Charlie Blackmon and the Good Side

Take a look at Charlie Blackmon’s defensive charts and you’ll notice that he has a good side, one where he’s made a higher percentage of catches than the other. On the one hand, that seems strange: humans are largely symmetrical creatures. On the other, maybe it makes perfect sense: most people have dominant hands and eyes and move better in certain directions.

Nowhere is the latter point more painfully clear to me, personally, than on the basketball court. As much as I practice going to my left, I usually do something very silly when I attempt the feat in a game. If I get to the left and actually get to the hoop, my mechanics fall apart when I get there, and I end up doing a strange thing with my right hand that leads to cuss words more often than points.

So when I saw this map for Blackmon, I figured it was all about that first step. See those hits over his left shoulder that are colored blue? Those are relatively high-percentage catches that have fallen into play against him. Must not be stepping well in that direction, I figured.

But when I asked the outfielder about those hits and his first step, he laughed. First, he thanked me for highlighting his shortcomings. Then he said something surprising — “I prefer the ball to my left,” he said. “There’s something I don’t like about running towards a ball to my right.”

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Daily Prospect Notes: 4/19

Daily notes on prospects from lead prospect analyst Eric Longenhagen. Read previous installments here.

Lewis Brinson, CF, Milwaukee (Profile)
Level: Triple-A   Age: 22   Org Rank: 1  Top 100: 16
Line: 4-for-6, 2B, HR, 2 R

Notes
Brinson has hit in five consecutive games since returning from a dislocated pinkie. Injuries and strikeouts have long been Brinson’s issues, but he’s made significant adjustments in what are now parts of six pro seasons. Once vulnerable on the inner half due to lever length, Brinson can now pull his hands in and, even though he isn’t getting extended, he’s strong enough to do things like this:

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Dallas Keuchel Is Going Full Ziegler

The Houston rotation is more than one man, but no one man is more important for the rotation than Dallas Keuchel. Peripherals aside, Keuchel didn’t have the year he wanted to have in 2016, having to fight most of the way through shoulder discomfort. Related to that, Keuchel saw his ERA jump from 2.48 to 4.55. There were downs, and there were ups, but Keuchel and the Astros came in this season looking for a far greater performance. Give the Astros a 2015 version of Keuchel and the rotation would feel plenty more stable.

Three starts in, Keuchel’s allowed a total of two runs. He’s gotten some of his grounders back, and he’s seeing positive results again off of his sinker. It’s fair to wonder, then, whether Keuchel has re-discovered his old form. The reality of it? Not exactly. There’s a similar-looking pitcher here, sure, but Keuchel hasn’t succeeded through the 2015 approach. Rather, he’s gone the full Brad Ziegler.

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FanGraphs Audio: Eric Thames and What Isn’t Lost in Translation

Episode 732
Managing editor Dave Cameron is the guest on this edition of the program, during which he discusses Eric Thames‘ early success and the implications of that success for the legitimacy of statistical translations from foreign leagues; provides some benchmarks for ideal launch angle and the players who are closest to those benchmarks; and identifies what’s broke with Eric Hosmer and why Eric Hosmer has little incentive to fix it.

A reminder: FanGraphs’ Ad Free Membership exists. Click here to learn more about it and share some of your disposable income with FanGraphs.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 47 min play time.)

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FanGraphs After Dark Chat – 4/18/17

12:44
Paul Swydan:

What is tonight’s best 7-8 pm ET matchup?

CHW (Gonzalez) vs. NYY (Severino) (7.2% | 14 votes)
 
BOS (Johnson) vs. TOR (Stroman) (13.4% | 26 votes)
 
BAL (Gausman) vs. CIN (Arroyo) (4.6% | 9 votes)
 
DET (Fulmer) vs. TB (Andriese) (10.8% | 21 votes)
 
PHI (Eflin) vs. NYM (Wheeler) (4.1% | 8 votes)
 
WAS (Scherzer) vs. ATL (Foltynewicz) (59.5% | 115 votes)
 

Total Votes: 193
12:47
Paul Swydan:

What is tonight’s best 8 pm ET and later matchup?

