2018 Top 100 Prospects

Below is our list of the top-100 prospects in baseball. Scouting summaries were compiled with information provided by available data, industry sources, as well as from our own observations.

Note that prospects are ranked by number but also lie within tiers demarcated by their Future Value grades. The FV grade is more important than the ordinal rankings. For example, the gap between prospect No. 5 on this list, Fernando Tatis Jr., and prospect No. 35, Corbin Burnes, is 30 spots, and there’s a substantial difference in talent there. The gap between Ke’Bryan Hayes (No. 56) and Leody Taveras (No. 86), meanwhile, is also 30 numerical places, but the difference in talent is relatively small. Below the list is a brief rundown of names of 50 FV prospects who didn’t make the 100. This same comparative principle applies to them.

As a quick explanation, variance means the range of possible outcomes in the big leagues, in terms of peak season. If we feel like a prospect could reasonably have a best big league season of anywhere from one to five wins/WAR, then that would be “high” whereas someone like Colin Moran where it’s something like two to three wins/WAR is “low.” High variance can be read as good since it allows for lots of ceiling, or bad since it allows for a lower floor. Your risk tolerance could lead you to sort by variance within a given FV tier if you feel strongly about variance. Here is a primer about the connection between FV and WAR.

We think arguments can be made as to how you line up the players in a given tier (and we had plenty of those arguments), but we arranged them as we did for reasons about which you can inquire in Tuesday’s chat, which starts at Noon ET.

2018 Top 100 Prospects
Rk Name Team Age Position FV Variance
1 Shohei Ohtani LAA 23 RHP/RF 70 Low
2 Ronald Acuna ATL 20 CF 65 Low
3 Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. TOR 18 1B 65 Low
4 Victor Robles WAS 20 CF 65 Low
5 Fernando Tatis, Jr. SD 19 3B 65 Med
6 Eloy Jimenez CHW 20 RF 65 Med
7 Nick Senzel CIN 21 3B 60 Low
8 Forrest Whitley HOU 20 RHP 60 Med
9 Bo Bichette TOR 19 2B 60 Med
10 Kyle Tucker HOU 21 RF 60 Low
11 Willy Adames TB 22 SS 60 Low
12 Gleyber Torres NYY 21 SS 60 Low
13 Lewis Brinson MIA 23 CF 60 Med
14 Miguel Andujar NYY 22 3B 60 Med
15 Brent Honeywell TB 22 RHP 60 Low
16 Alex Reyes STL 23 RHP 60 Med
17 Francisco Mejia CLE 22 C/3B 60 High
18 Brendan Rodgers COL 21 SS 60 Med
19 Sixto Sanchez PHI 19 RHP 60 Med
20 Michael Kopech CHW 21 RHP 60 Med
21 Luis Robert CHW 20 CF 60 High
22 Brendan McKay TB 22 LHP/1B 60 Med
23 Mitch Keller PIT 21 RHP 60 Med
24 Keston Hiura MIL 21 2B 55 Med
25 Scott Kingery PHI 23 2B 55 Low
26 Kyle Wright ATL 22 RHP 55 Med
27 Walker Buehler LA 23 RHP 55 Med
28 Luis Urias SD 20 2B 55 Low
29 J.P. Crawford PHI 23 SS 55 Low
30 A.J. Puk OAK 22 LHP 55 Med
Rk Name Team Age Position FV Variance
31 Luiz Gohara ATL 21 LHP 55 Med
32 Franklin Barreto OAK 21 CF 55 Med
33 MacKenzie Gore SD 18 LHP 55 Med
34 Mike Soroka ATL 20 RHP 55 Low
35 Corbin Burnes MIL 23 RHP 55 Med
36 Anthony Alford TOR 22 CF 55 Med
37 Cristian Pache ATL 19 CF 55 High
38 Royce Lewis MIN 18 CF 55 High
39 Justus Sheffield NYY 21 LHP 55 Low
40 Carter Kieboom WAS 20 3B 55 Med
41 Michel Baez SD 22 RHP 55 High
42 Hunter Greene CIN 18 RHP 55 High
43 Jake Bauers TB 22 RF 50 Low
44 Yordan Alvarez HOU 20 LF 50 Med
45 Ian Anderson ATL 19 RHP 50 Med
46 Willie Calhoun TEX 23 DH 50 Low
47 Austin Meadows PIT 22 LF 50 Low
48 Alex Verdugo LA 20 RF 50 Low
49 Jesus Sanchez TB 20 RF 50 High
50 Juan Soto WAS 19 RF 50 Med
51 Triston McKenzie CLE 20 RHP 50 Med
52 Monte Harrison MIA 22 CF 50 High
53 Colin Moran PIT 25 3B 50 Low
54 Yadier Alvarez LA 21 RHP 50 High
55 Austin Riley ATL 20 3B 50 Med
56 Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT 20 3B 50 Med
57 Taylor Trammell CIN 20 CF 50 Med
58 Jorge Mateo OAK 22 CF 50 High
59 Albert Abreu NYY 22 RHP 50 High
60 Touki Toussaint ATL 21 RHP 50 High
Rk Name Team Age Position FV Variance
61 Tyler O’Neill STL 22 RF 50 Med
62 Anderson Espinoza SD 19 RHP 50 High
63 Dustin Fowler OAK 23 CF 50 Low
64 Will Smith LA 22 C 50 Med
65 Jack Flaherty STL 22 RHP 50 Low
66 Jo Adell LAA 18 RF 50 High
67 Jorge Guzman MIA 22 RHP 50 High
68 Tristen Lutz MIL 19 RF 50 High
69 Jahmai Jones LAA 20 CF 50 Low
70 Jesus Luzardo OAK 20 LHP 50 Med
71 Danny Jansen TOR 22 C 50 Low
72 Alec Hansen CHW 23 RHP 50 High
73 Adonis Medina PHI 21 RHP 50 Med
74 Cole Tucker PIT 21 SS 50 Med
75 Riley Pint COL 20 RHP 50 High
76 Nate Pearson TOR 21 RHP 50 High
77 Nick Gordon MIN 22 SS 50 Low
78 Max Fried ATL 24 LHP 50 Med
79 Estevan Florial NYY 20 CF 50 High
80 Yu-Cheng Chang CLE 22 SS 50 Med
81 Sean Murphy OAK 23 C 50 High
82 Brian Anderson MIA 24 3B 50 Low
83 Ryan McMahon COL 23 1B 50 Low
84 Joey Wentz ATL 20 LHP 50 Med
85 Carson Kelly STL 23 C 50 Low
86 Leody Taveras TEX 19 CF 50 Med
87 Isan Diaz MIA 21 2B 50 Med
88 Jon Duplantier ARI 23 RHP 50 Med
89 Zack Burdi CHW 22 RHP 50 Med
90 Austin Hays BAL 22 RF 50 Med
Rk Name Team Age Position FV Variance
91 Zack Collins CHW 22 1B 50 Low
92 Bobby Bradley CLE 21 1B 50 Med
93 Jose Siri CIN 22 CF 50 High
94 Braxton Garrett MIA 20 LHP 50 High
95 Michael Chavis BOS 22 1B 50 Med
96 Cole Ragans TEX 20 LHP 50 Med
97 Brandon Marsh LAA 20 CF 50 High
98 Jay Groome BOS 19 LHP 50 High
99 Alex Kirilloff MIN 20 RF 50 Med
100 Franklin Perez DET 20 RHP 50 Med

70 FV Prospects

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1. Shohei Ohtani, RHP/RF, LAA
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2017 from Japan
Age 22 Height 6’2 Weight 203 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Splitter Command
80/80 55/60 50/50 70/70 45/55
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/40 70/70 50/55 60/60 40/50 80/80

Scouting Summary
Ohtani has prototypical size, athleticism, and stuff, sitting in the upper-90s with a bevy of plus (or better) secondary offerings, the best of which is a dominant splitter. He didn’t pitch much last year due to a rash of mostly non-arm injuries. He’ll be in the big leagues immediately and projects as a frontline starter who may also provide some value with the bat, though there’s skepticism about his ability to hit big-league pitching if he’s only seeing it a couple times a week. That said, he has plus-plus raw power, so he’s sure to hit a few tape-measure shots, even if his contact ability is an open question.

65 FV Prospects

2. Ronald Acuna, CF, ATL
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Venezuela
Age 19 Height 6’0 Weight 180 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/55 65/70 50/65 60/55 45/50 70/70

Scouting Summary
In 2017, Acuna made the leap from scout favorite and known toolshed with limited experience in Low-A to one of the top prospects in baseball. He demolished High-A, Double-A, and Triple-A as a 19-year-old, performing even better at each level, a near unprecedented performance. He will be the Braves’ starting right or left fielder (in deference to Ender Inciarte in center) in the first half of 2018 and projects for a peak season of at least four wins with about the lowest risk/variance a 20-year-old can offer.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic
Age 18 Height 6’1 Weight 200 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/65 65/70 40/70 40/30 40/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Guerrero was identified as an elite talent for his age years before the Jays signed him at age 16, evident from a similar advanced feel for hitting and raw power of his father. Unlike his Hall of Fame father, Vlad Jr. has generally developed earlier — physically looking too big for third base as a teenager and polishing his tools at a very young stage. Whether Vlad Jr. settles as a fringey third baseman or a first basemen/designated hitter is up for debate, but his easy plus hit and power tools (with ceiling for more) are not and will make his ascent to the big leagues a quick one.

4. Victor Robles, CF, WAS
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Dominican Republic
Age 20 Height 6’0 Weight 185 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
55/70 45/50 35/45 70/70 60/70 70/70

Scouting Summary
He’s barely played a month above A-ball, but Robles looked ready for the big leagues in 2017 and got a brief cup of coffee before finishing his season in the Arizona Fall League. He’s a polished, instinctive player capable of making an impact in every facet of baseball. Robles has great feel for all-fields contact and sneaky power for his size, which manifests itself in doubles and triples. He’s also a potential Gold Glove center fielder with breathtaking range and arm strength, and he was easily the best baserunner in the AFL, which featuers a pretty advanced group of prospects. Andrew McCutchen comps have been pretty common here because Robles has a similar build and swing, but from a skillset perspective, Robles looks more like Lorenzo Cain. He’s a likely star and arguably the most polished prospect on this list.

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic
Age 18 Height 6’3 Weight 185 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/55 60/70 40/60 55/45 50/55 60/60

Scouting Summary
Scouts in the U.S. became enamored of Tatis during 2016 extended spring training in Arizona, and San Diego poached him from the White Sox before he had even suited up for a professional game. He was sent to full-season Fort Wayne as an 18-year-old in 2017 and hit .280/.390/.520 with 20 homers and steals and, perhaps most impressively for his age, a 14.5% walk rate. He also flashes occasional acrobatic brilliance at shortstop, though scouts are not unanimous about his long-term prospects there because of the size of Tatis’s frame.

6. Eloy Jimenez, RF, CHW
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Dominican Republic
Age 20 Height 6’4 Weight 205 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/50 70/80 50/70 45/40 45/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Jimenez was largely compared head to head with SS Gleyber Torres (No. 11 on this list) as the top talents in the loaded 2013 July 2nd class. (Victor Robles and Ozzie Albies were much lower regarded at the time). Both players signed with the Cubs, then later were traded as headliners in blockbuster trades for Aroldis Chapman and Jose Quintana. Jimenez has developed as expected, already showing 70 game power due to a rare feel for hitting — especially for a prospect with potential 80 raw power — along with a rare level of athleticism that allows him to play a solid right field. It’s a combination present in players like Giancarlo Stanton and Aaron Judge.

60 FV Prospects

7. Nick Senzel, 3B, CIN
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Tennessee
Age 22 Height 6’1 Weight 205 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
55/70 55/55 40/55 55/50 45/55 55/55

Scouting Summary
One of the toughest outs in the minors, Senzel combines a patient, discerning offensive approach with a simple swing, superlative hand-eye coordination, and bat control. He’s an opportunistic power hitter who has shown dramatic improvement at third base over the last two years (he was not good at 3B as a sophormore at Tennessee) and is working to expand his defensive resume to accelerate his timetable to Cincinnati with Eugenio Suarez currently occupying third. He’ll likely be up in 2018 and should make an offensive impact immediately.

8. Forrest Whitley, RHP, HOU
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Alamo Heights HS (TX)
Age 19 Height 6’7 Weight 240 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Cutter Command
70/70 55/60 60/60 55/60 50/55 45/55

Scouting Summary
When Whitley remade his physique during his senior year of high school, his stuff and command both ticked up and they’ve continued to do so. He now sits 93-97. Whitley’s size and delivery creates good angle up and down in the zone, and he can sink or cut his fastball if he wants to. He has a knee-buckling curveball, a hard slider, and a burgeoning changeup that has quickly developed into a plus pitch. Whitley’s delivery is a bit violent, but he throws strikes and already has impressive control for a pitcher this size, age, and with this kind of stuff. He has ace ceiling.

9. Bo Bichette, 2B, TOR
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2016 from Lakewood HS (FL)
Age 19 Height 6’0 Weight 200 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/50 65/70 40/60 45/45 45/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
Bichette was a well-known prospect in high school due to his bloodlines (father Dante and older brother, Yankees first-rounder Dante Jr.), his big tools (plus raw power), and his loud, max-effort swing. Many teams didn’t take him seriously as a top-two-rounds prospect, partly souring after his brother busted with a similar swing. That said, Bo has rare bat and body control along with good enough pitch selection to make his approach work, something his older brother did not. Bichette is playing shortstop now and likely will not at higher levels, with second base the most likely fit, but he has the tools to play any corner position and his bat profiles anywhere.

10. Kyle Tucker, RF, HOU
Drafted: 1st Round, 2015 from Plant HS (FL)
Age 20 Height 6’4 Weight 190 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/65 65/65 40/60 45/40 40/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
The player-evaluation side of the industry doesn’t anticipate Tucker will remain in center field for very long and wasn’t particularly enthused by his Fall League effort, but he’s going to hit and, if last year’s launch-angle uptick is any indication, he’s going to hit for power. Tucker was a flat-planed, hit-first prospect in high school who scouts hoped would grow into power. Instead, it seems Tucker and Houston have taken advantage of his natural bat control and engineered a more power-friendly swing. He’s had success through Double-A at age 20 and is likely to mature into a middle-of-the-order threat.

11. Willy Adames, SS, TB
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Dominican Republic
Age 21 Height 6’0 Weight 200 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
45/55 55/55 45/55 45/40 45/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
He doesn’t have jaw-dropping physical tools, but Adames has a well-rounded offensive skillset, a long track record of above-average offensive performance while being young for his level, and competent shortstop ability. Adames’ frame is maxed out and he’s not likely to grow into much more power without better incorporating his lower half into his swing, but he’ll hit plenty of doubles and reach base at an above-average clip. Even with Tim Beckham’s departure, the shortstop picture in St. Petersburg is crowded by Adeiny Hechavarria, Matt Duffy, Daniel Robertson, Christian Arroyo, and, some would say, Joey Wendle. It’s worth noting that Adames got his first in-game reps at second base last year. He’ll likely debut in 2018 and his bat will play at second base or shortstop.

12. Gleyber Torres, SS, NYY
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Venezuela
Age 20 Height 6’1 Weight 175 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/55 55/60 40/55 50/40 40/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
Torres was seen as one of the top two players in his July 2nd class (along with No. 6 on this list, RF Eloy Jimenez), with Torres the prototypical Venezuelan shortstop, featuring advanced feel for all aspects but no flashy plus tool. He’s developed largely as expected, no small feat for a celebrated 15-year-old, with his physicality and game power the biggest change in the last few years. This has gone along with some scouts questioning if he fits better at second or third base long-term, but Torres’s bat will profile anywhere in the dirt, and he’s big-league ready once he’s fully recovered from Tommy John surgery last June.

