2019 Opening Day Very Long Chat
12:41 |
: Happy Opening Day 2019 v2.0, and welcome to our Very Long Chat. Craig Edwards, Paul Sporer and I are warming up at our respective keyboards, practicing our quips and disses, and crunching all kinds of numbers in order to scientifically predict every aspect of the baseb — wait, scrap that last one, it still can’t be one in 2019. In any event, we’ll get things started here around 1 pm, give or take, but feel free to fill the queue with your questions in the meantime.
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12:48 |
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12:53 |
Which early game are you watching?
Orioles-Yankees (21.8% | 44 votes)
Mets-Nationals (65.6% | 132 votes)
Both (12.4% | 25 votes)
Total Votes: 201
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12:56 |
: I have done nothing at work all day and I blame baseball
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12:56 |
: Your afternoon doesn’t look much better from a productivity perspective.
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12:58 |
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12:59 |
: Daft Punk is Playing at Babe Ruth’s House
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12:59 |
: no kyle schwarber?! ugh…i get it’s lefty/lefty, but heyward is also lefty…i don’t like it…
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1:00 |
: It’s always good to get that first complaint about the lineup out of the way early.
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1:00 |
: He now knows how many games he’ll be starting this series so maybe that plays into it.
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1:00 |
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1:01 |
: Yanks against Cashner in the Bronx. Who scores more runs today, the Yankees, or the other 3 ALE teams not in this game combined?
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1:01 |
: The other ALE teams. Maybe Cashner surprises.
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1:01 |
: Multiple no-hitters would do it for me as far as Best Opening Day ever. That or a 5-homer game by somebody, or two 4-homer games in the same contest
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1:02 |
: I would also accept Vlad Guerrero Jr. tunneling up to home plate despite not being on the roster, and hitting a home run
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1:02 |
: Ian Happ can’t homer on the first pitch today 🙁
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1:02 |
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1:03 |
: Who is the most underrated player in baseball?
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1:03 |
: Mike Trout
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1:03 |
: The Pirates will make the world series behind stellar pitching, Kang’s return, and a deadline trade for a bat to boost the lineup. Am I crazy?
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1:03 |
: Jose Ramirez, who’s placed 3rd in the AL MVP voting in each of the past two seasons, gets my vote for most underrated
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1:04 |
: Probably, but the Pirates are a decent team and with a few breaks they could get in the playoffs. It’s possible mid 80s win gets the wild card with how close all the teams are.
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1:05 |
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1:06 |
: Based on the questions we are getting, Cubs fans are in for a very stressful season no matter what happens. It’s Opening Day. Try and enjoy it.
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1:07 |
: Maybe it’s the lack of familiar faces but I find the current Pirates team to be their most depressing collection in years. Outside of Chris Archer and Jameson Taillon, I can’t get excited about anyone on that roster, and I think they’ll bring up the rear in the NL Central by a much wider margin than we’ve projected.
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1:07 |
: Somebody will have to convince me otherwise.
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1:07 |
: Play Ball!
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1:07 |
: base ball base ball base ball base ball base ball
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1:07 |
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1:08 |
: Scherzer gets today off to a great start.
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1:08 |
: Merry Baseballmas, Jay and Craig and Paul!
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1:09 |
: First pitch at Yankee Stadium coming from Unanimous Hall of Famer Mariano Rivera, and I’ve got a case of the Feels
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1:11 |
: Lol that slider must have been a fun intro to MLB for Alonso
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1:12 |
: Alonso had as good of a PA you can have that ends at wailing away on a pitch well out of the strike zone. He got the count full and fouled one off at least. I don’t think pitchers in the minors are throwing that Scherzer pitch on 3-2.
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1:13 |
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1:14 |
: No Renfroe in the SD lineup. He’s likely to be squeezed out this year, no?
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1:14 |
: Is the Mets-Nationals pitching matchup the best opening day matchup in recent memory? All-time?
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1:14 |
: With the Rays’ Blake Snell versus the Astros’ Justin Verlander, and deGrom-Scherzer as well, this is just the second time that both Cy Young winners have faced their runners-up on the same Opening Day. In 1979, Ron Guidry (Yankees) faced runner-up Mike Caldwell (Brewers) and Gaylord Perry (Padres) faced Burt Hooton (Dodgers). Given that Caldwell was pretty much a journeyman who had a big year and that only one of those 4 wound up in Cooperstown, compared to the possibility of more (Verlander and Scherzer have moved into “probably” territory for me, and that’s conservative), I’ll say that this is a better slate than that. But without looking for something involving Koufax/Drysdale/Marichal/Spahn/Gibson, or, like, Mathewson/Three-Finger Brown, where both starters went to the Hall, I am not sure about the all-time answer.
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1:15 |
: That’s a possibility, though there’s usually a path to playing for extra outfielders during the season.
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1:15 |
: Can someone tell the Baseball Tonight crew to tone it down re: Yankees. Yikes.
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1:15 |
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1:16 |
: will chris archer improve playing in the NL?
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1:16 |
: I don’t know about improve, but he should be able to get closer to the pitcher he had been with the Rays.
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1:18 | : Hey! A win probability graph. |
1:19 |
: RE: Pirates, I think Adam Frazier will have a good season
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1:19 |
: I think something close to average is reasonable. He probably won’t hit as well as he did a year ago.
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1:20 |
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1:20 |
: That’s the old Mets. New Mets are different, maybe.
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1:20 |
: Matt Wisler was DFA’d by the Reds today. I bet his mother was upset.
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1:20 |
: I’ll allow it.
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1:22 |
: The road to 70 SB attempts starts now, Trea Turner
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1:22 |
: Villar got hit by the ball baserunning but got thrown out anyway! Baseball bein’ weird as always
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1:22 |
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1:22 |
: Man, Jacob deGrom with short hair still looks weird to me.
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1:22 |
: weird play for sure. Not quite sure how the ump right there missed it. I assume another ump called him out.
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1:23 |
: So who gets the lion’s share of PA’s at DH in Toronto now that Morales is gone?
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1:23 |
: I really hope it’s Large Adult Son Rowdy Tellez. I believe he’ll be in the mix but it sounds like it will be a rotation
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1:24 |
: Cano is a natural NY’er
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1:25 |
: let that narrative shine
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1:25 |
: In a seemingly inexplicable move, the Padres picked up Socrates Brito. Do you think this acquisition portends a trade?
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1:25 |
: In your heart of hearts….how special will Robles be this season?
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1:25 |
: Ask Daryl
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1:25 |
: Depends on whether hemlock is involved
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1:26 |
: As the fantasy guy here, I’m really excited about Robles. He can be an absolute monster on the bases with some punch (12-15 HRs). Not to mention, plus defense.
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1:26 |
as for Robles, I picked him as my NL Rookie of the Year and am looking forward to seeing what he does in every phase of the game. |
1:28 |
: Do you think the Mets will be shamed into releasing Mesoraco?
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1:28 |
: who will be this years AL & NL rookies of the year?
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1:28 | : This will be of great interest to you: |
1:29 |
: Have to think something gets resolved there. Not sure if shame will be involved.
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1:29 |
: I really love Aaron Judge despite being a Sox because: He’s a GREAT player, seems like a really cool guy, and my last name translates to Judge
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1:29 |
: If you don’t like Aaron Judge for any reason (besides ingrained rooting against the Yankees), something is wrong with you. He really does seem like the real deal, with excellent makeup to go with his outstanding talent
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1:29 |
: Jeff McNeil makes a good play at third. Jed Lowrie being hurt resolved some of the Mets’ lineup questions.
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1:30 |
: LUKE VOIT \O/
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1:30 |
: I adore Judge. Not fan of the Yankees in the slightest, but he’s a great superstar.
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1:30 |
: King Louis
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1:31 |
: Greg Bird, please pick up the white paging phone
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1:31 |
: Not sure ESPN nailed the Voit backstory, but it seems to have worked itself out.
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1:31 |
: Villar in your 3-hole seems.. less than ideal. But for fantasy purposes I guess it’s not bad right?
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1:31 |
: Yes, I love it as a fantasy player, but holy hell is their lineup trash.
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1:32 |
: The best part about being in between jobs is days like this.
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1:32 |
: I like your attitude.
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1:32 |
: Did ESPN just say 121mph on the Stanton single?
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1:32 |
: yes. he hit it hard
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1:32 |
: Sounds accurate
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1:32 |
: Cashner doin his thing
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1:33 |
: JOEY VOTTO GETS TO HIT BASEBALLS TODAY
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1:33 |
: Staff Ace Andrew Cashner is already in trouble
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1:33 |
: years ago, I read about World War II necessitating people in some European country (Poland?) resorting to making vodka distilled from newspaper pulp. “Staff ace Andrew Cashner” turns my stomach almost as much
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1:33 |
: On a scale of 1 to 10, how prepared do you think Harper is in dealing with Philly fans, i.e. their rowdiness, booing, heckling and even propensity to use fisticuffs occasionally? (I’m not a Philadelphia sports fan but have encountered many at various venues. They have earned their reputation.)
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1:33 |
: Even in a chat, Jay weaves brilliant prose. I was wondering where that was going and loved how it turned out. Then vomited as Cashner allowed ANOTHER hit.
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1:33 |
: He’s played a lot of games in Philly. I think he’s plenty ready
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1:34 |
: Over/under on Scherzer 300 Ks?
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1:34 |
: 9.5, he’s been getting undeserved hate forever since that SI cover. He can handle his own fans being insane.
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1:34 |
: What’s the deal with Mesoraco? Did I miss something?
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1:34 | : Sheryl Ring covered the Mesoraco situation quite ably here |
1:34 |
: I’ll take the under.
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1:35 |
: Did you guys see the tweet with Votto’s shirt yesterday? It had an image of the aging curve. We do not appreciate what we have in Joey Votto.
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1:36 |
: Under is the safe bet re: Max Ks just because 300 is so hard
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1:36 |
: It was a a great shirt.
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1:36 |
On that topic, I’m very much hoping Verlander notches at least 294 to get to 3,000 for his career this year. I think that could seal the deal regarding his Hall of Fame bid. |
1:36 |
: Charlie Blackmon mentioned the removal of the Marlins sculpture leaves a white background behind the pitcher which makes it more difficult to see the ball. Do you anticipate that’s a real issue?
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1:36 |
: oh that’s an awesome shirt
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1:37 |
: And I resent not appreciating Votto. I absolutely love him.
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1:37 |
: I think if it is an issue, they will get it resolved. It’s already hard enough to hit there.
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1:37 |
: Agree with Craig
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1:38 |
: Cubs, Cardinals, and Brewers are all separated by 3 games, per ZIPs. Reds aren’t far behind. Surely these teams’ respective internal projections show something similar. All could use pitching help to help separate from the pack. Why on earth aren’t Keuchel and/or Kimbrel playing in the NL Central yet?
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1:38 |
: I’m just a clown who plays MLB the Show, but there can be some tough backgrounds making virtual hitting very hard. I cannot fathom adding that degree of difficulty to real life hitting.
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1:38 |
: And Voit was the secondary piece…. For Chase Shreve!
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1:38 |
: Who was just DFA’d by St. Louis
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1:39 |
: Good question. Cubs are out of money apparently. Cardinals got burned by Holland last year but Keuchel could make sense. Unfortunately, we still don’t know what the contract demands are.
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1:39 |
: Great question, Alan. Given the rumblings of Kimbrel to Milwaukee that then died down, I’m starting to believe more that his asking price is just too high for teams. Not necessarily the 6/100 we heard in December, but maybe even 3 years when teams want to give 1-2.
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1:39 |
: I really think it’s going to take creativity to sign either of those two (Kimbrel and Keuchel) 1 + player option along the lines of the Cespedes deal or something with opt-outs and escalators like the Arrieta deal
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1:40 |
: the removal of the marlins sculpture leaves a void in my heart more importantly
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1:40 |
: If anyone cares, FP Santangelo just accidentally merged Jake Arrieta and Aaron Nola on-air and said “Arreola” on a live broadcast. It got a solid chuckle out of me.
