Dan Szymborski FanGraphs Chat – 5/13/2019
12:06 |
: OK, I’m here!
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12:06 |
: I’d like to say something out of my control happened, but I tend to start Twitter rants two minutes before I have to be somewhere
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12:07 |
: The chat post is messed up – showing the HTML code
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12:08 |
: Should be fixed now.
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12:08 |
: Do you have confidence in Jesus Aguilar to turn things around this season? He’s looked sharper the last week or so.
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12:08 |
: He’s certainly looked better. There’s still hope.
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12:08 |
: Aaron Hicks is supposedly being activated today. What’s your outlook on him for the rest of season?
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12:09 |
: I’m cautiously optimistic. I don’t see a fundamental reason that he shouldn’t be playing at least somewhere near where he should be
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12:09 |
: So…Glasnow out 4-6 weeks with a forearm strain, Honeywell still isn’t pitching, Michaels Zunino and Perez are both on the IL. The catching situation is perhaps OK since they got gifted D’Arnaud, but what’s the best plan for the pitching side of things?
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12:10 |
: I think they’re going to kinda try to muddle through – they’re not going to make a large acquisition
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12:11 |
: And just to head this one off at the pass: for the person or persons asking me questions about the “United States Coup” in Venezuela, let’s just say that you would not like *my* opinion and you can save your time by not asking.
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12:12 |
: What is your ETA for Riley, Urias and Monte Harrison to the Big Leagaues?
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12:12 |
: I think Riley comes up fairly soon.
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12:12 |
: He’s already gotten his first playing time at first and left professionally in the opening weeks of the season
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12:13 |
: I think the Braves are clearly looking at geting him into the lineup sooner rather than later
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12:13 |
: Hey Dan I don’t mean to alarm you but Nick Markakis is at it again. What do you make of his late career offensive resurgence?
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12:13 |
: Dunno, maybe April showers bring Markakis flowers
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12:13 |
: I know it’s a crappy response, but I don’t *know* why Markakis suddenly rocked it early last year, then was sub-replacement, and now is hitting yet again
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12:13 |
: I would have bet everything that Dan would willingly eat a second bowl of SkyLine Chili before Mike Fiers threw his second no hitter…
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12:14 |
: Hey, Tim Lincecum has two no-hitters, both AFTER he was a good pitcher
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12:14 |
: Is Christian Yelich stealing signs at Miller Park? He’s putting up some crazy home/away splits.
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12:14 |
: You have a park that’s very lefty friendly and small sample sizes. I wouldn’t ready anything into it.
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12:14 |
: How much do you use xwOBA? Or how much do you react if a hitter you own has a far greater xwOBA than wOBA?
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12:15 |
: I don’t use it in projections as I have my own thing.
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12:15 |
: But I do quote it as an alternate source
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12:15 |
: Is the Lucas Giolito breakout real? Projections don’t seem to be buying it, but FIP, pitch data, and noticeable mechanical changes say it looks legit.
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12:16 |
: YOu’d actually have seen the projection move more if this were the ZiPS year-to-year model rather than the simplified in-year version
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12:16 |
: The bump in k rate and the decent bump in velcoity make me very optimistic about giolito
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12:17 |
: The changeup has looked nastypants
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12:17 |
: I’ll find a particularly good one while chatting
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12:17 |
: Do you know who the second best catcher by fWAR this season is (min 90 PA)? It’s the White Sox’ backup catcher, James McCann with 1.4 fWAR! Do you think there’s anything real to his breakout this year?
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12:17 |
: I’m not on that train yet
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12:18 |
: How bad are the Blue Jays? Percentage chance they lose 100 games?
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12:18 |
: I don’t think they’re 100 games bad but they certainly haven’t looked great lately
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12:18 |
: Last I checked, ZiPS had them at a .445 roster strength a few days ago
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12:18 |
: I can’t run that on the fly
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12:18 |
: Know you’ve been to Bucsdugout before. You see where Vox followed a complaint there by a female poster by hiring a disgraced former priest who advocated men spanking their wives and now they’ve fired all their longtime writers and installed a yankee fan as site manager? So weird.
