Boston Red Sox Top 48 Prospects

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Boston Red Sox. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as our own observations. This is the sixth year we’re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see in the “position” column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.
A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. A much deeper overview can be found here.
All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team’s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found here.
| Rk | Name | Age | Highest Level | Position | ETA | FV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Franklin Arias | 20.5 | AA | SS | 2028 | 60 |
| 2 | Payton Tolle | 23.6 | MLB | SP | 2026 | 55 |
| 3 | Anthony Eyanson | 21.6 | AA | SP | 2027 | 55 |
| 4 | Connelly Early | 24.1 | MLB | SP | 2026 | 50 |
| 5 | Dorian Soto | 18.3 | R | SS | 2031 | 50 |
| 6 | Juan Valera | 20.0 | A+ | SP | 2028 | 50 |
| 7 | Enddy Azocar | 19.2 | A | CF | 2029 | 45+ |
| 8 | Henry Godbout | 22.5 | A+ | SS | 2029 | 45 |
| 9 | Jake Bennett | 25.5 | MLB | SP | 2026 | 45 |
| 10 | Kyson Witherspoon | 21.8 | A+ | MIRP | 2028 | 45 |
| 11 | Justin Gonzales | 19.4 | A+ | RF | 2028 | 45 |
| 12 | Marcus Phillips | 21.8 | A+ | SP | 2028 | 40+ |
| 13 | Harold Rivas | 18.0 | R | CF | 2031 | 40+ |
| 14 | Hector Ramos | 18.7 | R | 2B | 2031 | 40+ |
| 15 | John Holobetz | 23.8 | AA | SP | 2028 | 40+ |
| 16 | Sadbiel Delzine | 18.4 | R | SP | 2031 | 40+ |
| 17 | Miguel Bleis | 22.2 | AA | CF | 2027 | 40+ |
| 18 | Mikey Romero | 22.4 | AAA | 3B | 2028 | 40 |
| 19 | Hayden Mullins | 25.7 | AA | SIRP | 2027 | 40 |
| 20 | Jedixson Paez | 22.3 | MLB | SP | 2026 | 40 |
| 21 | Tyler Uberstine | 27.0 | MLB | MIRP | 2026 | 40 |
| 22 | Tyler Samaniego | 27.3 | MLB | SIRP | 2023 | 40 |
| 23 | Angel Bastardo | 23.9 | AAA | SIRP | 2026 | 40 |
| 24 | Yoeilin Cespedes | 20.7 | A+ | 2B | 2029 | 40 |
| 25 | Jhorman Bravo | 18.0 | R | SS | 2031 | 40 |
| 26 | Eduardo Rivera | 22.9 | MLB | SIRP | 2026 | 40 |
| 27 | Alec Gamboa | 29.3 | MLB | SP | 2026 | 40 |
| 28 | Gage Ziehl | 23.0 | AA | SP | 2028 | 40 |
| 29 | Brooks Brannon | 22.0 | AA | 1B | 2027 | 40 |
| 30 | Yordanny Monegro | 23.6 | AA | SIRP | 2027 | 40 |
| 31 | Allan Castro | 23.0 | AAA | RF | 2026 | 35+ |
| 32 | Yophery Rodriguez | 20.5 | A+ | CF | 2028 | 35+ |
| 33 | Marvin Alcantara | 21.6 | AA | SS | 2027 | 35+ |
| 34 | Mason White | 22.7 | A+ | SS | 2029 | 35+ |
| 35 | Leighton Finley | 22.2 | A | SIRP | 2029 | 35+ |
| 36 | Nelly Taylor | 23.3 | AA | CF | 2028 | 35+ |
| 37 | Blake Wehunt | 25.5 | AA | MIRP | 2026 | 35+ |
| 38 | Ryan Watson | 28.5 | MLB | SIRP | 2026 | 35+ |
| 39 | Starlyn Nunez | 20.6 | A | SS | 2029 | 35+ |
| 40 | Conrad Cason | 19.8 | R | SP | 2029 | 35+ |
| 41 | Jakson Gamboa | 19.3 | R | SP | 2031 | 35+ |
| 42 | Berny Ortiz | 20.8 | R | SP | 2031 | 35+ |
| 43 | Gerardo Rodriguez | 20.5 | A+ | C | 2029 | 35+ |
| 44 | Dalton Rogers | 24.3 | AA | MIRP | 2026 | 35+ |
| 45 | Jojo Ingrassia | 23.8 | A+ | SIRP | 2027 | 35+ |
| 46 | Jose Bello | 21.0 | A | SP | 2029 | 35+ |
| 47 | Louis Andujar | 18.7 | R | 3B | 2031 | 35+ |
| 48 | Garielvin Silverio | 17.6 | R | LF | 2032 | 35+ |
Other Prospects of Note
Grouped by type and listed in order of preference within each category.