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1:40 |
: at you have the memories
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1:40 |
: In the tradition of Bennifer and J-Rod. I love it
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1:41 |
: I thought teams had given up hitting the pitcher in the 8th spot?
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1:41 |
: I hate the removal of the Marlins’ sculpture. Really, that organization can just be swallowed by the sea or moved to Montreal at any moment AFAIC
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1:41 |
: It still makes sense to do it with some players, so we’ll still see it occasionally. Because the benefit isn’t great, it’s hard to make a great case for it most of the time over the status quo.
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1:42 |
: Speaking of teams that could use a starter or reliever… How are the Braves cutting 5-10M off their 2018 payroll, while seeing a massive increase in net profit?
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1:42 |
: Liberty Media.
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1:43 |
: speaking of cespedes, what are the odds we see him and how productive will he be this yr?
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1:43 |
: Fantasy-wise, I favor pitcher 8th in some cases bc it doesn’t curb the SBs of the 9 hitter, the most important example being the aforementioned Victor Robles
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1:43 |
: 50/50 on the former, probably not very productive given the time he’s missed.
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1:43 |
: Why is there no West Coast night game on Opening day?
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1:44 |
: Like Wu Tang, MLB is about the children.
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1:44 | : shameless promotion time: my 10 Things I Look Forward to During the 2019 Season is now live |
1:44 |
: Isn’t Alex Reyes still rookie eligible? I’m surprised I never hear his name come up in ROY discussion, despite the injuries.
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1:44 |
: Having made a foolish decision to see a concert tonight not realizing March 28th was opening day, I love it.
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1:44 |
: He is. I thought about putting him down, but if he’s only getting 100-130 innings, it will be tough for him to win.
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1:45 |
: Marlins fan here, would be somewhat disappointed if my team relocated!
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1:45 |
: haha i’m going to a show tonight as well. Uncle Acid and the Deadbeats (that’s one band) and Graveyard. Friend bought tickets in November or so and I never even looked to see whether Opening Day would be a factor.
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1:45 |
: Where did we land on the T-Mobile Park nickname?
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1:45 |
: Is Reyes really rookie eligible? His B-Ref page says yes but he’s got exactly 50 MLB innings and i have to think he’s over on the service time
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1:46 |
: PSA: free mlbtv for tmobile customers,I think.
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1:46 |
: Same, Jay. These were a Christmas gift and I think I even said “Oh ya, late March, definitely before Opening Day”
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1:46 |
: You’re correct, Craig
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1:46 |
: you need more than 50 innings
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1:46 |
: Re: Reyes- Rookie Status: Still Intact through 2019
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1:47 |
: Think Torres ever becomes a 5 WAR type?
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1:47 |
: I do. I’d be surprised if he doesn’t have at least one 5-WAR season in the next four.
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1:48 |
: I missed Brandon Nimmo just booking it to 1st after a walk
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1:48 |
: The Nimmo dead sprint to 1st after a walk made me happy
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1:48 |
: Run Brandon, Run!
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1:48 |
: The Eckstein
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1:48 |
: Yeah, considering the debut Gleyber had that was only slowed by an injury plus being a solid middle infielder, he’ll spike a fiver
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1:49 |
: I dislike the Nimmo sprint to 1st after a walk. It’s eyewash of the highest order.
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1:49 |
: There’s always one.
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1:49 |
: How long before Torres is at SS, LeMahieu at 2nd with Tulo riding the pine?
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1:50 |
: Soon?
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1:50 |
: odds that kimbrel sits the year out?
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1:50 |
: 5%
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1:50 |
: zero. at worst he’ll sign after the draft
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1:51 |
: Robles put a good swing on that double.
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1:51 |
: I saw one in the dugout
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1:51 |
: Mustaches are allowed, but they have to be neatly kept. See Jason Giambi’s foray into facial hair several years ago.
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1:52 |
: Is this Yankees squad the biggest team in history by body size?
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1:53 |
: Guessing yes
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1:53 |
: would need LB+ to compare for era, though.
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1:54 |
: Cashman particularly loves him some tall pitchers. Betances and Sabathia aren’t even active right now!
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1:54 |
: Thoughts on the Tatis, Jr decision? Will he be sent down sometime this year? Extended? Or did SD just burn a club controlled year?
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1:55 |
: He might get sent down, especially if the Padres fall out of the race. But if they have a hot start and get close to the playoffs, it isn’t something they are likely regret.
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1:56 |
: Didn’t Ben Lindbergh write a piece on the Yankees’ size?
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1:56 |
: Kimbrel started last year off really well, and only struggled for the last 20 innings. Factor in that he had an amazing 2017 is this not the definition of a small sample size to punish him for 20 innings?
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1:56 |
: I want Opening Day overreactions. I’m tweaking over here…
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1:57 |
: Cano is gonna hit at least 162 HRs, Hingle
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1:57 |
: It’s hard to know exactly how much he is being punished when we don’t know the ask or the offers.
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1:58 |
: deGrom got a bit lucky there. 2019 is already going much better for the Mets’ ace.
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1:58 |
: Who would you rather have: Paul Goldschmidt or Lukes Voit?
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1:59 |
: from a longer-term standpoint, 2017 is the anomaly for Kimbrel; he was MUCH more dominant from 201-14 than from 2015-18, with that ’17 season the only one that would fit into the first set. We heard rumors of him pursuing 6/100 or at least outdoing Aroldis Chapman’s 5/86, but we don’t really have anything more to go on than that.
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2:00 |
: Thrilled that on this glorious Opening Day Jaffe NOT ONLY brought back Luke Voit = Steve Holt BUT ALSO coined a sort of Steve Holt emoji \O/
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2:00 |
: Luke Voit is a great story, but still taking Goldschmidt.
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2:00 |
: I can’t take credit for creating that emoji or even bringing it to baseball (I think some Rangers fan did so for Mike Olt years ago) but thank you. It’s a fun one.
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2:01 |
: wLB+ would be a stat with some gravity
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2:01 |
: MIKE OLT! What a name!!!! I thought he was gonna be THE DUDE
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2:01 |
: But isn’t wLB+ already weighted.
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2:01 |
: Leave, Craig.
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2:01 |
: Cubs fan chiming in – happy with Bote and Zagunis starting. We’re not all pulling our hair out on opening day.
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2:03 |
: My personal hot take so far is that we underrated the Orioles. They are only 9 runs a game worse than the Yankees.
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2:03 |
: So far
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2:03 |
: There’s no truth to the ‘Starting Pitcher had to sit in the dugout for too long and lost his mojo because he got too much offensive support’ narrative, right? More rest mid-game is always better?
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2:04 |
: Vintage Andrew Cashner
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2:04 |
: I don’t think anyone has studied it directly but I do know from my own experience with maximum exertion (recreational downhill skiing) that one tightens up the longer one sits inactive.
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2:04 |
: thats not even a question, goldy is an established star and voit is a guy who *may* be able to play and stay in the majors. way too small sample size for voit to be in the conversation w goldy
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2:04 |
: Hey Salt Lake City! that’s where I grew up and where my parents still live
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2:04 |
: There’s definitely a tipping point where it can be too much time. I imagine it’s different for every pitcher in every start so I wouldn’t apply it universally.
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2:05 |
: love you jay!
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2:05 |
: The fact that Judge is so good and so likeable makes me hate him for making me not hate every Yankee. Does that make sense?
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2:05 |
: 100%. I love Aaron Hicks, too. I can’t be having Yankees I genuinely enjoy!!!
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2:05 |
: The link between Voit and Goldschmidt is because the Cardinals traded the former last August, only to see him blossom in New York. It’s not really a direct choice the team faced, but it’s kind of fun to think about given the relative size of the bodies of work. You’re right though. Very strong odds that Goldy is the better player in 2019 and beyond
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2:06 |
: Nope, wLB+ removes weight to give you mass
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2:06 |
: The school in Amherst? That can’t be right.
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2:06 |
: Perhaps they (Goldy/Voit) could be compared relative to their costs, too, no?
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2:07 |
: that’s part of it, yes. And particularly relevant given the Yankees’ payroll — they could well have pursued Goldy in trade had they not hit big on Volt and already had Bird
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2:08 |
: Andrew Casher: Opening Day Starter is not going very well
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2:08 |
: It could be worse.
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2:10 |
: Jay, how can I get my 6 month-old as interested in baseball in the next two years as you’ve made your 2 1/2 yr-old? Did you ignore the pediatrician’s warnings about “OMG! No screen time before two! Your child’s brain will melt, and then you’ll need a million dollars to bribe them into college!”
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2:10 |
: We’ve been pretty generous with screen time, yes. Since we’re both in baseball media, our high-pressure periods coincide, and sometimes you just put the Muppet Movie or Sing or Moana on and let ol’ Mr Screen do the work in order to cook a healthy dinner. We haven’t pushed baseball on Robin in particular, but it’s an ever-present part of our lives, and we’ve done things like get her a little Jackie Robinson t-shirt and take her to games, hoping she’ll enjoy the experience enough to feel positively towards it all.
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2:10 |
: i get it now. someone asked for opening day overreaction and we get the question if you would take voit over goldy. well done
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2:11 |
: THERE’S MORE BASEBALL STARTING!!!!!
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2:11 |
: I’m flipping over to Brewers-Cardinals
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2:11 |
: \O/ has been a thing for Brock Holt for awhile too
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2:11 |
: At the risk being an asshat bc I’m child-less, I just don’t see how the NO SCREENTIME initiatives are a great idea in the tech-driven world we live in. I wouldn’t want my child starting behind. Obviously you want to be smart on the volume of time, but banning screens unilaterally seems silly. Perhaps I’m influenced by the parents I know who do that are absolutely awful in every way.
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2:11 |
: Mets-Nats on the iPad
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2:12 |
: Os-Yanks on big screen TV?
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2:12 |
: pardon me while I track down additional screens…
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2:12 |
: Yeah, as bad as Cashner is, if Bundy was starting the balls would be sailing out of the park. IIRC, he led all starters in homers yielded.
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2:13 |
: I don’t think he’ll repeat that again this year. The slider was still good despite his many struggles. Some fastball improvement and all of a sudden Bundy is pretty viable. I still have some hope for him.
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2:14 |
: This isn’t going well, time to blow up my fantasy team and plan for next year
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2:14 |
: You tried. Maybe next year!
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2:14 |
: Hey Guys, it’s me Jacoby! I bet I could homer off Cashner!
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2:14 |
: now that’s a bridge too far.
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2:14 |
: Jacoby, you’re on the IL now. You might want to get that right given how much time you spend there
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2:15 |
: Goldschmidt strikes out in his first Cardinals AB after leading the count 3-0. The trade did not work.
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2:15 |
: Diamondbacks knew it!
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2:15 |
: Luke Voit >>> Paul Goldschmidt
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2:16 |
: BRB, building the Voit/Goldymeter. it will just be a knob and an arrow that will change daily
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2:16 |
: or from at-bat to at-bat
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2:16 |
: Ellsbury once put up 9 WAR in a season.
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2:16 |
: Facts
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2:17 |
: We should get lots of looks at bullpens today, yeah? Fully rested, can be aggressive on the hook (despite ‘ace day’)
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2:17 |
: Certainly a possibility, but most managers aren’t going to pull a starter going well on Opening Day.
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2:17 |
: over under .335 OBP for the meal ticket this year?
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2:18 |
: Shouldn’t is just be Franmil Ticket Reyes? I’ll say over. Hope he does well.
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2:18 |
: Is $100/yr sub to DAZN worth it for the MLB whip around show with the TriviaHQ guy and CespedesBBQ?
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2:19 |
: <– three little kids. you gotta have some screen time so parents can maintain sanity.
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2:19 |
: I have a tough time conceptualizing having a 2nd kid, despite growing up with a brother 2 years younger.
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2:19 |
: Good question. I’ll be interested to see how it works, but I don’t know yet if it will deliver on MLBs Red Zone. I hope it does.
