Michael Busch Swings Smarter, Not Harder

Brad Mills-Imagn Images

Michael Busch had a pretty nice 2024. In his first taste of everyday playing time in the majors, he hit .248/.335/.440 and socked 21 homers on the way to a 118 wRC+. After years spent in the minors in the Dodgers system, he looked to finally be delivering on his high-strikeout, high-BABIP, high-doubles promise. The Cubs penciled him in as their everyday first baseman. That’s not an imposing batting line, but it’s better than average, so the team spent its winter trading for Kyle Tucker, not trying to upgrade from an already-acceptable situation at first base.

You’ll notice that I said high doubles instead of high power. That’s because Busch had desultory bat speed numbers; he was in the 24th percentile with a 70.3-mph average swing speed. It wasn’t an issue of him having a hard swing and a soft swing that he deployed at different times, either. His fast-swing rate, or the percentage of his swings measured at 75 mph or higher, was a mere 11.3%; league average is around 23%. Busch was adept at getting his barrel to the ball and posting good exit velocity numbers, but that’s generally a recipe for doubles instead of homers. He hit 28 doubles, two triples, and 21 home runs last season, about what was expected from his profile. He got the ball in the air a lot and still hit for a high BABIP – sounds pretty good to me.

What do you think Busch could do to improve his performance in 2025? My immediate answer: Swing faster and hit more homers. Hey, check it out! Busch has already hit 18 homers this year in just over half a season. He’s on pace to shatter his performance last season in pretty much every statistic. He’s hitting .297/.382/.562 with a 165 wRC+. There’s just one problem with my swing-hard-and-prosper theory: He’s not swinging harder. Read the rest of this entry »


Jamie Arnold vs. Liam Doyle: Fast-Moving College Lefties Go Electric

Abigail Dollins, Statesman Journal, and Brianna Paciorka, News Sentinel, via Imagn Images

The most electrifying moment of the NCAA Tournament came in a game that was all but out of reach already.

Tennessee left-hander Liam Doyle, on his third team in as many seasons, was not present for the Vols’ College World Series title in 2024. But over a short time in Knoxville, he’d nudged his way into a very select group: Along with Florida State’s Jamie Arnold and LSU’s Kade Anderson, Doyle is a candidate to be the first college pitcher taken in the draft.

Doyle entered the game, Tennessee head coach Tony Vitello said at the time, more or less on his own volition. By the time Wake Forest’s Luke Costello came to bat with two outs in the eighth inning and Tennessee leading 10-5, the game was well in hand. Doyle was still bouncing off the walls anyway. Read the rest of this entry »


Effectively Wild Episode 2346: Send in the Clones

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the Rich HillDallas Keuchel competition for the Royals rotation and give José Ramírez his due, then (17:45) answer listener emails about when to fire a GM, an all-star spot for elite defenders, teams composed of clones of Aaron Judge, Daulton Varsho, or Zack Wheeler, moving the mound back unnoticeably, a rule-changing MLB concussion protocol, whether WAR is a counting stat, and unsuccessful surgeries, plus Stat Blasts (1:24:05) about four-team trades, lefty position-player pitchers, homer flubs, bases-loaded walks, and the cost of throwing a ball on purpose, plus (1:47:30) a cat PSA.

Audio intro: Dave Armstrong and Mike Murray, “Effectively Wild Theme
Audio outro: Benny and a Million Shetland Ponies, “Effectively Wild Theme (Horny)

Link to Keuchel signing
Link to Hill game log
Link to on-pace projections
Link to ASG WAR research
Link to Judge pitching stats
Link to Ben on PPP vs. pitcher hitters
Link to Derby participants
Link to 2024 CF arm strength
Link to 2025 RF arm strength
Link to Reds mound story 1
Link to Reds mound story 2
Link to Ben on moving the mound
Link to MLB courtesy runner
Link to concurrent surgery
Link to Jenks surgery
Link to Reimold story
Link to Segedin story
Link to 1991 death
Link to 2021 death
Link to % LH non-PPP
Link to % LH PPP
Link to LH PPP wOBA
Link to RH PPP wOBA
Link to Durant trade
Link to five blades satire
Link to Varsho play 1
Link to Varsho play 2
Link to two Tylers play
Link to Levine on Ortiz
Link to Ortiz ball rate
Link to strike/ball value
Link to FA $/WAR
Link to listener emails database
Link to Mains data
Link to HR thief story
Link to HR thief jersey

 Sponsor Us on Patreon
 Give a Gift Subscription
 Email Us: podcast@fangraphs.com
 Effectively Wild Subreddit
 Effectively Wild Wiki
 Apple Podcasts Feed 
 Spotify Feed
 YouTube Playlist
 Facebook Group
 Bluesky Account
 Twitter Account
 Get Our Merch!


