Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley discuss the solution to a Carlos Estévez prediction cold case, share a baseball-sicko experience prompted by the band Hinds’s new single, put actors on baseball-movie Mount Rushmore (in honor of the late, great, James Earl Jones), scrutinize two suggestions for HBP policing, assess the risks and history of ceremonial first pitches, Nora Ephron’s fandom, and the “first ball” in the movie My Blue Heaven, and banter about a White Sox ad for MLB.TV, the call-up of Jasson Domínguez, Gerrit Cole’s return to form, whether Corbin Burnes’s free agency could play out like Blake Snell’s and Jordan Montgomery’s, the Mets-Braves wild card race, Francisco Lindor, Trea Turner, and fan ovations, the unsung A’s offense, Jerry DiPOBO’s Seattle staying power, and more.

Audio intro: The Shirey Brothers, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Kite Person, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to player predictions EW wiki
Link to Estévez story
Link to Estévez game
Link to Estévez radio call
Link to McMahon homer
Link to Aaron Muñoz Insta
Link to Dollar Dogs article 1
Link to Dollar Dogs article 2
Link to Dollar Dogs article 3
Link to “Boom Boom Back”
Link to Viva Hinds album
Link to Hinds wiki
Link to 1933 Elmer the Great nickname
Link to Boom-Boom Beck SABR bio
Link to Elmer, the Great wiki
Link to Time on Elmer, the Great
Link to NYT on Elmer, the Great
Link to JEJ NYT obit
Link to Joe E. Brown wiki
Link to Ken Medlock wiki
Link to Baseball: The Movie
Link to Gittell on EW
Link to The Sandlot scene
Link to Merrifield Athletic article 2
Link to FB ABS HBP post
Link to HBP replay review rules
Link to Bethune first pitch report
Link to Koike injury report
Link to Baylor injury report
Link to My Blue Heaven first ball clip
Link to My Blue Heaven Padres scene
Link to Sleepless in Seattle scene
Link to My Blue Heaven wiki
Link to info president pitches
Link to The Winning Team wiki
Link to first pitches wiki
Link to first pitch/ball history
Link to Ephron on Tekulve
Link to story on Robinson
Link to The Naked Gun clip
Link to White Sox ad
Link to MLBTR on Domínguez
Link to pitcher WAR since 8/1
Link to Ben C. on Braves-Mets
Link to FG playoff odds
Link to FG SP projections
Link to team SP WAR
Link to Megill velo story 1
Link to Megill velo story 2
Link to Megill velo story 3
Link to Lindor ovation story
Link to Turner doc story
Link to team batting post-ASB
Link to squandered GSc>= 50
Link to squandered GSc>= 60
Link to squandered GSc>= 65
Link to squandered GSc>= 75
Link to M’s starts of GSc>= 75
Link to MLBTR on Dipoto report
Link to BP on Dipoto
Link to Mariners playoff appearances
Link to Hyden’s five-albums test
Link to listener emails database
Link to Machado homer story
Link to Banda punch story
Link to Bird Bones song
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the impressiveness of a prediction by Carlos Estévez, how to say the score from the losing team’s perspective, and getting hit in the head by a hot dog. Then (23:13) they discuss getting hit in the head (or the hands) by a baseball: how often it happens, how dangerous it is, and whether (as Whit Merrifield argues) MLB must act to discourage it. Then (58:28) they brainstorm about visiting teams’ first-inning disadvantage and answer listener emails (1:08:42) about Triple-A teams as playoff warm-up acts, an obscure Rich Hill record, post-PitchCom performance in past sign-stealing situations, headfirst sliding vs. feet-first sliding (and whether running more can cause one to slump at the plate), the concept of a “natural position,” and the ethics of a UCL exclusivity deal.

