Stop Wasting Everyone’s Time and Quit Already

Gary Cosby Jr.-The Tuscaloosa News

The rules of baseball are in a state of evolution in 2023, and the college game is no different: This season, the SEC is going to have a mercy rule. If one team leads by 10 or more runs after seven innings, the game is over. Run rules are common in amateur baseball — Little League has had one for years — and college baseball is a friendly interscholastic amateur competition… man, I almost got that out with a straight face.

No, the SEC is the most competitive, highly scrutinized baseball league in the country apart from MLB itself. Even in the upper minors, winning isn’t everything. In the SEC, it just means… well, you know the line. And this league is instituting a run rule?

I’m the kind of stubborn old crank who despises mercy rules, seven-inning doubleheaders, and zombie runners in the higher levels of competition. Leagues where the object is to win, not learn or hang out. And the SEC is definitely one of those. But as a pragmatist, watching baseball in 2023, I get it. In fact, my primary objection to the 10-run rule is not that it’s bad for the sport, but that it gives coaches a convenient excuse to avoid the real solution to the problem the run rule is trying to solve.

You should just be able to forfeit. Read the rest of this entry »


Let’s Revisit Some Overlooked Reliever Signings

Pierce Johnson
Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

The 2022–23 offseason got off to a faster start than we’ve seen in years. For the first time in the (albeit short) history of the FanGraphs top 50 free agents list, our entire top ten was off the board by Christmas. In such a busy time, it was inevitable that certain transactions would fly under the radar. Few among us dwelled on Pierce Johnson’s deal with the Rockies after Carlos Correa (supposedly) came to terms with the Giants that same day, or Scott McGough’s deal with the Diamondbacks, which dropped mere hours before Carlos Rodón became a Yankee.

Two months ago, I doubt anyone was all that bothered FanGraphs overlooked those signings. But at the quietest point of the offseason, I want to give them their due. Read the rest of this entry »


Ben Cherington on Pittsburgh’s Two Top Prospects

Charles LeClaire-USA TODAY Sports

Termarr Johnson and Endy Rodriguez are the top two prospects in the Pirates organization. An 18-year-old middle infielder, Johnson was drafted fourth overall by Pittsburgh last summer out of an Atlanta high school. Meanwhile, Rodriguez, a 22-year-old catcher from Santiago, Dominican Republic, was acquired by the Pirates from the Mets in the January 2021 three-team trade that included David Bednar and Joe Musgrove.

I asked Pittsburgh general manager Ben Cherington about the highly-regarded duo during November’s GM Meetings in Las Vegas.

———

David Laurila: Pirates fans and prospect nerds are quite familiar with Termarr Johnson, but a lot of fans around the country probably aren’t. What can you tell me about him?

Ben Cherington: “I think a good place to start is that he is currently in the Dominican, participating in our Dominican instructional program, which I think is a cool thing for a high first-round pick to do. It’s something that he wanted to do. Termarr wanted to go down there and be part of that experience, and to get to know potential future teammates who are young Latin players. He’s a full participant in our Dominican program.” Read the rest of this entry »


Pittsburgh Pirates Top 43 Prospects

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Pittsburgh Pirates. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as our own observations. This is the third year we’re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see in the “position” column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.

A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. A much deeper overview can be found here.

All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team’s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found here. Read the rest of this entry »


Effectively Wild Episode 1966: Joe West, Young Man

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh, Meg Rowley, and Effectively Wild listener/Patreon supporter Alana Crockett banter about Alana’s baseball background, pitcher representation in the MLB and MLBPA logos, and former umpire Joe West allegedly editing his own Wikipedia page, then (26:44) answer listener emails about a “cheap team tax” in trades, a pitching coach superpower, trading for the Rays’ front office, batters tossing the ball to themselves, a reboot of The Baseball Bunch, batters predicting pitch types, and called strikeouts on pitches straight down the middle, plus a Stat Blast (1:22:21) about Fernando Valenzuela and players with the best statistical cases to have their numbers retired, a Past Blast (1:47:21) from 1966, and a few follow-ups.

