fame-worthy record. Few pitchers have ever worked with such efficient tenacity. As an opponent, Halladay seemed something other than human. He seemed something better. Humans aren’t programmed with such laser-like focus.

Halladay was the model of a professional athlete, and, from the sounds of things, he was the model of a person. He made no enemies, even out of his rivals. Those who knew him have always spoken highly. Some baseball players are said to be the most driven. Halladay actually was. Some baseball players are said to be the hardest workers. Halladay actually was. Some baseball players are said to be worth the price of admission. Halladay actually was. Halladay was everything you could possibly want, and that wasn’t a feeling shared just among fans.

Roy Halladay was your favorite player’s favorite player. He left the game better than it was, and the same could be said of his community. Halladay was one of the special ones. You mourn the special ones. You mourn everybody, every mother and father and daughter and son, but, you mourn the special ones.


Job Posting: Seattle Mariners Baseball Analytics Intern

Position: Seattle Mariners Baseball Analytics Intern

Location: Seattle

Description:
We are seeking an individual with a background in statistical analysis and a passion for baseball. The position will work directly alongside the analytics team on a wide range of projects, providing ample opportunity to directly impact front office decision-making. Start and end dates are flexible, and we will consider applicants who are available for only the summer of 2018, but preference for candidates that can start by Feb. 1.
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