Author Archive

Cardinals vs. Nationals NLCS Game 1 Chat

7:39
Ben Clemens: Hey everyone, and welcome to our chat for Game One of the NLCS.

7:39
Ben Clemens: Dan Szymborski has a preview for you:
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/postseason-preview-st-louis-cardinals-vs-w…

7:40
Ben Clemens: Or if you’d prefer Dan’s numbers in a handy chart, here are his game-by-game forecasts:
https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds/post-season-zips?seas…

7:40
Ben Clemens: Jason Martinez wrote about how the Cardinals built their roster:
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/how-they-were-acquired-the-st-…

7:42
Ben Clemens: And how the Nationals built theirs:
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/how-they-were-acquired-the-was…

7:45
Ben Clemens: Ben Kaspick and I will be here throughout the game to chat with you about baseball.

Read the rest of this entry »


NL Division Series Games 5 Chat

4:49
Craig Edwards: Are you excited? I’m Jessespano.gif excited.

4:50
Craig Edwards: We will get things going here shortly. It will be me and Kiley for the early games with Dan Szymborski and Nick Dika taking on the later games.

4:50
Craig Edwards: Here’s a quick things I wrote about the starters today: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/the-nlds-game-5-pitching-match…

4:52
Craig Edwards: Cardinals lineup:

For all the marbles

#NLDS | #TimeToFly

9 Oct 2019
4:52
Craig Edwards: and Braves:

Game 5. Winner takes all.

#RELENTLESS

9 Oct 2019
4:52
Craig Edwards: Couple polls:

Read the rest of this entry »


Astros vs. Rays ALDS Game 4 Chat

6:45
Ben Clemens: Hey guys, and welcome to our Game 4 chat. There’s only one show in town today, quite a change from yesterday’s circus.

6:45
Ben Clemens: If you’d like to read what we wrote about this series before it started, here’s Brendan Gawlowski’s preview:https://blogs.fangraphs.com/postseason-preview-houston-astros-vs-tampa…

6:46
Ben Clemens: Or if you’d like to read what Rachael McDaniel had to say about a cathartic game three for the Rays:
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/faith-hope-etcetera-in-st-petersburg/

6:46
Ben Clemens: ZiPS likes the Astros in this game by roughly a 58/42 margin:
https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds/post-season-zips?seas…

6:47
Ben Clemens: And while ZiPS takes into account rest, here’s Craig Edwards on the possible effects of short rest on Justin Verlander, particularly as it relates to his fastball:
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/instagraphs/considering-justin-verlander-o…

6:49
Ben Clemens: Lastly, if for whatever reason you’re not really into the Astros/Rays game, don’t fret. We had all kinds of nonsense on the site today, from Devan writing about Jesus Luzardo:
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/jesus-luzardo-should-make-as-fans-excited-…
To me doing some math on intentional walks:
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/to-walk-or-not-to-walk/
Or if you’re looking for the good stuff, Jay Jaffe on starters turning back the clock:
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/starting-pitching-is-making-a-postseason-c…

Read the rest of this entry »


NL Division Series Games 4 Chat

3:04
Avatar Jay Jaffe: Hey folks, good afternoon and welcome to our NLDS Braves-Cardinals Game 4 chat. Tony Wolfe will be joining me. First pitch is coming in four minutes, and right now, in the only game that’s live, the Rays are pouring it on the Astros 8-1 in the fourth inning, so it looks like that series will not end with a sweep

3:06
Manta: Just a question, but why aren’t we talking about the Rays-Astros?

3:07
Avatar Jay Jaffe: We didn’t have enough bodies available to cover all four games today, and this time slot worked better for me when I planted my flag in our spreadsheet.

3:07
Roger: How long does Keuchel go with the platoon disadvantage and Teheran and Tomlin available?

3:10
Tony Wolfe: I have to think Keuchel gets a little bit of wiggle room. It isn’t as though Teheran is dominant against righties, though he did pitch well against St. Louis this season (10 IP, 1 R, 4 H).

