Contract Crowdsourcing 2023-24: Ballot 11 of 11

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Free agency begins five days after the end of the World Series. As in other recent seasons, FanGraphs is once again facilitating a contract crowdsourcing project, with the idea being to harness the wisdom of the crowd to better understand and project the 2023-24 free agent market.

In recent years, we’ve added a few features to these ballots based on reader feedback. You now have the option to indicate that a player will only receive a minor-league contract, or won’t receive one at all. If there is a player option, team option, or opt out in a player’s contract, you’ll be able to indicate whether you think he will remain with his current team or become a free agent. Numbers are prorated to full season where noted. The projected WAR figures are from the first cut of the 2024 Steamer600 projections.

Below are ballots for six potential free agents and Lance Lynn; the Dodgers declined his $18 million club option earlier today. This group includes players with a mix of options or opt-outs. Realistically, not all of these guys will hit the open market. But what if they do? Won’t you be glad to have guessed their new contracts?





Meg is the managing editor of FanGraphs and the co-host of Effectively Wild. Prior to joining FanGraphs, her work appeared at Baseball Prospectus, Lookout Landing, and Just A Bit Outside. You can follow her on twitter @megrowler.

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sadtrombonemember
5 months ago

Those options are pretty rich for Martinez, but he should be able to land a 2 year deal in the $20M range for sure if he declines his side. Maybe more.

bosoxforlifemember
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I needed to reread that number about 10 times to believe it. Did the Padres think he was going to morph into Blake Snell and they would have him on the cheap?

Doug Lampertmember
5 months ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Remember that people can not recognize sarcasm on the internet because there is no position so silly that someone won’t seriously argue for it.