Josh Hader and the Padres Pitch Their Way to a 2–1 Lead, 2–1

Josh Hader
Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

Imagine that you were running the Padres, and a genie appeared on July 15. The genie told you you’d carry a one-run lead into the ninth inning of Game 3 in an NLDS clash with the Dodgers. Knowing that, what would you do for the next two weeks? Scramble to the ends of the earth to find the best closer available, that’s what.

Josh Hader stepped to the mound in the top of the ninth inning on Friday night with a one-run lead. He’s been one of the very best relievers in baseball since the first day he stepped on a major league mound. No one has thrown more relief innings since 2017 with a lower ERA. Only 12 relievers have thrown more innings, period. He’s been both durable and dominant — and crucially, available in trade.

Since joining the Padres, Hader has been anything but automatic. There’s reason to wonder whether he’s still a member of that top relief tier; his strikeout rate has plummeted and his walk rate has increased, never a welcome sign for a fastball-dominant reliever. But he’s still Josh Hader, and he put up a vintage Hader month in September. As bullpen toppers go, he’s one of the best. He’d have to be, facing the smallest possible lead against the scariest possible opponent, and in the pressure cooker of the playoffs to boot.

How did the Padres get to this situation that A.J. Preller perfectly outfitted the team for? It’s a long story, and one that wasn’t preordained. If a few early breaks had gone a different way, the Padres might have led by five. They might have trailed. That’s an inevitable fact of baseball. The margins are so slim, the teams so evenly matched from night to night, that no outcome is inevitable. Read the rest of this entry »


There Can Be No True Hope Without Despair

Rhys Hoskins
Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

It’s not just that Rhys Hoskins spiked his bat on the ground. It’s that Rhys Hoskins spiked his bat on the ground. Rhys Hoskins would’ve spiked his bat through the ground if he were able.

“I didn’t know what I did until a couple innings later,” Hoskins said after the game. “It’s just something that came out, just raw. But God, it was fun.”

A celebration that emphatic isn’t about happiness, or excitement, or even a desire to get one over on one’s opponent. It’s about catharsis — for Hoskins, his teammates — now a game from the Phillies’ first NLCS since 2010 — and many thousands of their most ardent, and nervous, admirers.

There’s an iron law of Philadelphia sports, little known outside the region but cited frequently within it. As articulated by Twitter user @historiancole: “Philadelphia only has two speeds: cocky or distraught.” This postulate is the Tungsten Arm O’Doyle tweet of Hoagieland; it comes up whenever the lead changes in a Phillies game, the Sixers update their injury report, or the Eagles do anything at any time. It captures the duality of the high-leverage sports experience: exuberance when things are going well, counterbalanced by abject terror that everything will fall apart.

For 11 years, Phillies fans have felt little but pessimism; long gone are the days when they dominated the National League the way the Dodgers do now. In between the team has suffered the slow recognition that a rebuild was necessary, the utter failure to execute that rebuild, and years of futile attempts to patch the wreckage into a playoff team. The 45,538 unfortunates who packed themselves into Citizens Bank Park on Friday afternoon know every contour of this story, and from it they’ve learned to expect the worst. Read the rest of this entry »


Strider Struggles, Nola Dominates as Phillies Rout Braves in NLDS Game 3

Aaron Nola
Eric Hartline-USA TODAY Sports

Watching an elite starting pitcher at his best can be one of the most exciting things in baseball. Many are familiar with the feeling that no matter who the batter in the box is, the pitcher’s stuff is simply too much to handle, and he’ll be easily set down. But as we all know, not every start ends in a shutout or no-hitter; it can quickly go south no matter how long the hurler has been cruising. After setting down the first six Phillies he faced in NLDS Game 3, Spencer Strider looked more unbeatable than ever. But just a few hitters later, his night would be over, with the game — and potentially the series — out of reach for Atlanta.