3:11
Avatar Jay Jaffe: I imagine this will be dictated by results to some degree. He’s at a disadvantage (.314  wOBA vs RHB career, .267 vs LHB, against a lineup with 2 lefties). With a 2-1 lead, he definitely has a longer leash than if the Braves were down 2-1

Read the rest of this entry »


The Astros Remind the Rays and Us of Their (and Our) Mortality

I haven’t conducted a study or anything, but I suspect that baseball fans assume themselves to be capable of playing at the highest professional level more than fans of any other professional sport. It’s not surprising; basketball players are 20 feet tall, all elbows and shoe-squeaks and legs, and football players have such obvious size. The line between civilian and non is clear. But baseball players exist on a continuum that has room for José Altuve and Ji-Man Choi, players who are by turns relatively small and squishy, and it creates the illusion that major leaguers are, or could be, just like us.

Only they aren’t. They are human beings possessed of feeling and ambition and meanness, of course, and someone, somewhere cares for them, but their smallness and squish aren’t like ours. Nowhere is that more apparent than in the postseason, when the small and the tall and the relatively-soft of middle remind us who they are, and thus, who we are. It’s easy to fool yourself into thinking you could trade places with some sad-sack on the 114-loss Tigers; it’s much harder to pull off the same con when faced with the Astros, however diminutive. Last night, Houston beat Tampa Bay 3-1 to take a 2-0 series lead, and in their dominance, forced us to recall just how great a distance there is between our beer-league softball teams, and the majors’ green fields, a lesson delivered in three parts.

On Futility
Every job has bits that are unpleasant. First, you have to get out of bed, which, wouldn’t you rather not? And then you have to drink coffee; you aren’t even sure if you like it, but you have to drink it, because, as we’ve established, you’ve been forced from your bed and now have to drive somewhere. Also, the coffee will give you heartburn. This will start when you turn 30, and I assume continue until you die, but before you do, there are expense reports and bad break room birthday cakes and staring at a screen or else lifting very heavy things, and to do all of that you have to be awake and away from your bed. I quite like my job, and I have stuff I wish I didn’t have to do in order to buy coffee, which again, I’m not sure I like! Read the rest of this entry »


Yankees vs. Twins Division Series Game 1 Chat

6:48
Meg Rowley: Hey everyone — thanks for joining us. We’ll get started right around first pitch, but feel free to drop your questions in before that. Go baseball!

6:50
Josh Herzenberg: Yankees lineup (Paxton on the mound): DJ LeMahieu (R) 1B
Aaron Judge (R) RF
Brett Gardner (L) CF
Edwin Encarnacion (R) DH
Giancarlo Stanton (R) LF
Gleyber Torres (R) 2B
Gary Sanchez (R) C
Didi Gregorius (L) SS
Gio Urshela (R) 3B

6:50
Josh Herzenberg: Twins lineup (Berrios on the mound): Mitch Garver (R) C
Jorge Polanco (S) SS
Nelson Cruz (R) DH
Eddie Rosario (L) RF
Miguel Sano (R) 3B
Max Kepler (L) CF
Marwin Gonzalez (S) LF
C.J. Cron (R) 1B
Luis Arraez (L) 2B

6:52
Josh Herzenberg: Jay (who will be joining us here to chat a little bit later) wrote the preview for this series, which can be found here if you haven’t read it already: https://blogs.fangraphs.com/postseason-preview-new-york-yankees-vs-min…

7:05
Josh Herzenberg: Alright folks, let get this thing rolling

7:05
Nico Robin: over/under on 5 HRs per game this series?

Read the rest of this entry »


Astros vs. Rays Division Series Game 1 Chat

2:03
Ben Clemens: Hey everyone, and welcome to the ALDS Game 1 chat.

2:04
Ben Clemens: We have a pretty good roster today- Dan, Jay, and Josh.

2:04
Ben Clemens: Some links for your pleasure:

2:04
2:05
Ben Clemens: The ZiPS projections, artisanally crafted by none other than Dan Szymborski:
https://www.fangraphs.com/standings/playoff-odds/post-season-zips

2:06
Ben Clemens: And since I really enjoyed it (though it has no bearing on today), Jay on Mickey Callaway:

Read the rest of this entry »


NL Division Series Games 1 Chat

Read the rest of this entry »


FanGraphs AL Wild Card Chat

Read the rest of this entry »


FanGraphs NL Wild Card Chat

Read the rest of this entry »