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2025 ZiPS Projections: Los Angeles Dodgers

by
December 10, 2024

For the 21st consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Los Angeles Dodgers.

Batters

They’re the Dodgers, so as usual, they have big stars, good depth, and a truckload of versatility at most positions. Is that ’nuff said?

A 7-WAR projection for a DH is, of course, bananas, and ZiPS actually has a 40/40 season as the average Shohei Ohtani projection, not an aspirational goal. Naturally, he’s got a great shot at going 50/50 again, though I have to wonder if, now that he’s reached that milestone and will be back to pitching, the Dodgers will insist on him being more conservative with his baserunning. Read the rest of this entry »


The Dodgers Bring Back Blake Treinen, Add Michael Conforto

by
December 9, 2024
Wendell Cruz and Kelley L Cox-Imagn Images

While the New York Mets were busy spending three-quarters of a billion bucks, the defending champion Dodgers were making a couple of lower-key moves, re-signing reliever Blake Treinen and signing outfielder Michael Conforto. Treinen, a Dodger since 2019, will make $22 million over the next two seasons. Conforto arrives in Los Angeles on a one-year, $17 million contract after two seasons with the organization’s biggest rival, the San Francisco Giants.

Treinen is a known commodity for the Dodgers, so this is basically a status quo signing. He had a solid first season with the organization in 2020 — 3.86 ERA, 3.15 FIP, 25 2/3 innings — and won a World Series, and then he was even better in 2021, posting a 1.99 ERA and 2.88 FIP across 72 1/3 innings. However, in 2022, Treinen’s shoulder started becoming a problem. After the season, he had surgery to repair his labrum and rotator cuff, forcing him to miss all of 2023. This March, his spring training was interrupted when he was hit by a line drive that bruised his lung, but that didn’t prevent him from having a successful campaign. His velocity was down a bit, though the dip had little effect on his results: 1.93 ERA, 3.00 FIP, 46 2/3 innings. And while his sinker wasn’t the weapon it was before the shoulder surgery, his sweeper was scarier than ever.

ZiPS Projection – Blake Treinen
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2025 6 3 3.13 49 1 46.0 37 16 4 14 49 131 0.8
2026 6 3 3.61 52 1 47.3 42 19 5 16 47 113 0.6

ZiPS Percentiles – Blake Treinen
Percentile ERA+ ERA WAR
95% 318 1.28 2.0
90% 242 1.69 1.7
80% 188 2.17 1.4
70% 165 2.48 1.2
60% 144 2.84 1.0
50% 131 3.13 0.8
40% 120 3.41 0.7
30% 107 3.82 0.4
20% 93 4.38 0.2
10% 78 5.22 -0.1
5% 68 6.04 -0.4

Bringing back Treinen doesn’t really change the outlook of the Dodgers bullpen, simply because it already looked pretty nasty, especially if you agree with ZiPS. (Steamer isn’t quite as bullish on their relief corps.) Treinen does have some associated downside risk to keep in mind beyond the normal pitcher injury stuff. He didn’t reach his final form until he was around 30, so he’s probably a bit older than most people think; he turns 37 at the end of June. While I always tell people that “hitters age, pitchers break,” Treinen is approaching ages where actual decline beyond normal injury/attrition is a thing that happens. The Dodgers have more than enough depth to deal with this, should it come to pass.

Adding Conforto isn’t quite as sexy a move as it would have been four years ago. With the Mets, Conforto had established himself as an All-Star talent, with a 133 wRC+ and 13.5 WAR in just under 2,000 plate appearances from 2017 through 2020. But a hamstring injury and a case of COVID marred his 2021 season, and a shoulder injury from a workout during the offseason lockout resulted in surgery that cost him the entire 2022 campaign. Signed with the Giants to a make-good contract before 2023, Conforto’s first season back from injury was rather underwhelming, with a bland .232/.344/.384 triple-slash line, a 99 wRC+, and 0.8 WAR, but he bounced back in 2024, though not quite to his previous levels. Across 488 plate appearances, he hit .237/.309/.450 with 20 home runs, a 112 wRC+, and 1.3 WAR.

Naturally, the Dodgers will not be counting on Conforto to be one of the grand movers of the offense. At this stage in his career, he’s basically taking over the role of late-period Jason Heyward, in that he’s a lefty-hitting corner outfielder who’ll complement the team’s righty-hitting role players, such as Andy Pages and Chris Taylor. ZiPS projects a .766 OPS from Conforto against right-handed pitchers in 2025 for the Dodgers.

ZiPS Projection – Michael Conforto
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2025 .232 .317 .422 388 52 90 18 1 18 66 43 108 1 104 1.0

ZiPS Percentiles – Michael Conforto
Percentile 2B HR BA OBP SLG OPS+ WAR
95% 26 28 .279 .366 .535 144 3.1
90% 24 25 .266 .354 .503 133 2.5
80% 22 22 .254 .340 .471 122 1.9
70% 20 21 .246 .331 .453 117 1.7
60% 19 19 .237 .324 .439 110 1.3
50% 18 18 .232 .317 .422 104 1.0
40% 17 17 .224 .310 .402 99 0.7
30% 16 15 .215 .303 .387 93 0.4
20% 14 13 .205 .291 .365 83 -0.1
10% 12 11 .191 .274 .334 71 -0.8
5% 10 9 .179 .259 .308 60 -1.3

Having Conforto on the roster clarifies a couple other unanswered questions when looking at the Dodgers. Dalton Rushing saw a good bit of time in the outfield for Triple-A Oklahoma City this past year, but I suspect that until the Dodgers are ready to use him in a full-time role, they’d rather see him get at-bats in the minors than fight for scraps in the majors. It also likely ensures that Mookie Betts will primarily be an infielder in 2025, unless injuries strike. Conforto’s signing probably doesn’t have much of an effect on whether Los Angeles brings back free agent Teoscar Hernández returns, though Pages may end up without a roster spot should Hernández return.

Do Treinen and Conforto make the Dodgers a significantly better team? Of course not. But they are a deeper, more resilient group with the two of them around.


2025 ZiPS Projections: Baltimore Orioles

by
December 6, 2024

For the 21st consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Baltimore Orioles.

Batters

Anthony Santander was a lot of fun in 2024. He’s currently a free agent, but the projections suggest that when we talk 2025 and beyond, he’s arguably less impactful to the Orioles than he would be to practically every other team in the majors. That’s because the Orioles have plenty of depth in corner outfield; they should get a full season of Heston Kjerstad in right field and Colton Cowser in left, and it’s possible that Coby Mayo could get some corner outfield reps as well. You can’t expect the O’s to match Santander’s home run count, but they have enough solid players to overcome his potential departure. ZiPS has a surprisingly optimistic view of Daz Cameron as a reserve outfielder, despite his weak showing with the A’s last season. The Orioles must see something there as well, considering they brought him back to the organization after less than a year away; he spent all of 2023 with Triple-A Norfolk.

There’s been a bit of panic among some O’s fans – at least mild panic if that’s not a misnomer – about Adley Rutschman and Jackson Holliday, but it’s far too soon to start worrying that much. Rutschman’s not at an age where decline is likely, and even with a slightly diminished projection, he still looks to be a big plus in the lineup. Holliday struggled in the majors, especially during his initial stint, but this is a player who just turned 21 on Wednesday. This is likely still a story of awesomeness delayed rather than cancelled.

The offense is very solid just about everywhere. Gunnar Henderson is the best player on the team and the new face of the franchise. He was in the MVP conversation early, and even though Aaron Judge, Bobby Witt Jr., and Juan Soto pulled ahead of him, Henderson was still an eight-win player in 2024. If this lineup has a weakness, it’s at 1B and/or DH; both positions still project as adequate, but they’re just not very exciting. I’m admittedly unusure exactly what effect the new dimensions in left field will have on this offense. So, question marks!

There’s probably not much the Orioles really have to do here. It wouldn’t be a problem for them to add a bat on the easy side of the defensive spectrum, but it’s not absolutely crucial.

I’ve already mentioned Mayo, but ZiPS also thinks Samuel Basallo is very close to being big league quality right now, and it gives strong long-term projections for Enrique Bradfield Jr., who is a possible eventual successor to Cedric Mullins in center field. ZiPS is also surprisingly excited about third-round pick Austin Overn, but the long-term error bars are massive because ZiPS uses college translations for players with a lack of professional experience.

Pitchers

The Orioles have most of a solid rotation assembled, which is a good thing. The problem is, of course, that the part missing is the hardest part to find, that guy at the top who you can count on to throw 180 innings and be somewhere in the Cy Young discussion. Perhaps Grayson Rodriguez or someone will take that big step forward and become that guy, but right now, the O’s don’t have anybody to replace free agent Corbin Burnes if they do not re-sign him. Given that this is the difference between a high-80s-win team and a low-90s win team in the projections, this ought to be a crucial issue to address, and it’s going to need investment. This is arguably the moment where you see just how serious new ownership is about not squeezing pennies until they scream. Right now, the starting rotation looks a bit like when you painstakingly restore a cool early-70s muscle car, turn it on, and then realize it’s not working because you totally forget that it needs an engine.

But aside from the missing ace, things look pretty solid. A full season of Zach Eflin is a good thing and Kyle Bradish will eventually return from Tommy John surgery. Rodriguez still has big upside, and ZiPS just can’t quite figure out Dean Kremer. Trevor Rogers certainly isn’t a lost cause yet, and Chayce McDermott received one of the larger one-year boosts from 2024 to his 2025 projection.

Getting Félix Bautista back is a pretty big deal, even if you can’t just assume he’ll be as good as he was before the injury. ZiPS projects the bullpen as kind of the opposite of the rotation; there’s some sizzle at the top with the front four or five guys, but really, Baltimore is in need of some back-end depth. ZiPS just isn’t that interested in the Bryan Baker/Colin Selby/Thaddeus Ward segment of the bullpen, should it come to that in 2025. I thought bringing in Craig Kimbrel was one of the worst ideas the O’s have had in the last few years. It’s not that I think they have a perfect bullpen; I’d just rather Baltimore look at guys based on their likely futures rather than their pasts.

As I hinted above, the Orioles right now project in ZiPS to win somewhere between 85 and 90 games, depending on how some of the playing time assumptions shake out. That’s basically the 2024 squad without Burnes and the lesser impact of losing Santander. So… not surprising? The Orioles are finally at a place where you don’t want surprises, so this is a pivotal offseason for them. Until the Orioles actually start to sign some of their young stars to extensions, I’m not going to lose my uneasy feeling about the mid-to-long-term future of this franchise.

Ballpark graphic courtesy Eephus League. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time. The final team projections may differ considerably from our Depth Chart playing time.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Gunnar Henderson L 24 SS 660 576 107 158 29 7 28 97 73 151 16 4
Adley Rutschman B 27 C 579 507 69 132 29 1 17 70 64 91 2 0
Jordan Westburg R 26 3B 521 476 69 122 27 4 17 71 35 120 7 2
Colton Cowser L 25 LF 559 488 81 123 24 2 19 74 58 164 8 3
Jackson Holliday L 21 2B 591 507 101 117 28 2 15 68 77 155 9 1
Cedric Mullins L 30 CF 532 479 65 115 23 3 16 64 43 105 26 6
Anthony Santander B 30 RF 631 566 79 136 29 1 31 95 53 128 2 1
Coby Mayo R 23 3B 519 465 65 111 26 2 19 73 44 146 3 3
Heston Kjerstad L 26 RF 454 404 60 106 18 3 15 65 34 114 2 1
Enrique Bradfield Jr. L 23 CF 462 409 71 100 14 3 5 42 36 84 38 9
Daz Cameron R 28 CF 404 362 52 87 19 2 10 47 33 105 12 3
Jorge Mateo R 30 2B 350 323 47 75 18 4 7 36 18 86 23 4
Ramón Urías R 31 3B 363 328 42 83 15 2 10 43 27 80 1 1
Ryan O’Hearn L 31 DH 433 393 55 105 17 2 16 60 34 80 3 1
Samuel Basallo L 20 C 545 503 62 126 24 2 15 65 37 127 6 3
Forrest Wall L 29 CF 399 356 51 88 13 3 4 38 34 111 25 7
Livan Soto L 25 SS 477 424 47 102 16 2 5 44 43 106 4 3
Emmanuel Rivera R 29 3B 369 332 43 81 15 2 9 42 29 80 2 0
Nick Maton L 28 SS 393 343 44 79 16 2 11 46 41 96 2 1
Ryan Mountcastle R 28 1B 526 483 59 124 25 1 18 69 34 125 3 1
Creed Willems L 22 C 426 388 36 80 16 1 14 52 27 109 1 1
Eloy Jiménez R 28 DH 413 382 39 101 17 0 13 50 27 83 2 0
Jud Fabian R 24 CF 530 473 51 93 18 1 14 56 45 192 11 5
J.D. Davis R 32 3B 370 331 35 76 15 1 10 37 32 121 0 0
Hudson Haskin R 26 LF 398 344 45 75 13 2 5 45 33 120 12 4
Maverick Handley R 27 C 314 273 30 54 9 1 3 29 30 83 4 2
Terrin Vavra L 28 2B 277 244 34 58 9 2 3 28 25 72 2 2
Tavian Josenberger B 23 2B 363 314 49 65 11 3 6 32 34 71 23 4
David Bañuelos R 28 C 155 140 17 29 5 1 4 17 12 56 1 0
Garrett Cooper R 34 1B 340 306 29 75 15 1 9 41 26 96 0 0
René Pinto R 28 C 312 292 32 64 13 0 11 40 15 108 0 0
Austin Overn L 22 CF 98 86 13 20 4 2 1 10 10 31 7 4
Daniel Johnson L 29 CF 461 425 51 98 16 2 14 57 28 130 10 6
James McCann R 35 C 250 230 25 53 10 0 6 27 14 66 2 0
Jean Segura R 35 2B 335 307 34 76 10 1 4 32 21 55 8 4
Niko Goodrum B 33 SS 289 254 32 58 8 2 5 27 31 88 6 2
Dylan Beavers L 23 RF 527 472 56 108 21 4 9 53 46 138 16 3
Jeremiah Jackson R 25 SS 469 438 45 92 18 1 14 55 24 134 8 3
Douglas Hodo III R 24 LF 390 341 43 70 14 2 5 37 41 131 20 4
Max Wagner R 23 3B 341 308 36 63 10 3 5 32 26 111 8 2
Ethan Anderson B 21 C 87 80 8 20 3 2 1 9 6 19 3 1
Reed Trimble B 25 RF 230 207 32 44 10 1 3 21 20 54 12 0
Frederick Bencosme L 22 SS 522 475 53 105 16 3 4 42 37 94 16 4
Silas Ardoin R 24 C 397 355 25 68 11 0 3 30 35 131 2 2
Blake Hunt R 26 C 291 269 29 56 12 1 6 31 15 79 1 0
Errol Robinson R 30 SS 223 202 21 41 6 0 1 15 19 71 7 3
Shayne Fontana L 28 1B 316 281 35 62 9 2 4 32 25 80 8 3
Griff O’Ferrall R 22 SS 95 85 7 19 2 0 0 7 7 16 1 3
Collin Burns L 25 2B 352 323 32 66 10 2 3 29 19 86 8 3
Jake Cunningham R 22 LF 350 318 34 63 9 2 4 28 25 123 13 4
Maxwell Costes R 25 1B 222 198 18 40 6 0 5 24 15 45 1 1
Aron Estrada B 20 2B 484 446 53 102 16 4 7 51 27 92 17 8
Randy Florentino L 24 C 182 170 16 36 6 1 2 15 9 45 1 1
Jalen Vasquez L 23 SS 347 310 34 59 12 3 3 27 34 108 15 5
Elio Prado R 23 RF 360 325 33 64 10 2 5 33 27 86 8 5
Donta’ Williams L 26 CF 314 275 32 52 11 1 2 25 32 92 10 6
Alfredo Velásquez R 20 SS 230 219 24 45 7 1 0 15 7 47 8 2
Carter Young B 24 SS 445 416 35 86 16 3 4 34 26 137 8 4
Cristian Benavides R 20 LF 110 102 12 17 2 0 1 8 6 45 2 1
Luis Valdez B 25 2B 329 305 46 66 9 3 1 24 19 100 27 6
TT Bowens R 27 1B 403 372 39 77 16 1 9 42 25 134 3 1
Angel Tejada R 21 2B 313 298 31 66 14 1 4 31 7 77 13 5
Adam Retzbach R 24 C 289 255 24 40 7 3 5 24 26 128 1 1
Ryan Higgins R 25 3B 317 285 27 53 11 1 5 31 17 120 4 3
Thomas Sosa L 20 RF 378 349 45 71 13 2 4 32 26 125 12 6
John Rhodes R 24 LF 429 395 34 77 15 2 6 40 28 117 4 1
Connor Pavolony R 25 DH 239 212 16 34 7 1 2 17 21 86 1 0
Leandro Arias B 20 SS 371 332 28 66 13 1 4 33 26 79 4 5
Aneudis Mordán R 21 C 427 393 31 75 13 1 10 43 30 139 2 5
Isaac De León R 23 3B 374 332 32 60 13 1 3 31 31 142 5 2
Anthony Servideo L 26 SS 409 365 42 60 10 1 4 28 38 159 7 2
Anderson De Los Santos R 21 3B 444 406 37 75 12 2 7 40 31 150 6 8
Noelberth Romero R 23 2B 395 371 32 69 10 1 6 33 17 107 6 4