Audio intro: Moon Hound, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Ian Phillips, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to Estévez story
Link to Estévez game
Link to Estévez game highlights
Link to McMahon homer
Link to Estévez game story
Link to 2022 Merrifield HBP
Link to Merrifield Athletic article 1
Link to Merrifield Athletic article 2
Link to Ben on HBP in 2021
Link to Mains on HBP in 2021
Link to Arthur on HBP and batters 1
Link to Arthur on HBP and batters 2
Link to FG on HBP in 2022
Link to HBP per PA by year
Link to HBP per pitch by year
Link to avg. HBP velo
Link to avg. FB HBP velo
Link to HBP FB% by year
Link to avg. HBP height
Link to avg. FB HBP height
Link to HBP in danger zones by year
Link to Shadow Zone HBP by year
Link to HBP in the strike zone by year
Link to BP Recovery Dashboard
Link to Rosenthal on command
Link to Sarris on command
Link to BP on hitter injuries
Link to Mains on HFA by inning
Link to Smith on first-inning HFA 1
Link to Smith on first-inning HFA 2
Link to Japanese baseball rules
Link to 2015 Japan Times column
Link to Ben C. on playoffs layoffs
Link to Hill Stathead query
Link to MLBTR on Hill’s DFA
Link to Hill’s 2024 game log
Link to B-Ref bases-occupied splits
Link to runner-on-second offense
Link to no-runner-on-second offense
Link to sliding mitts blog
Link to Mark Simon’s Twitter
Link to SIS Twitter
Link to injury rates on slides
Link to Andrews on Cruz
Link to Benz on Cruz
Link to info on lefty defenders
Link to Buck on butts
Link to mindset explainer
Link to listener emails database
Link to gunk story 1
Link to gunk story 2
Link to gunk story 3
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the Giants extending Matt Chapman and Manny Machado’s pursuit of Nate Colbert’s Padres home run record, Stat Blast (20:42) about Luis Arraez’s extreme three-true-outcome avoidance, Ben Joyce’s potentially unprecedented pitch speeds, and whiff-averse flamethrowers, and then discuss (54:31) the Yankees’ left-field dilemma(?) involving Alex Verdugo and Jasson Domínguez, the Brewers’ expectations-surpassing success, and NPB’s suspicious power outage, before finishing with several follow-ups (1:33:35).

Audio intro: Xavier LeBlanc, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Harold Walker, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to MLBTR on Chapman
Link to Rosenthal on Chapman/Boras
Link to Dan S. on Chapman in 2022
Link to 3B defense leaders
Link to Colbert Stat Blast
Link to Stat Blast song cover
Link to Levitt Arraez tweet
Link to Ben on Arraez
Link to Arraez batting title article
Link to FG + stats
Link to Arraez IBB game
Link to Madlock trivia
Link to TTO%+ sheet
Link to TTO% by season
Link to TTO% leaders
Link to MLB.com on Joyce
Link to ESPN on Joyce
Link to Joyce pitch-type splits
Link to Chapman pitch-type splits
Link to 2024 FAv leaders
Link to FBv and K%+ at FG
Link to Ben on Joyce in 2012
Link to velo sheet 1
Link to velo sheet w/xK%
Link to velo sheet (95+ mph)
Link to Jeff on Capps 1
Link to Jeff on Capps 2
Link to Verdugo/Domínguez article 1
Link to Verdugo/Domínguez article 2
Link to Verdugo/Domínguez article 3
Link to Verdugo/Domínguez article 4
Link to LF defense leaders
Link to BaseRuns/Pythag page
Link to Jeff on team depth
Link to NEIFI on team depth
Link to team Def Eff
Link to team defense at FG
Link to Petriello team projections
Link to Pacific League at B-Ref
Link to Central League at B-Ref
Link to MLB velo by year
Link to DeltaGraphs
Link to Ben on DeltaGraphs
Link to Jim Allen’s Twitter
Link to Jason Coskrey’s Twitter
Link to Jim on small ball
Link to Tony Adams tweet
Link to Swanson on EW
Link to WP+PB data
Link to 2013 NPB ball change
Link to 2B team offense
Link to monthly power/speed data
Link to EW wiki
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Shohei Ohtani, Ronald Acuña Jr., and quantifying power/speed excellence and the White Sox somehow playing way worse under Grady Sizemore, follow up on hippos, A-Rod’s relationships, double plates/bases, 40-something hitters, player predictions, and one-pitch first strikeouts, and react to a new kind of bases-loaded walk and private equity’s incursion into youth sports. Then (52:12) they talk to Matthew DeSantis and Ramon Riesgo of the Bhutan Baseball & Softball Association about the origins, development, and future of baseball in Bhutan and the Hudson Valley Renegades’ recent Bhutan Night.

