Job Posting: Texas Rangers Baseball Analytics Apprentice

Job Title: Apprentice, Baseball Analytics

Location: Arlington, TX

Basic Duties and Responsibilities:

  • Query and report on data
  • Build and maintain analytical tools, metrics, & models
  • Create compelling data visualizations and stories
  • Research game changing ideas and concepts
  • Present information to organizational stakeholders and executives

Qualifications:

  • Bachelor’s Degree in mathematics, engineering, computer science, data science, or related field
  • Strong written & verbal communication as well as visualization skills
  • Strong knowledge of baseball and associated data & technologies
  • Proficiency in SQL, R, Python, Tableau, SSRS, Microsoft BI, STAN, and/or other analytical platforms and languages
  • Familiarity with concepts such as predictive learning, cloud computing, machine learning, artificial intelligence, & Bayesian analysis
  • A creative mindset, open-mindedness, and desire to work in a learning culture

To Apply:
If interested, please complete the application, which can be found here.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Texas Rangers.


Why Gerrit Cole Never Came Into Game 7 of the World Series

Yesterday, I wrote about the decisions A.J. Hinch and the Astros made in Game 7 of the World Series. Zack Greinke started the inning, gave up a one-out homer to Anthony Rendon that cut the Astros’ lead to 2-1, and then walked Juan Soto. At that point, Hinch opted to take Greinke out and bring in Will Harris; Howie Kendrick proceeded to hit a two-run homer to give the Nationals a lead they would never relinquish. In my piece, I argued that Hinch should have left Greinke in to finish the seventh, but before I got there, I discussed whether Greinke should have started the inning to begin with, and the team’s bizarre handling of Gerrit Cole as a potential reliever:

That leaves Gerrit Cole. It’s not clear why Cole was only going to be available for the ninth inning if Houston got the lead. He was warming earlier in the game. He was pitching on two days rest, so it’s possible he was only going to be available for an inning, and it seems reasonable to want to put him in at the start of an inning so he can be better prepared for it, but having him only available in the ninth to close out a World Series win is an odd choice and makes one wonder if the decision wasn’t entirely baseball-related. In any event, if Cole could have only gone one inning and needed to start it, then sticking with Greinke to start the seventh was completely reasonable.

We now have some answers, though they cause more questions.

Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: Cincinnati Reds Baseball Analytics Roles

Please note, this posting contains multiple positions, all of which report to the Manager of Baseball Analytics.

Job Title: DevOps Engineer

Job Purpose:
Work with Baseball Analytics group to manage departmental infrastructure, build out analytic workflows, and support optimal development processes within the group. The Reds envision the person in this position to play a major role in the creating and maintaining stable production environments, allowing stakeholders to easily access information.

Essential Duties and Responsibilities:

  • Implement and maintain software build and release processes including continuous integration of software modules.
  • Develop and maintain production data analysis jobs in tandem with data scientists and baseball analysts.
  • Select, deploy, and maintain software services to best support external consumers of analytical information, as well as the efficient development of new analytics.
  • Develop, document and communicate processes to team members.
  • Assist with the development and maintenance of automated tests and monitoring services to ensure continued reliability of our analytical products.
  • Collaborate with Baseball Systems and IT departments to integrate processes and ensure organizational alignment.

Knowledge, Skills, and Abilities:

Because the Reds expect any candidate for this position to possess the capacity to discover and learn new technologies quickly, their emphasis for evaluating candidates will be on their demonstrated experience and talent in developing reliable technical solutions rather than their knowledge of any specific programming languages or tools. However, the Reds anticipate that familiarity with the following items could be beneficial in this role:

  • Python, or similar programming languages, including for web development (Flask) and/or data analysis (Pandas)
  • Linux/Unix
  • Docker and related technologies for virtualization
  • R (the statistical computing environment)
  • Relational databases (SQL)
  • Spark and Hadoop, and/or other technologies for processing high volume data sets (HPC, stream processing, NoSQL, etc.)
  • Azure DevOps or similar tools (Jenkins, TeamCity, etc.) for automation and continuous integration
  • Azure cloud computing services or similar environments (AWS)
  • Kubernetes
  • Web services, microservices, REST APIs, serverless, and related software architecture concepts

Work Environment:

  • Remote working accommodations are available.
  • Work is normally performed in a typical interior/office work environment.
  • Hours may periodically include nights, weekends and holidays.

