Ranking the Prospects Traded During the 2022 Deadline

Ranked and briefly analyzed below are the prospects who have been traded during the loosely defined “deadline season,” which for simplicity’s sake I consider all of July. Most of the deals these prospects were a part of have been analyzed at length on this site. An index of those pieces can be found here, or by clicking the hyperlink in the “Trade” column below, which will take you to the relevant article. I’ve moved all of the 35+ FV and above players listed here to their new orgs over on The Board, so you can click through to see where they rank among their new teammates and read their full scouting reports. Our Farm Rankings, which update live, also reflect these changes, so you can see where teams’ systems stack up following the draft and the deadline compared to prior to the draft and relevant 2022 prospect graduations.
I’ve included the compensatory draft pick the Cubs will receive after they extend Willson Contreras a qualifying offer and he signs elsewhere, as they will essentially be trading him for that pick if he signs with another team this offseason, which I think is the most likely outcome. Now, on to the rankings.
| FV | Rank | Name | Position | Age | Team | From | Trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 60 | 1 | Noelvi Marte | SS | 20.8 | CIN | SEA | L. Castillo | Power-hitting shortstop prospect with 30 HR potential. How frame/throwing develop could dictate move to 3B. |
| 60 | 2 | C.J. Abrams | 2B | 21.8 | WSN | SDP | J. Soto | Leadoff prototype w/long-term power projection. Are poor swing decisions chronic or caused by rushed dev? |
| 50 | 3 | Ken Waldichuk | SP | 24.6 | OAK | NYY | F. Montas | Big league-ready mid-rotation starter with three swing-and-miss offerings. |
| 50 | 4 | Robert Hassell III | RF | 21.0 | WSN | SDP | J. Soto | High-probability, well-rounded everyday outfield prospect. A star if he stays in center, I think right is more likely. |
| 50 | 5 | Logan O’Hoppe | C | 22.5 | LAA | PHI | B. Marsh | Well-rounded everyday catching prospect who is a year or two away. A complete player with average tools. |
| 50 | 6 | Luis Medina | MIRP | 23.3 | OAK | NYY | F. Montas | Upper-90s heat and plus-flashing secondaries. Oakland rebuild gives him more time to develop as a starter. |
| 50 | 7 | James Wood | CF | 19.9 | WSN | SDP | J. Soto | Leviathan CF w/rare power/speed combo. Huge range of defensive outcomes, raw pop > game pop for now. |
| 45 | 8 | Spencer Steer | 2B | 24.7 | CIN | MIN | T. Mahle | Shift-aided infielder with contact/power blend. Near-ready, integral role-playing bat. |
| 45 | 9 | Jordan Groshans | 3B | 22.7 | MIA | TOR | Bass/Pop | Contact-oriented third baseman and moonlight shortstop. Power weirdly regressed as a pro, has been hurt a lot. |
| 45 | 10 | Clayton Beeter | SIRP | 23.8 | NYY | LAD | J. Gallo | Relief-only prospect who is still starting. Mid-90s velo, big riding life, plus breaking balls. |
| 40+ | 11 | Edwin Arroyo | SS | 18.9 | CIN | SEA | L. Castillo | Switch-hitting middle infielder with playable power. Everyday shot, three-ish years away. |
| 40+ | 12 | Hayden Wesneski | SP | 24.7 | CHC | NYY | S. Effross | Slider-heavy slinger with plus command (esp. of slider), contender’s no. 4/5 starter type. |
| 40+ | 13 | Jarlin Susana | SP | 18.4 | WSN | SDP | J. Soto | Gigantic 18-year-old up to 102 mph with a plus slider. Young, hard-throwing, but big-bodied demo is scary. |