Audio intro: Cowboy Joe West, “Out at Home
Audio outro: Mates of State, “Everyone Needs an Editor

Link to new MLBPA logo
Link to MLB “duck” logo
Link to MLB logo origin story
Link to NBA logo origin story
Link to Joe West Reddit thread
Link to Joe West wiki
Link to Crewchief22 talk page
Link to Hershiser game box score
Link to Hershiser game video
Link to other Hershiser game video
Link to EW emails database
Link to SP/RP velo study
Link to exit velo breakdown
Link to The Baseball Bunch wiki
Link to The Baseball Bunch oral history
Link to story about other Gary Cohen
Link to other Cohen’s IMDb page
Link to LaRoche retrospective
Link to latest Votto video
Link to Votto’s top hat
Link to Trevino video
Link to Rob on the banging scheme
Link to the Nichols Law
Link to Harry’s game-calling study
Link to EW episode with Harry
Link to Cameron’s game-calling study
Link to EW episode with Cameron
Link to Cameron’s Guardians tweet
Link to catcher RDTD K leaders
Link to catcher fastball RDTD K leaders
Link to pitcher RDTD K leaders
Link to story on Valenzuela
Link to Stat Blast spreadsheet
Link to Ryan Nelson on Twitter
Link to list of retired numbers
Link to story on Dodgers candidates
Link to story on Garvey’s number
Link to story on Mussina’s number
Link to Berkman commercial
Link to 1963 Past Blast source
Link to CICL MLB alumni
Link to 1966 story source
Link to David Lewis’s Twitter
Link to David Lewis’s Substack
Link to Nugget’s Instagram
Link to Reddit study on Klentak
Link to article on Earth’s core
Link to “Go west, young man” wiki

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Job Posting: New York Mets – Multiple Openings

Software Engineering Associate, Baseball Systems

Location: Citi Field – Queens, New York

Job Description:
The New York Mets are seeking a Software Engineering Associate. This associate will design, build, test, and deploy mobile and web applications that enrich the Mets data ecosystem and inform decision-making within Baseball Operations. The ideal candidate would be an engineering generalist with prior experience. Prior experience in or knowledge of baseball is a plus but is not required.

Pay Rate:
$18.15/hr

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Develop exciting user-facing features
  • Collaborate with a variety of internal stakeholders to validate designs and facilitate clean rollouts and deployments of new products
  • Integrate with a variety of third-party APIs to enrich the New York Mets data ecosystem
  • Document technical architectures and baseball-specific systems
  • Maintain and update a broad collection of internal applications that enhance player development, scouting, and executive decision making
  • Job will include mentorship, hands-on production coding, building and fixing tools for baseball stakeholders

Qualifications:

  • Bachelor’s degree in computer science or a related field
  • 1+ years of relevant work experience
  • Some experience in Javascript (including React, React Native, and/or Node.js frameworks)
  • Some cloud experience (AWS, GCP, etc)
  • SQL experience
  • Familiarity with modern agile practices and development tools
  • Ability to work collaboratively with others
  • Strong written and verbal communication skills
  • Prior experience in baseball is a plus

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.


Product Design Associate, Baseball Systems

Location: Citi Field – Queens, New York

Job Description:
The New York Mets are seeking a Product Design Associate. This designer will work with Baseball Systems to help design the user experience of mobile and web applications that enrich the Mets data ecosystem and inform decision-making within Baseball Operations. This position requires a designer that is comfortable designing low- and high-fidelity mockups for a wide array of stakeholders within Baseball Operations. The ideal candidate would have a strong grasp of modern design tools with prior experience rapid prototyping and working collaboratively within a software engineering team. Prior experience in or knowledge of baseball is a plus but is not required.

Pay Rate:
$18.15/hr

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Day-to-day design production working with product managers, engineers, and designers, leveraging our design system to maintain brand consistency across products and optimize the full product life cycle
  • Create UX related design assets such as wireframes, sitemaps, user stories, user journeys, and prototypes to help illustrate solutions
  • Take part in qualitative and quantitative data collection across the organization to validate the development and adoption of new tools and features
  • Stay up to date on UX/UI best practices, patterns, and disciplines
  • Take part in design reviews and feedback sessions where you will present your work as well as provide feedback to others
  • A willingness to learn, and a hunger to problem solve

Qualifications:

  • 1+ years of relevant experience in UX or product design
  • Portfolio of UX and product design projects with an eye toward process and collaboration
  • Strong proficiency in Figma and other collaborative design and prototyping tools
  • Ability to work cooperatively with others
  • Familiarity/experience within an agile environment
  • Strong written and verbal communication skills
  • Prior experience in front-end development, including CSS, is a plus
  • Prior experience in baseball is a plus

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.


