Mets Continue Their Overhaul by Adding Jorge Polanco

The remaking of the Mets continues apace. After losing fan favorites Edwin Díaz and Pete Alonso to other teams in free agency last week, the Mets took a step towards replacing the latter by signing switch-hitting infielder Jorge Polanco to a two-year, $40 million deal on Saturday. Though he has almost no experience at first base, the Mets believe he can learn the position well enough for it to be his primary position.
The 32-year-old Polanco probably isn’t the first player anyone thought of as an Alonso replacement, particularly given the bigger-ticket free agents out there and the Mets’ spending power, but he’s coming off a strong season at the plate (.265/.326/.495/, 132 wRC+ with 26 homers) for the Mariners as well as a memorable October. Though he hit just .208/.269/.417 (95 wRC+) in 52 plate appearances during the postseason, his two homers off the Tigers’ Tarik Skubal powered Seattle to a 3-2 win in Game 2 of the Division Series, and his bases-loaded single off Tommy Kahnle in the 15th inning of Game 5 gave the team its first postseason series victory in 24 years. In the ALCS opener against the Blue Jays, he drove in the Mariners’ last two runs with RBI singles in their 3-1 win, then hit a three-run homer off Louis Varland that gave Seattle the lead for good in Game 2. Alas, he went just 2-for-17 the rest of the way as the Mariners fell to the Blue Jays in seven games.
Polanco, who spent the past two seasons with the Mariners and before that parts of 10 seasons with the Twins, has played mainly second base and shortstop during his major league career, though he hasn’t played the latter position since 2022, and the defensive metrics attest that it’s not a good idea anymore. Even at second base, his metrics have descended into the red, to the point that he was primarily a designated hitter last season following an October 2024 surgery to repair his left patellar tendon. He accumulated -2 DRS and -3 FRV in just 287.1 innings at second in 2024, and -1 DRS and -8 FRV in 925.1 innings there the year before.
With Francisco Lindor and recent trade acquisition Marcus Semien, the Mets have the middle infield covered anyway, so president of baseball operations David Stearns has indicated he instead envisions Polanco as a first baseman who can also DH and provide insurance at the other infield positions. He has exactly one pitch of professional experience at first, from an April 6 game against the Giants in San Francisco. He entered a tie game in the bottom of the ninth as part of a lineup shuffle after Victor Robles fractured the humeral head of his left shoulder while making a spectacular catch. With Miles Mastrobuoni moving from third base to right field and Dylan Moore from first to third, Polanco entered the game at first base. On the next pitch from Gregory Santos, Wilmer Flores ripped a groundball to the left of second baseman Ryan Bliss, bringing home Luis Matos with the winning run.
The Mets are banking that Polanco’s athleticism and willingness to learn the new position will be enough. If that idea seems risky (tell ’em, Wash), at least the bar to replace him on that side of the ball couldn’t be any lower. Alonso ranked last in both DRS (-9) and FRV (-8) in 2025 and made numerous throws that imperiled pitchers. One of those bad tosses, to Kodai Senga on June 12, marked the turning point of the Mets’ season, as the pitcher strained his right hamstring reaching for the ball; Senga missed a month and pitched poorly thereafter, while the Mets, 45-24 at the time, went 38-55 the rest of the way and missed the playoffs.