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2:20 |
: brb, gonna get some glue to make the voit/goldymeter point only to our one true savior, Lucas Linwood Voit III
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2:20 |
: IT’S BIG BALL CHUNKY TIME
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2:20 |
: Kinda feel like MLB Tonight already is an MLB Red Zone, plus MLB does the Strikezone thing on Tue/Fri as a Red Zone analog
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2:20 |
: this Os lineup feels even worse IRL than it felt on paper
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2:20 |
: and paper doesn’t feel good at all.
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2:22 |
: Jhoulys Chacin (sp?) just struck out the side.
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2:22 |
: The Yankees can’t really keep Andujar at 3B all year, can they?
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2:23 |
: What would a knebel rehab timeline look like he opts to not have surgery?
|
2:23 |
: Masahiro Tanaka missed 2 1/2 months with his partial UCL tear/PRP treatment. Seth Lugo was 2 months. Michael Lorenzen 3. That’s the best-case range i think, without knowing the severity of the tear beyond the fact that it’s not automatically sending him down the TJ path
|
2:23 |
: Did he just flub one? Defense is the one thing that hard work alone can really improve so he could get better.
|
2:23 |
: Who are you going to bench? especially when Hicks comes back. I think they live with the defense for a while and hope it gets better.
|
2:24 |
: What are GMs feeling today? Relief? Excitement? Just another day at the office?
|
2:24 |
: I would imagine they are excited.
|
2:24 |
: I’m not watching because I’m at work but does anybody know what Miles Mikolas’ facial hair situation is
|
2:24 |
: It’s exactly what you think it is.
|
2:24 |
: I know this question gets asked often, but what do we do about the out-of-market viewing for cord cutters? There is no incentive for me not to steal streams from the darker corners of the internets.
|
2:25 |
: Have you read my pamphlet, “So You’ve Decided to Steal Streaming Baseball?”Because that should set your mind at ease. Steal all you want.
|
2:25 |
: Rob Manfred’s heavies aren’t coming to your house
|
2:25 |
: If you’re out of market, isn’t MLB.tv an option?
|
2:25 |
: *this advice does not constitute legal information.
|
2:26 |
: out of market or in market? because out of market has MLB.tv. In-market, there are a few cheaper, streaming options like sling, youtube, directv, hulu that might be decent options.
|
2:26 |
: I typed and re-typed a msg about blackouts as I don’t think wants me dropping 527243 f-bombs in one msg. But I truly hate blackouts. Not entirely related to the out of market question, but just wanted to rant
|
2:26 |
: Hey: does anybody know when mlb.tv will change its policy about blackouts? IIRC, a couple of yrs. ago, the commissioner was on TV and saying they’d relax the rules. But because I live btw Baltimore and D.C., I still can’t watch their games unless I want to pay for a bunch of useless cable stations I can’t afford.
|
2:26 |
: Nobody knows anything. It’s a situation that MLB really needs to rectify, though, because it’s costing the sport a percentage of its fans.
|
2:27 |
: Whoa, I basically anticipated dynasty mgr’s Q lol
|
2:27 |
: baseball’s real problem isn’t existing fans finding baseball, it’s getting newer fans to the sport.
|
2:27 |
: Exactly
|
2:27 |
: and that’s part of it, too
|
2:27 |
: And this horsepoopoo doesn’t help that
|
2:27 |
: Orioles would be a very good college team this year.
|
2:27 |
: but could the troops beat them?
|
2:28 |
: Are you sure? My Longhorns are pretty stout
|
2:28 |
: The Orioles have scored a run, so it could be worse
|
2:28 |
: This is what you say when you’re on a raft surrounded by sharks, without food, and only one of your two legs having become chum
|
2:28 |
: Your 2019 Baltimore Orioles: It could be worse
|
2:29 |
: Did Scherzer strike out the side in the first (K-K-HR-K)?
|
2:29 |
: I say no.
|
2:29 |
: That andujar “error” was really on Birdy.
|
2:29 |
: That E Andujar got was a great attempt at a really tough play.
|
2:30 |
: I know we’re all ironically talking up Luke Voit today, but is it sneaky possible he’s actually a bit better than his 115-120 wRC+ projections?
|
2:30 |
: I’m not trying to be ironic. I certainly think he can do the job for the Yankees, and yes, I think the range of possibilities includes him outhitting his projections.
|
2:31 |
: Long Wong Bomb
|
2:31 |
: The Dexter Fowler Rehabilitation tour gets off to a good start when he doesn’t realize he got a walk and goes to first after a 30 second delay. Aguilar makes fun of him at first and then Kolten Wong knocks it.
|
2:31 |
: Now Bader
|
2:32 |
: Cardinals have some questions offensively at the bottom of the order with Fowler and glove first guys in Wong and Bader, but that’s a really good start.
|
2:32 |
: Geez deGrom and Scherzer are both dealing. That’s like the 5th time the side has been struck out
|
2:33 |
: they are already midway through the sixth. Scherzer and deGrom can solve pace of play by pitching every game.
|
2:37 |
: What’s the difference between the green and grey line on the win probability graphs? Neutral verse team adjusted?
|
2:37 |
: Correct
|
2:38 |
: Chris Davis looks totally lost. That last AB was really bad, he swung through Tanaka’s sinker twice.
|
2:38 |
: I don’t know how that guy gets out of bed these days
|
2:38 |
: Re: mlb.tv blackouts. It always boggled my mind how penalized Iowa residents were while I lived there.
|
2:38 |
: Yes. Iowa and Vegas are the worst spots.
|
2:38 |
: I think Mike Bates (who lives in Iowa) kept a running count one year and it was something like 37%
|
2:39 |
: Is it rational for me to want Fowler to suck so I can play Tyler O’Neill?
|
2:39 |
: No, though fandom isn’t rational. It is rational to want to see O’Neill flex.
|
2:40 |
: 0-2 2K. This, uh…. this is not going to end well.
|
2:40 |
: It arguably didn’t start all that well.
|
2:40 |
: LOL
|
2:40 |
: Honestly, I feel for him. There’s clearly something going on emotionally (he had an adderall prescription a few years ago, right?), and I empathize. But also it’s hard to watch.
|
2:41 |
: Which do you think will have the lowest WAR in 2019: Judge, Hicks, Stanton, or the entire Indians outfield combined?
|
2:41 |
: Cleveland
|
2:41 |
: speculation on my part but I really wonder about his performance issues in light of the ADHD diagnosis for which he has a therapeutic use exemption. Maybe he really does have trouble maintaining focus from pitch to pitch and it’s a matter of using the right medication.
|
2:42 |
: What is the limit of “it could get worse” for the Orioles?
|
2:42 |
: I miss bitter Schowalter face after something bad happens. With him and Scioscia gone, who is next in line?
|
2:42 |
: 1988
|
2:42 |
: Clint Hurdle is still capable of turning purple
|
2:43 |
: Would Jason Heyward be a good launch angle candidate?
|
2:43 |
: I’ll take the Indians’ outfield’s collective WAR as lower than any of the aforementioned Yankees.
|
2:44 |
: I had this, undiagnosed, as a kid, and it really messed with my performance. I was also, like him, occasionally brilliant. I figured it out, but I wasn’t exactly on the public stage. He can definitely afford treatment, so I hope he gets the right help.
|
2:44 |
: In theory, but the Cubs tried it in 2016 and he was awful, undoing most of his positive work in St. Louis the season before. That, plus the wrist injury.
|
2:44 |
: You can’t leave forget Bochy’s Resting Bitch Face.
|
2:44 |
: That’s Resting Boch Face, please. it was right there for you.
|
2:45 |
: Team most likely to regress (negatively) this year?
|
2:45 |
: If the Red Sox only win 95 games, they are 13 games worse. That’s a pretty big potential fall.
|
2:46 |
: So, What future are we seeing for Jose Martinez? Are they really going to keep that bat and give it platoon PAs? I get that it takes two teams to trade, but shouldn’t they be liquidating that talent and cashing it in for something else?
|
2:47 |
: Martinez didn’t hit for power in the second half and the first base experiment went horribly so you’ve got a bad corner outfielder or a DH. There is a limited market for that. If the Cardinals could have traded him in the offseason, they probably would have.
|
2:47 |
: 450 PA was probably more valuable to the Cardinals than whatever offers they were getting.
|
2:48 |
: Pick one for the next 5 years: Trout at his new salary $36M or Judge at $15M
|
2:48 |
: Trout. Judge + a $20 M player isn’t getting me up to Trout’s level.
|
2:49 |
: will regress bigly.
|
2:49 |
: It’s tough to call what they’re about to go through regression. It’s turnover-induced decline
|
2:50 |
: MLB.tv has commercials now, huh?
|
2:50 |
: Mets are taking deGrom out after 93 pitches and 6 IP. I guess maybe the bullpen is well rested…
|
2:50 |
: The A’s, OTOH, seem ripe for regression. they won 97 and are projected for 82. Unlike Craig’s hypothetical regarding the Red Sox, that’s a huge hit to their playoff odds
|
2:51 |
: Will they get to Diaz with that one-run lead.
|
2:52 |
: As a parent who, while not absolutely banning screen time, severely limits it for my ten year old I will say: familiarity with screens doesn’t buy you anything. It’s not like you’ll encounter one somewhere and not know how it works. My child reads books and is engaged with the world.
|
2:52 |
: I would feel worse about our daughter’s screen time if she didn’t already have a yen for books, like her parents. Since around the 18-month mark, she would wander down the hall and start pulling books off the shelf and “reading” them for long periods of time. She takes board books to bed
|
2:53 |
: Who is ready for the Merandy Gonzalez era in St. Louis?
|
2:53 |
: Jay, your 2-year old buys books with Yen? Wow, I can’t even figure that conversion rate out
|
2:53 |
: The Braves Radio Network Pre game hype just used Marvel Soundtracks overlayed with Braves audio highlights and i am beyond excited. Hard to contain it here at work
|
2:53 |
: /checks Amazon one-click settings
|
2:53 |
: I’m a sucker for hype videos. Everyone should do them.
|
2:54 |
: Merandy for Merandy
|
2:54 |
: Just throwing it out there – Trea Turner’s 67 SBs away from 70.
|
2:56 |
: Christian Yelich going for another MVP. Three-run bomb
|
2:56 |
: Greg Bird: 0-3, 3K
|
2:57 |
: He was going to have a tough time staying on the roster over the first month of the season, regardless, but this game has gone just about as badly for his future role as possible.
|
2:57 |
: Scherzer v DeGrom is exactly like we expected. Its so exciting! Happy Opening Day!
|
2:58 |
: Now, Seth Lugo.
|
2:59 |
: Home Runs haven’t gone anywhere, in case y’all were worried
|
2:59 |
: Oh, they are going somewhere.
|
2:59 |
: Is the KC/Sox game going to happen today or rainout?
|
3:00 |
: I’m no Phil Connors, but I’ll say no rainout.
|
3:00 |
: Hello people!
|
3:00 |
: Adam Ottavino warming in the 6th
|
3:00 |
: Super Bullpen
|
3:01 |
:
|
3:01 |
: Yikes, Nats leaving Scherzer in the game down 1
|
3:01 |
: Kind of need a run, guys
|
3:02 |
: I will have to sneak out at some point, I haven’t had a hot dog yet. Didn’t have time because I parked halfway to Columbus
|
3:02 |
: Seth Lugo bruh.
|
3:02 |
: So Dan, what you’re saying is that the Marlins have a chance. How about the Orioles?
|
3:02 |
: I can’t say there’s a chance.
|
3:02 |
: Everyone in unison: Hi Doctor Dan!
|
3:02 |
: Kind of wish someone like Eric Thames or Mark Reynolds could be starting in Chris Davis’s place. Seems like if a rebuilder is giving AB to a veteran 1B, it might as well be one of the better veteran 1B without a starting job.
|
3:02 |
: they’re paying Chris Davis until I’m 60 or so!
|
3:03 |
: The Orioles could use Jose Martinez, no?
|
3:03 |
: Is Dallas Keuchel just waiting for the first team to have a guy go down holding his arm?
|
3:03 |
: and what are they giving up that doesn’t hurt their future that the Cardinals would want?