Expectations:

  • Adhere to Cincinnati Reds Organization Policies and Procedures.
  • Act as a role model within and outside the Cincinnati Reds Organization.
  • Performs duties as workload necessitates.
  • Demonstrate flexible and efficient time management and ability to prioritize workload.
  • Meet Department productivity standards.

To Apply:
To apply, please complete the application, which can be found here.

Job Title: Baseball Research Analyst

Job Purpose:
Work with the Baseball Analytics, Baseball Operations, Scouting and Player Development staffs to develop and support analysis and research requests. The Reds envision the person in this position to play a major role in the creation of new baseball analytics/development concepts, supporting player evaluation, development and acquisitions and on-field strategies.

Essential Duties and Responsibilities:

  • Design, develop, test, implement and maintain method and models, utilizing appropriate tools and techniques.
  • Assist staff with ad-hoc research projects and data requests.
  • Create tools to improve the flow of information and insights.
  • Work with the Reds’ Baseball Analytics and Systems staff to integrate new statistical analyses, models and data visualizations into existing and new applications.
  • Collaborate with Major League Operations, Player Development, Sports Science and Scouting departments to plan, manage and integrate analyses.

Knowledge, Skills, and Abilities:

  • Bachelor’s degree or equivalent experience in a quantitative field, such as Statistics, Data Science, Mathematics, Engineering.
  • Understanding of statistical analysis and predictive and prescriptive modeling.
  • Experience with statistical software (e.g. R, Python) and database querying (SQL).
  • Strong ability to communicate effectively with all aspects of Baseball Operations, Scouting and Player Development.
  • Knowledge of current baseball research, traditional baseball statistics and strategy.
  • Understanding of the workings of baseball front office.

Work Environment:

  • Work is normally performed in a typical interior/office work environment.
  • Hours may periodically include nights, weekends and holidays.

Expectations:

  • Adhere to Cincinnati Reds Organization Policies and Procedures.
  • Act as a role model within and outside the Cincinnati Reds Organization.
  • Performs duties as workload necessitates.
  • Demonstrate flexible and efficient time management and ability to prioritize workload.
  • Meet Department productivity standards.

To Apply:
To apply, please complete the application, which can be found here.

Job Title: Data Scientist

Job Purpose:
Work with the Manager of Baseball Analytics to implement the department’s research and development efforts within new and existing applications. The Reds envision the person in this position to play a major role in the creation of new baseball analytics concepts with the ultimate goal of enhancing player evaluation and on-field performance.

Essential Duties and Responsibilities:

  • Design, develop, test, implement and maintain predictive models and metrics utilizing appropriate tools and techniques.
  • Work with the Reds’ Baseball Analytics and Systems staff to integrate new statistical analyses, models and data visualizations into existing and new applications.
  • Perform ad hoc analyses and effectively prepare and present findings.
  • Keep up to date on new predictive modeling techniques and evaluate their potential for application to baseball data sets.
  • Collaborate with Major League Operations, Player Development and Sports Science departments to design and implement statistical analyses.

Knowledge, Skills, and Abilities:

  • 3+ years of experience in computational field, such as Statistics, Biostatistics, Data Science, Mathematics, Engineering, Quantitative Social Sciences or Analytics.
  • Strong knowledge of statistical analysis and predictive modeling.
  • Demonstrated experience with statistical software (e.g. R, Python) and database querying (SQL).
  • Ability to communicate effectively with all aspects of Baseball Operations, Scouting and Player Development staffs.
  • Experience with Bayesian statistics. (Preferable, but not required)
  • Understanding of typical baseball data structures.
  • Knowledge of current baseball research, sabermetric concepts, traditional baseball statistics and strategy.