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12:18 |
: I did not see this
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12:19 |
: That seems…less than ideal?
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12:22 |
: No spoilers. I just gotta say…I’ve never seen a tv series collapse so completely into a heaping pile of rubbish quite like GoT.
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12:22 |
: I will not give spoilers
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12:22 |
: But I don’t think the problem is the plotting. I think the arc is logical. But the pacing has been an absolute tire fire.
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12:23 |
: It’s like they decided to cram 30 episodes into 13
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12:23 |
: but then didn’t do any effort to edit down some things
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12:23 |
: Jose Peraza: One year wonder or extremely slow start?
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12:23 |
: I think just a slow start, but not as good as 2018
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12:23 |
: Is Jake Bauers better than what we are seeing?
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12:23 |
: Better than *this*? Probably.
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12:23 |
: But good? Probably not.
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12:24 |
: Yeah, he’s just 23, but how many rocking first base prospects never put up an .800 OPS at *any* stop in the minors?
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12:24 |
: You don’t want your prospects to be hackers, but you also don’t want your minor league hitting prospects to have their top driver of performance in the minors being walk rate
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12:25 |
: Someone tried to argue with me that Bauers was like Nick Johnson
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12:25 |
: And it’s like are you serious? Johnson hit 345/525/548 at age *20* in AA.
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12:26 |
: Is the wRC number for PCL players already taking into account the explosion of offense in that league? Or are there lagging data points from previous seasons that would cause even that number to be inflated? I am trying to get context for Yordan Alvarez’ 222 wRC+
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12:26 |
: That I could not tell you.
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12:26 |
: Is a hotdog really just a self-contained meatloaf?
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12:26 |
: No, because there’s no bread emulation and you don’t slice it.
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12:26 |
: It’s in the sausage family, which is independent
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12:26 |
: What does ZiPS think about Urshela, German, and Voit? Are they Hashtag Actually For Real?
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12:26 |
: ZiPS thinks Voit is just fine.
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12:26 |
: Havne’t looke dat long-term Urshela projections
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12:27 |
: I think I was wrong in not being optimistic enough about German
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12:27 |
: Is JDM too crazy a ceiling to dream on for Franmil?
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12:27 |
: I hate Ceiling/Floor because there’s too much room for interpretation. Is ceiling a 10% chance? a 1% chance? A 0.1% chance?
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12:28 |
: But I think Reyes being *as* good as JDM now is fairly unlikely.
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12:28 |
: I don’t think he’ll get his MLB averages up where martinez has been.
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12:29 |
: But, of course, J.D. Martinez’s ceiling, by any definition, probably wasn’t J.D. Martinez.
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12:29 |
: Would you trade Freeman or Hoskins (I have both) for Scherzer in a deep H2H points dynasty?
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12:29 |
: If you can trade Hoskins for Scherzer I would
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12:29 |
: How ya like JP Crawford RoS? Think he could steal a job and run with it or more likely to get full time action after a Gordon/Beckham trade? (not to be confused with a Gordon Beckham trade)
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12:29 |
: It’s too bad that Gordon Beckham isn’t still with the Mariners
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12:31 |
: True story – I didn’t believe Lew Ford was a real person until well into his first professional season
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12:31 |
: At the time, the Red Sox had Darren Lewis and Damon Buford
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12:31 |
: They were splitting time fairly evenly in center and people had been calling them Lewford
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12:32 |
: So when people were talking about Lew Ford after the draft, I thought they were talking about keeping Lewford long term.
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12:32 |
: Xander or glasnow ros pts league. I’m pretty set at ss but the arm injuries scare me
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12:32 |
: Xander. I love what Glasnow has done, but always worry about a pitcher.
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12:34 |
: Do you think the Pirates will bring up K Hayes any time soon or is Moran enough for now?
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12:34 |
: Enough for now
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12:34 |
: Any chance the Reds sneak back into the NL playoff hunt? They’re 3rd in NL in run differential so far but are still 5th in the Central
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12:34 |
: It’s tough, a lot of games are baked in the cake
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12:34 |
: and I have a high confidence that at least three teams are better than them.