|
3:03 |
: He’s Homer Simpson with the pumpkin futures.
|
3:03 |
: I’m a little disappointed none of the other FG chatters have taken advantage of the ability to have avatars in chat. I think we at least need Meg in her catcher’s mask
|
3:04 |
: I don’t even remember now why I made my avatar Andy Reid Taft.
|
3:04 |
: Is Joe Girardi managing the Nats, Phil’s or Cubs next year?
|
3:04 |
: hey Dan!
|
3:04 |
: yo jay!
|
3:04 |
: where are you on this opening day?
|
3:05 |
: at my palatial estate in Brooklyn ($1, Up and In Podcast)
|
3:05 |
: Good question. Probably somewhere, and all three of those are good spots. Tell me what their record is at midseason and you might have the answer.
|
3:05 |
: there’s a scott schebler dent behind me where I sit in the press box, still sad I was not there for that game
|
3:06 |
: Why are the Mets carrying to 1B on their roster, Alonso and Dom Smith? Do they realize the NL has no DH?
|
3:07 |
: Well they have three second baseman so this might be an improvement.
|
3:07 |
: The CWS-KC game is the mlb.com free game of the day. Right price or still too expensive?
|
3:07 |
: I will say this a lot, but I went to a rival private school of Ottavino’s, and in 8th grade, while I sat on the bench, that team had this really really good player who dominated everything named Adam (he’s one year older than I am, same grade). And it took me until this offseason to realize it was the same kid.
|
3:07 |
: Eloy debut worth the price of admission, let alone free.
|
3:07 |
: In an interesting turn of events, it seems likely that Scherzer might get deGrom’d against deGrom.
|
3:07 |
: It’s not over yet.
|
3:08 |
: I hedged, Craig
|
3:09 |
: I feel like Scherzer would pitch 1,458 outs in a season if his manager let him. Davey needs to learn to tell Max “no”.
|
3:10 |
: and he had a really good excuse being behind with scherzer up.
|
3:10 |
: Hi Dan, I just wanted to let you know that your ZiPS division Matrix was a really cool, really transparent way of conveying complex information about the distribution of outcomes for the ZiPS projections.
|
3:10 |
: THANKS LOVE YOUR BOOK MONEYBALL!
|
3:11 |
: What is more surprising taking deGrom out after 93 pitches or letting Scherzer pitch 110+ and not PH for him?
|
3:11 |
: More seriously, I hope I explained it in a way that it gets rid of the questions about what mean projections are!
|
3:11 |
: Scherzer, but barely.
|
3:12 |
: Assuming player-owner revenue split stayed the same, would you support the MLB minimum plus year end WAR based compensation for all players? Would this be more or less fair than what we (they) do now?
|
3:12 |
: Really hard to implement, impossible to get approved, I think.
|
3:12 |
: Two more SOs in the Mets-Nats game and it will be 50% of the outs…
|
3:12 |
: Can we please get Jose Martinez in the AL? That guy can hit. That guy also can’t play defense.
|
3:13 |
: You’d essentially be turning MLB salaries over to FanGraphs or Baseball-Reference, which isn’t happening. Or you’re negotiating a WAR formula like those Elias FA compensations, which will also be horrible.
|
3:13 |
: And you’d need to negotiate a new revenue-sharing plan, because something like that *would* end up destroying small-market teams under the current system.
|
3:13 |
: I think if he were a 130 wRC+ hitter, he would be passable enough on defense to be a decent starter, though maybe the DH is coming to the NL soon.
|
3:14 |
: He’s better than Kemp
|
3:14 |
: Why don’t you do nice projections, Dan?
|
3:14 |
: Really don’t understand what the Nats were doing w/ Scherzer there. At this stage of the game how does giving up a PA to get what amounted to 2 more outs from Scherzer make any sense?
|
3:14 |
: I’m more an antagonist stathead.
|
3:14 |
: The 2019 Orioles projections were pretty mean.
|
3:14 |
: Narrator: it did not, in fact, make sense.
|
3:14 |
: Your face is better than Kemp
|
3:15 |
: No way, Kemp’s way handsomer than I.
|
3:15 |
: Dan, article idea blatantly stolen from another commenter: Are there any AAA teams that project similarly to the 2019 Orioles? It feels like the Blue Jays AAA team might have better position players because Vladito probably has as high a WAR projection as 1/2 the Orioles position players put together.
|
3:15 |
: I suspect no. Even the O’s project to 10-12 WAR
|
3:15 |
: the second-tier AAA talent drops off a LOT
|
3:15 |
: For the love of all that is holy, everyone stop suggesting the abomination of the DH is coming to the NL. You have your bastardized version of baseball and when you meet your maker you’ll be judged accordingly. Please leave the rest of the good folk alone to enjoy the purity of baseball as it should be.
|
3:16 |
: I feel that once daily interleague play happened, the eventual DH in the NL became inevitable.
|
3:16 |
: This might not last very long.
|
3:16 |
: Am I the only one who is completely agnostic to the DH?
|
3:17 |
: No, I really don’t mind either way.
|
3:17 |
: I know Davey Martinez is a rookie manager, and this is the first game of the season. He’ll learn soon enough, right? What’s that you say? Oh boy …
|
3:17 |
: You get out of practice and forget about how pinch-hitters work, kinda like how you write the previous year on stuff until like January 20th
|
3:17 |
: Sure would be sweet if the Braves let their best player bat in the first inning instead of letting Ender Inciarte watch 3 straight pitches. Just one guy’s 2 cents
|
3:17 |
: So the phillies fan on my twitter timeline seem, um rather happy
|
3:18 |
: With so many teams obviously tanking – in some ways, baseball has mirrored the shrinking middle class in America – how long until we see another epic 2003 Tigers-esque team? Could that next team be the Tigers?
|
3:18 |
: i mean, the Orioles are RIGHT HERE
|
3:18 |
: Harper’s first official plate appearance as a Phillie
|
3:19 |
: The Braves have sort of a Cubs situation from last year with multiple middle of the order hitters and nobody who can hit leadoff. The best solution is probably Acuna at leadoff but somebody has to hit third when you want Freeman cleanup. That was a long way to go to say I agree that Inciarte shouldn’t be leadoff.
|
3:20 |
: After the huge disappointment with Gordon Beckham and the lackluster start to Moncada’s career, the White Sox fans are desperate for Eloy to be the real deal right away. Is he the player you guys are most excited to watch today?
|
3:20 |
: In terms of debut, I’d say yes. I’d like to see Reyes pitch today.
|
3:20 |
: Harper grounds out. Contract is a waste of money. Boo.
|
3:20 |
: I never understand the “purity of the game” argument. The game has fundamentally changed countless times over the years and will continue to do so
|
3:21 |
: But the 45-foot pitching distance is sacrosanct! Wait…
|
3:21 |
: Wait. Harper is a Phillie?!
|
3:21 |
: ESPN calling McCutchen a “former Yankee” is like calling Paul Konerko a former Red.
|
3:21 |
: Former Dodger Paul Konerko, former Giant Andrew McCutchen
|
3:22 |
: Former Mariner, Carlos Santana
|
3:22 |
: Tatis Jr. and Eloy are definitely the two I’m most excited to watch
|
3:22 |
: Ben Lindbergh convinced me on the DH
|
3:22 |
: Who are the potential mid-season rentals this year? Anyone of note?
|
3:22 |
: Bumgarner!
|
3:22 |
: Debuts are great. It is good for baseball and is exciting.
|
3:22 |
: White Sox legend Ken Griffey Jr.
|
3:23 |
: Former Marlin Mike Piazza
|
3:23 |
: Beloved Ranger Jason Hammel
|
3:23 |
: Moncada is going to be good. His plate discipline is improving! Last year he was 18th overall in O-Swing%
|
3:23 |
: Marlins legend Ichiro Suzuki
|
3:23 |
: Is Trey Mancini interesting?
|
3:23 |
: I think Moncada is going to get better. Easier to coach aggression at the plate than the reverse
|
3:24 |
: he’s less interesting than Henry Mancini
|
3:24 |
: Mainly if the Orioles and The Godfather, Part III are in the same universe and he’s Andy Garcia’s son.
|
3:24 |
: If anybody is watching the Phillies game, Gameday just showed a ball down the center of the zone (pitch 2). Can anyone confirm? Could be in running for worst of season!
|
3:24 |
: a Rays employee I know might be interested in that bit of info
|
3:24 |
: I don’t understand why people want to watch (and actively argue for) watching people who are terrible at hitting and not in the MLB because of their hitting ability hit. I’ve yet to hear any cogent argument for it (“purity” or “tradition” don’t make sense as reasons either)
|
3:24 |
: PETER ALONSO GOT A HIT AND NO ONE SAID ANYTHING. GREATEST HITTER OF ALL TIME. (it was a bloop single)
|
3:24 |
: But Bartolo! is really not a great answer
|
3:24 |
: Mr. Blue Sky on the organ!
|
3:25 |
: doesn’t the nats removing miller after facing 1 batter violate the new rule?
|
3:25 |
: New rule doesn’t start until next year
|
3:25 |
: Waiting to see Hanley Ramirez make his debut for the Cleveland baseball team.
|
3:25 |
: Baseball fever. Catch it.
|
3:25 |
: Adam Ottavino’s still good, you guy. Just heads up
|
3:26 |
: YOU TOLD ME TO CATCH SCARLET FEVER AND THAT SUCKED
|
3:26 |
: Harper 0 for his Phillies career. TO THE PILLORY WITH HIM
|
3:26 |
: Peter Alonso is batting 1.000 against pitchers not named Max Scherzer
|
3:26 |
: Howard 2.0!
|
3:26 |
: Former Mariner, Mallex Smith. Current Mariner, Mallex Smith.
|
3:26 |
: Is Davey Martinez a bad manager? I feel like he was a good hire and I am not trying to go off of a 2019 sample by any means, but I am finding myself easily convinced that he is a bad manager.
|
3:27 |
: Erasmo Ramirez is always in the process of being shopped to the Mariners or by the Mariners.
|
3:27 |
: I hear this is where you go to chat with friends about baseball?
|
3:27 |
: I have no idea, though managing is hard and he’s still relatively inexperienced so he could be getting a lot better. Maybe not, though.
|
3:27 |
: It’s TV’s Meg Rowley! Welcome
|
3:27 |
: Mike: I saw that pitch, it was guffaw-worthy.
|
3:27 |
: Hi Meg!
|
3:27 |
: I hope the press box in Cincinnati is serving up some delicious Skyline Chili… with beans!
|
3:27 |
: I haven’t checked the cafeteria. I usually go down to Porkopolis for hot dogs
|
3:28 |
: Speaking of Hanley… is his career just like Ernie Banks’, i.e. moving from SS to 1B?
|
3:28 |
: Sure, why not? It’s opening day. We can engage in flights of fancy.
|
3:28 |
: Rank these baseball things/people in terms of excitement: Khris Davis, Giancarlo Stanton, JD Martinez, Nelson Cruz, Shohei Ohtani, a double-switch.
|
3:28 |
: Does the recent signing of Morales to the A’s doom the chances of Barreto being relevant this year? Is a change of scenery his best bet to be a full time player?
|
3:29 |
: there’s still time and positions for him to be sueful at.
|
3:29 |
: The O’s keep everything fluid. And Kendrys Morales can’t doom anyone these days
|
3:29 |
: A’s
|
3:29 |
: not O’s
|
3:29 |
: Philie legend Pedro Martinez
|
3:29 |
: It was a short run but damn, he was fun in that 2009 postseason. That afternoon pitchers’ duel with the Dodgers’ Vicente Padilla and then his 1st start against the Yankees, Game 2 of the World Series, which I attended. They got the better of him eventually but he made them work for it.
|
3:29 |
: Ahoy from Tempe
|
3:29 |
: Shohei Ohtani, Giancarlo, JD Martinez, Double-Switch, Davis (from most to least)
|
3:29 |
: I have one slice of bread. If I throw some cheese, turkey and tomato on it and fold it in half, am I eating a sandwich? What if I cut the bread in half first?