Audio intro: Nate Emerson, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio interstitial: Daniel Leckie, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: El Warren, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to power-speed number wiki
Link to EW Episode 2057
Link to MUTO wiki
Link to Cranston promo 1
Link to Cranston promo 2
Link to article on Angels and Ohtani
Link to Ohtani/Dekopin first pitch
Link to on-pace projections
Link to FG playoff odds
Link to Grant’s White Sox tweet
Link to hippo etymology
Link to quotes about A-Rod
Link to PA by 40+ hitters
Link to Chourio video
Link to Adames video
Link to Adames article
Link to Seitzer game account
Link to Seitzer game at Retrosheet
Link to Seitzer game at B-Ref
Link to MiLB IBB game
Link to IBB list
Link to Seager IBB details
Link to Bloomberg on youth sports
Link to EW Episode 2168
Link to Drellich on MiLB PE
Link to EW Episode 1860
Link to Renegades wiki
Link to 2023 MLB.com Bhutan story
Link to 2024 MLB.com Bhutan story
Link to Bhutan Baseball website
Link to Bhutan Night video
Link to more Bhutan Night video
Link to Yankee Stadium video
Link to Bhutan wiki
Link to country elevations
Link to Buddha statue wiki
Link to Baseball5 wiki
Link to Darwin’s finches wiki
Link to Angels Ohtani graphic
Link to Sox losing streak tweet
Link to Swanson quote
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Juan Soto’s free agency and Aaron Judge’s ego, follow up on in-season exhibition games, and (18:51) answer listener emails about the possibility of adding games to the baseball season, bullpen pitchers robbing a home run robbery, redrawing (or enforcing) coach’s boxes, pronouncing “wRC+,” programming ABS to help starters go deeper into games, Joey Votto vs. Lance Berkman, boycotting A’s games on the road, installing a second home plate (and/or double bases), replacing “bullets in the arm” with “throws of the dice,” using pitch counts instead of innings counts, and player development during suspensions.

Audio intro: Luke Lillard, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Ted O., “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to Passan’s FA preview
Link to Judge/Soto story
Link to highest player AAVs
Link to longest contracts
Link to extension rejection story
Link to radio host on Judge
Link to laser pointers story
Link to Sosa 1998 exhibition
Link to new UEFA format
Link to story on shortening season
Link to Jankowski robbery
Link to Jankowski waiver news
Link to coach’s box wiki
Link to coach’s box rule
Link to MLB rules
Link to Yanks/Jays incident
Link to Yanks/Jays video
Link to Ben on the strike zone
Link to 1B JAWS
Link to LF JAWS
Link to double 1B story 1
Link to double 1B story 2
Link to double 1B story 3
Link to innings vs. pitches data
Link to Orelvis suspension
Link to suspended player rules
Link to rehab rules
Link to listener emails database
Link to MLBTR on Pasquantino
Link to Picollo quote
Link to hippos article 1
Link to hippos article 2
Link to hippos article 3
Link to hippos article 4
Link to hippos article 5
Link to hippos article 6
Link to hippos article 7
Link to hippos article 8
Link to hippos article 9
Link to hippos article 10
Link to hippos documentary
Link to hippogriff wiki
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about ad proliferation on podcasts and make a sheepish plea for listener support, then discuss the reversal of offensive fortunes for first basemen and shortstops and Oneil Cruz’s move to center field before following up (35:33) on the Mariners’ managerial hiring and the Selig Rule, a Rich Hill record (and dueling Hill fun facts), the effect of equidistant fences, Carlos Santana’s milestone ball, single-organization Futures Games, and broadcaster BSing, and then Stat Blasting (1:11:40) about Félix Hernández and high HR:hit ratios by bad hitters, Ernie Clement and high-pitch homers, mid-plate-appearance big-league debuts, and small-sample, leaguewide scoring fluctuations (and also semi-meeting major leaguers Ryan Zeferjahn, Jeff Criswell, and Brady Feigl).

