2019 Positional Power Rankings: Designated Hitter

Perhaps no position has been more impacted by the phenomenon of tanking than designated hitter. Teams that fancy themselves contenders splurge on elite bats like J.D. Martinez and Giancarlo Stanton, while teams out of contention rotate light-hitting utility infielders through without regard for the offensive demands of the position. The result is yet another year with a clear divide between the haves and the have-nots – a line that doesn’t really correlate well with how much is spent. Yes, the Red Sox, Yankees, and Twins brought in their primary DHs on lucrative contracts, but guys like Khris Davis and Shohei Ohtani cost far less. The Astros embraced the idea of using a homegrown positionless bat, employing Tyler White at a relative pittance. At the other end of the spectrum are teams like the Blue Jays and Orioles, who spent big a few years ago on positionless sluggers and now find themselves with sunk costs.

We can recognize four distinct tiers of DH in 2019. There’s the elite tier, which consists of one player alone – albeit one player who is arguably the best pure hitter in the majors. Then we have four teams with near-elite bats. What’s most interesting about those top two tiers is that none of those hitters came up as, or have experience at, first base; all but one are, at least nominally, outfielders. Those teams that do utilize erstwhile first basemen form a secondary tier of four well-above average hitters. The rest of the league employs hitters who either aren’t something yet, or used to be something, but aren’t now. If there’s a lesson to be learned from these rankings, it’s that spending on elite bats works. Spending on designated hitters doesn’t.





Sheryl Ring is a litigation attorney and General Counsel at Open Communities, a non-profit legal aid agency in the Chicago suburbs. You can reach her on twitter at @Ring_Sheryl. The opinions expressed here are solely the author's. This post is intended for informational purposes only and is not intended as legal advice.

38 Comments
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Cave Dameron
7 years ago

Thank you Sheryl, very cool!

emh1969
7 years ago

“Tyler Naquin set the world on fire in 2016 (133 wRC+), spent almost all of 2017 in the minors while the team preferred to play Jay Bruce, and then fell on his face in 2018 (72 wRC+).”

Really enjoyed the creative write-up. A small correction though…the Indians didn’t acquire Bruce until August 10th. So I don’t think he had a lot to do with Naquin’s lack of playing time in the majors in 2017.

EonADSMember since 2024
7 years ago
Reply to  emh1969

He spent a good chunk of 2017 on the DL, too.

LHPSU
7 years ago

I cannot believe Robbie Grossman isn’t 30 yet.

agam22Member since 2017
7 years ago

On the team depth chart pages, the NL teams have 300 DH PAs, which I guess is meant to include pinch hitting. However, even with the NL teams getting 400 fewer PA’s than the AL at DH, the Orioles and Tigers are behind every NL team

TwinPeaks
7 years ago

Castellanos is a DH waiting to happen. He’s probably worth 1 more WAR as a DH than a RF. That’s how bad his fielding is. Plus, interestingly enough, the average RF has hit better than the average DH over the last 3 years (by 14 OPS points)

sadtromboneMember since 2020
7 years ago
Reply to  TwinPeaks

The All-DH team:
1B:
2B: Brad Miller?
3B: Miguel Andujar
SS:
LF: Matt Kemp? Robbie Grossman? Teoscar Hernandez?
CF: Adam Jones?
RF: Nicholas Castellanos

PascalMember since 2020
7 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Matt Duffy could probably play a not-terrible shortstop, and John Hicks can fill catcher

sadtromboneMember since 2020
7 years ago
Reply to  Pascal

Oh, see, I was hoping for actually terrible shortstops. That’s a different sort of All-DH team.

averagejoe15Member since 2018
7 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Asdrubal? Tulo? Reyes?

averagejoe15Member since 2018
7 years ago
Reply to  averagejoe15

And 1B has gotta be Morales or Vogelbach or someone of that ilk

agam22Member since 2017
7 years ago
Reply to  averagejoe15

Jose Martinez needs to be somewhere on this team

sadtromboneMember since 2020
7 years ago
Reply to  agam22

Jose Martinez at 1B, absolutely. You know how hard it is to grade out that badly at 1B?

LHPSU
7 years ago
Reply to  averagejoe15

Cabrera maybe, but Tulo is glove first at this stage.

averagejoe15Member since 2018
7 years ago
Reply to  LHPSU

I was thinking of Tulo mainly because he’s a lower body injury waiting to happen playing the field so if there’s anything left in his bat DH would be the safest spot for him.

