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Sunday Notes: Masataka Yoshida Knows NPB’s Top Pitchers

Masataka Yoshida is MLB’s latest NPB import, having been inked to a five-year, $90M contract by the Boston Red Sox earlier this week. A 29-year-old, left-handed-hitting outfielder, Yoshida is coming off of a season where he slashed .335/.447/.561 with 21 home runs for the Orix Buffaloes… and it wasn’t a breakout season. He’s been one of the best hitters in Japan’s top league in each of the last five years.

Who is the best pitcher in NPB? I asked Yoshida that question on Thursday following his introductory press conference at Fenway Park.

“Probably Kodai Senga,” replied Yoshida, citing the Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks right-hander who recently signed a 5-year, $75M deal with the New York Mets. “I think he was the best pitcher in Japan.”

Intrigued by that answer, I followed up by asking, via interpreter Keiichiro Wakabayashi, if he feels that Senga is actually better than his former Orix teammate, 24-year-old Yoshinobu Yamamoto. Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: Texas Rangers Minor League Pitching Coach

Minor League Pitching Coach

Location: Arlington, TX
Status: Full-Time

It’s fun to work in a company where people truly BELIEVE in what they’re doing!

We’re committed to bringing passion and customer focus to the business.

The Texas Rangers are seeking a Minor League Pitching Coach to join the organization. An affiliate Pitching Coach will be tasked with carrying out organizational pitching philosophies at their given affiliate. You will be asked to effectively monitor & communicate player plan implementation, while adjusting goals based on collaborative communication with the player, front office & field staff.

Essential Functions of Position Include, But Are Not Limited to the Following:

  • Develop pitching methods that reinforce the organization’s philosophies.
  • Develop and establish a next day game review process that provides feedback to pitchers on their performance.
  • Plan daily pitching practice while coordinating with other members of the field staff
  • Analyze and create ways to optimize each pitcher’s performance at your affiliate.
  • Collaborate with affiliate Strength Coach and Apprentice’s at affiliate to identify and act on solutions related to physical limitations/opportunities for development
  • Develop a process that empowers players to abide by organizational advance scouting efforts.
  • Assist the staff and players with the implementation of systems and technologies.
  • Communicate plans, goals and progress with players and relevant staff members throughout checkpoints.
  • Prescribe and monitor a development plan for each pitcher based on areas of opportunity.
  • Ability to adapt to Minor League season, schedule, personnel, and
  • Outward communication towards supervisors.
  • Responsible for documentation of player plans, adjustments, and occurring changes at the affiliate.
  • All duties as assigned.

Preferred Qualifications:

  • Interest in player development, strength & conditioning, and analytics.
  • Ability to understand and advocate for changes due to new information and or tools in baseball.
  • Strong interpersonal and communication skills.
  • Willingness to use available resources to problem solve.
  • Strong computer skills and proficiency in Microsoft Office.
  • Hard working and driven to succeed.
  • Professional or collegiate playing experience is a plus.
  • Coaching experience is a plus.
  • Fluency in Spanish is a plus.
  • Strength & conditioning related degrees are a plus.

Desired Attributes:

  • Character – High Integrity. Hard Working. Empathetic.
  • Servant Mindset – The player’s best interests are always the top priority
  • Domain Knowledge
  • Open Mindedness – Demonstrated track record of growth throughout career
  • Data Driven Decision Maker & Committed to Process
  • Intellectual Humility
  • Clear Communication & Collaboration – Up/Down/Lateral
  • High Energy & Passion

The above statements are intended to describe the general nature and level of work being performed by people assigned to this job. They are not intended to be an exhaustive list of all responsibilities, duties and skills required of the job.

If you like wild growth and working with happy, enthusiastic over-achievers, you’ll enjoy your career with us!

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Texas Rangers.