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12:35 |
: Which is a problem when you’re behind.
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12:35 |
: It’s not like the Brewers situation some years ago when they were clearly worse than the teams behind them but they had a lead
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12:35 |
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12:35 |
: Hopefully this works, I was trying to quickly find a Giolito changeup that looked almost circle changey in its break
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12:36 |
: SO I’ve been looking at all his swing-and-miss changeups in those two gameday zones while chatting!
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12:36 |
: What’s going on with Machado this year? Is it just a post-free agency and/or World Series hangover or something more worrisome?
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12:36 |
: Not worried
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12:37 |
: Is Joey Votto done?
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12:37 |
: No, but I think the power bouncebacks that happen periodically are done
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12:37 |
: If 1995 Greg Maddux were magically transported to 2019, would he strikeout more batters than in his own time? What is the proper way to think about the strikeout era? Does a rising tide lift all boats?
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12:37 |
: Yes, he’d strikeout more guys
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12:37 |
: If you don’t adjust for league strikeout rates
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12:38 |
: Existing pitchers also had their strikeouts decline much slower than the normal aging curve
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12:38 |
: I actually think Glavine would have more issues
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12:39 |
: I think the age of statcast and pitchfx would shine a brighter light on some of the outside space the veteran umps gave him
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12:39 |
: Can you confirm if Josh Bell is real, spectacular?
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12:39 |
: It’s hard to fake this kind of power
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12:40 |
: And I’ve been a Bell skeptic in the past
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12:40 |
: His minor league career felt to Yonder Alonsish.
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12:40 |
: A Dan, A Plan, A Chat, Tahcanalpanada
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12:40 |
: What I supposed to make about defensive metrics? Fangraphs and UZR gave Matt Duffy as like a top 8 third baseman, DRS has him as a minus defender, and BP’s FRAA has him only behind Chapman!
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12:40 |
: Don’t take small sample size defense too seriously
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12:40 |
: In terms of predictive value
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12:41 |
: A year of defensive stats has about the same predictive value as two months of offensive stats
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12:41 |
: So six weeks of offensive stats…do the math.
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12:41 |
: Seriously, I’m not your Division King.
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12:41 |
: At this point, standard doesn’t really have any “fun” matchups, the wild format feels the freshest. What decks are you having fun playing?
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12:41 |
: Been mostly in Arena
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12:42 |
: I usually enjoy Standard for a month and then play Arena the rest of the time.
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12:42 |
: I do enjoy mucking around with Dragon Paladin, but it’s not very good.
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12:42 |
: I really wish Priest/Paladin had been given board clears this expansion.
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12:43 |
: I’m not sure if you’re the correct person to ask this or not, but if a first baseman could fit a baseball completely inside his mouth, would he have to tag a baserunner with his face? Or would any appendage work?
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12:43 |
: Wouldn’t work.
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12:43 |
: MLB explicitly defines tags as having the ball in the hand or the glove.
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12:44 |
: Think of the ball as a magic out orb.
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12:44 |
: And a baseball glove is a conductor of outricity
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12:45 |
: but anything that’s not a glove or a hand, has outrical resistance.
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12:45 |
: I think if the player plays without a glove, using his mouth as a glove in normal plays.
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12:46 |
: SO that his mouth becomes a de facto glove, theN I think MLB *should* accept it
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12:46 |
: Yo, Dan, I’m gonna run and grab lunch. Pause the chat for 10-15 minutes. You can make it up on the back end. Thanks
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12:46 |
: YOU KNOW WHEN THE CHAT IS
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12:46 |
: When does Cleveland recognize they need to be a seller? The current outfield is horrible and by the time Clevinger and Kluber are back and healthy it could be too many games to make up.
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12:46 |
: I don’t think they need to be a seller yet
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12:47 |
: I’m disappointed in how they operated this winter, but the season isn’t a lost cause
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12:47 |
: It’s still 31% in FG to win the division and FG/ZiPS have been close on the AL Central this year
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12:47 |
: Dan- At what point do the ROS and beyond projections for guys like Reyes, Dozier, and Yandy Diaz really start to move? Would love a bit of insight into how your system works in regards to new data working its way in. Thanks!