Replacing Alonso’s bat is a much taller task. Polanco’s 132 wRC+ represented a career high; it matches Alonso’s career mark and is only nine points short of what the departed first baseman put up last year, but it was also the first time Polonco had posted a mark of 120 or better since 2021. He battled leg injuries in 2022, ’23, and ’24, with multiple bouts of left knee inflammation and strains of both hamstrings sending him to the injured list, and as noted, he underwent surgery after the 2024 season. Though he was ready to go at the start of 2025, a minor oblique strain in late March prevented him from hitting right-handed for a five-week span, from April 1 through May 5. Check out the early-season imbalance in plate appearances versus pitchers of each handedness:
| Monthly | PA vs RHP | PA vs LHP | HR | AVG | OBP | SLG | wRC+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar/Apr | 75 | 6 | 9 | .384 | .418 | .808 | 240 |
| May | 67 | 11 | 1 | .139 | .205 | .208 | 23 |
| Jun | 74 | 17 | 1 | .222 | .286 | .296 | 71 |
| Jul | 74 | 21 | 6 | .256 | .351 | .537 | 152 |
| Aug | 56 | 31 | 5 | .259 | .310 | .481 | 122 |
| Sept/Oct | 65 | 28 | 4 | .329 | .380 | .634 | 181 |
For his career, Polanco owns a 116 wRC+ against righties, compared to 100 against lefties. Largely shielded from the latter through the first two months of 2025, he was red-hot in April, even tying for fourth in the majors in homers. He then went ice cold in May and June before heating up again; from July 1 onward, he was the Mariners’ most productive hitter, posting a 153 wRC+, ahead of Julio Rodríguez (147), Dominic Canzone (141), Cal Raleigh and deadline acquisition Josh Naylor (both 137). He finished with a career-best 150 wRC+ (.305/.345/.543 in 114 PA) against lefties and a 127 wRC+ (.254/.321/.481 in 410 PA) against righties.
Polanco owes his big season to an overhaul of his offensive game. In his mid-20s with the Twins, he’d demonstrated the ability to hit for power without sacrificing contact, batting .295/.356/.485 (120 wRC+) with 22 homers and a 16.5% strikeout rate in 2019 and .269/.323/.503 (124 wRC+) with 33 homers and an 18.3% strikeout rate in ’21. To that point, his strikeout rates had always remained below 20%, but he was above 21% annually from 2022-24, with a high of 29.2% in the last of those years, the worst full-season performance of his career (.213/.296/.355, 93 wRC+). He cut that almost in half in 2025, to 15.6%, and improved his in-zone contact rate from 82.1% to 88.1%, with simplified mechanics. As Andrea Arcadipane detailed at The Athletic in May while focusing on his left-handed swing, he positioned his hands higher than in 2024, and went from a dramatic leg lift to a more subtle one, allowing him to transfer his weight more effectively. His final Statcast bat-tracking numbers illustrate how dramatically he closed both of his stances, and how his average bat speed improved, with his squared-up and blast rates both improving substantially while batting left-handed:
| Season | Batting Side | Stance | Avg. Bat Speed | Fast % | Squared-Up Swing% | Blast Swing% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Left | 37° OPEN | 70.2 | 8.6% | 23.1% | 9.4% |
| 2025 | Left | 4° OPEN | 71.6 | 17.3% | 33.0% | 17.0% |
| 2024 | Right | 19° OPEN | 68.8 | 6.4% | 24.2% | 7.6% |
| 2025 | Right | 11° OPEN | 69.8 | 5.3% | 24.6% | 7.5% |
With those revamped mechanics, Polanco’s average exit velocity improved from 88.3 mph in 2024 to a career-high 90.8 mph in ’25, with his barrel rate rising from 8.9% to 10.3% and his hard-hit rate from 37.2% to 45.8%; percentile-wise, those 2025 figures ranked from the 62nd to 66th percentiles. Here’s a look at the breakdown by handedness, along with his expected stats:
| Season | Batting Side | PA | BBE | HR | EV | Brl% | HH% | AVG | xBA | SLG | xSLG | wOBA | xwOBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | Left | 337 | 184 | 12 | 89.3 | 10.9% | 41.8% | .192 | .231 | .340 | .428 | .283 | .329 |
| 2025 | Left | 409 | 308 | 21 | 91.7 | 11.7% | 50.6% | .253 | .272 | .480 | .475 | .342 | .351 |
| 2024 | Right | 127 | 93 | 4 | 86.3 | 5.4% | 30.1% | .240 | .212 | .372 | .326 | .282 | .253 |
| 2025 | Right | 110 | 84 | 5 | 87.7 | 6.0% | 31.0% | .314 | .262 | .559 | .381 | .387 | .306 |
From the left side — the much larger sample — Polanco improved dramatically, with his actual numbers closely resembling his expected ones. From the right side, he hit the ball harder than in 2024, but not nearly as hard as from the left side, though he still managed to produce a slugging percentage well beyond his expected numbers. If there’s regression ahead, that’s where it’s most likely to happen.