The Braves’ announcement that Strider would be the Game 3 starter with Charlie Morton getting the ball for Game 4 said a lot about their expectations from the pitching staff. Strider last pitched on September 18, missing the past month with an oblique injury; starting him the day after Thursday’s scheduled off-day suggested Atlanta might be strictly managing his workload. After all, with relievers like Raisel Iglesias and Collin McHugh who have made multi-inning high-leverage appearances in the past, the Braves were set up well to have their bullpen eat up lots of outs in a close game.

Through the first two innings on Friday, Strider looked like the ace we had seen all season. His fastball touched triple digits, he struck out three, and most impressively, he racked up ten swinging strikes in just six batters. But he opened the third inning with a four-pitch walk to Brandon Marsh, then fought through a long matchup with Jean Segura, who struck out on eight pitches. Next up was nine-hole hitter Bryson Stott, who fouled off four consecutive fastballs in a two-strike count before smashing a slider for a double into right field, scoring Marsh and giving the Phillies a 1–0 lead. Throughout, Strider was showing signs of slowing down. While he sat in the 98–99 mph velocity range for the first two innings, his first three pitches to Stott were thrown at 96, and he missed his spot outside five times. Read the rest of this entry »


With a Bloop Instead of a Blast, Guardians’ Oscar Gonzalez Plays the Hero Again

Oscar Gonzalez
Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

NEW YORK — When the season began, 24-year-old Oscar Gonzalez was at Triple-A Columbus, waiting for a shot at the majors. Six months later, he’s Cleveland’s Mr. Clutch, the man who has collected game-winning hits in extra innings in two of the Guardians’ three postseason wins. Last Saturday, his walk-off home run in the 15th inning against the Rays ended a four-hour, 57-minute epic and clinched the Wild Card Series for the Guardians. On Friday afternoon, he continued his postseason heroics by driving in the go-ahead run in the 10th inning against the Yankees via a bloop single, helping the Guardians to a 4–2 victory in Game 2 that evened the Division Series at one apiece.

The Dominican-born Gonzalez, a 6-foot-4, 240-pound slugger with huge power and arm strength, hit 31 homers last year between Double-A and Triple-A but was notably absent from Eric Longenhagen’s Top 48 Guardians Prospects list due to an approach that he described to me as “literally the most aggressive swinger in the minors.” Not only was he additionally unranked by Baseball America and MLB Pipeline, but the Guardians didn’t even protect him on their 40-ma roster ahead of the Rule 5 draft last winter, and he went unselected. He debuted with the Guardians on May 26 and hit a robust .296/.327/.461 (122 wRC+) with 11 homers in 382 plate appearances, but his 3.9% walk rate and 48.4% chase rate — the latter mark the majors’ third-highest among players with at least 300 PA — jibed with Eric’s reservations.

“He has the ability to hit the ball out of the ballpark, like he did the other day. But he also has the awareness to shorten up enough,” said manager Terry Francona afterward, referring first to Gonzalez’s series-winning drive and then to the 1–2 count in which he found himself against Jameson Taillon. “Getting the bat on the ball gives you a chance. And he’s young and he’s still learning.”

Gonzalez’s hit was just 58.9 mph off the bat and launched at a 39-degree angle into short right field, where the converging Anthony Rizzo and Aaron Judge had no chance. “[Taillon] threw the ball right by Gonzie his first two pitches and then he hit it. Didn’t hit it hard but he hit it. He got rewarded for it,” Francona said. Read the rest of this entry »


Effectively Wild Episode 1916: The Walk-Off Talk-Off

EWFI
With Meg Rowley on the road, Ben Lindbergh reunites with his former Ringer MLB Show colleagues Michael Baumann, Zach Kram, and Bobby Wagner to discuss the moods of Mets and Phillies fans and catch up on the first few days of Division Series action, touching on Yordan Alvarez, Robbie Ray, a playoff walk-off oddity, Bryce Harper, Zack Wheeler, Phil Maton, Max Fried, Jeremy Peña, geese, soup, and much more, plus a Past Blast from 1916 and a postscript.