SS is difficult and similar in a way to CF since if a player can’t really play CF anymore he can probably be competent in a corner. A bad SS is likely a decent 2B or 3B.

So are we thinking of players who are bad at SS but decent hitters such as Asdrubal? Or maybe more like 2014 Hanley who is a year away from needing to DH due to incompetence at every other position?

I’d like to see the Indians fake Hanley at SS for an inning this year to make this an easy choice.

mattMember since 2023
7 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

C: Wilson Contreras
1B: Aguilar
2B: Torres
SS: Asdrubal
3B: Andujar
LF: Kemp
CF: Granderson? Joc?
RF: castellanos

MsFanCPMember since 2018
7 years ago

Khris Davis hitting .243? Seems way off.

FrancoLuvHateMets
7 years ago
Reply to  MsFanCP

Computers don’t believe in destiny I guess.

cowdiscipleMember since 2016
7 years ago

I really hope Ohtani gets 525 plate appearances, but that seems very optimistic.

docgooden85Member since 2018
7 years ago
Reply to  cowdisciple

You’re being polite. I would gladly take 10:1 odds against 525 PAs for Ohtani (and maybe 15:1 if you bought me a beer). The over/under at my imaginary casino would be around 310 PAs. 400 is generous. 525 is dreaming. He has to rehab and doesn’t play versus lefties or the day after he throws heavy or is worn out from rehab/pitcher stuff. With off days lefties and rehab maybe he starts 2 games a week. (And his HR/FB was enormous I think…we don’t know yet if that’s real even if he does play.)

Outta my way, Gyorkass
7 years ago

Until that projection for Khris Davis’ batting average is raised by four points to get it right, I cannot trust the veracity of this article.

SyndergaardengnomesMember since 2020
7 years ago

I feel like the Orioles would be better off folding, and starting over as an expansion team…

FrancoLuvHateMets
7 years ago

It’d be cool if that was an option for a team. They had to designate everyone on the 40 man roster, pay them their guarantees and they could have an expansion draft from the other 29 teams.

Thought about that for another minute. You’d definitely have to add some more disincentives or there are teams every year that may view that as an viable option.

sadtromboneMember since 2020
7 years ago

So I looked up the rules of the last draft, and teams could only protect 28 players on their 40 man roster and in their minor league affiliates, although it looks like guys who weren’t yet Rule 5 eligible are also all protected. If so, that would make it really hard to make it worth to “declare bankruptcy” and do an expansion draft, since all the attractive minor leaguers are all protected. Also, each team can only lose one player per round, so while you have your pick of the “bottom 12” on each 40 man roster, you can only raid each stacked 40-man roster 3 times (less if there are more teams declaring “bankruptcy”.

One big problem is that you could strip the team for parts and THEN declare you are starting over. I don’t know how much they would get for Cobb, Bundy, Givens, and Villar if they completely paid off all of their salaries, but it would be something . And they’d also have to sell off Hunter Harvey, Cedric Mullins, Dillon Tate, Chance Sisco, Renato Nunez, DJ Stewart, Trey Mancini, and Austin Hays for guys not yet on the 40-man. These guys wouldn’t return a lot, but you’d want to get rid of everyone before you declare bankruptcy.

If you somehow forced teams to make this call at the end of the previous season, before you can trade anyone, then you can’t just sell everyone off for parts in the offseason. The caliber of the players you would get would be very much influenced by the Rule 5 protection. It would be far more valuable for the expansion team to select players after Rule 5 guys were added to the 40-man roster, since that would include a number of major-league-ready minor leaguers.

So let’s take a look at a team to see what 3 players you could get. If you do it before the Rule 5 adds, the Dodgers likely would have exposed Kemp, Puig, Toles, Josh Fields, Tim Locastro, Rocky Gale, Kyle Farmer, Pat Venditte, Zac Rosscup, and Yimi Garcia. There’s not a whole lot of value there. If you did it later, I’m not sure it’s that much better, since the only prospects added of note were Verdugo and Ruiz; add that to the 25 guys on the active roster and you’ve still got one more slot for Dennis Santana, leaving…Brock Stewart, Yadier Alvarez, and JT Chargois as your big gets. Yikes!

