Joey Gallo on Athleticism and Defensive Versatility

Joey Gallo not only slugs like a slugger, he looks like a slugger. Listed at 6-foot-5 and 235 pounds, he’s a large man by any measure. But don’t let that fool you. He’s no plodder. The 23-year-old Texas Rangers infielder-outfielder is far more athletic than many people realize.

It’s no secret that Gallo can propel baseballs long distances — fully half of his 16 home runs this year have traveled at least 430 feet — and it’s equally well known that he whiffs at an alarming rate. No shortage of words have been written about those facets of his game. Far fewer have been written about his ability to handle the hot corner and, if the need arises, positions higher on the defensive spectrum.

Gallo weighed in on his defensive versatility, including his background as a shortstop and as a flame-throwing pitcher, when the Rangers visited Fenway Park last week.

———

Gallo on being drafted as a third baseman: “When I signed, I knew I was good enough to play third base. But I didn’t know how good I was. When I started out, I was playing with Latin guys who were much more advanced in the infield and kind of did things a little bit differently. So, when I signed, I was kind of thrown into that process. I was the only American infielder on our team, and I was a little bit behind. I was also a big guy, so I had to work pretty hard to stay at third. But again, I always knew I was good enough play there.

“I don’t think people realized I could play the position, that I could field the position, and do it at a pretty high level. When I was drafted, they said ‘first baseman,’ even though the Texas Rangers drafted me as a third baseman. MLB Network had me as, ‘Joey Gallo, first baseman, drafted…’ My parents were all pissed. It was weird. Everyone did reports on me as a first baseman, not thinking I could play third base.”

Read the rest of this entry »


Dictating the Action with Joey Votto

“It’s like a boxer who is always trying to lead the guy into his straight. You have to manipulate him with your footwork. Same type of thing in baseball. You have to figure out a way to funnel [the pitcher] into your hot zone. That comes with patience and that comes with accepting or realizing there will be some error on their side.

“It’s almost like as a hitter you have to be a counter puncher. The best way to be a counter puncher is just to sit and wait and absorb and then counter with whatever you think your strength is.”

Joey Votto to David Manel, last September

CLEVELAND – Baseball is an unusual team sport in that the defense possess the ball. Pitchers have the advantage of dictating the action, the location, and type of pitch. But the idea articulated by Votto in the epigraph above is fascinating, this idea of “funneling,” of batters influencing pitchers. It led me to Votto’s locker in the corner of the visiting clubhouse at Progressive Field last week.

A willing and introspective Votto is a great resource if you’re interested in discussing the art of hitting. I suppose it’s akin to having access to this generation’s Ted Williams. I was curious to learn more about this idea of dictating action from the batter’s box, imposing will from there, to learn more about Votto’s renowned selective aggressiveness. Votto leads baseball in the ratio of swings on pitches in zone compared to swings out of the zone as Ben Lindbergh noted recently. But I was particularly curious to speak with Votto because it seems like several of the game’s best young hitters are following elements of Votto’s approach. With the data-density charts that have become available in recent years, we can now see what maturation, what selective aggressiveness, looks like.

Miguel Sano has become a fearsome hitter because he’s more selective. It appears as though he’s looking in a smaller area to do damage this year. While Bryce Harper declined to discuss his approach, he also appears to be having great success by zeroing in. And there was, of course, the great April surprise that was Eric Thames, who credits his success in part to taking advantage of idle hours in South Korea where he learned to be selectively aggressive, or perhaps and even more refined version of that philosophy that Votto dubbed “funneling.”

Read the rest of this entry »


Dave Cameron FanGraphs Chat – 5/31/17

12:01
Dave Cameron: Happy Wednesday, everyone.

12:01
Dave Cameron: Since we last spoke, I (most likely) tore my ACL and contracted a stomach bug that caused me to vomit during the recording of the most recent podcast.

12:02
Dave Cameron: Oh, also, Mike Trout got hurt.

12:02
Dave Cameron: This week sucked.

12:02
Dave Cameron: Let’s talk about happier things.

12:02
Kiermaier’s Piercing Green Eyes: The AL position player WAR leaders right now include Sano (3rd), Dickerson (4th), and Souza (7th). Mike Trout has been the best player in baseball by so far for so long that he can win MVP despite playing for the Angels. Not that Sano, Dickerson, or Souza will still be at the top come October, but how do the voters treat the players on small market non-juggernauts for the non-first place votes? Ortiz got sixth in MVP voting last year, which is farcical, but I can’t picture the Rays’ DH getting votes over names like Correa and Lindor even if you just extrapolate his numbers to a 7.5 WAR season.