Polanco isn’t the marquee free agent Mets fans were hoping for, and at $20 million a year, he isn’t exactly a bargain. Still, the ZiPS projection provided by Dan Szymborski isn’t out of line with the deal:
| BA | OBP | SLG | AB | R | H | 2B | 3B | HR | RBI | BB | SO | SB | OPS+ | WAR |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| .253 | .327 | .446 | 419 | 56 | 106 | 18 | 0 | 21 | 69 | 45 | 93 | 4 | 118 | 2.1 |
| .247 | .322 | .427 | 393 | 50 | 97 | 17 | 0 | 18 | 61 | 42 | 89 | 3 | 111 | 1.6 |
ZiPS suggests a $34 million contract for those two years, but if the changes Polanco made in 2025 can hold, he’s got a reasonable shot of being more valuable; even if he merely matches it, he’s not a long-term liability. His deal shouldn’t preclude the Mets’ pursuit of Kyle Tucker or Cody Bellinger, and the team still has a number of other players who could either be part of their infield or help them make an impact move via trade. Brett Baty, Ronny Mauricio, Luisangel Acuña, and Mark Vientos are all young and cost-controlled, and pending free agent Jeff McNeil is a trade candidate as well. Baty is penciled in as the primary third baseman after a breakout season, while Vientos could be ticketed for a backup first base/DH role after slipping from a 27-homer, 132-wRC+ 2024 performance to a 17-homer, 97-wRC+ showing in ’25. He hit .233/.289/.413 and was dreadful (-10 DRS, -6 FRV) in 556 innings at third base, and with just 112 major league innings at first base, the Mets apparently see him as too much of a risk to build into a starting role.
Filling Alonso’s shoes won’t be easy, but as this deal suggests, Polanco won’t be expected to do so alone. The good news is that it’s still December, the Mets have considerable flexibility with their roster — they can even add another first base/DH option to the mix if the opportunity presents itself — and the big pieces are still on the board. We’ll see where Stearns goes next in overhauling his squad.
Brooklyn-based Jay Jaffe is a senior writer for FanGraphs, the author of The Cooperstown Casebook (Thomas Dunne Books, 2017) and the creator of the JAWS (Jaffe WAR Score) metric for Hall of Fame analysis. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). He has been a recurring guest on MLB Network and a member of the BBWAA since 2011, and a Hall of Fame voter since 2021. Follow him on BlueSky @jayjaffe.bsky.social.
When I first saw the signing, I thought he would be Mauricio’s short-side platoon partner at 3B, though he hasn’t played much 3B over the last few years. This 1B talk is a bit surprising.
Watching him on the Ms last year, his range, arm, and glove were all pretty bad. 3rd sounds unlikely to be a good idea except for a few games a year as a backup option. I wouldn’t be surprised if he becomes a full time DH if he can keep the hitting up.
Yeah, there’s a reason the large majority of his starts last season were as DH.
I expect Mauricio to be in the minors and Polanco coming off a season with a 132 wRC+ was gonna getting a starting job.
Baty will start at third base I should clarify.
At this point in his career he can’t move and he can’t throw. He’s very much the kind of player you want as low on the defensive spectrum as he can go.
He should be able to hack it at first base because the bar is lower for range but when he signed last year the author who wrote him up watched him play a whole bunch and apparently he struggles going to his right. That’s a bit of concern.
I would be also a little concerned about him because he’s not an especially big target but he does have Lindor and Semien throwing to him so hopefully it works out.
Haven’t seen him play defense in awhile, tough to catch too many SEA games in the northeast, but I appreciate the feedback with his fit on the roster.
Dave – I must be overly optimistic on Mauricio. From a roster construction standpoint, off the top of my head I think Vientos and Baty may be out of options, so unless one got moved, Mauricio seems destined for the minors. Maybe I’m just hoping he plays his way on in the spring. I can’t imagine he’ll make a WBC roster, so maybe that will allow him to get extra reps, which he really needs.
