Author Archive

Top 23 Prospects: Los Angeles Dodgers

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Los Angeles Dodgers. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

All the numbered prospects here also appear on THE BOARD, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. Click here to visit THE BOARD.

Dodgers Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Walker Buehler 23 MLB RHP 2018 55
2 Alex Verdugo 21 R RF 2018 50
3 Yadier Alvarez 22 AA RHP 2020 50
4 Will Smith 23 R C 2019 50
5 Keibert Ruiz 19 AA C 2020 50
6 D.J. Peters 22 AA RF 2020 45
7 Mitch White 23 AA RHP 2019 45
8 Dennis Santana 22 AA RHP 2018 45
9 Dustin May 20 A+ RHP 2020 45
10 Jordan Sheffield 22 A+ RHP 2019 45
11 Yusniel Diaz 21 AA RF 2020 45
12 Jeren Kendall 22 A+ CF 2021 45
13 Starling Heredia 19 A CF 2022 45
14 Edwin Rios 23 AAA 1B 2019 40
15 Cristian Santana 21 A 3B 2021 40
16 Matt Beaty 24 AA 3B 2019 40
17 Connor Wong 21 A+ C 2020 40
18 Gavin Lux 20 A+ SS 2021 40
19 Drew Jackson 24 AA SS 2019 40
20 Robinson Ortiz 18 R LHP 2023 40
21 Breyvic Valera 26 MLB SS 2018 40
22 Devin Smeltzer 22 AA LHP 2019 40
23 Ariel Hernandez 25 MLB RHP 2017 40

55 FV Prospects

Drafted: 1st Round, 2015 from Vanderbilt
Age 22 Height 6’2 Weight 175 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
70/70 55/55 55/60 45/50 45/50

Buehler roared back from Tommy John in 2016 and sat 96-99 with a plus curveball and slider/cutter in his first outing back from surgery. That was harder than he ever threw at Vanderbilt. He threw only five affiliated innings, but the Dodgers immediately began internal conversations about how to get him to the big leagues in 2017. They did, and after a late-summer move to the bullpen, Buehler got a nine-inning September espresso.

Read the rest of this entry »


Top 24 Prospects: Detroit Tigers

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Detroit Tigers. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

All the numbered prospects here also appear on THE BOARD, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. Click here to visit THE BOARD.

Tigers Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Franklin Perez 20 AA RHP 2021 50
2 Beau Burrows 21 AA RHP 2019 50
3 Christin Stewart 24 AAA DH 2019 50
4 Matt Manning 20 A RHP 2022 50
5 Jake Rogers 22 AA C 2020 45
6 Derek Hill 22 A+ CF 2021 45
7 Daz Cameron 21 A+ CF 2021 45
8 Mike Gerber 25 MLB RF 2018 45
9 Isaac Paredes 19 A+ SS 2021 45
10 Dawel Lugo 23 AAA 2B 2019 45
11 Gregory Soto 23 A+ LHP 2021 45
12 Kyle Funkhouser 24 AA RHP 2019 45
13 Alex Faedo 22 A+ RHP 2020 45
14 Bryan Garcia 22 AAA RHP 2020 45
15 Sergio Alcantara 21 AA SS 2019 40
16 Anthony Castro 22 A+ RHP 2020 40
17 Elvin Rodriguez 20 A RHP 2022 40
18 Jason Foley 22 A+ RHP 2021 40
19 Gerson Moreno 22 AA RHP 2019 40
20 Victor Reyes 23 MLB OF 2018 40
21 Reynaldo Rivera 20 A 1B 2022 40
22 Sam McMillan 19 R C 2023 40
23 Spencer Turnbull 25 AA RHP 2018 40
24 Matt Hall 24 AA LHP 2019 40

50 FV Prospects

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2014 from Venezuela
Age 20 Height 6’3 Weight 197 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Slider Curveball Changeup Command
55/60 45/50 50/55 50/60 45/50

Acquired from Houston as part of the return for Justin Verlander, Perez has advanced command of a four-pitch mix that enabled him to reach Double-A at age 19. He’ll likely have a plus fastball and changeup at peak, while his breaking balls are still works in progress but promising.

Read the rest of this entry »


Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 5/3

2:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Hey, everyone. Gotta grab a coffee and tweet a link, so will be back momentarily.

2:04
Eric A Longenhagen: Okay, I’m back.

2:05
Bill: Any word on who the Mets are in on post round 1?