Miami Marlins Top 57 Prospects

Sam Navarro-Imagn Images

Below is an analysis of the prospects in the farm system of the Miami Marlins. Scouting reports were compiled with information provided by industry sources as well as my own observations. This is the fifth year we’re delineating between two anticipated relief roles, the abbreviations for which you’ll see in the “position” column below: MIRP for multi-inning relief pitchers, and SIRP for single-inning relief pitchers. The ETAs listed generally correspond to the year a player has to be added to the 40-man roster to avoid being made eligible for the Rule 5 draft. Manual adjustments are made where they seem appropriate, but we use that as a rule of thumb.

A quick overview of what FV (Future Value) means can be found here. A much deeper overview can be found here.

All of the ranked prospects below also appear on The Board, a resource the site offers featuring sortable scouting information for every organization. It has more details (and updated TrackMan data from various sources) than this article and integrates every team’s list so readers can compare prospects across farm systems. It can be found here. Read the rest of this entry »


Is Sandy Alcantara Coming Around?

Rhona Wise-Imagn Images

To say the last two-plus years haven’t gone the way Sandy Alcantara had hoped would be a massive understatement. Coming off winning the NL Cy Young award in 2022, his numbers dipped the following season, and he was shut down that September with a flexor strain that required Tommy John surgery in October. He returned this spring with his velocity and movement intact, but his performance to start to the season was rough; he ended April with an 8.31 ERA. The buzz about the Marlins trading Alcantara, a seemingly inevitable outcome for a franchise that is run like a glorified farm affiliate to the rest of baseball, died down temporarily. Sure, things have gone better for the ace recently, but his ERA is still inflated at 7.01, albeit with a relatively sunny 4.55 FIP. Has he done enough to fetch a high price if the Marlins trade him in the coming weeks?

My colleague Michael Baumann wrote about Alcantara back at the start of May, focusing on the righty’s poor April. One of the most concerning aspects of that dreadful start was his 14% walk rate, or 5.9 free passes per nine innings. It wasn’t so much an issue of control — Alcantara’s zone percentage was similar to past seasons — but one of command. You can see the contrast between Alcantara’s best seasons and April in botCmd (PitchingBot) and Location+ (Stuff+).

Command/Location – Sandy Alcantara
Split botCmd Location+
April 2025 47 88
2023 62 98
2022 62 103
2021 50 105
2020 56 104

Read the rest of this entry »


A Conversation With Jake Bird, the Pitching Nerd Conquering Coors Field

Isaiah J. Downing-Imagn Images

Jake Bird is having a career-best season, and conquering Coors Field has been a big part of the reason why. Over 21 relief appearances comprising 26 1/3 innings, the 29-year-old right-hander has held opposing hitters to a .196/.276/.217 slash line at home. His ERA at the notoriously hitter-friendly venue is 1.71, and his strikeout rate is a healthy 34.3%. Folding in his 18 road outings — including last night’s ERA-inflating, five-run debacle in Boston — Bird has a 3.70 ERA, a 2.92 FIP, and a 27.8% strikeout rate over 48 2/3 frames.

Prior to this year, he’d been a run-of-the-mill reliever on moribund Rockies teams. From 2022-24, Colorado’s fifth-round pick in the 2018 draft had a record of 7-9 with one save and a 4.53 ERA over 177 innings. An unranked prospect coming up through the system, Bird was in possession of an economics degree from UCLA, but boasted little in terms of big league upside. He came into the current campaign projected to essentially replicate the nondescript performances of his previous three seasons.

What is behind Bird’s unexpected emergence as a high-quality bullpen arm? Moreover, what is allowing him to have so much success in his home ballpark? I asked him those questions before Monday’s Rockies-Red Sox game at Fenway Park.

———

David Laurila: How are you having so much success at Coors this year? Can you explain it?