Work Environment:

  • Remote working accommodations are available.
  • Work is normally performed in a typical interior/office work environment.
  • Hours may periodically include nights, weekends and holidays.

Expectations:

  • Adhere to Cincinnati Reds Organization Policies and Procedures.
  • Act as a role model within and outside the Cincinnati Reds Organization.
  • Performs duties as workload necessitates.
  • Demonstrate flexible and efficient time management and ability to prioritize workload.
  • Meet Department productivity standards.

To Apply:
To apply, please complete the application, which can be found here.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Cincinnati Reds.


Job Posting: Tampa Bay Rays Research and Development Intern

Position: Research and Development Intern

Location: St. Petersburg, FL

The Tampa Bay Rays are in search of their next Research and Development Intern. The Rays’ R&D group helps shape Baseball Operations’ decision-making processes through the analysis and interpretation of data. They are seeking those with a passion for baseball and a desire to contribute through mathematics, data analysis, and computation. Their next intern will be an intellectual contributor that can work both individually and collaboratively, coming up with interesting research questions to explore, find ways to answer those questions with the data at their disposal, communicate the results of their research, and work to apply their research outcomes to improve how the Rays organization operates. The Rays want to work with people who care about being good teammate, want to make a positive impact on their organization, have an innovative spirit, and will explore new ways to make them better. Does this describe you?

Responsibilities:

  • Develop strong skills in statistical modeling and quantitative analysis of a variety of data sources, for the purpose of player evaluation, player development and strategic decision-making
  • Learn methods for communicating complex research findings to a variety of Baseball Operations audiences
  • Design research inquiries with the potential to yield immediately actionable findings within our organization
  • Work collaboratively with and assist other members of their department with your areas of expertise
  • Collect in-game data to support operational needs of the department
  • Ad hoc research and analysis in support of general Baseball Operations tasks

Qualifications:

  • A solid foundation in mathematics, physics, statistics, computer science, engineering and/or related fields.
  • Advanced computational skills
  • Experience with R, Python, and/or Stan preferred.
  • Experience solving complex problems.
  • Creativity to discover new avenues of research.

To Apply:
To apply, please complete the application that can be found here. This position is paid.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Tampa Bay Rays.


Job Posting: Sports Info Solutions 2020 Baseball Video Scouting Internship

Position: 2020 Baseball Video Scouting Internship

Location: Coplay, PA

Sports Info Solutions, originally founded as Baseball Info Solutions, is looking for highly motivated individuals with a desire to work in the baseball industry. Video Scouts will have a chance to make an immediate impression on the company. Each Video Scout will be collecting data that is directly used by SIS clients (including major league teams) for advance scouting and evaluation purposes. Not only will the Video Scouts become more familiar with the strengths and weaknesses of hundreds of amateur and professional players, but they will also learn the ins and outs of the baseball statistics industry.

Former Video Scouts have risen rapidly through major league front offices after getting their start watching two to three games per day at SIS. In the words of one former Video Scout and current Vice President of Baseball Operations, “My summer at [BIS] was the best baseball experience of my life.” Major league teams frequently come to SIS for recommendations when they need to fill a position within their organization, and SIS’ top video scouts each year routinely land team internships and/or full-time jobs.

SIS takes pride in making their internships great development opportunities for those looking to get their start in baseball. In addition to gaining invaluable experience watching thousands of players across different levels, SIS offers introductory classes that cover writing scouting reports and using the database management language, SQL. They also provide insight and advice from previous SIS Video Scouts who have branched out into a variety of areas in the sports industry.

To apply, read through the basic information about the position then use the link below the description to submit your application.

Responsibilities:

  • Score and pitch chart MLB, MiLB and amateur games using specialized computer software
  • Check the accuracy and validity of data
  • Prepare and analyze statistical data for delivery to customers
  • Assist with the production of the 2021 Bill James Handbook
  • Provide administrative support to the full-time staff

Time Frame:
SIS offers two unique start dates for this position. The first begins on February 3rd, 2020. It will last for a period of four to five months into early June, with the possibility of extending further based on company workload and the Video Scout’s performance. The second begins on March 2nd, 2020. This will last five to six months into early September, again with a possibility of extending longer.