2:06
Eric A Longenhagen: No and I doubt we narrow it to anything more than a specific classification of player by draft day. They’re not really in position to target anyone specific with their second pick, too many cop picks ahead of them.

2:06
Joe: Thoughts on Caleb Feguson?

2:06
Eric A Longenhagen: above avg curveball, fastball is average, change a hair below. An up and down arm as far as we’re concerned.

Read the rest of this entry »


Top 24 Prospects: Kansas City Royals

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Kansas City Royals. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

All the numbered prospects here also appear on THE BOARD, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. Click here to visit THE BOARD.

Royals Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Seuly Matias 19 A RF 2022 50
2 Nick Pratto 19 A 1B 2021 45
3 M.J. Melendez 19 A+ C 2022 45
4 Khalil Lee 19 A+ RF 2020 45
5 Nicky Lopez 23 AA SS 2019 45
6 Michael Gigliotti 22 A CF 2020 40
7 Eric Skoglund 25 MLB LHP 2018 40
8 Richard Lovelady 22 AAA LHP 2018 40
9 Hunter Dozier 26 MLB 3B 2018 40
10 Foster Griffin 22 AA LHP 2019 40
11 Emmanuel Rivera 21 A+ 3B 2021 40
12 Josh Staumont 24 AAA RHP 2018 40
13 Scott Blewett 21 AA RHP 2020 40
14 Meibrys Viloria 21 A+ C 2021 40
15 Ryan O’Hearn 24 AAA 1B 2018 40
16 Gabriel Cancel 21 A+ 2B 2021 40
17 Burch Smith 27 MLB RHP 2018 40
18 Yefri Del Rosario 18 R RHP 2022 40
19 Chase Vallot 21 A+ 1B 2021 40
20 Evan Steele 21 R LHP 2020 40
21 Heath Fillmyer 23 AAA RHP 2019 40
22 Bubba Starling 25 AAA CF 2018 40
23 Daniel Tillo 21 A LHP 2021 40
24 Carlos Hernandez 21 R RHP 2022 40

50 FV Prospects

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2015 from Dominican Republic
Age 18 Height 6’3 Weight 200 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
20/40 60/70 30/60 55/50 40/45 70/70

Matias’s exit velos are on par with those produced by Quad-A sluggers who have seven years on him, and he hit a quarter of his balls in play over 105 mph last season. His has a longish swing and possesses poor breaking-ball recognition, the combination of which has led to pretty concerning early-career strikeout rates.

Read the rest of this entry »


Should Kyler Murray Play Football or Baseball?

Among the comments Kiley McDaniel and I received from people in baseball regarding the updated draft board we published last week is that Oklahoma quarterback and center fielder Kyler Murray should have probably been on it. Evaluators see him as a crude but gifted speedster with good pop for his size who possesses more projection than most because of his athleticism. Murray is performing this year (.290/.390/.520 at publication) on the baseball field despite little prior in-game experience.

While I’ll consider his merits as an athlete more fully in a moment, it seems important to briefly recount Murray’s somewhat circuitous path to the present. A superstar high-school quarterback, Murray was expected to replace Johnny Manziel at Texas A&M as soon as he reached campus. At the same time, though, he was also a first-round shortstop prospect. He removed himself from MLB draft consideration by refusing to do some of the mandatory paperwork and testing for eligibility. He went to A&M, split QB reps there with Kyle Allen as a freshman, then transferred to Oklahoma, where sat out a year due to NCAA transfer rules. In 2017, he held a clipboard behind Heisman winner Baker Mayfield.

All the while, Murray barely played baseball (although he did spend last summer on the Cape). Now, he’s Oklahoma’s starting center fielder and also locked in another quarterback competition as a redshirt sophomore, juggling both sports at the same time.

Discussions about Murray invariably lead to which of those sport he should play professionally — and, as part of that, which path might be more lucrative for him. Because Murray is available for the MLB draft this June but not for the NFL’s own draft until next year, baseball has the opportunity to present its case first.

The size of his signing bonus obviously isn’t the only factor Murray is likely to consider. The prospect of a full year as a starter at a big football school — with the possibility of making a run at a Heisman — is probably appealing to him. The reality of football’s health risks — which, for a 5-foot-11 quarterback, might be even riskier — are also likely present.

That said, we can at least try to see if a clearly superior financial path lies ahead for Murray as he comes to a fork in the road this June. To do this, we have to know some things about each sport’s draft and then get some idea of where Murray might be drafted and how he would be compensated in each case.

