Five Things I Liked in Yesterday’s Mets-Braves Doubleheader

Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Welcome to a bonus edition of Five Things I Liked (And Just Liked, This Doubleheader Was Glorious So Let’s Not Be Negative). This column usually runs on Fridays, and it’s supposed to be about a week’s worth of games played by every team in the majors. But uh, did you all see yesterday’s spectacle? The Mets and Braves played two to determine the NL playoff field, and all hell broke loose. We had wild bounces and hitters learning new skills in real time. We had lead changes and two-out rallies. We had Cy Young winners getting late scratches and relievers putting their team on their backs to protect the rest of the staff. The most dramatic day of baseball this year just happened, so let’s dive right into a rapid-fire edition of Five Things.

1. Tyrone Taylor’s Cueball

They say that you can throw the rules out the window when it gets down to sudden death. I’m not sure they meant the laws of physics, though. Two hundred years ago, this ball would have been accused of witchcraft:

Give Tyrone Taylor a lot of credit for sprinting out of the box on a baseball he hit pretty far foul. Give Spencer Schwellenbach credit for making this close at all. Most pitchers would have given up on that ball right away. Schwellenbach hustled over to it, grabbed it an instant after it rolled fair, and then made a nice scoop throw to Matt Olson at first, where Taylor ended up beating the throw by a slender margin:

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But more than that, just look at this baseball. The Mets broadcast got an incredible slow-motion shot of it:

Taylor actually knocked the cover somewhat off, as you can see. It’s hard to imagine how else it could have spun back fair. Even knowing the ball got deformed, this was a rare occurrence. I watch a lot of baseball, and didn’t see a single one of these this year. Of course the weird stuff came out on this bonus last day of the season. It was a harbinger of things to come.

2. De-Switching

Ozzie Albies has been a switch-hitter his entire career. For almost the whole time, outside observers have wondered whether he should give it up. He’s a career 145 wRC+ hitter when batting right-handed against a lefty pitcher; when he’s batting left-handed against a righty pitcher, his wRC+ is only 96. That’s a huge platoon split for anyone, nevermind for a switch-hitter. But it’s difficult to learn how to face same-handed pitching while you’re also trying to produce in the big leagues, so Albies has never abandoned his lefty hitting despite the data suggesting it might be a good idea.

Or well, he’s mostly never given it up. He’s batted righty against the odd position player or knuckleballer, and when he returned from a wrist injury a week ago, he felt some discomfort swinging lefty. He’s been batting righty-only as a result. Let’s just say that he might want to look into continuing it.

First, he smashed a line drive home run:

That felt like it might hold up for a Braves win when the Mets didn’t score for the first seven innings. But after a six-run New York eighth, the Braves needed a miracle. With two outs, Albies came to the plate again, this time against righty Edwin Díaz. It turns out that Albies sees pitches from righties just fine:

Oh yeah, he walked twice too, out of character for a guy with a career 6.6% walk rate. He generally looked like a great right-handed hitter – which is exactly what he’s been his whole career. Maybe we’ll see this without an injury-related reason in the future, but it’s always nice to get confirmation for something you’ve already believed. I feel great about it — and Albies feels great too:

3. Reversals of Fortune

As Sarah Langs says, wheeeeeeeeee:

Game 1 of the doubleheader was absolutely outrageous. The Braves were cruising, up 3-0 after seven. The Mets exploded for six runs against the teeth of the Atlanta bullpen in the eighth, spearheaded by Brandon Nimmo’s two-run homer. Then the Braves took the lead back, against New York’s best relievers, on the back of that Albies bases-clearing double.

The drama wasn’t done. The Braves used the best bullpen arm they had left in the top of the ninth, but Francisco Lindor rose to the moment:

It was academic from there – and by academic, I mean that one of the worst hitters on the Braves (defensive replacement Eli White) reached on a one-out single and promptly stole second, putting the tying run in scoring position with noted Met killer Travis d’Arnaud still to bat. The Mets escaped – but even the scoreless half-innings packed in the drama.

The score went from 3-0 to 3-6 to 7-6 to 7-8 – that’s a lot of lead changes for the last two innings of a game. It’s especially a lot for the last two innings of the game, the only one being played, with a playoff spot on the line for the winner. This might have been the game of the year from a pure entertainment standpoint, and it was also the single most consequential. Not bad for some Monday afternoon entertainment.