Bench Bats
Isaiah Jackson, OF
Braiden Ward, OF
Freili Encarnacion, INF
Tsung-Che Cheng, INF
Josue Brito, 1B
Jhoan Peguero, OF
Tavano Baker, LF
Jackson was the Angels’ eighth-rounder last year and came to Boston in exchange for Vaughn Grissom. He has big league physicality but lacks a carrying tool. His 70% contact rate at High-A thus far is manageable but concerning for a corner bat without big power. Ward is among the very fastest players in pro baseball, and his game-changing speed gives him a chance to impact a contender’s roster à la Terrence Gore. Encarnacion is a twitchy athlete with a big swing and at least plus raw. It’s a long, sweeping swing, though, and he has an immature approach. Defensively, he has a plus arm but is starting to see a lot of time at first base. This isn’t a high-probability prospect, but the tools make him a guy you can’t push off the radar entirely.
Cheng is a Taiwanese middle infielder, one of several signees from Pittsburgh’s robust East Asian scouting group to reach the majors. He has very little pop and the bat looks light for regular utility work, but he can fill in at three spots on the infield and put a competitive at-bat together in a pinch. Brito had an incredible second DSL season, during which he slugged .606 and posted a 49% hard-hit rate. He’s a squat first baseman whose game is about contact consistency rather than actual high-end power. Peguero is a super skinny, toolsy, long-levered FCL outfield prospect who K’d at a 37% clip last year, but that has come way down (18.8%) as he repeats the level. Baker, 19, is a hard-swinging Bahamian outfielder (and eventually maybe a first baseman) who has struggled to manifest his raw power in games.
Reliever Monster
Barrett Morgan, RHP
Christian Foutch, RHP
Cooper Adams, RHP
Matt McShane, RHP
Jacob Mayers, RHP
Madinson Frias, RHP
Brady Tygart, RHP
Jeremy Wu-Yelland, LHP
Cole Tolbert, RHP
Morgan was a priority 11th-rounder ($500,000 bonus) out of a Kansas community college. He’s an enormous, slow-twitch athlete with a vertical attack. He’s been sitting in the 93-95 mph range in starts this year, and has a couple paths to a mid-leverage relief role. At his best in college, Foutch touched the upper 90s with spotty command of a plus fastball/split mix. His stuff is down five ticks with Salem right now, and he also isn’t throwing strikes, so we’re tucking him down here for now until we learn more about what’s going on. Adams is up to 98 with a flat angle and good spin on a sweeping slider. His feel for location isn’t good, thanks in part to a big head whack. McShane has an above-average fastball thanks to his extension and high release; he has just a fair breaking ball to go with it.
Mayers was the club’s ninth-rounder out of LSU last year. He’s tall with an overhand slot, and he can run his heater to the upper 90s. He isn’t a great athlete, however, and his power slider is surviving on velo rather than break. It’s worth monitoring the arm strength and control as he eventually transitions into a relief role. Frias is an athletic righty with arm speed and a projectable slider. His velo is down a little this year at Low-A, where he’s been hit hard. Tygart, a 2024 12th-rounder out of Arkansas, is an oft-injured righty. He got hurt again (shoulder) in his first 2025 start. He was up to 96 in that outing and bending in two distinct breakers with 2,700-2,800 rpm, but he’s barely thrown since. Wu-Yelland is a low-slot lefty with a chance for a couple of above-average pitches. The Sox have had to manage his workload carefully and he hasn’t thrown yet this season. Tolbert is a deep sleeper, a former late-rounder just back from Tommy John. He has big league size and could be a 95-and-a-slider guy in short stints.
Spot Starters
Dylan Brown, LHP
Dalvinson Reyes, RHP
Jack Anderson, RHP
Myles Patton, LHP
Yermain Ruiz, RHP
Brown was Boston’s eighth-rounder last year. He’s well built, with good control and command of fringy stuff. He looks like a spot starter. Reyes is a good athlete with size, a gorgeous arm action, and the outline of a starter’s pitch mix. He’s mostly sitting in the low 90s now, and is a candidate for the main section if he can build arm strength. Anderson debuted with the big club earlier this year. He’s an athletic righty with an overhand slot, a loose and clean arm swing, and a couple optimized breaking ball shapes. He sits either side of 90, and a lack of arm strength likely limits him to a depth role. Patton is a soft-tossing lefty who throws strikes with mostly fringy secondaries. You can often find stuff like this in a Triple-A rotation. Ruiz is a complex-level starter with advanced pitchability. He only sits 91-93, but he commands it to locations where it stays out of trouble, and he mixes in sliders/cutters and changeups that diverge horizontally just before they reach the plate, crossing the eyes of the young hitters who struggle to cover both of them. He’s small (5-foot-11) and lacks projection, but he’s a good athlete and looks like a potential starter, albeit a very backend type.
