White Sox Get Bats Back for Erick Fedde and Tommy Pham

Today the White Sox made a three-team trade with the Cardinals and Dodgers that sent Erick Fedde and Tommy Pham to St. Louis and Tommy Edman to Los Angeles. In exchange for Edman, the Dodgers picked up the prospect tab in the deal, sending Miguel Vargas and teenage Low-A infielders Jeral Perez and Alexander Albertus to the other side of the Camelback Ranch complex. You can read about the Cardinals and Dodgers parts of the trade here.
The White Sox had mostly gotten pitching back in their previous trades made under new GM Chris Getz, but in this one they turned to hitting, receiving three batters whom I have been a little lower on than the prospect-watching consensus. I like all three players but don’t love any of them, though I think Vargas has a feasible shot to be a decent everyday player, and soon.
The seeds of this deal were planted when Chicago signed Fedde during the offseason. After a lackluster tenure in Washington, Fedde remade himself in a Scottsdale pitching lab and had an incredible 2023 season for the KBO’s NC Dinos, posting a 2.00 ERA in 180.1 innings while striking out 209 and walking just 35. He was named the KBO’s MVP and won their equivalent of the Cy Young. Getz and the White Sox bet a very modest amount ($15 million over two years) that Fedde’s improvements would translate to the big leagues, and they were right. Fedde has pitched well and turned into a prospect piñata. Pham’s salary was a little over $2 million. Essentially paying to acquire prospects (especially hitters) is exactly what a team like the White Sox should be doing, and over the course of about eight months they’ve executed that with Fedde and Pham.
A big part of the reason I was lower on prospect-era Miguel Vargas than my sources and peers was because I didn’t think he could play the infield well, if at all. That has turned out to be true and, after trying a few infield positions besides his native third base, Vargas moved to left field this season. This occurred even as the Dodgers had big league injuries on the dirt, which I think is telling. He isn’t great out in left either, but it’s conceivable he could improve as he continues to play there. I haven’t heard from anyone in the org as to whether the White Sox will revisit the infield with Vargas. If they do it would strike me as a 2025 spring training task rather than something they ask Vargas to do right away.
Vargas is lacking the raw power typical of a great left fielder. He’s not an especially explosive swinger and depends on his feel for sweet-spot contact to generate extra-base power. The combination of Vargas’ plate discipline and this slick barrel feel create enough offense for him to be a lower-impact everyday left fielder. Here’s how some of his performance and talent-indicating metrics compare to that of the average MLB left fielder:
| Contact% | Z-Contact% | Avg EV | Hard Hit% | 90th% EV | Chase% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miguel Vargas | 80% | 86% | 89.7 | 35% | 102.4 | 20% |
| Avg All LF | 76% | 84% | 89.2 | 40% | 102.7 | 27% |
| Avg Top 30 LF | 76% | 85% | 90.0 | 43% | 103.9 | 27% |
These are solid numbers that back up the visual scouting report that this is a skills-over-tools type of hitter. I think he will have produced close to 20th at the position (give or take) when we look back at all the left fielders across the league five years from now. The outfielders in front of Vargas in Los Angeles blocked him from the big league playing time that his minor league performance merited for most of the last two seasons, and he should be given a big league opportunity immediately in Chicago. Andrew Benintendi is under contract until… (checking Roster Resource… holy shnikes) until 2027, and so the White Sox have to figure out what they’re going to do about that. Benintendi is not playing well enough to block Vargas.
The other two infielders in the trade, Alexander Albertus and Jeral Perez, were both playing at Low-A Rancho Cucamonga until Albertus was diagnosed with a lower leg fracture a little over a week ago and put on the IL. Albertus’ name has been bandied about each of the last couple trade deadlines because he does stuff that appeals to both scouts and analysts. The soon-to-be 20-year-old infielder is a career .303/.449/.415 hitter (mostly at the rookie level) who puts the bat on the ball and controls the strike zone. He takes a hellacious cut and has been athletic enough to do so while maintaining strikeout rates down in the 14-18% range the last two seasons (MLB average is 22%). As hard as he swings, Albertus doesn’t generate a ton of power and his swing path runs downhill. He’s a much cleaner defensive fit at third base than at shortstop, and he might end up being quite good there. (He’s played all three non-1B infield spots the last couple of seasons.) This is the Yandy Díaz branch of the infield prospect tree (OBP and contact skills, third base fit, less power than you want) where Díaz is what happens when the athlete becomes very, very strong deep into his twenties. Paths to an everyday role will probably require that of Albertus. He is more likely to be a utility guy.
