The Dodgers’ AJ Pollock Is Picking up the Slack

When AJ Pollock went down with a Grade 2 right hamstring strain in early September, it wasn’t entirely clear that he would be available to the Dodgers for the postseason, let alone remain as productive as he’d been. Fortunately for Los Angeles, the 33-year-old left fielder made a quick return, hit reassuringly well over the season’s final days — .300/.389/.867 (214 wRC+) in 36 plate appearances post-injury — and is well-positioned to help pick up the slack for the injured Max Muncy, who dislocated his left elbow on the final day of the regular season. In Game 2 of the Division Series against the Giants on Saturday night, the Dodgers’ left fielder played a key role in all three of their rallies.

Pollock, who had taken a pair of 0-for-3s in the NL Wild Card game and the Division Series opener, first made an impact upon Game 2 as part of a move that backfired on the Giants. With two outs and Chris Taylor on second base in the second inning, he got ahead of Kevin Gausman 2-0 by laying off a 95-mph fastball just below the strike zone and then an 85-mph splitter low and away. Rather than challenge him in the zone and risk a big hit, the Giants elected to intentionally walk Pollock, who was batting eighth, to bring up pitcher Julio Urías, a decent hitter who made the Giants pay by driving in the Dodgers’ first run of the series with an RBI single. Pollock took third and then scored on Mookie Betts‘ single.

In the sixth, Cody Bellinger’s bases-loaded, two-run double off reliever Dominic Leone — who taken over for Gausman and made an inauspicious entry by walking Taylor — extended the Dodgers’ lead to 4-1. On Leone’s very next pitch, a slider right on the outside corner, Pollock reached out and lashed it to left field for another two-run double:

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Grandal and García Help White Sox Deny Astros ALDS Sweep, Force Game 4

Most sports fans likely would’ve guessed that the weirdest thing they would see Sunday had already occurred. Hapless NFL kickers, a bizarre ground rule double, and an unlikely walk-off home run had peppered the first two-thirds of the day. Then the Astros and White Sox combined to score fifteen runs during the first four innings of their Game 3 tilt in Chicago, with an epic and somewhat controversial crescendo packed into a wild 90 minutes at a boisterous Guaranteed Rate Field.

Dylan Cease blazed through the top of the first inning, which ended with an emphatic 100-mph fastball blown past Alex Bregman. After that moment, the game became a grinding, roller coaster affair, with several haymakers thrown over the next few innings, culminating in a five-run third and three-run fourth for the White Sox, respectively the largest and the decisive blow in their 12–6 victory to keep the season alive for a Game 4 on Monday.

Chicago chipped away immediately as part of a high-stress first inning for Astros starter Luis Garcia, who was constantly blowing into his pitching hand as if he were cold. Turns out, he was. A Tim Anderson leadoff single would eventually score via an Eloy Jiménez knock to center field, but there were signs of danger beyond that. Garcia fell behind hitters, got away with a grooved 2–0 fastball to José Abreu, and watched Yasmani Grandal crush a ball into foul territory, as all three outs he got in the first were put in play at 95 mph or above. The White Sox only got one run out of it, but the 25-pitch first inning for Garcia, lasting nearly 30 minutes, was a portent of doom for Houston.

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FanGraphs Live: Brewers/Braves Game 3 Watch-Along, 1:00 PM ET Today

Join me and Jay Jaffe today live on Twitch as we watch Game 3 of the Brewers/Braves NLDS and catch up on a weekend of playoff baseball. With all four playoff series in action, Monday boasts a full slate and there’s plenty to discuss.

We’ll also be joined by an illustrious list of guests, headlined by Jason Martinez and “whoever at FanGraphs is not buried with work and wants to hop on Zoom with us.” You’re going to be watching day baseball anyway, so come join the FanGraphs crew — on our Twitch channel or on the homepage — and enjoy a tremendous pitching matchup of Ian Anderson against Freddy Peralta with us. Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: Tampa Bay Rays Research and Development Intern

Position: Research and Development Intern

The Tampa Bay Rays are in search of their next Research and Development Intern. The Rays R&D group helps shape their Baseball Operations decision-making processes through the analysis and interpretation of data. They are seeking those with a passion for baseball and a desire to contribute through mathematics, data analysis and computation. Their next intern will be an intellectual contributor that can work both individually and collaboratively, coming up with interesting research questions to explore, find ways to answer those questions with the data at their disposal, communicate the results of their research, and work to apply their research outcomes to improve how the Rays organization operates. The Rays want to work with people who care about being a good teammate, want to make a positive impact on their organization, have an innovative spirit, and will explore new ways to make the team better. Does this describe you? Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: Colorado Rockies Analyst Roles

Please note, this posting contains to positions.