Read the rest of this entry »


KATOH’s Most-Improved Pitching Prospects So Far

With nearly two months of games in the books, I’m taking another look at the pitching prospects who have most improved their KATOH+ projections since the preseason. To ensure I am writing up actual prospects rather than fringey ones, I’ve set a minimum KATOH+ projection of 3.0 WAR and listed the five most-improved lesser prospects at the bottom. I did not include guys who are injured or who have graduated to the big leagues. A reminder: a player’s KATOH forecast denotes his projected WAR total over the first six seasons of his major-league career.

Brent Honeywell, RHP, Tampa (Profile)
Preseason KATOH+ Projection: 5.7
Current KATOH+ Projection: 7.5

Honeywell has dominated while splitting time between Double-A and Triple-A this year. He’s struck out 30% of opposing hitters and walked less than 5%. The results haven’t quite been there in Triple-A, as evidenced by his 4.93 ERA, but his 2.89 xFIP explains KATOH’s admiration. He’s become one of baseball’s very best pitching prospects.

Read the rest of this entry »


Daily Prospect Notes: 5/31

Daily notes on prospects from lead prospect analyst Eric Longenhagen. Read previous installments here.

Julian Merryweather, RHP, Cleveland (Profile)
Level: Triple-A   Age: 25   Org Rank: NR   Top 100: NR
Line: 8 IP, 4 H, 0 BB, 8 K

Notes
I left Merryweather off of Cleveland’s offseason list entirely because I had reports from scouts who thought he was succeeding as a 24-year-old in A-ball due to deception, a good changeup, and little else. Turns out that was foolish. Merryweather is 25 but he’s pitched his way to Columbus and he carved up one of the more talented lineups in the International League yesterday, garnering swings and misses with all three pitches. He’s deceptive, athletic, touched 95 several times, flashed a plus curveball and changeup, and despite some issues timing all the moving parts of his delivery, he threw lots of strikes. There are scouts who think he fits better in relief, but he has mid-rotation stuff.

Read the rest of this entry »


NERD Game Scores for May 31, 2017

Devised originally in response to a challenge issued by sabermetric forefather Rob Neyer, and expanded at the request of nobody, NERD scores represent an attempt to summarize in one number (and on a scale of 0-10) the likely aesthetic appeal or watchability, for the learned fan, of a player or team or game.

How are they calculated? Haphazardly, is how. An explanation of the components and formulae which produce these NERD scores is available here. All objections to the numbers here are probably justified, on account of how this entire endeavor is absurd.

***

Most Highly Rated Game
Milwaukee at New York NL | 19:10 ET
Guerra (8.2 IP, 98 xFIP-) vs. deGrom (64.0 IP, 68 xFIP-)
Because the author himself wasn’t aware, it’s possible that at least one reader isn’t currently aware of how good Jacob deGrom has been so far this season — in particular at missing bats. Among the league’s 92 qualified pitchers, he’s recorded the second-lowest contact rate (68.1%), the fourth-highest swinging-strike rate (15.3%), and the third-highest overall strikeout rate (32.2%). There’s obviously quite a lot of interaction between those metrics; in each case, however, one is forced to reach the conclusion that Jacob deGrom is missing a lot of bats.

By what means is he doing it? Largely by recording much higher whiff rates on every pitch. Regard, deGrom’s repertoire from 2016 versus the current season (data care of Brooks Baseball):

Jacob deGrom’s Whiff Rate by Pitch, 2016 vs. -17
Pitch Type 2016 Count 2016 Wiffs 2017 Count 2017 Whiffs Whiff Diff
Fourseam 989 12.3% 444 18.2% 5.9%
Sinker 412 5.6% 151 11.9% 6.3%
Change 261 21.8% 93 20.4% -1.4%
Slider 434 12.9% 268 16.4% 3.5%
Curve 254 10.6% 84 14.3% 3.7%
SOURCE: Brooks Baseball

Readers’ Preferred Broadcast: Milwaukee Radio or New York NL TV.

Read the rest of this entry »


The Strike Zone Is Changing

Even though the existence of this piece is based on opinions relayed to me by multiple players, none of those players’ actual name appear within it. Why? Because nobody wants to go on record about the strike zone. They do have feelings about that zone, though. Especially lefties. And there’s evidence that the lefty strike zone is changing.