4. Edwin Díaz’s (Misguided?) Heroism
Díaz entered in the eighth inning of the first game trying for a five-out save. He got the first out right away, then got a weak grounder that looked likely to end the threat. Only he forgot to cover first:

Oof, that one stings. So Díaz labored on, but he was clearly shaken by his mental misstep. He walked Michael Harris II on four straight pitches to load the bases. He fell behind Albies 3-1 and challenged him with a 97-mph fastball down the middle, only to surrender the lead on one swing. That left him looking like this:

Marcell Ozuna battled for six pitches before striking out, but that made 21 pitches to get the last two outs of the eighth. That’s generally how long Díaz is in for – five batters, 20-ish pitches, and two or three outs. Sure, it didn’t go like he wanted, but the most likely outcome from this point was that there wouldn’t even be a bottom of the ninth to pitch.

When the Mets rallied to take the lead in the ninth, Díaz was an unlikely candidate to come back out. He pitched Sunday, throwing 26 pitches to close out a five-run lead, and he’s probably available today, given that a three-game series doesn’t leave you a lot of room to rest your best players. He was clearly gassed. But manager Carlos Mendoza sent him come back out for another inning. Díaz was laboring. He didn’t have his best stuff, and he was pitching angry after blowing the save through his own inaction in the eighth. But he slogged through another 19 high-effort pitches, focused with a runner in scoring position, and managed to close out the game and lock up a playoff berth with a well-placed fastball that induced a ground out. Díaz is surely exhausted, and he might end up more so if the Mets need him in today’s game – but his sheer determination impressed me.

5. Grant Holmes Saving the Day

After losing the first game of the set in dramatic fashion, Atlanta needed to win the second leg of the doubleheader to make the playoffs. The good news is the Braves had presumptive Cy Young winner Chris Sale ready to pitch the season finale. Or, well, that was the plan:

Surely the Braves were already aware that Sale wasn’t available for this game. That would explain their aggressive bullpen usage in the first game; they wanted to do everything possible to make this start academic. But with their backs against the wall and no fully rested starter available, they had to make do with what they had.

That meant swingman Grant Holmes drew the start. He’s mainly worked in relief for the past four years, first in the minor leagues and then in the majors. The Braves have occasionally used him for a spot start, but he’d faced five batters Sunday afternoon against the Royals, throwing 21 pitches in relief of Charlie Morton. Maybe the Braves could squeeze an inning or two out of him, if he had the stamina.

Holmes blew that expectation away. He set the first six Mets he faced down in order, which felt like all Atlanta could ask for. He came back out for the third – and threw another perfect inning. The Braves gave him another inning, and yet again he got all three batters he faced. He even came back out for the fifth inning – again, a day after making a multi-inning relief appearance – though he finally ran out of gas and allowed a single and a walk. His day was over after a shocking 53 pitches and four-plus innings, but he soaked up badly needed outs for an Atlanta team that needed length almost as badly as it needed to win.

Holmes shortened the game enough that the Braves made it through the game without requiring another pitcher to carry an exceptional workload. Fellow low-leverage option Daysbel Hernández threw 1 2/3 innings, and no one else exceeded 15 pitches or three batters faced. When you follow up an 8-7 game with a bullpen game in a doubleheader, you’d expect to thoroughly torch your bullpen to get through it. Holmes’s spectacular outing kept Atlanta’s pitching options open, and he and the rest of the bullpen combined for a shutout to send the Braves to the playoffs even after that disheartening collapse in Game 1. Not a bad day’s work for one of the last few guys out of the Atlanta bullpen.





Ben is a writer at FanGraphs. He can be found on Bluesky @benclemens.

30 Comments
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JamesFanMember since 2018
1 year ago

Yes. That was an awesome double header. But what a bad break for the Diamondbacks. They were behind the 8-ball from the get go as the winning team in game 1 would ratchet down for game 2.

Secondly, that winning odds graph is awesome and I love the comment. If a similar graph existed for “Playoff Odds”, that would be hilarious too!

Jewish PacheMember since 2020
1 year ago
Reply to  JamesFan

Boy do I have some good news for you regarding FanGraphs and Playoff Odds graphs

filter2Member since 2019
1 year ago
Reply to  Jewish Pache

I was going to post about this as well but I think that this particular poster was referring to a graph of Playoff Odds PA by PA during the games, which I agree would be cool to see.

David Klein
1 year ago

One of the greatest regular season games I’ve ever seen and I’ve been watching baseball for almost 40 years. Lindor’s homer was one of the biggest homers in Mets history and the biggest in Mets regular season history. The only regular season homers that comes close is Wilmer’s walk off in late July and Piazza’s iconic Post 9/11 homer.

CubsSoxTigers FanMember since 2020
1 year ago

Thanks for Five Things, in general, and this bonus episode, especially. This season had more iconic plays and milestones than any season I can recall – dating back to about 1962…

JimMember since 2016
1 year ago

Hey, this is Tuesday. Where is Jon Becker?