Compensation:

  • Video Scouts will be paid at $9 per hour and college course credit will be offered for those interested
  • Each Video Scout will also be eligible for regular raises based on performance
  • There will also be opportunities to sign up to work overtime to earn extra income (opportunities will depend on work levels throughout the year)

To Apply:
Click here to apply for the 2020 Baseball Video Scout position.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by Sports Info Solutions.


Ranking Every World Series Game 7 Pitching Matchup

Two Cy Young Award winners have never matched up in Game 7 of the World Series before. Zack Greinke and Max Scherzer are unlikely to win that award this season, but they are still at relative high-points in their careers; Scherzer’s 6.5 WAR ranked fourth among pitchers this season, while Greinke’s 5.4 was not that far behind and put him ninth.

This is the 40th Game 7 in history. Here are the best pitchers ever to pitch in a Game 7, by their WAR in the season during which they started that year’s final game.

Best World Series Game 7 Pitchers
Year Team Player WAR
1965 Dodgers Sandy Koufax 10
1968 Cardinals Bob Gibson 8.6
1945 Tigers Hal Newhouser 8.2
2001 D-backs Curt Schilling 7.2
1934 Cardinals Dizzy Dean 6.6
2019 Nationals Max Scherzer 6.5
1985 Cardinals John Tudor 6.4
1985 Royals Bret Saberhagen 6.2
1912 Giants Christy Mathewson 6.2
1964 Cardinals Bob Gibson 5.8
1967 Red Sox Jim Lonborg 5.7
2001 Yankees Roger Clemens 5.6
1940 Tigers Bobo Newsom 5.6
1982 Cardinals Joaquin Andujar 5.5
1940 Reds Paul Derringer 5.5
2019 Astros Zack Greinke 5.4
1987 Twins Frank Viola 5.4
1931 A’s George Earnshaw 5.1
1973 A’s Ken Holtzman 5
1958 Braves Lew Burdette 5
1956 Dodgers Don Newcombe 5
WAR in the season during which they started a Game 7.

Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: Los Angeles Angels Internships

Please note, this posting contains multiple positions. All positions are paid.

Position: Baseball Operations Internship

Description:
The Los Angeles Angels Baseball Operations department is seeking passionate individuals to join their team for the 2020 season. Applicants can come from any discipline or background, as long as you have the curiosity, open-mindedness, and perseverance to take on difficult problems.

As a Baseball Operations Intern, you will be fully immersed in their department, and given the resources to learn, grow, and develop over the course of the season. The Angels’ goal is to find people with the necessary skills and traits to become long-term members of the department.

Examples of things you will do during the internship:

  • Contribute to the ML advance scouting process
  • Assist with preparation for the 2020 MLB Draft
  • Develop visualizations and other mechanisms for communicating information to Baseball Operations personnel
  • Perform player evaluations, combining statistics, video, and other data sources
  • Assist with special projects as assigned

You should have:

  • Creativity, strong attention to detail, and a growth mindset
  • Excellent interpersonal and communication skills
  • Ability to work as part of a team on complex projects
  • Willingness to both teach others and learn new techniques
  • A flexible schedule with availability to work nights, weekends, and holidays

Physical Demands:

  • Ability to sit for extended periods of time
  • Ability to traverse office and stadium frequently
  • Ability to work in inclement weather (when in stadium)

In addition to handling the essential functions of the Angels’ internship, the team desires counter-intuitive thinkers who will take initiative and explore new research opportunities. Previous interns have developed ideas that have changed the way the organization approaches important challenges and they hope you will bring the same mindset with you.

The Angels believe that diversity contributes to a more enriched collective perspective and a better decision-making process. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, gender, gender identity or expression, sexual orientation, national origin, genetics, disability, age, or veteran status, or any other characteristic protected by law.

To Apply:
Please provide (1) a current resume and (2) answer the following two questions in no more than 250 words each. These requirements are an integral part of your application. Incomplete applications may not be considered. Application deadline is 8:59 pm PST on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

1. Detail a project or experience that you have worked on that you are proud of. Do you have any takeaways from this experience that have helped prepare you for this role? The project or experience does not need to be baseball-related.