13. Lewis Brinson, CF, MIA
Drafted: 1st Round, 2012 from Coral Springs HS (FL)
Age 23 Height 6’3 Weight 195 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/50 65/65 50/60 60/55 50/55 60/60

Scouting Summary
Brinson has tracked as well as scouts could have hoped when he was a gangly, unrefined amateur outfielder. He’s shown an ability to make mechanical adjustments and has now performed up through Triple-A, reducing his once concerning strikeout rate as he has climbed the minor-league ladder. He’ll likely get plenty of playing time with Miami in 2018 and, though he make take some time to adjust to big-league pitching, hit for plus power while playing center field.

14. Miguel Andujar, 3B, NYY
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2011 from Dominican Republic
Age 22 Height 6’0 Weight 175 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
45/55 60/60 45/55 55/50 45/55 70/70

Scouting Summary
Andujar has tantalized scouts since early in his pro career with a strong, athletic frame and flashy tools that are above average to plus across the board. He largely was seen as potential, even passed over by all 30 teams in the Rule 5 Draft after the 2015 season, then he broke out in a huge way in 2017, reaching a critical mass of adjustments and maturity that showed up in the counting stats.

Andujar has cut down on his swing-and-miss while also lifting the ball more and hitting it with more authority, an obviously rare and desirable combination when you’re already working with a toolsy prospect who was always young for his level. There’s still some lingering maturity questions and mental lapses on defense, but that didn’t stop the Pirates and other clubs from demanding Andujar in recent trade talks with the Yankees, who refused to discuss him.

15. Brent Honeywell, RHP, TB
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2014 from Walters St CC
Age 22 Height 6’2 Weight 180 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Splitter Cutter Command
60/60 50/55 60/65 55/55 45/50 50/55

Scouting Summary
Honeywell’s kitchen-sink repertoire is headlined by a potential plus-plus changeup, but he also has a quality curveball, cutter, and mid-90s fastball. He can throw just about any pitch in any count and has at least average command right now despite some mechanical inconsistency. He had a 172:35 strikeout-to-walk ratio at Triple-A last year and probably deserved to be in the majors. He’ll get there this year and projects as a No. 3 starter.

16. Alex Reyes, RHP, STL
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Dominican Republlic
Age 22 Height 6’3 Weight 175 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
70/70 50/50 65/65 55/60 45/50

Scouting Summary
Reyes had Tommy John early during spring training of 2017 and didn’t pitch all year. He’ll probably spend some time in the Cardinals bullpen to control his season-long workload coming off of surgery, but his stuff — plus-plus fastball, curveball, and plus changeup — belong at the top of a rotation.

17. Francisco Mejia, C/3B, CLE
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Dominican Republic
Age 21 Height 5’10 Weight 180 Bat/Throw B/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/60 55/55 30/50 50/45 40/45 80/80

Scouting Summary
Mejia wasn’t/isn’t a lost cause as a defensive catching prospect, but his bat is almost ready for the big leagues and this prompted a move to third base during the Arizona Fall League to accelerate his timetable to Cleveland. He certainly has the arm for third. It’s an 80-grade howitzer that elicited audible gasps from AFL crowds. His hands and footwork at third remain a work in progress.

Mejia’s swing isn’t graceful or attractive, but he finds ways to get the bat head to the baseball and hit the ball hard. He has elite hand-eye coordination and bat control. He’s a little too aggressive at the plate, so the OBP and game power might both play down if he doesn’t become more selective, and we’re in wait-and-see mode on the defense.

18. Brendan Rodgers, SS, COL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2015 from Lake Mary HS (FL)
Age 20 Height 6’0 Weight 180 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/50 60/60 40/55 50/45 40/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
After demolishing the Cal League (as was expected), Rodgers had a solid 38-game run at Double-A. He turned 21 in August. He’s hit everywhere he’s been since high school and continues to look fine, if unspectacular, at shortstop. He’s above average in every way at the plate (the bat control, power, feel for opposite-field contact, ability to punish mistakes), which means he’s got a good chance to be an All Star if he stays at shortstop, and it looks like he’s going to.

19. Sixto Sanchez, RHP, PHI
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Dominican Republic
Age 18 Height 6’0 Weight 185 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
70/70 45/50 50/55 55/65 45/55

Scouting Summary
Hitters like to shorten up against Sixto after he’s blown well-placed, sinking, upper-90s gas past them for strikes one and two, which leaves them vulnerable to any of his three viable secondary offerings later in at-bats. Sanchez sits 95-99 and has touched 102 with advanced command. He has a long, cutting slider in the mid-80s and a two-plane curveball, both of which flash above average, but his best secondary is a ghosting, mid-80s changeup that embarrassed hitters five years older than Sanchez in High-A last year.

He’s just 6-foot so you’re not projecting on the fastball, but it’s already so hard that it doesn’t matter. Scouts want to see release consistency deeper into games (and, in general, when Sanchez throws his breaking balls), but he’s athletic and has only been pitching full time for three years, so there’s reason to believe he’ll improve.

20. Michael Kopech, RHP, CHW
Drafted: 1st Round, 2014 from Mt. Pleasant HS (TX)
Age 21 Height 6’3 Weight 205 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command
70/70 50/60 45/55 40/45

Scouting Summary
Kopech was frustrating for scouts earlier in his high-school career, as his quick arm was obscured by a long arm action and inconsistent delivery that led to inconsistent secondary pitches and command. Just before the draft, his quick arm sped up even quicker, and early in pro ball, he was able to make his arm action a little shorter, unlocking perhaps the best fastball in the minor leagues. Depending on the gun, Kopech tops out at 102 or 105 mph and his plus slider gives him a clear second weapon. As you may guess, there’s some command concerns, his changeup is still inconsistent, and there’s natural health questions simply because throwing that hard puts a greater level of stress on an arm. He’s now performed at the upper level and is ready to fine-tune his game with a big-league look in 2018.

21. Luis Robert, CF, CHW
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2017 from Cuba
Age 19 Height 6’3 Weight 185 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/50 65/65 30/55 60/60 45/55 60/60

Scouting Summary
Chicago signed Robert for $26 million just weeks before the new CBA put a hard cap on international spending. He had been of interest to international scouts for several years because of his raw power and speed. About a year before he signed, Robert looked heavy and sluggish on tour with the Cuban national team, but by the time he defected and was ready to work out for teams, he had transformed his physique and put on an absolute show in private workouts, showing plus straight-line speed and power during BP. Robert doesn’t have great bat control and his ability to get the bat to the baseball might be limited, but there’s enough going on here that he has a chance to be a star anyway. If the bat does come, he’ll be a five-tool monster.

22. Brendan McKay, LHP/1B, TB
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from Louisville
Age 21 Height 6’2 Weight 212 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
50/55 55/60 50/55 40/50
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/55 65/65 35/55 35/30 45/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
McKay is an incredibly rare prospect, in that he would make this top-100 list as both a hitter and pitcher, and was a top-10 prospect in the 2017 draft both ways as well. He’s stood out both at the plate and on the mound since high school, and scouts laud his makeup, in that he improved at both roles at Louisville while also serving as a team leader. He also managed the fatigue and preparation necessary to be the staff ace once a week while hitting in the middle of the lineup everyday for three straight years on a top program.

He was generally seen as a pitcher first until scouts bore down on him last year. Many saw greater potential at the plate — a role to which he admittedly didn’t commit as much time — dreaming on a 60 bat/power combination. The Rays will let him continue to develop both ways but appear to prefer him as a first baseman. There’s myriad ways to deploy his talent, but the most likely seems to be everyday first baseman with the ability to throw a couple innings a week (with three 55-60 pitches that could play up in short stints) and slide into the DH spot to rest his arm.

23. Mitch Keller, RHP, PIT
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2014 from Xavier HS (IA)
Age 21 Height 6’3 Weight 195 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
60/65 55/65 40/45 50/60

Scouting Summary
Keller is still without a good changeup, but his ability to locate a mid-90s fastball and spin a plus curveball makes up a very promising mid-rotation foundation. He spent 2017 at Double-A and has an outside shot to debut in Pittsburgh this year, but the Pirates’ competitive standing in the NL Central and Keller’s need to develop a third pitch might push him to 2019.

55 FV Prospects

24. Keston Hiura, 2B, MIL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from UC Irvine
Age 20 Height 5’11 Weight 190 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/60 55/55 40/55 50/50 40/50 40/40

Scouting Summary
Most premium college hitters are viewed as “safer” draft prospects, but Hiura had an arm issue that prevented him from playing defense while he was scouted. A PRP injection had him back at second base late last year. Hiura is an advanced hitter with lightning-quick hands and surprising power for his size. He projects as a plus hitter with above-average power, which could make him an All-Star at second base, assuming all is well with the arm and he’s able to stay there.

25. Scott Kingery, 2B, PHI
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2015 from Arizona
Age 23 Height 5’10 Weight 180 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/60 50/50 40/50 70/70 60/65 45/45

Scouting Summary
A minor mechanical tweak unlocked some of Kingery’s previously undiscovered raw power last year, and he hit 26 home runs between Double and Triple-A. Some of that was due to the hitting environment in Reading, but scouts think the power uptick is real. Kingery already had a chance to be an everyday player because of his superlative bat-to-ball ability, speed, and plus-plus defense at second base. With the power folded in, he’s a potential star. Whether or not he debuts in Philly this year could depend on a Cesar Hernandez trade, but he’s probably ready.

26. Kyle Wright, RHP, ATL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from Vanderbilt
Age 22 Height 6’4 Weight 200 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
55/60 55/60 50/55 45/50 45/50

Scouting Summary
Wright was a tough sign out of an Alabama high school in 2014 due to a Vanderbilt commitment and the Braves made a significant offer that came up just short, but they got their man with the fifth overall pick in 2017 after a dominating three-year career in Nashville. Wright had a rocky start in 2017, only finding a more natural arm slot weeks before the draft by taking grounders at shortstop. He pitched 95-99 mph for the first half of a start against Arkansas a few weeks later and hasn’t looked back since; he likely won’t spend long in the minor leagues and should join the Braves’ young pitching in the majors at some point in 2018.

27. Walker Buehler, RHP, LA
Drafted: 1st Round, 2015 from Vanderbilt
Age 22 Height 6’2 Weight 175 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
70/70 55/55 55/60 45/50 45/50

Scouting Summary
Buehler roared back from Tommy John in 2016 and sat 96-99 with a plus curveball and slider/cutter in his first outing back from surgery. He only threw five affiliated innings, but the Dodgers immediately began internal conversations about how to get him to the big leagues in 2017. They did, and after a late-summer move to the bullpen, Buehler got a nine-inning September espresso. There are some who think Buehler’s ultimate role will be that of the prophesied, dominant multi-inning reliever because his command is fringey, he’s already had a surgery, and he’s an undersized guy with a longer arm action. His three-pitch mix is unique for a starter but enough to justify continued development in a rotation, and the fallback option isn’t all that bad.

28. Luis Urias, 2B, SD
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Mexico
Age 20 Height 5’9 Weight 160 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/65 40/45 20/35 50/50 50/55 50/50

Scouting Summary
Urias’s strikeout rate doubled in 2017 and was still so low that it would have ranked him in the top 15 among qualified MLB hitters. He has sublime feel for contact, adjusting the barrel to where it needs to be, when it needs to be there. His track record of excellent hitting suggests it’s going to continue. Urias changed his leg kick’s tempo in 2017 but didn’t produce more fly balls or power, and he doesn’t project to do either. Popless second basemen need to hit like Dee Gordon or Cesar Hernandez to profile as above-average regulars, but it looks like Urias is going to do that.

29. J.P. Crawford, SS, PHI
Drafted: 1st Round, 2013 from Lakewood HS (CA)
Age 22 Height 6’2 Weight 180 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/55 50/50 35/45 50/50 50/55 60/60

Scouting Summary
Crawford’s first month of the season was such a disaster that scouts thought he was either hurt or extremely bored. He hit well in July and August and earned a September call-up, during which he played great defense all over the infield. Crawford has issues getting to balls away from him and probably won’t hit for much power, but he’s very patient and could reach base enough to hit at the top of a lineup. He’s only an average runner, but he’s also a very gifted athlete with a plus arm and a quick transfer. Crawford can make strong throws to first from all kinds of difficult platforms and projects as a plus defensive shortstop. Table-setting defensive wizards are pretty rare. He could go .270/.340/.400 with 12-15 homers. The Freddy Galvis trade paves the way for playing time immediately.

30. A.J. Puk, LHP, OAK
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Florida
Age 22 Height 6’7 Weight 220 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
60/65 60/60 55/60 55/60 45/50

Scouting Summary
Puk had back issues in college and scouts weren’t enamored of his conditioning, but he had premium velocity, a plus slider, and he performed against SEC hitters. He somewhat surprisingly fell to Oakland’s sixth overall selection in the 2016 draft. Reports were even stronger in 2017.

Puk is remarkably athletic for his size, and he’s more balanced throughout his delivery now than he was in college. His command has improved and now projects to average or a tick above. Puk also rebooted a curveball he had shelved at Florida and is flashing a plus changeup at times. He’s going to have command of four above-average or better pitches and rare lefty starter velocity. He has No. 2/3 starter ceiling and could reach Oakland this year.

31. Luiz Gohara, LHP, ATL
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Brazil
Age 20 Height 6’3 Weight 210 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command
60/60 55/60 45/50 45/50

Scouting Summary
Like many players on this list, Gohara was identified very early as an elite prospect, even coming from a non-baseball hotbed like Brazil, catching scouts’ eyes around age 14. The Mariners made him the highest paid pitcher in the 2012 July 2nd class and Gohara’s development was slower than expected, dogged by maturity and weight concerns until a trade to Atlanta before the 2017 season. Gohara is still drawing CC Sabathia physical comps and will need to watch his weight, but he shot from High-A to the big leagues in 2017, invigorated by the change of scenery and the deadly combo of his mid-90s fastball and plus slider. Gohara is likely the Braves’ fourth starter to begin the 2018 season.

32. Franklin Barreto, CF, OAK
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Venezuela
Age 21 Height 5’10 Weight 190 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/55 60/60 45/55 60/60 40/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
The small-sample struggles Barreto experienced during his brief big-league debut are even less worrisome when you consider he was the age of a typical college junior. He has plus bat speed and raw power and a long track record of offensive success dating back to his age-17 season. If anything will limit Barreto’s offensive output, it’ll be his shoddy pitch selection, but most think Barreto is going to hit and hit for power and play an up-the-middle position (though probably not shortstop), so there’s some room for his OBP to breath. We’d like to see him in center field but think he could be a 45 or 50 at second base.

33. MacKenzie Gore, LHP, SD
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from Whiteville HS (NC)
Age 18 Height 6’3 Weight 180 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
55/55 45/50 50/55 50/60 45/60

Scouting Summary
You can’t truly appreciate Gore’s subtle excellence in a showcase environment, so his one- or two-inning outings the summer before his senior year left him in the draft’s second-round picture. When decision-makers saw him commanding his entire arsenal like an advanced college arm and reaching back for peak velocity late in starts the following spring, his stock exploded. Gore doesn’t have a dominant fastball, nor does he project to, but he’ll touch 95 and has remarkable command of it, as well as command of his slider, curveball, and changeup. His unique delivery requires elite athleticism to repeat, but Gore does it and he projects to have plus command. He’s a polished high-school arm who should move quickly, projecting as a No. 3 starter.

34. Mike Soroka, RHP, ATL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2015 from Bishop Carroll HS (CAN)
Age 19 Height 6’5 Weight 225 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command
55/55 55/55 50/55 45/55

Scouting Summary
The Canadian righty has a background playing hockey and has the frame and demeanor to be a defenseman in the NHL. The Braves challenged the polished sinker/slider standout with a 2017 assignment to Double-A at age 19. He excelled while also developing a changeup that was above average to plus to match his high-spin-rate two-plane breaking ball. Soroka likely gets an MLB look in 2018 at age 20, and while the upside isn’t frontline (he sits just 90-94 mph), you could argue everything he does is above average to plus.