Product Management Associate, Baseball Systems

Location: Citi Field – Queens, New York

Job Description:
The New York Mets Baseball Systems Department is seeking a Product Management Associate that will help reinforce the product development lifecycle in partnership with teams across baseball operations to the build-out of internal products in collaboration with Software Engineering and Design.

Pay Rate:
$18.15/hr

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Help lead the development and implementation process for products throughout the product development lifecycle
  • Facilitate broad collaboration with clear communications and documentation
  • Collect and analyze relevant feedback and take action accordingly
  • Drive and track key results, success criteria, and performance metrics in order to leverage insights on product performance and user needs
  • Develop and execute plans under a set of implementation and delivery time constraints, optimizing for a blend of cost, schedule, and features
  • Analyze current user experiences to identify friction points in order to create simple and effective experiences
  • This opportunity will allow you to identify investment opportunities, evaluate tradeoffs, and drive the product roadmap

Qualifications:

  • Bachelor’s degree is strongly preferred
  • Strong analytical capabilities coupled with good business savvy
  • Attention to detail without becoming lost in the details
  • Strong communication, organization skills, mentality, and eagerness to learn
  • Ability to operate in an environment of ambiguity with diverse partners
  • Strong knowledge pertaining to information technology including proficiencies with Excel and other Microsoft Office software.
  • Interest or experience in leading projects with a strong organizational mindset
  • Spanish speaking skills are a plus
  • SQL/Analytical experience is a plus
  • Ability to work evenings, weekends, or holiday hours.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the New York Mets.


Job Posting: New York Mets – Associate, Minor League Analytics

Associate, Minor League Analytics (Dominican Republic)

Location: New York Mets Complex – Dominican Republic

Job Description:
The New York Mets are seeking a DR Associate Analyst in Baseball Analytics. This analyst will be based in the Dominican Republic Academy. The Analyst will spend the full year at the Academy, from Spring Training through the end of the season.

Essential Duties & Responsibilities:

  • Drive the direction of Player Plans by working with the Player Development & Performance departments to choose the right individual development focus and find ways to measure progress 
  • Interpret data and model-based results on internal reports and websites to help coaches use the information to work with their players 
  • Help young players learn their strengths and areas for improvement by educating them on how to use data to enhance their development 
  • Work with the other affiliate analysts to help improve each other’s understanding of the game and our minor league players, especially as players transfer from one affiliate to another 
  • Modify existing codebase and develop new automated reports to be used by coaches and players before games 
  • Develop a strong understanding of the various types of technology that are used throughout Player Development 
  • Provide feedback to the rest of Baseball Analytics and Baseball Systems on reports, models, and tools that relate to Player Development 
  • Collaborate with members of Player Development, including coordinators and the coaching staff, to help the affiliate prepare for games and to help the players develop their skills 
  • As time permits, analysts will be assigned additional coding and/or statistical modeling projects relating to Player Development 
  • Additional ad hoc requests from Baseball Analytics and Player Development in line with these job responsibilities 

Qualifications:

  • Bachelor’s degree in a quantitative field or equivalent experience 
  • Fluency in Spanish 
  • Firm understanding of modern baseball technology 
  • Basic proficiency in R, Python, or similar, as well as proficiency in SQL 
  • Strong communication skills 
  • Statistical modeling experience is a plus 
  • Ability to work cooperatively with others 
  • Willingness to spend the season at the DR Academy throughout the duration of the season, which includes working nights, weekends, and holidays as dictated by the team’s schedule 

The above information is intended to describe the general nature, type, and level of work to be performed. The information is not intended to be an exhaustive or complete list of all responsibilities, duties, and skills required for this position. Nothing in this job description restricts management’s right to assign or reassign duties and responsibilities to this job at any time. The individual selected may perform other related duties as assigned or requested.

The New York Mets recognize the importance of a diverse workforce and value the unique qualities individuals of various backgrounds and experiences can offer to the Organization. Our continued success depends heavily on the quality of our workforce. The Organization is committed to providing employees with the opportunity to develop to their fullest potential.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the New York Mets.


Caught Between a Walk and a Hard Hit, Guardians Starters Came Out on Top

Shane Bieber
Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

When a pitcher throws the third ball of a plate appearance, it can start to feel like his back’s against the wall quickly. First base starts to seem awfully close without any more pitches to spare and a walk lingering. The batter knows this, too, and he’s digging in looking for a juicy pitch, thinking about doing more damage than just a walk if he sees it. It’s a stressful position for any pitcher: aim for the edge of the plate, and you risk a miss and a free pass; catch a little more of the plate, you risk getting clobbered by the barrel of an increasingly comfortable and aggressive hitter.