2. What is the area in which you feel you need the most improvement? What are some steps you could take to improve upon this weakness?

Applications should be completed through this link.

Position: Player Development Internship

The Los Angeles Angels Player Development department is seeking passionate individuals to join their team for the 2020 season. Applicants can come from any discipline or background as long as you have the curiosity, open-mindedness, and perseverance to take on difficult problems.

As a Player Development Intern, you will be fully immersed in their department, and given the resources to learn, grow, and develop over the course of the season. Our goal is to find people with the necessary skills and traits to become long-term members of the department. The internship is based out of the Angels Minor League Complex in Tempe, Arizona and begins in early January.

Examples of things you will do during the internship:

  • Collaborate with Player Development personnel to create, organize, and develop tools to support processes and players throughout the year
  • Develop visualizations and other mechanisms for communicating information to Player Development personnel and minor league players
  • Perform player evaluations combining statistics, video, and other data sources
  • Assist with special projects as assigned across Player Development and other areas of Baseball Operations (i.e. Amateur Draft, Trade Deadline)
  • Contribute to day-to-day operations of the Player Development department

You should have:

  • Interest in the latest trends and research in Player Development
  • Creativity, strong attention to detail, and a growth mindset
  • Excellent interpersonal and communication skills
  • Ability to work as part of a team on complex projects
  • Strong willingness to work with individuals from a variety of linguistic, cultural, and socioeconomic backgrounds
  • Enthusiasm to both teach others and learn new techniques
  • A flexible schedule with availability to work nights, weekends, and holidays

Physical Demands:

  • Ability to sit for extended periods of time
  • Ability to traverse office and stadium frequently
  • Ability to work in inclement weather (when in stadium)

In addition to handling the essential functions of their internship, the Angels desire counter-intuitive thinkers who will take initiative and explore new research opportunities. Previous interns have developed ideas that have changed the way the organization approaches important challenges and they hope you will bring the same mindset with you.

The Angels believe that diversity contributes to a more enriched collective perspective and a better decision-making process. All qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, gender, gender identity or expression, sexual orientation, national origin, genetics, disability, age, or veteran status, or any other characteristic protected by law.

To Apply:
Please provide (1) a current resume and (2) answer the following two questions in no more than 250 words each. These requirements are an integral part of your application. Incomplete applications may not be considered. Application deadline is 8:59 pm PST on Tuesday, November 5, 2019.

1. Detail a project or experience that you have worked on that you are proud of. Do you have any takeaways from this experience that have helped prepare you for this role? The project or experience does not need to be baseball-related.

2. What is the area in which you feel you need the most improvement? What are some steps you could take to improve upon this weakness?

3. What is your level of fluency in English and Spanish?

Applications should be completed through this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Los Angeles Angels.


Job Posting: Braves Pro Scouting Trainee and Minor League Video & Information Intern

This posting contains two positions. Please note instructions for applying for each position below.

Position: Professional Scouting Trainee

Reports to: Assistant Director; Professional Scouting

Position Overview: The Atlanta Braves Professional Scouting Department is seeking a trainee for the 2020 baseball season. This trainee position will interface with the Atlanta Braves front office as well as the be the main point of contact for the Professional Scouts.

Trainee Program Department Overview: This is an entry-level opportunity that will expose the individual to the many facets of not only the Professional Scouting Department but will provide a strong foundation to begin a career in professional baseball.