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12:47 |
: The ROS moves pretty quickly! Beyond isn’t updated in-season due to technological limitations, for which I’m working on a workaround.
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12:48 |
: I’m working on a simpler version of ZiPS, but not as simple as in-season, that FanGraphs can run automatically
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12:48 |
: Andrelton Simmons has not struck out in his last 60 PA – is he the next Willans Astudillo?
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12:48 |
: Simmons is his own thing. Astudillo IS a special snowflake and don’t steal the magic.
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12:48 |
: How impressive is the Yankees record considering the injuries?
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12:48 |
: Quite. The Yankees impressively overengineered their roster and when…stuff…hit the fan, they were better prepared than most teams.
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12:49 |
: GREETINGS, CLEVALND
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12:49 |
: Something appears to be wrong with the FanGraphs WAR calculations Vlad is in the negatives plz fix thx
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12:49 |
: Think of it as a rubber band. Gotta pull it back a little before you launch!
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12:50 |
: Favorite deck to play in the current meta? Any cards that you want to see nerfed?
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12:51 |
: I don’t think the meta stinks, it’s just not my favorite type of meta. Waggle Pick should probably be five mana
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12:52 |
: I think Shadowstep can be abused better than Whirlwind and Death’s Bite was essentially the same but with Whirlwind instead.
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12:52 |
: Did you talk to your mother yesterday? How is she doing?
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12:52 |
: We went to a brunch at a place called El Meson
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12:53 |
Jamaican Jerk Pork Tenderloin Fish Tacos with Mango Salsa – Sauteed Mild Filet with Tortillas & all the Fixings Pollo de Los Andes – Boneless Chicken in Artichokes, Sun Dried Tomates & Parmesan Egg & Cheese Omelet Saffron Rice Manchego Scalloped Potatoes Garbanzos with Spinach Assorted Salads Fresh Fruit Salpicon Jamaican Jerk Slaw Assorted Crusty Breads, Coffee cakes, & Sweet Breads |
12:53 |
: At what point do the Angels release Cozart?
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12:53 |
: I don’t think they need to.
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12:53 |
: Though he shoudl be losing some playing time
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12:53 |
: What the **** is going on with Brandon nimmo ??
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12:53 |
: I think he’ll be OK. I do think he’s likely to have a down year and not a quick bounceback
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12:54 |
: WHen I was looking at him the other day I thought “hey, his BABIP must be crazy low” and was distressed that it wasn’t
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12:54 |
: At what point in the season does Urshela’s performance warrant an article? I’m assuming he hasn’t got one yet because of the still-relatively small sample size, but at some point a guy literally doubling his career wrc+ is noteworthy
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12:54 |
: Articles depend on what suits a writer’s fancy!
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12:54 |
: Cat update, please.
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12:54 |
: Galileo is upstairs and I’m mad at because he opened the fridge and got into the last of my gorgonzola
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12:55 |
: Mercutio was meowing to get into the laundry room and I chased him off because he’s not allowed in there
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12:55 |
: because he crawls into the ceiling and he’s too dumb to get himself out, so I have to climb on top of the washing machine and sweep him out with a broom
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12:55 |
: Cassiopeia was upstairs sleeping in the living room. I have the hedgehog in my pocket so that she can’t bother me with it while I’m trying to chat
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12:55 |
: George Springer for MVP? And with his age when he hits free agency next year, would he be a candidate to take an extension and not risk the market?
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12:56 |
: I don’t think the Astros have leverage at this point
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12:56 |
: He’s obviously not getting a Harper/Machado contract, but I think he’ll still do fine
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12:56 |
: If not as lavishly as players like him would get treated in the past
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12:57 |
: Piggyback onto the Rays question, seems to my eye McKay could plug right in and help a somewhat beleaguered rotation. Any prognostication on if/when this may happen?