If you want evidence of Albertus’ shot to get strong, look no further than Jeral Perez. Perez has already become much more physical than I would have guessed having watched him a ton in Arizona last year when he was a compact Others of Note-type player in the Dodgers system. He now has average big league raw power at age 19 and, physically, looks maxed out. Perez’s compact build and strong top hand through contact allow him to be on time with regularity, but his feel for moving the barrel around is not great. Though he’s posted above-average contact rates so far, I do worry that he is a candidate to be exposed by better fastballs in the upper minors, ones located on the upper-and-outer quadrant of the strike zone. Perez is a similarly a mixed bag on defense; he has acrobatic actions and can really turn it around once he’s secured the baseball, but he too often struggles to do that. He has flub-prone hands (which will probably get better) and mediocre range (which likely will not as he ages). This is the sort of second baseman who lacks range but who is great around the bag and basically average overall. I like his chances of getting to power enough that I have a priority grade on Perez (a 40+ FV is like a mid-to-late second round prospect in a typical draft), but I consider his profile to have a good amount of risk and variance. This is not the type of athlete who ends up with defensive versatility, so he’s going to have to keep hitting.
You can see how these guys stack in the White Sox system here.
In addition to Edman, the Dodgers also picked up 17-year-old DSL pitcher Oliver Gonzalez in this trade. He had worked 21.1 innings in a piggyback role before the deal. He’s a very projectable 6-foot-4 or so, and his fastball currently sits 89-93 mph with around 20 inches of induced vertical break and just over 7 feet of extension. His curveball has a nice foundation of depth and shape, but he doesn’t have feel for locating it. It’s a pretty good starting spot for any teenage pitching prospect. Again, the draft is a nice way to gauge the way we should think about Gonzalez, who would probably get about $750,000 to $1 million in bonus money. He has been added toward the bottom of the Dodgers list.
Eric Longenhagen is from Catasauqua, PA and currently lives in Tempe, AZ. He spent four years working for the Phillies Triple-A affiliate, two with Baseball Info Solutions and two contributing to prospect coverage at ESPN.com. Previous work can also be found at Sports On Earth, CrashburnAlley and Prospect Insider.
In my OOTP sim, the White Sox acquired Jeral Perez (albeit via Rule 5 Draft a few years from now) and he became a perennial all-star. Safely assuming that sim is our source of truth, the Vancouver Black Diamonds are about to be a formidable dynasty in the 2030s and Mike Trout will reverse age and break the all-time home run record. Exciting things are afoot, everybody.
I’m convinced. Hopefully the White Sox can lock him up to an 8-year, $20 mil deal in true OOTP fashion.:)
This isn’t the worst trade of the deadline for the seller but I don’t like this return at all. Eric says he is down on them, but Eric’s analysis of Vargas looks spot on now and MLB.com has the other two as the 13th and 14th prospects in the system, which is about an FV40+ in Eric’s system.
Is this really the best they could do for a guy who is on pace to top 3 fWAR this season? Kopech and Pham are throw-ins but two FV40+ guys and a post-prospect is not enough.
The throw ins are useful, though. Especially to the buyers. They are worth *something* to them. So the “haul” isn’t just for Fedde. And to add insult to injury, chicago is the one *sending* cash to the cards, not vice-versa.
Never mind how the Dodgers managed the trade, it is the Cards who did the jedi mind trick turning an IL’ed supersub and a DSL rookie into two immediately useful assets. Plus chanpge.
The chisox are essentially getting three projects and none projects to be a sure thing. Surely the O’s offered better?
Pretty sure any well-run FO would have looked at an inter-division trade to the Guardians or Twins before taking that garbage, too. Vargas is inconsistent, low-ceiling, and hurt often, and the other two are lottery tickets. For one of the best SPs on the market? Fleeced like a winter jacket.
I bet fans of every team are saying something similar to this. I know, as a Red Sox fan, I am. I assumed that Fedde alone would have cost one of Mayer, Anthony, or Teel, plus other useful pieces.
I thought it might cost them someone like Kristian Campbell or Miguel Bleis. Yoelin Cespedes and Allan Castro would have been a better return than this.
Which was the worst?
I think the Paredes deal has to be the worst. What were they thinking? Then the Eflin and Fedde deals. They’re both pretty lousy for the seller.
I don’t like the Arozarena deal either for the Rays, but I can maybe squint and see how it could turn out okay if you really like Hopkins.
The return on Eflin’s deal is a bit better than this one because he’s an injury risk (moreso than a typical pitcher). Has been his whole career, so that lowers his value somewhat. He’s also not been as successful this season as Fedde.
Paredes only has a couple months of team control remaining and has some weird underlying questions because of how odd his whole profile is. Sure, pulling balls in the air works, but nobody does it as much and gets as much out of it relative to their contact quality as Paredes does. And he doesn’t have, say, superlative fielding or baserunning to elevate the value at all. Not surprised he didn’t get a great return.
Fedde looks reliable, has not had injury issues, and has another year of team control beyond this one. Then you add in two fringy depth pieces and cash? No chance the other two returns were worse than this one. Maybe if it was for Fedde alone, but not as a totality. They didn’t even get anything back from the Cardinals!
Paredes has quite a few years left of team control
…I don’t know why I thought he was expiring. Fair enough! Still think Fedde/Kopech/Pham/Cash for literal garbage and a pair of scratch-off tickets is worse. Morel and the young pitchers look like a more interesting, potentially useful return. Vargas is just as defensively pigeonholed as Morel, but with much worse offensive upside.