35. Corbin Burnes, RHP, MIL
Drafted: 4th Round, 2016 from St. Mary’s
Age 22 Height 6’3 Weight 205 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
55/55 55/60 50/55 45/50 50/60

Scouting Summary
A new position on the rubber and a more evenly paced delivery helped Burnes pound away at the glove-side corner of the strike zone with precision in 2017. His slider’s movement and his high-spin fastball’s natural cut play well together there, both away from righties and down-and-in against lefties. It helped him reach and have success at Double-A, and an aggressively competitive Brewers club might need him at some point this year. Burnes’ curveball flashes plus, too, and he’s a terrific athlete and fiery competitor. He’s a near-ready above-average big-league starter.

36. Anthony Alford, CF, TOR
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2012 from Petal HS (MS)
Age 22 Height 6’1 Weight 215 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/45 60/60 40/50 70/70 50/60 40/40

Scouting Summary
Alford was a buzzy prospect in high school, coveted for his rare power/speed combo and overall athleticism, becoming more intriguing due to his limited baseball reps as he pursued a football career at Ole Miss and Southern Miss. The Blue Jays signed him out of high school to own his rights if football didn’t work out. They were happy when he hit the ground running as a full-time baseball player at age 20, exhibiting a surprising amount of polish, (especially for pitch selection) for a kid who had never fully committed himself to baseball before. The tools are still flashy and he profiles as a well-rounded everyday center fielder who likely gets an extended big-league look at some point in 2018.

37. Cristian Pache, CF, ATL
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic
Age 19 Height 6’2 Weight 185 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
20/55 55/55 20/40 80/80 70/80 70/70

Scouting Summary
Pache drew a $1.5 million bonus as a 16-year-old in 2015. He’s a perfect example of the reward in signing a top July 2nd prospect, as his tools have taken a huge step forward since signing: his run grade jumped from 60 to 80, his arm from 60 to 70, his raw power from 45 to 55, while he’s also become arguably the best defender at any position in all of minor-league baseball.

The only issue for Pache is tweaking the mechanics of his swing. He needs to lift the ball more and have a stronger base to tap into some of his power and allow his athleticism to play. These are fixable things, he’s just turned 19, he has plenty of hitting tools to survive until this point on them alone. The Braves rave about his makeup and coachability, while his athleticism would be world class in any sport. With little improvement, he’s a Kevin Pillar two- or three-win type defensive specialist and his upside is a six-plus-win type perennial All-Star.

38. Royce Lewis, CF, MIN
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from JSerra HS (CA)
Age 18 Height 6’2 Weight 188 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/55 50/55 25/50 60/60 45/55 55/55

Scouting Summary
Lewis was one of the best players on the summer showcase circuit in 2016, showing a rare combo of hit, power, and speed tools, though it was unclear if he fit better in the infield or center field. He had an up-and-down spring for his high school, but the raw tools were still present, helping him go No. 1 overall in a year without a clearcut top prospect. Scouts still largely think Lewis’s tools play best in center field long-term and he performed even better than expected in his pro debut.

39. Justus Sheffield, LHP, NYY
Drafted: 1st Round, 2014 from Tullahoma HS (TN)
Age 21 Height 5’11 Weight 200 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command
60/60 60/60 50/55 45/50

Scouting Summary
Sheffield’s stuff was up in the Arizona Fall League. He was reaching 97 in the desert, sitting 93-95 mph for much of his starts, and locating all three of his pitches. Sheffield’s mid-80s slider (which is relatively new, he threw a curveball in high school) is plus and he sequences and locates it well. It’s become a back-foot weapon against right-handed hitters, but Sheffield’s upper-80s changeup has enough movement to miss righty bats, too. He’s a likely mid-rotation starter and should reach the majors at some point this year.

40. Carter Kieboom, 3B, WAS
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Walton HS (GA)
Age 19 Height 6’2 Weight 190 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/55 55/60 30/55 50/45 45/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
Kieboom’s older brother is a catcher in the Nationals organization, but Carter wasn’t drafted as a favor: the Nationals had plenty of competition angling to land the toolsy younger brother in 2016’s first round. Kieboom, like many infielders on this list, may be able to stick at shortstop for certain teams that shift heavily or prioritize offense over defense at the position, but he fits more traditionally at second or third base, with some scouts suggesting even a corner-outfield spot. He’s got plenty of bat for any position. Kieboom has flashed all five tools above average at times, but the most consistent are his hit and power tools, which should be his calling cards for a long time.

41. Michel Baez, RHP, SD
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2016 from Cuba
Age 21 Height 6’8 Weight 220 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
55/60 50/55 55/65 40/55

Scouting Summary
The Padres signed Baez for $3 million during the winter of 2016, and when he first got underway in Arizona the following spring he looked like a size-and-arm-strength lottery ticket. By the end of extended spring training, he had made significant progress across the board and became much more. Baez’s fastball velocity ticked up into the mid-to-upper 90s and his changeup was consistently plus. The velocity alone was too much for the AZL and Baez was quickly promoted to full-season ball and continued to dominate, refining his command along the way. He is shockingly athletic for his size, allowing him to repeat his delivery and project for plus command. Big leaguers can succeed with a changeup/command foundation, and Baez has those things but also touches 99. He looks like a potential No. 3 starter, but there’s also an element of freakishness here that could indicate more.

42. Hunter Greene, RHP, CIN
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from Notre Dame HS (CA)
Age 17 Height 6’4 Weight 197 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
70/80 45/50 40/45 40/60 40/55

Scouting Summary
Greene forces scouts to project heavily on his secondary stuff, and not everyone thinks he’ll be able to develop an especially effective breaking ball. But he has elite velocity, prototypical size, and the athleticism and fluidity to at least project on his changeup and command pretty significantly.

50 FV Prospects

43. Jake Bauers, RF, TB
Drafted: 7th Round, 2013 from Marina HS (CA)
Age 21 Height 6’1 Weight 195 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
45/60 55/55 45/50 45/45 50/55 50/50

Scouting Summary
Bauers was an under-the-radar prospect as an amateur (when he was the third-best left-handed hitter on a travel team that featured first-rounders SS J.P. Crawford and 1B Dominic Smith) and as a pro (when he was at best the fifth-most valuable player in a trade featuring Wil Myers, Joe Ross, Steven Souza, and Trea Turner). As an amateur, Bauers was young for his class and had an advanced feel to hit, but was at the wrong end of the defensive spectrum and without much power. His hit tool has continually improved, and in 2017 at Triple-A, his improved raw power showed up in games to a level where scouts think he can profile in a corner-outfield position. He’s also slimmed up and become an abov- average right fielder in the process of adding raw power in pro ball, a tribute to Bauers’ work ethic.

44. Yordan Alvarez, LF, HOU
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2017 from Cuba
Age 20 Height 6’5 Weight 225 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/55 65/65 30/55 50/45 40/50 45/45

Scouting Summary
The Dodgers signed Alvarez for $2 million just before the 2015 international-free-agency calendar turned over, then traded him to Houston for Josh Fields a few months later. In his pro debut, Alvarez was a force of nature at Low-A before his in-game power tapered off following a promotion to High-A Buies Creek. Alvarez does have plus raw power and good feel to hit with a swing that has enough natural loft that scouts think he’ll hit for contact and power. That may take an adjustment that gets Alvarez hitting the ball in the air more often, but the hope is that he just starts doing that naturally without mechanical compromise.

Alvarez looks athletic and fleet-footed enough to play an outfield corner right now, but he’s already a massive 225 pounds at a age 20 and will probably end up at first base. He has the physical capability to mash enough for first and his first season was encouraging. If the feel for airborne contact starts coming, he could move way up this list during the summer.

45. Ian Anderson, RHP, ATL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Shenendowa HS (NY)
Age 19 Height 6’3 Weight 170 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
55/60 55/60 45/55 40/55

Scouting Summary
Anderson first got on many scouts’ radars when, in 2015 as a high-school junior, he faced senior and soon-to-be Rays first-rounder CF Garrett Whitley in a high-profile matchup. Anderson has made steady progress since then, despite a senior season slowed by illness and an oblique injury, going third overall in the 2016 draft. He had a prototypical pitching prospect’s projectable frame, along with three above-average pitches and the potential for above-average command to profile as a front- to middle-of-the-rotation starter. Anderson works up in the zone at 92-95, touching 97 mph with elite extension that allows it to play even quicker, but a combination of corraling his rising velocity along with minor-league-level umpires inconsistency at calling high strikes has impacted his walk figures.

46. Willie Calhoun, DH, TEX
Drafted: 4th Round, 2015 from Yavapai JC (AZ)
Age 22 Height 5’8 Weight 187 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/60 65/65 50/60 30/30 40/40 45/45

Scouting Summary
Calhoun doesn’t have a position (he’s been tried at third, second, and in the outfield since college), but he’s going to rake. Scouts have him projected for plus hit and power. He takes huge, beer-league softball hacks but has the hand-eye coordination and bat control to make it work. He could yank out 30 or more homers as soon as he’s given regular at-bats. The corner-outfield and DH situation in Texas is pretty crowded, but he should start seeing regular big-league time this year. There’s some risk that Calhoun’s aggression is exploited the way Rougie Odor’s has been, but otherwise Calhoun looks like a stable mid-order slugger.

47. Austin Meadows, LF, PIT
Drafted: 1st Round, 2013 from Grayson HS (GA)
Age 22 Height 6’3 Weight 200 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
45/55 55/55 40/45 60/55 50/55 40/40

Scouting Summary
Meadows has dealt with multiple hamstring injuries and then altered his approach to contact after his initial struggles at Triple-A last year. It was a bad year, and the industry has grown increasingly concerned about Meadows’ ability to stay healthy, especially if it means he’ll eventually move to left field. But he was running well late in the year and still has the strength in his wrists to do extra-base damage while making plenty of contact. He still projects as an everyday player with above-average upside and the McCutchen trade clears a path for him to reach the majors this year.

48. Alex Verdugo, RF, LA
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2014 from Sahuaro HS (AZ)
Age 20 Height 6’0 Weight 200 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/60 55/55 40/50 45/40 50/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Verdugo was a legit top-three-rounds talent as both a hitter and pitcher coming out of high school in 2014, and some were surprised when the Dodgers took him in the second round and announced him as a hitter. He’s rewarded their faith, showing the expected plus bat. He hasn’t quite delivered on his game-power potential and has also lost a step, working now as a right fielder after serving as a serviceable center fielder as an amateur. There’s some maturity concerns that have dogged Verdugo for years, but he’s essentially big-league ready with a 60 bat and arm, along with the potential for a fun position-player pitching option.

49. Jesus Sanchez, RF, TB
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Dominican Republic
Age 20 Height 6’2 Weight 185 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
20/50 55/60 30/55 50/50 50/55 60/60

Scouting Summary
The Rays blew past their international signing pool in 2014, with headline prospect SS Adrian Rondon getting the bulk of their it ($2.95 million bonus). Some called Rondon the top prospect in the class, while the Rays insisted that Sanchez ($400,000 bonus) was much closer in talent than their bonuses and reputation would indicate. Today, Sanchez is the clearly superior prospect and one of the top five in his signing class due to his quick-developing plus raw power, and advanced feel to get to that power in games without excessive swing and miss. He’s also deceptively quick and instinctive in the outfield, with a non-zero chance of playing center field at the upper levels, but likely settling in as an above-average right fielder.

50. Juan Soto, RF, WAS
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic
Age 19 Height 6’1 Weight 190 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/55 55/60 30/55 45/40 40/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
Soto was seen as an advanced bat with present raw power in his July 2nd class, signing for $1.5 million, but has quickly smashed those expectations, becoming one of the best all-around young hitters in the minor leagues. Soto has put up cartoon numbers in two short summers in pro ball, slowed by some minor injuries. He’s also limited to a corner-outfield spot, where he’s likely average at best, so there isn’t a huge margin for error in projecting him, but the bat is so advanced he’s likely to carve out a big-league career of some sort.

51. Triston McKenzie, RHP, CLE
Drafted: 1st Round, 2015 from Royal Palm Beach HS (FL)
Age 19 Height 6’5 Weight 165 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
55/60 55/60 40/45 50/60

Scouting Summary
McKenzie is a very unique pitching prospect. He’s most quickly noticeable for his extra-lanky frame, at something like 6-foot-5, 165 pounds. He also has elite extension and command along with general feel for his craft, allowing above-average stuff to play as plus stuff, along with projecting for big-league success as as starter despite a below-average changeup.

52. Monte Harrison, CF, MIA
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2014 from Lee’s Summit West (MO)
Age 21 Height 6’3 Weight 220 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/45 60/60 30/55 60/60 45/50 80/80

Scouting Summary
Early-career injuries limited the developmental reps that Harrison badly needed as a pro, as he was a multi-sport high-school superstar who hadn’t played baseball full-time. He finally broke out in 2017, hitting .270/.350/.480 with 50 extra-base hits and 27 steals. This came after a swing change that probably still needs refinement to unlock what Harrison is truly capable of. He has plus raw power, is a plus runner, and has an 80 arm. His swing path is still a little inefficient and he’ll need to be more selective at the plate, but he has a volatile All-Star ceiling.

53. Colin Moran, 3B, PIT
Drafted: 1st Round, 2013 from North Carolina
Age 24 Height 6’4 Weight 204 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
55/55 55/55 50/50 35/35 45/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
Moran made substantive changes to his swing in 2017, which unlocked dormant raw power without compromising his natural feel to hit. He’s not a great defensive third baseman but does enough to stay there and has enough stick to play everyday. He’s ready now and should get plenty of reps in 2017, especially if Josh Harrison is moved before the season.

54. Yadier Alvarez, RHP, LA
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Cuba
Age 21 Height 6’3 Weight 175 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
60/70 50/60 40/45 40/50 40/45

Scouting Summary
Alvarez made little developmental progress in 2017 and remains wild and without a changeup, much to the chagrin of scouts enamored of his ability to generate effortless upper-90s velocity. What Alvarez possesses in grace and fluidity he lacks in touch and feel for pitch manipulation, and his release is inconsistent. His slider flashes plus but is left up in the zone too often. The industry has begun talking about Alvarez’s makeup after he looked out of shape early last spring, but he’s in Arizona already working on his changeup command in preparation for the season. He’s looking less likely to be a dominant front-end starter (or a starter at all), but his stuff is probably good enough to make some kind of eventual impact either as a No. 4 starter or late-inning arm.

55. Austin Riley, 3B, ATL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2015 from DeSoto Central (MS)
Age 20 Height 6’3 Weight 220 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/45 65/65 45/60 45/40 40/45 60/60

Scouting Summary
Riley was a tough read for scouts as an amateur, with an even split in the industry preferring him as hitter or pitcher. He was also set to punt for the Mississippi State football team if he got to campus, but the Braves popped him in the sandwich round as a hitter, surprising many, as only a few clubs were interested in Riley that early in the draft. He’s rewarded the Braves’ faith in his offensive ability, pumping 52 homers in two-and-a-half seasons while also reaching Double-A as a 20-year-old. Riley has slimmed down and has a chance to stick at third base now, but his plus raw power and improving contact ability will play anywhere on the diamond, possibly as soon as this September in the big leagues.

56. Ke’Bryan Hayes, 3B, PIT
Drafted: 1st Round, 2015 from Concordia Lutheran (TX)
Age 20 Height 6’1 Weight 210 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/55 50/50 30/45 55/50 55/60 60/60

Scouting Summary
A potential plus-plus defender at third base, Hayes is also remarkably selective and has above-average bat control. Though his frame doesn’t suggest he’ll grow into prototypical corner power, there’s a chance a swing change can coax more out of him, especially if Hayes applies his mature pitch selection to a mindset focused on hunting pitches he can drive. He projects as a potential above-average regular who is a few years away, but the ceiling is a bit higher than that.