| 40+ | 14 | T.J. Sikkema | SP | 24.0 | KCR | NYY | A. Benintendi | Looks great coming off lost 2021 (shoulder), low-90s, plus slider, plus command. |
| 40+ | 15 | Jayden Murray | SP | 25.3 | HOU | TBR | Mancini/Siri 3-Team | Sits 93-94 mph with big two-seam action, commands plus slider. Another no. 4/5 type, 2023 debut. |
| 40+ | 16 | Nick Frasso | SP | 23.8 | LAD | TOR | M. White | Whooping crane frame at 6-foot-8, 93-98 mph coming off TJ, above-average slider. |
| 40+ | 17 | Antoine Kelly | SIRP | 22.7 | TEX | MIL | M. Bush | Low-slot, late-inning mid-90s relief prospect with plus slider potential. |
| 40+ | 18 | Drew Waters | CF | 23.6 | KCR | ATL | Comp Pick | Frustrating toolshed with poor plate discipline. Realistic role is dangerous fourth/fifth outfielder. |
| 40+ | 19 | Colin Holderman | SIRP | 26.8 | PIT | NYM | D. Vogelbach | Power sinker/slider reliever. Third bullpen banana on a competitive team. |
| 40+ | 20 | Jay Groome | SP | 23.9 | SDP | BOS | E. Hosmer | Famous since his junior year of high school, Groome is now a four-pitch backend starter type. |
| 40+ | 21 | Seth Johnson | SP | 23.9 | BAL | TBR | Mancini/Siri 3-Team | Tommy John timing nukes Johnson’s top 100 status since he’ll miss 2023. Power fastball/breaking ball prospect. |
| 40 | 22 | Victor Acosta | SS | 18.1 | CIN | SDP | B. Drury | Twitchy MIF w/everyday ceiling who swung underneath lots of fastballs in AZ. Despite hit tool risk, utility floor. |
| 40 | 23 | JP Sears | SP | 26.5 | OAK | NYY | F. Montas | Big league-ready backend starter with plus fastball command. |
| 40 | 24 | Robert Gasser | SP | 23.2 | MIL | SDP | J. Hader | Quick-moving kitchen sink starter with low arm slot. Plus on-mound athlete, big command ceiling. |
| 40 | 25 | Cade Povich | SP | 22.3 | BAL | MIN | J. Lopez | Backend starter look already (low-90s, four pitches, slider is best) with frame/athleticism to project more stuff. |
| 40 | 26 | Steve Hajjar | SP | 22.0 | CIN | MIN | T. Mahle | Backend starter look already (low-90s, sneaky fastball) with frame and athleticism for more. Barely 22. |
| 40 | 27 | Andrew Hoffmann | SP | 22.5 | KCR | ATL | Comp Pick | Workhorse starter type with big slider, burgeoning velocity after nomadic amateur career. |
| 40 | 28 | Tristan Peters | RF | 22.4 | SFG | MIL | T. Rosenthal | Hitterish corner outfielder with sublime bat control, generic other tools. |
| 40 | 29 | Jadiel Sanchez | RF | 21.2 | LAA | PHI | N. Syndergaard | Well-built corner outfield prospect with over-aggressive approach. |
| 40 | 30 | Ford Proctor | C | 25.7 | SFG | TBR | J. Walker | Converted catcher who still plays 2B/SS/3B, K% has exploded in the upper levels. |
| 40 | 31 | Compensatory Pick | ~75 | 2023 | CHC | MLB | W. Contreras | The Cubs aren’t a revenue sharing recipient, so this comp pick would come between rounds 2 & 3, which is typically 40 FV prospect territory, maybe 40+ if the draft is deep. Window dressing like extra pool space flexibility in next year’s draft, and the time it takes for the Cubs to actually add a prospect to their system by taking this approach with Contreras, might also factor into how you value this pick’s value. |
| 40 | 32 | Levi Stoudt | MIRP | 24.7 | CIN | SEA | L. Castillo | Plus command and fastball utility give him SP shot, changeup regression with new delivery pushes him to ‘pen. |
