Joc Pederson’s Taken the Difficult Step

It feels like ages ago, but back when he was a high-level prospect, George Springer was absolutely fascinating. In Springer, the Astros had a phenomenal athlete with almost unparalleled bat speed. But Springer’s game also came with a lot of swinging and missing, whiffs to such a degree that there were real questions about how he’d be able to handle the bigs. You know how this has gone: Springer has established himself as a quality outfielder, after having dramatically improved his contact skills. Getting better at contact is not an easy thing to do, but Springer made himself an outlier, and now he’s a star.

Springer’s big gain came between 2014 and 2015, and this year he’s actually taken another step forward, in terms of getting the bat to the ball. As a rookie, Springer posted baseball’s very lowest contact rate. As a rookie himself, Joc Pederson posted baseball’s sixth-lowest contact rate. There’s long been concern about Pederson’s own ability to make consistent contact. His swings and misses could get exploited, but Springer demonstrated improvement could be possible. And now Pederson is following in Springer’s footsteps.

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Projecting Astros Call-Up Teoscar Hernandez

Teoscar Hernandez has always possessed an enticing combination of power and speed. His primary flaw, however, has been his inability to make contact. In 2014, he belted 21 homers and stole 33 bags, but struck out 28% of the time. Last year, he posted 17 homers and 33 steals with a 24% strikeout rate. The end result was a .219/.275/.362 batting line. More often than not, hitters who strike out that frequently don’t carry their success over to the big leagues, and it wasn’t at all clear that Hernandez was ever going to make enough contact to make it work.

But a funny thing started happening this year: Hernandez has seemingly learned how to avoid the strikeout. He opened the year at the Double-A level, where he hit .305/.384/.437 with a 17% strikeout rate. Following a promotion to Triple-A, he slashed .313/.365/.500 with a 16% strikeout clip. Despite the added contact, he still managed 10 homers in just over 100 games — plus one more in Houston on Friday. Read the rest of this entry »


FanGraphs Audio: Eric Longenhagen in Just One Area Code

Episode 675
Lead prospect analyst Eric Longenhagen is the guest on this edition of the pod, during which he shares some notes from the Area Code Games on the top high-school prospects (including RHP Hunter Greene and OF Jo Adell and) of the 2017 draft; supplies a sort of prospect retrospective of Toronto second baseman Devon Travis, the former 13th-round selection who’s already produced two wins this season in limited time; and reluctantly answers a question about Tim Tebow’s future in baseball.

This episode of the program either is or isn’t sponsored by SeatGeek, which site removes both the work and also the hassle from the process of shopping for tickets.

Don’t hesitate to direct pod-related correspondence to @cistulli on Twitter.

You can subscribe to the podcast via iTunes or other feeder things.

Audio after the jump. (Approximately 1 hr 11 min play time.)

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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat 8/15

2:03

Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning (in Arizona, anyway). Got back late last night from the PG game in San Diego so things will probably be abbreviated today.

2:03

Nolan: I’m thinking of going to a game tonight, alone, to see Cal Quantrill pitch a few innings. Worth the 17 bucks?

2:04

Eric A Longenhagen: Healthy Quantrill could have gone 1-1 so yes, I think so. He was fastball-heavy in the AL as he warmed up post-draft so you might not see the entire package but it’s worth going.

2:04

Jake: What are your thoughts on Meadows, Bell, and Newman? What are their upsides?

2:06

Eric A Longenhagen: Meadows could be a star, Bell has great offensive skills but obviously the bar at first base is high. Newman is a SS for, plus bat, can run and I think he’ll be a good everyday player.

2:06

Josh: Thoughts on Urias so far? Would you change any of his present/future pitch grades based on what’s he’s shown?

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Projecting Yankees Call-Ups Aaron Judge and Tyler Austin

Just hours after Alex Rodriguez walked off the field following his final game (in pinstripes, at least), the Yankees made the following string of transactions.

Capture

And just hours after making those transactions, both Aaron Judge and Tyler Austin had already homered in the big leagues. Out with the old, in with the new.

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Saberseminar 6 Was A Smashing Success

Each August, the best and brightest minds in the game come together in Boston for Saberseminar. Like the five conferences that preceded it, Saberseminar 6 was a fantastic weekend of friends and baseball research, and most importantly, raising money for cancer research.

We helped kick off the weekend with a Friday night event at Mead Hall in Cambridge. Anecdotally, it was the best attended pre-Saberseminar meetup yet, and it was wonderful to see so many new faces, as well as familiar ones.
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Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 8/15/16

12:00
Dan Szymborski: Another Monday at noon, so I’m coming home to you guys, with my own blood in my mouth.

12:00
Otis Redding: Can the Orioles keep pace in the AL East? Will 3 AL East teams make the playoffs?

12:01
Dan Szymborski: I think they can – other teams have weak spots too. It won’t help though if Miley is execrable instead of lousy.

12:01
Dan Szymborski: I think the two AL East runners-up end up being the wild card, though it’s obviously quite uncertain.

12:01
senpaisanto:

12:01
Hickey: Are these baby Bronx bombers or whatever the hell the media calls them, the real deal for seasons to come? Or do the Yankees trade as usual for a quality player that washes out in 2 years

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Zach Britton Could Have a Real Cy Young Case

“Does Zach Britton have a shot at the Cy Young this year?”

It’s a question I didn’t take seriously at first. It’s only happened once in the last 20 years, and Eric Gagne’s 2003 season is perhaps the greatest season in the history of the modern closer. It comes complete with major league records — 55 consecutive single-season saves and 63 consecutive saves spanning multiple seasons — that helped justify the voter’s decision. There existed both the utter dominance and the storyline. But the Cy Young Award is now almost universally a starter’s award, and it’s been fair to wonder all this time whether Gagne could be the last reliever to win it, but it also might be time to start wondering whether this is the year it should happen again.

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What Could The Marlins Possibly Want With Alex Rodriguez?

With 117 games in the books, the Miami Marlins are one measly half-game out of wild card position. Considering they’re just five games over .500 and four teams are within 2 1/2 games of that final wild card spot, I wouldn’t exactly go printing Marlins playoff tickets yet, but it’s impossible to deny that the theoretical scenario in which they reach the postseason is becoming increasingly possible. As a result, they are now reasonably in a position where it’s in their best interest to make decisions over the next 45 games that best give their current team a chance to win. Yesterday’s announcement that Giancarlo Stanton’s season is over naturally raised the following question: “Who should the Marlins add to help replace that production?” The initial rumored answer is the hilariously unsatisfying solution of newly minted free agent, Alex Rodriguez. On a visceral, gut level, this is a horrendous idea, but let’s move beyond that immediate reaction and take stock of the pros and the cons of this pairing.
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FanGraphs Is Expanding Its Social Media Presence

Please welcome Michelle Jay to FanGraphs. You’ll generally find Michelle behind any type of camera lens or social media app. No matter which hat she is wearing at a particular time, we are excited to have her on board.

Dear readers, allow me to introduce you to the latest ways to find content from across FanGraphs’s family of blogs. You may already follow us on Twitter (@fangraphs) or Facebook (/fangraphs). Through those channels, we’ve been providing you a stream of nearly every single article published as they are published to the site. We’ll still continue to do that. But, now you’ll see some extra content, things you’ll get only by following us on social media.
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