57. Taylor Trammell, CF, CIN
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Mt. Paran (GA)
Age 19 Height 6’2 Weight 195 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/55 50/55 30/50 70/70 40/50 40/40

Scouting Summary
Toolsy athletes don’t often look as polished as Trammell does at the plate, all the more surprising given his two-sport background as a standout running back. Trammell made the leap during the 2016 draft spring from middle-round upside prospect to high-end prospect whom multiple teams had in the top 15 on their draft boards. There are some questions on his instincts in center field, partly since he’s been playing some left field in the Reds system in deference to more advanced fielders. Trammell is exciting since we don’t know exactly what his ceiling is just yet. Scouts love his makeup, and he’s still improving in all phases, figuring out what sort of player he wants to be (contact vs. power). His overall athleticism is near the top of the scale.

58. Jorge Mateo, CF, OAK
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2011 from Dominican Republic
Age 22 Height 6’0 Weight 190 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/50 50/55 35/50 80/80 40/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
The injury to Gleyber Torres forced an underperforming Mateo to Trenton. Upon his arrival, he added a leg kick and immediately began driving the ball with more power. Mateo has strong wrists and can shoot the ball in the gap to all fields and sprint for extra bases. While his success at Double-A (before and after the trade) has some small-sample stink on it, the fact that it was paired with a substantive mechanical change might mean it’s more representative of his future output.

Defensively, Mateo has the physical traits to remain at shortstop, though the Yankees had been playing him at second base and in center field, as well. Scouts get frustrated with Mateo’s fundamentals at short, but think he has the chance to be average there at his peak. Many are intrigued by what he might be able to do in center field, full-time, with his elite speed, but Oakland played him exclusively at short after acquiring him. Much of Mateo’s future remains fuzzy, but he has many top-of-the-order qualities and is likely to play up the middle.

59. Albert Abreu, RHP, NYY
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Dominican Republic
Age 21 Height 6’2 Weight 175 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
65/65 55/60 55/65 40/45

Scouting Summary
The electric nature of Abreu’s stuff makes him likely to play some kind of significant big-league role even if he fails to develop starter’s command. He sits 95-98 and touches 100 with his fastball while also showing an occasionally plus breaking ball and plus-plus changeup. He’s an excellent candidate for multi-inning relief at least, and could be much more if his command develops.

60. Touki Touisaint, RHP, ATL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2014 from Coral Springs Christian HS (FL)
Age 21 Height 6’3 Weight 185 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
60/60 65/65 55/60 40/50

Scouting Summary
Toussaint burst onto the scouting scene when he hit 97 mph with a plus-plus curveball as a high-school underclassman, but his delivery and command needed lots of work at that point. He’s slowly made adjustments — just before the 2014 draft he dialed down the high-octane stuff so he could command it better — and made his biggest strides in 2017. Toussaint’s changeup was consistently above average to plus, his 70 curveball and 96-plus mph fastball were still in his back pocket when needed, but he opted for a low-90s sinker and above-average curveball with more command of both early in the game.

His skillset now fits the changing big-league game: he may continue his path into becoming the frontline starter many envisioned when he was 16 years old or he could be a Lance McCullers-like Swiss Army knife that’s one of the most valuable pieces of a staff without ever pitching 200 innings. Either way, he could be a devastating big-league presence by the end of 2018, particularly in one- to two-inning stints.

61. Tyler O’Neill, RF, STL
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2013 from Maple Ridge HS (CAN)
Age 22 Height 5’11 Weight 210 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/40 70/70 50/60 55/55 45/45 55/55

Scouting Summary
The more we talked about O’Neill (and the swing change he made after being traded to St. Louis), the more we started to buy his chances of tapping into most or all of his plus-plus raw power in games. He doesn’t have great feel to hit, nor is he an especially good defensive outfielder, but O’Neill is likely to reach base at an above-average rate and hit for a ton of power, so he’s pretty likely to be a good everyday big leaguer. He does have some Quad-A-hitter traits, which is why his profile carries some variance despite his long track record of success, but we were saying the same thing about Aaron Judge last offseason.

62. Anderson Espinoza, RHP, SD
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Venezuela
Age 19 Height 6’0 Weight 160 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
55/60 50/60 50/60 40/50

Scouting Summary
Espinoza was 94-97 and flashed a plus changeup and curveball during his final spring-training start of 2017. Between that outing and his first regular-season start for High-A Lake Elsinore, he felt discomfort in his elbow and was shut down. After several weeks of rest and rehab, it was decided that he needed Tommy John surgery, which he had early in August. The timing wasn’t great, and Espinoza may also miss all of 2018 working back from surgery. He has front-end stuff but, even if it returns, he’ll have missed two years of reps that he desperately needed to polish his below-average control.

63. Dustin Fowler, CF, OAK
Drafted: 18th Round, 2013 from West Laurens HS (GA)
Age 22 Height 6’0 Weight 195 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/55 55/55 40/50 60/60 45/50 45/45

Scouting Summary
Fowler is a plus runner and viable defensive center fielder who has a chance to be an above-average defender there at peak. He has plus bat speed that allows him to turn on good velocity and generate more pull-side power than is typical for a plus-running center-field prospect. Fowler has a chance to hit .280 or so, with 15-18 annual homers, and do lots of extra-base damage with his legs. While his aggressive approach at the plate will likely limit his on-base ability to something just beneath league average, he’s very likely to be an average everyday player and potentially a tick more than that, assuming his pre-injury speed returns.

64. Will Smith, C, LA
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Louisville
Age 22 Height 6’0 Weight 190 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/55 50/50 40/50 55/50 50/55 60/60

Scouting Summary
Smith was an athletic, multi-positional prospect at Louisville whose stock spiked close to draft time. He was considered a potential plus defensive catcher who might hit an empty .280. In the last year, Smith has altered his stride in a way that has increased his in-game power rather significantly. He has terrific natural bat control and finds a way to get the barrel to various parts of the hitting zone, and the change in offensive footwork didn’t alter his peripherals. He remains a strong defensive catching prospect who now has a chance to hit for average and power while also moonlighting at second and third base when needed. He’s an Austin Barnes sequel who’s perhaps two years from the majors.

65. Jack Flaherty, RHP, STL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2014 from Harvard Westlake (CA)
Age 21 Height 6’4 Weight 205 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
60/60 50/55 55/55 40/45 50/55

Scouting Summary
Flaherty reached the majors in 2017, just his third full pro season. His fastball ranges from 90 to 95 mph, sitting mostly 92-94 with enough sink to mitigate its lack of downhill plane, and Flaherty will pitch with above-average fastball command. To put hitters away, he relies on a slider and curveball while occasionally mixing in a changeup. His curveball has a bit more depth and vertical action to it than the slider does, and it’s his best secondary pitch on pure stuff, but Flaherty’s terrific arm-side command of his slider makes that his most effective. His fringey, sinking, upper-80s changeup induces ground balls but doesn’t miss bats right now, and well-located breaking balls are his best chance of whiffing lefties. He projects as a ready No. 3/4 starter.

66. Jo Adell, RF, LAA
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from Ballard HS (KY)
Age 18 Height 6’2 Weight 195 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
20/45 65/70 30/60 55/45 40/50 30/60

Scouting Summary
Teams had widely varying evaluations of Adell ahead of the 2017 draft, but he raked in pro ball after signing and started to silence critics. He has huge raw power and enough straight-line speed to develop as a center fielder, though he may not stay there. His arm strength evaporated last year (he was up to 94 on the mound as a rising senior but was throwing with a 30 arm during 2017 instructional league), and there’s still some hit-tool volatility that makes Adell quite risky, but he has middle-of-the-order potential.

67. Jorge Guzman, RHP, MIA
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Dominican Republic
Age 22 Height 6’2 Weight 182 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command
70/80 50/60 45/55 40/50

Scouting Summary
In 2017, Guzman went to the New York-Penn League and threw strikes with a 96-102 mph fastball and plus slider. He struck out 88 hitters in 66 innings. His changeup is still raw, and scouts don’t like his stiff, hunched posture during his delivery, but he throws strikes and has a chance to start. He could have an 80 fastball and 70 slider at peak, which alone could make him an elite reliever. If Marlins player development can improve his changeup, or develop a different third pitch, his ceiling as a rotation piece is quite high. He enters his age-22 season in 2018.

68. Tristen Lutz, RF, MIL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from Martin HS (TX)
Age 18 Height 6’3 Weight 210 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
25/45 70/70 20/60 50/45 40/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Lutz was about as under-the-radar as a first-round pick who’d attended a number of high-profile showcases could be. His 70-grade raw power puts up exit velocities that would fit near the top of MLB leaderboards, along with good enough pitch selection to get to his power in games and enough athleticism to play an average defensive right field. He’s only had 187 plate appearances in pro ball but could move quickly — similar to how Braves’ 3B Austin Riley reached Double-A at age 20 — if Lutz’s tools play as quickly as some scouts expect.

69. Jahmai Jones, CF, LAA
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2015 from Wesleyan School (GA)
Age 19 Height 6’0 Weight 215 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/60 45/50 30/45 60/60 45/55 45/45

Scouting Summary
Jones made adjustments and hit his way to High-A as a 19-year-old after a bad first month of 2017. He still chases breaking balls away from him too often, but otherwise has great feel to hit and sprays hard contact all over the field. He’s a plus runner with the speed to play center field, and he should continue to develop there as he accrues more reps. (Jones was a high-school infielder and two-sport prospect.) He profiles as a table-setting doubles machine.

70. Jesus Luzardo, LHP, OAK
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2016 from Stoneman Douuglas HS (FL)
Age 19 Height 6’1 Weight 205 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
50/50 50/60 50/60 45/55

Scouting Summary
Luzardo was a polished prep lefty with command of an advanced changeup and breaking ball, as well as an 88-92 mph fastball that spiked into the mid-90s during his senior spring. Soon after his velo ticked up, Luzardo got hurt and needed Tommy John. The Nationals drafted him, gave him an overslot $1.4 million, and then traded him to Oakland the following year. Luzardo has remade his physique, and his pre-surgery surge in velocity has been retained. He was up to 98 at times last year, sitting 90-95 with advanced command. His changeup and breaking ball should mature into above-average pitches, and Luzardo should move quickly through the minors as a potential mid-rotation starter.

71. Danny Jansen, C, TOR
Drafted: 16th Round, 2013 from West HS (WI)
Age 22 Height 6’1 Weight 205 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/60 50/50 30/45 30/30 45/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
Scouts’ opinions of Jansen were all over the map during the first few years of his career, but those have narrowed into the 45-to-55 range now. We’re buying that Jansen’s 2017, which included more walks than strikeouts across three levels of the minors, is a sign of real improvement, perhaps due to the new prescription frames he got before the season. He’s a fringe receiver with an above-average arm, which is fine, but he is difficult to strike out and should reach base plenty. He’s a near-ready everyday catcher.

72. Alec Hansen, RHP, CHW
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2016 from Oklahoma
Age 22 Height 6’7 Weight 235 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
60/60 45/50 60/60 40/45 40/45

Scouting Summary
A talented enigma at Oklahoma, Hansen’s prodigious stuff was finally deployed with some consistency in 2017, as he struck out a whopping 191 hitters in 141.1 innings. His fastball and curveball are both plus, while his changeup, slider, and command remain fringey, but fringe command is still more than a grade better than what Hansen showed in college. He’s progressing but remains a volatile prospect with No. 2/3 starter potential

73. Adonis Medina, RHP, PHI
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2013 from Dominican Republic
Age 20 Height 6’1 Weight 185 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
55/60 50/55 40/45 45/55 40/50

Scouting Summary
After spending 2016 focusing on fastball command and breaking-ball transition, Medina finally posted stats commensurate with his prodigious stuff. He sits 92-95 with a late-breaking slider, and his changeup and command have progressed as expected given his delivery and athleticism. He still needs to polish his command and the demarcation between his slider and curve, but Medina has made significant developmental progress during the last two seasons and should continue doing so. He projects as an above-average big-league starter.

74. Cole Tucker, SS, PIT
Drafted: 1st Round, 2014 from Mountain Pointe HS (AZ)
Age 20 Height 6’3 Weight 185 Bat/Throw S/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/55 50/50 30/45 55/55 45/50 50/55

Scouting Summary
Tucker does a little bit of everything and projects to stay at shortstop while providing modest offensive output. His arm strength has returned to something more closely resembling its pre-injury (labrum) form, bolstering confidence in his ability to stay at short. Offensively, Tucker is patient and has a contact-first approach, but there’s enough thunder in his hands and wrists to do some extra-base damage and a chance he grows into more as he ages. He’s a near-ready everyday shortstop.

75. Riley Pint, RHP, COL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from St. Thomas Aquinas HS (KS)
Age 19 Height 6’4 Weight 195 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
70/70 50/55 60/65 50/60 30/45

Scouting Summary
Pint was identified as a potential high-first-round pick as a high-school underclassman, showing mid-90s velocity and a long, lanky, athletic frame in tournaments. He held serve as an elite arm over the next few years, going fourth overall in 2016 and continuing to show some of the best stuff on the planet, including two 70s and two 60s on some days.

The issues are with just about everything else I haven’t mentioned, as Pint doesn’t have much deception, has too much effort/head whack in his delivery. Also, his fastball doesn’t have much life and he may generally just throw too hard to learn the finesse aspects of being a starting pitcher. His walk rates and contact allowed are worrisome, but the stuff and athleticism are still top of the scale, so the upside remains sky high, but scouts are getting less enthusiastic.

76. Nate Pearson, RHP, TOR
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from Central FL CC
Age 20 Height 6’6 Weight 245 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command
65/70 50/55 50/55 35/45

Scouting Summary
Pearson came almost out of nowhere at a low-profile Florida junior college, going from unknown to a first-round pick in less than a year, fueled by a dazzling pre-draft bullpen for scouts where he sat in the high-90s and hit 100 mph. At his best, Pearson looks like a front-of-the-rotation monster, with a sturdy frame, long stride, powerful delivery, and triple-digit heat, to go with a slider and changeup that have flashed 60 at their best. On the other hand, there’s risk with hard throwers — especially those with new velocity — and Pearson has had control issues ever since his velocity spiked. He’s trending in the right direction, with his best appearances coming in May and June just before the draft, followed by a strong pro debut. Pearson has possibly the widest variance of potential outcomes of any player on this list.

77. Nick Gordon, SS, MIN
Drafted: 1st Round, 2014 from Olympia HS (FL)
Age 21 Height 6’0 Weight 160 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/50 55/55 30/45 50/50 45/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Gordon, son of Tom Gordon and brother of Dee Gordon, was identified as a top prospect as high-school freshman in the Orlando area and has made subtle improvements since then, but has been a similar player for a while. It’s a card full of grade 5 tools on the 2-8 scale, and while there aren’t flashy or twitchy actions, Gordon gets the most of his tools, in part due to private defensive lessons by family friend Barry Larkin pre-draft. There are some questions about how good Gordon will be defensively (sliding to second base wouldn’t be too big of a deal), and his pitch selection is below average, keeping him from getting to all of his 55-grade raw power.

78. Max Fried, LHP, ATL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2012 from Harvard Westlake HS (CA)
Age 24 Height 6’4 Weight 185 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
50/55 65/70 50/55 45/50

Scouting Summary
Fried was part of one of the best high-school pitching staffs of all time, with No. 67 on this list RHP Jack Flaherty and White Sox RHP Lucas Giolito. Fried went sixth overall in 2012 and had Tommy John surgery within a year, then was traded to Atlanta as the headliner in the Justin Upton deal. Fried has flashed signs of brilliance since his return, but a gnarly blister limited most of his 2017 and some scouts still question his command, wondering if he fits better in short stints. No one questions his knockout curveball, which gets grades as high as a 70 from scouts on the 20-80 scale. His fastball sits 90-94 and hits 97 mph, while his changeup is above average. He has a good chance to open 2017 in the Braves rotation alongside No. 31 on this list LHP Luiz Gohara.

