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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 9/11/2026

12:03
Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning everyone, hope you had a good week. I’m on the road looking for a reprieve from the heat, hoping that things have downshifted when I get back. The forecast doesn’t look favorable for that. I’m in data-gathering mode, lining the coffers for offseason list-making. I have a rental car pickup in about 90 mins, so we’re keeping things tight to the hour today. Let’s get after it.

12:03
Charles Bengal Tiger: So, 47 HRs for Fischer. What does it really mean?

12:06
Eric A Longenhagen: Because of how the bottom of the big league scale is shifting and evolving, I’m starting to come around on the idea that this will be good enough for Fischer to be a first division regular at first base…

12:06
Eric A Longenhagen: Here is the bottom of the big league player pop in terms of contact rate:

12:06
Eric A Longenhagen: Minimum 200 PA

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Scouting the Uniformed Debuts of Early-Round Padres and Giants Draft Picks

USA TODAY Network via Reuters Connect

Late last week, I arrive at Peoria, on the opposite corner of the Phoenix Metro, where Padres first-round pick Coleman Borthwick is making his uniformed debut against the Rangers. I’ve settled on “uniformed debut” rather than “pro debut” for these kinds of box score-free backfield outings that precede the player’s first real game at an affiliate. The second I walk across the threshold between the parking lot and the field, I spot Ramón Laureano playing catch with a softball, and then with a regular baseball. He looks incredibly strong, like he’s taken outstanding care of himself as he rehabs from a labrum tear. I’m one of the first interested parties here, with former big leaguer Ernie Young among the scouts who have beaten me to the field. Several Padres players and personnel make their way behind home plate, including Lucas Giolito, whose upper arm/tricep hair rivals that of your author’s. Read the rest of this entry »


Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 9/4/26

12:17
Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning, chat. Happy September Stretch Run to you all.

12:18
Brendan Smith: Will you be at the first weekend of the AZ Fall League? Any tips for a first-time attendee?

12:21
Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, I’ll be here all season save for maybe one weekend where I slip out of town for football. My first tips for newbs is to check the schedule to make sure you’re not accidentally coming here when the group is playing down in Tucson, or when there are off days to avoid counter-programming the world series. Look at the schedule and see when the games take place consecutively so you can double and triple up.

12:22
Eric A Longenhagen: My second piece of advice is to avoid Glendale during the day if it’s still pretty hot outside. The way that ballpark is oriented leaves you without shade.

12:23
scottsjunk1981: Have you seen anything unexpected in Jackson Kent’s first few starts?

12:24
Eric A Longenhagen: Just that the strikes have been *this* bad. Changeup is missing bats at a plus clip. Think he’s still in that no. 4/5 SP area long term.

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Scouting Ketel Marte’s Rehab and Jackson Flora’s Pro Debut

Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

On Thursday, I woke up to a text warning me that first pitch of the Diamondbacks-Giants Bridge League game had moved up to 10 AM local time – presumably due to the heat, our morning low on Thursday was 95 degrees and cranked up to 113 – and that a rehabbing Ketel Marte was in the lineup. The change in schedule meant I could spend an hour watching Ketel and Co., then slip over to the Rockies’ side of the Salt River Fields Complex to catch a second game. Rehabbers typically hit every inning, so I hoped to squeeze in three Marte at-bats before changing locations. Read the rest of this entry »


Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 8/28/26

12:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning, readers. Thanks for coming to another chat. Let’s get right to it.

12:02
veest: How is Dylan Jordan looking these days? I know there was some velo improvement, but is anything else moving forward?

12:04
Eric A Longenhagen: Struggled with walks for the better part of the last two months. 93-96 t97 with extreme uphill angle because of his delivery, slider 80-84 generating elite miss. Still a good pitching prospect even though he’s struggled with strikes, could end up having multiple plus-plus pitches.

12:05
Anthony Hoehner: Okay, I can’t ignore it anymore. Is Ryan Cesarini an actual prospect?

12:07
Eric A Longenhagen: Yep, platoon OF prospect. Great pull-side, high-ball hitter, especially against righties. 50 hit, 55 power against righties, more like 35 hit, 45 power against lefties. Swings over the top of lots of soft stuff down and away from him. How much that gets exposed by big leaguers will dictate whether or not he sticks. He should get an opportunity at some point in his mid-20s, doesn’t have to go on Cleveland’s 40-man until after 2027 season so look out for him in ’28

12:07
crazyhorse: Happy Walker Jenkins Day

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Scouting Notes on the Rehabbing Cubs and Diamondbacks Pitchers

Eric Longenhagen-FanGraphs

I had Tuesday’s Cubs-Diamondbacks Bridge League game circled on the calendar. Chicago’s big league squad is in town this week (for a series that has become spicy), and I thought this meant the organization’s recently drafted pitchers might throw in front of traveling Cubs brass who could see their new talent in the morning before heading to Chase Field for the second game of that series. “Bridge League,” for those unfamiliar, is a fairly informal, month-long slate of backfield games that take place at the spring training complexes between the end of the Arizona and Florida Complex League schedules and the end of the other minor seasons in September. It mostly exists to give newly drafted players a soft landing spot to start their pro careers.