|
3:29 |
: Well hello!
|
3:30 |
: Stanton, Martinez, Ohtani, Jhoulys Chacin batting, Cruz, Davis, double switch
|
3:30 |
: You have to cut it.
|
3:30 |
: wait, a double switch is more exciting than the uncanny consistency of Khris Davis and his .247 AVG?
|
3:30 |
: Sandwiches can’t be hinged.
|
3:30 |
: the hell they can’t
|
3:30 |
: If we’re doing food talk, I’m leaving.
|
3:30 |
: I was never prouder of ZiPS than when it spat out a .247 BA for Davis
|
3:30 |
: I’ve been seeing “Pete Alonso” listed a lot of places the last couple days, but only ever saw him referred to as “Peter Alonso” until now. Is he Pete or Peter? Did he make an announcement that he wants to go by Pete now that I missed? Or did some members of the media just suddenly decide to call him Pete? This is bothering me more than it should.
|
3:30 |
: Yes.
|
3:31 |
: Sandwiches are baseball-related. If not, we’re sullying the memory of Eno
|
3:31 |
: Do you expect Eloy to stay up all season? If so, what kind of numbers do you expect?
|
3:31 |
: Yes, and somewhere in the top-20 for hitters in the AL.
|
3:31 |
: there’s no functional difference between a baguette/roll sliced incompletely and stuffed than sliced completely and pieced back together.
|
3:31 |
: JHOULYS CHACIN JUST HOMERED
|
3:31 |
: Sorry, Meg
|
3:32 |
: He asked to be called Pete
|
3:32 |
: Hinge ruins it. It’s like having a grilled cheese with mayonnaise
|
3:32 |
: Jhoulys Chacin!!!
|
3:32 |
: Familia is not fun to watch
|
3:32 |
: Ronald Acuna!
|
3:32 |
: Jhoulys Chacin!
|
3:32 |
: Do you think Rollie ever regrets growing the mustache?
|
3:32 |
: Like, he’s locked in forever.
|
3:32 |
: What if his tastes changed?
|
3:32 |
: Chacin’s average more exclamations
|
3:33 |
: Without the mustache, he’s just Gary Fingers, forgettable reliever.
|
3:33 |
: He is more than just a baseballman, Dan
|
3:33 |
: Meg! It’s baseball!
|
3:33 |
: Can confirm, it is true.
|
3:34 |
: Pete is infinitely better, tough name, like the kind of guy you’d want on your side in a back alley knife fight
|
3:34 |
: once you’re a baseballman, you’re a baseballman to stay, from your MLB debut to your Royals-signing day.
|
3:34 |
: or you could avoid knife fights altogether and hang out with your good pal Peter.
|
3:34 |
: OK i just made an av
|
3:34 |
: I can’t not get on base, apparently.
|
3:34 |
: photo by Dylan Higgins from the recent staff trip to Arizona. Other members of this chat barely visible by the cropping.
|
3:35 |
: Do any of you find it odd that KC let Goodwin go and sign Duda? Then start Merrifield in RF, Owingd at 2B and DH Soler. Since they are in rebuild mode it would seem Goodwin would be of more value down the road whereas Duda wont be. Really odd.
|
3:35 |
: yes. it is quite odd.
|
3:35 |
: I want to see Duda play 2B.
|
3:35 |
: I’d find it odd if it were a well-run team.
|
3:36 |
: Peter Parker would seem to be a good guy to have on your side in a knife fight
|
3:36 |
: I can’t stress this enough: Avoid knife fights
|
3:36 |
: You can’t use spider webs in a knife fight
|
3:36 |
: or it would be a knife-and-web fight
|
3:37 |
: I’m not getting myself roped into a chat about the rules for knife fighting, Dan.
|
3:37 |
: Jaffe: “bruschetta is a sandwich.”
|
3:37 |
: because knife fights are to be avoided.
|
3:37 |
: Meg, are you leaving if we talk about various fighting techniques as well?
|
3:37 |
: YOu can’t always just avoid knife fights. Sometimes the person in front of you will get the last taco
|
3:37 |
: 2018 Yankees broke HR record and Judge/Stanton/Sanchez hit 83…
|
3:37 |
: No but only because I feel the need to be a hall monitor.
|
3:37 |
: With the Braves’ signing of McCann, how much p.t. does Suzuki get this year? And in the land of the (awful) catching replacement level, why doesn’t he get more respect for his batting profile changes?
|
3:38 |
: A well-positioned Victor Robles just robbed Wilson Ramos of an oppo gap single. I thought I’d have switched over to StL/MIL or PHI/ATL by now but this game has had great pace.
|
3:38 |
: Since Ohtani has just started taking on-field BP and could DH by May, couldn’t Yanks do same with Didi by June?
|
3:38 |
: I don’t think McCann is anything close to an everyday player.
|
3:38 |
: Yeah, but Didi’s not interesting as a DH
|
3:38 |
: what if you brought a loaf of bread to a knife fight?
|
3:38 |
: Ohtani is because he hit better than anyone had any right to expect
|
3:39 |
: hey Dan what’s your favorite John Fogerty song
|
3:39 |
: the little known track “Opener”
|
3:39 |
: “Let me start coach…I’m ready to face….one batter.”
|
3:39 |
: Look out 2019 here I come!
|
3:39 |
: Domes and decent weather help, too.
|
3:39 |
: I’m a good closer!
|
3:39 |
: Add Barraclough to the list of dudes I had forgotten had switched teams.
|
3:39 |
: Do you think of Frank Thomas swinging rebar as a sort of DriveLine-style innovator because he was more or less using weighted bats in the 90’s?
|
3:40 |
: Suzuki is on the Nationals. Does he mean Tyler Flowers?
|
3:40 |
: I’m guessing, yes.
|
3:40 |
: Better hair from a former SEC standout: Dansby Swanson or Aaron Nola?
|
3:40 |
: Swanson
|
3:40 |
: Re Didi as DH… it comes down to whether Tulowitki can outhit Gardner. Odds are that the Yankees need the DH spot to clear up their OF logjam (Judge, Stanton, Hicks, Gardner) moreso than to keep Tulowitzki and Gregorius in the same lineup
|
3:40 |
: Barraclough is pronounced bear-claw which is food!
|
3:41 |
: David Hess has thrown 39 pitches. This is gonna be a fun year.
|
3:41 |
: I have something on McCann/Flowers and Russell Martin/Austin Barnes in the works, in light of our new pitch framing stats
|
3:41 |
: Also, mayo the outside of your grilled cheese before you grill it. It turns out perfectly every time.
|
3:41 |
: In an unrelated note, how do we ban people FOREVER?
|
3:41 |
: So it seems that today’s Mets game is going to live and die by BVW’s big offseason deal.
|
3:41 |
: As a Sox fan, I’m bummed that they start at 7 on OD and a LONG West Coast trip to start the year. The defending champions should always start at home, on primetime, versus either a rival or a playoff rematch like the NFL does.
|
3:42 |
: Do we feel like MLB schedulers are silly boys and girls who repeatedly put cold weather teams against other cold weather teams instead of warmer/domes? For instance, Cleveland plays in Minnesota, then Cleveland, then Detroit until mid-April.
|
3:42 |
: Eff yeah mayo on exterior of Grilled cheese. You don’t taste it, it just crisps the exterior perfectly.
|
3:42 |
: that’s why the apostles gave us butter
|
3:42 |
: not to mention the added confidence that made sure deGrom pitched like a winner.
|
3:42 |
: No one wants to give up mid-summer home games is the thing
|
3:42 |
: The announcing combo of David Cone and Paul O’Neill is interesting. Cone takes the job very seriously and is very forward thinking. O’Neill is just a goofball.
|
3:42 |
: Cone does his homework and is an exemplary player-turned-analyst. I feel like O’Neill’s version of research is showing up with a working pen.
|
3:42 |
: How did we win 90 games last year and will we do it this year? What will Mr. Honeywell contribute this year?
|
3:43 |
: I always root for screwballers
|
3:43 |
: I don’t think they’re a 90-win team without some good luck though
|
3:43 |
: Isn’t really that no one wants to give up Opening Day. Even bad teams sell a bunch of tickets on OD
|
3:44 |
: I meant more generally.
|
3:44 |
: Do you think Matt W is Matt Wieters and is it fair to attribute 100% of his decline to using Mayo on grilled cheese?
|
3:44 |
: And sure, teams want a home opener but they really want games in June, July, and August when kids are out of school
|
3:45 |
: everybody does well opening day generally, the few days after can see a big drop in the cold-weather areas. Those teams would much rather have games in the summer when people are on vacation and school is out and the weather is good.
|
3:45 |
: Wow, what a double play by the Orioles! I’ve probably watched 10,000 baseball games in my life, but never seen anything like that.
|
3:45 |
: Is there a left handed knuckleballer anywhere in the minors, or is that just a phenomenon we aren’t likely to see in our lifetimes?
|
3:46 |
: Edwin Diaz in for the save.
|
3:46 |
: He’s fun. Watch Edwin, imo.
|
3:46 |
: left-handers don’t have to give up and try something else. They can just try to get lefties out. Maybe the secret design of the three-batter rule is to unearth lefty knucklers. Probably not, though.
|
3:46 | : Ryan Feierabend is not a full-on knuckleballer but he throws one, I assume he’s remaining in the Blue Jays’ organization somehow. Wrote about him here |
3:47 |
: Do the Orioles take Zion Williamson with their first pick?
|
3:47 |
: I’d make Vaughn and Rutschman the favorites right now. Maybe the more interesting question is: If a rep-less 19-year old like Zion were dropped into baseball’s best player dev situation, how good could they make him by age 25?
|
3:47 |
: CB Bucknor has missed a runner getting hit by a batted ball and calling an infield fly rule. How is he employed?
|
3:47 |
: Mayo is just oil, it adheres very well, and you don’t taste it once it’s cooked. Most diners and restaurants use this trick, so chances are if you’ve ordered a grilled cheese somewhere, it was mayo’d.
|
3:47 |
: Never buying a grilled cheese again!
|
3:48 |
: How was that not an infield fly?
|
3:48 |
: Any non-headliner storylines, you guys are particularly interested in?
|
3:48 |
: I just wanted to mention that in addition to the mistake of letting Scherzer bat, Martinez made an arguably bigger mistake in bringing in Matt Grace instead of one of his (several) better relievers in a high leverage situation. 2019=2018.
|
3:48 |
: infield fly, 2-2-5-4-6-4 putout. Ok, that seems normal.
|
3:49 |
: With the Dwight Smith Jr. and Kendrys Morales trades, the Jays have added $1.5m in international pool money that has to be spent before the June deadline. Who might they be able to acquire with that money?
|
3:49 |
: If they like Yolbert Sanchez that’s approaching the $2mil Kiley and I have been told he has on the table for 2019 period. Yennier Cano worked out in Miami this week, he throws pretty hard and doesn’t have enough foreign pro experience to be exempt from pool
|
3:50 |
: I’m really interested in seeing how Kris Bryant performs this season and the Cubs generally. Ton of tension right now. And I’m fascinated by the Rangers and Pirates for some reason.
|
3:50 |
: What is your favorite MLB broadcast team? I’m partial to Len and JD for the Cubs
|
3:50 |
: They are up there. Both Chicago teams are really good.
|
3:50 |
: Seeing Charlie Montoyo so happy making his Jays managerial debut makes me happy. That is all.
|
3:50 |
: Opening Day is great.
|
3:51 |
: I see Jay has caught Avatar fever! Things are really starting to trend up around here
|
3:51 |
: Sounds scary
|
3:51 |
: 25 Strikeouts and 10 hits in the WAS-NYM game. This is not a pace of play problem. But it might be a problem.
|
3:51 |
: When/where do you think will Keuchel sign?
|
3:52 |
: With whatever team whose rotation suffers the first serious injury. Thought maybe St Louis was in play after the Carlos Martinez stuff.
|
3:52 |
: Max Scherzer and Jacob deGrom is pretty atypical as far as starting tandems go.