Baltimore Makes a Microscopic Ripple by Signing Adam Frazier

Adam Frazier
Nick Turchiaro-USA TODAY Sports

The Orioles made a low-key signing Thursday evening, inking second baseman Adam Frazier to a one-year, $8 million contract. Frazier struggled in 2022 after being acquired by the Mariners last fall for two minor leaguers, Corey Rosier and Ray Kerr. After a .305/.368/.411, 3.6 WAR season in 2021 that looked as if he had established a new level of play, he spent much of this past season in a fight with the .600 OPS line, a battle from which he narrowly proved victorious.

Frazier will take over as Baltimore’s starting second baseman; the main draw for his service is that he was a bit less disappointing in 2022 than the incumbent second baseman, current free agent Rougned Odor. In that light, one could make an argument that this signing represents an incremental improvement at a reasonable cost. I’m not entirely convinced of this. The O’s don’t start 2023 with the same in-house options as they did last spring, as Gunnar Henderson’s meteoric rise gives them another infielder, and one with massive upside. So the question is whether Frazier is actually much of an upgrade, if at all, over the players who would have likely received playing time at second otherwise.

To get an idea if 2022 or 2021 are closer to some abstract concept of Frazier’s “true” ability, let’s start with the ZiPS projection for him in 2023.

2023 ZiPS Projection – Adam Frazier
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB + DR WAR
2023 .267 .326 .363 529 68 141 25 4 6 42 41 70 8 91 5 1.8

2023 ZiPS Projection Percentiles – Adam Frazier (582 PA)
Percentile 2B HR BA OBP SLG OPS+ WAR
95% 38 11 .315 .383 .444 128 4.3
90% 35 10 .306 .366 .425 120 3.7
80% 31 8 .295 .356 .401 108 3.0
70% 29 7 .284 .345 .386 102 2.4
60% 27 6 .274 .335 .375 97 2.2
50% 25 6 .267 .326 .363 91 1.8
40% 23 5 .257 .320 .351 86 1.4
30% 22 5 .248 .311 .342 81 1.0
20% 20 5 .239 .302 .326 76 0.6
10% 18 4 .225 .287 .304 67 -0.1
5% 16 3 .212 .273 .288 59 -0.6

The good news is that Frazier is projected to bounce back somewhat to league-average levels of play. Steamer is generally in the same neighborhood, though it likes his bat a bit more and his defense a bit less. Alas, his projected rebound season is closer to ’22 than ’21, no doubt in large part because some of the fuel powering the latter was a BABIP more than 30 points better than his career average, as well as the fact that he just celebrated his 31st birthday a couple of days ago. Read the rest of this entry »


Another Change of Scenery for New Cub Brad Boxberger

Brad Boxberger
Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

The Cubs added to their bullpen on Thursday, signing veteran journeyman Brad Boxberger to a one-year deal with a mutual option for a total guaranteed value of $2.8 million. The 34-year-old right-hander is coming off an effective stint just up I-94 in Milwaukee, where he served as a reliable middle-innings complement to Devin Williams and Josh Hader for the bulk of two seasons after signing as a minor league free agent in spring training of 2021. In those two campaigns, he made 141 appearances, posting a 3.15 ERA, a 3.61 FIP, 10.56 K/9, and 1.5 WAR. Despite his effectiveness with the Brewers, Milwaukee declined to bring him back on a $3 million team option last month, and instead he’ll join a young Chicago bullpen that could use some help after ranking 28th out of 30 bullpens in 2022 in WAR, 25th in situational wins, and second in blown saves.

Thanks to the circumstances of his contracts, Boxberger will end up with a higher guarantee moving forward than he would have if the Brewers had picked up his extra year. According to president of baseball operations Matt Arnold, Boxberger was exposed to waivers and went unclaimed prior to Milwaukee’s decision, which told him that “the market did not value him at the level of the option value.” After they declined, Boxberger was issued a $750,000 buyout and signed for a guarantee of just $200,000 less than the option value, giving him an effective guarantee of over $3.5 million. The structure of his new deal fits the Cubs’ somewhat recent signature of a one-year deal with an unlikely mutual option, giving him a base salary of $2 million in 2023 with an $800,000 buyout on a $5 million dollar mutual option for 2024. Read the rest of this entry »