Catchers
Luke Heyman, C
Ronny Hernandez, C
Adonys Guzman, C
Johanfran Garcia, C
Franklin Primera, C
Kleyver Salazar, C
Andruw Musett, C
Heyman has power and an idea at the plate. He has a steep swing, and he crouches low looking to get under a pitch and launch it. Fringy pitch recognition and plate coverage threatens the whole enterprise, and while he has a strong arm, he’s otherwise a below-average defensive catcher. Hernandez does a few things very well: He makes a ton of contact, he tracks pitches beautifully, and he has a great approach. He also has soft hands and blocks well. Still, the things he doesn’t do well (hit for power and, especially, throw) are problematic enough to keep him down here for now. Guzman has a little pop but also a long, steep swing and corresponding vulnerability upstairs. His arm strength is playing down due to a long release and scattered throws.
Garcia, younger brother of Jhostynxon, is a catcher with power and arm strength. A steep swing lets him bring that pop into games, but it comes with a ton of swing and miss. His receiving, throwing accuracy, and approach are all well below par, but he’s young and has a chance to grow into a backup role on tools. Primera is a husky rookie ball catcher who has posted single digit strikeout rates so far as a pro. He has well below-average bat speed. Salazar is a good defensive prospect with no bat. Musett is a 20-year-old Venezuelan catcher with a great-looking swing that hasn’t produced in-game power for a few years now. He allows too many steals to be considered a lock to catch.
Short, High-Octane Complex Arms
Williams Montero, RHP
Jeison Payano, RHP
Juanyerlin Duran, RHP
Angelo Ladera, RHP
Yoandys Veraza, RHP
Christopher Cordero, RHP
Montero, 18, leads off this group because he’s the most athletic of the bunch, and even though he’s a little guy with a high-effort delivery, he’s thrown strikes so far as a pro. His high-spin sinker sits 93-96 with uphill angle thanks to his lack of size and lower arm slot. He can also create big action on a changeup and has a fringy low-spin slider. Payano is a 20-year-old righty whose low-90s fastball has big vertical life. His downer slider lacks spin but tunnels well off the heater. Duran and Ladera are smaller teenage relief prospects in Fort Myers whose fastballs are sitting 93-96 in early FCL play. They’re both deep relief prospects. Veraza, 19, is even more volatile and has 47 walks in 50.2 career innings. He made his first FCL appearance days before publication and sat 95-98, but he also didn’t record an out. Cordero is the youngest pitcher on Boston’s FCL roster and won’t turn 18 until July. He’s a low-release dev project sitting about 90.
System Overview
Wasn’t that fun? Needless to say, Boston has assembled one of the best farm systems in the game. Offseason Top 100 prospects Connelly Early and Payton Tolle have graduated and been backfilled by Anthony Eyanson, Juan Valera, and Dorian Soto, and we had serious discussions about elevating Enddy Azocar into similar territory. Reasonable people could argue that Justin Gonzales, Kyson Witherspoon, and Marcus Phillips belong in that space as well, or at least that they will soon.
We need to start treating the Red Sox as one of the premier pitching development groups in the sport. The work they’ve done with Tolle and Early needs no further explanation, and the breakouts from Eyanson and Valera further solidify the impression that this org knows what it’s doing. This isn’t a one trick pony system just drafting arm strength or trying to give everyone a sweeper. They’re succeeding with different flavors of pitchers and are able to help guys implement a variety of tweaks. Late-round picks (Tyler Uberstine, Jojo Ingrassia, Hayden Mullins, etc.) and small-dollar signees (Azocar, Angel Bastardo, etc.) are all over this list, a reliable sign of a healthy system.
All layers of the pipeline are humming. The amateur groups are finding athletes, strike-throwers, breaking ball specialists, and guys who throw hard. The pro staff has a knack for targeting interesting traits, and seems to have a particular fondness for extension and unusual release points. All of these arms are then fed into a development program that has started to accumulate quite a few feathers in its collective cap. This is a group that can coax more velo out of Eyanson, help Tolle find a better cutter, get Blake Wehunt meaningfully stronger, and adjust Gage Ziehl’s slot. It’s impressive.
Another thing that stands out with this pitching group is that the coaches seem capable of helping guys improve their stuff or deception without sacrificing (and in some cases augmenting) their feel for the strike zone. There are some systems that can’t develop pitching at all, and plenty of others that can goose a guy’s Stuff+, but at the considerable expense of a max-effort style that increases injury risk and treats the strike zone as an inconvenience of tertiary importance. That’s not the situation here. Sometimes the arms Boston acquires are already elite strike-throwers (Jake Bennett, Ziehl, John Holobetz) and sometimes they aren’t, but the org seems to value control and command and can help pitchers develop it. It’s the kind of thing that makes us think twice about dismissing, say, Alec Gamboa’s unusually low walk rate as an early-season coincidence.