EonADSMember since 2024
1 year ago

The Braves Odds: “We got this in the bag.”

The Graph: “PARKOUR!”

sj1357Member since 2019
1 year ago

I am a Met fan. I had to leave to pick up my daughter at school as the bottom of the 8th began. I decided not to listen to that half inning. (My doctor wants me to reduce stress.) I checked the score via the MLB app after about fifteen minutes. The app showed Mets 6 – Atlanta 3. I was elated.

Then it updated. 7-6 in bold black numerals. I could not believe fate had granted that astonishing 6-run rally just to take it away in the cruelest manner.

I listened, numb, to the top of the ninth. Unlike Gary Cohen, Met radio voice Howie Rose saw off the bat that Lindor’s shot had a chance. Then he reached that point in a home run call when the announcer sees that the ball is out, but is still saying “Harris is at the wall” or what have you. On radio, you can tell by the tone of that penultimate piece of narrative that the ball is out. The actual call is just confirmation.

I cannot remember a sweeter Met moment. Fate was not being sadistic to Met fans; it was just setting up the perfect ending.

I know the distribution of home runs across a player’s plate appearances is essentially random. Was that why Lindor hit that home run at that moment? Randomness or heroism? My heart tells me the latter, and that’s good enough.

bosoxforlifeMember since 2016
1 year ago

i have always placed the 7/1/2004 Red Sox-Yankees game at the top of the list of regular season games but Game 161 for the Mets-Braves is a worthy challenger. The context just made for it to be so much more intense. For all intents and purposes this game was a playoff game because the winner advanced, but in this case the loser was not eliminated and Game 162, while nowhere near as exciting, carried a level of tension on every pitch that is seldom seen. Thankfully the Red Sox weren’t involved or I might not be here to type this. For sheer swings of fortune there cannot be many instances that compare with the 8th and 9th innings of the first game. What makes it so amazing is that these were not one run changes but leads that are usually sufficient to determine the game winner. The outcome has only reinforced this strange feeling I have that Francisco Lindor is following in the footsteps of Carl Yastrzemski’s 1967 season. Will it continue to play out that way? I can only watch and enjoy the baseball. Let the games begin!!!!

EonADSMember since 2024
1 year ago
Reply to  bosoxforlife

Rays/Yankees Game 162 in 2011 is the ultimate game. That Evan Longoria walk-off will live forever, as will Dan Johnson’s 9th inning homer. The fact that there were four games going on with equal meaning just made it even more incredible.

JohnThackerMember since 2020
1 year ago
Reply to  EonADS

The Orioles Red Sox game with rain delay at the same time in 2011 was nuts. The O’s celebrated like they had made the playoffs when Robert Andino knocked Boston out.

bosoxforlifeMember since 2016
1 year ago
Reply to  JohnThacker

I am sure you understand why I have erased that night from my memory. LOL!

bosoxforlifeMember since 2016
1 year ago
Reply to  EonADS

What games are you writing about? I can’t remember anything about those games.

Broken BatMember since 2020
1 year ago

Nice summary to key points in game. I didn’t miss a pitch. Gutsy performances all around. There is one thing that you mention that is significant IMO and that was pitching Diaz with a 5 run lead in the 9th inning on Sunday. Diaz was brought in to face low part of Brewer batting order.He struck out 3 and walked 1. He went 3-2 on all 4 hitters. Knowing the double header was in ply since the D’backs,,playing at same time led by plenty. Why pitch Diaz Sunday in that situation? It worked out, but the potential of not having Diaz rested and available for those 3 outs on Sunday??? Met Mgr. IMO misplayed that inning.

EonADSMember since 2024
1 year ago
Reply to  Broken Bat

Mendoza’s bullpen management has been his biggest black mark since the beginning of this year, his first as a MLB manager. This isn’t anything new, it’s a trend with him. He’s trying to Francona the bullpen without the knowledge of Tito or the talent of most of the Guardians/Indians bullpens.

Last edited 1 year ago by EonADS
David Klein
1 year ago
Reply to  Broken Bat

Also using Maton three days in a row after working him hard he should have had Butto pitch the 8th yesterday imo.

Roger McDowell Hot Foot
1 year ago
Reply to  Broken Bat

Mendoza’s bullpen management has been a mess all year long, but he’s playing such a bad hand that I have a hard time faulting him too much for a lot of it. How to handle Diaz alone is such a tricky question — he needs to be built back up psychologically, his velocity is all over the place, yet sometimes you just don’t have anyone else you can trust to go out there. To me, the worst decision in the last few days was the too-quick hook for Maton in the 8th inning of Game 1.

bosoxforlifeMember since 2016
1 year ago
Reply to  Broken Bat

Using the closer at the wrong time is a Mets thing. Terry Collins, an empty hat, used Jeurys Familia in the 9th inning of Game 3 of the 2015 WS leading 9-3. The next night Familia was needed in the 8th and while he was the victim of Murphy’s error he allowed hits to Moustakas and Perez that sealed the Mets fate. That was one of the worst managerial moves in WS history.