Batters – Advanced
Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA 3YOPS+ RC
Gunnar Henderson 660 .274 .359 .494 143 .220 .327 -4 5.9 .366 144 107
Adley Rutschman 579 .260 .344 .422 120 .162 .288 6 4.6 .333 117 74
Jordan Westburg 521 .257 .317 .437 115 .181 .310 6 3.3 .327 118 68
Colton Cowser 559 .252 .340 .426 120 .174 .341 7 3.1 .334 121 74
Jackson Holliday 591 .231 .335 .383 107 .152 .303 1 2.9 .318 113 67
Cedric Mullins 532 .240 .308 .401 102 .161 .277 3 2.5 .308 102 67
Anthony Santander 631 .240 .311 .459 118 .219 .258 -2 2.2 .330 115 81
Coby Mayo 519 .239 .312 .425 110 .187 .306 0 2.2 .319 116 64
Heston Kjerstad 454 .262 .335 .433 119 .171 .331 2 2.0 .333 118 59
Enrique Bradfield Jr. 462 .245 .313 .330 86 .086 .297 4 1.6 .287 90 54
Daz Cameron 404 .240 .310 .387 99 .146 .312 1 1.6 .305 94 47
Jorge Mateo 350 .232 .277 .378 86 .145 .296 7 1.6 .284 86 40
Ramón Urías 363 .253 .320 .402 107 .149 .307 1 1.6 .316 102 43
Ryan O’Hearn 433 .267 .328 .443 120 .176 .300 0 1.6 .332 115 58
Samuel Basallo 545 .250 .303 .395 100 .145 .307 -8 1.5 .304 103 63
Forrest Wall 399 .247 .320 .334 89 .087 .348 2 1.4 .293 87 46
Livan Soto 477 .240 .314 .323 84 .082 .309 2 1.3 .285 85 45
Emmanuel Rivera 369 .244 .309 .383 98 .139 .297 1 1.2 .303 95 40
Nick Maton 393 .230 .319 .385 102 .155 .288 -6 1.1 .309 101 43
Ryan Mountcastle 526 .256 .304 .424 107 .168 .311 0 1.0 .313 105 63
Creed Willems 426 .206 .266 .361 79 .155 .249 3 1.0 .273 84 38
Eloy Jiménez 413 .264 .315 .411 107 .147 .308 0 0.9 .315 105 50
Jud Fabian 530 .197 .271 .328 72 .131 .296 8 0.8 .266 78 46
J.D. Davis 370 .230 .305 .372 94 .142 .331 -2 0.8 .299 89 38
Hudson Haskin 398 .218 .315 .311 82 .093 .319 6 0.7 .285 84 38
Maverick Handley 314 .198 .294 .271 65 .073 .272 3 0.5 .261 66 23
Terrin Vavra 277 .237 .317 .327 87 .090 .325 -1 0.5 .290 85 27
Tavian Josenberger 363 .207 .287 .319 75 .111 .249 -1 0.4 .271 81 35
David Bañuelos 155 .208 .279 .344 79 .136 .314 1 0.4 .276 77 14
Garrett Cooper 340 .245 .312 .388 101 .144 .328 0 0.4 .307 95 37
René Pinto 312 .219 .263 .377 82 .158 .307 -2 0.4 .278 80 29
Austin Overn 98 .233 .316 .361 95 .128 .352 1 0.4 .299 103 13
Daniel Johnson 461 .231 .282 .377 88 .146 .299 -4 0.4 .287 88 49
James McCann 250 .231 .281 .353 81 .122 .298 -2 0.4 .278 75 23
Jean Segura 335 .247 .305 .326 82 .078 .290 -1 0.3 .280 80 34
Niko Goodrum 289 .228 .315 .334 88 .106 .328 -6 0.3 .292 85 29
Dylan Beavers 527 .229 .299 .347 86 .119 .304 0 0.2 .286 90 54
Jeremiah Jackson 469 .210 .254 .351 72 .141 .269 -1 0.2 .263 76 42
Douglas Hodo III 390 .205 .301 .302 75 .097 .317 3 0.2 .274 80 37
Max Wagner 341 .204 .276 .305 68 .101 .302 2 0.1 .260 73 28
Ethan Anderson 87 .250 .299 .375 93 .125 .317 -2 0.1 .293 100 10
Reed Trimble 230 .213 .283 .315 72 .102 .274 2 0.0 .264 76 21
Frederick Bencosme 522 .221 .281 .293 66 .072 .268 -2 0.0 .258 71 44
Silas Ardoin 397 .192 .271 .248 51 .056 .295 4 0.0 .239 58 25
Blake Hunt 291 .208 .261 .327 69 .119 .272 -2 -0.1 .259 70 23
Errol Robinson 223 .203 .274 .248 52 .045 .308 1 -0.1 .240 52 16
Shayne Fontana 316 .221 .299 .310 76 .089 .295 2 -0.2 .275 78 29
Griff O’Ferrall 95 .224 .295 .247 59 .024 .276 0 -0.2 .250 59 8
Collin Burns 352 .204 .261 .276 55 .071 .269 4 -0.3 .241 56 26
Jake Cunningham 350 .198 .264 .277 57 .079 .308 7 -0.3 .244 59 28
Maxwell Costes 222 .202 .279 .308 70 .106 .237 1 -0.4 .264 72 18
Aron Estrada 484 .229 .283 .329 76 .101 .273 -7 -0.4 .270 82 48
Randy Florentino 182 .212 .253 .294 58 .082 .277 -3 -0.5 .242 56 13
Jalen Vasquez 347 .190 .274 .277 60 .087 .281 -4 -0.5 .251 66 29
Elio Prado 360 .197 .270 .286 61 .089 .252 5 -0.6 .251 66 29
Donta’ Williams 314 .189 .284 .258 58 .069 .276 -4 -0.9 .251 58 25
Alfredo Velásquez 230 .206 .233 .247 39 .041 .262 -1 -0.9 .213 43 15
Carter Young 445 .207 .254 .289 56 .082 .299 -3 -0.9 .241 59 34
Cristian Benavides 110 .167 .218 .216 26 .049 .287 -2 -1.0 .198 37 6
Luis Valdez 329 .216 .265 .275 56 .059 .318 -6 -1.0 .242 57 30
TT Bowens 403 .207 .263 .328 69 .121 .297 0 -1.0 .261 69 33
Angel Tejada 313 .222 .250 .316 62 .094 .286 -7 -1.1 .246 69 28
Adam Retzbach 289 .157 .245 .267 48 .110 .288 -7 -1.2 .233 53 17
Ryan Higgins 317 .186 .250 .284 54 .098 .300 -5 -1.3 .240 59 22
Thomas Sosa 378 .203 .262 .286 58 .083 .304 0 -1.3 .246 67 31
John Rhodes 429 .195 .256 .289 57 .094 .261 1 -1.3 .244 63 30
Connor Pavolony 239 .161 .249 .232 40 .071 .259 0 -1.4 .223 44 13
Leandro Arias 371 .199 .266 .280 58 .081 .249 -9 -1.4 .245 67 28
Aneudis Mordán 427 .191 .252 .305 60 .115 .267 -10 -1.4 .248 69 33
Isaac De León 374 .181 .262 .253 50 .072 .305 -6 -1.6 .237 56 24
Anthony Servideo 409 .164 .248 .230 40 .066 .277 -6 -1.8 .222 42 23
Anderson De Los Santos 444 .185 .249 .276 51 .091 .274 -7 -2.1 .236 63 32
Noelberth Romero 395 .186 .228 .267 42 .081 .245 -9 -2.6 .220 46 26

Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Player Hit Comp 1 Hit Comp 2 Hit Comp 3
Gunnar Henderson Hanley Ramirez Alex Rodriguez Joe Cronin
Adley Rutschman Carlos Santana Mike Scioscia Gus Mancuso
Jordan Westburg Marty McManus Brett Lawrie Nick Castellanos
Colton Cowser Domingo Santana Rick Monday Steven Souza Jr.
Jackson Holliday Tony Bernazard Joe Morgan Rance Mulliniks
Cedric Mullins Dave May Daryl Boston Eric Byrnes
Anthony Santander Wally Judnich Glenn Davis Bob Horner
Coby Mayo Doug Rader Alex Gordon Bill Melton
Heston Kjerstad Mark Canha Jake Cave Bruce Aven
Enrique Bradfield Jr. Zack Granite Vernon Spearman Greg Lotzar
Daz Cameron Brian Goodwin Scott Loucks Gary Matthews
Jorge Mateo Danny Santana Greg Gagne Tom Brookens
Ramón Urías Rick Schu Mike Lamb Greg Dobbs
Ryan O’Hearn George McQuinn Dick Sisler Richie Hebner
Samuel Basallo Matt Sinatro Brad Gulden Miguel Montero
Forrest Wall Gorkys Hernández Kenny Wilson Matt Angle
Livan Soto Scott Campbell Ricky Gutierrez Frank Baker
Emmanuel Rivera Jim Anderson Geoff Blum Curt Smith
Nick Maton Vern Benson Luis Valbuena Emmett Mueller
Ryan Mountcastle Jose Calero Wil Cordero Brennan Boesch
Creed Willems John Mizerock Bill Nahorodny Otto Gonzalez
Eloy Jiménez Colin Moran Dean Green Angel Echevarria
Jud Fabian Mike Brewer Pat Bryant Craig Adams
J.D. Davis Wilson Betemit Juan Richardson Dale Sveum
Hudson Haskin Ronnie Richardson Willie Argo Tanner Kirwer
Maverick Handley Joe Lawrence Jim Jones Charles Julian
Terrin Vavra John Powers Mike Hickey Gosuke Katoh
Tavian Josenberger James Mouton Selwyn Young Ronnie Chapman
David Bañuelos David Ross Bob Geren Jeff Grotewold
Garrett Cooper Dann Howitt Alan Cockrell Shane Spencer
René Pinto Luis Pujols Randall Schafer Paul Williams
Austin Overn Donzell McDonald Mike Warner Richard Loughridge
Daniel Johnson Jason Repko Corey Patterson Daniel Ortmeier
James McCann Bob Schmidt René Rivera Sandy Martinez
Jean Segura John Kerr Maicer Izturis Frank Verdi
Niko Goodrum Dave Owen Anthony Seratelli Dick Tracewski
Dylan Beavers Mike Davis Larry Whisenton Alan Bannister
Jeremiah Jackson Benji Gil Pat Valaika Brandon Hicks
Douglas Hodo III Willie Argo Jim Landis Jeff DaVanon
Max Wagner Todd Hankins Jason Christian Bob Bailey
Ethan Anderson Francisco Marquez Kurt Deluca Sonny Ruberto
Reed Trimble Joe Bonadonna Selwyn Young Bernard Caston
Frederick Bencosme Omar Infante Omar Vizquel Tzu-Wei Lin
Silas Ardoin Carl Nichols Pat Callahan Mike O’Berry
Blake Hunt Mike Matheny Pedro Lopez Scott Rainey
Errol Robinson Eric Pringle John Sullivan Warren Sawkiw
Shayne Fontana Adam Heisler Tony Mota Whitey Herzog
Griff O’Ferrall Nielsen Abreu Luis Gomez Chip Lawrence
Collin Burns Mike Horning Brad Boyer Ryan Rutz
Jake Cunningham Issael Gonzalez Todd Hankins Bubba Thompson
Maxwell Costes Adam Amar Matt Gedman Matthew Devins
Aron Estrada Carlos Hernandez Dalton Jones Craig Kornfeld
Randy Florentino Ed Rosado Michael Uremovich Travis Chapman
Jalen Vasquez Garrett Hampson Anderson Machado Johnny Raburn
Elio Prado Rick Colzie Bill Dube Jimmy Herron
Donta’ Williams Ricky Strickland Jeffrey Grate Joey Zellner
Alfredo Velásquez Andri Gomez Smelin Perez Óscar Mercado
Carter Young Pedro Florimón Brandon Loy Brandon Chaves
Cristian Benavides Ron French Danny Liggins Leobaldo Cabrera
Luis Valdez Jason Clements B.J. Guinn Ken Morimoto
TT Bowens Brian Turner Louis Garvin Luke Anders
Angel Tejada David Nick Winston Llenas Tony Toups
Adam Retzbach Rod Ehrhard Tom Cook Mike Daniel
Ryan Higgins John Welch Todd DeGraffenreid J.D. Vidal
Thomas Sosa Norman Olson Kenny Wilson Keith Jones
John Rhodes Russ Quetti Kevin Coughlon Kelcey Mucker
Connor Pavolony Jeremy Schied Mark Gulseth Chris Maloney
Leandro Arias Kevin Stocker José Oquendo Juan Peralta
Aneudis Mordán Bo Naylor John Stutz Doug Camilli
Isaac De León Dale Soderholm Chad McClanahan Victor LaRose
Anthony Servideo Brett King Matt Smith Anderson Machado
Anderson De Los Santos Sthervin Matos Steven Souza Jr. Kenny Grant
Noelberth Romero Felix Minaya Josh Parr Dave Garrow

Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player 80th BA 80th OBP 80th SLG 80th OPS+ 80th WAR 20th BA 20th OBP 20th SLG 20th OPS+ 20th WAR
Gunnar Henderson .296 .389 .554 166 7.8 .249 .336 .441 123 4.3
Adley Rutschman .285 .370 .469 138 5.9 .235 .315 .380 101 3.3
Jordan Westburg .279 .343 .487 134 4.6 .233 .298 .384 93 2.0
Colton Cowser .279 .366 .472 139 4.3 .223 .315 .377 102 1.8
Jackson Holliday .261 .364 .440 127 4.4 .205 .310 .332 87 1.5
Cedric Mullins .268 .334 .453 123 4.0 .212 .282 .347 82 1.3
Anthony Santander .265 .338 .519 139 3.8 .218 .286 .404 98 0.7
Coby Mayo .267 .338 .484 132 3.6 .213 .280 .374 88 0.7
Heston Kjerstad .290 .362 .489 141 3.2 .229 .304 .379 98 0.8
Enrique Bradfield Jr. .274 .338 .374 106 2.6 .216 .285 .289 68 0.4
Daz Cameron .266 .338 .434 120 2.6 .209 .279 .331 75 0.3
Jorge Mateo .263 .305 .433 110 2.6 .206 .252 .332 69 0.7
Ramón Urías .285 .348 .455 128 2.5 .224 .293 .358 89 0.8
Ryan O’Hearn .293 .352 .489 139 2.6 .240 .301 .391 98 0.4
Samuel Basallo .280 .331 .454 118 2.8 .225 .276 .354 78 0.1
Forrest Wall .278 .346 .381 107 2.3 .220 .292 .293 68 0.4
Livan Soto .266 .340 .356 101 2.3 .210 .285 .282 65 0.2
Emmanuel Rivera .273 .336 .439 119 2.2 .216 .279 .335 75 0.2
Nick Maton .258 .347 .441 122 2.0 .201 .293 .344 82 0.1
Ryan Mountcastle .286 .328 .467 127 2.3 .228 .274 .373 88 -0.2
Creed Willems .237 .297 .425 103 2.2 .180 .241 .310 59 -0.1
Eloy Jiménez .291 .343 .457 127 2.0 .234 .285 .362 88 -0.1
Jud Fabian .222 .294 .375 89 2.0 .168 .244 .283 53 -0.4
J.D. Davis .259 .333 .419 114 1.7 .200 .276 .327 75 0.0
Hudson Haskin .246 .344 .362 102 1.6 .187 .285 .264 61 -0.4
Maverick Handley .228 .327 .316 86 1.3 .168 .265 .235 47 -0.2
Terrin Vavra .266 .348 .375 106 1.1 .207 .287 .284 66 -0.2
Tavian Josenberger .236 .314 .371 94 1.3 .177 .261 .272 55 -0.5
David Bañuelos .239 .308 .402 102 0.9 .178 .245 .290 55 0.0
Garrett Cooper .273 .337 .438 121 1.3 .214 .280 .341 79 -0.5
René Pinto .250 .296 .437 104 1.2 .189 .232 .316 57 -0.6
Austin Overn .263 .350 .427 122 0.7 .199 .285 .310 74 0.1
Daniel Johnson .258 .311 .426 107 1.4 .205 .254 .325 65 -1.0
James McCann .264 .312 .408 105 1.1 .201 .255 .303 63 -0.2
Jean Segura .276 .335 .360 100 1.0 .221 .277 .287 65 -0.4
Niko Goodrum .259 .342 .380 108 1.0 .199 .288 .284 70 -0.4
Dylan Beavers .248 .322 .387 101 1.1 .203 .275 .306 70 -0.9
Jeremiah Jackson .231 .275 .404 91 1.3 .184 .227 .305 52 -1.0
Douglas Hodo III .235 .330 .350 96 1.2 .179 .273 .261 57 -0.7
Max Wagner .236 .305 .354 88 1.0 .179 .249 .254 46 -0.8
Ethan Anderson .285 .334 .442 121 0.4 .218 .268 .317 68 -0.2
Reed Trimble .244 .313 .364 93 0.6 .186 .253 .281 54 -0.6
Frederick Bencosme .253 .312 .331 86 1.3 .192 .254 .253 47 -1.3
Silas Ardoin .222 .301 .289 71 0.9 .161 .242 .210 31 -1.0
Blake Hunt .241 .296 .380 91 0.7 .180 .232 .283 48 -0.8
Errol Robinson .235 .306 .286 72 0.5 .175 .245 .210 34 -0.6
Shayne Fontana .247 .329 .356 97 0.6 .192 .270 .273 58 -1.0
Griff O’Ferrall .255 .327 .286 77 0.1 .192 .265 .214 41 -0.4
Collin Burns .232 .288 .317 75 0.6 .175 .235 .242 39 -1.0
Jake Cunningham .227 .298 .317 75 0.5 .168 .237 .242 39 -1.1
Maxwell Costes .229 .305 .358 89 0.1 .179 .256 .263 52 -0.9
Aron Estrada .258 .313 .379 98 0.8 .203 .258 .290 58 -1.7
Randy Florentino .247 .291 .350 82 0.1 .179 .224 .248 37 -1.0
Jalen Vasquez .220 .303 .319 79 0.3 .163 .248 .230 40 -1.5
Elio Prado .225 .299 .334 83 0.3 .172 .245 .251 44 -1.4
Donta’ Williams .218 .312 .299 77 -0.2 .161 .253 .220 39 -1.6
Alfredo Velásquez .239 .264 .294 61 -0.2 .176 .202 .208 20 -1.4
Carter Young .230 .278 .323 71 -0.1 .178 .227 .245 36 -2.0
Cristian Benavides .199 .252 .263 45 -0.7 .141 .189 .177 7 -1.3
Luis Valdez .247 .292 .315 75 -0.2 .186 .235 .237 37 -1.8
TT Bowens .237 .287 .378 89 -0.1 .183 .235 .289 51 -2.0
Angel Tejada .251 .279 .371 83 -0.2 .188 .221 .274 43 -1.9
Adam Retzbach .190 .281 .328 73 -0.4 .130 .217 .219 29 -1.9
Ryan Higgins .214 .275 .332 74 -0.5 .157 .221 .238 34 -2.0
Thomas Sosa .232 .288 .336 78 -0.3 .176 .235 .255 41 -2.1
John Rhodes .227 .287 .327 78 -0.3 .168 .226 .244 37 -2.5
Connor Pavolony .188 .276 .273 59 -0.8 .137 .223 .196 24 -1.9
Leandro Arias .231 .298 .332 80 -0.5 .172 .241 .236 38 -2.4
Aneudis Mordán .225 .284 .360 84 -0.1 .162 .222 .257 42 -2.5
Isaac De León .209 .290 .299 69 -0.7 .153 .237 .215 32 -2.4
Anthony Servideo .191 .275 .265 56 -1.0 .137 .223 .190 20 -2.8
Anderson De Los Santos .208 .273 .318 68 -1.1 .155 .220 .234 31 -3.3
Noelberth Romero .211 .253 .309 59 -1.7 .158 .203 .235 25 -3.4