In 2022, the Guardians didn’t get the memo. In plate appearances that reached three balls, opposing hitters posted a .197/.500/.311 batting line, good for a best-in-baseball wOBA of .397. There’s a big difference between production levels on 3–0, 3–1, and 3–2, but Cleveland handled each about as well as anybody else; its .336 wOBA on 3–2 counts and .512 mark on 3–1 were each second in baseball, and its .630 clip on 3–0 ranked fourth. The club’s starters were even better, limiting opponents to a .165/.464/.289 line and a .371 wOBA. With all unintentional walks coming on three-ball counts, these are still ultimately pretty productive lines — ask (almost) any major leaguer if he’d sign up for a .371 wOBA next year — but by comparison with staffs across the league, Cleveland’s was able to limit damage in these tight spots better than any of its peers.

Opponent wOBA by Count
Count CLE MLB MLB Rank
3-0 .630 .665 4
3-1 .512 .561 2
3-2 .336 .371 2
SOURCE: Baseball Savant

Baseball Reference carries a nifty splits statistic they call sOPS+, which compares a player’s OPS (or in pitchers’ cases, opponent OPS) under the conditions of a certain split to his peers, with 100 representing league average. It’s a helpful way to contextualize splits — that Trea Turner had a .601 two-strike OPS in 2022 is less intuitive than his 137 sOPS+ with two strikes, which tells us he was 37% more productive with two strikes than the league average. By sOPS+, Guardians pitchers were again the strongest in the league with their backs against the wall. In three-ball counts, they had an sOPS+ of 75, the seventh-lowest in 300 team seasons over the last decade. Read the rest of this entry »


A Tale of Two Fastballs

Paul Goldschmidt
Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

The worst thing you can do in baseball as a hitter is swing through a fastball right down the pipe. That’s the pitch you were waiting for all along, and you turned it into a strike as surely as if you’d swung at a slider in the dirt. Conversely, that’s the best thing you can do as a pitcher. If your mistakes turn into strikes, it’s like playing on easy mode. Every pitcher is great when they’re dotting the corner, but turning middle-middle happy accidents into free strikes is the domain of an elite few.

If you look at the starters who did this most frequently in 2022, you’ll find a ton of good names and Eric Lauer:

Highest Middle-Middle Fastball Whiff Rate, 2022
Pitcher Mid-Mid Fastball Swings Whiff%
Eric Lauer 126 25.4%
Cristian Javier 110 24.5%
Carlos Rodón 112 24.1%
Gerrit Cole 126 23.8%
Joe Ryan 111 23.4%
Robbie Ray 112 22.3%
Luis Castillo 112 21.4%
Hunter Greene 80 21.3%
Eduardo Rodriguez 80 20.0%
Triston McKenzie 118 19.5%

Maybe that was harsh to Lauer, even. He’s clearly doing something right, given his two straight solid seasons despite lackluster raw stuff. It’s enlightening seeing him alongside a list of pitchers with dominant fastballs, and even if the other ten aren’t exclusively aces, they’re all solid starters with the chance to be more than that. Shane McClanahan, Spencer Strider, and Max Scherzer just missed the top 10. Zack Wheeler is way up there. This is clearly a desirable pitcher skill. Read the rest of this entry »


Aaron Nola Is About to Get Very Rich, Somewhere

Troy Taormina-USA TODAY Sports

This offseason’s free agency action is basically over, so let’s go take a look ahead at next offseason. Where shortstops dominated the conversation this winter, in nine months’ time we’ll be talking about pitchers. Shohei Ohtani is in a class of his own, obviously, but the market also stands to include Yu Darvish, Julio Urías, Blake Snell, Max Scherzer (if he opts out), and Sonny Gray. Jack Flaherty and Lucas Giolito could also both cash in huge if they rediscover their recent ace-like form.

Also bound for the open market: last season’s leader in WAR among starting pitchers. Anyone care to guess who that is? That’s right, by a fraction of a win, it’s Aaron Nola. By any standard he’s been one of the best pitchers in baseball over the past five years. So how much money should he be out to make this offseason? Read the rest of this entry »