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12:57 |
: He’s been very good, but I don’t think the Rays will try it if it looks like Glasnow will come back without setbacks
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12:58 |
: I think if they were going to squeeze out some short-term value, they’d back off a bit on the hitting focus
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12:59 |
: That they are still playing him at DH makes me think they’re still thinking more long-term with him than short-term boost
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1:01 |
: What are your thoughts on the Rays’ usage of Chirinos and Beeks this year? It seems thus far to be a huge success for the follower concept.
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1:01 |
: Reality certainly isn’t thwarting them. I think they’re happy with wha thtey’re doing
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1:01 |
: Dan, you buying a Matt Carpenter turn around?
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1:01 |
: Yes
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1:02 |
: When do you think the Twins will drop the hammer on the rest of the NL Central and American League as a whole and promote generational prospect Wander Javier?
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1:03 |
: Don’t make me punch you.
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1:03 |
: What started this meme?
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1:03 |
: How do I send a message
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1:03 |
: First Hanley.. Now Cargo.. Do you believe the Indians are going to let Cargo find gainful employment elsewhere while moving Jake Bauers to a permanent OF spot?.. then bringing up the kids that are raking (Oscar Mercado & Bobby Bradley) in Columbus for the vacated OF spot and DH/1B, respectively?
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1:03 |
: They *really* should have Mercado up at this point.
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1:03 |
: Chase upside.
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1:03 |
: Because CarGo, Hanley, those guys had about none at this point
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1:04 |
: Dan its obvious it’s a coup attempt and they’re trying to over throw a democratically elected government. Please elaborate your opinion
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1:04 |
: The coup was the 2018 election. Not answering any more of these, so you can knock it off.
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1:05 |
: In Christian Yelich, are we seeing what it looks like when a prospect reaches the 100% outcome in his range of potential? And, if so, how rare is that?
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1:05 |
: The thing is, there are way more improbable ones.
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1:06 |
: Yelich was supposed to be good and looked like he could breakout
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1:06 |
: I think Jose Bautista becoming a feared slugger was way less likely
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1:06 |
: So why isn’t Keston Hiura up yet? Is is defense, strikeouts, or some hope that Travis Shaw turns it around? Was this last weekend off a last effort to reboot Shaw?
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1:06 |
: I think caution about how the roster works, but I think he’s coming soon.
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1:06 |
: I thought it would be later in the year, but I’m getting my prospect sense is tingling
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1:07 |
: Is Jose Martinez the worst defensive outfielder getting regular starts out there?
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1:07 |
: He *could* be with Kemp gone for now at least
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1:07 |
: Adam Jones, in a very small sample size, has been pretty lousy too in a corner
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1:08 |
: Have pitchers figured out Andujar? Seems like it a little bit, do you see him having the ability to make an adjustment
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1:08 |
: WAY too soon
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1:08 |
: is the steamer and zips updated daily for minor leaguers? Or are the zips cacluations shown on prospects at bottom of stats based on previous season results? How up to date are the zips and steamer calcs on prospects.
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1:09 |
: ZiPS in-season isn’t included since FG doens’t have a built in minor league translation. It’s one of the several projects I’m working on
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1:09 |
: One of the rotographs chatters comped Franmil to Khris Davis, and that seems…right on.
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1:09 |
: A much better comp
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1:09 |
: Thoughts on D Fletcher’s K/swing and miss rates. Halos have changed their philosophy and it seems to fit him perfectly
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1:10 |
: He wasn’t bad last year but he’s been even more unreasl this year
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1:13 |
: just spent 5 minutes trying to figure out what “ros” means…
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1:14 |
: It refers to Sigur Rós, the band that secretly owns FanGraphs
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1:14 |
: Is it crazy to say Mondesi is close to Lindor in value in standard 5×5?
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1:14 |
: I’d rather have Lindor, but it’s not insane to think that he might be in the neighborhood
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1:14 |
: Hi Dan, anyway I can get the Zips projected standings through the years of 2008-2018. Just need the projected wins. Haven’t had any luck searching for it.
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1:14 |
: email me! DSzymborski gmail
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1:14 |
: Do you think the Dansby Swanson breakout is real?