| 40 | 33 | Ben Brown | SIRP | 22.9 | CHC | PHI | D. Robertson | Mid-90s heater with plus, mid-80s breaking ball. Fastball plays down. Has missed reps, more might be coming. |
| 40 | 34 | Esteury Ruiz | CF | 23.5 | MIL | SDP | J. Hader | Speed and CF ability give Ruiz fifth OF floor; if approach improvement is real (I’m skeptical), he’ll be better. |
| 40 | 35 | Beck Way | SP | 23.0 | KCR | NYY | A. Benintendi | Big velo, body projection, slider potential. Long arm action creates relief risk. |
| 40 | 36 | Enmanuel Valdez | 2B | 23.6 | BOS | HOU | C. Vázquez | Stocky upper-level hitter with 50/50 hit/power combo and no clear position. Think lefty-hitting Mike Brosseau. |
| 40 | 37 | Christian Encarnacion-Strand | 3B | 22.7 | CIN | MIN | T. Mahle | Power-hitting 3B/1B with high-risk plate discipline. |
| 40 | 38 | Thomas Szapucki | MIRP | 26.1 | SFG | NYM | D. Ruf | Lower slot lefty with fine three-pitch mix. On the starter/multi-inning relief pitcher line. |
| 40 | 39 | Max Castillo | SP | 23.2 | KCR | TOR | W. Merrifield | Sink/tail fifth starter with above-average slider/changeup command. |
| 40 | 40 | Nick Zwack | SP | 24.0 | SFG | NYM | D. Ruf | East/west sinker/slider guy (the slider is plus) who has had a little velo bump (92-93 mph) in pro ball. |
| 40 | 41 | Chayce McDermott | SP | 23.9 | BAL | HOU | Mancini/Siri 3-Team | Has four pitches and sits 94 mph with two quality breakers; there’s command-driven relief risk. |
| 40 | 42 | Samad Taylor | 2B | 24.1 | KCR | TOR | W. Merrifield | Speedy 2B/LF with enough pop to play part-time, Kelby Tomlinson/Eric Young Jr. type of role. |
| 40 | 43 | Corey Rosier | CF | 22.9 | BOS | SDP | E. Hosmer | Speedy small-college outfielder. Traded twice already (from SEA to SDP for Adam Frazier). Late bloomer traits. |
| 40 | 44 | Mickey Moniak | CF | 24.2 | LAA | PHI | N. Syndergaard | Former no. 1 overall pick who now looks like a fifth outfielder. |
| 40 | 45 | Tucker Davidson | MIRP | 26.4 | LAA | ATL | R. Iglesias | Has had Triple-A success as a starter but hasn’t broken thru in a big league rotation, 92-94 mph with plus slider. |
| 40 | 46 | Malcom Nunez | DH | 21.4 | PIT | STL | Quintana/Stratton | Potent hit/power combination with DH-only look on defense. Role-playing thumper in the 1 WAR range. |
| 40 | 47 | Christian Fernandez | SP | 23.0 | OAK | TBR | C. Bethancourt | Low-90s velo and a four-pitch mix, he’s a backend starter type. |
| 35+ | 48 | Alex De Jesus | 3B | 20.4 | TOR | LAD | M. White | Physical power-over-hit third baseman, strikeout-driven bust risk but easily has 25-plus HR raw power. |
| 35+ | 49 | Wilyer Abreu | LF | 23.1 | BOS | HOU | C. Vázquez | Would be role-playing outfield lock if he improves in center. Sweet lefty swing, playable power, ball/strike recog. |
| 35+ | 50 | Yennier Cano | SIRP | 28.4 | BAL | MIN | J. Lopez | Three-pitch, middle-inning bully with well below-average control. Hard slider and changeup. |
| 35+ | 51 | Andrew Moore | SIRP | 23.0 | CIN | SEA | L. Castillo | Junior college righty who is blossoming in pro ball. Mid-90s, huge breaking ball, 30 command. |
| 35+ | 52 | Max Ferguson | 2B | 22.9 | BOS | SDP | E. Hosmer | Plus-running 2B/CF with passive approach at the plate. Needs to add strength. |
| 35+ | 53 | Hector Rodriguez | 2B | 18.4 | CIN | NYM | Naquin/Diehl | Twitchy 2B/LF with precocious bat control, limited power ceiling. |
| 35+ | 54 | Christian Cerda | C | 19.6 | ARI | TBR | D. Peralta | Bat-first catching prospect with notable size and power for his age. |