Happy to see the comments have been generally positive with the signing.
Watching him all year, I think he benefited early on from only hitting LH because he was getting more days off. You could see him fatigue when he resumed full time switch hitting. M’s had to give him a few days off and focus on DH for a while because he was moving gingerly. Then of course, they had to get him a few more starts in the field to kickstart his slump- typical June stuff.
But once they got Young up and were able to only put Polanco at 2B against a tough Lefty, he got into a grove and we saved his legs. By the end of September, he had enough gas in the tank to play 2b down the stretch. He’ll be a good player for the Mets if they can manage his workload.
Thanks for linking to Sam Miller’s article and the subsequent laughs. If there was an instructional video on how not to throw to pitchers covering the bag, many of Alonso’s plays would make the cut.
If Polanco is hitting 6th, I can live with this move. As Jay writes, Polanco doesn’t look like a strong defender anymore, but he’s at least able to play 2nd or 3rd in a pinch.
Still, the Mets have to do a lot more…
As far as Alonso replacements go, this is at least better than the Paul Oldschmidt idea they were floating
On-field effects aside (which I figure as fairly minimal but whatever, depth is nice), this is certainly becoming a great example of how to completely lose control of the offseason narrative. Even fans (like me) who are inclined toward the benefit of the doubt don’t see this kind of bargain-bin signing as an indicator that great things are in store. Whatever Stearns’s baseball ideas are, his media skills really seem to be coming up short — he truly doesn’t seem to understand, still, how badly he needs to get out there and convincingly say “yes, there is a plan and better things are in store” before taking off for a winter vacation.
Some bargain??? Until proven otherwise it would never cross my mind that giving a mediocre journeyman, with no apparent defensive skill left, and putting him at a position he has never played (1st isn’t as easy as some think) is any sort of a bargain. Then giving him $20M for two years boggles the mind. It strikes me much more as desperation. The Mets better start cleaning the cellar because it looks like that is where they are headed.
Journeyman? The Mets are his third team that’s not a journeyman. Amed Rossrio is a journeyman.
It’s just the rank above apprentice, signifying adequacy. It doesn’t actually involve going on journeys.
Teams are paying more shorter term contracts.
It’s true that you do have to do a bit more media management in a metro area that’s something like 15x larger than Milwaukee. If the Mets wins the narrative will be fine, but you can’t do that now. And if Polanco gets hurt / struggles or the team struggles it’s nice to not have the whole media ready to go with their talking points.
Granted it will only take an extra week for those things to form, but an extra week is nice.
[removed as redundant after reposting]
Comment eaten by the moderation filter, so I’ll try again:
Why has everyone decided to completely disregard Senga’s explicitly saying that his hamstring popped before he stretched for Pete’s throw? I understand thinking it’s a face-saving/blame-shifting white lie, but I don’t understand ignoring it entirely. It’s what the guy said about his own hamstring, so it seems presumptuous to discard it silently.
This came out of nowhere as there was some talk of a Contreras trade but it turns out he was plan b if they didn’t sign Polanco. It sounds like Polanco may be the first baseman and get some dh time but I prefer him as the dh. He’s mostly been a good hitter and took it up a notch this past season. If the plan is for him to be at first base then Kai Correa who will work with infielders has him work cut out for him. Polanco can’t have less range than Alonso right?
But really, the guy who should be the Mets DH still has 14 years on his deal…
I wouldn’t mind giving Soto a look at first base before that.
For a second I thought that was a joke, but it isn’t. He really has 14 more years! That feels crazy to even think about
It took me a while to realize you were not referring to Bobby Bonilla
If I were the Mets I would have preferred trading for Willson Contreras. By a lot. Maybe they weren’t willing to accept Santucci or Wenninger and wanted Sproat, in which case it is totally justified to hang up the phone. But Contreras has played first base already and has hit awfully well lately.
I suppose it’s theoretically possible that they trade for Contreras anyway and they just trade off at 1B / DH. But that seems like a bit much considering that they only really needed Contreras.
Look at the bright side. At least your team didn’t sign Josh Bell.