Position Title: Analyst

Department: Baseball Research & Development
Reports To: Director, Baseball Research & Development

Position Summary:
The Colorado Rockies Organization is seeking an individual with a passion for baseball and data analysis to join their growing Baseball Research & Development team. This person will focus on performing data analysis to support decision making in all facets of baseball, including player evaluation, roster construction, player development, advance scouting, and in-game strategy.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Develop statistical models and perform general quantitative analysis to support all areas of baseball operations and organizational decision making.
  • Design and build informative data visualizations for use in automated reports or ad hoc projects.
  • Effectively present completed projects and communicate new insights to decision makers and other staff.
  • Maintain a knowledge of the latest data analysis techniques and data sources to aid in the continual development of the department.
  • This job description is not intended to be a comprehensive list of duties and responsibilities required by the employee.
  • The responsibilities required by the employee may change over time and without notice.

Job Qualifications:
Education and Work Experience

  • Advanced degree or equivalent experience in statistics, data science, computer science, machine learning or a related field.
  • Experience with analyzing datasets and training statistical models using R or Python.
  • Experience working with SQL-like databases, such as MySQL, SQL Server or PostgreSQL.
  • Experience collaborating on code with the use of source control, such as Git.

Relevant Skills

  • Familiarity with the rules of baseball and an understanding of sabermetrics strongly desirable.
  • Passion for baseball and familiarity with current baseball research.
  • Ability to communicate effectively, both in writing and orally.
  • Strong intellectual curiosity.
  • Ability to develop and maintain successful working relationships.

Working Conditions/Work Schedule:

  • Ability to work a flexible schedule with long hours, including weekend, evenings, and holidays.
  • Some travel will be required.
  • Consistent, punctual and regular attendance.

Application Process:
Qualified candidates should submit their resume and letter of interest no later than October, 18, 2021. Candidates can apply using this link, or by sending their materials to baseballjobs@rockies.com.

Position Title: Baseball Operations Analyst

Department: Baseball Operations

Position Summary:
The Colorado Rockies Organization is seeking a full-time Baseball Operations Analyst within the Baseball Operations Department. This individual will join the Baseball Operations team and will support Operations and Analysis initiatives within the department. Within Operations, they will assist in salary arbitration, administration of rosters, understand and apply industry rules and regulations, administrative duties, and ad-hoc projects. Within Analysis, they will assist in research pertaining to contract markets, baseball economics, statistical analysis, on-field strategy, and ad-hoc. In addition, they will interact with Major League Staff, Players, and Front Office to implement and operationalize organizational initiatives. The position requires a strong work ethic, attention to detail, willingness to learn, ability to communicate technical concepts to non-technical stakeholders, creatively problem solve, work within cross-functional teams, and have a passion for baseball.

Duties & Responsibilities:
Operations

  • Assist in daily administrative duties of Baseball Operations department.
  • Utilize MLB and proprietary Rockies’ software systems to assist in roster management and report building.
  • Support salary arbitration process.
  • Interpret and apply Major League Baseball rules and regulations.
  • Complete ad-hoc projects and implement initiatives as directed by Front Office and Major League staff.
  • Improve department efficiency and effectiveness of operational processes.

Analysis

  • Work autonomously or within a team to support contract markets, baseball economics, analysis, on-field strategy, and ad-hoc research projects.
  • Partner with Research and Development team to develop robust analytics and actionable insights to enable key business decisions.
  • Conduct, distill, and present research projects.