| 35 | 55 | Cal Stevenson | CF | 25.9 | OAK | TBR | C. Bethancourt | Likely to get 2023 shot in Oakland. Small-framed outfielder with plus speed and plate discipline. |
| 35 | 56 | Cooper Bowman | 2B | 22.5 | OAK | NYY | F. Montas | Has changed swing in pro ball, results have been mixed. Occasionally puts a charge into one, 2B-only type for me. |
| 35 | 57 | Sawyer Gipson-Long | SP | 24.6 | DET | MIN | M. Fulmer | Valuable buffer against injury, SP 6-to-8 type in a contending org. Uphill low-90s heater, slider command. |
| 35 | 58 | Carson Seymour | SP | 23.6 | SFG | NYM | D. Ruf | Sits 92-95 mph, fastball plays down a little bit, deep repertoire; he’s a college arm dominating A-ball. |
| 35 | 59 | Juan Nunez | RHP | 21.7 | BAL | MIN | J. Lopez | Has low-90s velo, plus-plus spin rates, riding life shape. |
| 35 | 60 | Michael Stryffeler | SIRP | 26.2 | SFG | SEA | Casali/Boyd | Mid-90s fastball, plus slider, fringe control, up/down RP with chance to grab full-time spot with better control. |
| 35 | 61 | German Tapia | RF | 18.9 | LAD | TBR | G. Cleavinger | Two-year DSL outfielder, swing improved in second year, projectable frame. |
| 35 | 62 | Andy Thomas | C | 24.1 | SFG | SEA | Casali/Boyd | Workmanlike third catcher on your 40-man, probably a couple of years away despite his age. |
| 35 | 63 | CJ Alexander | 3B | 26.0 | KCR | ATL | Comp Pick | 3B/1B with plus arm, plus raw power, and a hole in the swing at the letters. |
| 35 | 64 | Trey Harris | LF | 26.6 | WSN | ATL | E. Adrianza | Righty-hitting corner outfielder who was a 40 FV until performance dipped post-2020. |
| 35 | 65 | Juan Rojas | LHP | 18.5 | BAL | MIN | J. Lopez | Well-built lefty with a beautiful arm stroke, fastball sits upper-80s with vertical shape. |
| 35 | 66 | Ian Hamilton | SIRP | 27.1 | CLE | MIN | S. León | Mid-90s up/down reliever with low-spin slider. |
| 35 | 67 | Chandler Champlain | SP | 23.0 | KCR | NYY | A. Benintendi | Big righty with mid-90s sinker, two average breaking balls. |
| 35 | 68 | Carlos Guarate | SP | 21.3 | OAK | STL | A. Allen | Pitchability righty with below-average stuff. |
| 35 | 69 | Kris Anglin | SP | 21.0 | DET | ATL | R. Grossman | Lefty with riding fastball, inconsistent early in 2022, better after demotion. |
| 35 | 70 | Saul Gonzalez | SP | 22.6 | CHC | NYM | M. Givens | Giant 6-foot-7 righty with 45-grade downhill sinker/slider combination. |
| 35 | 71 | Jose Acuna | SP | 19.8 | CIN | NYM | Naquin/Diehl | Advanced 19-year-old righty with depth starter look. |
| 35 | 72 | Moises Brito | SP | 20.1 | LAD | TOR | M. White | Projectable 6-foot-5, sitting 86 mph, clean overhand delivery, curveball has shape but not power. |
| 35 | 73 | Jonatan Bernal | SP | 20.1 | KCR | TOR | F. Griffin | Sinker in the 89-90 mph area, slider has big break but is slow, averaging 76 mph. |
Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent four years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Info Solutions and two contributing to prospect coverage at ESPN.com. Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.
awesome content. Groome really has been on the radar for a while at this point
Yeah as a Sox fan not mad they traded him. He’s been considered a prospect for so long now
Josh Bell erasure
Lol, according to this, the Brewers gave up a better prospect to get Matt Bush than they got for Josh Hader.