79. Estevan Florial, CF, NYY
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Haiti
Age 19 Height 6’1 Weight 185 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
20/40 60/60 30/55 60/60 40/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Florial had an unusual start to his pro career, with paperwork issues stemming from his childhood in Haiti earning him a one-year suspension from MLB and only a $200,000 bonus despite having exhibited loud tools before signing. Credit the Yankees for staying on top of Florial and pouncing once his suspension was over, as his three plus tools (raw power, speed, and arm strength) are quickly obvious even to amateur observers. The only question on Florial is his contact ability, as he will show scouts extremely varied looks. Some think he’ll get to his power but just with plenty of swing and miss, while others question if he’ll ever make enough contact to be an everyday player. No one disputes the sky-high ceiling, and the Yankees have rebuffed many efforts of other clubs to trade for Florial, but the variance in his possible outcomes may be the widest among any hitter on this list.

80. Yu-Cheng Chang, SS, CLE
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Taiwan
Age 21 Height 6’1 Weight 175 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/45 55/55 45/55 50/50 45/50 50/50

Scouting Summary
Chang’s 24-homer output at Double-A might was a bit of a surprise, but his feel for impacting the ball in the air is real and he has enough raw power to hit with more thump than is typical for a shortstop. Most teams think he’s going to be a solid everyday player, with just enough arm and athleticism for shortstop and plenty of stick. He is another of the players on this list with enough pitch selection to get most or all of his raw power (along with some walks), even if with a .260 or lower batting average

81. Sean Murphy, C, OAK
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2016 from Wright State
Age 23 Height 6’3 Weight 215 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/55 55/55 35/50 20/20 45/50 70/70

Scouting Summary
Murphy didn’t catch great stuff at Wright State and it’s taken him a little while to get used to receiving pro-quality pitching, but he’s improved dramatically and looked great in the Arizona Fall League. He now projects as an average receiver with a plus-plus arm. Murphy’s swing is simple and makes him tough to strike out while enabling him to tap into some of his strength-driven power. He’s a well-rounded catching prospect who should mature into an everyday player.

82. Brian Anderson, 3B, MIA
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2014 from Arkansas
Age 24 Height 6’3 Weight 185 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/45 55/55 40/55 55/55 45/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Anderson is going to strike out, but he has above-average pull power that he’s learning to tap into in games. He also runs well and should be fine at third. He has a plus arm (accuracy is sometimes an issue) and is comfortable charging slow rollers on the grass, but, generally, he is not especially polished there. Anderson hasn’t played third base full-time for all that long, and he should be average there at peak. He profiles as an average regular and should get plenty of playing time in 2018.

83. Ryan McMahon, 1B, COL
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2013 from Mater Dei HS (CA)
Age 23 Height 6’2 Weight 185 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/45 60/60 50/60 30/30 40/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
We’re buying McMahon’s bounceback 2017. He began altering his footwork late in 2016 and continued to grow more comfortable with it through 2017. His fly-ball rate has actually dropped in the last year, but McMahon’s timing at the plate has improved and this is probably a function of him more frequently putting the ball in play than he was in 2016. He has plus raw power and is adept at golfing out balls down and in, but he has the strength to drive them out the other way. His transition to first base continues, but he’s made progress and looks like a future 50 defender there. He’s seen time at second base and could be a 40 glove there in a pinch. He tasted the majors last season and should grab hold of a job in the next year or so.

84. Joey Wentz, LHP, ATL
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Shawnee Mission East HS (MO)
Age 19 Height 6’5 Weight 210 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
45/50 45/55 60/60 45/55

Scouting Summary
Wentz was seen as a middle-round two-way prospect entering the spring of his draft year in 2016, then broke out as a pitcher, eliciting Cole Hamels comps on his best days. He went in the comp round to the Braves for an overslot bonus to forego a scholarship to Virginia. In his first full pro season with Atlanta, Wentz’s velocity was down a bit (88-92) from his best amateur outings (91-95), but his inconsistent changeup became a consistent plus pitch to the point where he didn’t even need his above-average curveball more than a handful of times per game. He’s a good athlete with a low-effort delivery (and plus power at the plate), low mileage on his arm, a credible outpitch, a starter’s repetoire, and feel for his craft, so it’s a little less risky than the typical teenage pitcher.

85. Carson Kelly, C, STL
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2012 from Westview HS (OR)
Age 22 Height 6’2 Weight 220 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/50 50/50 35/45 20/20 55/60 55/55

Scouting Summary
Kelly begins to separate himself from most catching prospects with his glove. He was drafted as a third baseman in 2012, then moved behind the plate in 2014 and picked up the finer points of catching rather quickly. He’s a good receiver, stealing strikes on the edges of the zone and just beneath it. He’s also more agile than his square, cinder-block frame suggests, and he effectively smothers errant, dirt-bound pitches. Big-league catchers hit a combined .245/.315/.406 in 2017, averaging just 89 wRC+. Despite lackluster physical tools, Kelly should be able to clear that bar, based largely on his superlative hand-eye coordination and a sound approach, all complemented by excellent defense.

86. Leody Taveras, CF, TEX
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic
Age 18 Height 6’1 Weight 170 Bat/Throw S/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/55 45/50 20/45 60/60 45/55 55/55

Scouting Summary
Taveras didn’t have a spectacular 2017, but he was just a teenager in full-season ball, so his .250/.312/.360 line is pretty palatable. He still projects as a plus hitter with plus defense in center field and a plus arm, but questions about his power potential pervade. He’s somewhat projectable, physically, but unless a change in approach is made, his power output and overall ceiling are capped. He still profiles as an above-average regular, but he’s a great developmental distance away from that.

87. Isan Diaz, 2B, MIA
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2014 from Springfield HS (MA)
Age 21 Height 5’10 Weight 185 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/40 60/60 40/60 50/45 45/50 55/55

Scouting Summary
Diaz continued a long anticipated transition from shortstop to second base in 2017 and saw more time at second than short for the first time in his career. He has an above-average arm but fringey hands and range. Diaz’s combination of plus power, patience, and ability to play an up-the-middle position — even if he’s only fringe to average there — give him star potential despite likely issues with contact. His uppercut swing is going to lead to strikeouts, but he picks the right pitches to drive and could hit 25 bombs at peak.

88. Jon Duplantier, RHP, ARI
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2016 from Rice
Age 22 Height 6’4 Weight 225 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
60/60 60/60 50/50 45/55 45/50

Scouting Summary
There’s still quite a bit of perceived injury risk surrounding Duplantier because he’s a Rice product who had shoulder issues as a sophomore and has a long, somewhat awkward arm stroke. But his stuff was great in 2017 and he was healthy all year, striking out 165 hitters in 136 innings split between Low- and High-A. He has a four-pitch mix headlined by a mid-90s fastball and plus slider. The curveball and changeup are both about average, with scouts reticent to project much on the changeup because of the arm action. If he pitches free of injury for a second straight year, he’ll move into the middle of this list as a potential above-average rotation piece.

89. Zack Burdi, RHP, CHW
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Louisville
Age 22 Height 6’3 Weight 205 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Changeup Command
80/80 60/65 55/60 40/45

Scouting Summary
Burdi had Tommy John surgery in July and will miss most of 2018, if not all of it. He’s also a reliever with lots of effort in his delivery. Once you get past those two things, there’s only good news: he sits 97-100 and hits 102 mph, his slider is regularly plus to plus-plus, and he’s developed a changeup that’s also plus. The combination of a plus three-pitch mix and usable command are going makes him a near unicorn. Also, the surgery is less risky when you only need the guy to be healthy for six years, throwing 20-30 pitches at a time. Look for Burdi to deliver on his first-round pedigree as an elite reliever for the Sox in 2019, with the upside of one of the top-five relievers in the game.

90. Austin Hays, RF, BAL
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2016 from Jacksonville
Age 22 Height 6’0 Weight 205 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
40/50 60/60 45/50 50/50 50/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Hays had a spectacular breakout 2017 campaign, hitting 32 homers and 32 doubles between High- and Double-A, prompting Baltimore to give him a look in the majors in September. His hands are electric and allow Hays to turn on just about everything, and he tries to, which prompted big-league pitchers to work him down and away. It may take an approach adjustment for Hays to max out his offensive potential, as he’s overly aggressive and his style of hitting may be exploited in the majors. But he has bat speed and power and should play an above-average right field (or be better than Adam Jones in center) fairly soon.

91. Zack Collins, 1B, CHW
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Miami
Age 22 Height 6’3 Weight 220 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/40 70/70 40/65 20/20 40/45 50/50

Scouting Summary
Scouts think it’s pretty unlikely that Collins catches, at least full-time, but even with a strikeout-heavy offensive profile it’s likely that his combination of tireless patience and plus power will enable him to reach base and slug enough to profile at first base. What Collins projects to do looks a lot like what Eric Thames did in 2017, except Collins could add some value by catching once in a while. His is a profile of extremes, but the end result is a solid, perhaps bland, everyday first baseman.

92. Bobby Bradley, 1B, CLE
Drafted: 3rd Round, 2014 from Harrion Central HS (MS)
Age 21 Height 6’1 Weight 225 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/40 65/65 40/60 20/20 40/45 50/50

Scouting Summary
You can copy and paste the Zack Collins report into this space, as Bradley also wields an imbalanced but promising offensive profile comprised of tremendous raw power with enough walks to make up for all the strikeouts. Bradley has now been this type of hitter up through Double-A, and his offensive profile is pretty stable. He turns 22 at the end of May and will likely spend much of 2018 at Triple-A. The presence of Edwin Encarnacion and Yonder Alonso make Bradley a potential trade chip.

93. Jose Siri, CF, CIN
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Dominican Republic
Age 21 Height 6’2 Weight 175 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
35/55 50/55 40/50 60/60 50/55 60/60

Scouting Summary
There are some red flags here, chief among them Siri’s reckless and epicurean approach at the plate. But he’s remarkably talented, possessing elite bat control and an ability to lift the ball in the air with great regularity. Siri is also a plus runner with a chance to be a plus defensive center fielder with a plus arm, so his bat has some room for regression after a breakout 2017. His scouting report reads much like Nick Williams‘ has for the last several years with a tick better tools across the board.

94. Braxton Garrett, LHP, MIA
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Florence HS (AL)
Age 19 Height 6’3 Weight 190 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
50/50 55/60 40/55 45/55

Scouting Summary
Garrett made four starts at Low-A Greensboro before he was shut down with an elbow injury that would require Tommy John. Pre-injury, he was 90-93 with a plus curveball and the sort of athleticism and arm action that allow for pretty significant changeup and command projection, both of which he was already starting to show. He looked like a quick-moving No. 3 starter before the surgery.

95. Michael Chavis, 1B, BOS
Drafted: 1st Round, 2014 from Sprayberry HS (GA)
Age 21 Height 5’10 Weight 210 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/40 65/65 50/60 40/40 40/45 55/55

Scouting Summary
If you were to just look at Chavis’s 2016 stats in the context of his first-base defensive profile, you’d call him a non-prospect. A broken finger is what caused the downturn in production, however, and in 2017, Chavis was back to taking monster hacks that produce comfortably plus raw power. He’s going to strike out and isn’t especially patient, but he has a good chance to get to most of that power and pass Sam Travis on the Red Sox’ depth chart early in the year.

96. Cole Ragans, LHP, TEX
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from North Florida Christian HS (FL)
Age 19 Height 6’4 Weight 190 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
45/50 40/50 60/65 40/50

Scouting Summary
Ragans emerged as a sophomore on a loaded Tallahasse-area high-school team with five pro players on it. He isn’t a sexy upside type of prospect, but Ragans has a clear separator that will get him to the big leagues: a knockout 65-grade changeup for which he has plus feel. His fastball is sneaky productive despite average velocity and his curveball has always been fringey, though scouts assume there will be an average breaking ball of some sort eventually due to Ragans’ ability to get the most out of his other pitches. His upside is a mid-rotation starter and more likely a back-end innings-eater, but Ragans doesn’t need to make many more adjustments before he’s ready, and scouts rave about his makeup.

97. Brandon Marsh, CF, LAA
Drafted: 2nd Round, 2016 from Buford HS (GA)
Age 19 Height 6’4 Weight 210 Bat/Throw L/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/50 55/60 30/50 60/55 40/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Marsh was shelved with a back injury during the summer of 2016 but was healthy and turned loose on the Pioneer League in 2017. He has good feel to hit and plus raw power projection (though he’ll likely need to refine his approach to get to all of that power) with a non-zero chance of staying in center field. Marsh’s frame suggests added mass as he ages, which might move him to right field, but he’ll probably have the bat to play there, too.

98. Jay Groome, LHP, BOS
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Barnegat HS (NJ)
Age 18 Height 6’6 Weight 220 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
55/55 55/65 40/50 40/50

Scouting Summary
Groome still touts the fastball/curveball combination that made him such a dynamite amateur prospect, but his 2017 season was marred by injury, a lack of changeup development, and questions about his conditioning. There’s still time for him to become a front-end starter, but the timeline has shifted.

99. Alex Kirilloff, RF, MIN
Drafted: 1st Round, 2016 from Plum HS (PA)
Age 19 Height 6’2 Weight 195 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
30/55 55/60 30/50 50/45 40/50 60/60

Scouting Summary
Some scouts are put off by Kirilloff’s buggy-whip swing, but he showed great feel to hit in high school and during his first pro summer, so most think he’ll be able to tap into what projects as plus raw power. Kirilloff had Tommy John last March and didn’t play in 2017. Assuming a full arm-strength recovery, he projects in right field.

100. Franklin Perez, RHP, DET
Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Venezuela
Age 20 Height 6’3 Weight 215 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
55/60 45/50 50/55 50/60 45/50

Scouting Summary
Acquired from Houston as part of the return for Justin Verlander, Perez has advanced command of a four-pitch mix that enabled him to reach Double-A at age 19. He’ll likely have a plus fastball and changeup at peak, while his breaking balls are still works in progress. So, too, is Perez’s ability to handle a full-season workload. He’s had some knee trouble, and Houston spaced out his starts pretty liberally late last year as a way to limit his inning. His 86 innings last year were a career high, so while Perez is advanced from a stuff and pitchability standpoint, he likely won’t reach Detroit and stay there until he’s capable of handling more innings. He projects as an above-average big-league starter with a bit more developmental distance to travel than you might think given his level.

Other Prospects in Consideration

RHPs
Sandy Alcantara, RHP, Miami Marlins
Adbert Alzolay, RHP, Chicago Cubs
Shane Baz, RHP, Pittsburgh Pirates
J.B. Bukauskas, RHP, Houston Astros
Beau Burrows, RHP, Detroit Tigers
Dane Dunning, RHP, Chicago White Sox
James Kaprielian, RHP, Oakland Athletics
Franklyn Kilome, RHP, Philadelphia Phillies
Tyler Mahle, RHP, Cincinnati Reds
Matt Manning, RHP, Detroit Tigers
Luis Medina, RHP, New York Yankees
Freicer Perez, RHP, New York Yankees
Cal Quantrill, RHP, San Diego Padres
Chris Rodriguez, RHP, Los Angeles Angels
Fernando Romero, RHP, Minnesota Twins
Brandon Woodruff, RHP, Milwaukee Brewers

LHPs
Kolby Allard, LHP, Atlanta Braves
Logan Allen, LHP, San Diego Padres
Anthony Banda, LHP, Arizona Diamondbacks
Stephen Gonsalves, LHP, Minnesota Twins
Joey Lucchesi, LHP, San Diego Padres
Yohander Mendez, LHP, Texas Rangers
Adrian Morejon, LHP, San Diego Padres

C
Keibert Ruiz, C, Los Angeles Dodgers
Chance Sisco, C, Baltimore Orioles

INF
Aramis Ademan, SS, Chicago Cubs
Christian Arroyo, 3B, Tampa Bay Rays
Lucas Erceg, 3B, Milwaukee Brewers
Wander Franco, SS, Tampa Bay Rays
Jose Israel Garcia, SS, Cincinnati Reds
Kevin Maitan, 3B, Los Angeles Angels
Shed Long, 2B, Cincinnati Reds

OF
Jose Adolis Garcia, CF, St. Louis Cardinals
Trent Grisham, LF, Milwaukee Brewers
Seuly Matias, RF, Kansas City Royals
Heliot Ramos, CF, San Francisco Giants
Corey Ray, CF, Milwaukee Brewers
Christin Stewart, DH, Detroit Tigers
Jesse Winker, LF, Cincinnati Reds





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jamfan40Member since 2025
8 years ago

Eloy is on the White Sox. Don’t tease me!

daveperek
8 years ago

Eloy Jimenez showing as ChC. Should be changed to White Sox

John S
8 years ago

i’m going to get thumbs downed for this, but… touki toussaint at 60 makes me wonder whether it’s possible to mentally divorce what one has done from what one will do.