Read the rest of this entry »


Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: On Short Rest

12:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Hi, everyone

12:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Let me plug some stuff then get to your questions

12:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Kiley wrote the Jays list: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/top-22-prospects-toronto-blue-jays

12:01
12:02
Eric A Longenhagen: okay, let’s roll

12:02
Jack: Any chance we see Luzardo in the majors in 2018?

Read the rest of this entry »


Top 22 Prospects: Cleveland Indians

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Cleveland Indians. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

All the numbered prospects here also appear on THE BOARD, a new feature at the site that offers sortable scouting information for every organization. Click here to visit THE BOARD.

Indians Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Francisco Mejia 22 MLB C/3B 2019 60
2 Triston McKenzie 20 A+ RHP 2020 50
3 Yu-Cheng Chang 22 AAA SS 2019 50
4 Bobby Bradley 21 AA 1B 2019 50
5 Shane Bieber 22 AA RHP 2019 45
6 Nolan Jones 19 A 3B 2021 45
7 Will Benson 19 A RF 2022 45
8 Eric Haase 25 AAA C 2018 45
9 Greg Allen 25 MLB CF 2018 45
10 Willi Castro 20 AA SS 2020 45
11 Conner Capel 20 A+ OF 2021 40
12 Elijah Morgan 21 A RHP 2020 40
13 Aaron Bracho 16 R SS 2023 40
14 Aaron Civale 22 AA RHP 2020 40
15 George Valera 17 R LF 2023 40
16 Tyler Freeman 18 R SS 2022 40
17 Luis Oviedo 18 R RHP 2022 40
18 Sam Hentges 21 A+ LHP 2021 40
19 Quentin Holmes 18 R CF 2023 40
20 Logan Ice 22 A+ C 2021 40
21 Jesse Berardi 22 A- SS 2021 40
22 Sam Haggerty 23 AA UTIL 2020 40

60 FV Prospects

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Dominican Republic
Age 21 Height 5’10 Weight 180 Bat/Throw B/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
50/60 55/55 30/50 50/45 40/45 80/80

Mejia wasn’t/isn’t a lost cause as a defensive catching prospect, but his bat is almost ready for the big leagues. It’s that ability to hit that prompted a move to third base during the Arizona Fall League and, now, reps in left field to accelerate Mejia’s timetable to Cleveland. He certainly has the arm for wherever Cleveland wants to play him. It’s an 80-grade howitzer that elicited audible gasps from AFL crowds. His hands and footwork at third were predictably raw.

Read the rest of this entry »


Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: Mock Draft and El Tablero

2:00
Eric A Longenhagen: Hi everyone, linkage: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/2018-mlb-mock-draft-v-1-0/

2:01
Eric A Longenhagen: That’s today’s mock draft which dumps our current intel.

2:01
Eric A Longenhagen: Here’s our updated draft board: http://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/updated-2018-mlb-draft-rankings/

2:02
Eric A Longenhagen: And here are details on the giant board of every minor leaguer we ranked on a list, even if we haven’t posted the full reports ont he site yet: https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/instagraphs/introducing-the-board/

2:03
Eric A Longenhagen: Forgive me if I cut today’s chat short. Yesterday was not a good one in the Galmenhagen house as my wife’s cat of ten years, who has been hospitalized this week, took a turn for the worse. On my wife’s birthday. Yeah. Anyway…

2:03
Billy Beane: Are there any organizations you have a hard time scouting just because of location?

Read the rest of this entry »


Top 34 Prospects: Tampa Bay Rays

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Tampa Bay Rays. Scouting reports are compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as from our own (both Eric Longenhagen’s and Kiley McDaniel’s) observations. For more information on the 20-80 scouting scale by which all of our prospect content is governed you can click here. For further explanation of the merits and drawbacks of Future Value, read this.