Batters – Platoon Splits
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Gunnar Henderson .254 .342 .448 .285 .368 .520
Adley Rutschman .268 .349 .435 .257 .341 .416
Jordan Westburg .257 .325 .443 .256 .311 .433
Colton Cowser .242 .326 .395 .257 .346 .441
Jackson Holliday .219 .316 .350 .235 .342 .395
Cedric Mullins .225 .289 .370 .246 .315 .413
Anthony Santander .244 .316 .458 .239 .309 .460
Coby Mayo .241 .316 .424 .238 .310 .427
Heston Kjerstad .252 .326 .407 .267 .339 .445
Enrique Bradfield Jr. .234 .303 .308 .248 .316 .338
Daz Cameron .250 .321 .407 .234 .302 .374
Jorge Mateo .241 .289 .411 .227 .270 .360
Ramón Urías .252 .325 .432 .253 .318 .387
Ryan O’Hearn .250 .307 .400 .272 .333 .454
Samuel Basallo .239 .288 .366 .255 .309 .407
Forrest Wall .230 .299 .303 .256 .332 .350
Livan Soto .231 .301 .299 .245 .321 .336
Emmanuel Rivera .260 .328 .423 .234 .297 .359
Nick Maton .224 .306 .378 .233 .324 .388
Ryan Mountcastle .263 .313 .434 .254 .300 .420
Creed Willems .190 .246 .314 .212 .273 .378
Eloy Jiménez .266 .325 .422 .264 .311 .407
Jud Fabian .200 .285 .350 .195 .265 .318
J.D. Davis .235 .310 .383 .227 .303 .366
Hudson Haskin .231 .327 .331 .210 .309 .299
Maverick Handley .208 .306 .271 .192 .287 .271
Terrin Vavra .227 .310 .320 .243 .321 .331
Tavian Josenberger .209 .284 .330 .206 .288 .314
David Bañuelos .220 .304 .380 .200 .265 .322
Garrett Cooper .253 .317 .407 .242 .310 .381
René Pinto .232 .281 .411 .211 .251 .356
Austin Overn .240 .321 .360 .230 .314 .361
Daniel Johnson .217 .269 .350 .236 .287 .387
James McCann .233 .288 .370 .229 .276 .344
Jean Segura .253 .319 .325 .246 .300 .326
Niko Goodrum .247 .337 .342 .221 .307 .331
Dylan Beavers .225 .289 .326 .230 .303 .356
Jeremiah Jackson .217 .266 .364 .207 .248 .346
Douglas Hodo III .210 .319 .330 .203 .293 .290
Max Wagner .213 .288 .330 .201 .270 .294
Ethan Anderson .240 .296 .360 .255 .300 .382
Reed Trimble .215 .278 .308 .211 .285 .317
Frederick Bencosme .206 .262 .275 .227 .287 .299
Silas Ardoin .196 .287 .255 .190 .263 .245
Blake Hunt .216 .270 .353 .204 .256 .311
Errol Robinson .217 .299 .246 .195 .260 .248
Shayne Fontana .211 .294 .289 .225 .300 .319
Griff O’Ferrall .214 .290 .250 .228 .297 .246
Collin Burns .189 .245 .274 .211 .267 .276
Jake Cunningham .213 .282 .330 .192 .257 .254
Maxwell Costes .200 .279 .333 .203 .279 .297
Aron Estrada .230 .279 .325 .228 .284 .331
Randy Florentino .196 .222 .294 .218 .266 .294
Jalen Vasquez .183 .264 .280 .193 .277 .276
Elio Prado .202 .279 .287 .195 .267 .286
Donta’ Williams .173 .264 .247 .196 .291 .263
Alfredo Velásquez .206 .239 .235 .205 .229 .252
Carter Young .212 .256 .301 .205 .253 .284
Cristian Benavides .182 .229 .212 .159 .213 .217
Luis Valdez .216 .260 .268 .216 .268 .279
TT Bowens .216 .274 .351 .202 .257 .315
Angel Tejada .216 .239 .295 .224 .255 .324
Adam Retzbach .154 .250 .282 .158 .241 .260
Ryan Higgins .189 .253 .300 .185 .249 .277
Thomas Sosa .188 .243 .271 .209 .269 .292
John Rhodes .205 .268 .307 .190 .251 .280
Connor Pavolony .169 .263 .254 .156 .241 .220
Leandro Arias .202 .269 .277 .197 .265 .282
Aneudis Mordán .195 .258 .305 .189 .249 .305
Isaac De León .186 .268 .257 .178 .258 .251
Anthony Servideo .160 .236 .210 .166 .253 .238
Anderson De Los Santos .191 .260 .296 .182 .244 .268
Noelberth Romero .193 .236 .269 .183 .224 .266

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Corbin Burnes R 30 13 8 3.28 30 30 181.3 152 66 17 50 178
Kyle Bradish R 28 8 6 3.33 24 24 129.7 110 48 12 41 129
Zach Eflin R 31 10 8 3.75 26 25 148.7 149 62 19 25 122
Grayson Rodriguez R 25 8 7 3.77 22 22 121.7 109 51 15 36 130
Dean Kremer R 29 9 8 3.95 26 26 134.3 127 59 17 45 119
Félix Bautista R 30 5 2 2.56 50 0 52.7 35 15 5 18 73
Cade Povich L 25 9 9 4.25 28 27 135.7 129 64 17 52 126
Trevor Rogers L 27 7 7 4.29 27 27 134.3 134 64 15 51 115
Yennier Cano R 31 4 2 3.27 66 0 63.3 56 23 5 21 61
Brandon Young R 26 5 4 4.16 24 21 93.0 92 43 12 29 83
Chayce McDermott R 26 5 5 4.27 22 19 97.0 86 46 12 49 102
Alex Pham R 25 5 5 4.38 25 23 100.7 99 49 13 40 86
Keegan Akin L 30 3 2 3.47 50 3 70.0 61 27 9 18 81
Cameron Weston R 24 7 8 4.18 24 15 90.3 88 42 11 29 75
Bruce Zimmermann L 30 4 5 4.33 22 17 89.3 95 43 12 25 73
John Means L 32 4 4 4.10 14 14 68.0 65 31 10 16 51
Tucker Davidson L 29 7 7 4.32 28 14 100.0 102 48 12 37 79
Tyler Wells R 30 5 4 4.36 23 15 84.7 77 41 13 25 73
Adrian Houser R 32 5 5 4.47 24 16 96.7 100 48 10 37 64
Danny Coulombe L 35 2 2 3.26 42 0 38.7 34 14 4 11 39
Albert Suárez R 35 6 6 4.58 26 18 106.0 114 54 17 36 86
Gregory Soto L 30 5 3 3.60 62 0 55.0 46 22 4 24 63
Kyle Brnovich R 27 3 4 4.48 18 11 68.3 68 34 9 24 57
Seranthony Domínguez R 30 5 3 3.70 59 0 56.0 47 23 6 24 60
Trace Bright R 24 4 6 4.82 26 24 99.0 98 53 14 48 86
Cionel Pérez L 29 2 2 3.67 61 0 54.0 49 22 3 25 47
Peter Van Loon R 26 3 3 4.55 17 13 57.3 57 29 8 21 48
Patrick Reilly R 23 5 6 4.82 25 23 102.7 101 55 15 50 88
Jacob Webb R 31 4 3 3.83 58 0 56.3 49 24 6 24 58
Zach Peek R 27 2 2 4.56 14 9 49.3 49 25 6 22 41
Kyle Virbitsky R 26 4 5 4.62 30 8 74.0 78 38 10 23 56
Bryan Baker R 30 3 3 3.93 50 0 52.7 46 23 5 22 52
Justin Armbruester R 26 5 8 4.99 25 22 106.3 107 59 16 43 82
Jonathan Heasley R 28 3 5 4.87 25 14 85.0 88 46 13 30 65
Craig Kimbrel R 37 6 5 4.07 52 0 48.7 39 22 6 25 60
Colin Selby R 27 2 2 4.20 40 1 45.0 41 21 5 22 47
Jakob Hernandez L 29 2 1 4.13 29 0 32.7 30 15 4 14 33
Ryan Long R 25 3 5 4.89 22 11 84.7 91 46 13 29 57
Nick Vespi L 29 2 2 4.21 38 0 51.3 51 24 6 19 44
Thaddeus Ward R 28 4 7 5.09 24 21 93.7 95 53 12 51 73
Nick Avila R 27 4 5 4.56 35 3 47.3 50 24 6 18 37
Nolan Hoffman R 27 4 4 4.22 38 0 53.3 52 25 5 22 44
Levi Stoudt R 27 5 7 5.01 27 14 79.0 85 44 11 35 53
Logan Rinehart R 27 2 2 4.57 28 2 43.3 43 22 6 19 37
Julio Teheran R 34 3 3 5.16 12 11 52.3 57 30 9 18 36
Blaine Knight R 29 2 4 4.92 20 6 53.0 56 29 6 23 38
Nick Anderson R 34 3 2 4.30 38 0 37.7 37 18 5 14 33
Burch Smith R 35 2 2 4.47 40 0 44.3 48 22 6 13 36
Corbin Martin R 29 3 3 4.97 25 6 54.3 56 30 7 27 44
Houston Roth R 27 4 5 4.87 28 5 61.0 62 33 9 29 50
Ryan Hennen L 27 3 2 4.46 25 0 36.3 38 18 5 12 29
Andrew Suárez L 32 2 2 4.76 27 2 56.7 61 30 8 22 43
Carlos Tavera R 26 3 5 5.15 22 9 71.7 74 41 11 41 57
Matt Bowman R 34 2 2 4.70 44 1 51.7 52 27 7 22 42
Keagan Gillies R 27 2 2 4.57 37 0 41.3 41 21 6 18 37
Travis Lakins Sr. R 31 1 2 5.04 21 1 25.0 26 14 4 12 21
Bradley Brehmer R 25 5 7 4.82 28 3 61.7 67 33 9 21 44
Kade Strowd R 27 3 4 4.60 38 0 47.0 46 24 6 22 44
Morgan McSweeney R 27 1 2 4.86 28 0 33.3 33 18 4 17 26
Chris Ellis R 32 3 4 5.46 14 12 56.0 62 34 9 29 37
Tyler Burch R 27 2 2 4.73 23 0 32.3 35 17 5 12 23
Dylan Heid R 27 3 4 4.76 35 0 51.0 51 27 7 28 43
Wandisson Charles R 28 3 4 5.29 30 0 32.3 32 19 4 22 29
Nick Richmond R 27 2 3 5.26 31 0 37.7 40 22 5 18 26
Dan Hammer R 27 2 3 5.80 26 2 40.3 40 26 6 32 36