Audio intro: Alex Glossman and Ali Breneman, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Alex Ferrin, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to EW’s Patreon
Link to WSJ on pod ads
Link to Patreon iOS app news
Link to McCartney lyrics pod
Link to Ben on HUAL
Link to bonus Ben on HUAL
Link to Kirschner on 1B
Link to Sherman on 1B
Link to Epstein on 1B
Link to Verducci on 1B
Link to Jaffe on 1B
Link to Keyser on DHs
Link to 1B/SS data
Link to B-Ref positional splits
Link to Dan S. on awards voting
Link to Haywood clip
Link to Andrews on Cruz
Link to MLB.com on Cruz
Link to Benz on Cruz
Link to Cruz defensive stats
Link to tallest shortstops
Link to MLB.com on the Selig Rule
Link to Taylor on manager diversity
Link to Ben C. on the fences
Link to EW Episode 2201
Link to EW Episode 2030
Link to Becker’s Hill tweet
Link to Browne’s Hill tweet
Link to Ben on ex-player GMs
Link to MLB.com Santana story
Link to follow-up Santana report
Link to Futures at Fenway wiki
Link to Sox Prospects
Link to Royals-Chasers story
Link to Mays at Norfolk
Link to 2001 NYT story
Link to Tides-O’s exhibition
Link to Tides history
Link to Nats Futures Game news
Link to Nats Futures Game gamer
Link to Cruz fly ball
Link to Pirates radio clip
Link to Stat Blast song cover
Link to Félix slam video
Link to Félix Stathead query
Link to Gant article
Link to Gant/McDonald query
Link to high-pitch homers
Link to Kubel homer
Link to Higashioka homer
Link to Clement homer
Link to Zeferjahn debut clip
Link to Zeferjahn story 1
Link to Zeferjahn story 2
Link to Zeferjahn story 3
Link to Red Sox prospect rankings
Link to 1-pitch Ks
Link to EW Episode 2187
Link to Lovelace debut clip
Link to listener emails database
Link to official baseball rules
Link to Rule 9.16(h) 1
Link to Rule 9.16(h) 2
Link to at-bat rule
Link to MLBTR on Criswell
Link to Criswell game logs
Link to first Criswell game
Link to second Criswell game
Link to Rockies prospect ranking
Link to Feigl debut clip
Link to AP on Feigl’s debut
Link to Feigl wiki
Link to Lexington Legends wiki
Link to Legends rebranding story
Link to Legends re-rebranding story
Link to other Feigl retirement post
Link to Sheehan’s “Collapse” post
Link to offense fluctuations data
Link to latest six-day period
Link to Ryan Nelson’s Twitter
Link to Hill 2024 debut clip
Link to Rule 5.10(f)
Link to Rule 7.02(c) comment
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Derek Jeter‘s (and Aaron Judge’s) championship-or-bust rhetoric, Alex Rodriguez’s date night, Judge’s home-run robberies, Judge’s offensive prowess compared to Babe Ruth and Barry Bonds, how clutchness (or the lack thereof) could affect the AL MVP race, Juan Soto’s defense, how the trajectory of Seattle’s season may have sealed Scott Servais’s fate, the Royals’ valuable durability, Michael Kopech as a Dodger, Dallas Keuchel’s latest destination, the new, old Jacob deGrom, and Jordan Montgomery’s and Blake Snell’s contrasting takes on Scott Boras. Then (1:14:39) they bring back Sports Reference software developer (and primary developer of Baseball-Reference.com) Kenny Jackelen to describe the work that went into ensuring that Danny Jansen’s unique two-teams-in-one-game performance diddn’t break B-Ref.