John S
8 years ago
Reply to  John S

this was a plus 10 comment at 12 PST and three hours later a minus 8. that’s gotta be the definition of high variance.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  John S

Unleash the bots!

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  John S

There’s a guy out there with at least 40 different accounts who will just go to town on anyone who annoys him.

He’s actually sort of famous IRL, much more famous than any of us. He wrote a computer program that sent letters to Philly newspapers trashing Phillies’ ownership, which caused a number of unexpected problems and landed him in prison for a while.

southie
8 years ago

Yadier Alvarez is ranked #54 in baseball prospects yet profiles as a 4th starter or late inning arm? That seems like a guy who should be in the footnotes and not 54th ranked prospect in baseball no?

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  southie

High variance. Very, very high variance. Like, “could never make the majors or could be Max Scherzer level of good”.

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  southie

There are some radically different FV estimates on Dodger prospects between the lists. BP has both Verdugo and Buehler as FV60 prospects, and has 7 Dodgers in the top 101. This list has both of them substantially lower than that and only 4 players in the top 100 (including 1 player, Will Smith, who isn’t on BP’s list at all).

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  southie

As for Alvarez himself, he still has the upside of a no 2 starter, but he’s trending in the ‘can’t figure out command’ direction. He throws 99-100 as a starter w/ a fantastic breaking pitch, so the upside Is Syndergaardian.

mikejuntMember
8 years ago

With BP also dropping their 101 today, its very interesting to observe which players are evaluated most differently between the lists.

Kristopher
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

I like this list. I think a lot of outlets are using essentially a linear $/WAR model whereas, E and K are having none of it.

Do you value a player who will be (humour me) 100% a 3 WAR player -or- 50% 6 WAR player? If you’re evaluating the cost of each win linearly, you’ll view them as equal, but I don’t know if that’s the way it should be.

When it comes to team control, those 5th, 6th, and 7th WAR are much, much more valuable to the team during the control years.

Even after team control, the truly elite players are worth more than you’d expect just using the standard war/$ calcs.

LHPSU
8 years ago
Reply to  Kristopher

You didn’t say what the other 50% is.

Kristopher
8 years ago
Reply to  LHPSU

Ha. Thanks. It was 3/3 or 6/0, so an incredibly simplified example, and thus the “humour me.” Obviously outcomes aren’t binary.

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  Kristopher

No, there’s just different evaluations on upside. FG uses one ranking, BP gives two (basically an upside ranking and a likely ranking), but FG has Alex Verdugo as a FV50 prospect with Low variance, and BP has Alex Verdugo as an OFP 70 / Likely 60 Prospect which are radically different opinions about his future.

And if BP’s evaluations were just inflated overall we’d see basically the same list; but we don’t, as there are dramatic differences in how some teams do and do not rate (BP has only 2 Astros prospects in their top 101, for example: Whitley and Fisher in the top 20, and that’s it).

But that’s exactly why this is interesting, because consensus prospect rankings are things we could have predicted ourselves just by looking at ESPN, BA and other outlets.

The interesting players are the ones where very competent prospect teams can evaluate players to substantially different outlooks.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

Evaluators just value players differently within the industry. They see different scouting reports. They get different live looks. Some are better at it than others. I don’t think there is a player on this list that doesn’t solicit a range of outcomes from different evaluators.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  Kristopher

Yeah, I don’t know about that. I have not gotten the impression that any outlet is using a particular model. I think talking about WAR and prospects is a bad idea as nobody has any idea what they are or will produce. I think it is a large step in the wrong direction…

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

That’s just incorrect, FG has a handy prospect valuation chart that shows expected WAR by FV grade, and is in fact what informs the final FV grade given out.

https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/valuing-the-2017-top-100-prospects/

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

I don’t question the existence of such a metric. I absolutely question the value of it. I do not believe that plays any role in the rankings. As you can see from the link you posted – they are not in any kind of tight descending order. I think that is just garbage for those who insist on putting everything in terms of WAR and $.

Stovokor
8 years ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

You’re just wrong here. I agree to the extent that scouting is probably too fuzzy to claim any sort of accurate quantitative model for measuring future value (eg I think KATOH is a waste of space).

But in evaluating prospects, you absolutely need a framework for weighting glove, arm, hit, power, eye, etc. appropriately so that the team identifies and develops players that will help it win ballgames. That, in a nutshell, is what WAR does, so you’re going to look at prospects through that lens (or something very similar).

If you’re a scout and don’t use a WAR-like framework when evaluating players, then one would have to question what exactly you’re even doing out there.

ShauncoreMember since 2019
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

BP tends to be more tools/upside based than the approach taken here (and I like the approach here a bit more)

* 102 means the player did not make BP’s 101

comment image

Outside of Ohtani, a lot of the guys that were on FG but not BP were guys like Andujar, Bauers, Moran, Hates, O’Neill, Fowler, etc… A little bit more of the good chance at being a major league regular than could be a huge star or could bust in AA.

Made FG but not BP:

Shohei Ohtani
Miguel Andujar
Cristian Pache
Jake Bauers
Yordan Alvarez
Colin Moran
Austin Riley
Ke’Bryan Hayes
Touki Toussaint
Tyler O’Neill
Anderson Espinoza
Will Smith
Jorge Guzman
Tristen Lutz
Danny Jansen
Cole Tucker
Nate Pearson
Max Fried
Yu-Cheng Chang
Sean Murphy
Brian Anderson
Zack Burdi
Zack Collins
Bobby Bradley
Jose Siri
Braxton Garrett
Michael Chavis
Cole Ragans
Brandon Marsh
Alex Kirilloff

Made BP but not FG:

Kolby Allard
Jorge Alfaro
Dylan Cease
Cal Quantrill
Adrian Morejon
Chance Adams
Keibert Ruiz
Magneuris Sierra
Heliot Ramos
Ryan Mountcastle
Franklyn Kilome
Dustin May
Sandy Alcantara
Yusniel Diaz
Seuly Matias
Seth Romero
Brett Phillips
Andres Gimenez
Jake Burger
Mitch White
Erick Fedde
Dane Dunning
Blake Rutherford
Jesse Winker
Arquimedez Gamboa
Beau Burrows
Ronald Guzman
Adbert Alzolay
Shane Baz
Fernando Romero
Mike Matuella

*Note I might have missed some names and some guys made the honorable mentions

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  Shauncore

Yeah, thanks, that is excellent. It’s interesting to get 2 lists on the exact same day so there hasn’t been time for an industry consensus to change in the interim like there might be from a list that originated in January.

mrenick1974Member since 2018
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

actually, BP made their list in late December (for book publication). Still hasn’t been much that “should” have affected in the meantime.

ShauncoreMember since 2019
8 years ago
Reply to  Shauncore

I’m sorry this post is so big BTW. Please forgive me.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  Shauncore

I don’t mind at all. I was wondering the same thing and am glad someone did the work for me.

The GuruMember since 2026
8 years ago
Reply to  Shauncore

i lean more to the BP list. FG list leans too heavily on Katoh in a sense that age and classification play too much a role.

evo34Member since 2023
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

Can anyone tell me something about who does the BP top prospects list? As far as I can tell, they rotate in new bloggers each year and hope no one notices.

runningfrog
8 years ago

Chance Adams not even in your top 137. Think that makes you guys the low ranking on him. What concerns do you guys have that other rankers seem to be ignoring?

Damaso
8 years ago
Reply to  runningfrog

Imo the better question is – why should Adams be ranked?

His stuff is meh, his performance is meh, and he’s not young.

casey jMember since 2026
8 years ago
Reply to  Damaso

This is not a “better question”. Its a different question.

Damaso
8 years ago
Reply to  casey j

a different, better question.

Rational FanMember since 2025
8 years ago
Reply to  Damaso

What is meh about his performance? In 3 minor league seasons he has thrown 310 innings, k’ed 324, walked 106, has a 2.33 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and a FIP around 3.4. I would say that’s better than Meh.

Damaso
8 years ago
Reply to  Rational Fan

the ERA is deceiving imo.

in the high minors he has low-20s K%, with a little less than half that in bb%, groundball rate in the low 40s, fip in the high 3s and xfip over 4. he’s putting up a sexier ERA thanks to babip in the low .200s but i’m not surprised the fangraphs rankers don’t look on that as favorably as some others.

i just don’t see anything there demanding top 100 consideration performance wise, and i’d say the same about his stuff.

I get why he got consideration in single A but I don’t really see it now.

dl80Member since 2026
8 years ago
Reply to  Damaso

I’d agree. The last time he was really dominant was as a 22 year old in A ball. Since then, his K and BB rates have trended towards average in AAA. I actually think he looks likely to be a late rotation guy with low variance. Maybe that should get him ranked?

But he looks very unlikely to be a star, since the BABIPs are unsustainable.

py2slMember since 2016
8 years ago

Great list. I look forward to the discussions which will inevitably follow.
Quick note: the link for Danny Jansen is incorrect, as is his age.

MattabattacolaMember since 2026
8 years ago

Wow I am happy with that write up for Zack Burdi! A unicorn!?!?

goyo70
8 years ago
Reply to  Mattabattacola

I thought Evan White was a unicorn. How many unicorns are there?

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago

I really like the prominent links on the front page. The Fangraphs prospect content is excellent and is usually relatively hard to find compared to other outlets. I think that the prospect content should have a prominent link all year long. With two prospect writers, I expect a lot of daily looks – may as well feature it. Good job so far!

TKDCMember since 2016
8 years ago

Safe to say Fangraphs also thinks the Braves have the best system in baseball right now. 10 guys, including 5 of the 42 55+ guys. Cristian Pache is 37th and he’s hit the same number of professional home runs as I have. That defense must be something else. Sidenote: his age is wrong in the write up. He’s 19.

MetsoxMember since 2016
8 years ago
Reply to  TKDC

I think the Pache rating might be the most interesting in this whole list. I agree. His defense must be Kiermaierian.

AzizalMember since 2017
8 years ago
Reply to  Metsox

I think I’ve seen at least 2 different FG ppl compare him to Pillar, so maybe not quite Kiermaierian, but up there.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  Metsox

Are Buxtons not the standard unit for measuring CFs yet?

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  TKDC

And that’s with Kolby Allard out of the Top 100, which is not something I would have ever done. The system is insane.

LHPSU
8 years ago

I have to think that an ascending list would have served you better – although I guess a lot of people would just skip straight to the end then.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago

This list is awesome. What a wealth of information. I especially liked seeing Will Smith and Tyler O’Neill get some Top 100 love! These guys are going to be good.

A few things that I don’t get, or otherwise disagree with, or have thoughts on:

-Juan Soto at #50? I know low-minors guys are always tricky to value but he’s the real deal. I certainly wouldn’t slot him below Kieboom, who is also a really good prospect but a year older at the same level.
-Similar thoughts on Keibert Ruiz. He’s in the low minors but he’s a stud, and I’m surprised he didn’t make it onto the Top 100.
-Touki Touissant…I know he’s only 21 but jeez…do we really think he’s going to develop?
-If Forrest Whitley isn’t an FV65 with a double-plus fastball and three plus secondary pitches and dominated AA as a 19 year old, I don’t think anyone will get there.
-It was kind of jarring seeing Gleyber Torres sliding out of the top tier. This sure looks like it’s about defensive position, because I can’t imagine they’re low on the bat.
-I understand cognitively why Lewis Brinson is rated this high, but goodness he’s a scary prospect. I’m a little surprised the variance on him is only “medium”.
-IMO it seems like there are more really elite, FV65 prospects now than in the past. Whitley/Bichette/Tucker/Torres are all guys who would be in the FV65 mix in my mind. But the FV50s seem a little weaker than in the past. Maybe it is all in my mind.

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Ya, BP has Ruiz in the like mid-50s today on their list.

A lot of outlets don’t use any of the -5s except 45 and 55, as there’s not enough players to have it be worth distinguishing between 60s and 65s.

Chris Reitsma
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Touki made huge strides in his peripherals last season, so I don’t think it’s crazy to believe that he can continue to develop. It’s actually surprising how little faith the industry has in him.

The GuruMember since 2026
8 years ago

i’ll get thumb down for this but this list is probably the worst one fangraphs has put out thru the years. This is Keith Law esque, being different just to be different, his sake is selling subscriptions.

The GuruMember since 2026
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

for one you cant just change players positions because you don’t like where they play. Michael Chavis for instance is listed as a 1B…nevery played one inning there. how is he one of the top 1B propsects when he doesnt play 1b? He should be one of top 3b.

abgb123
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

Well this is a subjective listing based on the information they have available, being as generally 1st base prospects don’t actually exist I would say that it’s the authors of this list opinion that Vlad will end up at first. I understood the information in the listing as being that 1st base was where they expect him to ascend to in the majors, which based on his body and defensive limitations seems likely.
I could be wrong of course.

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

For many of those players there is a wide consensus they will never play in MLB at the position they’re at and their value is discounted accordingly.

Vlad is not a MLB 3rd baseman.

AzizalMember since 2017
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

This getting downvoted is bizarre. Almost every scout agrees Vlad Jr will be a 1b.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  Azizal

There’s a guy sockpuppeting. Don’t take it personally…it went from positive to negative in about 10 minutes earlier today.

ChippersJonesing
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

It might be different because prospect listing is a near 100% subjective practice.

It would be stupid, pointless, and wrong if everyone just had the same list.

The GuruMember since 2026
8 years ago

Vlad Jr is another one listed at 1b….never played there.

Damaso
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

And this jays fan thinks that’s exactly right, as Vladdy is almost certainly a 1B in the bigs. if he does play 3B, he will likely be very bad at it.

And i would also list Bichette as a 2B/3B, not an SS, too.

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

The consensus of all evaluators, not just FG evaluators, is that Vlad will not play 3b in the major leagues.

The GuruMember since 2026
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

well not according to his team. thats the only place he has palyed

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

Prospects frequently play at positions they’d never play in MLB while they are in the minor leagues to see if they will develop or simply to get more repetitions – most MLB 2B are SS prospects up until AAA, for example.

There is a consensus 0% chance that Vlad-Bichette is a 3b/SS combo at the MLB level. Bichette will be 2b/3b, and Vlad will play first.

The minors are not about winning; they are about development and practice. SS and 3b get more fielding reps than 2b and 1b, so they get the reps even if the resulting fielding is not playable at the MLB level.

There’s always players who defy this belief and stick (Corey Seager at SS, for example), but most of those are predicted age-decline. Vlad is already a below-average 3b at 18 years old.

A vast majority of prospects move down the defensive spectrum as they go upwards through the minor leagues and the required performance becomes higher. This is why ‘1B only prospects’ are held to such an extreme standard, because there’s nowhere for them to move further downward.

mikejuntMember
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

The AEC is real in this thread.

gabriel
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

There is manifestly not a 0% consensus chance that Vlad sticks at 3B or that Bichette sticks at SS. Many evaluators give both a chance to stick at those positions – BA and MLB Pipeline come to mind immediately.

I’m fine with FG listing them at the positions they expect them to play in the majors, but it’s plainly inaccurate to say all analysts see them as certain to move positions.

Stovokor
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

You’re aware that Miggy Cabrera, Gary Sheffield, and even Mike Morse played shortstop in the minors?