Jake Bird: “I think a lot of it is just the comfortability factor. After being here a few years, I’m realizing that Coors isn’t the big monster that everybody makes it out to be. It’s not that big of a deal. Sometimes [the ball] gets in the air, and the [pitches] move less, but as long as you have a plan of where you want to go with the ball, and sequence pitches, it doesn’t make too much of a difference. Read the rest of this entry »


Checking in on Spencer Strider

Brett Davis-Imagn Images

A month ago, I checked in on Spencer Strider’s worrisome return from internal brace surgery. After four starts, Strider was 0-4 with a 5.68 ERA and a 6.40 FIP. His fastball had lost two ticks. His arm angle had fallen by seven degrees. He wasn’t getting chases. He wasn’t missing bats. In short, he didn’t look like Spencer Strider. “There’s no way for us to know how long it might take Strider to get back up to speed,” I wrote, “but the longer he looks like this, the more reason there is to worry.” One month later, I return to you with good news. Strider has made six more starts, and over the last five, he is starting to look different. He’s run a 2.70 ERA and a 2.35 FIP. His strikeout rate is up and his walk rate is down. You might even say that Strider is halfway back.

Once again, the velocity is the big ticket item, so let’s not waste any time:

Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: Miami Marlins – Senior Software Engineer – Front-End

Senior Software Engineer – Front End

Location: Florida

Company Overview

At the Miami Marlins, we make waves — on and off the field.

We’re built for sustainable success thanks to our commitment to be great teammates, bold innovators, and thinking long-term. These three pillars guide us in championing a winning culture across the organization. The work we do doesn’t just impact our team — it reaches fans and communities across South Florida.

Position Summary

As a Senior Software Engineer – Front-End, you will be a key contributor to the development and maintenance of software applications that support the Baseball Operations department. Your deep expertise with user interfaces and front-end development will enable you to work on a variety of projects. Your focus will be building data-driven applications, integrating complex systems, and optimizing baseball-related workflows and user experiences. This role requires strong technical expertise, problem-solving skills, and the ability to collaborate effectively with analysts, coaches, scouts, and other stakeholders. Ideally, you’ll be full-stack capable, but with an interest and expertise toward building front-end clients for responsive web and mobile applications.

Essential Functions

  • Design, develop, and maintain web-based and mobile applications to support baseball operations, scouting, player development, and analytics.
  • Write efficient, scalable, and maintainable code while adhering to best practices in software engineering.
  • Collaborate with cross-functional teams to gather requirements and develop technical solutions.
  • Implement and maintain data-intensive front-end clients built on top of APIs that surface data that will be visualized.
  • Participate in code reviews, testing, and deployment processes to ensure software quality.
  • Stay updated on emerging technologies and modern practices in software development and baseball analytics.
  • Provide mentorship and technical guidance to junior engineers.

Our Values

We Are Great Teammates

  • Supports and encourages colleagues.
  • Provides and receives feedback without judgement or ego.
  • Holds one another to a high standard.
  • Provides help and encouragement proactively.
  • Assumes positive intentions from others. 
  • Looks for ways to help make their teammates better.

We Are Innovators

  • Embraces a growth mindset.
  • Challenges conventional wisdom.
  • Unafraid to fail.
  • Pushes boundaries and doesn’t accept impossible.
  • Asks why and asks why not.

We Think Long-Term

  • Asks: what can I do today that will pay off a year from now. 
  • Eschews instant gratification for bigger benefits in the future.
  • Always trying to think three steps ahead.

Skill Requirements

  • Strong proficiency in programming languages such as JavaScript, TypeScript, Python and Java.
  • Strong experience with front-end frameworks (React, Angular, or Vue).
  • Working knowledge of back-end frameworks (Node.js, Spring, Django, or Flask).
  • Experience building for mobile, preferably iOS, either with native (Swift) or cross-platform (React Native, Flutter) tooling is ideal.
  • Knowledge of cloud platforms (AWS, Google Cloud, Azure) and DevOps practices.
  • Experience developing and integrating APIs and working with relational and NoSQL databases.
  • Familiarity with CI/CD pipelines, automated testing, and containerization (Docker, Kubernetes).
  • Strong problem-solving skills and ability to troubleshoot complex technical issues.
  • Ability to work both independently and as part of a team in a fast-paced environment.
  • Passion for baseball and familiarity with advanced baseball analytics is a plus.

