Five Things I Liked in Yesterday’s Mets-Braves Doubleheader

Brett Davis-Imagn Images

Welcome to a bonus edition of Five Things I Liked (And Just Liked, This Doubleheader Was Glorious So Let’s Not Be Negative). This column usually runs on Fridays, and it’s supposed to be about a week’s worth of games played by every team in the majors. But uh, did you all see yesterday’s spectacle? The Mets and Braves played two to determine the NL playoff field, and all hell broke loose. We had wild bounces and hitters learning new skills in real time. We had lead changes and two-out rallies. We had Cy Young winners getting late scratches and relievers putting their team on their backs to protect the rest of the staff. The most dramatic day of baseball this year just happened, so let’s dive right into a rapid-fire edition of Five Things.

1. Tyrone Taylor’s Cueball

They say that you can throw the rules out the window when it gets down to sudden death. I’m not sure they meant the laws of physics, though. Two hundred years ago, this ball would have been accused of witchcraft:

Give Tyrone Taylor a lot of credit for sprinting out of the box on a baseball he hit pretty far foul. Give Spencer Schwellenbach credit for making this close at all. Most pitchers would have given up on that ball right away. Schwellenbach hustled over to it, grabbed it an instant after it rolled fair, and then made a nice scoop throw to Matt Olson at first, where Taylor ended up beating the throw by a slender margin:

But more than that, just look at this baseball. The Mets broadcast got an incredible slow-motion shot of it:

Taylor actually knocked the cover somewhat off, as you can see. It’s hard to imagine how else it could have spun back fair. Even knowing the ball got deformed, this was a rare occurrence. I watch a lot of baseball, and didn’t see a single one of these this year. Of course the weird stuff came out on this bonus last day of the season. It was a harbinger of things to come.

2. De-Switching

Ozzie Albies has been a switch-hitter his entire career. For almost the whole time, outside observers have wondered whether he should give it up. He’s a career 145 wRC+ hitter when batting right-handed against a lefty pitcher; when he’s batting left-handed against a righty pitcher, his wRC+ is only 96. That’s a huge platoon split for anyone, nevermind for a switch-hitter. But it’s difficult to learn how to face same-handed pitching while you’re also trying to produce in the big leagues, so Albies has never abandoned his lefty hitting despite the data suggesting it might be a good idea.

Or well, he’s mostly never given it up. He’s batted righty against the odd position player or knuckleballer, and when he returned from a wrist injury a week ago, he felt some discomfort swinging lefty. He’s been batting righty-only as a result. Let’s just say that he might want to look into continuing it.

First, he smashed a line drive home run:

That felt like it might hold up for a Braves win when the Mets didn’t score for the first seven innings. But after a six-run New York eighth, the Braves needed a miracle. With two outs, Albies came to the plate again, this time against righty Edwin Díaz. It turns out that Albies sees pitches from righties just fine:

Oh yeah, he walked twice too, out of character for a guy with a career 6.6% walk rate. He generally looked like a great right-handed hitter – which is exactly what he’s been his whole career. Maybe we’ll see this without an injury-related reason in the future, but it’s always nice to get confirmation for something you’ve already believed. I feel great about it — and Albies feels great too:

3. Reversals of Fortune

As Sarah Langs says, wheeeeeeeeee:

Game 1 of the doubleheader was absolutely outrageous. The Braves were cruising, up 3-0 after seven. The Mets exploded for six runs against the teeth of the Atlanta bullpen in the eighth, spearheaded by Brandon Nimmo’s two-run homer. Then the Braves took the lead back, against New York’s best relievers, on the back of that Albies bases-clearing double.

The drama wasn’t done. The Braves used the best bullpen arm they had left in the top of the ninth, but Francisco Lindor rose to the moment:

It was academic from there – and by academic, I mean that one of the worst hitters on the Braves (defensive replacement Eli White) reached on a one-out single and promptly stole second, putting the tying run in scoring position with noted Met killer Travis d’Arnaud still to bat. The Mets escaped – but even the scoreless half-innings packed in the drama.

The score went from 3-0 to 3-6 to 7-6 to 7-8 – that’s a lot of lead changes for the last two innings of a game. It’s especially a lot for the last two innings of the game, the only one being played, with a playoff spot on the line for the winner. This might have been the game of the year from a pure entertainment standpoint, and it was also the single most consequential. Not bad for some Monday afternoon entertainment.