Audio intro: Philip Bergman, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio interstitial: Dave Armstrong and Mike Murray, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Jimmy Kramer, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to Jeter quote
Link to 2019 Judge quote
Link to 2023 Judge quote
Link to 2023 Judge quote 2
Link to story on 2009 reunion
Link to duck tour incidents
Link to A-Rod date night 1
Link to A-Rod date night 2
Link to Babe Ruth Award wiki
Link to FG batting paces
Link to FG WAR leaderboard
Link to single-season wRC+ leaders
Link to single-season batting leaders
Link to hitting leaders since 5/1
Link to SIS Judge stat
Link to Judge robbery article
Link to “locked in” quote
Link to “locked in” quote 2
Link to Judge’s splits
Link to Tango on Judge’s clutchness
Link to FG Clutch leaderboard
Link to batting WPA leaders
Link to pitching WPA leaders
Link to batting cWPA leaders
Link to pitching cWPA leaders
Link to spring Soto play
Link to EW on Soto’s play
Link to Bradley/Soto article
Link to Soto’s defensive history
Link to Ben on Harper’s defense
Link to Selig Rule article
Link to Wilson wiki
Link to Sheehan on the Royals
Link to BP IL Ledger
Link to 2024 team batting age
Link to Jaffe on Kopech
Link to Sox Machine on Kopech
Link to Keuchel signing article
Link to Carmen Sandiego theme song
Link to deGrom rehab article 1
Link to deGrom rehab article 2
Link to deGrom rehab article 3
Link to Montgomery comments
Link to Snell comments
Link to MLBTR on Montgomery/Snell
Link to MLBTR on Montgomery’s agent
Link to Jaffe on the Boras Four
Link to @mattomic tweet
Link to Kenny’s first EW appearance
Link to Cora on Jansen
Link to B-Ref game page
Link to Jansen game log
Link to Forman tweet
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the Mariners firing Scott Servais, the Angels not firing Perry Minasian, Joey Votto’s career and retirement, the continued collapse of Craig Kimbrel, NPB players pushing for a faster path to domestic and international free agency, and the NWSL abolishing its draft. Then (42:45) they’re joined by Patreon supporter Sam Horton to answer listener emails about active future Hall of Fame pitchers, Mike Trout and Bryce Harper, major and minor leaguers swapping parks, a desperate outfield tactic, penalizing catcher glove movement, and the ethics of returning milestone homers to hitters, followed (1:48:30) by a postscript Stat Blast about scoring at least 11 unanswered runs.

Audio intro: Guy Russo, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio interstitial: Jonathan Crymes, “Effectively Wild Theme 2”
Audio outro: Benny and a Million Shetland Ponies, “Effectively Wild Theme (Pedantic)”

Link to MLBTR on Servais
Link to The Athletic on Servais
Link to MLBTR on Minasian
Link to MLBTR on Votto
Link to Dan S. on Votto
Link to C. Trent on Votto
Link to Votto’s retirement post
Link to McGrath on Votto
Link to Votto quotes
Link to Buchanan on Votto
Link to 2016 Votto story
Link to Votto in the booth
Link to Votto on media offers
Link to Baltimore Sun on Kimbrel
Link to post-ASB RP WAR
Link to post-ASB RP WPA
Link to RP WPA since 2019
Link to Drellich on NPB players
Link to NWSL news
Link to Sam on HoF players
Link to Petriello on HoF pitchers
Link to Jaffe on HoF pitchers
Link to SP JAWS
Link to highest career K rates
Link to EW Episode 282
Link to EW Episode 771
Link to EW Episode 867
Link to EW Episode 2159
Link to Kiermaier deke play
Link to Tango on glove movement 1
Link to Tango on glove movement 2
Link to Tango on glove movement 3
Link to story on Santana’s HR
Link to tweet about Santana’s HR
Link to listener emails database
Link to story on Ohtani HR ball
Link to Ohtani bobblehead
Link to MLBTR on Waldron
Link to Reds-Jays game
Link to Stephenson quote
Link to Ryan Nelson’s Twitter
Link to 2006 game
Link to 1922 game
Link to Stat Blast data 1
Link to Stat Blast data 2
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the stretch run, the “championship season,” the surprising solidity of the playoff picture, and how the playoff field could change before the end of the season. They also discuss the turnarounds of Jeff McNeil and Corbin Carroll, the return on the Rangers’ pitching blueprint, and whether A’s fans should consider supporting other MLB teams. Then (1:02:30) they Stat Blast about hitters who hogged pitches in an inning, Kris Bryant’s Colorado decline, and a claim about catchers and infield hits, with diversions into whether HR-reliant lineups are inconsistent scorers, whether Bryant or Anthony Rendon has been the bigger disappointment, and why broadcasters say the darndest things.