The hitting side is doing pretty well for itself too. Franklin Arias’ development into one of the game’s premier prospects has been a pleasant surprise, as we both thought he was more of a high-floor player than a potential star. Sometimes it’s nice to be wrong. Boston has a mix of great athletes, toolsheds, and spreadsheet standouts sprinkled throughout the farm. Their run of international signings from late 2024 to early 2025 looks great, as there’s a raft of talent in Fort Myers right now. Even some of the guys with skill sets that don’t generally light us up — this system is well-stocked with statistical performers who have questionable swings and/or limited physical projection — are good versions of the type.
We are a little skeptical of some of these power breakouts, though. The lower levels of the minors are in the midst of a (seemingly ball-driven) power surge, and several of the leagues Boston’s farmhands play in have seen their home run rates increase nearly 100% year over year. Keep that in mind when Yophery Rodriguez blasts his 25th homer later this summer, and don’t forget to extend a little grace to pitchers who see their ERAs spike following a visit to Asheville or Hartford.
The vibe around Boston’s thriving system feels entirely different than the two-year soap opera the big league club has endured. Rafael Devers’ tenure ended in ugly fashion and the situation was made worse by later trading James Tibbs III for a rental. Kyle Harrison got better elsewhere. We suppose it’s possible that the players’ discontent, which surfaced after Alex Cora’s dismissal, and the communication shortcoming from leadership that seem to have caused it, could extend beyond just the big league roster. Things haven’t gone perfectly, but the parts of the organizational machinery we’re focused on here appear well-lubricated. From a talent perspective, help is on the way.
With Paul Skenes, Gage Jump, and now Thatcher Hurd, Kade Anderson, and Anthony Eyanson now comfortably exceeding pre-draft expectations I think that it’s clear that LSU is not able to actualize everything their pitchers can do in a single year.
I think every single one transferred there for their draft eligible year and every single one is breaking out (or in the case of Skenes, has broken out).
Something to keep an eye on with Deven Sheerin, as well as whatever pitchers transfer there in the offseason.
Grant Taylor as well.
Yeah although I think he started at LSU was just hurt almost the entire time there.
Not sure how fair it is to pin this on a school. If you thought a 21 year old college pitcher was maxed out and would not improve at all, then it’s probably safe to assume that they just aren’t a draftable prospect.
Said another way, outside of Strasburg/Skenes, how many college pitchers from the last 20 years would you feel comfortable inserting directly into an MLB rotation? It’s natural to expect/need development.
I don’t really know that it necessarily a knock on LSU. It could be, but all I think this is says is that seems to have an eye on these pitchers with great stuff and can’t do enough with them in a year to actualize it. Maybe if they had them two years they would be able to, or maybe not. Or maybe they just all have serious late-breaking development and they’re catching them on the way up.
Or alternatively, they aren’t focusing on max effort and spin and are thus extending the life and projectability of those arms (I have zero idea if that’s actually true, but I know some programs historically have not given two shits about the health of their arms).
Skenes was 1/1 and considered the best college arm since Cole. His numbers at LSU were out of a video game. Anderson was outstanding at LSU. If you’re saying LSU doesn’t get the most out of their pitchers, you could easily say that about other programs. Other programs who didn’t get seasons like that of pitchers in their draft eligible season.
I’m missing the part where Skenes HASN’T wildly over performed his draft expectations…
Yeah if someone says they saw this coming from Skenes I am going to need receipts.
I thought he was the best pitching prospect since Gerrit Cole but that doesn’t mean I thought he was going to be the best *pitcher* since Gerrit Cole.
And I don’t know what grade people were giving Kade Anderson but he should be at least a half grade ahead of whatever people gave him previously.
He didn’t have the splinker in college, right? That’s a new 70-ish pitch.
He has obviously. But LSU had him for one year and he was incredible there. And even better in professional ball. I’m saying he shouldn’t be part of this conversation because he’s a category apart. This theory doesn’t really work if you’re putting Skenes and Hurd on equal footing.
Fair!
Anderson and Skenes were mediocrities going into the draft (Didn’t everyone agree they were the very best in their entire draft classes after a year at LSU?)
If someone would like to make the argument that Skenes has *not* exceeded expectations they are welcome to do so, but I don’t think anyone predicted this and would be shocked if you could find evidence of it. He’s at least a 70 and probably an 80. Did anyone have him graded as an 80?
No one did, but Skenes shouldn’t be part of your argument. Going into the draft after transferring from Air Force, he was an intriguing two-way player who most slotted as a middle of the first round talent. He blew up at LSU and got even better as a professional.