4. Edwin Díaz’s (Misguided?) Heroism
Díaz entered in the eighth inning of the first game trying for a five-out save. He got the first out right away, then got a weak grounder that looked likely to end the threat. Only he forgot to cover first:

Oof, that one stings. So Díaz labored on, but he was clearly shaken by his mental misstep. He walked Michael Harris II on four straight pitches to load the bases. He fell behind Albies 3-1 and challenged him with a 97-mph fastball down the middle, only to surrender the lead on one swing. That left him looking like this:

Marcell Ozuna battled for six pitches before striking out, but that made 21 pitches to get the last two outs of the eighth. That’s generally how long Díaz is in for – five batters, 20-ish pitches, and two or three outs. Sure, it didn’t go like he wanted, but the most likely outcome from this point was that there wouldn’t even be a bottom of the ninth to pitch.

When the Mets rallied to take the lead in the ninth, Díaz was an unlikely candidate to come back out. He pitched Sunday, throwing 26 pitches to close out a five-run lead, and he’s probably available today, given that a three-game series doesn’t leave you a lot of room to rest your best players. He was clearly gassed. But manager Carlos Mendoza sent him come back out for another inning. Díaz was laboring. He didn’t have his best stuff, and he was pitching angry after blowing the save through his own inaction in the eighth. But he slogged through another 19 high-effort pitches, focused with a runner in scoring position, and managed to close out the game and lock up a playoff berth with a well-placed fastball that induced a ground out. Díaz is surely exhausted, and he might end up more so if the Mets need him in today’s game – but his sheer determination impressed me.

5. Grant Holmes Saving the Day

After losing the first game of the set in dramatic fashion, Atlanta needed to win the second leg of the doubleheader to make the playoffs. The good news is the Braves had presumptive Cy Young winner Chris Sale ready to pitch the season finale. Or, well, that was the plan:

Surely the Braves were already aware that Sale wasn’t available for this game. That would explain their aggressive bullpen usage in the first game; they wanted to do everything possible to make this start academic. But with their backs against the wall and no fully rested starter available, they had to make do with what they had.

That meant swingman Grant Holmes drew the start. He’s mainly worked in relief for the past four years, first in the minor leagues and then in the majors. The Braves have occasionally used him for a spot start, but he’d faced five batters Sunday afternoon against the Royals, throwing 21 pitches in relief of Charlie Morton. Maybe the Braves could squeeze an inning or two out of him, if he had the stamina.

Holmes blew that expectation away. He set the first six Mets he faced down in order, which felt like all Atlanta could ask for. He came back out for the third – and threw another perfect inning. The Braves gave him another inning, and yet again he got all three batters he faced. He even came back out for the fifth inning – again, a day after making a multi-inning relief appearance – though he finally ran out of gas and allowed a single and a walk. His day was over after a shocking 53 pitches and four-plus innings, but he soaked up badly needed outs for an Atlanta team that needed length almost as badly as it needed to win.

Holmes shortened the game enough that the Braves made it through the game without requiring another pitcher to carry an exceptional workload. Fellow low-leverage option Daysbel Hernández threw 1 2/3 innings, and no one else exceeded 15 pitches or three batters faced. When you follow up an 8-7 game with a bullpen game in a doubleheader, you’d expect to thoroughly torch your bullpen to get through it. Holmes’s spectacular outing kept Atlanta’s pitching options open, and he and the rest of the bullpen combined for a shutout to send the Braves to the playoffs even after that disheartening collapse in Game 1. Not a bad day’s work for one of the last few guys out of the Atlanta bullpen.





Ben is a writer at FanGraphs. He can be found on Twitter @_Ben_Clemens.

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JamesFanmember since 2018
10 days ago

Yes. That was an awesome double header. But what a bad break for the Diamondbacks. They were behind the 8-ball from the get go as the winning team in game 1 would ratchet down for game 2.

Secondly, that winning odds graph is awesome and I love the comment. If a similar graph existed for “Playoff Odds”, that would be hilarious too!

Jewish Pachemember since 2020
10 days ago
Reply to  JamesFan

Boy do I have some good news for you regarding FanGraphs and Playoff Odds graphs

filter2member since 2019
10 days ago
Reply to  Jewish Pache

I was going to post about this as well but I think that this particular poster was referring to a graph of Playoff Odds PA by PA during the games, which I agree would be cool to see.