MIL (Nelson) vs. CHC (Anderson) (3.9% | 7 votes)
 
CLE (Tomlin) vs. MIN (Hughes) (5.0% | 9 votes)
 
LAA (Nolasco) vs. HOU (Musgrove) (2.8% | 5 votes)
 
PIT (Kuhl) vs. STL (Leake) (5.0% | 9 votes)
 
SF (Cain) vs. KC (Hammel) (2.2% | 4 votes)
 
TEX (Darvish) vs. OAK (Triggs) (66.2% | 118 votes)
 
ARI (Miller) vs. SD (Cosart) (4.4% | 8 votes)
 
COL (Freeland) vs. LAD (Ryu) (8.4% | 15 votes)
 
MIA (Chen) vs. SEA (Gallardo) (1.6% | 3 votes)
 

Total Votes: 178
12:49
Paul Swydan:

What is your favorite work by Lendrick Lamar

C4 (0% | 0 votes)
 
The Kendrick Lamar EP (0% | 0 votes)
 
Overly Dedicated (0% | 0 votes)
 
Section.80 (2.6% | 5 votes)
 
good kid, m.A.A.d city (20.9% | 40 votes)
 
To Pimp a Butterfly (9.9% | 19 votes)
 
untitled unmastered. (0% | 0 votes)
 
DAMN. (3.1% | 6 votes)
 
Don’t make me choose! (7.3% | 14 votes)
 
I have never listened to Kendrick Lamar (56.0% | 107 votes)
 

Total Votes: 191
9:01
Paul Swydan: Hi everybody!

9:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Hi

9:01
Andrew: How quickly are projections updated? Do depth charts playing time allocations take some time to catch up? How about ZIPS/Steamer?

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Marte Suspended, Pirates Lose Remaining Margin for Error

Things were looking up for the Pirates. They’d emerged from the weekend with a sweep of the Cubs in Chicago. Jameson Taillon had pitched like a burgeoning ace. Ivan Nova had recorded more complete games than walks since joining the Pirates. The Cardinals and Cubs were scuffling. There was perhaps a sense that the Pirates’ final standing in the NL Central wasn’t predetermined.

And then they lost another star player for reasons unrelated to injury.

First it was Jung Ho Kang unable to gain entry to the country, denied a work visa due to his legal issues. And on Tuesday, MLB announced that Starling Marte has been suspended for 80 games due to a positive test for Nandrolone.

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The Scariest Eric Thames Stat

Eric Thames is, at present, the major-league leader in wRC+. He’s also the major-league leader in home runs, and he’s the major-league leader in WAR. He’s gone deep in, what, five games in a row? That would be easy enough for me to fact-check, but I don’t want to waste my time checking those facts when Thames might extend his own streak at any moment. He’s homered in many games in a row. Let’s unpack what’s going on.

Literally yesterday, Nick wrote a post here entitled “Eric Thames Is Still Mashing.” That post spoke of Thames’ considerable power. Literally hours ago, Dave wrote a post here entitled “The Even Scarier Eric Thames Stat.” That post spoke of Thames’ seemingly improved ability to make contact. Power? Check! Contact? Check! What’s something that might drive both those things? Right — swinging at the correct pitches. At this writing, Eric Thames has baseball’s third-lowest swing rate at pitches out of the zone.

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Grading the Pitches: 2016 AL Starters’ Curveballs

Previous: AL Starters’ Changeups / NL Starters’ Changeups.

Sample sizes are building, but not nearly to a size worthy of deep analysis, so let’s keep rolling with our pitch-specific analysis of the arsenals of 2016 MLB ERA qualifiers. Last week, we looked at the best changeups in both leagues. This week, we’ll examine curveballs. Today, it’s the American League’s turn.

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Which Batters Are Getting Off the Ground Thus Far?

Earlier today, I took a look at some of the early-season batted-ball trends with a view to exploring whether there might be early signs that significantly more hitters — and perhaps teams and instructors — are adopting the uppercut-swing-plane plan.

Yes, it’s April and the following data represents only the first two weeks of the season, so take it with a healthy dose of skepticism. But there are a number of hitters who both (a) logged at least 500 plate appearance last season and (b) are hitting the ball in the air more often this season.

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Josh Harrison Got Hit Four Times in a Row

Home runs. People love them! And people love them when they happen a bunch. Giancarlo Stanton has, during his career, hit four home runs in a row. Carlos Gonzalez has also hit four home runs in a row. It’s a crazy-good achievement, pulled off only a couple dozen times. There have been about as many such home-run streaks as there have been perfect games. Everyone loves a home-run streak or a perfect game.

Part of the appeal of something like that is the individual-accomplishment aspect. A pitcher can’t be better than perfect, and homering all the time would be the hitter equivalent. But don’t forget about the related matter of scarcity. We all also fall all over ourselves when we see something that never happens. Think about what it means for a baseball event to be rare. And I mean ultra-rare. There is so much baseball, all of the time. Every season involves an unnecessarily large number of baseball games, for even the most forgettable and pointless of rosters. Baseball is nothing but an endless series of repetitions. An endless number of opportunities for strange things to happen. As a consequence, many strange things have already happened, even several times. You’d never expect a perfect game. The overwhelming majority of us have probably watched perfect games, if maybe not all the way through.

Between Sunday and Monday, Josh Harrison batted seven times. The first two times, he grounded out. The seventh time, he grounded out. In between, he was hit, then he was hit, then he was hit, and then he was hit.

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