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Author Archive

Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat – 6/5/18

2:00
Meg Rowley: Hello! Welcome to my let-Meg-sleep-at-least-a-little delayed chat!

2:00
never fail beta male: Brewers just dropped 2 out of 3 to the lowly White Sox, this is the beginning of the end and the fun is over, right? Please tell me I’m not right…

2:01
Meg Rowley: You’re probably not right! The Brewers are a good team, but even good teams lose to lousy teams sometimes.

2:02
Meg Rowley: I like that Brewers team a lot. It must be so strange to be a baseball player and have your bad days make everyone so profoundly nervous.

2:02
Meg Rowley: We all have bad days.

2:02
Brewers Fan: New Glarus or Capital Brewery ?

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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat – 5/29/18

12:00
Meg Rowley: Good morning! I hope everyone had a good long weekend, and isn’t too sad about going back to work.

12:00
Meg Rowley: And hey if you are, well you’re reading a baseball chat, so hopefully that helps.

12:01
Dane: Vlad Jr. When will he be up and what do you expect from him this year?

12:03
Meg Rowley: It’ll be interesting to see how, if at all, Donaldson’s injury shifts things for them. I know he described it as minor, but the Blue Jays’ hold on contention is verrrry tenuous.

12:03
Meg Rowley: I still think the service time stuff holds him down because I am cynical and bit mistrusting by nature, but there is an opening.

12:04
Meg Rowley: And I expect him to just hit the crap out of the ball. All the way to Jupiter a lot of the time. There will likely be defensive silliness, but you won’t mind because he will just hit the crap out of the ball, in my considered opinion.

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Things You Learn When the Mets Bat Out of Turn

On May 9, the Mets batted out of turn against the Reds. You probably know this. Actually, you might have known this and then forgotten it already. May 9 was a while ago. A lot has happened since May 9. Like, just in baseball, a lot has happened. Why even talk about it further?

Because May 9 was also not that long ago. In the context of humankind’s march through history, for example, it’s basically yesterday. In the context of the universe, it’s like a second ago. In the context of the universe, our whole lives are no longer than the snap of a finger. So, from that point of view, any discussion of baseball is absurd. From that point of view, why not discuss the Mets batting out of order on this first day back from a long weekend?

So much of baseball is routine. We learn from the repetition, but sometimes we glean something new when the seams get pulled apart. Batting out of turn isn’t entirely new, but it is unusual: according to Retrosheet, it had happened just six times in the last decade prior to the Mets’ foul-up. In case you missed it live, the lineup the Mets shared with the media looked like this:

The trouble was that the lineup actually given to the umpires and Reds manager Jim Riggleman had Wilmer Flores and Asdrubal Cabrera flipped.

Shortly after the game itself began, Flores came up to bat and struck out. Riggleman said nothing. They tell you to say nothing unless something good happens. Then Cabrera came up and doubled, after which Riggleman pointed out the mistake. Rule 6.03(b) is one of baseball’s more complicated rules, but the gist of it is, if a team bats out of turn and the other team notices in time, it’s an out. Once Cabrera’s at-bat commenced, it legalized Flores’ previously illegal at-bat, which meant that Jay Bruce ought to have batted after Flores. Because Bruce was the proper batter, he was called out — poor guy. Cabrera’s double was wiped from the books. The Reds would win on an Adam Duvall walk-off solo home run in the 10th. One could argue it would have been good for the Mets to have scored a run in the first.

It was silly and embarrassing, but it also showed us some things. These are a few of those things.

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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat – 5/23/18

12:00
Meg Rowley: Good morning, and welcome to the chat!

12:01
Meg Rowley: I am clearly not Kiley, who is off watching college baseball.

12:01
Meg Rowley: I am a sad Mariners fan, which the queue has clearly guessed at. Let’s get started.

12:01
The Old Buccaneer: Is the Mariners’ second base situation worse than the Dodgers’?

12:02
Meg Rowley: Let’s assume that the world isn’t so cruel that Gordon’s injury will require more than 10 days. In that case, no, at least not among starters. Dee Gordon is good!

12:03
Meg Rowley: Obviously losing Cano until August is this horrible, devastating thing and I am sad about it every day, but if Gordon is back soon, they’re probably better off than what Utley and Forsythe offer? Maybe? Let me have this, ok?

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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat – 5/14/18

12:00
Meg Rowley: Good morning! Welcome to the chat.

12:00
Meg Rowley: I am not Travis, but fear not: he’ll be here tomorrow, and back to regularly scheduled programming next week.

12:00
Yu: What do the Mariners do about 2B now?

12:01
Meg Rowley: Ugh.

12:02
Meg Rowley: I think for the moment you’re looking at some combination of the non-catching Romine, and possibly Taylor Motter and (sighs heavily) maybe Gordon Beckham sharing duties there.

12:02
Meg Rowley: It sounds like they are reticent to move Dee Gordon off center, but I’ll be curious to see how long that holds up.

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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat – 5/8/18

12:00
Meg Rowley: Good morning! Welcome to the chat.

12:01
Meg Rowley: Let’s dive in with a bunch of sad Mariners questions! Yay!

12:01
Alex: How many starting pitchers on the Mariners end the year with a higher WAR than Edwin Diaz?

12:01
Meg Rowley: Well, Paxton…

12:02
Meg Rowley: mayyyyybe Marco Gonzales if he can ever figure out how to a third time through the order.