Major responsibilities:

  • Daily updating of roster/magnet boards for all executives
    • This will require knowledge of MLB’s eBis2 platform
  • Ability to generate specific reports as requested by executives in a timely fashion
  • Point person regarding visiting scout tickets
  • Main person to oversee Braves scouts’ schedules
  • Coordinate annual departmental meetings (travel, accommodation, meals, etc.)
  • Produce/send daily player transaction emails to the professional scouting staff
  • Attend/scout all home games
  • Potential travel to affiliates nearby to scout the system
  • First point of contact with the Pro Scouts

Required Qualifications:

  • Bachelor’s degree
  • Proficient in Microsoft Word and Excel
  • Knowledge of current baseball statistics and analytics used in player evaluation
  • Excellent interpersonal, communication, and presentation skills
  • Intermediate knowledge of SQL Server
  • Possess excellent critical thinking and time management skills
  • Ability to work extensive hours as dictated by the Major League season schedule (including weekends and holidays throughout the season)
  • Knowledge of and passion for professional baseball
  • Must be able to sit for extended periods of time
  • Must be able to move throughout all areas and levels of the ballpark
  • Must be able to relocate to the Atlanta area
  • Commitment from January 1 through December 15
  • Must complete a successful background check

Preferred qualifications:

  • Master’s degree
  • Basic understanding of R
  • Previous baseball playing experience

To Apply:
To apply for the Professional Scouting Trainee position, please submit resume/cover letter to proscouting@braves.com.

Position: Minor League Video & Information Intern

Reports to: Minor League Video Coordinator

Position Overview: The Minor League Video and Information Intern will provide a service to an Atlanta Braves affiliate through charting live baseball games and providing video and information to Braves coaches, coordinators, and front office members. This role manages all aspects of the assigned affiliate’s video and advance scouting operation and aims to provide an experience that prepares the ideal candidate for a future role in the baseball industry.

Responsibilities:

  • Capture and chart video for each game of the full minor league schedule of an assigned affiliate (home games and team travel to road games, postseason included).
  • Manage a network of cameras set up to collect high-quality video from multiple angles.
  • Attach, edit, and upload video following each game daily.
  • Support the coaching staff/players with ad-hoc video/technology requests as assigned.
  • Participate in the affiliate’s advance scouting process and produce associated materials for the coaching staff.
  • Attend a portion of the Braves’ Spring Training camp in Venice, FL to undergo training in video and advance information.
  • Participate in periodic calls with the Baseball Operations group in Atlanta.
  • Other duties as assigned.

Qualifications:

  • An understanding and appreciation for diverse cultures and an ability to work effectively and relate well with individuals of diverse backgrounds.
  • Self-motivated individual with high degree of responsibility including confidentiality, sense of urgency, and accountability.
  • Proactive, organized, and detail-oriented person who can prioritize their workload and follow-through with minimal supervision.
  • Flexibility and enthusiasm in attitude and approach.
  • Willing to relocate to a Braves minor league affiliate from Mid-March through Mid-September.
  • Ability to work flexible hours, including nights, weekends, and some holidays.
  • The ability to safely lift and transport equipment weighing 25 lbs. or more.
  • The ability to climb ladders and successfully place equipment from variable positions and heights.
  • Bachelor’s degree
  • Must complete a successful background check.

Preferred qualifications:

  • Bilingual preferred
  • Programming experience with SQL/R
  • Playing experience at the collegiate/professional level
  • This is a paid position that includes a housing stipend for the duration of the minor league season.

To Apply:
To apply for the Minor League Video & Information Intern position, please submit resume/cover letter to MLops@braves.com.

The Atlanta Braves are an Equal Opportunity Employer.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Atlanta Braves.


Scherzer Scratched From Game 5 Start

Fresh from the unpleasant surprise department, the Washington National announced Sunday afternoon that Max Scherzer would be scratched from his Game 5 start. Scherzer has suffered neck pain in recent days and in the words of Nationals GM Mike Rizzo, is in “ungodly pain.” In for Game 5 is Joe Ross, whose only appearance so far this postseason was when he threw two shutout innings of relief in Washington’s Game 3 loss to Houston.

Considering that at times this postseason Scherzer has looked as if he would have to be dragged from the mound by a full SWAT team, I would imagine there’s not a great deal of hyperbole involved in the description of his pain. The Silver Hammer’s replacement, Joe Ross, fared well in 2019 when used as a starter, allowing a 3.02 ERA and 3.86 FIP in nine starts, all in the second half of the season. Ross, who once assisted shortstop Trea Turner in making the Wil Myers three-way trade look like a disaster for the non-Washington teams, has otherwise had his career waylaid by injuries.