Job Requirements
Education and Work Experience

  • Bachelor’s degree or equivalent (preferably in an analytical field or related experience)

Relevant Skills

  • Proficiency with Excel and PowerPoint and willingness to learn new products. Experience with SQL is a plus.
  • Ability to solve complex problems and develop creative solutions with high attention to detail.
  • Comfortable working with large data sets to develop actionable insights.
  • Ability to work under deadlines with competing priorities in a fast-paced and sometimes ambiguous environment.
  • Experience operating within cross-functional teams and ability to influence without authority.
  • Excellent written and verbal communication skills.
  • Passion for baseball.

Work Environment

  • Ability to work a flexible schedule including long hours, weekends, evenings, and holidays.
  • Some travel may be required.
  • Consistent, punctual and regular attendance.

Application Process
Qualified candidates should submit their resume and letter of interest no later than October, 18, 2021. Candidates can apply using this link, or by sending their materials to baseballjobs@rockies.com.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Colorado Rockies.


Buoyed By a Break, Red Sox Win ALDS Game 3 With Walk-off Blast

BOSTON — It’s a shame that one team had to lose. In a game that will go down as a postseason classic, the Boston Red Sox walked off the Tampa Bay Rays, 6–4, on a 13th-inning home run by Christian Vázquez to win Game 3 of the ALDS and take a 2–1 series lead.

Now, on to what transpired.

The eventful first inning epitomized modern-era baseball. Red Sox right-hander Nathan Eovaldi fanned three Rays batters in the top half but also gave up an Austin Meadows home run — a 406-foot shot off the back wall of the visiting bullpen — that followed a Wander Franco single. In the bottom half, Rays right-hander Drew Rasmussen was taken deep by Kyle Schwarber — this one at 390 feet — but then fanned Rafael Devers after giving up a 104.8-mph single off the Green Monster by Enrique Hernández.

Eight batters into the game, we had four strikeouts, two home runs, and a pair of singles, one of which would have been a double in 29 other ballparks. Moreover, all four batted balls were hit with triple-digit exit velocity. Again, modern-era baseball: whiffs, dingers, and Statcast readings to measure it all. A three-strikeout, one-walk top of the second only added to the three-true-outcome mix. Read the rest of this entry »


Effectively Wild Episode 1757: Farewell to Rhubarb

EWFI

Meg Rowley and guest co-host Mike Ferrin of MLB Network Radio discuss his recent trip to Monument Valley before recapping the weekend’s ALDS and NLDS action and looking ahead to what might come next, including thoughts on the Giants’ approach to platooning, Cody Bellinger‘s season-long slump, AJ Pollock‘s past postseason woes, the Brewers offense, Eduardo Escobar, Milwaukee’s bullpen, Atlanta’s starters, Houston’s bats, Craig Kimbrel‘s role, Wander Franco, the Rays’ young starters, J.D. Martinez and Kiké Hernández providing thump in Boston’s lineup, and Alex Cora’s strategy to contain Tampa’s offense. Then Meg and Mike listener emails on spitting, the strike zone, a robo ump compromise, a creative proposal to score series rather than games, and rookies adjusting to the big leagues. Plus, a Statblast/Meet a Major Leaguer combo on player debuts versus and for the Kansas City Royals. Read the rest of this entry »


On Ghosts and Pickpockets: How the Dodgers Swiped NLDS Game 2

Baseball lends itself to stories, October baseball perhaps most of all. During the regular season, a team’s narrative can unfurl slowly. The postseason, by contrast, is marked by the frantic crowning of heroes and chokers. Subplots abound, and the identity of the game’s central character isn’t always clear until the late innings.

After losing to the San Francisco Giants, 4–0, in Game 1 of the NLDS, the Los Angeles Dodgers hoped to even the series on Saturday. The Giants, for their part, were looking to push the Dodgers to the edge of elimination. In the process, the two teams told three different tales.

The Hero’s Journey, Deferred
If you had told the Giants in June that Kevin Gausman would be starting Game 2 of the NLDS, they would have been thrilled. Heading into the All-Star break, he had posted a 1.73 ERA and a 2.57 FIP, led by a four-seam fastball that finishes batters high and a devilish splitter that wipes them out low and is among the best in the game.

But after a scintillating first half, Gausman faltered. He posted a 4.42 ERA and a 3.65 FIP. His splitter had less sink. He tinkered with his pitch mix, toying with throwing more sliders and what Pitch Info classifies as changeups, though not to particularly great effect. The final month of the season suggested a course correction, though not quite a return to form, an assessment seemingly shared by Gabe Kapler when he tapped Logan Webb to start Game 1 of the series.