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  mikejunt

As a prospect, Wilmer Flores had no chance to play SS and few thought he would even be able to play 3B. He ended up playing both at a non-embarrassing level in MLB. Things don’t usually turn out how people think they will. I agree that Vlad may not play 3B, but he is just a kid – he might. Scouts often read too much into a thickly built kid – sometimes they lean out.

AlexTheGreat
8 years ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

I’m still waiting

carterMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  AlexTheGreat

That is a great comment Alex. I think people give up too quickly. I see why they think Vlad won’t stick, but I’d venture Bichette will get some reps in the mlb at ss.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago

There are many interesting omissions and names that I didn’t expect to see here. A fresh perspective is always interesting to see. Thanks for the list.

I was surprised at how low Franklin Perez is placed. I don’t disagree but that stood out to me. He is behind guys that have done close to nothing.

Damaso
8 years ago

thank you for giving Danny Jansen his well-deserved credit.

Damaso
8 years ago
Reply to  Damaso

in fact, good job giving all the 2nd tier jays prospects – Alford, Jansen, Pearson – more appropriate rankings for their performance + tools than literally every single other top 100.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago

Atlanta is stacked. Just stacked. The White Sox and Padres and Yankees have a lot of top-tier prospects but Atlanta’s system is just ridiculous.

BobbyJohn69
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

The other teams in the East better make some hay in the next couple of seasons because the Braves are about to take over that division.

Rex Manning DayMember since 2022
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

As a rough ranking, I summed the FV for each team’s prospects that made the list:

1. Atlanta: 10 prospects, 535 total FV
2. White Sox: 6 prospects, 335 total FV
3-tie. Miami & Oakland: 6 prospects, 310 total FV (each)
4-tie. San Diego, Tampa Bay, & Toronto: 5 prospects, 280 total FV
5. Yankees: 5 prospects, 275 total FV

The bottom of the list has Boston at 2 prospects/100 FV; Arizona, Baltimore, and Detroit at 1/50 each; and the Cubs, Royals, Mets, Mariners, and Giants missing the list entirely.

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago

Gotta love how no national writer will ever say the A’s are the 3rd best farm, but they really kind of are. They have 16 50+ grade prospects.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago

Those trades they made last year restocked the system in a big way.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago

I’m surprised to see the Yankees and San Diego that far behind the White Sox, but maybe I’m thinking of the overall system depth.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

There is a stacked team or two every year.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago

A little high on Albert Abreu for my taste, and pretty low on Kolby Allard.

ChippersJonesing
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Allard falling completely off is a bit much for me too, but Law just did the same thing (if I remember correctly), and the other publications have all had him fall a long ways.

I, personally, think it’s one they’ll all end up having to correct by midseason, tough for me to see how a 19 year old pitcher is so succesful in the upper minors without still at least being in the back of a top 100. I’ve heard the reports of diminished stuff, but this looks like an overreaction to me.

Leverage
8 years ago

M I C K E Y __M O N I A K

Sorry, but Eric raved about Moniak’s hit tool saying that some scouts put a 70 on it. Neither one of you have written anything about the decline of Moniak nor will you take questions on Moniak in a chat. This is dereliction of duty. You don’t get to simply act like the first pick of the draft from one and one half years previously does not exist when in fact he has been playing since he was picked.

Alex Reyes and Anderson Espinoza did not play at all in 2017. They are both recovering or I should say and you should acknowledge that they are attempting to recover from serious arm surgery. It is time to put a halt to this notion that arm surgery such as they had is no big deal. Yes, it is a big deal. In no way should it even be assumed that they have a future of any kid as a MLB pitcher until they are seen back on a mound throwing to hitters in games again. It would take too long to run down the pitchers who have never resumed their MLB careers over just the last five years at the level they once did before having the same surgery.

Riley Pint is on your list? This dude is a total wreck. I’ll be generous and give him a five percent chance of becoming a reliever in MLB. Mitch Williams did so why not Riley Pint? He has no business even being considered for a Top 100 list.

Luis Robert. Putting this guy this high on the list is the same as some guy showing up in the comments and writing “First!” Worked for Francisco Lindor, but J.P. Crawford has been on these Top 100 lists longer than anyone and maybe longer than anyone ever. Some like Mickey Moniak just disappear and then the prospect rater pretends he never heard of him and creates a filter in his chats to zap any question about the mistake.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  Leverage

It would be easier for everyone to not blow off your comment if your tone was bit more reasonable. I agree with your sentiments but I doubt your message will be well-received.

TransTard
8 years ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

Someday I’ll wish upon a star
Wake up where the clouds are far behind me
Where trouble melts like lemon drops
High above the chimney top
That’s where you’ll find me

Oh, somewhere over the rainbow way up high
And the dream that you dare to, why oh, why can’t I?

CC AFCMember since 2016
8 years ago
Reply to  TransTard

GTFO with your name, clown

frangipardMember since 2026
8 years ago
Reply to  Leverage

You’d have a much stronger argument if Kiley and Eric had a pattern of hiding their whiffs. They don’t. See, for example Eric’s recent writeup of Corey Ray.

FFS, those chats get hundreds of questions and they can answer something like 30 of them. Insisting that if they don’t answer your pet questions that they must be ducking something is flatly childish. If you want detailed analysis as to why damn near *everyone* was wrong on Moniak (he was a consensus top 7 pick), there’s no shortage out there (e.g. Matt Winkleman’s excellent website — http://philliesminorthoughts.com/2018-top-50-phillies-prospects-1-10/). Or you could even wait a week or two and see what Matt and Kiley say in their forthcoming Phillies writeup.

Alternatively, you could scream like a poor man’s AEC.

ShauncoreMember since 2019
8 years ago
Reply to  frangipard

This is definitely AEC

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  Shauncore

I actually doubted you on this at first, but suddenly everyone pointing out that this is kind of childish started getting downvoted into oblivion. So yeah, we can add this to his list of alter egos.

ShauncoreMember since 2019
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

The “M I C K E Y __M O N I A K” gave it away.

frangipardMember since 2026
8 years ago
Reply to  Shauncore

LOL. I said that thinking it wasn’t him, but the dozen downvotes in an hour make it obvious it was.

How pathetic to be a Philadelphia sports fan, and yet on this of all days, his preoccupation is that national writers are insufficiently critical of Phillies players…

Dominikk85Member since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  Leverage

Actually eric discussed moniak in almost any chat. Moniak simply hasn’t really hit all that well, neither power nor average. Still too young to write him off completely of course.

tb.25
8 years ago
Reply to  Leverage

The amount of downvotes on reasonable replies heavily suggests a downvote-program. Recent frequency of these freak-downvote sessions support this…

BobbyJohn69
8 years ago

On the whole, a pretty woeful representation for the Rockies. And with Blackmon (’18), LeMahieu (’18), and Arenado (’19) all staring down free agency in the near term, to boot.

Damaso
8 years ago

I know command and control aren’t the same thing, but how worrisome can Pearson’s apparent command issues really be with a 7% walk rate (and barely over 2bb/9 in college)?

martyvan90Member since 2026
8 years ago
Reply to  Damaso

You answered your own question. Plenty of examples to demonstrate college isn’t the pros, and the minors aren’t the majors.

Paul G.Member since 2016
8 years ago

Search for “NYM”. No matches found. Oof.

FrancoLuvHateMets
8 years ago
Reply to  Paul G.

Sadly, I can’t disagree with the list.

Moltar
8 years ago
Reply to  Paul G.

Did the same. I can’t squabble with this list at all but I was hoping Gimenez or Peterson would at least make the HMs. But hey, that half a season of Cuddyer was better than any first round pick we could’ve had, right?

FrancoLuvHateMets
8 years ago
Reply to  Moltar

The interesting guys are all at low A ball or below for the most part, so it’s justified not ranking them. We can hope that a couple of them make these lists next year.

Noah BaronMember since 2016
8 years ago
Reply to  Paul G.

Yeah, I don’t know if that’s appropriate. Gimenez should at least be “under consideration”, and he’s on most of the other lists I’ve seen. I’m also extremely high on Peter Alonso, even though I haven’t seen him on any lists. Dude absolutely mashed in A+ and AA after recovering from a wrist injury early last year. He has the bat to stick at 1B, and think there is a lot of bias against right-handed 1B.

You can also make the case for Peterson, but personally I understand why he isn’t included given his lack of experience. Szapucki also definitely would have made the lists before he got hurt.

shaq_diesel
8 years ago

Any thoughts on DJ Stewart of the Orioles? He’s a former 1st rounder who hit a ton last year. 21 HR and a .380 OBP in spite of a bad BABIP is tough to overlook. He swiped 20 bags too.

bohknowsbmore
8 years ago
Reply to  shaq_diesel

They appear pretty low on the Orioles altogether.

Hays at 90 vs. 21 in BP
Cisco on the others not making list
Mountcastle not mentioned

TOC
8 years ago
Reply to  bohknowsbmore

Not surprised Sisco fell off. Hasn’t panned out defensively as a Catcher, doesn’t have a real carrying tool (contact without much power).
However I would be curious to hear why Mountcastle wasn’t even a consideration. He’s going to hit at the big league level and he’s going to hit for power. I don’t think he sticks at third, and I think he probably gets pulled down in the rankings because he lacks a defensive home.
This seems silly to me. I think if he was just being considered as a LF or 1B in the first place, he’d be thought of more favorably.
To summarize, I feel that his bat gets awkwardly penalized because the team is attempting to extract more value out of him by attempting to fit him at a more premier position.

TwinPeaks
8 years ago

It would be fun and interesting to see floor and ceiling comparisons, especially for the High variance prospects, although I suppose many of the floors for the High variance prospects would be “cup of coffee” or “maxed out at AAA”. Especially wondering about Luis Robert…

Jon
8 years ago

Can someone educate me a little on the hit tool, and specifically what goes into the future value (i.e. the 2nd number for the hit tool)? It seems a lot more vague than, say, power. I mean if we know a guy is big and strong, he’d presumably have a high raw power (and game power) future score, even if the results aren’t there yet.

But what does a big disparity between current and future hit tool mean (see Kyle Tucker). Is this saying “he doesn’t hit a lot of line drives/have a great eye/put the bat on the ball well now, but he could in the future”? Couldn’t we say that about any player (in a way we that we couldn’t about raw power)?

ASDspectrum
8 years ago
Reply to  Jon

Eric say moniak have 70 hit tool. ask him toomorrow in chat.

ButtaboyMember since 2025
8 years ago
Reply to  Jon

That stats that relate to hit tool are things such as, AVG and strikeout %. Dave or maybe Jeff did a study and found that scouts — out of all the tools– are the worst at projecting hit tool in the bigs. As for future hit tool, I think it’s pretty much scout talk BS. I would personally just look at strikeout % for hitters as KATHO does, it has proven to be pretty predictive.

frangipardMember since 2026
8 years ago
Reply to  Jon
sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  frangipard

This is right, but if you’re looking for statistical indicators you’re probably looking at these numbers.

https://www.fangraphs.com/library/offense/plate-discipline/

As Kiley notes in that article, however, at the amateur level the numbers mean nothing at all.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  Jon

Nobody has an answer to this… hit tool is the hardest one to evaluate. I pay attention to what grades it receives, but I don’t give it much weight. i think of it kind of like command for a pitcher – you just don’t know what will happen when they get promoted a level.

Inge15Member since 2020
8 years ago

I am eagerly awaiting the explanation for McKenzie getting downgraded despite being A) one of the youngest for his level; B) among the minor league leaders in Ks; C) having two plus pitches

defenders50
8 years ago
Reply to  Inge15

I just want to know where the changeup concerns came from. First I’ve heard of them here. I don’t think he’s had any LHB split problems in the minors (probably because the curve negates splits regardless).

szakylMember since 2024
8 years ago
Reply to  defenders50

I started searching around the internet to see if anybody else mentioned his change and I found a Let’s Go Tribe article describe all 3 pitches as plus. IDK
(The others that mention it mostly say that it’s still in development.)

defenders50
8 years ago
Reply to  szakyl

Well, just last year Eric had it as a 45 at present and a 60 in the future. That’s a significant dropoff to what is stated above.

JG007
8 years ago

what should we make of the fact that Baz was listed as #3 on the Top 25 Pirates list, but he’s the 6th best Pirate here?

is this based on new information?
is Baz at 3 in the Top 25 just a product of Eric’s preferences, and 6th Pirate in the Top 100 a product of collaboration with Kiley?

Obviously i realize that this glut of 50 FV players, and the ordering isn’t that important. But i thought it was worth asking.

Thanks.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  JG007

You might be right about Kiley – that would make the most sense.

defenders50
8 years ago

It’s interesting that Franklin Perez’s tools all got better or stayed the same, but his ranking slide by a good amount.

Then again, Luis Ortiz went from a 55 FV to not even a top 137 prospect during an offseason, so I feel like quite a few scouting metrics might need to be updated here.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  defenders50

You are thinking the scouting metrics need to be updated? Disagreeing is a different animal… These are subjective rankings curated by humans. It sounds more like you are describing the KATOH list, which I would bet you will be far more useless.

defenders50
8 years ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

By scouting metrics I meant the scouting grades, though I regret my language wasn’t clear. Obviously if Luis Ortiz went from a 55 FV to a 45 FV some of his pitches’ grades must have dropped as well, and so forth. Also, if Franklin Perez saw all his scouting sub-components improve over last year’s list, but that results in a lower FV, likewise that means that there’s been a shift in how a certain set of tools (60FB/55 CV/55 CH for example) is getting translated into one final FV number.

It’s just a rough list to make sense of since not only have the sub-component tool grades changed since a month ago (see Luis Ortiz), but also the way the tool grades translate into a FV have changed as well (I’m guessing this is due to Kiley coming on). I’d like an update on both- update both the players who have been downgraded and fill us in on the process from tools to FV grade.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  defenders50

Makes sense!

AceCard
8 years ago
Reply to  defenders50

Ortiz caught my eye as well. He was a 55 on the MIL team page on Dec 8, 2017. Now 2 months later he’s not on this list so he’s less than 50….and he’s not even on the best of the 40/45 page. wow! would love to see the NL Central numbers get updated.

dvmin98
8 years ago

Hmmmm….no Quantril or Morejon, but have Espinosa for the Padres. Also, saying that McKenzie Gore is likely a #3 starter, is pretty laughable.

I like Tatis at 5, but I think that’s pushing it a bit.

timmer
8 years ago

where’s vogelbach

AzizalMember since 2017
8 years ago
Reply to  timmer

he wasn’t good last year and can’t play defense. Kinda old for a prospect, too.

bjsguess
8 years ago

It has been a long time since this Angel fan read a prospect report with a smile on his face.

The system may not be great but we have graduated from putrid.

southie
8 years ago
Reply to  bjsguess

Sounds like the motto of my university.

goyo70
8 years ago

I know it never looks good to complain that player [x] from team [y] is not being appreciated, but I’m going to do it anyway. Kyle Lewis has been hurt, but I don’t see what’s changed that he’s not still a 55 with high variance.

py2sI
8 years ago
Reply to  goyo70

He’ll never be the same again.

py2slMember since 2016
8 years ago
Reply to  py2sI

This wasn’t me.

delatopiaMember since 2017
8 years ago
Reply to  py2sl

That must seem freaky. Cap I instead of lowercase l?

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago

My biggest complaint about the list is Hiura. That seems like an awfully aggressive placement for a non-elite athlete. I’ll take Willie Calhoun as a similar player that has hit at much higher levels and has much more pop. I don’t hate Hiura and I do like his swing, but I am not convinced that it is an impact bat. I know college bats are the safest profile and you can say that Hiura was the most advanced college bat, but I am not a huge fan of the player. In any case, just trying to facilitate some discussion.

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

My biggest complaint on all these lists: where is Austin Beck?

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago

In rookie ball with a 29.3% strikeout rate. He’s like Monte Harrison was when he was drafted.