I know it’s mostly because fangraphs is down on Ruiz, but still…WTF?
Hey man, ya gotta give up something serious to get the number 1 draft pick
They did get Rogers for Hader, the prospects were to offset the difference in value between the two. It would be a better comparison if they had traded away like Trevor Gott in the Bush deal.
Kelly is a bit of a project but so is Ruiz. And it’s probably not a good sign when Ruiz is at AAA and he’s at that stage.
IMO Kelly himself has some Josh Hader-ish qualities. I doubt he’s a starter but I think he’s going to hose people in the 9th inning (if he stays healthy which is always an issue with pitching!).
Esteury Ruiz has to have biggest fanclub in history for a 40 FV prospect. Amazing
He’s got a fun game to watch. I’d root for him more than Dan Vogelbach or somebody like that.
Disagree. Even as a Yankee fan, I will root for Vogelbach until he hangs ’em up. Round is a shape!
I’ve only recently become acquainted with Esteury Ruiz’s game can someone explain more about the approach issues Eric is referencing? He’s above the 80th percentile in several of his Triple-A stats I would normally look to for red flags including 0.88 BB/K (95th percentile), 17.0 K% (81st percentile at Triple-A), 15.0 BB% (92nd percentile), 29.5 LD% (97th percentile). His infield fly ball rate is incredibly high and his ISO is a little below league average, are those some of the primary concerns? Is there something in the scouting looks that the stats aren’t capturing?
From Longenhagen’s chat, “There’s enough slider chase and letter high fastball swing and miss happening that I still think the hit tool is going to be below average. Most all of his home runs have come on sliders that didn’t quite finish”.
Additionally, his barrel and EV numbers are borderline atrocious while his frame doesn’t inspire much hope that he’ll grow into any more sort of power.
Right but if you look at pre-2022, he did not have good K-BB percentages, especially for someone without monster power. I think the question is whether 2022 is a real, sustainable change or not.
He’s a chaos muppet. Super fast, so he feasts on balls in play and is a terror on the basepaths. Doesn’t really know what he’s doing defensively in the outfield. Chases too many pitches. Looks small, no real power projection. It’s promising that he can punish mistakes but it he’s mostly feasting on less effective defense in the minors and running up high BABIPs. There’s a lot more variance here than you would expect from a guy who seems to have solved AAA and gotten some big league time. Sometimes guys like this can translate their game to the majors, and sometimes they can’t.
Put another way, just because his floor is Willy Taveras and his ceiling is a 3+ win CF does not mean they’re equally likely. His median looks a whole lot more like Willy Taveras than it does like Coco Crisp, Michael Bourn, Dexter Fowler, etc.
His game reminds me of Willie McGee. That seems like the ceiling. He’d have to get a bunch of bunt and IF hits, and triples and SB. He might do better on an artificial turf home park. If he’s a 2 WAR player, he’d be a fun one to watch.
Thanks for this, though it makes me very sad that the Mets gave up five prospects on this list for positions you could have filled with better planning–arguably, Givens = Holderman, and Vogelbach/Ruf types are available for low-cost contracts in the offseason.
Understandable to try Dom Smith and JD Davis one more time, and with the contract, they needed to run Cano out there for a little while. Still, these guys remain in a good-but-thin system if there’s a little what-if thinking.
Yes the mistake was to try Smith and Davis one more time. Hopefully it was because they believed in them, and not just because they were already around.
So the Cubs get about the same level of players for their RP as they will for Contreras? Ooof. I think they need to re-sign him to make this look anything but horrible.
or QO
Happy to see someone is more bullish on the Montas trade than Law was – his write-up was GRIM.
Waldichuk is polarizing. I’m not seeing how Medina is both a reliever and a 50. He’d have to be Aroldis Chapman or Josh Hader to justify that, and those seem like 90%+ outcomes.
Eric seems to think there is still a small chance he’s a 5 and dive starter but that seems awfully unlikely at this point. Maybe he can throw strikes in a single inning but a lot of this type of reliever pitches the 5th inning instead of the 9th.
