Dan Szymborski: It’s a chat!

Davy Andrews: Hello everyone and welcome to our Opening Day(ish) chat!

Davy Andrews: Hello Dan!

Davy Andrews: Oh no, we’ve used up our entire quota of exclamation marks in the first 45 seconds.

Jay Jaffe: Hey hey, Happy Opening Day!

Dan Szymborski: And I’ll be here for more than expected as I my brother-in-law is already home from his procedure, so I don’t have to spend part of Opening Day wrangling a six-year-old and a four-year-old

Brendan Gawlowski: Hello everybody. I’m back from AZ and already missing the sun. I’ll have another notes from the field post tomorrow and hopefully a Rockies list this Friday.

Brendan Gawlowski: I failed to answer my wife’s question last week, so we may need to go long to ensure I get out of the doghouse.

Brendan Gawlowski: Let’s get to it.

Ken Griffey Jr (Photographer): Is Emil Morales a 3B long-term or does he have a chance to stick at SS?

Brendan Gawlowski: Shot to stay at short.

Galahad: What do you make of Carlos Lagrange’s blowup yesterday?

Brendan Gawlowski: Hello everybody, sorry for the delay.

Brendan Gawlowski: I’m out in AZ and running between a meetup with a scout and getting out to the backfields. My apologies, let’s get going.

Mariner Fan: Hey Brandon! Have you been to a game yet down there? Who impressed you at the most recent game you were AT?

Brendan Gawlowski: I like the capital ‘AT’ at the end. I saw Josuar yesterday, so I’ll say him. 0-3, a couple groundouts, looked like he tweaked his leg sliding but obvious speed and athleticism.

Punk in drublic: Who are some prospects outside the top 100 you think could make significant impact in the majors this year?

Brendan Gawlowski: Tons of relievers fall into this bucket.

Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning from Tempe where the temps are starting to crank to 20+ degrees above what is typical for March. I’m sure it’s fine, my dad says this is just cyclical.

DR: Are the Yankees doing something specifically bad with their high dollar international talent?  I know the fail rate is pretty high when considering a 14-17 year old population. But it seems (perhaps because NYY prospects get more publicity generally) that they have had significantly worse outcomes among their high dollar guys.

Eric A Longenhagen: Agreeing to deals earlier and earlier opens you up to more risk of failure. It’s already a volatile market due to the youth of the players on signing day, the error bar is bigger when you’re reaching verbal agreements with 12- and 13-year-olds, to say nothing of the ethics of it.

Seth: If you’re Steve Cohen, should you leverage your immense wealth to find advantages beyond the field, like building an electrical substation near Dodger Stadium?

Eric A Longenhagen: Have a robust scouting staff even as teams like the Cubs and Braves hemorrhage scouts. Start cultivating and/or understanding talent in places that are either largely unscouted (like Africa) or places with a finite amount of space, like Asia. Obviously, the Dodgers have already manufactured a revenue and talent stream from Asia and have a head start in Africa. Better get going.

DR: Does Vance “Spring Training Babe Ruth” Honeycutt’s absurd ST output allay any fears that came up during his bad 2025?  I know Aberdeen is a terrible place to hit, but he was bad everywhere. I don’t think anyone who saw him in Aberdeen would’ve predicted this many HRs in 2026 as a whole, let alone ST

Dan Szymborski: A rarity! Dan is on time and not distracted by arguing something with someone elsewhere

robertobeers: A man a Dan a chat cat update tadputactahcanadanama

Poncetification: When pondering Ponce, how does ZiPS weigh the surge in Korea vs more mediocrity in Japan vs MLB and MiLB way back when?

Dan Szymborski: Most strongly (since it’s most recent), but it’s also treated like a league between AA and AAA

Dan Szymborski: That doesn’t mean the best players aren’t as good as MLBers, but the depth of talent isn’t the same, and a pitcher/hitter will face mostly non-MLB talents’

Dan Szymborski: ZiPS sees NPB as between AAA and MLB

Jay Jaffe: Good afternoon, folks!

Jay Jaffe: Got a late start in creating this chat so I’m going to give it a few minutes to fill the queue. In the meantime, here’s my freshly-published piece on Jesús Luzardo’s extension  https://blogs.fangraphs.com/philly-ing-up-luzardo-inks-a-five-year-ext…

Jay Jaffe: and if you missed it, here’s Friday’s look at the Mets’ new-look outfield picture https://blogs.fangraphs.com/the-mets-search-for-the-right-choices-in-t…

Jay Jaffe: Re: Luzardo, he was one of seven extension candidates highlighted by Dan Szymborski just yesterday https://blogs.fangraphs.com/lets-sign-some-contracts-2026-edition/

Jay Jaffe: I wish we had a World Baseball Classic game on right now as backdrop — there were so many games yesterday I couldn’t focus on and yet nothing tonight until 7. Blergh

Mike: Does the success of he WBC make the olympics more or less likely for mlb players?