The Paredes deal was super bad. If a player is worth more to the Rays than to other teams then they should hold him and trade other players. The fact that the Cubs traded for a probable 2.5-3 win player is immaterial to the fact that the Rays traded away a 4 win player. Nobody was forcing them to make that trade! They could just keep him. He was under team control for…over three years? They could just keep him and trade away other players whose value to the Rays matched that in the market.
You’re right that the return here is worse in absolute terms, but Paredes is a much more valuable player than Fedde is.
Is he, relative to the needs of acquiring teams and the deals that have been made at the deadline this year? Basically every contender is looking for SPs. Paredes is a 3B/1B only bat with question marks, who is about to get expensive. Fedde is a cost-controlled #3 starter.
Paredes staying with the Rays makes sense in absolute terms as well, but his profile is scary for even them to trust, and they typically can’t afford to pay a Super-2 player, especially not one with good traditional stats, which will typically earn more in arbitration, unless they can sign him to a below-market deal. If they expected him to backslide, or to cost too much for them, it makes sense to trade him now. His market would obviously be suppressed by his profile, but that was always going to be a factor.
I’m not saying the Paredes trade was a good deal, I agree with you that it wasn’t. But it’s not as bad relative to this monstrosity. The Sox could not have been shafted much harder if they’d used a cargo ship’s propeller screw.
On a two year 15 mil deal no less, and the Sox are sending cash to the Cards. The throw ins are useful. It’s surprising that someone that already has major league service time that hasn’t performed well is the route they choose.
Have you heard of Dominic Fletcher?
Given the general feeling that this is a light return for the White Sox, I’ve been wondering “how does this happen?” There are really only a few possibilities.
I’m going to propose a variant of your third explanation. I have been reading weird rumors that Getz has been focused on players who are either:
1) Effectively major-league ready (Westburg with the Orioles last offseason, Jordan Walker in the Fedde trade, etc)
2) Are are seen as having “high upside” regardless of distance to the majors.
You can see how these three players fit those criteria. Young players holding their own in full-season ball at premium defensive positions, plus a former top prospect who already has MLB experience.
I think they had a fixed idea of what type of prospects / players they wanted and that it was more important than getting the best talent. It’s a triumph of “strategy” over “scouting”, and a particularly narrow way to run a team.
By the way, I have never understood why a seller doesn’t want to trade within the division. If the White Sox trade Fedde for someone from the Guardians that they like, the Guardians get better now at the expense of later. It doesn’t matter to the Guardians are better now, and they should be happy that the Guardians have less talent to make trades later when the White Sox might be good again. Maybe the White Sox are just never planning to be good.
That was exactly my thought. A package of Brito/Tena/Parker Messick/Rafael Ramirez beats this trade easy. Certainly, the Twins could also offer more.
Yes, this was exactly my point. The White Sox aren’t catching Cleveland (or anybody else) this year, but if they can deprive Cleveland of someone who will be good 3 or 4 years down the road, that might help them beyond just having a good player for themselves. Even if they just deprive Cleveland of having that player to trade for other assets in the future, that benefits them. I agree that I don’t understand why more teams don’t see it that way.
Besides that, with the more balanced schedule and multiple wild cards, you really are competing with your whole league to make the playoffs, not just your division.
This looks like a decidedly underwhelming return for Fedde and Pham.
For context, compare this return to what Jays got for 2 months of Kikuchi:
Bloss, 23, 50 FV SP
Loperfido, 25, 45 FV OF
Wagner, 25,35+ FV 2B/3B
vs
Vargas, 24, former 50 FV SS, 5 years of control left
Perez, 19, 40+ FV 2B
Albertus, 19 yo, 40 FV 3B
That looks reasonably close until you consider:
I would have thought for sure the White Sox would have landed some top 50, highly touted prospect + additional pieces for Fedde. This feels quite underwhelming.
Also consider that Vargas isn’t actually a shortstop, imo. He doesn’t look like he’ll be anything but LF, possibly low-defense 3B. He’s a decent straight-line runner but his agility is pretty much nil.
Well that’s even worse!
Hell, the Nationals’ return for 1.5 years of Lane Thomas is arguably better than what the ChiSox got here.
The Nats got three 40+, a 23 year old ready to go if and two 19 year olds, for 1.5 years of Lane Thomas. By himself.
It would look like a salary dump except they’re *sending* money to the cards.
?????
I think it’s worth considering that Bloss and Loperfido had less trade value than the FG grades put out there. I thought Bloss was more like a 45+ and Loperfido more like a 40+.
…and even with that, it still is probably better than what the White Sox. Vargas is a Quad-A player…I don’t think he has much value at all. It’s crazy that this is the best return that the White Sox could get for him.
Good points. I was trying to just use the FV grades to simplify, but you are probably right.
Good lord that Benitendi contract is awful
Over on MLB network, they floated the idea that experienced GMs can take advantage of rookie GMs in the last hour by knowing they *have* to move the rentals and sell-high guys.
A bit dubious but the Chisox still had a whole day to seek a better deal.
Of the floated explanations above I lean towards both: they undervalued their own guys (since the team is doing poorly) and they overvalued the Dodgers prospects by comaring them to their own farm.