One lefty slugger was recently telling me about his approach and then made sure that we were off the record to throw in an aside: “… because they’re calling the lefty zone more true on the inside these days.” A catcher was adamant that he’d heard from umpire crew chiefs that there was an added emphasis on those pitches in to lefties. Another catcher echoed the sentiment and added that umpires were looking harder at the bottom of the zone. One lefty hitter called it garbage. A third catcher just shook his head at the whole thing.

Though none of these players would put their name to the complaint — fair, since they have to interact with the umpires going forward and wouldn’t want to poison that conversation and put a bullseye on their backs — there was enough smoke here to investigate the situation for fire.

Read the rest of this entry »


Effectively Wild Episode 1064: Harper Throws Hands, Trout Hurts His

EWFI

Ben Lindbergh and a Jeff Sullivan substitute banter about Clayton Kershaw, then discuss all of the fallout from Mike Trout’s surgery and Bryce Harper’s brawl.

Read the rest of this entry »


FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 5/30/17

4:38
Paul Swydan:

What is tonight’s best 6-7 pm ET matchup?

OAK (Gray) vs. CLE (Bauer) (17.8% | 27 votes)
 
NYY (Severino) vs. BAL (Tillman) (17.8% | 27 votes)
 
ARI (Ray) vs. PIT (Nova) (35.7% | 54 votes)
 
LAD (Maeda) vs. STL (Wacha) (21.8% | 33 votes)
 
CIN (Wojciechowski) vs. TOR (Happ) (0.6% | 1 vote)
 
MIL (Davies) vs. NYM (Pill) (0.6% | 1 vote)
 
PHI (Velasquez) vs. MIA (Nicolino) (0.6% | 1 vote)
 
SEA (Miranda) vs. COL (Anderson) (4.6% | 7 votes)
 

Total Votes: 151
4:40
Paul Swydan:

What is tonight’s best 8 pm ET or later matchup?

TB (Andriese) vs. TEX (Martinez) (0% | 0 votes)
 
BOS (Sale) vs. CHW (Quintana) (75.6% | 124 votes)
 
HOU (Fiers) vs. MIN (Berrios) (9.1% | 15 votes)
 
DET (Verlander) vs. KC (Skoglund) (0.6% | 1 vote)
 
ATL (Colon) vs. LAA (Bridwell) (3.6% | 6 votes)
 
CHC (Butler) vs. SD (Lamet) (4.2% | 7 votes)
 
WAS (Gonzalez) vs. SF (Samardzija) (6.7% | 11 votes)
 

Total Votes: 164
4:44
Paul Swydan:

What June movie are you most excited to see?

Wonder Woman (6/2 release) (33.3% | 42 votes)
 
Capt. Underpants (6/2) (5.5% | 7 votes)
 
The Mummy (6/9) (10.3% | 13 votes)
 
All Eyez on Me (6/16) (4.7% | 6 votes)
 
Rough Night (6/16) (1.5% | 2 votes)
 
Cars 3 (6/16) (8.7% | 11 votes)
 
47 Meters Down (6/16) (1.5% | 2 votes)
 
Baby Driver (6/28) (11.9% | 15 votes)
 
Despicable Me 3 (6/30) (9.5% | 12 votes)
 
Other (say in comments) (12.6% | 16 votes)
 

Total Votes: 126
4:46
Paul Swydan:

If a manager challenges a call in the first three innings, what is your reaction?

Great job! Get every call you can! (25.3% | 39 votes)
 
Good job, I think we’ll get that one. (20.7% | 32 votes)
 
Meh (36.3% | 56 votes)
 
Bad job, we need to save that challenge (3.2% | 5 votes)
 
My manager is an idiot, so this is probably a bad challenge (14.2% | 22 votes)
 

Total Votes: 154
9:00
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody!

9:00
Jeff Zimmerman: Hi

Read the rest of this entry »


Grading the Pitches: Clayton Kershaw, 2016

Previously
Changeups: AL Starters / NL Starters.
Curveballs: AL Starters / NL Starters.
Cutters and Splitters: MLB Starters.
Four-Seamers: AL Starters / NL Starters.
Sinkers: MLB Starters.
Sliders: AL Starters / NL Starters.
Two-Seamers: MLB Starters.

Over the last few weeks in this space, I have been painstakingly grading the individual pitches of every 2016 ERA-qualifying starter. Unfortunately, Clayton Kershaw didn’t pitch enough innings to be included. He is special enough to deserve his own article, however.

Read the rest of this entry »