Are you slandering the Twins’ big acquisition?! Inconceivable.
Pour one out for Rob Reiner, who thought to cast both Wallace Shawn and Andre the Giant.
Also, Misery. And Spinal Tap.
And When Harry Met Sally.
And Stand by Me
And A Few Good Men.
Absolutely awful.
His career is so weird. Between 1984 he created the genre of mockumentary (which still hasn’t been topped), directed top-five-of-all-time movies in the coming of age drama and horror genres (separately), directed the greatest romantic comedy of all time, directed arguably the greatest monologue in the history of film (in A Few Good Men). And then somehow adapted The Princess Bride, a genre-bending comedy / fantasy / romance story that never gets mentioned as one of the all-time greats but is artistically superior to almost everything and seems to be in everyone’s top 10 favorite movies.
And then from 1994 to 2017 he produced nothing even close to those movies, including some of the most notoriously bad films of the last 40 years. North, Rumor Has It, and The Story of Us…
I’m thinking he’s a hedge for 1B, vs the anointed starter. For instance, if the Mets were making a play for one of Okamoto (my hope) or Murakami, having a plan B 1B in tow already isn’t the worst idea in the world since it is so easy to lose out on Japanese players due to the mechanics of the posting system. Or maybe they are trying to trade for Willson Contreras or Yandy Diaz but not confident they can make it happen.
In any event, I will be surprised if Polanco being the every day 1B is actually the plan, and expect he’ll be the every day DH and that Vientos would get a run at 1B before he does, assuming they don’t make something happen.
2/$40m feels extremely expensive for what he’s been, but I definitely suspect a bidding war took place here, and if so it would seem to imply that his swing changes made last year are being viewed by the industry as sticky.
Isn’t Yandy Diaz a pretty terrible defender at first base? I’d love to get Okamoto too.
He is, but I’m not fully convinced 1B defense is *that* important to Stearns given his track record of getting fielding butchers to play 1B for Milwaukee. Up the middle defense is what he truly seems to care about.
In that regard, Diaz might be viewed as a legit swap for Pete but available for the short term.
Okamoto and Contreras would still be my preferences in that order, but Diaz could be a reasonable and realistic fallback.
This is a *lot* of money for a guy who has been injured for a good chunk of the last four years and is being projected to a position he has never played and where his career wRC+ doesn’t stand out.
You can make a good argument that it’s only money and the Mets have plenty of that but I don’t think the concern is because he’s going to clog up the payroll. The concern is that this might make the Mets feel like they’ve got a spot in the lineup filled when he’s got a good chance of missing 40% of the season, *and* he’s unlikely to repeat last season’s performance when he does.
It feels like there had to be a better solution than this.
Feel like they’re paying a premium for roster flexibility – 2/$40 to beat another team paying 3/$45.
He apparently was asking for 3 / $36M originally with maybe 4 / $48 as a stretch ask. It sure looks like there was a bidding war.
One of the M’s beat writers claimed the offers were very close.
I can do no more than repeat what I wrote in response to a previous article. “The crazy contract carnival just jumped to a new level somewhere well above the stratosphere with Jorge Polanco getting $20 million a year for 2 years. We are talking Jorge Polanco here, not some bonafide star. Maybe he unlocked something but maybe he just had a hot streak and he is little more than a DH now. Even with his pretty good 2025 I don’t see much to warrant this kind of deal. He had a $6M option from the Mariners which he properly turned down. In the Contract Crowdsource I doubled that and was surprised to see I was very low but even there he was around 2/28. R.J. Anderson at CBS said this “Polanco recovered from a down season by swinging harder and pulling the ball more frequently. That combination resulted in both the second-highest home run tally and slugging percentage of his career. He’s lost a step over the years on account of aging and knee surgery, meaning he’s a substandard defensive second baseman. Polanco is also unlikely to repeat this year’s offensive output. Still, a team seeking above-average offense could do worse than him.” I agree that he is useful but 2/40 strikes me as an enormous overpay.” I admit to complete confusion as to what is going on with the Mets.