I would have taken Jo Adell over him in a heartbeat, as well as Hiura, Haseley (whoops), Baz, Evan White, Bukauskas…really, almost anyone else selected in the Top 21 selected.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I don’t think he is like Monte Harrison. Beck was drafted much higher and expectations are much higher. It is easy to label a guy an overdraft after all the rankings have been published! Monte was a bust for the first three years of his career. His breakout included a roughly .270 average in A ball and a 27% K rate. I think he is overrated at this point. When I put it like that, maybe Beck is like Harrison, but that is if he turns out to be a bust. I am hoping he doesn’t swirl the drain for a few years. Aside from being low on Monte, I think the upside of Beck is higher than that of Harrison. That’s just my two cents.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

In the sense that Monte Harrison was an above-average hitter in rookie ball his first year and Austin Beck was well below it, I would agree they are not alike.

However, in the sense that they were drafted because they were elite athletes but had major questions about making contact, and you hoped everything would click for them, I think the comparison is apt.

(Harrison was a weird case. He was going to play football at Nebraska but was lured away with an overslot bonus. I also am skeptical he’s going to pan out in the end, FWIW.)

Frankly, I always thought Beck was going to be a bust. But I also thought Haseley was the best guy outside of the Top 5 chosen. So my track record is not spotless by any means.

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

It’s because he’s on Oakland, we can just say it now. If Beck was on the Yankees he’d be top 40 easily. Literally every Oakland prospect (except Murphy, on this fg list) is at least 10 spots underrated. Puk is probably a top 10 guy who absolutely is going to dominate MLB, but he’s floating around the 30s and 40s because of who drafted him.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago

You realize nearly every team’s fans say that about these lists, right? You also realize most prospects bust, right?

Beck would barely crack the Top 10 of the Yankees list anyway. He barely cracks the Top 10 of Oakland’s list, too.

RonnieDobbs
8 years ago

That is a good one. Beck is ranked by nobody in the top 100, so FG didn’t really go out on a limb here. I think he should be ranked as well. Sure, he struggled, but so did a lot of players. It is very conventional wisdom that the pro debut doesn’t mean much either way. He didn’t strike out as much as Heliot Ramos who gained a bunch of helium… I think we are putting a bit too much weight into debuts.

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago
Reply to  RonnieDobbs

That’s what I’m talking about, what did he do to become the ONLY non top 15 draft pick from 2017 to make zero lists? Judging off 174 PAs? GTFO! He had a bad flu for his first month in pro ball too.

Rational FanMember since 2025
8 years ago

Sixto Sanchez ahead of Kopech is so puzzling; same as on the BP list. What about Sixto is more promising? I guess maybe his control so far? He’s slight of a frame at 5’10, has lesser stuff, has been less successful at the same levels at a lesser age and Kopech has a better build. What am I missing?

JG007
8 years ago
Reply to  Rational Fan

Future 55 command vs 45. That’s a huge difference.

Rational FanMember since 2025
8 years ago
Reply to  JG007

I understand that, but for example how can Kopech’s fastball be a 70 and future a 70 – he throws 105 MPH – while Hunter Greens future grade is an 80?

Kopech is a great athlete; most scouts would agree, and his command came a long way after a tweak in his delivery after the All-Star break. In the 2nd half his command was night and day better than the first. His athleticism paired with that improvement, all while still being very young for his level and I just don’t understand the ranking. I know Eric will say they are pretty much the same, but it’s just odd to see that many starters above Kopech. I understand setting him because because of injury risk, but these Kopech rankings feel a lot like Thor’s subpar rankings in 2014. Hard to say subpar given his placement, but he has generational arm talent.

During his second half, Kopech shrunk his walk rate all the way down to 1.98 per 9.

JG007
8 years ago
Reply to  Rational Fan

all the guys in the top 20 are awesome. i think you’re overthinking it 🙂 . Maybe their sources saw Sixto and Honeywell on especially good days or something. Splitting hairs. Kopech is awesome, and his ranking doesnt say otherwise.

Shirtless George Brett
8 years ago
Reply to  Rational Fan

Note that prospects are ranked by number but also lie within tiers demarcated by their Future Value grades. The FV grade is more important than the ordinal rankings.

Both Kopech and Sanchez are graded as 60 FV players with med variance. You could probably “rank” them anywhere from 10th to 25th. You are getting hung up on a pretty meaningless number.

Rational FanMember since 2025
8 years ago

And I’d say that ranking is low. Similar to Thor’s ranking here in 2015

https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/the-fangraphs-top-200-prospect-list/

Behind Appel and 5 other starters. Arm talents like Noah and Kopech are rare and while there is risk attached with that velocity I’d say their top 5ish starter in baseball ceiling cancels that out. I understand the tiers but Sexto is still ahead of him numerically and his risk is as high as Kopech while his ceiling isn’t near Kopechs. Just my two cents.

Still, no one has been able to explain how Hunter Greens future fastball has an 80 grade and kopechs doesn’t have one now or in the future.

Shirtless George Brett
8 years ago
Reply to  Rational Fan

You say you understand the tiers but then in the same sentence specifically complain the Sixto is ahead of Kopech numerically.

The number next to their name is really quite meaningless. You could shuffle them in any order. It says that right in the intro. Again, you are getting hung up something irrelevant.

Having said that, Sixto has 3 plus pitches (and potentially a 4th) to Kopech’s 2 and has more advanced command. So its really not that outrageous he would be slotted ahead of Kopech (which again, does not really mean anything)

And not to sound like a dick but I’m not sure why you think anyone should take your evaluation of their ceiling even remotely seriously let alone over two very very qualified individuals like Kiley and Eric.

Rational FanMember since 2025
8 years ago

Huh? Differing opinions are prevalent in this community. Kopechs ceiling, given his arm talent, isn’t really a secret and I don’t feel I’m in the minority. I just pointed to a past situation in which I argued that Appel over Noah was absurd. Should I have accepted their rankings despite my disagreement?

And the number matters, otherwise they would simply be ranked by tiers.

Shirtless George Brett
8 years ago
Reply to  Rational Fan

Yeah, the problem really seems to be that you dont understand the list and how it works. You should really read the intro and the links they provided more.

Have fun.

redsoxu571
8 years ago

I think the massive drop of Jason Groome from last year to this year (29 to 98) requires some explaining.

I won’t go into long detail here, but it’s worth reminding that Groome was very, very young when drafted. Among the high upside names taken high in the draft in recent history (Kershaw, Wheeler, Taillon, Bradley, Fried), Groome is significantly younger, about a year on average. Outside of Kershaw, none of that group had an eye-popping first full professional season, and yet that wasn’t held against them.

Meanwhile, Riley Pint easily outpaces Groome on this list, and he has been rocked both in his RK league debut and in his first full season. To make matters worse, Pint has had trouble missing bats even in the low-levels of the minors.

Groome had a tough year thanks to an early injury and bad rust when he returned, but his command was fine relative to his HS-drafted peers in a first pro season, and he showed plenty of strikeout dominance. I don’t see how Groome can be behind Pint, or drop this far if he looked good enough for 29 last year. If he had another rough season, I could understand a correct, but this feels premature.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  redsoxu571

I think you’re right that Jason Groome deserves to be over Pint, but Pint is not the guy you want to be compared to.

Joey Butts
8 years ago

As a Yankee fan, the top 15 is an emotional rollercoaster.

mbs2001
8 years ago

Reyes post TJ is ranked higher than Kopech?

“Surely you can’t be serious.”

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago
Reply to  mbs2001

I absolutely hate how high everyone has Reyes but aren’t ranking Kaprielian because “he had TJ surgery”. Uh, they BOTH did! We need to all get on the same page with this, either everyone agrees to not list TJ guys, or everyone ranks them as if they never had TJ.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  mbs2001

Because Alex Reyes was dominating against major league hitting with a plus-plus fastball and a plus changeup and two likely plus breaking balls before he blew out his arm. Pretty much the only reason he was an FV65 and not an FV70 is (1) the walks and (2) the drug suspension.

Reyes was a beast.

mbs2001
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

His 4.5 Walks per nine was too high, and you cannot expect players coming back from TJ to perform at the same level. I just disagree with ranking him higher than Kopech. The knock on Kopech is his command, which he improved over the last 1/2 of the season walking a total of 6 batters in his final 7 games.

I’m guessing that 90% of GMs would rather have Kopech over Reyes. Kopech is a gym rat who’s in incredible shape and Reyes conditioning has always been a concern.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago
Reply to  mbs2001

I reaaaaaaallllly don’t think you all get what it’s like to have a pitcher who at age 22 who put up 1.4 fWAR in only 46 innings against major league competition, plus with the best “stuff” in all of prospectdom.

This is not a knock on Kopech, but Reyes was insanely good.

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

You missed my point entirely. Great work! I’m sure going to care what you think about player evaluation!!!

Answer my question: “We need to all get on the same page with this, either everyone agrees to not list TJ guys, or everyone ranks them as if they never had TJ.”

sadtromboneMember since 2020
8 years ago

I think you missed my point entirely. The point was that if you drop Alex Reyes from an FV65 to an FV60 he’s still one of the top prospects in baseball. If you drop Kaprielian from an FV55 to an FV50 he doesn’t get mentioned on a list like this.

You rank guys who had TJ by dropping them a bit in FV to account for the increased chance they’ll never get their stuff back to where it was before. That’s what literally everyone does. It’s just that Reyes was the best pitching prospect in baseball by a mile, and Kap is one of many talented pitchers who has thrown a whopping 20 innnings in pro ball.

A couple other responses:
1) I wasn’t responding to you, that’s why I didn’t address it.
2) That’s not a question you posed, that’s a statement.

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago

Sean Murphy over Carson Kelly? Bold.

The GuruMember since 2026
8 years ago

yeah i would agree with this. its because they relied on katoh too much. For example:

Jake rogers for instance had better ops than smith and murphy (cal league),and also has better defense but finished in A+ (florida lg), where as sean murphy and will smith finished in AA (1AB) so the Katoh computers love them more since they are same age…even though rogers has the better stats offensively.

This is where i disagree with how kiley and eric did these rankings. Relied too heavily on katoh to make the rankings, and katoh relies too heavily on age and classification. just my opinion.

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago
Reply to  The Guru

Not sure you really understand prospect rankings if you’re bringing OPS into it.

Kelly was close to being the #1 overall C prospect before 2017, but he’s fallen on almost 2018 lists, including this one. I like Murphy because his D alone means his floor is a backup and if he hits he could be the next Salvy Perez, but Kelly’s been a prospect longer and really didn’t do anything to fall below Murphy. My question to FG people is: is Murphy’s D or bat THAT much better to leap over Kelly? Keep in mind this is the only top 100 list that Murphy landed on, so clearly, someone is high on him.

Troutmaggedon
8 years ago

So this is what it’s like when you have a farm system. Normally, I’d skip the Top 100 and check to see if we had any guys sneak in the Other prospects receiving consideration.

OkraMember since 2016
8 years ago

Eric/Kiley – this was obviously a lot of work and is great content. Thank you!

LenFuegoMember since 2025
8 years ago

I am surprised to see J.P. Crawford’s variance listed as “low”. Based on what I have read from various scouts, I could see him being a Hall of Famer and I could see him struggling to hit .220 without much power in the majors. That sure seems like high variance to me. I guess it is because he walks a lot and plays good defense, so even in the latter case he will have some value, but still.

P.S. Great job on the list … love all the info and the format.

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago
Reply to  LenFuego

Never heard anyone call him a HOF (are you listening to local writers too much?), always heard “good glove-only guy who could be a low level star if he hits, but he won’t hit that much to be an elite player”. That’s where the low variance probably comes in.

Joey Butts
8 years ago

I find the most interesting thing to be the number of prospects in each tier.
Number of 70/65/60/55 FV prospects
2017: 1/5/14/52
2018: 1/5/17/29

What happened to all of the 55 FV prospects? Has there really been such a dramatic drop-off in top-tier talent? Or is it just a change in the grading system?

Joey Butts
8 years ago
Reply to  Joey Butts

Oh, for God’s sake, JB. There are only 19 55 FV prospects this year.

DiscoJer
8 years ago

I really don’t understand the Tyler O’Neill love. You say “O’Neill is likely to reach base at an above-average rate “, yet his walk rate absolutely cratered once he was traded to the Cardinals and changed his swing.

Indeed, there seems to have only been a slight improvement (if that) between pre-trade (when he seems to have been considered a bust) and post trade (where he’s now not), yet all he did was trade OBP for SLG. And wOBA be damned, I’m not sure that’s worth the tradeoff

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago
Reply to  DiscoJer

Don’t understand how you can’t understand how minor leaguers constantly tinker with swings and try new things to see how they play out, and scrap or use them accordingly, and how that very clearly effects stats.

Minor Lg stats are borderline worthless, that’s a FACT many simply refuse to believe – why would you, when a player is just trying out a new mechanics thing for a couple months that might cause him to swing more, just to test the results? You are taking those numbers as concrete evidence and they aren’t real.

Theres a whole lotta experimenting going on in the minors, anytime anyone brings up numbers associated with clearly flawed outcomes like that, really doesn’t understand the game too well, just my opinion.

LenFuegoMember since 2025
8 years ago

The article says there are 50 bonus prospects listed at the bottom, but I only count 37. Are some missing, or was the article rounding to the nearest 50?

Shalesh
8 years ago
Reply to  LenFuego

I think the 37 extra round out all the FV50 prospects. Using Joey Butt’s post a couple above this:

Number of 70/65/60/55 FV prospects
2017: 1/5/14/52
2018: 1/5/17/29 (+ 85 50 FV prospects)

As an aside, I hope this list makes clear there is no way the Dodgers are giving a 55 like Walker Buehler (or any of their top 6 or 7, for that matter) away to dump Matt Kemp’s contract. Package a few FV45 prospects, sure.

LenFuegoMember since 2025
8 years ago
Reply to  Shalesh

Ah, I see. They listed the remaining 50 FV, not a total of 50. Got it. Thanks. In my defense, it was late and I was tired. 🙂

Post Malone
8 years ago

Gleyber at number 12? As the Sports Pope himself would say, “GET LAWST!”

Forrest Gumption
8 years ago
Reply to  Post Malone

You’re a joke if you think he’s better than Ohtani or Acuna.

AceCard
8 years ago

Why is the FV of some of the guys who have already been part of the team lists different? Meadows was a 55FV on the Pitt page, now a 50 on this list. Harrison a 55 on the MIL page, 50 here. Rough month for those guys?

TKDCMember since 2016
8 years ago
Reply to  AceCard

Maybe the old lists were just Eric and now it is a combo?

francis_soyer
8 years ago

Where’s Russell Wilson ?

pezzicle
8 years ago

what caused T. McKenzie to go from a 55FV prospect last year to a 50FV prospect this year?

RadermecherMember since 2018
8 years ago

Magnerius Sierra Miami Marlins.
Remember that name,the young man can fly.

FrancoeursteinMember since 2025
8 years ago

Pretty shocked not to see Kolby Allard on the list at all. He was dominating guys several years older than him as a 19 year old in AA. I know he lost a few ticks on his fastball, but it should play up because of his command.

johansantana17Member since 2026
8 years ago

How is Tristen Lutz the #68 prospect in MLB here if he is also listed as a 45 FV prospect and 11th in Milwaukee’s farm system in your Top 30 Prospects for the Brewers? How could he have leapfrogged all of Corey Ray, Trent Grisham, Lucas Erceg, Brandon Woodruff, Isan Diaz, Corbin Burnes, and Luis Ortiz in half an offseason?

johansantana17Member since 2026
8 years ago

Danny Jansen is R/R, not L/L… left-handed throwing catchers do not really exist…

johansantana17Member since 2026
8 years ago

I am struggling to comprehend what in the world the term “epicurean” could ever possibly mean in the context of a hitter’s approach at the plate.

FrancoeursteinMember since 2025
8 years ago

Gotta be honest guys, this list left me scratching my head..

Binyamin
8 years ago

Not one of the top 94 prospects in baseball is currently employed by Dave Dombrowski.