Elsewhere in your thread, you mentioned that LSU didn’t do enough with some arms on campus to actualize their full talent. Does Skenes really fit that description? I think your theory has some merit, but not with him.
Great scouting, middling development could be the LSU ticket.
Could be. Would be a fun exercise to see how they stack up with other schools too.
I don’t think I did say that! I said “I think that it’s clear that LSU is not able to actualize everything their pitchers can do in a single year.” Is it possible to even do that? Pro teams sometimes can but they’re on a different level. It might not even be possible to do it it three years.
Apologies I did misrepresent what you wrote. I should know better!
Pitching is so weird. Even schools and pro organizations who do pretty well at developing arms have some ugly misses when a player struggles for their organization and breaks out elsewhere
awesome read.
I’d take Payton Tolle, still a 55 despite his early dominance and new look, over Bubba Chandler, a 60, who believe it or not is older than Tolle by 2 months, without even thinking.
Projecting forward I’d probably take Tolle over Yesavage, also a 60, and maybe even McLean, a 65.
I just think the new arsenal, in addition to the literal 80 fastball and never walking anybody, is too good to ignore.
Hard to argue that a pitcher given a 55 is too low, but I really think this is somebody who is closer to a 70 than a 55.
Of the guys who were rookie eligible to start the year and either aren’t now or won’t be soon, I would probably go:
McLean
Yesavage, Tolle, Messick
Chandler
Noah Schultz, Didier Fuentes, Early, Painter, Sproat
But I think they’re still all at least 50s. The guys from Chandler on down aren’t done developing yet.
(Neither is McLean, although I thought he was a 60 before the season and he’s performing like a 60 now. Yesavage is pitching like a 70 but I don’t really believe that’s who he is).
The wild card is Logan Henderson, who has an incredible fastball-changeup combo that would put him in the Yesavage / Tolle / Messick tier except he has 30 grade durability. The guy I’m down on is Lowder.
An interesting group. McLean, Tolle, and Chandler all two-way players very recently. Tolle had 212 at bats for Wichita State 3 years ago!
Kiley recently had an article up on ESPN that I highly recommend on this. According to him, what teams are looking for now are:
1) Raw power projection for hitters
2) Pitch model grades (like Stuff+) for pitchers
3) Two-sport background for both
Teams are noticing what happened with guys like McLean and Konnor Griffin, among others. And because of this they’re de-emphasizing “softer” tools like hit and command, as well as previous performance.
This is why the buzz on Jacob Lombard and Jared Grindlinger is so positive. Keep an eye on Evan Dempsey at FGCU as well, as well as Cole Koeninger, James Jorgensen, and Beau Peterson. These guys are going to get picked higher than expected.
Yep – the secret sauce on guys like Josh Allen and Aaron Judge wasn’t how good they looked in shorts.
It was that they were freaky three sport athletes from Calabama.
In short, bet on athlete pitchers with great raw stuff to improve their command.
Yes, I think that most teams have decided that they don’t know how to teach guys like Shane Bieber to throw harder.
Or at least not without blowing out their arms. The Dodgers do this all the time now, but their arms / shoulders don’t always survive the process.
It does remain a viable pathway for some teams, like the Guardians. But I think a lot of them are deciding to pivot.
The Dodgers’ way is to accumulate enough arms that they can survive blowing them out. Which is viable if not brutal when you can afford to pay that many pitchers.
Stay on the athletes, Brendan!!!
This is probably not popular but I’d go Fuentes over Bubba
You’re not alone.
Henderson’s cutter and slider are actually viable now. The slider was responsible for three of his eight strikeouts against the Nats and looked like a plus pitch that outing. They’re still inconsistent, but he’s at least a three-pitch starter now.
He does have a troubling history of elbow issues, though none of them have been the big one. He’s a lot of fun to watch. Bulldog mound presence and really knows how to pitch.
Henderson is a beast. I just saw that he carved up the Dodgers tonight. These are some good offenses.
If he can stay healthy long enough to make it to the fall he’s a playoff-worthy pitcher. I just don’t believe he will.
I think juco pitchers are probably the most overlooked demographic in scouting.
I would have McLean at the top still, since he has projection (the dude has thrown so few innings due to being a 2-way guy). The spin is unreal, so if the command develops, I think he ends up the top guy on the list. He’s also really good right now. Yesavage and Tolle are a tossup for me–both have shown glimpses of being awesome in small samples. I do worry that hitters adjust to Yesavage after multiple looks. I worry now about Bubba, and maybe it’s reactionary, but I would put him at 50 now.
Who is the God outcome for Arias? Alan Trammell?
Him or Barry Larkin?