And for the first few innings of Saturday’s game, you could see why. Gausman threw first-pitch balls to three of the first four batters he faced. In the second, Chris Taylor doubled. After a Cody Bellinger strikeout, Gausman fell behind AJ Pollock, 2–0, and Kapler opted to put him on intentionally to get to Julio Urías. But the pitcher and his .203 season average slapped a hanging splitter for a single, scoring Taylor; Mookie Betts followed with an RBI single of his own (his third hit this series and fifth this postseason).

It looked like Gausman’s night might end half an inning later, as Kapler almost pinch hit Tommy La Stella for his starter when San Francisco threatened after a Wilmer Flores walk and a Brandon Crawford single. Ultimately, though, he thought better of it when a Donovan Solano sacrifice fly plated a run and pushed the Giants to two outs, and Gausman rewarded that faith by settling down and retiring the next nine batters he faced. It seemed like it might be the sort of start that, provided the Giants rallied, would be described as gritty — not dominant, but necessary in the march to the World Series.

Then the sixth inning hit.

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Sunday Notes: Arozarena’s Steal Would Have Been Nullified By a Strike

In what might be the most-thrilling play we’ll see all October, Tampa Bay Rays outfielder Randy Arozarena successfully executed a straight steal of home in Game One of the ALDS. Moments later, I shared the following on Twitter:

Instead of calmly throwing a ball right down the middle for strike three to end the inning, Taylor panicked.”

Journalist friend Bruce Schoenfeld responded as follows:

That is exactly right. I kept waiting for the announcers to say it. I wrote a [Sports Illustrated] piece on straight steals of home & talked to every active player who’d done it. They agreed that nobody should ever try with two out and two strikes, All the pitcher has to do is throw a strike.”

In other words, Arozarena’s theft could have been nullified.

I checked with a rules expert to make sure Bruce and I weren’t mistaken. According to Chris Welsh — a former big-league pitcher and current Cincinnati Reds radio and TV analyst who runs the website Baseball Rules Academy — we had it right. Had Red Sox reliever Josh Taylor simply remained on the rubber and thrown a pitch that landed in strike zone, the batter would have been out and the inning would have been over. Instead, he made the mistake of stepping off, thereby making himself a fielder and not a pitcher. His hurried heave toward home plate wasn’t nearly in time.

Again, there were two outs and two strikes on the batter. Read the rest of this entry »


Behind Max Fried, Braves Even NLDS as Brewers Can’t Find Offense

For both the Braves and Brewers, postseason success shares a similar blueprint: length from the starters, timely hits from the lineup, hope for the best with the bullpen (albeit at different times). Milwaukee executed that to perfection in Game 1 of this NLDS; in Game 2, it was Atlanta’s turn, with the Braves drawing the series even with a 3–0 win.

The difference on Saturday was Max Fried, who out-dueled Brandon Woodruff with six shutout innings, striking out nine against just three hits and zero walks. The lefty needed only 81 pitches to record his 18 outs before giving way to three relievers, who dodged plenty of trouble but managed to secure the final three frames with no damage. Like Corbin Burnes in Game 1, Fried didn’t so much beat opposing batters as brush them aside; Willy Adames was the lone Brewer to make it as far as second base against him on a sixth-inning double. Most of his outing was whiffs and soft contact, with Adames’ double the only ball in play he allowed to crack the 100 mph exit velocity mark. At-bats and innings were over in flashes.

The explanation for Fried’s success is simple: He threw strikes. Of his 81 pitches, 58 were in the zone, a 71.6% rate, which he pounded with his four-seamer — humming in at 95 mph on average — before busting out his slider and curve to finish things. Not normally a big swing-and-miss pitcher, he racked up a dozen whiffs on the day, six on the slider, to go with a CSW (called strikes + whiffs) rate of 40%; of his nine strikeouts, seven were swinging. By the time the middle innings rolled around, he’d found a groove: The final 10 Brewers hitters he faced all started their at-bats with a strike, and just two of them reached base. Read the rest of this entry »