Pitchers – Advanced
Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ 3ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Corbin Burnes 181.3 8.8 2.5 0.8 6.7% 24.0% .276 121 118 3.38 82 3.8
Kyle Bradish 129.7 9.0 2.8 0.8 7.6% 24.0% .281 119 116 3.50 84 2.6
Zach Eflin 148.7 7.4 1.5 1.2 4.1% 20.0% .293 106 103 3.78 94 2.3
Grayson Rodriguez 121.7 9.6 2.7 1.1 7.1% 25.6% .293 105 105 3.65 95 1.8
Dean Kremer 134.3 8.0 3.0 1.1 7.9% 21.0% .286 101 100 4.15 99 1.8
Félix Bautista 52.7 12.5 3.1 0.9 8.5% 34.6% .268 155 148 2.72 64 1.6
Cade Povich 135.7 8.4 3.4 1.1 8.9% 21.6% .292 94 96 4.21 107 1.3
Trevor Rogers 134.3 7.7 3.4 1.0 8.8% 19.8% .300 93 94 4.17 108 1.2
Yennier Cano 63.3 8.7 3.0 0.7 8.0% 23.1% .290 122 119 3.37 82 1.0
Brandon Young 93.0 8.0 2.8 1.2 7.3% 21.0% .297 96 98 4.14 105 1.0
Chayce McDermott 97.0 9.5 4.5 1.1 11.5% 23.9% .288 93 95 4.32 107 0.9
Alex Pham 100.7 7.7 3.6 1.2 9.1% 19.5% .292 91 95 4.37 110 0.9
Keegan Akin 70.0 10.4 2.3 1.2 6.3% 28.1% .294 115 112 3.35 87 0.9
Cameron Weston 90.3 7.5 2.9 1.1 7.5% 19.5% .289 95 98 4.30 105 0.9
Bruce Zimmermann 89.3 7.4 2.5 1.2 6.5% 19.0% .306 92 91 4.23 109 0.8
John Means 68.0 6.8 2.1 1.3 5.7% 18.1% .271 97 93 4.43 103 0.7
Tucker Davidson 100.0 7.1 3.3 1.1 8.5% 18.2% .297 92 92 4.36 109 0.7
Tyler Wells 84.7 7.8 2.7 1.4 7.1% 20.8% .268 91 92 4.41 110 0.7
Adrian Houser 96.7 6.0 3.4 0.9 8.8% 15.2% .292 89 86 4.47 112 0.6
Danny Coulombe 38.7 9.1 2.6 0.9 6.9% 24.5% .288 122 113 3.44 82 0.6
Albert Suárez 106.0 7.3 3.1 1.4 7.8% 18.6% .302 87 81 4.72 115 0.5
Gregory Soto 55.0 10.3 3.9 0.7 10.1% 26.6% .298 110 110 3.36 91 0.5
Kyle Brnovich 68.3 7.5 3.2 1.2 8.1% 19.3% .292 89 92 4.50 113 0.5
Seranthony Domínguez 56.0 9.6 3.9 1.0 10.0% 25.0% .283 108 106 3.77 93 0.5
Trace Bright 99.0 7.8 4.4 1.3 10.8% 19.3% .292 83 89 4.95 121 0.4
Cionel Pérez 54.0 7.8 4.2 0.5 10.6% 20.0% .293 108 106 3.72 92 0.4
Peter Van Loon 57.3 7.5 3.3 1.3 8.5% 19.4% .290 87 90 4.68 114 0.3
Patrick Reilly 102.7 7.7 4.4 1.3 11.0% 19.3% .288 82 89 4.97 121 0.3
Jacob Webb 56.3 9.3 3.8 1.0 10.0% 24.2% .287 104 102 3.89 96 0.3
Zach Peek 49.3 7.5 4.0 1.1 10.0% 18.6% .295 87 90 4.68 115 0.3
Kyle Virbitsky 74.0 6.8 2.8 1.2 7.2% 17.5% .298 86 90 4.52 116 0.2
Bryan Baker 52.7 8.9 3.8 0.9 9.8% 23.2% .287 101 99 3.80 99 0.2
Justin Armbruester 106.3 6.9 3.6 1.4 9.2% 17.6% .284 80 83 5.06 126 0.1
Jonathan Heasley 85.0 6.9 3.2 1.4 8.1% 17.5% .290 82 83 4.84 122 0.1
Craig Kimbrel 48.7 11.1 4.6 1.1 11.8% 28.4% .284 98 87 4.10 102 0.1
Colin Selby 45.0 9.4 4.4 1.0 11.1% 23.6% .298 95 97 4.20 106 0.1
Jakob Hernandez 32.7 9.1 3.9 1.1 9.9% 23.2% .292 96 98 4.13 104 0.1
Ryan Long 84.7 6.1 3.1 1.4 7.8% 15.4% .291 81 85 5.00 123 0.0
Nick Vespi 51.3 7.7 3.3 1.1 8.6% 19.8% .298 95 94 4.21 106 0.0
Thaddeus Ward 93.7 7.0 4.9 1.2 12.0% 17.2% .292 78 79 5.27 128 0.0
Nick Avila 47.3 7.0 3.4 1.1 8.7% 17.8% .303 87 90 4.47 115 0.0
Nolan Hoffman 53.3 7.4 3.7 0.8 9.5% 19.0% .296 94 96 4.15 106 0.0
Levi Stoudt 79.0 6.0 4.0 1.3 9.8% 14.9% .294 79 82 5.13 126 0.0
Logan Rinehart 43.3 7.7 3.9 1.2 9.9% 19.3% .291 87 90 4.72 115 0.0
Julio Teheran 52.3 6.2 3.1 1.5 7.9% 15.7% .291 77 72 5.30 130 0.0
Blaine Knight 53.0 6.5 3.9 1.0 9.7% 16.0% .299 81 82 4.80 124 0.0
Nick Anderson 37.7 7.9 3.3 1.2 8.6% 20.4% .294 92 87 4.35 108 0.0
Burch Smith 44.3 7.3 2.6 1.2 6.7% 18.7% .309 89 83 4.33 112 -0.1
Corbin Martin 54.3 7.3 4.5 1.2 11.0% 17.9% .299 80 81 4.83 125 -0.1
Houston Roth 61.0 7.4 4.3 1.3 10.6% 18.3% .293 82 85 5.03 122 -0.1
Ryan Hennen 36.3 7.2 3.0 1.2 7.6% 18.5% .300 89 91 4.44 112 -0.1
Andrew Suárez 56.7 6.8 3.5 1.3 8.7% 17.1% .301 83 82 4.71 120 -0.1
Carlos Tavera 71.7 7.2 5.1 1.4 12.3% 17.2% .292 77 81 5.38 129 -0.1
Matt Bowman 51.7 7.3 3.8 1.2 9.7% 18.6% .292 85 80 4.71 118 -0.2
Keagan Gillies 41.3 8.1 3.9 1.3 9.8% 20.1% .294 87 90 4.73 115 -0.2
Travis Lakins Sr. 25.0 7.6 4.3 1.4 10.5% 18.4% .297 79 78 5.14 127 -0.2
Bradley Brehmer 61.7 6.4 3.1 1.3 7.8% 16.3% .299 83 86 4.91 121 -0.2
Kade Strowd 47.0 8.4 4.2 1.1 10.5% 21.1% .299 87 90 4.56 116 -0.2
Morgan McSweeney 33.3 7.0 4.6 1.1 11.4% 17.4% .290 82 85 4.80 122 -0.2
Chris Ellis 56.0 5.9 4.7 1.4 11.2% 14.3% .294 73 71 5.66 137 -0.2
Tyler Burch 32.3 6.4 3.3 1.4 8.3% 16.0% .297 84 85 5.06 119 -0.2
Dylan Heid 51.0 7.6 4.9 1.2 12.0% 18.5% .293 83 86 5.04 120 -0.4
Wandisson Charles 32.3 8.1 6.1 1.1 14.1% 18.6% .298 75 78 5.22 133 -0.4
Nick Richmond 37.7 6.2 4.3 1.2 10.4% 15.0% .294 76 76 5.43 132 -0.5
Dan Hammer 40.3 8.0 7.1 1.3 16.3% 18.4% .293 69 70 6.08 146 -0.6

Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Player Pit Comp 1 Pit Comp 2 Pit Comp 3
Corbin Burnes Justin Verlander Stephen Strasburg Johnny Cueto
Kyle Bradish Mort Cooper Dean Chance Butch Wensloff
Zach Eflin Johnny Sain Masahiro Tanaka Jon Lieber
Grayson Rodriguez Mat Latos Ken Forsch Gerrit Cole
Dean Kremer Jeremy Guthrie Sonny Gray Ramon Ortiz
Félix Bautista Rich Gossage Bryan Harvey Craig Kimbrel
Cade Povich Jerry Reuss Alex Kellner Jalen Beeks
Trevor Rogers Dave Otto Adam Conley Jerry Reuss
Yennier Cano Jeremy Jeffress Steve Karsay Alex Colome
Brandon Young Bo McLaughlin Ryan Sheldon Philip Humber
Chayce McDermott Mac Suzuki Red Witt Ben Rivera
Alex Pham Pedro Liriano Marco Estrada Brian Rogers
Keegan Akin Rich Folkers Glen Perkins Garland Braxton
Cameron Weston Chad Bettis Bo McLaughlin Todd Burns
Bruce Zimmermann Andy Van Hekken David Huff Zach Duke
John Means Fred Fussell Donovan Osborne Art Nehf
Tucker Davidson Jonathon Rouwenhorst Matt Blank Ron Mrozinski
Tyler Wells Ed Halicki Ray Poat Charles Hudson
Adrian Houser Andrew Cashner Matt Garza Odrisamer Despaigne
Danny Coulombe Ramon Hernandez Scott Downs Joey Eischen
Albert Suárez Homer Bailey Brett Tomko Pat Dobson
Gregory Soto Jake Diekman Andy Hassler Justin Wilson
Kyle Brnovich Vic Keen Dick Lange J.R. Graham
Seranthony Domínguez Jesse Crain Pedro Baez Curt Leskanic
Trace Bright Alex Colome Aaron Myette Tom Newell
Cionel Pérez Dave Rucker Jeff Calhoun Sam Freeman
Peter Van Loon Larry Carter Elvis Perez Tyler Cravy
Patrick Reilly Aaron Myette Alex Colome Chance Adams
Jacob Webb Walt Masterson Kevin Gregg Ted Power
Zach Peek Fred Holdsworth Jim Wright Gary Wex
Kyle Virbitsky Anthony Bass Chris Nelson Dirk Hayhurst
Bryan Baker Matt Albers Justin Miller Lou Trivino
Justin Armbruester Matt Keough Fred Talbot Aaron Blair
Jonathan Heasley Gordon Rhodes Parker Bridwell Bob Milacki
Craig Kimbrel Rudy Seanez Diego Segui Juan Berenguer
Colin Selby Bill Wilson Ray Miller Felix Rodriguez
Jakob Hernandez Bill Pleis Josh Edgin Mike Stanton
Ryan Long Bob Davies Max Duval Jose Rosario
Nick Vespi Joe Savery Mike Gallo Pedro Feliciano
Thaddeus Ward Thomas Arruda Daniel Corcino Joe Nathan
Nick Avila Collin Kerley Mike Solbach Peter Palermo
Nolan Hoffman Tim Drummond Thomas Frondorf Tim Lahey
Levi Stoudt Kyle Dowdy Jacob Turner Paul Clemens
Logan Rinehart Kirk Bullinger Rod Stevenson Matt Stites
Julio Teheran Craig Swan Alfredo Aceves Salvador Rodriguez
Blaine Knight Fredy Quintero Daven Bond Kenneth Sigman
Nick Anderson Ernie Johnson Dick Drago Skip Lockwood
Burch Smith Chad Qualls Frank Sullivan Dennis Lamp
Corbin Martin John Romonosky Fernando Rijo B.J. Rosenberg
Houston Roth P.J. Francescon Dick Lange Mark Woodyard
Ryan Hennen Jeff Huber Jamie Walker Chad Hale
Andrew Suárez Brian Duensing Fu-Te Ni Ross Grimsley
Carlos Tavera Yfrain Linares Pat Collins Willie Glen
Matt Bowman Bucky Brandon Tom Hume Tom Hurd
Keagan Gillies Rod Stevenson Matt Stites Kirk Bullinger
Travis Lakins Sr. Erik Bennett Daryl Patterson Bill Wilson
Bradley Brehmer Glenn Davis Zach Frachiseur J.R. Graham
Kade Strowd Aris Tirado Johnny Barbato Chad Povich
Morgan McSweeney Terry Cornutt Ronald Welsch John Ogiltree
Chris Ellis Robert McCauley Ken Ray Adelbert Norwood
Tyler Burch Marv Rockman Jimmy Marrujo Dan Brown
Dylan Heid Zach Simons Francisco Mendoza John Lujan
Wandisson Charles Harvey Mattingly Hector Nelo Tad Slowik
Nick Richmond Bill Geiger Ricky Strebeck Chris Squires
Dan Hammer Yoel Espinal James Thornton Trey Haley

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R 80th WAR 20th WAR 80th ERA 20th ERA
Corbin Burnes .229 .291 .348 .216 .270 .348 4.8 2.4 2.81 3.98
Kyle Bradish .226 .298 .327 .223 .286 .367 3.4 1.7 2.87 3.87
Zach Eflin .259 .300 .442 .252 .277 .386 3.1 1.4 3.31 4.32
Grayson Rodriguez .219 .282 .366 .248 .306 .405 3.0 0.9 3.09 4.33
Dean Kremer .234 .311 .383 .253 .304 .411 2.5 0.8 3.51 4.63
Félix Bautista .179 .250 .286 .189 .263 .321 2.3 0.6 1.75 3.80
Cade Povich .237 .314 .372 .249 .318 .416 2.3 0.2 3.72 4.89
Trevor Rogers .248 .333 .350 .256 .320 .421 2.1 0.1 3.76 4.98
Yennier Cano .250 .311 .380 .216 .284 .321 1.7 0.2 2.66 4.33
Brandon Young .250 .319 .395 .255 .306 .432 1.7 0.4 3.60 4.74
Chayce McDermott .250 .341 .429 .214 .310 .342 1.6 0.0 3.75 5.01
Alex Pham .240 .309 .398 .263 .330 .424 1.6 0.1 3.85 4.97
Keegan Akin .213 .253 .337 .236 .290 .404 1.6 0.1 2.63 4.47
Cameron Weston .254 .326 .416 .246 .308 .397 1.4 0.2 3.73 4.76
Bruce Zimmermann .267 .306 .426 .267 .323 .435 1.4 0.0 3.78 5.07
John Means .235 .288 .368 .250 .297 .434 1.2 0.3 3.62 4.67
Tucker Davidson .229 .319 .364 .272 .328 .435 1.3 -0.1 3.88 4.98
Tyler Wells .224 .277 .378 .247 .305 .445 1.3 0.1 3.82 5.03
Adrian Houser .288 .365 .452 .239 .301 .361 1.1 0.0 4.08 5.03
Danny Coulombe .232 .283 .321 .231 .290 .407 0.9 0.1 2.50 4.55
Albert Suárez .273 .344 .444 .265 .311 .460 1.2 -0.3 4.08 5.36
Gregory Soto .206 .296 .286 .228 .319 .352 1.2 -0.2 2.76 4.59
Kyle Brnovich .230 .310 .381 .275 .338 .444 0.9 0.0 3.96 5.11
Seranthony Domínguez .247 .327 .412 .202 .281 .316 1.1 -0.2 2.84 4.77
Trace Bright .240 .343 .399 .263 .343 .444 1.0 -0.3 4.35 5.36
Cionel Pérez .222 .305 .333 .244 .335 .341 0.8 -0.2 3.08 4.57
Peter Van Loon .262 .344 .449 .246 .313 .398 0.7 -0.1 4.07 5.15
Patrick Reilly .246 .344 .424 .256 .335 .427 1.0 -0.3 4.36 5.33
Jacob Webb .213 .306 .340 .242 .313 .392 0.9 -0.4 3.02 4.88
Zach Peek .255 .336 .426 .253 .342 .394 0.6 -0.1 4.07 5.24
Kyle Virbitsky .278 .340 .459 .255 .313 .416 0.7 -0.4 4.11 5.38
Bryan Baker .233 .324 .344 .227 .301 .373 0.7 -0.4 3.18 4.89
Justin Armbruester .274 .355 .473 .240 .318 .396 0.7 -0.6 4.57 5.59
Jonathan Heasley .261 .331 .446 .261 .322 .439 0.7 -0.6 4.35 5.56
Craig Kimbrel .222 .333 .389 .207 .308 .348 0.9 -0.7 2.97 5.73
Colin Selby .266 .363 .392 .213 .306 .372 0.5 -0.4 3.63 5.02
Jakob Hernandez .222 .286 .333 .247 .333 .432 0.4 -0.3 3.35 5.15
Ryan Long .265 .340 .453 .274 .322 .452 0.6 -0.5 4.42 5.47
Nick Vespi .257 .329 .371 .252 .317 .420 0.5 -0.4 3.51 4.84
Thaddeus Ward .288 .395 .475 .229 .330 .370 0.6 -0.7 4.57 5.75
Nick Avila .267 .333 .453 .265 .327 .402 0.3 -0.4 4.04 5.35
Nolan Hoffman .263 .355 .411 .239 .304 .363 0.3 -0.4 3.70 4.83
Levi Stoudt .250 .344 .426 .283 .348 .456 0.4 -0.6 4.56 5.62
Logan Rinehart .235 .319 .395 .270 .347 .449 0.3 -0.4 4.06 5.42
Julio Teheran .290 .368 .520 .255 .308 .418 0.3 -0.4 4.59 5.93
Blaine Knight .274 .369 .442 .259 .331 .397 0.3 -0.5 4.36 5.63
Nick Anderson .261 .338 .406 .244 .302 .423 0.2 -0.4 3.68 5.18
Burch Smith .288 .337 .488 .255 .315 .398 0.3 -0.4 3.67 5.51
Corbin Martin .274 .366 .434 .248 .325 .413 0.3 -0.6 4.43 5.81
Houston Roth .266 .367 .440 .252 .322 .427 0.3 -0.6 4.39 5.56
Ryan Hennen .261 .306 .370 .265 .330 .469 0.1 -0.4 3.91 5.27
Andrew Suárez .243 .299 .343 .280 .349 .484 0.3 -0.6 4.01 5.53
Carlos Tavera .261 .358 .444 .261 .354 .444 0.4 -0.7 4.56 5.77
Matt Bowman .258 .350 .438 .254 .317 .412 0.2 -0.6 4.05 5.67
Keagan Gillies .266 .348 .456 .241 .319 .398 0.2 -0.5 3.90 5.28
Travis Lakins Sr. .273 .360 .500 .255 .333 .418 0.0 -0.4 4.45 5.83
Bradley Brehmer .296 .369 .478 .250 .310 .417 0.3 -0.6 4.28 5.38
Kade Strowd .256 .356 .433 .245 .321 .383 0.2 -0.7 3.98 5.46
Morgan McSweeney .271 .368 .441 .239 .321 .394 0.0 -0.6 4.26 5.91
Chris Ellis .263 .366 .442 .282 .358 .473 0.2 -0.6 4.90 6.04
Tyler Burch .283 .358 .467 .261 .325 .449 -0.1 -0.5 4.22 5.20
Dylan Heid .255 .355 .426 .255 .344 .415 0.0 -0.8 4.18 5.50
Wandisson Charles .270 .395 .444 .234 .342 .391 -0.1 -0.8 4.67 6.57
Nick Richmond .257 .360 .446 .276 .371 .421 -0.3 -0.8 4.75 5.97
Dan Hammer .260 .407 .452 .247 .381 .412 -0.3 -1.1 5.13 6.85

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2025 due to injury, and players who were released in 2024. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Norwegian Ukulele Dixieland Jazz band that only covers songs by The Smiths, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.11.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR. It is important to remember that ZiPS is agnostic about playing time, and has no information about, for example, how quickly a team will call up a prospect or what veteran has fallen into disfavor.

As always, incorrect projections are either caused by misinformation, a non-pragmatic reality, or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter or on BlueSky.


2025 ZiPS Projections: San Francisco Giants

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December 5, 2024

For the 21st consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the San Francisco Giants.

Batters

Well, the Giants have solved at least one problem: finding another Buster Posey. Not in the form of Joey Bart, as was the original intention for a few years, but rather in Patrick Bailey. Now, Bailey isn’t quite peak Posey, an unreasonable expectation to have of anyone, but he has become a legitimate star behind the plate. Bailey also doesn’t exhibit the same distribution of talent as Posey did, as Bailey is arguably the most valuable defensive player in baseball with just enough bat to make that drool-worthy. To make a reference that’s even too old for me, Bailey’s a bit like a reboot of The Six Million Dollar Man in which they had the technology to build the cyber-Platonic ideal of Austin Hedges.

Bailey isn’t the only high spot in the lineup. Matt Chapman, who it seems the projections were not too high on in 2024 after all, should have at least a few good years left in him, and the Giants are generally at least average-ish elsewhere. ZiPS is higher than the other systems on Tyler Fitzgerald, and both the computer and I are hoping to see what Jung Hoo Lee can do after injuries cost him the opportunity to make good on what was shaping up to be a middling-at-best debut in the US. Read the rest of this entry »


2025 ZiPS Projections: Los Angeles Angels

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December 4, 2024

For the 21st consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Los Angeles Angeles.