|
3:52 |
: Well the 2018 Mariners just had a great game in DC.
|
3:53 |
: Jay, I had missed that piece about the knuckleballer. Cool!
|
3:53 |
: Thanks! Further research: Feierabend was assigned to Buffalo in late February.
|
3:54 |
: Only lefty knuckler I’ve ever seen
|
3:54 | : He’s currently listed on their roster |
3:55 |
: Gary / Keith / Ron (Mets)
|
3:55 |
: they are good as well
|
3:55 |
: Need some help. Mets game over, what’s the best game to tune in to now?
|
3:55 |
: Wilbur Wood had a long, successful career as a lefty knuckler, FWIW.
|
3:55 |
: I’m watching Braves/Phillies
|
3:56 |
: I’m watching Cardinals/Brewers
|
3:56 |
: Home run for Greg Bird, so his day isn’t a total loss
|
3:57 |
: Fowler just popped out with guys on first and third. I think just one of Tyler O’Neill’s biceps would have put up a more competitive at bat.
|
3:57 |
: If only there was some kind of hitting, like in a “pinch” that batters could have been put into a game for the Scherzer or something.
|
3:57 |
: I know that’s crazy
|
3:57 |
: The U.S. population has increased by 30 million since we last had expansion. With players like Gio having to take a minor league deal, it has to be time for expansion. How many years till we see two more teams?
|
3:57 |
: How many more years until we see the stadium situations in Tampa Bay and Oakland resolved? Because that’s what Manfred said has to happen first, circa 2017
|
3:57 |
: but is he better than Jose Martinez. I think there is a decent argument that the depth chart should be Martinez-O’Neill-Fowler, but Fowler is going to get a shot to show he can still play.
|
3:58 |
: I’ve now got TB/HOU on
|
3:59 |
: What wins in a fight: The Twins new 24 inch chili dog called “The Boomstick” or the Rangers new “Fowl Pole” a 2 pound chicken tender battered and fried served on a bed of waffle fries. Cardiologist not included.
|
3:59 |
Oh, yeah, you need to know about food at the ballpark, right? Or maybe you just need another NSFW shot of me & a chicken log:
|
3:59 |
: That’s Rangers beat writer Evan Grant with the Fowl Pole
|
3:59 |
: I can’t believe that’s not his av
|
3:59 |
: Keuchel should end up in the NL east somewhere, I’d imagine. Phils or Mets?
|
3:59 |
: I’d not want the Phillies infield playing behind him.
|
3:59 |
: Shoot, we were talking about it. I can eat a lot of chicken
|
3:59 |
: Not always sure we deserve to make it as a species
|
4:00 |
: oh heavens no, Meg
|
4:00 |
: I don’t want two more teams because we’ll inevitably have eight divisions
|
4:00 |
: How many more years does it take for the stadium situations in Oakland and TB to get resolved? Seems like they’ve both been going on forever, and it’d be jus tto see those finally get resolved at some point
|
4:01 |
: Oakland is pretty far along in their process as far I’ve heard; Tampa has stalled out.
|
4:01 |
: craig – how long a leash does shildt give dex? i’m afraid it’s gonna get awkward
|
4:01 |
: Don’t worry Meg, in the long run we won’t make it as a species. The heat-death of the universe is inevitable
|
4:01 |
: Coastal flooding is going to do a whole lot of damage first. And much more quickly
|
4:02 |
: Angels off to their usual start with Andrew Heaney going in for an elbow exam.
|
4:02 |
: I still think Keuchel is a fit in Anaheim with that flimsy rotation.
|
4:02 |
: If he doesn’t hit well the next couple weeks, the month following when he is starting regularly is going to be really awkward. I think he’ll get six weeks to see, though others could creep into that playing time from the start.
|
4:02 |
: How dumb is it that Kimbrel is not in the Atlanta bullpen today.
|
4:03 |
: Julio Teheran, opening day starter is arguably weirder.
|
4:03 |
: Ybor City wants the Rays
|
4:03 |
: Will Snell-Verlander live up to Scherzer-DeGrom?
|
4:03 |
: “Ybor city is tres speedy but they throw such killer parties. “
|
4:03 |
: Not likely, bird in hand situation, there.
|
4:04 |
: I don’t think we can seriously consider expansion until we’ve found a way to incentivize trying to win every year. I know we’ve always had “rebuilding” teams, but we have to find a way to make owners of the Marlins and the Orioles care about the difference between losing 100 games and 120.
|
4:05 |
: thinning out the talent pool might help that situation and make it harder to have the really great teams, thus giving more teams a reasonable opportunity to compete.
|
4:05 |
: Hey, Teheran looks good early!
|
4:06 |
: Would/should baseball just move to the NHL-style standings with 32 teams & 8 divisions? Where divisions only really matter for scheduling? Standings are determined by overall finish in respective leagues?
|
4:06 |
: I like fewer divisions and more wild cards
|
4:06 |
: Rays should just move to Montreal TBH
|
4:07 |
: Hi Jonah!
|
4:07 |
: As someone who lost her NBA franchise, I wouldn’t want to get one back through relocation.
|
4:07 |
: The competitive incentives for losing are really really small. The problem is that the financial incentives are completely out of whack
|
4:07 |
: Jay, there are solutions for flooding and global warming. But Entropy is undefeated.
|
4:07 |
: that is a problem, though i don’t think it is that difficult to get things back in order
|
4:07 |
: My work laptop is playing Verlander-Snell. My personal laptop is playing MIL-STL. My TV is playing ATL-PHI. Can I still tell my boss that I worked from home
|
4:07 |
: There are solutions but they all involve removing the Party of No from power in the White House, Senate and House all at once. Which isn’t easy to pull off. But you’re right, Entropy will win out
|
4:08 |
: Yes, this is your note from the managing editor.
|
4:08 |
: If Jay can talk politics I CAN TALK SPIDERMAN KNIFE FIGHTS!
|
4:08 |
: And food
|
4:08 |
: I can’t decide whether I should feel bad for Rusney Castillo, because he is stuck in AAA despite probably being a solid 4th outfielder, or happy for him because the thing that keeps him out of MLB is also making him insanely wealthy.
|
4:08 |
: Dan, you talk about politics all the time. Sandwich construction and jury nullification.
|
4:09 |
: that’s a really weird thing happening, though it is less likely now that the loophole is closed.
|
4:09 |
: That one is Wong Gone!
|
4:10 |
: Two homers in a single game Kolten Wong.
|
4:10 |
: Jay what are your thoughts on the new framing inclusive WAR totals? Are Brian McCann and Russel Martin really HOFers?
|
4:10 |
: maybe he’ll get the gold glove now.
|
4:10 |
: I’ve been thinking about it, and I’m still not happy with any of my Austin Meadows puns, but I want you all to know, I am working on it.
|
4:10 |
: Thoughts on this forthcoming, London Yank.
|
4:10 |
: Yankees bringing in Chapman here is just a transparent attempt to pump the Orioles up.
|
4:11 |
: What is a Hanser Alberto, and why is it batting against Aroldis Chapman?
|
4:11 |
: I believe Austin Meadows are well known for drum circles
|
4:11 |
: Austin Meadows took Verlander oppo to leadoff TB’s year. 1-2 fastball on outside corner
|
4:11 |
: The O’s had Hans Alberto, but wanted a Hanser one.
|
4:11 |
: well, there goes Verlander’s HOF bid
|
4:11 |
: Just wait till they call up Hansest Alberto
|
4:11 |
: Only if Zunino goes deep, Jay.
|
4:11 |
: Does this chat allow expletives? I get very emotionally agitated when watching baseball.
|
4:12 |
: I have to be good, the grownups are here
|
4:12 |
: Kolten Wong this years breakout slugger?
|
4:12 |
: Sporer sullied this conversation with some swears. I have been known to do so in the past but I have been a good boy today
|
4:13 |
: Rusney Castillo is a great example of how Boston can afford to miss (Castillo, Sandoval, Hanley Ramirez, Dustin Pedroia 2018) and still sign or trade for other expensive players (JD Martinez, Chris Sale, David Price, Ian Kinsler) until they get it right.
|
4:13 |
: Correct, whereas it seems the Yoan Lopez debacle in Phoenix is what facilitated the Touki/Arroyo salary dump to Atlanta.
|
4:13 |
: First K of the year for Luis Castillo
|
4:13 |
: He’s had periods where he showed this type of power and there are some times when he’s been more of an OBP-singles/doubles guy and other periods when he’s just not been good. I think 15-20 homers is a reasonable possibility is something I should have said yesterday.
|
4:13 |
: Is Meg now the grown-up? Cause Carson certainly wasn’t
|
4:13 |
: Watching this Orioles team: how bad was Alcides Escobar that he couldn’t make the team?
|
4:13 |
: I’ve been mistaken for one yes.
|
4:14 |
: Is there a way to view positional power rankings by team? Like all the tables and blurbs for say, the diamondbacks, in one place?
|
4:14 |
: She’s our best approximation
|
4:14 |
: Nate, that’s a pretty circular statement
|
4:14 |
: There is!
|
4:14 |
: It’s hard to justify Alcides even at AAA, IMO.
|
4:14 |
: Austin Meadows sounds like nice subdivision to live in.
|
4:15 |
: Pretty sure Brandon Lowe will exhaust his rookie eligibility today
|
4:15 |
: aaaaand Luis Castillo’s first walk
|
4:15 |
: Blue, just above where the rankings start in any given position (you won’t see it in the intro or summary) there is a bar with all the positions laid out. Just under that is a “View by Team” drop down.
|
4:16 |
: Lowe pronounced like Now, right?
|
4:17 |
: Unfortunately yes.
|
4:17 |
: Found it. Thanks Meg!
|
4:18 |
: That name again is Mr. Lowe.
|
4:18 |
: lol
|
4:18 |
: He better be good if he wants me to prounounce Lowe different than every other person named Lowe that ever existed ever.
|
4:19 |
: You can’t be Alcides Escobar and then tell people your last name is pronounced “Ecto-cooler”
|
4:19 |
: Michael Brantley struck out, repent, repent!
|
4:19 |
: Dan, wouldn’t that mean that Escobar was actually tradable?
|
4:20 |
: good point
|
4:20 |
: Harper just struck out.
|
4:20 |
: WORST SIGNING EVER
|
4:22 |
: wait Peter Bourjos is still around?
|
4:22 |
: How fast does Aroldis Chapman usually throw again?
|
4:22 |
: Can still run and go get it in the OF, LAA was light on 40-man OFs heading to spring training.
|
4:22 |
: OK folks, I’m going to bow out here. fistbumps to my fellow FG staffers and thank you to our readers for tuning in.
|
4:22 |
: Maybe he was just taking it easy today.
|
4:22 |
: cya Jay!
|
4:22 |
: Kolten Wong has 2 HR. Is he the new Altuve?
|
4:23 |
: Opening Day is so great.
|
4:23 |
: Wong is Right, some hacky editor somewhere is writing
|
4:23 |
: If glovin you is Wong?
|
4:23 |
: Do you not want your name to be “ecto-cooler?” That would be badass
|
4:24 |
: With THE GAME being gone, do you ever think about the day baseball is gone? Like, do you think it will take a catastrophic event for MLB to end, or will it wane in popularity until it’s just not really a thing anymore? Do you think it lasts another 50 years? 100 years? Is the game played on floating fields atop a water world?
|
4:24 |
: I think these things most likely will fade
|
4:24 |
: I think it lasts 50
|
4:24 |
: Star Trek Deep Space Nine had it ending somewhere in the 2030s, I beleive
|
4:24 |
: In one of the Buck Bokai episodes
|
4:24 |
: He was suppposed to debut already
|
4:25 |
: Should but Buck Bokai on THE BOARD tbh
|
4:25 |
: Does Marcell Ozuna get a one year or multi year deal next year?
|
4:25 |
: Well as someone who won’t be retirement age in 2030 that’s not at all concerning.
|
4:25 |
: I still don’t know how Joc actually makes contact with the ball with that swing. when he does he just murders the ball though!