The larger question, of course, is just what this means for Washington’s bottom-line playoff odds. Initially coming into Game 5, ZiPS projected the Astros to have a 61%-39% edge to win the series. But what scenario are we exactly projecting now? The answer depends on what actually happens with Scherzer’s injury, which is speculation at this point.

Ross’ start is essentially forced by the Nationals’ relief corps. Washington doesn’t have the arms to make a bonafide bullpen game a palatable scenario to the team, and with Austin Voth off the roster, they can’t start him without ruling another pitcher out due to injury. In any case, the Nats certainly don’t want to rule out Scherzer’s return unless they absolutely have to, and one would imagine the league looking very closely at the situation if Fernando Rodney or Tanner Rainey were to “suddenly” suffer injuries that necessitated them being replaced on the roster.

For the ZiPS World Series probabilities, I’m going with the happy scenario for now: Ross starts tonight, with Stephen Strasburg going in Game 6, and Scherzer left for a return in a possible Game 7. If you look at the probabilities right now, you’ll actually see the Nationals’ championship probability get a small bump to a 40%/60% deficit. ZiPS is a noted Aníbal Sánchez skeptic, and projects Ross as a minor improvement, by about two-tenths of a run per nine innings.

That, of course, doesn’t mean that this is welcome news for the Nationals, only that it’s beneficial in one very specific scenario, one the Nationals are far from guaranteed to see. To get an idea of the probabilities in some of the scenarios that are far uglier for the Nats, I re-ran the probabilities with a few of the possibilities, and condensed them into one pretty little chart!

ZiPS World Series Probabilities, Scherzer Scenarios
Scenarios Nats Championship
Scherzer pitching in Game 5 as intended, Scherzer-Strasburg-Sánchez 39%
Scherzer Game 7, pitching normally, Ross-Strasburg-Scherzer 40%
Scherzer Game 7, ERA 10% worse than projection, Ross-Strasburg-Scherzer 38%
Scherzer Game 7, ERA 30% worse than projection, Ross-Strasburg-Scherzer 36%
Ross-Strasburg-Sánchez, Scherzer healthy enough for 2 relief innings Game 7 37%
Ross-Strasburg-Sánchez, Scherzer out for playoffs 35%
Ross-Strasburg-Voth, Scherzer out for playoffs, Sánchez to bullpen 37%

Losing Scherzer for the rest of the World Series would be the worst-case scenario for the Nationals, but not one that dooms them. People tend to drastically overrate the dependability of a great starter’s excellence or a lousy starter’s ineptitude in an individual game. As terrific as Scherzer is, even in his best season, he was “only” worth 0.23 WAR per start, and was “just” 0.17 WAR better than the average pitcher. You want your best pitchers in the actual games, but even without Scherzer, who wins the series will come down to a lot more than his attendance.


Job Posting: Cleveland Data Scientist and Sports Science Analyst Roles

Please note, this posting contains multiple positions.

Position Title: Data Scientist

Department: Baseball Research & Development

Primary Purpose:
The Cleveland Indians are seeking a data scientist to join the team’s Baseball Research and Development group. The data scientist will use their machine learning expertise and the Indians proprietary data to develop statistical and machine learning models that support baseball operations decisions across all facets of the organization. This position will work closely with other members of the R&D department as well as key stakeholders across the organization to design and build cutting edge models and tools that help the Indians stay ahead of the competition. The ideal candidate will possess experience working with large data sets and advanced machine-learning models. Strong applicants will demonstrate curiosity, creativity, and the ability to learn new concepts.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Research, design, test, and deploy machine learning models to support all aspects of Baseball Operations
  • Work with high-dimensional spatio-temporal data and other large data sets
  • Share technical expertise with other members of department; communicate findings to Baseball Operations staff
  • Maintain an understanding of emerging data science tools and research, as well as potential new data sources and technology options

Role Requirements and Preferences:

  • Education & Experience Requirements
  • Advanced degree and/or demonstrated work experience in a quantitative field (i.e. computer science, statistics, engineering, mathematics)
  • Experience with a variety of modeling and statistical techniques, such as neural nets, deep learning, support vector machines, gradient boosting, adversarial learning, and computer vision
  • Expertise with statistical programming languages (e.g. R, Python)
  • Proficiency in a database language (e.g. SQL)

Preferred Experience:

  • Experience with one or more ML libraries such as Tensorflow, Keras, scikit-learn, Theano, Spark MLib, H2O
  • Experience creating data visualizations with tools such as ggplot, d3.js, Matplotlib and/or Tableau
  • Experience working with baseball data
  • Experience with computer vision, particularly image segmentation, object detection, and tracking algorithms

Standard Requirements:

  • Reads, speaks, comprehends and communicates English effectively in all communications.
  • Represents the Cleveland Indians in a positive fashion to all business partners and the general public.
  • Ability to develop and maintain successful working relationship with members of the Front Office.
  • Ability to act according to the organizational values and service excellence at all times.
  • Ability to work with multicultural populations and have a commitment to fairness and equality.
  • Ability to walk, sit or stand for an entire shift.
  • Ability to work extended days and hours, including holidays and weekends.
  • Ability to move throughout all areas and levels of the Ballpark.
  • Ability to work in a diverse and changing environment.
  • Occasional physical activity such as lifting and carrying boxes up to 25lbs.

To Apply:
To apply, please complete the application that can be found here.

Position Title: Sports Science Analyst

Department: Baseball Research & Development

Primary Purpose:
The Cleveland Indians are seeking an analyst to join the team’s Baseball Research and Development group with a focus on answering questions specific to sports science. The position will use data and statistics to provide research and analysis to support the Indians’ player development, medical, S&C, and sports science staff in helping Indians players perform at optimal levels. This individual will work closely with other analysts in the R&D department as well as sports science, player development, medical, strength & conditioning, and other staff members across the organization. The ideal candidate will possess a strong foundation in statistics and/or data science, the ability to effectively communicate findings to colleagues in non-technical roles, and a passion for learning more about baseball. Strong applicants will demonstrate curiosity, creativity, and the ability to learn new concepts.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Analyze and interpret baseball data with a focus on sports science
  • Research, build, test, and deploy statistical models to support Baseball Operations
  • Design and implement research studies to improve organizational knowledge in sports science
  • Visualize data in concise, readable formats for non-technical staff members
  • Communicate research findings to key stakeholders across the organization
  • Work with sports science, strength & conditioning, and medical departments to capture player performance data
  • Evaluate and recommend new data sources and technologies

Role Requirements and Preferences

Education & Experience Requirements:

  • Bachelor’s degree or demonstrated work experience in a quantitative field such as statistics, mathematics, computer science, operations research, economics, or data science
  • Demonstrated ability to solve problems in a data-driven way
  • Creativity to brainstorm new avenues of research
  • Demonstrated passion for baseball analytics and/or sports science.
  • Proficiency in at least one statistical programming language (e.g. R, Python)
  • Proficiency in a database language (e.g. SQL)
  • Ability to communicate research findings and other technical concepts to non-technical audiences

Preferred Experience:

  • Working knowledge of advanced baseball statistics and publicly available research
  • Advanced degree in a quantitative field
  • Experience working with baseball data
  • Experience with data visualization
  • Experience with experimental design and/or causal inference

Standard Requirements:

  • Reads, speaks, comprehends and communicates English effectively in all communications.
  • Represents the Cleveland Indians in a positive fashion to all business partners and the general public.
  • Ability to develop and maintain successful working relationship with members of the Front Office.
  • Ability to act according to the organizational values and service excellence at all times.
  • Ability to work with multicultural populations and have a commitment to fairness and equality.
  • Ability to walk, sit or stand for an entire shift.
  • Ability to work extended days and hours, including holidays and weekends.
  • Ability to move throughout all areas and levels of the Ballpark.
  • Ability to work in a diverse and changing environment.
  • Occasional physical activity such as lifting and carrying boxes up to 25lbs.

To Apply:
To apply, please complete the application that can be found here.

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