Audio intro: Mark Lanegan, “Together Again
Audio outro: Dead Kennedys, “Soup is Good Food

Link to Jake Mailhot on Ray/Alvarez
Link to MLB.com on Ray/Alvarez
Link to The Athletic on Ray/Alvarez
Link to Eno on Ray/Alvarez
Link to Zach’s walk-off data
Link to Stark on the Alvarez homer
Link to Petriello on the Alvarez homer
Link to Davy Andrews on ALDS G2
Link to Ben Clemens on Alvarez
Link to Ben L. on Alvarez in 2019
Link to Ben on playoff second-guessing
Link to Ben on playoff rookies
Link to info on Peña adjustment
Link to story on Maton
Link to story on Plesac
Link to Eno on Fried
Link to Ben on the Castellanos meme
Link to article on the goose
Link to 1916 story source
Link to SABR on the Giants’ streak
Link to Perritt’s SABR bio
Link to Jacob Pomrenke’s website
Link to Jacob Pomrenke on Twitter
Link to Correa TV segment
Link to Correa opt-out news
Link to Correa baby news
Link to goose email episode
Link to Sutter SABR bio

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Yordan Alvarez, Baseball’s Kobayashi Maru

Yordan Alvarez
Thomas Shea-USA TODAY Sports

Every time Yordan Alvarez has stepped to the plate against the Mariners this week, I’m reminded of Star Trek. There’s an in-show famous training exercise known as the Kobayashi Maru, one every single officer candidate tries. The goal is to rescue a ship named, you guessed it, Kobayashi Maru. It’s famous because you can’t beat it. No matter what you try, you fail. The test isn’t about succeeding; it’s about how you handle failure.

That’s the energy Alvarez is bringing to the plate in the ALDS right now. He always seems to step into big spots — Jeremy Peña has done a great job getting on base in front of him — and delivers runs in droves. He’s 4–8 with two homers and a double and has accounted for seven RBI on those hits. Bring in Robbie Ray to face him? He doesn’t care. Refuse to enter the strike zone? He doesn’t care.

In the bottom of the eighth inning last night, Scott Servais attempted a new Kobayashi Maru solution. With Peña on first base and two outs in a one-run game, he chose to walk Alvarez intentionally. That put a runner in scoring position for Alex Bregman, hardly a weak hitter. Bregman singled home that insurance run the Astros were aiming for, the Mariners didn’t score in the ninth, and that was that. Read the rest of this entry »


José Alvarado Is Finally Taking Control

Jose Alvarado
Jeff Curry-USA TODAY Sports

On Tuesday afternoon in Atlanta, José Alvarado asked the Truist Park grounds crew to make some adjustments to the mound, waving off the ensuing chirps from the Braves’ dugout. According to him, Max Fried, the Game 1 starter, had dug out a small pocket at the front of the hill with his delivery; the Phillies’ lefty wanted to avoid tripping over the hole and injuring himself.

Explained in such a way, it sounds like a reasonable thing to ask for. It would be hard to pitch if you’re constantly worried about stumbling and breaking an ankle; it would be much harder to pitch with a broken ankle. Yet even so, it’s not that often you see a reliever ask the grounds crew to touch up the mound. Alvarado, however, has developed a habit of making such a request. Clearly, he is someone who likes to feel in complete control.

It’s hard to blame him for feeling that way. Control is the one thing that has eluded Alvarado throughout his career — he’s consistently inconsistent, you might say. But when he does have proper control of his pitches, he can be an elite bullpen arm. That’s been the case for a long time. Back in 2017, when FanGraphs ranked him as the no. 28 prospect in the Tampa Bay Rays system, Eric Longenhagen praised his “monster stuff” but warned of his “potentially fatal command issues.” Four seasons later, when Alvarado was traded to Philadelphia, Eric once again remarked on his “elite-level stuff” but “frustrating control.” Read the rest of this entry »


Andrés Giménez’s Breakout Has Softened the Blow of the Francisco Lindor Trade

Andres Gimenez
Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

A flourishing youth movement was the major reason why Cleveland went from sub-.500 also-rans in 2021 to runaway division winners in ’22. By Baseball-Reference’s measures, the Guardians were the youngest team in the majors, with a weighted average age of 25.9 years old for their position players and 26.3 years old for their pitchers. But while rookies Steven Kwan and Oscar Gonzalez played significant roles in their turnaround, the biggest surprise on the team was second baseman Andrés Giménez, who after a rough 2021 season broke out and became an All-Star. He not only edged out José Ramírez for the team lead with a 140 wRC+ but also finished a whisker behind him with 6.1 WAR, good for fifth in the AL.