|
4:25 |
: Do baseball writers REALLY retire?
|
4:25 |
: i would think he could at least get brantly’s deal even if he repeats last season.
|
4:25 |
: I plan on walking into the sea.
|
4:25 |
: I imagine i’ll be 80 in 2058 going on insane rants about stupid cyborg players
|
4:26 |
: better to burn out, than it is to rust
|
4:27 |
: and on that note, I think I’ll call it a day.
|
4:27 |
: I think MLB lasts longer than the NFL. I think the additional focus on the physical toll of the game can’t be put back in the box
|
4:27 |
: Whelp, Klubers Slydra is as nasty as ever. Nelson Cruz knew he was out halfway through his swing.
|
4:27 |
: *fistbumps for craig*
|
4:28 |
: I think thematic exits for sports writers are a good idea, like Meg the Mariners fan walks into the sea, although the Mets fan death of being eaten alive by pizza rats is considerably grimmer
|
4:28 |
: (excusing myself briefly to retrieve chips, guac, etc.)
|
4:28 |
: NOW I’M IN CHARGE BRIEFLY
|
4:29 |
: Has anyone, ever, left Dan in charge?
|
4:29 |
: DAN WHILE YOU’RE IN CHARGE MAKE SOME SWEEPING CHANGES TO THE GAME, THE LEAGUE, THE WEBSITE, THE GOVERNMENT, ETC
|
4:29 |
: OBP NO LONGER INCLUDES SACRIFICE FLIES IN THE DENOMINATOR
|
4:29 |
: IT IS SAID
|
4:30 |
: Dodgers writer turns into skeleton while waiting in traffic going into Chavez Ravine
|
4:30 |
: DAN, THROW OUT SOME EXPLETIVES BEFORE MEG COMES BACK
|
4:30 |
: I’m back.
|
4:30 |
: She’s not going to be gone long enough for me to dare that.
|
4:30 |
: See?
|
4:30 |
: Driver uses corpse to access HOV lane while leaving Dodgers Stadium
|
4:30 |
: You guys could’ve gotten me in trouble!
|
4:31 |
: Fans already wearing Guerrero Jr jerseys.
|
4:31 |
: Almost like he’s one of the most exciting hitters we’ve seen (or not seen, as the case may be) in a while
|
4:31 |
: Meg did you bring enough snacks to share with the whole class?
|
4:31 |
: Aren’t most of you guys millennials? I would assume you already have avocados.
|
4:32 |
: Greinke looks like the most disheveled ball player I can remember
|
4:32 |
: We are out of food and the hedgehog is in the toilet.
|
4:32 |
: Willy Adames’ spikes are a bit much
|
4:32 |
: I fed the cats before I left! Last I saw the hedgehog was in the hallway
|
4:32 |
: dave (or anyone) who is the most sheveled ball player you can remember?
|
4:32 |
: Oh that’s a look.
|
4:32 |
: eh, I take it back
|
4:32 |
: That Wil Myers TV interview
|
4:33 |
: Before Seager’s injury in 2017 he was puttin gup .300/.400/.500 – it’s so great to have him back, and man he’s got such a great approach at the plate esp how much he swings at the first pitch yet can walk so much
|
4:34 |
: Adames cleats>Bryce’s cleats (they look like crocs imo)
|
4:34 |
: I thought maybe they let him murder the Phanatic as part of the deal.
|
4:35 |
: What, too much?
|
4:36 |
:
|
4:36 |
: Dave: You have clearly never seen David Wells. He wears a crown of used fast food wrappers.
|
4:37 |
: Ian Desmond is still on the Rockies. This does not please me.
|
4:39 |
: Making fun of the Rockies and Desmond is one of my faves!
|
4:39 |
: We ate all the food already .. no one here to tell us not to do that.I am not being named put the hedgehog in the toilet on purpose.
|
4:40 |
: Can I nominate Yankee fans who put names on the back of jerseys as the worst fans? Please?
|
4:40 |
: it is a bad look, isn’t it?
|
4:41 |
: the worst part is that a lot of official replica jerseys come with player names… just… what is that?
|
4:42 |
: yeah, if you have a yankees jersey with a name, fans are legally allowed to strip you bare and set it on fire
|
4:42 |
: announcers never fail to mention shadows between the mound and home and how it advantages the pitcher. has any research been done on this? I think their argument makes sense, but numbers behind it would be valuable! “Batters have x-points lower OBP with shadows” or something
|
4:42 |
: i’d kinda be curious about shadow splits
|
4:42 |
: Wong HR total over/under … 320?
|
4:42 |
: Don’t be silly, he’s not going to hit more than 150 homers
|
4:43 |
: My wife bought me a replica Judge jersey with the name on the back….that was tough to deal with
|
4:43 |
: All jerseys should have player name, it’s hard for fans, especially new ones, not to have them there. It’s like they want to do the things that are worst for marketing….
|
4:43 |
: i reject the premise that marketability uber alles. Like I’ll be bummed when sponsorships end up on jerseys.
|
4:43 |
: my gf wouldn’t buy me anything baseball since she doesn’t know anything about baseball. She mostly tags along to baseball things as an opportunity to drink
|
4:45 |
: At the staten island meetup, she came along, and didn’t understand a single thing anybody said, so she just knit all weekend and drank about 40 beers
|
4:45 |
: Can we acknowledge how dope it is that the A’s got Jurickson Profar for only a decent prospect and a supplementary draft pick??
|
4:45 |
: I wish I had chips and guac and etc. I also wish I could hear the game I’m trying to listen to at work. Is there some rights issue with streaming MLB games on the internet? My boss has an actual radio in his office with the game on and I’m trying to stream the same station and it has something different online.
|
4:46 |
: don’tthink there’s typically an issue with radio
|
4:46 |
: like when you have a blacked out game, mlt tv gives you a radio feed
|
4:46 |
: Replica jersey with names on the back are the worst! Everyone’s going to know you’re not ACTUALLY on the team!
|
4:46 |
: mike i had that same issue with 680 the fan in atlanta
|
4:46 |
: also Matt Chapman: still really freaking good at defense.
|
4:47 |
: OH MY GOD OH MY GOD OH MY GOD LORENZO CAIN
|
4:47 |
: How the yuck is melky C the second hitter for Pittsburgh?
|
4:47 |
: Springer 3-run dinger off first-pitch curveball. 3-1 ‘Stros
|
4:47 |
: what happen? I can’t have 8 games on here on the press box wireless or they’ll murder me
|
4:49 |
: Cain bleeping brought Jose Martinez’s home run back to end the game.
|
4:49 |
: I just saw tales of a bourbon slushie here at the park, I need to go find it
|
4:51 |
: How old is the average FG reader/commenter? I’m 43.
|
4:51 |
: I always assume about 30? I don’t know if we’ve ever done any study of demographic information
|
4:51 |
: For a second, I thought Dan left a hedgehog free-roaming in a house full of cats and was very concerned for the hedgehog’s well-being. Then I remembered the hedgehog is a toy and then was concerned about my own well-being. why do I know this much about the toys of a baseball writer’s cats?
|
4:52 |
: Fun fact, Paul Goldschmidt is only 2nd on the all-time bWAR leaderboard for players born in Delaware, behind Wilmington’s own Sadie McMahon by .5 WAR
|
4:53 |
: Josh Bell just got Bucknered
|
4:53 |
: I second billy b. You folks chat about things sane people shouldn’t be interested in and yet I come here daily and don’t regret a moment.
|
4:54 |
: Harper already getting boos LOL
|
4:54 |
: (sigh) I miss my homeland
|
4:54 |
How Old Are You?
Under 18 (0.3% | 1 vote)
18-30 (44.4% | 115 votes)
31-49 (42.4% | 110 votes)
50-68 (8.4% | 22 votes)
69 (0% | 0 votes)
70-90 (0.3% | 1 vote)
90-100 (0.7% | 2 votes)
100+ and also a liar (3.0% | 8 votes)
Total Votes: 259
|
4:54 |
: man, look at those slacker millennial go!
|
4:56 |
: You know that scene from IASIP where Charlie has this insane conspiracy theory on his walls? That’s what I feel like with four screens in front of me trying to show my partner how Blake Snell got screwed on a missed third strike.
|
4:56 |
: Rockies signed Pepe Silvia.
|
4:57 |
: LOL at Michael Brantley’s hands. Just dropped the bat head and turned on 93 in on the black, lifted it 10 rows deep.
|
4:57 |
: Brantley!
|
4:58 |
: Have we hit peak meme with Elvis Andrus and Baby Shark? (PS he just hit a bomb)
|
4:58 |
: Votto just hesistation deked Josh Bell, a real bad two batters to be Josh Bell
|
4:58 |
: I don’t get Baby Shark at all
|
4:58 |
: If you thought the avg age was 30, you might not have wanted to put 30 as the ending for one and 31 for the start of another.
|
4:59 |
: I’M NOT A PROFESSIONAL DEMOGRAPHER I TRY MY BEST
|
4:59 |
: What were the terms on the Silvia signing?
|
4:59 |
: 5/80 because they assumed a randomly selected person would be better than desmond
|
4:59 |
: Dan, without giving too much away, how does ZIPS do defensive projections for minor leaguers? Is it scouting reports? Any MiLB data used?
|
4:59 |
: I do some location parsing and have a rudimentary Total Zone measure
|
5:00 |
: Angels pitching is just going to make me so sad this year.
|
5:00 |
: Also a scouting report parser, but it’s been more effort than benefit, so I’m reethinking that
|
5:00 |
: Griffin Canning was mostly 90-92 the other night, too.
|
5:00 |
: Hi just got to the chat, does anyone know why Tyler Naquin is in the 3 hole for Cleveland? Sorry if this was already brought up
|
5:01 |
: Because the Indians have two good players in the lineup and one of them is out with an ankle sprain.
|
5:02 |
: Rob Manfred was just in the Pirates booth for a half inning and was slurring his speech.
|
5:02 |
: i assumed inebriation is how we got magic extra innings runenrs
|
5:03 |
: Carlos Santana is also rather good.
|
5:03 |
: Meh, it’s 2019.
|
5:03 |
: Myers just hit a tank. 450+ to right-center. Strong.
|
5:04 |
: Szymborski shows up and the baseball chat goes all pear shaped. His people have arrived. Don’t go Meg.. please.
|
5:04 |
: Also nobody look but neither the Tigers nor the Blue Jays have a hit through four innings
|
5:04 |
: Looking at that poll, I would’ve thought there’s more people over 40 here. Baseball’s not dead, hooray!
|
5:04 |
: I just cracked my first beer of the day; working from home is awesome (I’m in CO, for those East Coasters who also are cracking their first beers); I cheers you
|
5:05 |
: I didn’t know there was a Szymborski Crü, separate from the normal Fangraphs readership
|
5:05 |
: How are the Indians projected in the standings tool for 6th highest runs per game? Leonys Martin leading off and Tyler Naquin hitting third.
|
5:05 |
: I don’t think it’s ZiPS!
|
5:05 |
: because that’s not gonna be their lineup on year and the projection system likes that Lindor guy in the lineup
|
5:05 |
: And yeah, Lindor + Jram
|
5:05 |
: Hey Meg, do you think that the Mariners can really turn their team around with the new pieces they have? Thanks!
|
5:07 |
: Kluber is still really good.
|
5:07 |
: If a no hitter happens in a Jays/Tigers game, does it make a sound?
|
5:07 |
: For the record, I do prefer the Silvia contract over the Ian Desmond Contract (aka: The Gift That Keeps On Giving).
|
5:07 |
: odds kluber is traded this yr? odds its to san diego as reported earlier that they were in talks?
|
5:08 |
: Not this year, and obviously a lot has to break right with the guys they’ve acquired. I still think they’re going to face a dearth of quality starting pitching when their “step back” ends, but the position players are intriguing. That they will be prepared to spend in a free agent market that is already pretty picked over after this year is Very Mariners.
|
5:08 |
: If you asked me a month ago, I’d have said likely, but I gotta think he’d be traded by now if he was going to be traded
|
5:08 |
: Meg and Eric, you around for a bit?