JAWS and the 2023 Hall of Fame Ballot: Torii Hunter

© Jennifer Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

The following article is part of Jay Jaffe’s ongoing look at the candidates on the BBWAA 2023 Hall of Fame ballot. Originally written for the 2021 election, it has been updated to reflect recent voting results as well as additional research. For a detailed introduction to this year’s ballot, and other candidates in the series, use the tool above; an introduction to JAWS can be found here. For a tentative schedule, and a chance to fill out a Hall of Fame ballot for our crowdsourcing project, see here. All WAR figures refer to the Baseball-Reference version unless otherwise indicated.

Torii Hunter could go get it. Fluid and graceful while patrolling center field, he was renowned for his leaping, acrobatic catches and his willingness to sacrifice his body. He made a strong enough impression upon those who watched him that he won nine Gold Gloves during his 19-year career, more than all but three center fielders, namely Willie Mays, Ken Griffey Jr., and Andruw Jones. Hunter earned the nickname “Spider-Man” for his ability to climb outfield walls to steal home runs — something he did more than just about anybody else during his career — though one attempt to do so at Fenway Park left him with a broken ankle, and another a concussion.

“I’ll do anything to get that little white ball. I’ll put my life on the line,” Hunter told Sports Illustrated’s Albert Chen in 2005, sounding very much like the football player he was during his high school days in Pine Bluff, Arkansas. Hunter rose from difficult circumstances in Pine Bluff, including a father who was addicted to crack cocaine and friends who fell into the dead-end life of drugs, guns, and gangs. His athleticism helped him escape, though when he entered professional baseball as a first-round pick of the Twins in 1993, his talent was more raw than most. Read the rest of this entry »


The Red Sox Shouldn’t Be Living This Indiana Pacers Life

Chaim Bloom

Masataka Yoshida is an extremely cool ballplayer. The 29-year-old has hit .300/.400/.500 six seasons in a row, and despite 20-homer power and plenty of walks, he never strikes out. I’m serious: in 508 Pacific League plate appearances in 2022, Yoshida walked 80 times and struck out just 41 times. That’s a BB% and K% of 15.7% and 8.1%, respectively. He makes Alejandro Kirk look like Dave Kingman. Now, will a 5-foot-8 left fielder be able to keep hitting 20 homers a year on this side of the Pacific? I don’t know, but I’m excited to find out.

Yoshida is, so far, the crown jewel of the offseason for the Red Sox. Between his five-year contract and posting fee, he cost Boston $105.4 million, a significant outlay for any team. If you roll in the posting fee, that’s within rounding distance of the AAV Brandon Nimmo and Kyle Schwarber got in free agency; that indicates Boston views Yoshida as an impact player at his position.

On Thursday, the Red Sox officially announced Yoshida’s signing and added him to the 40-man roster. In order to make room, they designated Jeter Downs for assignment. And suddenly what should have been a joyous day was dampened by the weight of reflection. Read the rest of this entry »


New Brewer Owen Miller Is Evolving as a Hitter (Or at Least Trying To)

© Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

What kind of hitter did the Milwaukee Brewers get when they acquired Owen Miller from the Cleveland Guardians on Wednesday in exchange for a player to be named later or cash? Statistically speaking, the answer is someone who put up uninspiring numbers in his first full big-league season. The infielder, who recently turned 26 years old, logged a .287 wOBA and an 85 wRC+ in 472 plate appearances. After starting strong — he had a 1.043 OPS on May 8, and had delivered a number of clutch hits — Miller provided only a modicum of value with the bat.

In terms of his overall development as a hitter, Miller has evolved — intent-wise more than production-wise to this point — from the player who Eric Longenhagen described prior to the 2021 season. Ranking him No. 14 on that year’s Cleveland Top Prospects list, our lead prospect analyst wrote that the former third-round pick out of Illinois State University had a “minimalistic swing [that] enables him to make high rates of contact, while the strength in Miller’s hands generates doubles power.”