But instead of a first glimpse at Cade Townsend or Carson Jasa, I ran into multiple, big-name rehabbers from both clubs: Justin Steele (who threw a live BP) and Ben Brown of the Cubs, and Corbin Burnes and Zac Gallen of the Diamondbacks. Here is a rundown of my day and how those guys looked, as the two teams eagerly await reinforcements during their respective playoff pushes. Read the rest of this entry »


Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 8/21/26

12:06
Eric A Longenhagen: Hello internet friends, it’s that time again.

12:08
rossredcay: Ethan Petry struggled pretty bad to start at AA after getting promoted, but seems to be picking it up lately (HR in 4 straight games, 5 in last 8).  Does he have a shot to hit enough to be an everyday guy?  Or have the cracks showing in the hit tool at AA made that less likely?

12:10
Eric A Longenhagen: He’s the sort who could have window where he’s an everyday guy, think Luke Voit.

12:10
Eric A Longenhagen: Where he’s technically an everyday guy but he’s a 40

12:12
Turks Teeth: Jake Munroe looks awfully solid for an under the radar 4th rounder. Thoughts on his projection?

12:13
Eric A Longenhagen: It’s above average contact but not the kind power you’d expect from a guy slugging .500

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Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 8/14/26

12:17
Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning from Tempe, where the monsoon was in full effect this week. Happy to be home after a long, productive Area Codes. Thanks for stopping by, let’s hit your questions…

12:17
rux12321: Any thoughts/insights on recent draftees Cole Prosek and Connor Comeau?

12:19
Eric A Longenhagen: I was in Surprise yesterday. Prosek had a big day on the Royals’ side of the Complex. Homered and doubled, big move forward, nice to see him squaring pro pitching out the gate. I was on the Rangers side until they were done (only seven innings yesterday) and Comeau played well at shortstop, took good at-bats. Didn’t sizzle anything but looked good, much more projectable than Prosek. Seong-Jun Kim pitched, 93-94, four pitches, strikes.

12:19
Eric A Longenhagen: More through the portal: The Board | FanGraphs Baseball

12:20
mistersparkle: Do you see Ethan Salas being promoted to the majors by the end of this season? If so, are the Padres rushing him or does he seem big-league-ready?

12:20
Eric A Longenhagen: I think so long as Campy is hitting like this that Fermin/Campy is the duo they’ll go to the mattresses with.

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In Detroit’s Valley of Darkness, a River of Hope

Matt Kartozian and Mark J. Rebilas-Imagn Images

Something about the the gut-wrenching way Tarik Skubal’s final Tigers start ended — with Detroit coughing up a big lead as it desperately clung to its playoff hopes — made it easier both to accept that he’d be traded and to understand that dealing him would probably be the right move.

Indeed, it was a sobering microcosm of the team’s season for Skubal’s final inning to end awkwardly rather than in triumph, and then for things to go sideways in unexpected fashion. Like a lot of us, I picked the Tigers to make a deep postseason run. For several reasons, including so that I might look smart (not dumb, like they say, but smart), I hoped during the last several weeks that the Tigers would stay hot enough for it to make sense for them to keep Skubal. As the schedule reached this weekend’s checkpoint, and Detroit stumbled deeper into a very crowded AL Wild Card field, it became clearer what the front office had to do. Late on Saturday night, the Tigers traded Skubal to the Dodgers for Triple-A starting pitcher River Ryan, Double-A outfielder Zyhir Hope, and Low-A pitcher Brady Smith. Read the rest of this entry »


Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 7/31/26

12:17
Eric A Longenhagen: Hi hello how are you, it’s another 115+ degree day here in Tempe, time to chat.

12:17
Big Fan: Philosophically, do you feel like contenders value their prospects too much?  Not enough?  The right amount?  I’m sure the answer varies by team, but it’d be interesting to hear which teams typically fall in which bucket.

12:19
Eric A Longenhagen: It varies by executive even more than team. The small market teams covet the surplus value, and the way GM trees have grown the last 20 years has made it so the folks who helm those teams have migrated to the bigger markets, and those philosophies are then employed by the Dodgers, Mets, etc. One’s need to hug prospect is inversely related with their ability to draft and make more. WHen you’re a well-oiled machine like the Rays, you should be more aggressive and push the chips in now and then.

12:20
aglossman: I have no interesting or original questions to ask. Do you think the Sox will trade Arias? I hope not

12:20
Eric A Longenhagen: Nah, if they do it’d have to be for someone so good you might feel otherwise after it’s done.

12:20
Big Fan: The Braves have recently promoted a handful of prospects.  Do you think the timing was to juice their value in models without giving a player long enough to be exposed at a new level?

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