Education & Experience Guidelines

  • Bachelor’s degree in Computer Science, Software Engineering, or a related field required; Master’s degree preferred.
  • Minimum of 5+ years of experience in software engineering, application development, or related fields.
  • Proven experience in building and maintaining large scale highly available applications.
  • Prior experience working in sports analytics or baseball-related software development is a plus.

Work Environment

  • Ability to work evenings, weekends, and holidays as needed.
  • Availability to travel occasionally for industry conferences or organizational needs.
  • Ability to sit/stand for extended periods and work in an office environment.

Job Questions:

  1. List a few resources that you value the most for baseball content (i.e. research publications, websites, books, podcasts, etc). No explanation is needed for your selections.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Miami Marlins.


Job Posting: MLB – Senior Software Engineer- Baseball Data Platform

Senior Software Engineer- Baseball Data Platform

Location: San Francisco, California

The Baseball Data Platform team is hiring a Senior Software Engineer in the San Francisco office to help capture and tell the story of baseball through data, shaping the future of the fan experience. This team has been responsible for the collection, analysis, and distribution of Emmy Award-winning Statcast data since the product’s inception in 2015. They are also at the forefront of technological innovation in sports, developing advancements such as the Automated Balls & Strikes system (ABS), which made its debut at the Major League level in Spring Training 2025. This is a unique opportunity for an engineer to join our team and help change the way fans consume the game for generations to come. You will partner with business stakeholders, product managers, and cross-functional engineering teams to facilitate the design and implementation of new, engaging features for our users, while blending tradition with innovation.

The ideal candidate will be an engineer with a knowledge of the software development lifecycle, experience working with and supporting engineers, and a background in data delivery via highly scalable, distributed systems. Learn more about what the team does via the MLB Technology Blog and if you like what you see, we hope you’ll consider joining us on this journey.

Responsibilities

  • Design, implement, and maintain large-scale, high-performance web services and APIs to support real-time baseball data and Statcast features
  • Manage the collection, analysis, and distribution of baseball data to ensure timely and accurate data delivery, supporting key systems like Statcast, the Automated Balls & Strikes system (ABS), and betting partners
  • Create and maintain powerful backend-applications and APIs using Java Spring Boot and Node.js to support organization-wide products and initiatives
  • Build and enhance front-end applications and interfaces using JavaScript, TypeScript, React, HTML, and CSS to provide engaging and intuitive fan experiences
  • Design, build, and optimize cloud-native infrastructure using Kubernetes, Docker, and Terraform to ensure high availability and scalability of backend systems
  • Work closely with business stakeholders, product managers, and cross-functional engineering teams to conceptualize, design, and deliver new features that enhance fan engagement and improve user experiences across MLB’s suite of applications and platforms
  • Implement monitoring, logging, and alerting solutions to ensure system reliability and performance, utilizing tools for application performance monitoring and observability
  • Proactively learn and adapt to new technologies, particularly in distributed systems, cloud computing, and data engineering, to keep the Baseball Data team at the forefront of tech innovation in sports
  • Take ownership of critical projects and your own initiatives
  • Participate in an on-call rotation with other team members to ensure timely response to system alerts approximately every 2-3 months
  • Contribute to our blameless and inclusive culture to ensure team satisfaction and engagement

Qualifications & Skills

  • 5+ years of experience developing large, scalable APIs and web services
  • Advanced Java Spring Boot expertise, including annotations, JVM tuning, and thread/memory management
  • Proficiency in front-end technologies including Typescript, React, HTML, CSS
  • Experience with PostgreSQL, including writing performant queries and optimizing performance
  • Strong experience with highly available, distributed systems and relevant technologies:
    • Cloud platforms (GCP, AWS)
    • Caching solutions (Redis/Valkey Cluster)
    • REST API design
    • Observability and application performance monitoring
    • Cloud-native tools (Kubernetes, Docker, Terraform)
    • CDNs (Cloudflare, Fastly, Akamai)
  • Excellent problem-solving skills and the ability to work in a fast-paced, dynamic environment
  • Strong communication and interpersonal skills, with the ability to collaborate effectively with technical and non-technical stakeholders

Salary range: $150,000 – $185,000 (Base Salary) + Bonus

As a candidate for this position, your salary and related aspects of compensation will be contingent upon your work experience, education, skills, and any other factors MLB considers relevant to the hiring decision. In addition to your salary, MLB believes in providing a competitive compensation and benefits package for its employees.