The 24-year-old Giménez was one of four players acquired from the Mets in the January 2021 blockbuster that sent Francisco Lindor and Carlos Carrasco to the Big Apple, along with current shortstop Amed Rosario (who himself had a very solid season), and two lower-level prospects (outfielder Isaiah Greene and righty Josh Wolf). Even for a franchise that had endured the departures of All-Stars such as Michael Brantley (free agency in October 2018), Trevor Bauer (traded to Cincinnati in July 2019), and two-time Cy Young winner Corey Kluber (traded to Texas in December 2019) as ownership slashed payroll, the Lindor trade was a bitter pill to swallow. He had been drafted and developed by the team, becoming a perennial All-Star who was already laying tracks toward Cooperstown.

Lindor, who would have been a free agent following the 2021 season, agreed to a 10-year, $341 million extension with the Mets just before Opening Day, but followed up with a modest-by-his-high-standards 4.2-WAR season, during which he was limited to 125 games by injuries. If that was a bit disappointing — and in the context of the Mets’ 77–85 season, it was, particularly when paired with Carrasco’s 12-start, 6.04 ERA slog — then the other side of the deal wasn’t much to write home about, either. Read the rest of this entry »


Job Posting: Detroit Tigers – Product Manager, UI/UX Engineer

Additional Detroit Tigers job openings (Multiple Analyst Positions) are available here.

Product Manager

Location: Detroit, MI
Department: Baseball Operations

Job Summary:
The Detroit Tigers are currently seeking a Product Manager, Baseball Operations. This role will be responsible for owning the product roadmap for internal baseball systems. This position will report to the Director, Software Engineering, Baseball Operations.

Key Responsibilities:

  • Deliver products and features that drive baseball decisions
  • Work with baseball stakeholders to understand and document user needs
  • Work with software engineering team to implement software solutions
  • Prioritize the roadmap for proprietary software systems
  • Maximize product value

Minimum Knowledge, Skills and Abilities:

  • 3+ years of software product experience (Product Manager, Product Owner, Business Analyst, or similar title)
  • Track record of delivering product value
  • Ability to turn user stories into actionable technical requirements
  • Ability to coordinate between technical and non-technical stakeholders
  • Strong written and verbal communication skills
  • Strong organization and planning skills
  • Ability to take initiative and make decisions
  • Understanding of the complete software development lifecycle
  • Passion for baseball and robust understanding of current baseball research

Preferred Knowledge, Skills & Abilities:

  • General familiarity with data, databases, data analytics, data science, and data modeling – SQL experience preferred
  • Background in software development, understanding of technical design considerations and tradeoffs
  • Experience creating feature mock-ups or wireframes
  • Familiarity with issue tracking systems and workflows
  • Experience with software testing or quality assurance
  • Experience with technical project management and agile methodologies
  • Experience in sports or supporting sports personnel – softball or baseball preferred

Working Conditions:

  • Office environment
  • Evening, weekend, and holiday hours required

We are an equal opportunity employer and all qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, national origin, sex, sexual orientation, age, disability, gender identity, marital or veteran status, or any other protected class.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.


UI/UX Engineer

Location: Detroit, MI
Department: Baseball Operations

Job Summary:
The Detroit Tigers are currently seeking a UI/UX Engineer, Baseball Operations. This role will be responsible for optimizing the user experience for internal baseball applications. This position will report to the Director, Software Engineering, Baseball Operations.