It just feels like pennywise, pound foolish
Giving Jorge Polanco 20mil a year so you dont have a guy signed in his mid to late 30s when he regresses to be…Jorge Polanco
I dont get it. Who are the guys theyre targeting in 2-3 years with all these short term deals? Are they targeting anyone or is the plan just to sign more guys who are B/C tier players, this time for 25 mil, in 2-3 years?
Stearns is probably planning to draft those B/C tier players of his own (not complimentary)
Yeah, this is a good way of putting the confusing thing about Stearns’s philosophy. He reportedly just hates long-term deals, for anyone, ever, as a kind of fixed idea. This keeps coming up when the Mets miss out on free agents as a primary motive. And it’s like, okay, this is sensible as a means of limiting financial risks for a lower-budget team, but presuming that you now want to have the best talent available, and the Mets have a lot of money to spend… where is the talent going to come from?
This is also how the Dodgers used to like to operate until they didn’t. Which isn’t really a defense of this deal. I guess don’t rule out the possibility that they trade for Gunnar Henderson a year before he’s a free agent and sign him to a big, long deal.
Stearns himself signed a 5-year, $50 million deal in October 2023. He also signed Juan Soto to a 15-year contract.
I wouldn’t mind this sort of out of the box thinking if it was coming at a discount, but paying Jorge Polanco $40 million to be a 1B/DH is insanity. He will turn 33 next season and posted a wRC+ of 93 in 2024. Even matching his career mark of 112 would make him one of the worst first basemen in the league.
There were 4 first basemen under 100 wRC+ this year and 6 more under 110. A 112 wRC+ would make Polanco a slightly below average first basemen, not one of the worst. If he repeats his 132 wRC+ he will be in the top tier. I am agnostic on the signing, but Polanco is a good hitter.
Polanco is a good hitter for a second baseman. He’s definitely below average for a first baseman, even after all Michael Toglia did to drag that average down.
I wrote something up and then I lost it, but the basic idea is that something happened between 2010 and 2018 that pushed the league-wide wRC+ down for first basemen. Some of it was just the old guard of future Hall of Famers getting older, some of it was probably keeping guys higher on the defensive spectrum for longer. But it was really rare to have anyone spend time at first base who couldn’t hit 15-20 years ago, and now it isn’t.
Not that it matters too much for what you wrote. This deal is paying him like he’s going to hit more like a 125 wRC+ and while it’s possible there’s huge risk involved.
I don’t understand this signing. If he hits to his Steamer projection, he is clearly not worth $20M to play 1B/DH.
Even if you think he is 100% going to hit like he did in 2025, which I do not, it’s not that much of a bargain. It’s an upside signing with limited upside, which is the exact mistake Stearns made with the Montas disaster.
This isn’t quite as puzzling as the Montas deal but I think you have correctly identified the flaw in this plan. If you can afford to pay him $20M for two years you could easily pay $20M a year over a longer period to a younger, healthier, or better version of the same guy. For this to be a better deal than, say, giving 5 year $100M to Josh Naylor, you have to believe that the risk of Naylor’s extra $60M over three years is worse than the risk of Jorge Polanco spending half of the next two years on the injured list. And maybe Naylor becomes bad earlier than Polanco but there are a lot of reasons to think that he won’t.
The Mets seem to be highly motivated by QO incentives. Replacing Diaz with Devin Williams got them that pick after round 4, and Polanco is one of the most noteworthy MLB free agents to not get a QO. If this seems a little cute for the team with the greatest spending power in MLB, well, I agree. But this is the way these moves make sense, especially as early offseason signings.
(Also, remember how much of Scherzer and Verlander’s salaries they ate when they traded them away. This team cares about using its financial might for prospects.)
Fortunately for Mets fans, this strategy can also include Bellinger, Imai, and Murakami; and if the offseason ends with 1-2 of those guys on board (and I think it will), all this looks a lot better. But I think this means there’s no way they’d sign Tucker unless they miss out on all their other targets.
They have been like this ever since Cohen bought the team.
I don’t think they wanted to lose Diaz but they have stayed far away from most free agents with a QO. The big exception is Soto. I think they’re only motivated to sign a player with a QO if it is for a long time.