Miller stroked 26 doubles this past season, but only six home runs, and he had 93 strikeouts to go with 32 walks. By and large, he remains a work-in-progress — albeit one who can provide value with his versatility while continuing to work on his offensive skills.

The newest Brewer talked hitting in an interview that took place a handful of months into the season, only to be placed on the back burner until now.

———

David Laurila: How would you describe yourself as a hitter?

Owen Miller: “I’ve kind of changed, I would say. When I was younger — coming up in college, and in the minors — I was very contact-oriented, with a very line drive approach. I was handsy, trying to manipulate my barrel. Then, over the quarantine period when we had time to work on things… I understood that there are things that elite hitters do as far as using their bodies more, and I started to make some swing changes off of that. Not really swing changes, per se, but rather adjustments. Read the rest of this entry »


Carlos Rodón Gives the Yankees a Pair of Aces

Carlos Rodon
Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

Nine down, one to go. The 2022 free-agent signing period has been fast and furious. When Carlos Correa signed with the Giants earlier this week, he was the eighth of my top 10 free agents to sign. That breakneck pace hasn’t slowed. On Thursday night, Carlos Rodón and the Yankees agreed to a six-year, $162 million contract, as Jon Heyman first reported.

I pre-wrote some words on Rodón as a player, so let’s get to those before discussing the broader context of his signing. He’s a fascinating story, and yet simultaneously a very straightforward pitcher. He throws an overpowering fastball. He throws an overpowering slider. He throws them both very hard, and with solid accuracy. It sounds almost too simple, but both pitches are spectacular, and they pair well together. He’s going to throw them; the question is whether batters can hit them.

For the past two years, the answer has been a resounding no. In 2021, you could convince yourself it was just a hot streak. Rodón missed most of 2019 and ’20 due to injury, and he’d been roughly league average before that. The peripherals were excellent, and the pedigree was there — he was the third overall pick in the 2014 draft after a standout college career at North Carolina State — but he was a two-pitch pitcher with health concerns and one excellent season. To make matters worse, he looked fatigued at the end of the season — reasonably so given his workload increase — and lost fastball velocity until regaining it in the playoffs. The White Sox declined to issue him a qualifying offer, and he signed what was essentially a high-class prove-it deal with the Giants: two years and $44 million, with an opt out after the first year. Read the rest of this entry »


FanGraphs Audio: Jerry Dipoto on the Surging Seattle Mariners

Episode 1004

This week, we talk to the man in charge of an on-the-rise franchise before discussing the international market and a puzzling trade.

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Audio after the jump. (Approximate 95 minute play time.)


Syndergaard Signing Bolsters Dodgers’ Rotation, Hurler’s Own Hopes for Rebound

© Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Despite trailing only the Mets in payroll last season, the Dodgers inked just their second eight-figure contract of the offseason Wednesday night. Noah Syndergaard and his one-year, $13 million pact will join the returning Clayton Kershaw (on a one-year, $20 million deal) in shoring up a rotation that has said goodbye to breakouts Tyler Anderson and Andrew Heaney.

Enduring the losses of Anderson and Heaney means the Dodgers will have to rely more heavily on a number of pitchers with health concerns. Julio Urías, whose 2.16 ERA came out just above Tony Gonsolin’s 2.14 mark, is the only Dodgers starter to have thrown at least 175 innings in each of the past two years; Urías was himself a non-factor for two years after having anterior capsule surgery on his left shoulder in 2017. As for Gonsolin, owner of the rotation’s lowest 2022 ERA, he suffered a forearm strain in late August; he would go on to pitch just 3.1 innings the rest of the year, including the playoffs. Relegated to mid-rotation duty now, Kershaw hasn’t appeared in 30 games since 2015 and in the past two seasons hasn’t topped 22. Dustin May, Tommy John returnee, was only in the rotation for six turns this summer before landing on the shelf again, this time with a back issue. And now the player formerly known as Thor will round things out. Read the rest of this entry »