|
5:08 |
: Yeah for a bit.
|
5:08 |
: I want to find the hot pork schnitzel and the bourbon slushie
|
5:09 |
: Kiley has informed me that he is bound for a high school game To Do Prospect Stuff, and will not be able to join us. He apologizes.
|
5:10 |
: I know I’m too invested in the results of Game 1 of 162. But I can’t help it. Everything hurts right now
|
5:10 |
: Spiderman has superhuman reflexes and Spidey sense. He hardly needs webs
|
5:10 |
: Right but then the young adult coming-of-age subtext isn’t as rich. Sorry if you’re eating!
|
5:11 |
: lol welcome to FanGraphs!
|
5:12 |
: Can a condition of Kiley’s employment be that if he goes to scout high school games he actually has to dress up like and pretend to be a high schooler, 21 Jump Street style?
|
5:12 |
: I’ll ask Appelman. We might have existing contract language to that end.
|
5:14 |
: The Tigers and Royals game (that nobody is watching) is shaping up to be an all-timer
|
5:14 |
: Ah the well-dressed and distinguished older woman behind home plate is there, I am sold.
|
5:16 |
: Tigers list drops tomorrow btw
|
5:16 |
: Tatis drops a sneaky bunt for a hit. 2-2
|
5:16 |
: well that’s fun
|
5:18 |
: And then Tatis gets picked off…
|
5:18 |
: every good story needs some drama
|
5:21 |
: Eric, is there anyone in the minors who has a 70 or 80 pickoff move? It seems like if you’re good at it, that would be pretty valuable for a little while and then it wouldn’t matter because guys would just not lead off as much.
|
5:22 |
: I have trouble remembering which guys have good moves off the top of my head and I also don’t have a set placve to write it down. Travis Blackley had the best I’ve ever seen in person
|
5:26 |
: Not sure if this has been covered, but why do 14 teams get an off day tomorrow?
|
5:27 |
: They’ve built more off days into the front end of the schedule to allow for weather postponements. Same reason the season is starting earlier.
|
5:29 |
: I have been informed the player is not the Knighted Anthony Dominguez, but in fact Seranthony Dominguez
|
5:29 |
: very good
|
5:29 |
: why would off days one day into the season help with weather postponements? wouldn’t it make sense to have more frequent off days starting a week or so in?
|
5:30 |
: probably… though there is probably some get enough of a series in logic at play
|
5:31 |
: off day in day 2 is in case of an opening day rainout
|
5:31 |
: There’s always snow issues in March/April, especially in the Central divisions.
|
5:32 |
: Jordan Zimmerman perfect with 55 pitches. Wow.
|
5:34 |
: Most teams have off days Oak plays 18 straight games after starting the season on the other side of the world!
|
5:34 |
: Back. Struck out on the bourbon slushie and schnitzel, I’ll try the other side of the stadium later.
|
5:34 |
: ohh goodness
|
5:34 |
: So I settled for a hot mett and shotgunning a couple rheingeists
|
5:35 |
: If Jordan Zimmermann throws a perfect game, I think they reboot the season and hope it’s less buggy after a restart
|
5:36 |
: What ballpark has the best food?
|
5:37 |
: I’m partial to PNC
|
5:37 |
: Really, you can great food at any park these days
|
5:37 |
: But I haven’t been to all the west coast parks – I generally stay east coast/midwest
|
5:38 |
: rest in peace to Zack Greinke, who has been murdered by the Dodgers
|
5:39 |
: pirates lineup without polanco and marte is…well, its not ideal
|
5:39 |
: The hot mett was good, they have them on these hot pink buns
|
5:39 |
: Who is the most “by default” opening starter you can remember? Zimmerman was at least very good for a couple of seasons. Even Andrew Cashner, opening day starter for the O’s, was good at one point.
|
5:40 |
: I think Jack Morris started like 12 opening days and was an actual star in like 3 of those seasons
|
5:40 |
: Ho many people have had a heart attack in Arlington today because of the Fowl Pole?
|
5:40 |
: It’s not THAT Much chicken
|
5:41 |
: as extreme food goes, a two pound chicken tender barely budges the needle these days!
|
5:41 |
: What ballpark has the worst food?
|
5:41 |
: veterans stadium did
|
5:41 |
: Oracle Park has the good (and expensive eats) but nothing along the lines of a 2 foot chicken tender. (Ah, Texas.)
|
5:42 |
: Ah shucks
|
5:42 |
: Really aggressive hook on Luis Castillo. Thought he looked good
|
5:43 |
: He was at 91 pitches and his command wasn’t perfect
|
5:44 |
: although the hook doens’t look good now
|
5:44 |
: Shots fired at Morris? I meant more like “Well, our best guy is a number 4…”
|
5:44 |
: Oh, I didn’t know that’s what you meant by default
|
5:44 |
: there’s also bulgogi egg rolls here somewhere, but I’ll have to research where those are
|
5:44 |
: and Morris *was* kinda a number by the last half of his career
|
5:44 |
: Well now pobodys nerfect!
|
5:45 |
: If it’s two feet long it’s an emu tender, not a chicken tender
|
5:45 |
: where is there 2 linear feet of chicken on the bird?
|
5:45 |
: I’m sure it’s reformed into the shape and not a literal tender
|
5:45 | : Not to promote an alternate site, but: |
5:46 |
: Can always make exceptions for the wonderful Grant Brisbee.
|
5:46 |
: 7 ER in 2 IP from the Braves bullpen. If only there was somebody we could get to help out.
|
5:46 |
: Is he related to the mice from secret of nimh?
|
5:46 |
: Are the Braves going to regret not bolstering the rotation and pen this off-season?
|
5:46 |
: The pen for sure
|
5:46 |
: I think the ortation will be fine
|
5:46 |
: The Oakland Coliseum now has pretty great food, not because of the food in the stadium (which is vastly improved but not especially notable) but because you can get food from foodtrucks parked at the stadium during the game. Chicken Tikka Masala on crosscut sweet potato fries may have been my favorite, but some nights you can get vegan Philipino food, which is pretty crazy for a place that just 5 years ago only had terrible hot dogs and nachos
|
5:47 |
: If the meat is reformed (processed?) then isn’t it by definition a chicken nugget? Is there a physical size limit for a tender? This feels like the sandwich argument morphed into another food.
|
5:47 |
: I have a lot of affection for that ballpark as flawed as it is
|
5:47 |
: I’m not familiar with the nugget/patty/tender precedents.
|
5:47 |
: The Marlins’ starters the past few years (Urena, Volquez, Chen, etc.) are all decent candidates for that ‘default’ OD starting pitcher
|
5:48 |
: The Marlins #1 starter is always the best guy who is available to work for nothing.
|
5:48 |
: the only move the braves made to address the bullpen this offseason was to release Sam Freeman.
|
5:49 |
: Taillon looks sharp. Only 60 pitches thus far
|
5:49 |
: Was my “let’s do something nutty” Cy Young pick
|
5:49 |
: Blister in the Sun is always a little weird to see little kids clapping along to
|
5:50 |
: just heard from someone at the Twins game that they’ve run out of food and beer at at least one of the areas. How is that possible?
|
5:50 |
: “We cant’ be expected to feed thousands of people!”
|
5:50 |
DMurphy1B Thor SP T Shaw 2B Hand RP MiMous 3B Strahm RP DeJong SS Hicks RP K Bryant OF Yu Darvish P Pollock OF E Rodriguez P Pham OF C McHugh P Voit UTIL Alvarado Bench JRam UTIL Strickland Bench Albies Bench Kyle Gibson Bench DSanta Bench Bauers Bench |
5:50 |
: Whoops. Meant to say: How Sleeper and the Bust is this squad? haha.
|
5:50 |
: JB Shuck…looking less sharpy
|
5:51 |
: Josh Collmenter – Arizona Diamonbacks 2015 Opening Day Starter.
|
5:51 |
: ALERT: Ian Desmond has accrued one (1) “barrel”. This is not a drill.
|
5:51 |
: SPOILER: They’ve given up on him being a baseball player and now the team is having him make barrels for sale to earn his keep.
|
5:51 |
: We are always with you Dan. You are the only chat host who understands that chili debates what defines a sandwiche and baseball can coexist in a chat session.
|
5:52 |
https://imgur.com/r/funny/5yzsKJ5) would end up with Structure Purist/Ingredient Purist being contiguous meat and traditional bread crumbs against Radical Tender Anarchy being chicken hot dogs on a pancake
: I feel like a Chicken Tender Alignment Chart (similar to something like this for sandwiches: |
5:52 |
: Hey, the Marlins have a lot of hungry young pitchers. They’re pitching for a sandwich!
|
5:53 |
: Should MLB tweak the schedule so there are a few more glamour series matchups opening day? The NFL and NBA seem to do a better job at this (opening game, holidays, etc)
|
5:53 |
: MLB schedules are so tricky since you have to stuff so many requirements into a 162 game season
|
5:53 |
: Ian Desmond…more like Ian Cooper!
|
5:53 |
: The A’s seem like they’re going to go Trivino – Soria – Treinen for the 7, 8, & 9 even though they are up 4 and while that seems a little wasteful, that’s also a fearsome bullpen.
|
5:54 |
: Gotta EXERT YOUR AUTHORITE
|
5:54 |
: Marwin just hit a ball so hard that Leonys Martin couldn’t cut it off in the gap and CJ Cron was able to score from first
|
5:55 |
: just call him BILLY HAMILCRON
|
5:56 |
: Lauer out after only 70 pitches? Bigger head-scratcher today: That pull or Scherzer after 109?
|
5:56 |
: I’m not sure where either of them maxed out during ST but that’s a piece of info I’d wanna know before judging either.
|
5:57 |
: dropping CRONic flakes
|
5:57 |
: Expect a lot of 0-0 scores deep into Indians games this year, With Lindor on the IL the team on the field looks like the Orioles.
|
5:57 |
: THe injured list is a better name than the disabled list, but they should still have the abbreviation for injured list be DL.
|
5:58 |
: If David Jonathan Drew can be J.D. Drew and J.A. Happ be “Jay” Happ I think it’s OK to call the injured list the DL.
|
5:58 |
: a chicken tender is a calzone
|
5:58 |
: Oh dear gawd. The Padres are going to change pitchers every batter this inning. Can the new rule be implemented now, please?
|
5:58 |
: The injureD List, perhaps?
|
5:58 |
: OK guys, 6:00 coming up and we’re going to wind down this chat in a couple.
|
5:59 |
: Any last minute shenanigans, this is your moment!
|
5:59 |
: Meg… infield analysis for Mariners? Beckham outlook? Thx
|
5:59 |
: Angels offense is pathetic
|
5:59 |
: I only have one shenanigan. Can’t afford any more.
|
5:59 |
: Don’t think they’re sold on him.
|
5:59 |
: In positive news for the Twins, Rocco Baldelli has made it through almost an entire game without being hurt
|
5:59 |
: Never really called it the Disabled List in the past, it was always just the DL. It is going to take a long time to start calling it the IL.
|
5:59 |
: I keep thinking guys were sent down to the International League
|
6:00 |
: WHY IS FRANCISCO LINDOR ON THE IL, ARE THEY PLAYING SERVICE TIME ISSUES?!?!
|
6:00 |
: Dan, no, you can’t leave! On the west coast it’s only 3 PM! What am I going to do for 2 more hours while my employer thinks I am working!
|
6:00 |
: Twitter’s still a thing
|
6:00 |
: And I gotta find that bourbon slushie
|
6:00 |
: did u guys say shenanigans?
|
6:00 |
: And I need to edit a Tigers list.
|
6:00 |
: OK, ABOUT TO DO 30 SECOND WARNING
|
6:00 |
: (peace)
|
6:01 |
: Danforth and Megglsworth, wherefore must you leave?
|
Meg is the managing editor of FanGraphs and the co-host of Effectively Wild. Prior to joining FanGraphs, her work appeared at Baseball Prospectus, Lookout Landing, and Just A Bit Outside. You can follow her on twitter @megrowler.