Great contact, great defense, decent power–Trammel’s an excellent choice. Larkin, mentioned below, is another good choice. I’d throw Yount in there as well.
Ha, it looks like we all had the same reaction.
Yount is a weird case because he already had something like 1000 PAs in the majors by the age Arias is now. He wasn’t a real star until another 2500 PAs later. That was his age-24 season when he started hitting for power (in the context of the 80s), which helped turn him into a star.
This is a fun game but we’re not really forecasting longevity here …
What do you mean?
Is that what would happen if divine intervention puts him up to his absolute ceiling? I think that depends on what you think of his power and his defense.
He’s good enough defensively at a premium position that you can go wild projecting him if you really want to. Trammell, Jim Fregosi, or Barry Larkin work as top-end outcomes if you think he’s going to have average game power. If you think it is theoretically possible he could have much more than that then we’re talking more like Nomar or Robin Yount there.
But of course he could theoretically also play defense like Bo Bichette or Marcus Semien. Not likely, but then that’s more like his ceiling.
Of course what I would expect is someone more like Alexei Ramirez.
Alexei Ramirez starting at 21 instead of 26 is pretty much Elvis Andrus – hell of a player.
Look, man. If Dustin Pedroia could be an MVP, the top outcome for literally everyone (except a reliever) is MVP
The hell you talking about? Pedroia was a second rounder with plenty of tools, if not the prototypical size.
He was a smurf who swung from his butt every time. Extremely limited power such that he almost corkscrewed into the ground to get to any of it, 2B only, decent speed but more of a smart baserunner than a burner. If you saw that guy in the minors today, you’d never in a million years think he would compete for MVP awards with guys who look, swing and move like Bobby Witt, Shohei, Judge, EDLC, Tatis, etc.
None of that is to knock Pedroia. He made an extremely unusual skill set and style of playing work really well. The point is that if you’re taking a very good prospect like Arias and asking what his top end outcome is – it’s MVP.
Lindor
Really. Did not feature him as a 30/30 dude, but perhaps that is too specific a result.
I remember watching Lindor play for the Akron Rubber Ducks and, in all of my years of watching baseball, the biggest surprise has been him becoming a legitimate power hitter. If you had told me that he would hit 30 HR’s in his entire career, rather than in any one of six different seasons, I would have easily believed it. He fits into my list of favorite players and very close to the top, but still well behind Pedroia.
The interesting thing is there were scouts predicting that Lindor would hit for that type of power. I was skeptical, but clearly they knew what they were talking about.
Still remember a decade-old college war with a lad claiming the Mets would be FOOLS to trade Nimmo straight up for Lindor.
…and I “only” thought Frankie would be a .280/.340/.420 type.
I was in love with Lindor as a prospect…because I had him pegged as “Jeter peripherals, .280 average, plus defense”
I got the average and defense right!
So how big is Justin Gonzales, really? He was previously listed at 6’4″, 210 pounds, but this year his height and weight at various sites range from 6’4″, 230 pounds, to 6’6″, 270 pounds.
Answer: really big.
Solid edge rusher
Thank you! Finally, someone with some facts.
Justin Gonzales is a pretty good lumberjack but it’s the big blue ox that really makes him stand out in a crowd
Don’t covet thy neighbor’s ox
I like Valera plenty, his slider is fun, his changeup looked to be developing. That being said I just can’t get on board with a 50 FV with such a young arm, with a serious injury already, and even at his velo his FB has “dead zone” movement. Some of his traits remind me of a red sox/padres prospect that did not work out (not hard to guess who I am thinking of). I think I’d put a upper end 45 FV (not 45+) on him
Ha ha. This may not be so obvious for non-Sox fans. My first thought was Jay Groome but I googled to be sure and am now assuming you meant Anderson Espinoza?
Espinoza yes
I will say Rivera greatly intrigues me and is maybe a 45+ FV for me, the slider and changeup look plus to me and the FB above average to plus. Iffy command but lot to like
Yeoman’s work! Love the list!
Damuery Peña and Yassel Soler weren’t the best hitters in their respective leagues for 2 straight years
How can one ‘not have the arm for 2B’ but might be able to play third?
And how is 6’, 185 a relatively small stature?
Andujar is one of the best prospects here. Watch. Bookmark this
Payton Tolle, Connely Early, Ryan Watson have all graduated and though he technical hasn’t yet I’ve excluded Tyler Samaniego as he is about to very soon
MIL: 287.5
WSH: 242
LAD: 242
SEA: 241
DET: 236
STL: 227
BOS: 212.5
CLE: 200
CHWS: 197
Tex: 192.5
TOR: 179.5
BAL: 169
NYM: 167.5
AZ: 167
Col: 154.5
A’s: 145
NYY: 142.5
KCR: 139
CHC: 138
CIN: 123.5
LAA: 121
PHI: 116.5
ATL: 114.5
SDP: 68.5
Hou: 60
The Tolle writeup is exciting. How many pitchers have an 80 FV fastball? How many have fully realized it (80/80)?