Batters

For the first month of the offseason, the Angels have been one of the most active teams, acquiring Jorge Soler and the apparently-still-in-baseball Scott Kingery in trades, claiming Ryan Noda off waivers, and signing Travis d’Arnaud, Yusei Kikuchi, Kyle Hendricks, and Kevin Newman in free agency. Doing this tightens up the team’s secondary talent and adds to its depth.

The larger question is what the Angels actually intend to do with these moves. These are the types of things that should have been done back in the days when they had a healthy Mike Trout or were getting 8-10 wins a year from Shohei Ohtani. From 2018 to 2023, all the Angels had to do to contend was build a 75-win team around Trout and Ohtani, something they never succeeded at doing. Now, it looks like they have that 75-win team, except Ohtani isn’t around anymore and Trout is aging and injury prone. (ZiPS is projecting Trout to have around 300 plate appearances in 2025.) Read the rest of this entry »


2025 ZiPS Projections: Miami Marlins

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December 3, 2024

For the 21st consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Miami Marlins.

Batters

Building a good offensive team on the cheap is something that can be done, but it’s definitely not anything the Marlins have ever been able to do consistently. In the franchise’s more than 30 years of existence, it has had a wRC+ of at least 100 exactly twice, in 2007 and 2017. The Marlins did come close during their two championship seasons (wRC+ of 99 in both 1997 and 2003), but putting together a great lineup from within just has not been in the organization’s DNA.

That’s not likely to change in 2025. In Miami’s defense, its projected lineup – with some optimism in the health department – isn’t truly dreadful anywhere. There’s a real lack of zero-point-somethings on the depth chart graphic below, which is a nice thing. But if there’s a real lack of zeroes, there’s also a critical shortage of twos and threes, let alone the fours and fives that drive teams to division titles and playoff spots. Read the rest of this entry »


2025 ZiPS Projections: The Athletics

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November 27, 2024

For the 21st consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Athletics.

Batters

In the race for the worst franchise in baseball, the White Sox easily took the title in terms of sheer incompetence. But their out of touch owner who legitimately wanted to win can’t match up with the A’s John Fisher, who probably thought while watching Moneyball that Rachel Phelps was way too generous with her team spending. The A’s won 69-93 games, a respectable number as far as terrible teams go, but it left them in an awkward limbo: They’re not good enough to pretend to be playoff relevant, but not bad enough for young fans to someday tell tales to their grandchildren about the team’s notoriety.

In truth, there’s actually a lot to like about this set of projections, even if it’s distributed among things you don’t. Brent Rooker not only demonstrated that his 2023 breakout wasn’t a fluke, but he also had a second breakout this season that was even better than the first. Considering he ran a .362 BABIP, he’s likely going to give back at least some of the gains he made. How much he regresses is a source of disagreement between ZiPS and Steamer, but he’s conclusively proven that he’s not just some DH-type player who’s going to put up a 110 wRC+ and 1.7 WAR. Rooker is not young, so hopefully the A’s will trade him to a team with games that matter before he advances too far into his thirties.

Jacob Wilson gets a very solid projection, and ZiPS sees a bit of a bounceback campaign for Zack Gelof. I wouldn’t call ZiPS a full believer in Lawrence Butler or JJ Bleday, but it at least grants them adequacy, which is a step up for both from last year’s projections. ZiPS is decidedly negative on the mulligan stew in left field, and it isn’t buying Tyler Soderstrom as a first baseman, either. I have no idea if the Nick Kurtz projection is too high, too low, or just right given he has played almost no professional baseball. ZiPS does know his Wake Forest numbers, but college translations are more speculative than crypto currency with meme names.

One can argue the most disappointing parts of these projections aren’t the players on the parent club, but the minor leaguers. Past Wilson and maybe Kurtz, ZiPS just doesn’t see anyone in the system having major upside. I mean, Tommy White might suddenly become the offensive beast he was hoped to be, but the computer isn’t banking on it.

Pitchers

Eep. You know a team’s pitching projections aren’t going well when the player with the best projected ERA+ (Mason Miller) has a nearly 50-point edge over everyone else. One thing that used to keep the A’s from falling too far out of the pennant race was that, for a long time, this was a team that could churn out nondescript soft-tossing mid-rotation starters as if it owned a patent on the process. For the third consecutive season, however, the 2024 A’s didn’t have a single pitcher who started 20 games with an ERA+ of at least 100. This is hardly a filter for finding a Cy Young candidate! JP Sears had his moments in 2024, but at the end of the day, he’s simply a soft-tossing lefty without a strikeout pitch who can’t keep the ball down all that well, not any respectable team’s ace. Mitch Spence is interesting, but he isn’t missing bats in the majors yet. Our prospect team wrote that Joey Estes needed to develop a good secondary pitch, and that criticism rings true; he has a mediocre slider and changeup, meaning that his decent command hasn’t meant all that much.

I find J.T. Ginn and Osvaldo Bido more interesting. If Ginn keeps working with his sinker, he might have success in the majors for a while, and Bido at least makes it seem like there’s some adventure happening on the mound; his control is spotty, but he’s got a hard two-seamery sinker that I think could be a real weapon if he ever gets the hang of it. Most pitchers like Bido don’t work out in the long run, but I can squint my eyes and see a Bido breakout as a more tangible idea than what a Sears or Estes breakout would look like.

The bullpen is… not good. Miller projects for all of the bullpen’s WAR, which is fine if you think you’re going to use him for 500 innings. After Miller, there’s not a lot of correlation between spot in the pecking order and the ZiPS projection; Michel Otañez gets a decent projection in ZiPS, while Brady Basso probably doesn’t make the team, at least not in April.

The A’s have almost no guaranteed contracts, the only two right now being the recently agreed one-year pacts with Seth Brown and T.J. McFarland. Normally that would give a team some flexibility to fill some holes in free agency, but we all know that’s not going to happen. The Athletics will likely win somewhere between 65 and 72 games or so, and very little will be remembered about the season outside the weird stadium situation they’re in.

Speaking of that situation, projecting Sutter Health Field is a bit of a problem without data from past MLB games. It’s a pitchers’ park in the Pacific Coast League, but that’s not exactly telling given that the average park in the PCL would likely be a hitters’ park in the majors. I have a rough estimate of it as basically average, though I expect some outfielders might have a few adventures getting used to the caroms as the fences have some corners. The foul territory is much reduced, however, and that might mean something at the margins, considering you might be able to park a 747 in the Coliseum’s foul territory. Hopefully, by the time the A’s move again, I will have stopped calling the park “Sutter Home” after the winery.

Sutter Health Field graphic made by Szym. Depth charts constructed by way of those listed here. Size of player names is very roughly proportional to Depth Chart playing time.

Batters – Standard
Player B Age PO PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS
Brent Rooker R 30 DH 590 522 76 140 24 2 37 101 57 171 8 2
Lawrence Butler L 24 RF 545 496 73 124 25 3 20 71 44 137 17 2
Shea Langeliers R 27 C 517 469 61 109 20 2 27 78 39 141 3 2
Zack Gelof R 25 2B 549 498 66 116 24 2 19 66 43 174 22 3
Esteury Ruiz R 26 LF 445 394 57 100 21 2 10 51 29 100 40 11
Alejo Lopez B 29 3B 459 411 52 107 20 1 4 41 38 69 10 4
JJ Bleday L 27 CF 590 517 70 116 30 3 21 68 67 126 3 2
Jacob Wilson R 23 SS 320 294 45 84 21 2 5 35 17 29 1 1
Colby Thomas R 24 LF 576 533 63 125 34 4 20 80 28 168 10 3
Denzel Clarke R 25 CF 449 408 56 90 18 5 12 54 31 162 17 5
Darell Hernaiz R 23 SS 437 400 49 99 18 2 7 44 28 76 8 3
Max Muncy R 22 SS 401 361 44 85 20 1 9 48 25 128 5 2
Brett Harris R 27 3B 449 395 51 87 14 1 9 49 41 93 5 3
Abraham Toro B 28 3B 410 372 42 89 21 1 9 40 30 72 4 2
Cooper Bowman R 25 2B 485 430 59 92 19 2 10 47 38 129 24 4
CJ Alexander L 28 3B 413 385 49 89 21 3 14 49 23 112 4 2
Miguel Andujar R 30 LF 408 382 43 103 21 1 9 44 22 56 4 2
Armando Alvarez R 30 2B 348 316 41 77 18 1 10 39 28 74 3 1
Seth Brown L 32 LF 443 408 46 97 18 2 20 61 31 122 5 1
Carlos Perez R 34 C 404 364 43 75 16 1 14 48 31 84 0 0
Hoy Park L 29 RF 415 357 49 78 14 2 7 35 50 108 9 3
Cole Conn B 23 C 392 340 33 64 12 1 5 31 35 105 5 1
Max Schuemann R 28 SS 468 402 58 89 15 2 7 44 46 121 15 3
Daniel Susac R 24 C 394 370 33 85 15 2 8 43 16 116 4 1
Jordan Groshans R 25 3B 453 412 46 94 16 1 4 34 38 92 0 1
Will Simpson R 23 1B 530 478 56 110 25 2 14 56 47 167 3 2
Tyler Nevin R 28 1B 399 355 42 83 17 1 11 43 34 87 1 0
Nick Kurtz L 22 1B 443 411 54 104 20 0 10 39 30 99 2 2
Jordan Diaz R 24 DH 487 455 44 113 22 1 14 60 26 97 0 1
Tyler Soderstrom L 23 1B 456 414 44 92 17 2 19 60 34 124 0 1
Brennan Milone R 24 1B 521 470 55 107 22 1 12 57 42 131 4 3
Logan Davidson B 27 LF 417 382 44 84 18 2 9 45 30 138 4 2
Shane McGuire L 26 C 336 295 31 59 10 1 3 27 34 76 3 1
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer R 22 SS 132 119 14 27 3 0 0 11 8 12 3 2
Jeremy Eierman R 28 SS 278 256 24 47 9 0 9 33 14 110 2 1
Lazaro Armenteros R 26 LF 314 277 35 58 10 1 8 36 30 140 11 6
Henry Bolte R 21 RF 557 503 69 109 22 5 12 63 43 234 24 9
Kyle McCann L 27 C 336 302 33 59 11 0 10 37 29 130 1 0
Jeisson Rosario L 25 RF 386 340 35 71 12 2 5 29 40 116 6 5
Quincy Nieporte R 30 DH 350 315 33 70 13 1 9 39 26 81 2 0
Luke Mann L 25 3B 509 467 39 93 14 2 11 49 31 162 2 0
Colby Halter L 23 2B 266 238 24 49 11 1 2 21 24 100 6 5
Drew Lugbauer L 28 1B 399 363 39 68 15 0 16 43 32 181 0 0
Casey Yamauchi R 24 2B 327 299 32 68 9 1 0 25 14 36 11 4
Jonny Butler L 26 LF 459 417 43 83 16 4 6 40 35 134 9 2
Stephen Piscotty R 34 RF 177 162 14 33 6 0 4 15 12 52 0 0
Carlos Amaya R 23 C 176 163 13 29 7 0 2 13 8 51 1 1
Jared Dickey L 23 RF 468 426 45 97 15 5 8 48 29 100 5 3
Euribiel Angeles R 23 SS 473 454 36 105 16 3 4 40 13 75 10 3
Junior Perez R 23 CF 457 413 47 80 19 2 8 41 35 183 18 5
Nate Nankil R 22 RF 498 449 40 100 20 1 7 51 33 119 2 2
CJ Rodriguez R 24 C 285 255 16 42 5 1 0 13 27 66 0 0
Jack Winkler R 26 SS 489 447 47 86 19 1 6 43 31 126 13 4
Ryan Lasko R 23 CF 564 505 49 95 22 1 4 41 48 172 17 5
Sahid Valenzuela B 27 3B 275 256 22 50 8 1 1 17 13 67 2 1
Cameron Masterman R 26 DH 294 268 30 53 11 1 6 28 21 134 2 1
Caeden Trenkle L 24 LF 288 264 31 52 8 2 4 24 18 100 3 1
Brayan Buelvas R 23 CF 477 436 44 87 20 4 7 44 33 141 13 4
Dereck Salom R 24 3B 361 321 29 58 8 1 2 23 33 79 3 1
Jose Mujica R 24 C 217 205 17 38 6 0 2 17 8 56 0 1
T.J. Schofield-Sam L 24 2B 462 429 40 93 19 3 4 45 16 108 3 3
Danny Bautista Jr. R 24 1B 431 395 37 85 16 3 2 36 22 77 7 5
Jose Escorche R 23 2B 206 192 18 33 4 0 0 12 9 67 4 2

Batters – Advanced
Player PA BA OBP SLG OPS+ ISO BABIP Def WAR wOBA 3YOPS+ RC
Brent Rooker 590 .268 .346 .535 143 .266 .328 0 3.9 .373 136 99
Lawrence Butler 545 .250 .310 .433 107 .183 .306 5 2.2 .320 109 71
Shea Langeliers 517 .232 .296 .456 108 .224 .272 -7 2.1 .321 108 65
Zack Gelof 549 .233 .296 .404 95 .171 .318 2 2.1 .304 99 65
Esteury Ruiz 445 .254 .325 .393 101 .139 .317 5 1.8 .316 102 63
Alejo Lopez 459 .260 .332 .343 91 .083 .305 5 1.8 .302 89 50
JJ Bleday 590 .224 .316 .416 104 .191 .257 -6 1.7 .319 103 69
Jacob Wilson 320 .285 .333 .421 111 .136 .303 -2 1.5 .328 108 42
Colby Thomas 576 .235 .287 .426 97 .192 .305 6 1.5 .307 102 68
Denzel Clarke 449 .221 .287 .378 85 .157 .333 5 1.4 .291 89 50
Darell Hernaiz 437 .248 .300 .355 84 .108 .290 1 1.2 .288 87 45
Max Muncy 401 .235 .300 .371 88 .136 .339 0 1.2 .295 90 42
Brett Harris 449 .220 .307 .329 80 .109 .267 5 1.0 .286 82 42
Abraham Toro 410 .240 .303 .374 90 .135 .275 1 1.0 .297 90 44
Cooper Bowman 485 .214 .286 .337 75 .123 .282 3 0.9 .277 77 48
CJ Alexander 413 .231 .278 .411 91 .179 .290 -1 0.8 .297 93 46
Miguel Andujar 408 .270 .311 .401 99 .131 .297 1 0.7 .309 98 49
Armando Alvarez 348 .244 .305 .402 97 .158 .289 -5 0.6 .307 94 40
Seth Brown 443 .238 .294 .439 103 .201 .289 -3 0.6 .314 98 54
Carlos Perez 404 .206 .277 .371 81 .165 .230 -3 0.6 .283 77 38
Hoy Park 415 .218 .318 .328 83 .109 .293 4 0.5 .290 81 40
Cole Conn 392 .188 .275 .274 56 .085 .257 6 0.5 .251 61 27
Max Schuemann 468 .221 .317 .321 81 .100 .299 -8 0.4 .289 82 45
Daniel Susac 394 .230 .269 .346 72 .116 .313 -1 0.3 .269 76 36
Jordan Groshans 453 .228 .294 .301 68 .073 .285 4 0.2 .267 72 37
Will Simpson 530 .230 .298 .379 89 .149 .324 2 0.2 .296 93 55
Tyler Nevin 399 .234 .308 .380 93 .146 .280 -1 0.2 .303 94 42
Nick Kurtz 443 .253 .307 .375 91 .122 .311 0 0.1 .300 97 49
Jordan Diaz 487 .248 .294 .393 91 .145 .288 0 0.1 .299 96 53
Tyler Soderstrom 456 .222 .287 .410 94 .188 .269 -2 0.0 .301 100 49
Brennan Milone 521 .228 .296 .356 83 .128 .291 4 0.0 .287 86 51
Logan Davidson 417 .220 .281 .348 76 .128 .320 5 0.0 .276 79 39
Shane McGuire 336 .200 .290 .272 60 .071 .260 0 0.0 .258 62 24
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer 132 .227 .303 .252 59 .025 .252 0 -0.1 .258 63 11
Jeremy Eierman 278 .183 .238 .324 56 .140 .277 1 -0.2 .247 57 21
Lazaro Armenteros 314 .210 .300 .340 80 .130 .388 -2 -0.3 .287 83 33
Henry Bolte 557 .217 .289 .352 80 .135 .377 -1 -0.3 .283 90 60
Kyle McCann 336 .195 .274 .331 69 .136 .302 -7 -0.4 .268 72 28
Jeisson Rosario 386 .209 .294 .300 68 .091 .301 3 -0.4 .269 69 33
Quincy Nieporte 350 .222 .284 .355 79 .133 .271 0 -0.4 .280 75 32
Luke Mann 509 .199 .261 .308 60 .109 .279 2 -0.5 .254 65 38
Colby Halter 266 .206 .286 .285 62 .080 .345 -2 -0.5 .258 64 23
Drew Lugbauer 399 .187 .258 .361 72 .174 .314 2 -0.6 .270 74 34
Casey Yamauchi 327 .227 .284 .264 56 .037 .258 -2 -0.7 .250 56 26
Jonny Butler 459 .199 .268 .299 60 .101 .278 6 -0.7 .254 63 36
Stephen Piscotty 177 .203 .266 .314 63 .111 .273 -2 -0.7 .258 58 14
Carlos Amaya 176 .178 .218 .257 34 .080 .245 -1 -0.8 .211 40 10
Jared Dickey 468 .228 .293 .343 79 .115 .280 -4 -0.8 .282 82 45
Euribiel Angeles 473 .231 .254 .306 57 .075 .269 -2 -0.8 .245 62 39
Junior Perez 457 .194 .258 .307 59 .114 .324 -2 -0.8 .251 65 39
Nate Nankil 498 .223 .295 .319 73 .096 .288 -1 -0.8 .276 79 44
CJ Rodriguez 285 .165 .249 .192 27 .027 .222 3 -0.8 .209 29 12
Jack Winkler 489 .193 .256 .280 51 .087 .254 -1 -0.8 .240 54 36
Ryan Lasko 564 .188 .270 .260 50 .071 .277 3 -0.9 .243 53 41
Sahid Valenzuela 275 .196 .239 .246 37 .051 .261 3 -0.9 .218 39 16
Cameron Masterman 294 .198 .262 .313 61 .116 .367 0 -1.0 .256 64 23
Caeden Trenkle 288 .197 .254 .288 53 .091 .301 1 -1.0 .242 55 20
Brayan Buelvas 477 .200 .262 .312 61 .112 .278 -6 -1.1 .255 67 40
Dereck Salom 361 .181 .261 .230 40 .050 .233 2 -1.2 .227 44 20
Jose Mujica 217 .185 .221 .244 31 .058 .244 -3 -1.2 .207 38 12
T.J. Schofield-Sam 462 .217 .264 .303 59 .086 .280 -5 -1.3 .251 62 36
Danny Bautista Jr. 431 .215 .267 .286 56 .071 .262 0 -1.8 .247 59 34
Jose Escorche 206 .171 .216 .192 17 .021 .263 -5 -1.9 .188 21 9