I think you might be better off selecting off other teams’ rosters, like maybe the Braves, but the more I think about this, it seems like you’d wind up with a lot of the types of guys you just cut loose.

timprov
7 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

I think other leagues, particularly the NHL, have advanced the art of expansion draft construction significantly since 1998. (Hockey might have overcorrected, given that Vegas made the Stanley Cup Final its first year, but still.) I wouldn’t expect to see rules from more than 20 years ago held over in baseball; whenever we have expansion they’re going to do something new.

FrancoLuvHateMets
7 years ago
Reply to  sadtrombone

Yeah, it’d have to be some after the the trade deadline but before the end of the season declaration otherwise you stripmine your team for a dozens of lottery tickets after the season is over.

roysuniverse
7 years ago

Couldn’t disagree more with the analysis on Andujar as far as his offense is concerned. Defensively he does need to improve. Hopefully the work he did this off season pays off.

HoldMeCloseOhtaniDancer
7 years ago

Miguel Andujar has hit at every level he’s faced, so I would be shocked to see the Yankees put him at third base and DH him if his bat wasn’t pulling his weight. He hits the ball hard to all fields and OPS’d .865 as a rookie. The kid is a doubles machine with good power, so I expect he’d have to maintain at least a 120 wrc+ just to keep getting playing time. His BABIP was a .316 last year when he had 47 doubles and 27 home runs. The kid can hit. Also, just a side note, Torres plays Shortstop and now second base, so the Yankees would not play him at third.

roysuniverse
7 years ago

Thank you!

Iowa BlackoutrestrictionsMember since 2017
7 years ago

While Max Kepler has not realized his potential, the “perennially disappointing” tag is misleading. His stellar peripherals and promise just got him a big extension. He’s not getting benched.

timprov
7 years ago

Sano has also been perfectly adequate to this point at third base. There’s a lot of bizarre narrativizing in this – “Stanton should also be improved this year now that he’s comfortable in New York” really? Didn’t Fangraphs used to like statements that could be backed up with evidence?

Also, I know writing a player’s name over and over again can seem boring, but come on. The whole thing reads like it was written by Jayson Stark trying to pastiche Jeff Sullivan.

wily moMember since 2020
7 years ago

all of these things will clarify themselves rapidly once the season starts in a week, of course, but a couple of depth chart / playing time thoughts:

* the rays officially declared that they’re loving choi’s improved defense this spring and he’s going to be the primary 1B, with DH being some even less comprehensible rotation of avisail, various lowes, stanek, etc

* the quotes out of indians camp really do sound like they’re planning to give hanley a spin

manormachine
7 years ago

Albert Pujols was not the best player in baseball 15 years ago. He wasn’t even in the top 5 in WAR. 2004 was the last season of peak Barry Bonds.

Expo27Member since 2016
7 years ago

1000% here for Jose Video references. Thanks Sheryl!

WARrior
7 years ago

Martinez the best pure hitter in baseball? Come on. He’s very good, he’s not Trout.

AnonMember since 2020
7 years ago

Morales’ other offensive problem (besides too many grounders) is his complete lack of speed. Per Statcast he was 541st out of 549 guys last year. The only 8 behind him were 5 catchers, Yonder Alonso, Victor Martinez and Pujols. Those guys. . . .with the increased willingness to play unconventional defenses and put IF halfway out to the OF just makes it nearly impossible to get a hit on a ground ball at all. I saw one game last year where Morales hit an absolute rocket (on the ground, of course) and Gleyber TOrres had to make a diving stop and throw to get him by a step or so. Except Torres was literally, I don’t know, 50 feet behind the grass? 60 feet? I saw another one with VIctor Martinez in 2017 where the DBacks played the 2B literally in short RF. Must have been 70 feet behind the grass. Those guys have so little chance at a base hit now on anything except a fly ball, line drive or a really, really, really well-placed grounder (& it better be hit hard) any more.

I do think we are seeing the end of the aging slugger who has no athleticism. The only guys that are going to last into their late 30’s are going to be guys that can hang on to at least some of their athleticism and not literally be softball players masquerading as baseball players. . . .

aweb
7 years ago
Reply to  Anon

Morales, memorably for Jays fans at least, somehow managed a club record 7 game HR streak in 2018. It raised his OPS 84 points (in mid-late August), and he had a perfectly acceptable .264/.343/.484 line after the last game of the streak. He then proceeded to hit .172/.270/.188 the rest of the year in 74 PAs. I think he had his glorious finale, used up all the remaining hitter in his body in a concentrated burst, and just needs to retire now. Spring training hasn’t exactly been encouraging either…

NATS FanMember since 2018
7 years ago

good piece! thanks