MikeSMember since 2020
1 year ago

The only thing I can possibly complain about is that Fangraph’s Playoff odds graphs only update once a day. It would have been fun to see the momentary dip in Atlanta’s chances visualized.

I assume that they were 48.7% after game one since Arizona’s should not have changed from the 51.3% they were at the start of the day. Although 51.3% seems high since Arizona required one team to sweep the double header. Half of all double headers do not end in sweeps, and it could be assumed that the winner of game one was going to be resting as many players as possible in game 2.

bosoxforlifeMember since 2016
1 year ago
Reply to  MikeS

The ethical question was hanging over the Mets after they secured their spot. They were definitely better off losing the 2nd game. The Padres appear to be stronger than the Brewers and the flight to Milwaukee is a lot shorter than the flight to San Diego. Fortunately with only a 28 man roster they were forced to play several regulars. At least this game wasn’t played back in the days of 40 man September rosters when it would have been possible to field a non-competitive team.

MikeSMember since 2020
1 year ago
Reply to  bosoxforlife

If you are talking about a duty to be competitive to benefit the Diamondbacks, I don’t really think there is an ethical question. Their responsibility is to the Mets and really no one else. If playing people hurts their chances in the next game that matters, they should not do it.

Doug LampertMember since 2016
1 year ago
Reply to  MikeS

Effectively all major sports leagues, including IIRC MLB, have a clear statement in their ethics and guidance that all teams should make a real effort to win every game. Tactically losing is stated to be unethical in guidelines that the MLB teams have agreed to follow.

Roger McDowell Hot Foot
1 year ago
Reply to  bosoxforlife

They were definitely better off losing the 2nd game. The Padres appear to be stronger than the Brewers and the flight to Milwaukee is a lot shorter than the flight to San Diego.

Written like someone who didn’t see a lot of Mets-Brewers games this year! Milwaukee has been a land of nightmares for the Mets for the last couple years running. Obviously they neither managed nor played the second game like the outcome mattered urgently to them, but I think a lot of fans (and Mets players) sure would’ve preferred the trip to San Diego if it had worked out that way.

SpaceMember since 2024
1 year ago

One thing I haven’t seen anyone mention in the many write-ups I’ve read, and what I think was the initial turning point in the contest, was Tyrone Taylor’s 8th inning 12 pitch leadoff at-bat that ended in a double and pushed Spencer S. out of the game. Having followed the whole game and seen the Mets do exactly nothing, that sparked.

jeffrey broydeMember since 2016
1 year ago

In 1948 there was a three way pennant race in the American League. On the last day of the season the Red Sox and Indians were tied and the Yankees, having just been eliminated, were two games behind and playing Boston. Joe DiMaggio(.320/39/155 in old school stats) was badly banged up and didn’t want to take the field but felt ethically obligated to do so in order not to give his brother Dom’s Sox an unfair advantage. Joe D went 4 for 5 with two doubles and 3 RBIs as the Yankees lost anyway to the Sox, who then lost to the Boudreau-led Indians in the playoff game the next day before Cleveland beat the Spahn and Sain Boston Braves in the World Series.
Competitive attitudes appear to have changed, as reflected by yesterday’s announcers pointing out the usually speedy Brandon Nimmo’s not trying hard to beat out his double play grounder in the ninth inning of the second game.
Maybe I’m just a “Get off my lawn” old guy but I liked the old way better.

Jon L.Member since 2016
1 year ago

“That’s generally how long Díaz is in for – five batters, 20-ish pitches, and two or three outs.”

According to these estimates, Edwin Diaz retires about 50% of the batters he faces – which, according to the conversations I’ve had with Mets fans in 2024, feels pretty accurate.

Bob DavisonMember since 2020
1 year ago

Mets called in the last game…sorry D’Backs

Old Washington Senators FanMember since 2020
1 year ago

As a Nationals fan I must point out that Taylor ran inside the line on that crazy foul/fair hit – had he been wearing a Washington uni, the ump would have called him out for interference and Dave Martinez would lose his mind.

IfYouSheaSo
1 year ago

I know that this was a playful comment, but to be *that* guy, they changed the rule this year so that the dirt between the foul line and the grass is also considered a valid running lane, which he was clearly in.

Smiling PolitelyMember since 2018
1 year ago

“If only the Dodgers still had Grant Holmes to start for them!”