As a starter?
Misiorowski, although he might break in half doing it.
Curt Schilling? By the time he got to the Red Sox he was basically just throwing fastballs and splits, and he got huge results.
Gerrit Cole? Around the time he got to the Yankees his stuff was super nasty.
Going back further to guys at least some of us have seen, I would say that Nolan Ryan and Randy Johnson were 80s. Clemens may have been early in his career. Verlander probably.
Randy Johnson had a good fastball, maybe a 65? 70 if we are feeling especially generous. But it was at least a full grade below his 80 grade slider. The slider was what made Randy Johnson the most terrifying starter on earth.
I am pretty sure that when he and Schilling were teammates that Schilling had the better fastball.
It’s gotta be at least a 70 from that slot with the extension and velocity. Yes, the slider was what made him terrifying, but I think that’s underrating the fastball. I do think Schilling had the better fastball while they were together with the D-backs, but by that point Unit was age 35-40.
I also think we missed prime deGrom.
Extension, velocity, and era
(Can’t capitalize era for emphasis while talking baseball)
I guess that’s an acceptable group.
That’s good company!
Cam Schlittler.
Aww man, you had to ruin it. 🙂
(Looks like his is rated a 60 though.)
It’s laughable that people “think” (in quotes because they aren’t thinking) that Breslow should be fired.
I doubt most of the people who feel that way care about winning the prospect value list when the team is 4th in the division, 11.5 games out of first
I file that in the “they’re not thinking” file.
But only 2 games out of a WC spot! Man, the AL has been weird this year
The opposite of the NHL Eastern Conference…
Worth noting that Bloom should get some of the credit for building this farm system as well. Arias, for example, was signed under him.
Additionally, part of the criticism of Breslow hasn’t just been on-field results and player personnel moves, it’s been the way things have been handled interpersonally in the organization.
The Devers saga, the Bregman saga, the explosive coaching staff firings this year… It is eyebrow-raising, to say the least, that there has been so much public drama. It just reeks of dysfunction, although I do suspect that Cora was a part of that.
I’m willing to give Breslow some benefit of the doubt because overall the moves have been a mixed bag and it’s very early in his tenure, but there’s just something in Boston that hasn’t passed the smell test.
Thank you for the Arias info. The criticisms are valid, I just don’t think they, in light of this list, add up to “fire Breslow”.
Just about every “success” Breslow’s had was inherited from a man whose team is currently 6.5 games ahead of the Red Sox.
Also, it makes little sense to make firing the coaches a negative to pin on Breslow. Story can complain all he wants that Breslow brought in the wrong personnel, but the 5 hitters who were absolutely terrible to start the season, were Duran, Anthony, Mayer–Story–and Durbin.
Complain all you want about the roster construction–I won’t disagree much–but when you have those five guys with a collective wRC+ of 60, that’s not on Breslow, that’s guys badly underperforming. No one expected even Durbin to be this bad.
The players building their own bad vibes and letting that affect their hitting is their own fault. And Story bitching about personnel–when he was a primary offender–is especially rich.
Ahhhh!
So you think they should fire whoever put together this roster, not the GM!!!
I had assumed Duran would be benched against lefties (since Rafaela should start every game in CF and Duran is the backup there), but they’ve been starting him against LHP, which means they can’t ever take him out when he and Rafaela are in the same lineup. It’s dumb. Less dumb since Romy Gonzalez got hurt, but still dumb. Monasterio should have been the DH against LHP the entire time.
And I don’t get rostering IKF. There’s infield depth in AAA that is just as good or better than him, why waste the spot?
The injury to Gonzalez completely disrupted the plan for 2026. I couldn’t understand signing IKF either. Sogard, a capable bench player, was already rostered. Monasterio is also a very similar player and there are always the Zach Shorts of the world available if TSHTF.
IKF was signed before acquiring durbin and Monastario.
The infield depth chart was Story, Mayer, Romy, Sogard. Two injury prone and high risk bats, a platoon bat, and an awesome but classic AAAA guy.
IKF was always the cheap insurance that exists solely to play a passable major league shortstop in case of emergency.
It is pretty clear that Breslow is not really great at the “management” part of general management. However, neither was Bloom. It definitely makes me wonder that maybe the problem is the guy who hired Breslow rather than Breslow himself.
Yep – always worth remembering that Larry hired Dombrowski…and that he did so after Henry and Kennedy announced his retirement.