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1:15 |
: Likely yes
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1:15 |
: Who is the best player comp for each of your cats? Do any of them get to be Trout?
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1:15 |
: No, it woudl be unreaslistic to call any of my cats as comparable to Trout
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1:15 |
: I’d call Galileo Adrian Beltre
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1:16 |
: I’m not sure how this even works
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1:16 |
: Why do I think you have thought before on tagging with the ball in one’s mouth?
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1:16 |
: If it’s ridiculous, I’ve thought of it
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1:16 |
: If a Burrito was baked in a cake would it still be a burrito or a newfangled dessert?
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1:16 |
: it woudl be a burrito, the structure as a whole would be a cake that has a burrito
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1:16 |
: Is there any way to look at the depth charts from the past? I’m really interested in how teams over/under perform expectations and how injuries/trade affect playing time.
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1:16 |
: I don’t think we’re set up for that.
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1:16 |
: So the hidden ball trick, would require the player concealing the baseball inside their mouth to spit it into his glove/hand and then apply the slobber-ball to the baserunner. Seems unhygenic. If the players union is wise, they’ll protect players from this.
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1:17 |
: Any chance, there will be Fringe Five articles in 2019? I enjoyed them a lot in past years.
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1:17 |
: I’ll ask if someone was going to do them.
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1:18 |
: If you were a juggler, what is the last thing you would practice with before attempting chainsaws? AND DON’T SAY FAKE CHAINSAWS!
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1:18 |
: electric turkey carving knives
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1:18 |
: Which error bar is larger – human umps or humans that draw the top/bottom lines of the robs-ump box to account for differing player heights/stances?
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1:19 |
: I would assume the former because of time
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1:19 |
: Hey, I’m good again!
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1:20 |
: Did you know that El Meson is Spanish for “The Meson”?
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1:20 |
: I believe that its’ a restaurant-specific term
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1:20 |
: and there’s an accent
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1:21 |
: Josh Donaldson gonna get a Qualifying Offer after the season?
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1:21 |
: He ought to if he’s stilll playing like he is
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1:21 |
: Would you like to be referred to as The Breaker of Churros?
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1:22 |
: I’m too far east to be in prime churro territory
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1:22 |
: how about The Breaker of Markov Chains
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1:22 |
: Mercutio better at laundry than the other cats?…How is he at folding a pleated sheet?..i hate those….
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1:22 |
: Mercutio has no real skills.
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1:22 |
: He’s a very friendly cat.
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1:22 |
: But he’s kinda dumb and kinda incompetent at being a cat.
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1:22 |
: He’s still not quite sure where dinner is typically served and he’s 10.
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1:23 |
: The kitchen/dining room/living room is a circle and he still has’t quite figured it out
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1:23 |
: Cassiopeia surprises him every time by circling around and sneaking up on him
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1:23 |
: When I closed the kitchen/dining room door so I could put in some wood screws
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1:23 |
: he started meowing to get into the kitchen
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1:23 |
: Have you ever worked in a professional office setting with other people?
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1:23 |
: I have not.
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1:24 |
: Do you have any tips for getting through the work day while jet lagged?
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1:24 |
: BUSINESS HAMMOCKS
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1:25 |
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1:25 |
: Luis Urias should be back up by now, right? Kinsler is bad and this is a tight race
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1:25 |
: Soon I have to think
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1:26 |
: When does the QO become more valuable to the Giants than the prospects they can get for Bumgarner?
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1:27 |
: No, I think they can still get something of more value
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1:27 |
: What percentage of questions in a chat would you estimate you get to answer, on average?
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1:27 |
: 10-20% on busy days
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1:27 |
: Nationals or Reds: which team is more likely toast at this point?
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1:27 |
: REds I think. Nats still have better now-talent
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1:27 |
(2) Kimbrel thoughts? I know last we all chatted on this the prevailing thought was … after the draft … but he has just fallen off the radar as of late (or it feels like he has). Still think he will land somewhere this season? |
1:27 |
: I think he will
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1:27 |
: Kimbrel
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1:27 |
: The Red Sox are doing a good job scraping, but it’s shallow and an injury or two could be a frigging disaster.