Audio intro: Grant Brisbee, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Josh Busman, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to “championship season”
Link to FG playoff odds
Link to BaseRuns standings
Link to Baumann on the M’s
Link to O’s hydration station
Link to Clemens on Carroll
Link to JJH episode
Link to Stat Blast song cover
Link to Russell on HR reliance
Link to Ryan Nelson’s Twitter
Link to pitch-count % data
Link to Rockies/Bryant data
Link to Blum on Bryant
Link to FB Bryant/Rendon post
Link to Sam’s Bryant tweet
Link to Casali play
Link to Krukow clip
Link to Jason Bernard’s Twitter
Link to sprint speed table
Link to study on bad-team hitters
Link to Ben on hustle singles
Link to Ben on catcher fatigue
Link to Tim Kniker on catcher fatigue
Link to 2023 C IFH total
Link to all IFH% early
Link to all IFH% late
Link to C IFH% early
Link to C IFH% late
Link to non-C IFH% early
Link to non-C IFH% late
Link to Casali IFH% early
Link to Casali IFH% late
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about whether the custom-painted bats featured during Players’ Weekend should be usable all season, Alex Verdugo’s batting-glove allergy, Rich Hill’s predictable-yet-curious choice of team, where the Rookie of the Year races stand, how the Pirates should handle Paul Skenes down the stretch, the magnitude of the Skenes Day attendance boost, the active player who possibly best embodies replacement level, a (slightly) better proposal to promote pitcher’s duels, the unsung skills of Carlos Santana and José Soriano, the pros and cons of this season’s post-superteam standings, and more, plus a postscript.

Audio intro: Jonathan Crymes, “Effectively Wild Theme”
Audio outro: Cory Brent, “Effectively Wild Theme”

Link to custom bats roundup
Link to another bats roundup
Link to bat company article
Link to Players’ Weekend explainer
Link to Players’ Weekend wiki
Link to Verdugo article
Link to compression neuropathy
Link to Trumbo bathtub post
Link to Ringer on Caped Crusader
Link to MLBTR on Hill
Link to Episode 1780 Stat Blast
Link to rookie hitter WAR leaders
Link to rookie pitcher WAR leaders
Link to pitcher WAR since 5/11
Link to Dunne’s Skenes cosplay
Link to Rosenthal on Skenes
Link to Skubal usage info
Link to team SP WAR
Link to Ben on pitcher draws
Link to FG on Merrill
Link to MLBTR on McKinney
Link to Tango on Bloomquist
Link to Jeff on Bloomquist
Link to ESPN on six-inning starts
Link to Sheehan on six-inning starts
Link to Sheehan on pitcher’s duels
Link to Santana’s Savant page
Link to 1B OAA leaders
Link to end of end of Pujols SB streak
Link to projected team wins
Link to Neil’s Substack
Link to Passan’s tweet
Link to Jaffe on struggling top teams
Link to MLBTR on Freeman
Link to MLBTR on Riley
Link to prior plaque talk
Link to Beltré Rangers event
Link to Wade/Ward wiki
Link to ballpark meetup forms
Link to meetup organizer form

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