Rays Top Prospects
Rk Name Age High Level Position ETA FV
1 Willy Adames 22 AAA SS 2018 60
2 Brent Honeywell 22 AAA RHP 2018 60
3 Brendan McKay 22 A LHP/1B 2019 60
4 Jake Bauers 22 AAA RF 2018 50
5 Jesus Sanchez 20 A+ RF 2020 50
6 Wander Franco 17 R SS 2022 50
7 Anthony Banda 24 MLB LHP 2018 50
8 Christian Arroyo 22 MLB 3B 2018 50
9 Nick Solak 23 AA 2B 2020 45
10 Josh Lowe 20 A+ CF 2021 45
11 Joe McCarthy 24 AAA OF 2018 45
12 Vidal Brujan 20 A 2B 2021 45
13 Resly Linares 20 A LHP 2020 45
14 Tobias Myers 19 A RHP 2021 45
15 Lucius Fox 20 A+ SS 2021 45
16 Brandon Lowe 23 AA 2B 2019 45
17 Justin Williams 22 AAA OF 2018 45
18 Ronaldo Hernandez 20 A C 2022 45
19 Garrett Whitley 21 A OF 2021 45
20 Jose DeLeon 25 MLB RHP 2018 45
21 Diego Castillo 24 R RHP 2018 40
22 Yonny Chirinos 24 MLB RHP 2018 40
23 Michael Mercado 18 R RHP 2022 40
24 Austin Franklin 20 A RHP 2021 40
25 Nick Ciuffo 23 AA C 2019 40
26 Ryne Stanek 25 MLB RHP 2018 40
27 Genesis Cabrera 21 AA LHP 2019 40
28 Jermaine Palacios 21 AA SS 2020 40
29 Chih-Wei Hu 23 MLB RHP 2018 40
30 Curtis Taylor 22 A+ RHP 2021 40
31 Orlando Romero 21 A RHP 2022 40
32 Jaime Schultz 26 AAA RHP 2018 40
33 Deivy Mendez 22 A+ RHP 2021 40
34 Ian Gibaut 24 AAA RHP 2019 40

60 FV Prospects

Signed: July 2nd Period, 2012 from Dominican Republic
Age 21 Height 6’0 Weight 200 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw
45/55 55/55 45/55 45/40 45/50 60/60

He doesn’t have jaw-dropping physical tools, but Adames has a well-rounded offensive skillset, has produced a long track record of above-average offensive performances at levels for which he’s been young, and plays a competent shortstop. Adames’s frame is maxed out and he’s not likely to grow into much more power without better incorporating his lower half into his swing, but he’ll hit plenty of doubles and reach base at an above-average clip. Even with Tim Beckham’s departure, the shortstop picture in St. Petersburg is crowded by Christian Arroyo, Matt Duffy, Adeiny Hechavarria, Daniel Robertson, and, some would say, Joe Wendle. It’s worth noting that Adames got his first in-game reps at second base last year. He’ll likely debut in 2018, and his bat will have big impact at second base or shortstop.

Drafted: 2nd Round, 2014 from Walters St CC
Age 22 Height 6’2 Weight 180 Bat/Throw R/R
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Fastball Curveball Changeup Splitter Cutter Command
60/60 50/55 60/65 55/55 45/50 50/55

Honeywell’s kitchen-sink repertoire is headlined by a potential plus-plus changeup, but he also has a quality curveball, cutter, and mid-90s fastball. He can throw just about any pitch in any count and has at least average command right now despite some mechanical inconsistency. He had a 172:35 strikeout-to-walk ratio at Triple-A last year and probably deserved to be in the majors. He would have gotten there this year if not for blowing out his elbow early in the spring. He profiles as a No. 3 starter and should reach the majors next year, assuming his stuff returns after surgery.

3. Brendan McKay, LHP/1B
Drafted: 1st Round, 2017 from Louisville
Age 21 Height 6’2 Weight 212 Bat/Throw L/L
Tool Grades (Present/Future)
Hit Raw Power Game Power Run Fielding Throw Fastball Curveball Changeup Command
25/55 65/65 35/55 35/30 45/50 60/60 50/55 55/60 50/55 40/50

McKay is an incredibly rare prospect in that he would make our top-100 list as both a hitter and pitcher and was a top-10 prospect in the 2017 draft both ways, as well. He’s stood out both ways since high school. Scouts also laud his makeup, nor is it difficult to see why. He improved as both a hitter and pitcher at Louisville while also serving as a team leader and managing the fatigue and preparation necessary to be the staff ace once a week while hitting in the middle of the lineup everyday for three straight years.

Read the rest of this entry »


Eric Longenhagen Prospects Chat: 4/12

2:02
Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning from lovely Tempe and welcome to the new chat day. Let’s begin.

2:03
ChiSox2020: Thoughts on Dane Dunning?

2:04
Eric A Longenhagen: Think he’s going to be a league-average starter.

2:04
Bubbles Depot: I know it is incredibly early but is Juan Soto poised to be the Ronald Acuña of this year?

2:05
Eric A Longenhagen: Don’t think the tools are on that level but could see him being a low-variance 60 by the end of the year like Kyle Tucker became last year.

2:05
Joe: Thoughts on Malique Ziegler? He’s had a good start to the season

Read the rest of this entry »