Key Responsibilities:

  • Implement consistent, easy-to-use interfaces for internal software systems
  • Maximize user productivity using modern web design concepts
  • Design web applications that work well for various users, in various scenarios, on various devices
  • Conduct user behavior research and create usability metrics to help inform product decisions
  • Communicate complex data concepts with intuitive, aesthetic designs

Minimum Knowledge, Skills and Abilities:

  • 2+ years of UI/UX experience on interactive web applications
  • Demonstrated ability to implement web front ends in HTML/CSS/JavaScript
  • Understanding of user interface design principles with ability to implement those principles in real-world applications
  • Experience with responsive web design for multiple form factors and layouts, including mobile devices
  • Creative problem-solving ability in an agile team environment
  • Ability to own user experience, make decisions, and write clear documentation for both technical and non-technical users
  • Ability to collect usability metrics and use data to drive decision-making
  • Ability to balance design considerations for a wide range of users with different needs, workflows, and configurations
  • Passion for baseball and robust understanding of current baseball research

Preferred Knowledge, Skills & Abilities:

  • Experience working with modern JavaScript frameworks such as React or Angular
  • Familiarity with data and statistics, especially visualization libraries such as D3
  • Experience working on a cross-functional software development team using standard tools for source control, issue tracking, documentation, etc.
  • Experience with databases and data concepts, especially SQL
  • Ability to create reusable components or libraries and maintain style guidelines
  • Familiarity with design tools for rapid prototyping
  • Familiarity with public baseball websites, terminology, statistics, and visualizations
  • Experience in sports and/or working with sports data, especially softball or baseball

Working Conditions:

  • Office environment
  • Evening, weekend, and holiday hours required

We are an equal opportunity employer and all qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, national origin, sex, sexual orientation, age, disability, gender identity, marital or veteran status, or any other protected class.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

em>The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Detroit Tigers.


Job Posting: Detroit Tigers – Multiple Analyst Positions

Additional Detroit Tigers job openings (Product Manager, UI/UX Engineer) are available here.

Principal Quantitative Analyst

Location: Detroit, MI
Department: Baseball Operations

Job Summary:
The Detroit Tigers are currently seeking a full-time Principal Quantitative Analyst in the Baseball Operations Department. This role will be responsible for performing analyses and conducting research within Baseball Operations. This position will report to the Director, Baseball Research & Development.

Key Responsibilities:

  1. Develop and productionize Bayesian models to support Baseball Operations decision-making.
  2. Assist with the integration of baseball analysis into our proprietary tools and applications.
  3. Provide technical guidance to Analysts and Analytics Associates.
  4. Complete ad hoc data queries and effectively present analysis through the use of written reports and data visualizations.
  5. Monitor, identify and recommend new or emerging techniques, technologies, models and algorithms.
  6. Other projects as directed by Baseball Operations leadership team.

Minimum Knowledge, Skills and Abilities:

  1. Ph.D. in statistics, mathematics, computer science, or a related quantitative field or equivalent professional experience (3-5 years).
  2. Experience applying Bayesian statistical techniques (e.g. Bayesian hierarchical models) to real-world problems.
  3. Demonstrated expert-level knowledge of baseball-specific data and sabermetric analysis.
  4. Relevant work experience with statistical software (R, STATA, SPSS, SAS, or similar) and scripting languages such as Python.
  5. Expertise with SQL and relational databases is required.
  6. Experience with cloud computing preferred.
  7. Self-starter.
  8. Team player.
  9. Ability to work evenings, weekends and holidays as dictated by the baseball calendar.

Working Conditions:

  1. Office environment
  2. Evening, weekend, and holiday hours required

We are an equal opportunity employer and all qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, national origin, sex, sexual orientation, age, disability, gender identity, marital or veteran status, or any other protected class.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.


Analyst

Location: Detroit, MI
Department: Baseball Operations

Job Summary:
The Detroit Tigers are currently seeking a full-time Analyst in the Baseball Operations Department. This role will be responsible for performing analyses and conducting research within Baseball Operations. This position will report to the Director, Baseball Research & Development.