Batters – Top Near-Age Offensive Comps
Player Hit Comp 1 Hit Comp 2 Hit Comp 3
Brent Rooker Tony Perez Reggie Jackson Bill Nicholson
Lawrence Butler Ellis Burks George Metkovich Lloyd Moseby
Shea Langeliers Carlton Fisk Cliff Johnson Mike Zunino
Zack Gelof Jazz Chisholm Jr. Danny Espinosa Whitey Kurowski
Esteury Ruiz Rod Craig Tom McCraw Juan Beniquez
Alejo Lopez Ron Theobald Mitch Glasser Joe Anthonsen
JJ Bleday Max Kepler Enrique Hernández Dick Kokos
Jacob Wilson Bob Schroder Cecil Travis Freddy Sanchez
Colby Thomas Carlos González Jordan Patterson Bob Perry
Denzel Clarke Dick Smith Lane Thomas Reggie Thomas
Darell Hernaiz Tyler Pastornicky Victor Rodriguez Adam Frazier
Max Muncy Wilson Betemit Jake Lemmerman Frank Bolling
Brett Harris Ed Giovanola Robert Hewes Matt Antonelli
Abraham Toro Jason Hardtke Wattie Holm Daniel Descalso
Cooper Bowman Matt Rundels Scott Earl Jesus Medrano
CJ Alexander Steve Kiefer Craig Stimac Frank Coggins
Miguel Andujar Jesus Alou Walt Williams John Barnes
Armando Alvarez Mike Mordecai Adam Rosales Jim Pankovits
Seth Brown Ray Sadler Ben Broussard Carlos González
Carlos Perez Rod Barajas Les Peden Tim Laker
Hoy Park Grégor Blanco Brian Cisarik Joe Bracchitta
Cole Conn Stuart Turner Jamie Pogue Dave Massarelli
Max Schuemann Mike Fischlin Eddy Alvarez Zach Penprase
Daniel Susac Wilfredo Tejada Bob Montgomery Lee Robinson
Jordan Groshans Mark Germann Dave Cripe Luis Galindo
Will Simpson Mario Valdez Matt Curry John Roskos
Tyler Nevin Rich Poythress Kelly Snider Rob Segedin
Nick Kurtz Scott Robinson Kelly Paris Tony Bartirome
Jordan Diaz Randall Simon Kendrys Morales Ruben Gonzalez
Tyler Soderstrom Bill Nahorodny Jerry Tabb Andy Hartung
Brennan Milone Christian Marrero D.J. Boston Moose Stubing
Logan Davidson Joaquin Contreras John Mustion J.C. Dunn
Shane McGuire Charles Julian John Sullivan Bruce Look
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer Aderling Mejia Andrelton Simmons Melvin Jimenez
Jeremy Eierman William Wilson Tod Davis Bryan Britt
Lazaro Armenteros George Lombard Lloyd Fourroux Dante Brinkley
Henry Bolte Tim Battle Devon White Elijah Dukes
Kyle McCann Jimmy Kremers John Hoffman Arnie Chavera
Jeisson Rosario Andrew Huling Willie Argo James Egan
Quincy Nieporte Nelson Simmons John Ramos Eddie Pearson 피어슨
Luke Mann Leon McFadden Gary Davenport John Lyles
Colby Halter Kevin Connacher Fletcher Thompson Steve Garrabrants
Drew Lugbauer Rod McCall Jesse Hoorelbeke Wes Clements
Casey Yamauchi Gabby Delgado Paul Serna Pedro Ithier
Jonny Butler Cam Gibson Jon Hamilton Brian Blair
Stephen Piscotty Danny Lewis Tito Landrum Matthew LeCroy
Carlos Amaya Nestor Corredor Andrew Prater Richie Borrero
Jared Dickey Yahmed Yema Mike White Rick Down
Euribiel Angeles Hanser Alberto Julius Matos Luis Nunez
Junior Perez Todd Steverson James Rich Tommie Campbell
Nate Nankil Jim Bowie Rich Aude Jose Velazquez
CJ Rodriguez Richard Rockwell Bryan Graves Dave Holt
Jack Winkler Chris McConnell Bob Stephenson Matt Wessinger
Ryan Lasko Ben Ortman Jimmy Harris John Rose
Sahid Valenzuela Juan Velazquez Joey Wong Jake Eigsti
Cameron Masterman Anthony Miller Cole White Johnny Crawford
Caeden Trenkle Gary Nalls Curt Miaso Jeffrey Minick
Brayan Buelvas Elmer Lindsey Chip Ambres Victor Horacio
Dereck Salom Scott Raziano D.J. Crumlich Mark Haske
Jose Mujica Travis Chapman Juan Jaime Wally Rosa
T.J. Schofield-Sam Bryant Flete Epi Cardenas Phil Gosselin
Danny Bautista Jr. Dave Feuerstein Mike Dzurilla Jose Cardona
Jose Escorche Edgar Perez Welfrin Mateo Demetrius Sims

Batters – 80th/20th Percentiles
Player 80th BA 80th OBP 80th SLG 80th OPS+ 80th WAR 20th BA 20th OBP 20th SLG 20th OPS+ 20th WAR
Brent Rooker .293 .372 .607 165 5.5 .241 .316 .482 121 2.3
Lawrence Butler .275 .340 .488 126 3.4 .223 .284 .386 88 0.8
Shea Langeliers .259 .319 .513 127 3.4 .208 .272 .392 85 0.7
Zack Gelof .261 .324 .456 118 3.7 .205 .267 .356 76 0.7
Esteury Ruiz .281 .350 .440 120 2.8 .232 .300 .351 84 0.6
Alejo Lopez .289 .359 .385 109 2.8 .234 .308 .310 75 0.9
JJ Bleday .247 .342 .469 124 3.1 .198 .291 .365 84 0.2
Jacob Wilson .313 .360 .472 131 2.3 .257 .303 .371 90 0.7
Colby Thomas .261 .313 .487 120 3.2 .207 .261 .380 79 0.2
Denzel Clarke .246 .314 .424 103 2.4 .191 .263 .330 65 0.3
Darell Hernaiz .273 .325 .401 103 2.2 .221 .277 .318 68 0.4
Max Muncy .264 .328 .427 108 2.2 .211 .278 .333 71 0.3
Brett Harris .243 .334 .373 97 1.9 .195 .283 .292 62 0.0
Abraham Toro .265 .330 .419 108 1.9 .213 .277 .326 70 0.0
Cooper Bowman .237 .311 .379 93 2.0 .188 .265 .299 59 -0.1
CJ Alexander .253 .299 .463 109 1.7 .206 .253 .363 72 -0.2
Miguel Andujar .299 .343 .448 118 1.8 .239 .283 .354 80 -0.3
Armando Alvarez .273 .333 .450 116 1.5 .213 .276 .352 77 -0.3
Seth Brown .261 .315 .496 124 1.8 .208 .265 .377 79 -0.6
Carlos Perez .228 .300 .429 100 1.5 .182 .254 .322 61 -0.3
Hoy Park .245 .347 .366 99 1.4 .193 .288 .289 63 -0.4
Cole Conn .221 .309 .325 78 1.5 .157 .244 .229 38 -0.4
Max Schuemann .250 .341 .365 98 1.5 .194 .289 .279 62 -0.6
Daniel Susac .257 .295 .393 93 1.4 .200 .241 .300 54 -0.6
Jordan Groshans .253 .318 .336 84 1.1 .200 .267 .263 52 -0.8
Will Simpson .253 .324 .432 109 1.4 .203 .268 .333 69 -1.1
Tyler Nevin .261 .337 .432 112 1.1 .205 .282 .333 74 -0.7
Nick Kurtz .287 .334 .421 111 1.2 .221 .275 .321 68 -1.1
Jordan Diaz .274 .318 .443 111 1.3 .224 .267 .346 73 -1.0
Tyler Soderstrom .249 .315 .467 116 1.3 .199 .264 .358 75 -1.0
Brennan Milone .255 .320 .399 101 1.2 .203 .273 .310 65 -1.1
Logan Davidson .250 .305 .396 97 1.0 .195 .254 .308 58 -0.9
Shane McGuire .228 .320 .318 79 0.8 .171 .263 .236 43 -0.7
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer .259 .335 .289 78 0.2 .197 .277 .218 43 -0.4
Jeremy Eierman .211 .266 .379 79 0.6 .156 .212 .272 38 -0.8
Lazaro Armenteros .240 .331 .398 102 0.6 .177 .267 .284 58 -1.1
Henry Bolte .248 .318 .410 102 1.1 .190 .257 .304 61 -1.6
Kyle McCann .226 .303 .385 92 0.6 .167 .240 .281 48 -1.3
Jeisson Rosario .240 .324 .342 87 0.5 .182 .268 .255 50 -1.2
Quincy Nieporte .249 .316 .403 99 0.4 .191 .257 .303 59 -1.3
Luke Mann .224 .288 .355 76 0.6 .173 .235 .268 42 -1.6
Colby Halter .237 .314 .338 81 0.1 .179 .257 .243 42 -1.2
Drew Lugbauer .219 .288 .432 99 0.6 .160 .232 .307 53 -1.6
Casey Yamauchi .255 .310 .302 72 0.0 .200 .259 .228 39 -1.3
Jonny Butler .226 .299 .343 78 0.4 .176 .245 .263 43 -1.6
Stephen Piscotty .235 .297 .367 85 -0.2 .173 .238 .270 45 -1.1
Carlos Amaya .207 .248 .307 55 -0.3 .149 .187 .217 15 -1.2
Jared Dickey .258 .319 .393 99 0.4 .203 .266 .297 62 -1.8
Euribiel Angeles .259 .280 .341 75 0.3 .207 .229 .264 39 -1.8
Junior Perez .220 .284 .346 75 0.3 .169 .232 .267 40 -1.8
Nate Nankil .246 .322 .359 92 0.4 .195 .272 .275 54 -2.0
CJ Rodriguez .195 .278 .225 46 -0.2 .136 .224 .160 12 -1.4
Jack Winkler .214 .280 .315 67 0.2 .167 .233 .240 34 -1.9
Ryan Lasko .212 .292 .295 67 0.3 .168 .248 .224 36 -1.9
Sahid Valenzuela .223 .268 .287 56 -0.3 .170 .215 .215 22 -1.5
Cameron Masterman .231 .293 .358 83 -0.2 .164 .229 .260 39 -1.7
Caeden Trenkle .223 .283 .334 71 -0.3 .171 .228 .248 34 -1.7
Brayan Buelvas .228 .294 .352 81 0.1 .174 .237 .271 44 -2.2
Dereck Salom .206 .286 .260 55 -0.5 .154 .232 .200 25 -1.9
Jose Mujica .216 .252 .290 51 -0.6 .159 .195 .201 13 -1.7
T.J. Schofield-Sam .245 .289 .340 76 -0.3 .192 .238 .262 42 -2.3
Danny Bautista Jr. .240 .295 .324 72 -0.9 .183 .238 .244 37 -2.8
Jose Escorche .203 .245 .227 32 -1.4 .145 .190 .163 -1 -2.3

Batters – Platoon Splits
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R
Brent Rooker .275 .361 .566 .265 .338 .518
Lawrence Butler .242 .297 .410 .254 .316 .445
Shea Langeliers .237 .305 .473 .230 .291 .447
Zack Gelof .232 .302 .421 .234 .293 .395
Esteury Ruiz .264 .341 .434 .247 .314 .366
Alejo Lopez .268 .335 .338 .257 .330 .346
JJ Bleday .216 .297 .395 .228 .324 .425
Jacob Wilson .297 .343 .462 .281 .329 .404
Colby Thomas .230 .285 .418 .236 .287 .429
Denzel Clarke .230 .300 .393 .216 .281 .370
Darell Hernaiz .253 .313 .377 .244 .292 .343
Max Muncy .234 .299 .363 .236 .300 .376
Brett Harris .230 .321 .331 .215 .299 .328
Abraham Toro .250 .315 .366 .235 .298 .377
Cooper Bowman .217 .298 .357 .213 .280 .328
CJ Alexander .213 .257 .370 .240 .289 .430
Miguel Andujar .276 .318 .407 .266 .308 .398
Armando Alvarez .248 .313 .398 .240 .299 .404
Seth Brown .218 .277 .356 .243 .298 .461
Carlos Perez .211 .289 .391 .203 .271 .359
Hoy Park .216 .308 .319 .220 .323 .332
Cole Conn .189 .269 .283 .188 .278 .269
Max Schuemann .228 .327 .345 .218 .311 .307
Daniel Susac .241 .282 .379 .224 .263 .331
Jordan Groshans .233 .302 .315 .226 .289 .293
Will Simpson .234 .309 .386 .228 .293 .375
Tyler Nevin .239 .321 .399 .230 .300 .369
Nick Kurtz .242 .295 .333 .258 .312 .392
Jordan Diaz .254 .300 .412 .245 .290 .381
Tyler Soderstrom .223 .283 .403 .222 .289 .415
Brennan Milone .233 .307 .363 .225 .291 .352
Logan Davidson .213 .273 .340 .224 .285 .353
Shane McGuire .193 .277 .265 .203 .295 .274
Joshua Kuroda-Grauer .231 .302 .256 .225 .303 .250
Jeremy Eierman .183 .245 .323 .184 .234 .325
Lazaro Armenteros .213 .308 .340 .208 .295 .339
Henry Bolte .219 .292 .358 .216 .288 .349
Kyle McCann .180 .261 .300 .203 .280 .347
Jeisson Rosario .202 .279 .284 .212 .302 .307
Quincy Nieporte .228 .292 .374 .219 .280 .344
Luke Mann .191 .255 .301 .202 .264 .311
Colby Halter .191 .267 .235 .212 .293 .306
Drew Lugbauer .176 .243 .336 .193 .266 .374
Casey Yamauchi .235 .286 .265 .224 .283 .264
Jonny Butler .183 .258 .258 .205 .272 .316
Stephen Piscotty .204 .278 .306 .204 .260 .319
Carlos Amaya .185 .224 .278 .174 .216 .248
Jared Dickey .216 .281 .319 .232 .297 .352
Euribiel Angeles .234 .259 .299 .230 .253 .310
Junior Perez .199 .274 .318 .191 .249 .302
Nate Nankil .228 .302 .338 .220 .292 .309
CJ Rodriguez .170 .270 .193 .162 .238 .192
Jack Winkler .199 .265 .291 .190 .252 .275
Ryan Lasko .194 .282 .256 .186 .264 .261
Sahid Valenzuela .193 .239 .229 .197 .239 .254
Cameron Masterman .205 .272 .313 .195 .257 .314
Caeden Trenkle .192 .250 .288 .199 .255 .288
Brayan Buelvas .207 .275 .345 .196 .256 .296
Dereck Salom .186 .276 .245 .178 .254 .224
Jose Mujica .191 .222 .265 .182 .221 .234
T.J. Schofield-Sam .204 .260 .275 .223 .266 .317
Danny Bautista Jr. .227 .281 .305 .209 .259 .276
Jose Escorche .177 .215 .194 .169 .216 .192

