This year’s latest ZiPS projections, courtesy of Dan Szymborski of Baseball Think Factory are now live in the player pages (you’re welcome, Carson) and the sortable projection sections.
If you’d prefer them in excel format you can download the full spreadsheet here.
We’ll be updating these every day of the 2011 season, as usual!
I’ve added a place on the player pages where you can leave a comment or have a threaded discussion about a particular player. You can log in using pretty much whichever service you want (twitter, facebook, google, etc…), or continue to comment anonymously.
We tried something like this a couple years ago for a short amount of time and it didn’t work out too well, but I think it’s worth trying again.
The comments section is at the very bottom of the page (with a link at the top of the page showing how many comments there are) so it doesn’t get in the way of your stats browsing.
These days it’s common place to look at multiple defensive metrics to try and get a good grasp of a player’s defensive value. On FanGraphs we even carry four different defensive metrics that include Mitchel Lichtman’s UZR, Sean Smith’s Total Zone (with Location), John Dewan’s DRS, and Tangotiger’s Fan’s Scouting Report.
All of them have different methodologies and the four rely on three different data sources.
To make comparing the four easier, there is now a new stats table on the player pages called “Aggregate Defensive Ratings” (ADR), where the UZR, DRS, TZL, and FSR are given a weighted average and there’s even a standard deviation and standard error given for the sample of four defensive metrics.
The general weighting is 1/3/3/3 for FSR/UZR/TZL/DRS. For years where FSR is not available, UZR, DRS, and TZL are weighted evenly. Only players with more than 50 innings played at a position are included in ADR.
ADR stats are available in all the player pages and will be making their way to the leaderboards soon.
I’m pleased to announce that the 2011 Second Opinion is now available for purchase!
The product is now available both as a PDF with additional online integration!
Here’s the rundown:
Player Profiles – Almost 600 (598) in-depth player profiles written by the FanGraphs and RotoGraphs contributors you’re already familiar with.
Articles – Closer situations, players coming back from injuries, sophomore players to watch, 2011 fantasy prospects, impact trades, the big questions for 2011, and Carson’s non-prospect rookie picks!.
Quick Opinions – New for this year’s Second Opinion is a short one to two sentence profile that give you the bottom line about a player. These are also integrated into our various projection pages so you can quickly get more information about a player.
Player Page Integration – Each player’s profiles is integrated into his player page so you can easily read about the player as you’re browsing his stats.
Bonus Material – FanGraphs has partnerned with ESPN Insider this season and if you purchase the Second Opinion, you’ll have access to anything we write for ESPN Insider right here on FanGraphs.com up until March 1st, 2012.
2010 Second Opinion – In addition to all that, regardless if you bought the 2010 Second Opinion, you still get access to the now obsolete 2010 Second Opinion’s content in the player pages and in the bonus blog.
One of the coolest things about ottoneu Fantasy Baseball is that it is a game that runs all year. Plenty of other fantasy baseball league sites will shut down once the MLB regular season is over, but at ottoneu that is where the fun begins.
Arbitration
As soon as the MLB regular season is over and a league winner is crowned, owners have to begin evaluating rosters for next season. The first step is to send players to arbitration, a unique ottoneu experience that helps both long-term competitive balance and represents player interests. Each owner can vote to determine who they believe is the lowest paid, highest production player on each team. These players by definition are being paid too little, and deserve the opportunity to go back to auction to receive a more fair salary.
I’m very pleased to announce that FanGraphs has partnered with ottoneu, Inc. to bring you an auction-based, dynasty league, fantasy game.
Our fantasy game is not your standard customizable commissioner service, but is a very specific game, where you manage a roster of 40 Major and Minor League players with a budget of $400 against 11 other teams. There are currently three different scoring options: 4×4, 5×5, and points-based. You can read more about the specific rules here.
One of the exciting things about bringing a fantasy game to FanGraphs is integration. Have you ever wanted to find free agents in your league using the FanGraphs leaderboards? Now you can.
Information about your fantasy leagues will be available in the FanGraphs player cards and elsewhere on the site, making your fantasy baseball research easier and more in depth than ever.
This season, up until March 1st, each team is discounted to $9.99 from the regular price of $19.99. The first 100 people to sign up will get one free team for the 2011 season, with their money refunded to them in 48 hours.
Signups are available now. Just click here and create/join a league.
We’re very excited about this fantasy game and think that once you start playing, you’ll understand why. Niv Shah, the creator of the game, will be sharing his experiences with the game format later today.
Over this off-season we rolled out a slew of new features to the leaderboards including splits, multiple seasons, and additional fielding stats.
Now, for batters and pitchers if you are looking over multiple seasons you can break out each individual season. For instance, maybe would you like to know which position player had the highest single season WAR total since 2002.
Or maybe which American League batter had the highest single season wRC+ since 1990.
Or which National League qualified-starting-pitcher in the past 5 years had the lowest single season BB/9.
Anyway, there’s lots to play around with here. Remember that this only works for batters and pitchers and does not currently work for any of the splits.
I’ve added the RotoChamp.com’s fantasy baseball projections to the projections pages and they’re also available in the usual sortable format.
For those interested, you can read the full FAQ on the projection system here.
RotoChamp’s projections are a new entrant (queued) in Tangotiger’s Forecasters Challenge this year.
Full Disclosure: RotoChamp.com is a paying advertiser in the form of banner ads on FanGraphs.com
Tangotiger just released the 2011 Marcel Projections. They’re also up and running on the FanGraphs player pages and in our sortable projection section too!
At FanGraphs we’re big fans of the heat map. And now customizable heat maps are now available in the pitchf/x sections for all pitchers. Much thanks to Dave Allen for helping me out!
The thing about heat maps is that one size does not always fit all. Depending on the density of pitches and how many pitches are thrown, it’s not always a clear cut case how to display the data. Sometimes you want the points bigger, sometimes you want the “intensity” of each point to be more and sometimes you really want a different color scheme. For instance here’s the same chart, but with the settings changed.
And here is a third chart, with the settings changed one more time, where the points are made smaller but very intense in monochrome.
There’s a lot to play around with here and a lot of options to try and get the best picture possible.