Key Responsibilities:

  • Perform advanced quantitative analysis to support Baseball Operations decision-making, including predictive modeling and player projection systems.
  • Complete ad hoc data queries and effectively present analysis using written reports and data visualizations.
  • Assist with the integration of baseball analysis into our proprietary tools and applications.
  • Contribute to baseball decision-making by generating ideas for player acquisition, roster construction and in-game strategies.
  • Support the current data warehousing process within Baseball Operations.
  • Monitor, identify and recommend new or emerging techniques, technologies, models, and algorithms.
  • Other projects as directed by Baseball Operations leadership team.

Minimum Knowledge, Skills and Abilities:

  • Demonstrated expert-level knowledge of baseball-specific data, modern statistical techniques, and sabermetric analysis.
  • Expertise with SQL and relational databases is required.
  • Relevant work experience with statistical software (R, STATA, SPSS, SAS, or similar) and scripting languages such as Python.
  • Demonstrated ability to communicate difficult and complex concepts to colleagues possessing a wide range of backgrounds and perspectives.
  • Degree or equivalent experience in statistics, mathematics, computer science, or a related quantitative field.
  • Self-starter.
  • Team player.
  • Ability to work evenings, weekends and holidays as dictated by the baseball calendar.

Working Conditions:

  • Office environment
  • Evening, weekend, and holiday hours required

We are an equal opportunity employer and all qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, national origin, sex, sexual orientation, age, disability, gender identity, marital or veteran status, or any other protected class.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.


Biomechanist

Location: Detroit, MI
Department: Performance Science, Baseball Operations

Job Summary:
This role will assist with the delivery of performance science solutions within Baseball Operations. The biomechanist will be responsible for translating biomechanical data into applied, actionable outcomes to be used by staffs to optimize performance. This role will work closely with Baseball Analytics, Player Development, Strength and Conditioning, Sports Medicine and Coaching staffs.

Key Responsibilities:

  • Collect, analyze, and report on data from various performance science sources, including in-game biomechanical data.
  • Maintain data quality and integrity for all biomechanical data.
  • Collaborate with coaching staffs and external consultants to design and develop metrics and reports aimed at maximizing player performance.
  • Work closely with the Director, Performance Science to develop and disseminate information from performance science initiatives.
  • Assist with data management, organization, and integration into the organization’s databases and athlete management system.
  • Assist with implementation and maintenance of existing performance science initiatives across the organization, including data collection, analysis, and reporting.
  • Assist with the design, development, testing and support of new performance science initiatives.
  • Effectively collaborate and communicate with player development, coaching, sports medicine, strength and conditioning and front office staff.
  • Review research and technology updates relevant to baseball performance.
  • Perform exploratory performance science research projects and analysis as directed.
  • Assist with the maintenance, calibration, and upkeep of performance science related equipment.
  • Other duties as directed by Director, Performance Science

Minimum Knowledge, Skills and Abilities:

  • A graduate level degree or 3+ years of experience in biomechanics or performance science is required.
  • Demonstrated experience with the following technologies preferred: Force plates, IMUs, and motion capture.
  • Demonstrated experience with modeling and analyzing 3D motion capture data required.
  • Research or applied experience in professional sport strongly preferred.
  • Experience using an athlete management system.
  • The ideal candidate must have excellent computer skills. Proficiency in R highly desirable.
  • The ideal candidate must have excellent communication skills. Candidate must be able to convey complex performance science findings to relevant staffs.
  • The ideal candidate must have excellent attention to detail.
  • The ideal candidate must have excellent organizational skills.
  • Previous experience working with professional athletes and coaches a plus.
  • The ideal candidate must be willing to work longs hours, including days, nights, weekends and holidays.
  • The candidate must be available full-time.
  • Willing and able to relocate to the Lakeland, FL area or Detroit metro area.

Working Conditions:

  • Office environment
  • Evening, weekend, and holiday hours required

We are an equal opportunity employer and all qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, national origin, sex, sexual orientation, age, disability, gender identity, marital or veteran status, or any other protected class.

To Apply:
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Detroit Tigers.