12:02
Meg Rowley: The pitching really isn’t very good.

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Lies We Tell Ourselves About the Marlins

Lately, I’ve been thinking a lot about lying and liars, a fascination perhaps borne of our larger moment. We lie for all sorts of reasons: to get out of parking tickets, to settle the blame for muddy messes on our siblings, to defraud and defame. But we also lie to spare; our deceit can be a tool of kindness. An act of pardon. At the end of a long week, we tell frazzled partners that we think their hair looks good, actually. You’ll find work soon. I just love your meatloaf, mom. Sometimes, we reserve those niceties for ourselves and our bad baseball teams, setting down little pavers that make otherwise rough paths traversable.

After all, maybe that prospect has figured something out. Maybe all of our guys will stay healthy. This might be the year. We know on some level we’re fibbing or at least making a wish — projections and playoffs odds are so insistent with their pokes and prods toward reason — but in the beginning of the season, we can get away with it. Those smaller lies let us believe a bigger one: that there’s a reason to watch our dumb teams every day. That we ought to go to the ballpark. That this isn’t all just a waste of time we might otherwise have spent outside, pulling weeds. We do ourselves this kindness; we let ourselves enjoy baseball.

The Marlins are a bad baseball team. They’re projected to win a meager 66 games. The White Sox and Reds are actually each expected to do worse, but Chicago is rebuilding and Cincinnati is bad in a quietly polite, Midwestern way. Miami announced its mess months ago. And yet. The Marlins might be last in Major League Baseball in average attendance, but someone is going. They’ve talked themselves into something. And so if you’ll allow, I’d like to guess at a few of the lies I suspect have been told about, and possibly to, the Marlins, the fibs and half-truths the faithful, such as they are, have employed to spare themselves hopelessness and keep muscling through bad meatloaf.

We Don’t Need No Stinkin’ Giancarlo Stanton

I enjoy spy films. The who thieving the what on behalf of which government shifts around film to film, but many of the best examples of the genre feature a training montage wherein a grizzled veteran, who has seen things, teaches an optimistic new recruit, who is excited about patriotism, an important lesson: the most believable lies hue closely to the truth. Telling an asset an elaborate backstory is a great way to blow your cover. The lies become hard to keep track of; the subterfuge buckles under the weight of imaginary relatives and school trips. Before long, our young spy has accidentally called his fake aunt “Peggy” instead of “Rhonda” and it all comes crashing down.

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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat – 5/1/18

12:00
Meg Rowley: Hello, and welcome to  the chat!

12:01
Meg Rowley: There are roughly 200 Dodgers questions in the queue. And we will get to many of them! But first…

12:01
CamdenWarehouse: What’s next for the Mariners and Ichiro and when does it happen?

12:04
Meg Rowley: I imagine a somewhat painful parting is imminent. Heredia isn’t an All-Star but he is clearly a better option at this point than Ichiro, even just as a defensive replacement.

12:05
Meg Rowley: I was always concerned about how this was going to end. I don’t think it will cast a shadow for too long (Ichiro has to be aware he isn’t playing super well) but it’s a bummer of a footnote to add to a franchise legend’s story.

12:05
Q-Ball: It is now May….so, can Nats fans officially panic?  Improved NL East really not helping either.

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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat – 4/24/18

12:00
Meg Rowley: Hello! Good morning/afternoon, and welcome to the chat.

12:00
Tommy N.: First time in your chat, do you follow MiLB stuff? If so do you have thoughts on Eric Lauer.

12:01
Meg Rowley: I follow some especially at the higher levels, but not as diligently or with as keen an eye as Eric or Kiley, and don’t have specific thoughts on Lauer. But I bet Eric and Kiley do. They’re smart about these things.

12:01
le fan: Did you watch buehler’s debut or did you take the night off?

12:03
Meg Rowley: I watched some but not all of it. Command was spotty at times, but he was probably pretty amped. I like that fastball (very original thought). I’m looking forward to seeing how the curve plays. I think he’ll be good, with the usual caveat that he’s a pitcher, and loving them is always risky because we ask them to do an insane thing.

12:04
CamdenWarehouse: As a Mariners fan, is there any advice you can give Orioles fans about following a team for whose front office you have lost all faith?

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Meg Rowley FanGraphs Chat – 4/17/18

12:00
Meg Rowley: Hello, and welcome to the chat!

12:00
Well-Beered Englishman: Would you rather cheer for a team that loses 100 games in the season, or a team that reaches the World Series but loses every WS game 25-0?

12:01
Meg Rowley: Well having been a fan of the 2008 and 2010 Mariners, a team that reaches the World Series and loses horribly. Mostly because my mom taught me I should try new things.

12:01
Albie Lopez: Are you worried about the early numbers from Chris Archer? Strikeouts are there and velocity seems within reasonable error bars. Think he rebounds and has a normal season?

12:03
Meg Rowley: I’m a little concerned. The walks aren’t great. He’s had a hard time locating in some of these starts. That the velocity hasn’t dipped dramatically and that he is still generating swings and misses is why I’m not a lot concerned. It’ll maybe probably straighten out to something more effective than this, but it would be great to see that happen soonish.

12:03
resumeman: Will you be updating the ATC projections for the Rest of Year projections, or will that just be the ZIPS/Steamer ones?

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