Top MLB Perks & Benefits

  • 100% Employer Paid Medical/Dental/Vision Premiums
  • Company Contributed 401K Plan
  • Paid Time Off and Holidays
  • Paid Parental Leave
  • Access to Free Tickets to Baseball Games & MLB.TV
  • Discounts at MLB Store | MLBShop.com
  • Employee Assistance Programs (EAP)
  • Onsite/Online Training & Development Programs
  • Tuition Reimbursement
  • Disability Benefits (short term and long term)
  • Life and Accidental Death Insurance
  • Pet Insurance

Why MLB?
Major League Baseball (MLB) is the most historic of the major professional sports leagues in the United States and Canada. Employees love working at MLB because of the culture of growth, teamwork, and professionalism. Employees who are most successful at MLB take initiative, know how to identify problems and provide solutions, and always put the Team first. For those ready to step up to the plate and join the major leagues, MLB takes the same approach as teams do with their players: empowering our “workforce athletes” to be at their best by engineering experiences that put employees in the best position to succeed. Major League Baseball is looking for candidates who are passionate about growing America’s pastime to best serve its fans for decades to come.

MLB is proud to be an equal opportunity workplace. We are committed to equal employment opportunity regardless of race, color, ancestry, religion, sex, national origin, sexual orientation, age, citizenship, marital status, disability, gender identity, or veteran status. We also consider qualified applicants regardless of criminal histories, consistent with legal requirements.

California Residents: Please see our California Recruitment Privacy Policy for more details.

Colorado Residents: Colorado based applicants may redact or remove age-identifying information such as age, date of birth, or dates of school attendance or graduation. You will not be penalized for redacting or removing this information.

Applicants requiring a reasonable accommodation for any part of the application and hiring process, please email us at accommodations@mlb.com. Requests received for non-disability related issues, such as following up on an application, will not receive a response.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by MLB.


Effectively Wild Episode 2345: Amazing Stories

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Brandon Woodruff and the minor medical miracle of players returning from significant injuries to be big leaguers again, the likelihood of players becoming or repeating as all-stars, Clayton Kershaw as an honorary all-star, the end (for now) of the Pete Alonso Home Run Derby era and the Derby’s new blood, the Nationals firing their POBO and manager a week before picking first in the draft, new Statcast catcher-stance data, and the Blue Jays unseating the Yankees in the AL East, plus (1:29:38) postscript updates.

Audio intro: Benny and a Million Shetland Ponies, “Effectively Wild Theme (Pedantic)
Audio outro: Moon Hound, “Effectively Wild Theme

Link to Woodruff’s return
Link to Neil’s new ASG research
Link to Neil’s old ASG research
Link to Alonso news
Link to Derby participants
Link to Smith Rule 5 story
Link to Kershaw selection
Link to Rizzo text
Link to Nats WAR leaders
Link to Nats prospect list
Link to FG on the Nats
Link to catcher stance data
Link to Petriello on stances
Link to Trueblood on stances
Link to Trueblood on throwing
Link to Swanson on EW
Link to FG on the Yankees
Link to BaseRuns standings
Link to Kay kerfuffle 1
Link to Kay kerfuffle 2
Link to playoff odds changes
Link to team pitching clutch
Link to team pitching clutch
Link to batter tOPS+ w/RISP
Link to batter tOPS+ w/high lev
Link to pitcher tOPS+ w/RISP
Link to pitcher tOPS+ w/high lev
Link to Kaline book
Link to Scherzer on effort
Link to Opta Pirates stat
Link to Langs Pirates stat
Link to Stark on shutouts
Link to Mains on scoring
Link to EW YouTube playlist

 Sponsor Us on Patreon
 Give a Gift Subscription
 Email Us: podcast@fangraphs.com
 Effectively Wild Subreddit
 Effectively Wild Wiki
 Apple Podcasts Feed 
 Spotify Feed
 YouTube Playlist
 Facebook Group
 Bluesky Account
 Twitter Account
 Get Our Merch!