Pitchers – Standard
Player T Age W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO
Mason Miller R 26 3 1 2.81 56 0 64.0 42 20 6 22 93
Mitch Spence R 27 7 8 4.39 29 23 135.3 138 66 18 41 108
JP Sears L 29 9 10 4.48 28 27 154.7 152 77 26 44 128
Brady Basso L 27 5 5 4.19 26 20 103.0 101 48 15 28 91
Mason Barnett R 24 7 8 4.49 24 23 118.3 113 59 16 46 105
Jack Perkins R 25 3 3 4.22 19 15 74.7 70 35 9 29 68
J.T. Ginn R 26 5 7 4.59 24 22 113.7 116 58 14 39 84
Osvaldo Bido R 29 6 6 4.39 25 17 96.3 88 47 11 41 89
Hogan Harris L 28 6 7 4.57 29 20 112.3 107 57 14 54 99
Ken Waldichuk L 27 4 5 4.52 22 17 93.7 87 47 12 40 90
Domingo Robles L 27 5 6 4.47 22 16 88.7 92 44 11 29 63
Jack Cushing R 28 5 6 4.53 30 12 93.3 99 47 14 26 69
Jason Alexander R 32 5 5 4.70 24 21 105.3 115 55 14 31 70
Joe Boyle R 25 6 6 4.60 25 22 90.0 74 46 10 62 103
Joey Estes R 23 8 11 4.89 29 27 147.3 147 80 26 37 109
Will Johnston L 24 4 5 4.55 25 14 89.0 85 45 13 37 83
Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang R 24 4 4 4.52 22 15 77.7 82 39 12 18 55
Kyle Muller L 27 4 4 4.59 27 14 100.0 102 51 13 36 80
Gunnar Hoglund R 25 6 8 4.81 22 21 106.7 112 57 17 30 75
Brandon Bielak R 29 4 5 4.56 28 14 96.7 103 49 13 37 68
Janson Junk R 29 5 5 4.60 26 15 88.0 95 45 12 26 61
Blake Beers R 26 7 9 4.87 25 21 122.0 126 66 19 42 89
Luis Medina R 26 4 6 4.69 19 16 80.7 76 42 9 41 73
James Gonzalez L 24 4 6 4.92 24 17 100.7 106 55 15 39 74
Scott Alexander L 35 3 3 3.92 48 3 41.3 40 18 4 13 31
Adrián Martínez R 28 4 6 4.81 25 13 86.0 89 46 12 32 66
Alex Wood L 34 4 5 4.79 17 13 73.3 74 39 10 26 63
Matt Krook L 30 4 4 4.54 32 8 67.3 60 34 7 41 69
David Leal L 28 4 5 4.70 26 7 76.7 83 40 11 18 48
Ross Stripling R 35 4 6 4.97 21 15 83.3 93 46 12 22 57
Michel Otanez R 27 4 4 4.05 55 0 60.0 48 27 6 35 76
Jake Walkinshaw R 28 2 3 4.74 15 13 49.3 54 26 7 17 33
Anthony Maldonado R 27 5 4 4.14 43 1 58.7 55 27 7 22 55
Kade Morris R 23 6 10 5.07 26 23 124.3 134 70 19 44 77
Michael Kelly R 32 3 2 4.04 37 0 42.3 40 19 4 16 39
Trevor Gott R 32 2 2 4.08 41 0 39.7 37 18 4 14 37
Jake Garland R 24 5 8 5.09 24 16 97.3 110 55 14 33 51
Grant Holman R 25 2 3 4.33 49 2 54.0 51 26 7 22 51
Tyler Ferguson R 31 4 4 4.39 58 1 67.7 58 33 8 33 71
Aaron Brooks R 35 4 5 5.07 19 10 71.0 82 40 11 21 41
Justin Sterner R 28 3 3 4.34 33 1 47.7 45 23 7 19 46
Francisco Perez L 27 2 3 4.30 40 0 46.0 42 22 5 24 46
T.J. McFarland L 36 3 2 4.31 56 0 48.0 50 23 5 16 34
Chase Cohen R 28 3 3 4.46 31 1 38.3 36 19 4 21 34
Colin Peluse R 27 3 5 5.09 30 8 69.0 75 39 11 24 45
Lincoln Henzman R 29 3 4 4.56 34 1 47.3 51 24 6 18 32
Ryan Cusick R 25 3 5 5.35 25 13 65.7 67 39 10 37 52
Will Klein R 25 2 3 4.61 42 1 52.7 49 27 6 32 52
Zach Jackson R 30 5 6 4.58 39 0 37.3 33 19 4 26 40
Seth Elledge R 29 3 3 4.64 36 0 42.7 43 22 6 16 34
Danis Correa R 25 1 2 4.97 32 1 38.0 36 21 5 21 34
Austin Adams R 34 1 2 4.71 47 0 36.3 27 19 4 22 47
Austin Pruitt R 35 2 4 5.10 31 3 42.3 46 24 8 12 27
Jack Weisenburger R 27 1 1 5.26 22 1 25.7 24 15 3 18 25
Stevie Emanuels R 26 0 1 4.82 22 0 28.0 26 15 4 15 27
Colton Johnson L 26 3 3 4.70 40 0 53.7 53 28 7 24 46
Dany Jiménez R 31 3 4 4.85 40 0 42.7 37 23 6 24 43
Sean Newcomb L 32 1 2 5.33 21 1 27.0 26 16 4 17 25
Gerson Moreno R 29 2 2 4.93 41 1 45.7 41 25 6 28 46
Gerardo Reyes R 32 2 3 4.89 41 0 42.3 38 23 6 24 43
Corey Avant R 23 3 5 5.35 31 6 69.0 74 41 10 36 51
Shohei Tomioka R 29 2 4 5.24 32 1 46.3 48 27 6 24 35
Tanner Dodson R 28 3 4 5.20 39 1 53.7 56 31 6 32 38
Pedro Santos R 25 2 4 5.36 41 2 48.7 47 29 7 34 47
Wander Guante R 25 3 5 5.53 26 9 84.7 94 52 15 37 54
Tyler Baum R 27 2 5 5.48 38 0 46.0 45 28 7 30 41

Pitchers – Advanced
Player IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BB% K% BABIP ERA+ 3ERA+ FIP ERA- WAR
Mason Miller 64.0 13.1 3.1 0.8 8.6% 36.2% .273 146 145 2.66 68 1.5
Mitch Spence 135.3 7.2 2.7 1.2 7.0% 18.6% .294 94 95 4.35 107 1.3
JP Sears 154.7 7.4 2.6 1.5 6.8% 19.7% .279 92 91 4.76 109 1.3
Brady Basso 103.0 8.0 2.4 1.3 6.4% 20.9% .290 98 99 4.21 102 1.2
Mason Barnett 118.3 8.0 3.5 1.2 9.0% 20.6% .286 92 95 4.53 109 1.0
Jack Perkins 74.7 8.2 3.5 1.1 9.0% 21.2% .288 97 100 4.29 103 0.9
J.T. Ginn 113.7 6.7 3.1 1.1 7.9% 17.1% .291 90 92 4.59 112 0.8
Osvaldo Bido 96.3 8.3 3.8 1.0 9.9% 21.4% .285 94 93 4.40 107 0.8
Hogan Harris 112.3 7.9 4.3 1.1 10.9% 20.0% .288 90 91 4.66 111 0.8
Ken Waldichuk 93.7 8.6 3.8 1.2 9.8% 22.1% .288 91 93 4.43 110 0.7
Domingo Robles 88.7 6.4 2.9 1.1 7.5% 16.4% .292 92 93 4.49 109 0.7
Jack Cushing 93.3 6.7 2.5 1.4 6.5% 17.2% .294 91 92 4.55 110 0.6
Jason Alexander 105.3 6.0 2.6 1.2 6.8% 15.4% .298 87 85 4.63 114 0.6
Joe Boyle 90.0 10.3 6.2 1.0 15.0% 25.0% .284 89 93 4.60 112 0.6
Joey Estes 147.3 6.7 2.3 1.6 6.0% 17.7% .273 84 90 4.99 119 0.6
Will Johnston 89.0 8.4 3.7 1.3 9.5% 21.4% .288 90 96 4.53 111 0.6
Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang 77.7 6.4 2.1 1.4 5.5% 16.8% .289 91 96 4.58 110 0.6
Kyle Muller 100.0 7.2 3.2 1.2 8.2% 18.2% .295 90 92 4.44 112 0.6
Gunnar Hoglund 106.7 6.3 2.5 1.4 6.6% 16.4% .286 85 90 4.86 117 0.6
Brandon Bielak 96.7 6.3 3.4 1.2 8.7% 16.0% .296 90 91 4.85 111 0.6
Janson Junk 88.0 6.2 2.7 1.2 6.8% 16.1% .297 89 89 4.52 112 0.5
Blake Beers 122.0 6.6 3.1 1.4 7.9% 16.8% .285 84 87 5.07 118 0.5
Luis Medina 80.7 8.1 4.6 1.0 11.2% 20.0% .291 88 91 4.57 114 0.5
James Gonzalez 100.7 6.6 3.5 1.3 8.8% 16.6% .293 84 89 4.96 120 0.4
Scott Alexander 41.3 6.8 2.8 0.9 7.3% 17.5% .286 105 96 4.03 95 0.4
Adrián Martínez 86.0 6.9 3.3 1.3 8.4% 17.3% .294 85 87 4.75 117 0.4
Alex Wood 73.3 7.7 3.2 1.2 8.2% 19.9% .296 86 81 4.58 116 0.4
Matt Krook 67.3 9.2 5.5 0.9 13.5% 22.8% .293 90 89 4.44 111 0.3
David Leal 76.7 5.6 2.1 1.3 5.5% 14.7% .290 88 90 4.73 114 0.3
Ross Stripling 83.3 6.2 2.4 1.3 6.1% 15.9% .303 83 77 4.51 121 0.3
Michel Otanez 60.0 11.4 5.3 0.9 13.0% 28.1% .296 101 104 3.99 99 0.2
Jake Walkinshaw 49.3 6.0 3.1 1.3 7.8% 15.1% .297 87 87 4.78 115 0.2
Anthony Maldonado 58.7 8.4 3.4 1.1 8.7% 21.7% .291 99 101 4.13 101 0.2
Kade Morris 124.3 5.6 3.2 1.4 8.0% 14.0% .287 81 86 5.28 123 0.2
Michael Kelly 42.3 8.3 3.4 0.9 8.8% 21.4% .298 102 99 3.84 98 0.2
Trevor Gott 39.7 8.4 3.2 0.9 8.4% 22.2% .295 101 97 3.83 99 0.2
Jake Garland 97.3 4.7 3.1 1.3 7.6% 11.8% .292 81 86 5.20 124 0.1
Grant Holman 54.0 8.5 3.7 1.2 9.4% 21.8% .291 95 100 4.36 105 0.1
Tyler Ferguson 67.7 9.4 4.4 1.1 11.2% 24.1% .281 94 92 4.39 107 0.1
Aaron Brooks 71.0 5.2 2.7 1.4 6.8% 13.2% .300 81 76 5.05 123 0.1
Justin Sterner 47.7 8.7 3.6 1.3 9.1% 22.1% .288 95 96 4.54 106 0.1
Francisco Perez 46.0 9.0 4.7 1.0 11.7% 22.4% .294 95 98 4.22 105 0.1
T.J. McFarland 48.0 6.4 3.0 0.9 7.7% 16.3% .298 95 87 4.30 105 0.0
Chase Cohen 38.3 8.0 4.9 0.9 12.2% 19.8% .291 92 92 4.56 109 0.0
Colin Peluse 69.0 5.9 3.1 1.4 7.9% 14.9% .291 81 84 5.08 124 0.0
Lincoln Henzman 47.3 6.1 3.4 1.1 8.5% 15.2% .298 90 89 4.81 111 0.0
Ryan Cusick 65.7 7.1 5.1 1.4 12.2% 17.2% .289 77 82 5.45 130 -0.1
Will Klein 52.7 8.9 5.5 1.0 13.4% 21.8% .297 89 93 4.62 112 -0.1
Zach Jackson 37.3 9.6 6.3 1.0 14.7% 22.6% .293 90 88 4.60 111 -0.1
Seth Elledge 42.7 7.2 3.4 1.3 8.5% 18.1% .289 89 89 4.68 113 -0.1
Danis Correa 38.0 8.1 5.0 1.2 12.1% 19.5% .287 83 88 5.07 121 -0.1
Austin Adams 36.3 11.6 5.4 1.0 13.8% 29.4% .277 87 81 4.83 114 -0.2
Austin Pruitt 42.3 5.7 2.6 1.7 6.6% 14.8% .281 81 75 5.35 124 -0.2
Jack Weisenburger 25.7 8.8 6.3 1.1 14.9% 20.7% .296 78 83 4.97 128 -0.2
Stevie Emanuels 28.0 8.7 4.8 1.3 11.7% 21.1% .286 85 88 4.82 117 -0.2
Colton Johnson 53.7 7.7 4.0 1.2 10.0% 19.2% .293 88 92 4.67 114 -0.2
Dany Jiménez 42.7 9.1 5.1 1.3 12.7% 22.8% .274 85 84 4.82 118 -0.2
Sean Newcomb 27.0 8.3 5.7 1.3 13.6% 20.0% .289 77 75 5.36 130 -0.2
Gerson Moreno 45.7 9.1 5.5 1.2 13.4% 22.0% .285 83 84 5.04 120 -0.2
Gerardo Reyes 42.3 9.1 5.1 1.3 12.7% 22.8% .283 84 80 4.90 119 -0.3
Corey Avant 69.0 6.7 4.7 1.3 11.2% 15.8% .298 77 83 5.32 130 -0.3
Shohei Tomioka 46.3 6.8 4.7 1.2 11.3% 16.5% .296 78 80 5.16 128 -0.3
Tanner Dodson 53.7 6.4 5.4 1.0 12.8% 15.2% .296 79 81 5.28 126 -0.4
Pedro Santos 48.7 8.7 6.3 1.3 14.5% 20.1% .294 77 82 5.46 130 -0.4
Wander Guante 84.7 5.7 3.9 1.6 9.6% 14.0% .290 74 78 5.73 134 -0.5
Tyler Baum 46.0 8.0 5.9 1.4 13.8% 18.8% .288 75 77 5.72 133 -0.6

Pitchers – Top Near-Age Comps
Player Pit Comp 1 Pit Comp 2 Pit Comp 3
Mason Miller Daniel Bard Ricky Bottalico Ugueth Urbina
Mitch Spence Ben Lively 라이블리 Anthony DeSclafani Kyle Lohse
JP Sears Dennis Rasmussen Tom Browning Wei-Yin Chen
Brady Basso Ryan Edell Paul Minner John Means
Mason Barnett Jeff Hoffman Jorge De Paula Brian Rogers
Jack Perkins Tom Bruno John Hudgins Dick Pole
J.T. Ginn Mike Wright Jason Davis Shaun Anderson 앤더슨
Osvaldo Bido Manny Salvo Lynn McGlothen Derek Botelho
Hogan Harris Roenis Elias Al Milnar Rich Robertson
Ken Waldichuk Dennis Cook Trevor Wilson Ken Reynolds
Domingo Robles Joe Bircher Mike Antonini Adam Pettyjohn
Jack Cushing Joel Payamps Tim McClaskey Felipe Lira
Jason Alexander Jason Johnson Alex Cobb Bryan Rekar
Joe Boyle Dave Morehead Lowell Palmer Frank LaCorte
Joey Estes Pedro Ramos Matt Wisler Henderson Alvarez
Will Johnston Phil Nastu Carlos Perez Jeffrey Springs
Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang Keith Brown Adrian Martin Trevor Harden
Kyle Muller Rafael Novoa Will Brunson Wilson Guzman
Gunnar Hoglund Tommy Hunter Chris Baker Jaime Barria 바리아
Brandon Bielak Rudy Paynich Braden Shipley Tim Adleman 아델만
Janson Junk Felipe Lira Glen Stabelfeld Fred Talbot
Blake Beers Taylor Clarke Matt Wisler Daniel Mengden
Luis Medina Carlos Pimentel Mike Erb Robert Ellis
James Gonzalez Sam McConnell Bill Edgerton Mike Maroth
Scott Alexander Rich Rodriguez Rheal Cormier Tom Hilgendorf
Adrián Martínez Erick Fedde 페디 Brock Stewart Cy Sneed
Alex Wood Orlando Lara Ed Wells Howie Pollet
Matt Krook David Purcey Steve Randolph Dan Meyer
David Leal Ramon Garcia Doug Simons Mike Caldwell
Ross Stripling Charles Nagy Dick Ruthven Chien-Ming Wang
Michel Otanez Marty Decker Craig Pippin Brooks Lawrence
Jake Walkinshaw Dave Gil Doug Sessions Joe Edelen
Anthony Maldonado Phil Clark Todd Frohwirth Bubbie Buzachero
Kade Morris Henderson Alvarez Matt Wisler Tyler Mahle
Michael Kelly Luis Aponte Danny Kolb Bert Roberge
Trevor Gott John Flinn Luis Vazquez Bert Roberge
Jake Garland P.J. Campbell Junior Herndon Emerson Martinez
Grant Holman Edgar Martinez Tim Scott Jeff Bennett
Tyler Ferguson Ted Power Calvin Schiraldi Dar Smith
Aaron Brooks Bob Bruce Ray Benge Eric Show
Justin Sterner Carlos Muniz Paul Smyth Mark Hutton
Francisco Perez Carl Sadler Bob Myrick Danny Coulombe
T.J. McFarland Jim Kaat Lee Guetterman Stubby Overmire
Chase Cohen Jeff Terpko Juan Cerros Joe Kerrigan
Colin Peluse Dillon Tate Al Widmar Johan Belisario
Lincoln Henzman Chris George Jeff Gray Jason Karnuth
Ryan Cusick Mike Franco John Dillinger Mike Zolecki
Will Klein Michael Nix Jose Ortega Brennan Garr
Zach Jackson Dave Campbell Gene Harris Fred Lasher
Seth Elledge Joe Cotton Mike Roesler Jake McMurran
Danis Correa Rick Raether Tim Meckes Brian Cofer
Austin Adams Wade Davis Jose Veras Roger Nelson
Austin Pruitt Dale Mohorcic Jim Acker Dave Hillman
Jack Weisenburger Rick Raether David Wong Joe Bruno
Stevie Emanuels Daniel Gorden David Wong Perry Swanson
Colton Johnson Frank Brooks Yunior Novoa Jason Pearson
Dany Jiménez Alan Mills Vicente Romo Bob Humphreys
Sean Newcomb Greg McCarthy Bill Scherrer Mike Willis
Gerson Moreno Ryan Bukvich Doug Bochtler Kyle Martin
Gerardo Reyes Sammy Stewart Calvin Jones Dave Jolly
Corey Avant Tom Wasilewski Shawn Onley Wes Hutchison
Shohei Tomioka Matt Peterson Chris Malone Evan Englebrook
Tanner Dodson Clint Everts Jean Machi J.C. Ramirez
Pedro Santos Jesus Liranzo Jhondaniel Medina Adam Lau
Wander Guante Dustin Hurlbutt Jesus Tinoco Henry Gomez
Tyler Baum Barry Manuel Corey Copping Benito Malave

