Daily Prospect Notes Finale: Arizona Fall League Roster Edition
Notes on prospects from lead prospect analyst Eric Longenhagen. Read previous installments here.
Note from Eric: Hey you, this is the last one of these for the year, as the minor-league regular season comes to a close. Thanks for reading. I’ll be taking some time off next week, charging the batteries for the offseason duties that lie ahead for Kiley and me.
D.J. Peters, CF, Los Angeles Dodgers
Level: Double-A Age: 22 Org Rank: 7 FV: 45+
Line: 4-for-7, 2 HR, 2B (double header)
Notes
A comparison of DJ Peters‘ 2017 season in the Cal League and his 2018 season at Double-A gives us a good idea of what happens to on-paper production when a hitter is facing better pitching and defenses in a more stable offensive environment.
Year | AVG | OBP | SLG | K% | BB% | BABIP | wRC+ |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2017 | .276 | .372 | .514 | 32.2% | 10.9% | .385 | 137 |
2018 | .228 | .314 | .451 | 34.0% | 8.1% | .305 | 107 |
Reports of Peters’ physical abilities haven’t changed, nor is his batted-ball profile different in such a way that one would expect a downtick in production. The 2018 line is, I think, a more accurate distillation of Peters’ abilities. He belongs in a talent bucket with swing-and-miss outfielders like Franchy Cordero, Randal Grichuk, Michael A. Taylor, Bradley Zimmer, etc. These are slugging center fielders whose contact skills aren’t particularly great. Players like this are historically volatile from one season to the next but dominant if/when things click. They’re often ~1.5 WAR players who have some years in the three-win range. Sometimes they also turn into George Springer.