Its funny becuase Breslow has made so many bad moves, but also like…. they have a top 10 farm even after graduating the big 3 + Crochet trade… thats incredibly impressive. Of course, not all on him, many of theese giys have been drafted by Bloom. But the sox 2 drafts w Bres have been really good (Monty, Tolle, Clarke, Witherspoon, Eyason, Godbout, White)
Crochet trade and extension (win)Anthony extension (maybe premature but I’m calling this a win)Rafaela extension (calling this a win)Bregman signing (win! Got one year out of him, made the playoffs, and didn’t deal with his decline years)Ranger Suarez signing (win)Sonny Gray trade (win)Willson Contreras trade (win)Aroldis Chapman signing and later extension (win)Justin Slaten Rule 5 pick (win)Drafted and developed Tolle (win)Drafted and developed Early (win)Drafted Eyanson in the 3rd (win)Bennett for Perales trade (win)Traded Gasper for Moran and then got Gasper back anyways (win)Devers trade (win. Saved a ton of money, Devers hasn’t looked great, and we got Harrison…even if we did flip him later)Oviedo trade (tossup. Oviedo is injured but Password has done nothing and the Sox got Samaniego)Quinn Priester trade (loss)Patrick Sandoval signing (loss)Durbin trade (Looking like a big loss. Harrison and Drohan have been great)Buehler contract (loss)Giolito contract (pretty minor loss)
His track record doesn’t look bad at all. Looks good!
The Sale, Tibbs, and Harrison trades in particular look really bad.
That said, it’s funny bc they only got Tibbs and Harrison bc of an awesome trade of Devers.
I think he’s been too aggressive in moving young players. Hasn’t hurt them too much yet, and credit to them for re-stocking the farm but they’ve traded like a dozen good prospect in like 2 years which is crazy
Just a nitpick, but Early was drafted while Bloom was still in charge.
The Chris Sale trade isn’t talked about much, but it is probably one of the most lopsided trades in recent memory in hindsight. Boston actually SENT MONEY to pay down the contract of a guy who ended up winning a Cy Young for the team he was traded to.
The Dustin May trade was a big whiff.
The Campbell extension also is looking like a big miss, but there’s still time there.
Some of these other moves still need time to marinate. For example, Suarez and Crochet look good, but those contracts are long and Crochet’s injury issues are popping back up, which was always the risk with him…
Retaining Cora this long only to can him a month into a slow start is also a pretty suspect move.
There is also the ongoing issue of too many starting quality outfielders and too few starting quality infielders, which hasn’t been really addressed. Breslow probably waited too long to move Duran.
I do agree there’s been a fair amount of good, but it’s really been a pretty mixed bag.
Thanks for the Early correction. Still, I’ll give Breslow some credit for developing him.
It’s true that the Sale trade was a whiff, but at the time I don’t think there was a single person in the world that thought it was a bad trade. I guess I discounted it for that reason. Still, it should be included.
As for May, yes, it was a bad trade, but at the time the Sox were desperate for starting pitching and vying for a playoff spot. Bad deal! But given how many young OFs in the organization were ahead of Tibbs, I don’t know that it will be all that damaging long term (Harrison and Priester trades are along the same lines).
Btw my original post was supposed to be bulleted. Seems like the Fgraphs editor allows bullets but doesn’t actually display them
I think those that ‘think’ that Breslow should be fired are looking at the whole picture, not a narrow Fangraphs list of prospects picture.
I think you’re just throwing Pokemon names on this list to see if anyone catches it. Sadbiel, Yophery, Uberstine, Godbout and Garielvin are not real people
I can’t wait until my Johanfran evolves into a Jhostynxon.
Seriously, though, it does seem like this org is valuing name quality: Payton Tolle, Connolly Early (one of the most 1850’s names I’ve ever heard), the aforementioned Garcia brothers, Kleyvar Salazar, Freili, Tovar, Leighton Finley (another of the most 1850’s names I’ve ever heard), Gage Ziehl, Jedixson, Yoeili, Jhorman Bravo…this org is stacked with 70- and 80-grade names.
It helps if you scout Venezuela well.
Names of people from the Dominican Republic sound familiar to Americans.
Names of people from Venezuela often do not.
See: Enddy, Brainer, Wikelman, Jedixson, Sadbiel, Yhoiker, Johanfran, Jhorman, and Jhostynxon.
And those are just recent Red Sox prospects!
Now to me, the particularly fun one is the Padres affinity for drafting players with unusual first names starting with a “K”.
Kavares Tears
Kannon Kemp
Kruz Schoolcraft
Kash Mayfield
Kale Fountain
I dig the uni in the photo!
Any thoughts on Tayron Guerrero? Just got called up, sort of a late-innings guy
Tayron Guerrero has been around a really long time. He was a prospect back in…2014? 2015? He’s got to be in his 30s by now.
Yeah he’s 35. Throws hard but fastball has a bad shape and has poor control.