Pitchers – Splits and Percentiles
Player BA vs. L OBP vs. L SLG vs. L BA vs. R OBP vs. R SLG vs. R 80th WAR 20th WAR 80th ERA 20th ERA
Mason Miller .180 .266 .315 .183 .256 .292 2.3 0.5 1.97 3.97
Mitch Spence .256 .316 .416 .261 .316 .430 2.2 0.4 3.85 4.97
JP Sears .235 .289 .355 .257 .318 .474 2.2 0.2 3.96 5.07
Brady Basso .231 .283 .393 .259 .310 .434 1.9 0.3 3.67 4.94
Mason Barnett .242 .315 .386 .249 .329 .427 1.8 0.2 3.95 5.08
Jack Perkins .246 .340 .406 .238 .301 .377 1.4 0.3 3.61 4.84
J.T. Ginn .279 .350 .478 .243 .313 .364 1.5 0.1 4.11 5.21
Osvaldo Bido .236 .335 .406 .239 .322 .371 1.4 0.0 3.90 5.16
Hogan Harris .261 .357 .423 .240 .329 .394 1.5 -0.1 4.04 5.27
Ken Waldichuk .219 .308 .305 .249 .332 .440 1.4 -0.1 3.94 5.32
Domingo Robles .250 .311 .370 .267 .328 .444 1.2 0.0 3.99 5.16
Jack Cushing .266 .319 .468 .266 .312 .422 1.2 0.0 3.98 5.20
Jason Alexander .278 .340 .474 .266 .317 .406 1.2 0.0 4.21 5.28
Joe Boyle .216 .354 .364 .222 .343 .364 1.4 -0.5 3.92 5.62
Joey Estes .243 .309 .426 .263 .311 .473 1.5 -0.4 4.34 5.49
Will Johnston .262 .316 .430 .238 .321 .414 1.3 -0.1 3.98 5.21
Chen Zhong-Ao Zhuang .265 .314 .429 .265 .305 .469 1.2 0.0 3.87 5.24
Kyle Muller .234 .308 .375 .270 .330 .442 1.1 -0.2 4.10 5.33
Gunnar Hoglund .279 .339 .488 .251 .302 .413 1.3 -0.1 4.26 5.46
Brandon Bielak .263 .335 .408 .272 .342 .456 1.1 0.0 4.09 5.07
Janson Junk .276 .328 .454 .265 .316 .423 1.0 0.0 4.10 5.21
Blake Beers .262 .339 .436 .260 .328 .453 1.4 -0.2 4.31 5.39
Luis Medina .248 .345 .412 .239 .337 .377 1.0 -0.1 4.20 5.35
James Gonzalez .254 .328 .377 .269 .339 .469 0.9 -0.3 4.49 5.51
Scott Alexander .220 .281 .322 .265 .327 .422 0.7 -0.1 3.19 4.98
Adrián Martínez .267 .349 .445 .258 .318 .423 1.0 -0.3 4.27 5.49
Alex Wood .250 .305 .342 .258 .339 .455 0.9 -0.2 4.14 5.56
Matt Krook .190 .309 .266 .253 .359 .416 0.9 -0.5 3.86 5.65
David Leal .264 .313 .396 .273 .323 .468 0.7 -0.3 4.19 5.42
Ross Stripling .261 .308 .420 .291 .332 .480 0.8 -0.4 4.38 5.88
Michel Otanez .200 .333 .358 .225 .336 .341 0.8 -0.5 3.36 5.03
Jake Walkinshaw .276 .333 .460 .270 .328 .432 0.5 -0.1 4.27 5.34
Anthony Maldonado .262 .344 .411 .225 .288 .375 0.7 -0.3 3.51 4.85
Kade Morris .291 .364 .496 .251 .321 .414 0.9 -0.5 4.64 5.56
Michael Kelly .243 .333 .365 .244 .303 .389 0.5 -0.2 3.37 5.04
Trevor Gott .254 .324 .418 .233 .302 .349 0.5 -0.2 3.39 5.00
Jake Garland .283 .348 .487 .275 .336 .425 0.6 -0.4 4.72 5.59
Grant Holman .247 .333 .381 .241 .312 .420 0.6 -0.3 3.72 5.00
Tyler Ferguson .252 .360 .487 .204 .301 .282 0.8 -0.5 3.58 5.06
Aaron Brooks .281 .338 .481 .286 .335 .461 0.5 -0.3 4.53 5.65
Justin Sterner .250 .327 .432 .237 .318 .402 0.5 -0.4 3.62 5.26
Francisco Perez .217 .309 .317 .248 .341 .419 0.5 -0.3 3.58 4.97
T.J. McFarland .237 .280 .395 .281 .357 .412 0.4 -0.5 3.61 5.26
Chase Cohen .250 .377 .391 .238 .316 .381 0.3 -0.4 3.87 5.21
Colin Peluse .262 .333 .429 .280 .331 .493 0.4 -0.5 4.54 5.71
Lincoln Henzman .279 .344 .442 .262 .336 .417 0.3 -0.4 3.98 5.18
Ryan Cusick .263 .366 .465 .255 .351 .414 0.4 -0.6 4.79 6.00
Will Klein .258 .381 .419 .227 .317 .364 0.4 -0.6 4.00 5.33
Zach Jackson .234 .372 .406 .228 .333 .354 0.3 -0.7 3.66 5.90
Seth Elledge .268 .342 .493 .247 .315 .381 0.2 -0.5 3.99 5.43
Danis Correa .235 .350 .441 .253 .355 .380 0.1 -0.5 4.38 5.88
Austin Adams .203 .365 .390 .200 .358 .320 0.2 -0.6 3.83 6.20
Austin Pruitt .253 .317 .453 .284 .330 .495 0.1 -0.5 4.50 6.02
Jack Weisenburger .261 .393 .370 .226 .333 .434 0.0 -0.5 4.61 6.43
Stevie Emanuels .250 .350 .442 .232 .323 .393 0.1 -0.5 4.10 5.61
Colton Johnson .238 .329 .365 .259 .337 .435 0.2 -0.5 4.04 5.27
Dany Jiménez .247 .360 .411 .213 .311 .393 0.3 -0.7 3.90 6.06
Sean Newcomb .233 .343 .433 .253 .367 .427 0.0 -0.5 4.60 6.77
Gerson Moreno .244 .385 .410 .227 .327 .381 0.2 -0.7 4.21 5.85
Gerardo Reyes .243 .356 .446 .227 .330 .375 0.1 -0.7 4.07 5.92
Corey Avant .263 .363 .438 .273 .354 .453 0.1 -0.9 4.87 6.10
Shohei Tomioka .253 .356 .425 .271 .360 .427 0.0 -0.8 4.54 6.14
Tanner Dodson .253 .353 .404 .272 .382 .421 0.0 -0.8 4.59 5.91
Pedro Santos .256 .390 .442 .240 .355 .404 0.0 -0.9 4.73 6.22
Wander Guante .294 .373 .485 .258 .337 .472 0.0 -1.2 5.06 6.27
Tyler Baum .232 .357 .366 .265 .387 .480 -0.2 -1.0 4.85 6.46

Players are listed with their most recent teams wherever possible. This includes players who are unsigned or have retired, players who will miss 2025 due to injury, and players who were released in 2024. So yes, if you see Joe Schmoe, who quit baseball back in August to form a Norwegian Ukulele Dixieland Jazz band that only covers songs by The Smiths, he’s still listed here intentionally. ZiPS is assuming a league with an ERA of 4.11.

Hitters are ranked by zWAR, which is to say, WAR values as calculated by me, Dan Szymborski, whose surname is spelled with a z. WAR values might differ slightly from those that appear in the full release of ZiPS. Finally, I will advise anyone against — and might karate chop anyone guilty of — merely adding up WAR totals on a depth chart to produce projected team WAR.

As always, incorrect projections are either caused by misinformation, a non-pragmatic reality, or by the skillful sabotage of our friend and former editor. You can, however, still get mad at me on Twitter or on Bluesky.


Blake Snell Continues His NL West Tour With a Five-Year Dodgers Pact

by
November 27, 2024
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

If you’re a team in the market for a top starting pitcher this winter, cross one of the best off your holiday list. The Dodgers, a team desperately in need for dependable starting pitchers whose arms are fully connected at the shoulders and elbows, signed Blake Snell to a five-year contract worth $182 million. The deal also includes a $52 million signing bonus. Snell, one of last year’s big name free agents who signed a shorter-term deal after not getting the offer they wanted, started 20 games for the Giants in 2024, putting up a 3.12 ERA, a 2.43 FIP, and 3.1 WAR in a season that was marred by an adductor strain. Compared to last winter, when Snell’s fate went unanswered until he signed in late March, you might as well start calling him Blake Schnell. Wait, don’t do that, that’s a terrible joke even by my standards.

Left-hander Blake Snell and the Los Angeles Dodgers are in agreement on a five-year, $182 million contract, pending physical, sources tell me and @jorgecastillo. The World Series champions get the two-time Cy Young winner in the first nine-figure deal of the winter.

— Jeff Passan (@jeffpasan.bsky.social) 2024-11-27T04:00:23.933Z

One of the biggest risks a team winning the World Series faces is complacency. It’s a perfectly natural thing to feel pleased with the moves that led to your team winning a championship, but a team that believes it can mostly stand pat and run it back is planting the seeds of its own demise. Even with all the talent on their team, the Dodgers still have significant roster holes to fill this offseason, and it’s a good sign for those hoping for a repeat that less than a month after hoisting the trophy, they’ve already addressed one of those weaknesses. Whatever one thinks of Dave Roberts as a manager, it’s difficult to deny that he did a convincing job this past postseason managing a pitching staff that basically had two healthy and reliable starting pitchers. The Dodgers won the World Series despite their injury-thinned rotation, not because of it.

Now, Snell isn’t the type to give you seven or eight innings per start. Who is in 2024, really? What Snell brings to the table – outside of being a really good pitcher – is that he has a pretty solid record when it comes to injury. That’s not to say that he doesn’t get hurt. On the contrary, only twice has he made at least 30 starts in a season. However, what he has avoided are the serious injuries that cause pitchers to miss months or entire seasons. His IL stints are generally for short-term nagging ailments, frequently adductor strains. His worst elbow injury was a procedure to remove loose bodies in his elbow about five years ago, not major reconstructive surgery. The Dodgers will be happy to get their five or six innings from him 25 or so times a year.

Given what the Dodgers have faced injury-wise these last few years, that may be especially valuable to them. Bad luck has to figure into some of these injuries, but their problems in October was the downside of the approach they’ve taken toward the pitching staff in recent seasons. The Dodgers haven’t really prioritized certainty among their pitchers. Instead, they’ve depended on high-upside, high-risk guys such as Tyler Glasnow, late-era Clayton Kershaw, and any of the young flamethrowers who dominate upon arrival before blowing out their arms. For the most part, the Dodgers have made this work because they’ve kept enough of these pitchers around to put together a capable rotation of four or five pitchers at any given moment. Generally, this has proven an effective strategy for the Dodgers, but this time, they rolled snake eyes a few times in a row, and ended up in a difficult situation at the most crucial time of the year. They made it work, but they are smart enough to recognize they might not be able to thread the needle through such a narrow margin for error again.

So, what about Snell himself? Let’s run the projections for him with the Dodgers.

ZiPS Projection – Blake Snell
Year W L ERA G GS IP H ER HR BB SO ERA+ WAR
2025 14 6 2.87 28 28 150.2 111 48 14 63 186 143 3.8
2026 14 5 3.05 28 28 147.2 113 50 14 62 176 134 3.5
2027 13 6 3.19 27 27 144.0 116 51 15 59 165 128 3.1
2028 12 6 3.38 27 27 138.1 117 52 16 58 153 121 2.7
2029 11 7 3.61 26 26 132.0 118 53 16 57 139 113 2.3

The Dodgers are projected as one of the absolute best teams for Snell to end up with, and ZiPS projects performance that it would value at five years, $144.2 million. That’s a bit below the actual $182 million deal he received, but then again, so is the actual contract itself! As with Shohei Ohtani, the top dollar figure becomes a bit less sexy when you consider how the deal is structured. Some of the money is deferred, to the extent that it drops the present value enough so that the deal is worth more in the neighborhood of $160 million instead.

In some respects, Snell’s 2024 season was more impressive than the 2023 campaign that earned him the second Cy Young award of his career. Snell allowed a lot of walks in 2023, but he survived it because he was excellent with runners on base. That’s the kind of thing that’s hard to sustain, but he didn’t have to in 2024, as he shaved off the extra walk per game he’d added the year before. Snell’s strikeout rate was the best of his career, and it was powered by a career best in contact percentage. Snell has been a successful starter in the majors for years, but he has more varied tools now than he did before. Most notably, his changeup has become more of a weapon against righties, especially with two strikes.

With Snell under contract, the Dodgers rotation looks something like this: Snell, Yoshinobu Yamamoto, Glasnow, and Shohei Ohtani, along with whichever one or two other starters are healthy at any given time. At least in the way-too-early ZiPS positional projections for 2025, Snell’s arrival leapfrogs the Dodgers over the Phillies, Mariners, and Braves for the top rotation in the majors, though things can change a bit depending on how your distribute the innings. And the Dodgers might not be done adding to their rotation, either. They are expected to be serious contenders to sign Roki Sasaki, and they could still bring back Kershaw on another one-year deal.

Does adding Snell fundamentally change the outlook for the Dodgers? Not really; they were always going to be a contender in 2025. However, what signing Snell does is give the Dodgers a better chance to get through the season with fewer surprises and go deep into the playoffs again. Not since the 1999-2000 Yankees a quarter century ago has a team won consecutive championships. Snell puts the Dodgers in a strong position to alter that factoid.


2025 ZiPS Projections: Texas Rangers

by
November 25, 2024

For the 21st consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Texas Rangers.

Batters

If you were looking to assign blame for the Rangers going from being World Series champions to having a 78-84 season, you’d have a bounty of targets. From a Pythagorean standpoint, the collapse from one year to the next was even worse; the 2024 Rangers bled 12 wins compared to 2023, but in terms of run differential, they dropped an impressive 21 wins. Given the widespread nature of their disappointing season, the latter number is probably closer to the “true” decline.

The offense’s contribution dropped in half, from 34.1 WAR in 2023 to 16.9 WAR in 2024. And unlike the 2014 squad, the last Texas team to so dramatically underachieve, the 2024 Rangers can’t really put the lion’s share of the blame on injuries, at least on the run-scoring side of the equation. Evan Carter missed most of the season with a back injury, but he also only played in 23 regular season games in 2023. Corey Seager typically misses a couple dozen games a year, and while Josh Jung’s fractured wrist was a stroke of bad luck, Josh Smith was a very good replacement. A lot of the lost performance came from healthy, established players, and even worse, a good number of those players are veterans on the back end of their respective career trajectories. Read the rest of this entry »


2025 ZiPS Projections: Philadelphia Phillies

by
November 22, 2024

For the 21st consecutive season, the ZiPS projection system is unleashing a full set of prognostications. For more information on the ZiPS projections, please consult this year’s introduction and MLB’s glossary entry. The team order is selected by lot, and the next team up is the Philadelphia Phillies.

Batters

The quick exit in the postseason at the hands of the New York Mets was a disappointing finale for the 2024 Phillies, but the season as a whole still has to be considered a successful one. Cristopher Sánchez convincingly evaporated any questions about whether his late-2023 performance was a fluke, Bryce Harper stayed healthy and proved to be a more-than-competent defender at first, and the bullpen stayed strong despite a few veteran losses from the year before. But that’s not to say there wasn’t some good fortune involved. I don’t mean that to diminish the Phillies; most great teams have more things go their way than not. The preseason NL East favorite, the Atlanta Braves, saw some of their best players lose most or all of the season with serious injuries, and along those lines, the Phillies didn’t have their depth tested to the same degree. Read the rest of this entry »


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