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1:28 |
: What if The Twins are the government of Venezuela, man….and Wander Javier is all the Vuvuzuelan people?
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1:28 |
: Dammit, sneaking in Venezuela with a Wander meme!
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1:29 |
: Your response above about zips having its own thing instead of xwoba got me thinking… Any chance you’d consider doing an article deep dive on some small nugget in zips and explaining your reasoning / how that component works? Obviously you can’t give away your secret sauce, but as a programming / stats nerd I’d love to read about even a tiny segment of the system
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1:29 |
: I do talk quite a bit about stuff in side ZiPS in piece when its relevant!
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1:29 |
: I don’t like to do articles specifically *about* ZiPS without an “in” because, to be honest, I find those a boring read.
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1:29 |
: First most chunkiest lineup that comes to mind? Tellez/Guerrero/Smoak are pretty good but I’m looking for more historically big-boned lineups
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1:29 |
: That woudl be a fun piece!
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1:29 |
: Lineups by BMI
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1:30 |
: Dammit Dan, I know you said to not ask any more Venezuela questions, but now I’m really curious Is your position that Nicolas Maduro used intimidation, voter suppression, and military support to rig the 2018 election in his favor? (Because i think that is a reasonable interpretation of the events) Instead of posting my question a simple Yes, Morbo or No, Morbo will satisfy my curiosity.
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1:30 |
: I hate you all.
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1:30 |
: Yes.
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1:30 |
: There’s been a few writers at Rotographs doing weekly Fringe Five-esque articles, though with more of a fantasy bent.
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1:30 |
: Dan, rotographs has picked up the Fringe Five theme and is calling it Peripheral Prospects.
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1:30 |
: I am aware, but I was thinking more of the exact thing without the fantasy angle
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1:30 |
: Breaker of Markov Chains…that’s kinda….random
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1:30 |
: Where can I get some business hammocks?! The hammock district?
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1:31 |
: Hammock complex on third.
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1:31 |
: Dynasty keeper league, just offered Jose Ramirez for George Springer. Seems like I should jump at it, but is Jose OK?
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1:31 |
: It *really* depends on what the keeper terms are like.
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1:31 |
: The longer-term the league, the better to keep Ramirez
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1:32 |
: Unless you’re a good team and you’re really risk-averse as a result, I think I’d take the deal.
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1:32 |
: Springer qualifying at CF doesn’t really matter
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1:32 |
: But Ramirez usually picking up 2B qualification and in the right theoretical position SS COULD
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1:32 |
: Why does someone in a baseball chat care that much about Dan’s opinion on Maduro & the Venezuelan situation? or are you now the Secretary of State & I missed the announcement?
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1:33 |
: Yeah, it seems an odd thing to ask a baseball analyst who *rarely* talks about Twitter.
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1:33 |
: errr, rarely talks about politics on Twitter
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1:33 |
: In fact, I probably talk about politics *less* often than most.
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1:33 |
: What if everyone just gets a doggy or kitty and is friends and we don’t have violent revolutions and stuff.
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1:34 |
: And really, I warned you guys.
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1:34 |
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1:35 |
: And on that, time to head off on the ol’ dusty trail. I have a Rays piece to write!
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1:35 |
: No spiel, you guys should konw where to find me if you’ve listened to me ramble for 90 minutes.
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1:35 |
: I was interested solely because of the previous questions the historical references/analogies Dan puts in his pieces like the Cleveland Underdog article
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Dan Szymborski is a senior writer for FanGraphs and the developer of the ZiPS projection system. He was a writer for ESPN.com from 2010-2018, a regular guest on a number of radio shows and podcasts, and a voting BBWAA member. He also maintains a terrible Twitter account at @DSzymborski.
Thank you for answering my question today, Dan.
I’d like to apologize for mistakenly typing NL Central instead of AL Central. Not nearly as gratuitous a mistake as the Twins are making by leaving Wander Javier in the minors for service time manipulation reasons but I’m still sorry. My bad.