Just curious how E Valdez (#36) wasn’t even listed among Astro prospects written up on July 8th, and now a 40FV is given to him.
Where does the Braves comp pick received for waters rank?
JR Ritchie is a 45, not counting pool implications.
Thanks!
The Yankees traded away a lot of Major-league ready pitching for a team in need of Major-league ready pitching. Such is the fate for a team that is always in contention.
How do the Yankees get insiders to write up their prospects like this?
This is such a weird concept because you’d think the secret Yankee-controlled media would want to downplay the quality of the prospects they just traded, not the other way around.
I don’t buy the “conspiracy” either… but surely you can see the utility in convincing people that your farm has very good prospects – even if you just gave some of them away.
Come on. Beck Way is a 20 something prospect and A+ pop up arm who’s only been in the system since last season and suddenly he’s headlining the Benintendi deal.
Montas gets dealt for Waldichuk plus 3 throw ins.. Medina projects as a RPer with control issues.. Sears is 26 and Bowman is not a prospect.
Last yr it was Deivi Garcia who was this great pitching prospect.
The Yankees do a great job at building up their mid round college arms.. and they promote them aggressively.
I think the Mets gave up more in the Ruf deal (not boasting about the overpay) than the Yankees did to get Montas.
Waldichuk is probably more valuable than the entire return for Ruf.
Garcia was a pretty good prospect a couple of years ago, but I think you would have a very hard time finding people who still liked him going into this year.
Biased Yankee fan opinions:
The A’s clearly value trading for high-floor (ish), near-term (AA or higher) prospects in volume when selling their pieces — “bites at the apple” and all that. They grabbed two high probability mid-to-back end starters (with Waldichuk possibly flashing more). Sears’ age is sort of irrelevant — they should be able to extract max value out of him in his controllable years.
Medina is obviously the high variability flier, but even a moderate-to-better relief arm is pretty valuable — see recent deadlines for examples. I think the Yanks may have sold high on him when he’s having a solid season, and, well, that’s kind of the nature of the beast.
Bowman was also there.
As far as Garcia goes — pitchers melt down sometimes (which is why you buy in bulk). He’s always been a high variability prospect (if nothing else due to his size). The question is can he regain some semblance of his previous self and be an effective pitcher in some role.
I have a better question… where is the A’s farm system now after all the trades they’ve made (Olson, Chapman, Bassitt, Manaea, Montas)…?? They should have top 5 system now after all those deals.
This is great.
I get why Eric is more conservative on Wood and Arroyo than others since the bulk of their career has been at A-ball but I am bullish on both. Arroyo has a really great swing and the makings of strong infield defense, and an elite athlete to boot (switch thrower!). The big concerns with Wood are swing and miss and getting so big he has to move to first base but both of those things look far less likely. I’d expect their arrows to be up in a year.
Another plus point of getting a comp pick for Willson Contreras is it softens the loss of a second round pick if they sign someone like DeGrom Boegarts or Swanson in free agency.
Absolutely. Hoyer will go after a SS (with Hoerner moving back to 2nd). And a frontline starter. IMO.
From the Jarlin Susana write-up “ but big-bodied demo is scary” . What does this mean?
It means that the history of this body type has a higher failure rate. “Demo” here is referring to demographics.
thanks
Unfortunately for me, I keep getting “O Susanna” stuck in my head when reading about him.
Comparing the hauls Montas and Castillo got compared to Mahle makes me happy the Twins went after him over the other 2.
Not that it means anything, but if a team had a farm system made up entirely of players traded this deadline, it would rank 3rd in Fangraphs’ farm system rankings with a total value of $328M (slotting just behind the O’s and the Guardians).
I feel like if Jay Groome’s name was John Smith, he would be much, much lower on this list. The stuff hasn’t come back since he had TJ surgery, with even the curve being pretty ordinary at this point. Per SoxProspects.com, he’s sitting 88-92 and he has below-average command. At almost 24, what really makes him better than somebody like Carlos Guarate at this point? I wish him the best, but I think he was just a fig leaf for San Diego’s salary dump to clear space on Boston’s 40-man.