Archive for Effectively Wild

Effectively Wild Episode 1860: Start Them Young

EWFI
With Meg Rowley on the road, Ben Lindbergh talks to a trio of guests. First (4:10), he’s joined by Mr. King, the creator of Northwoods Baseball Sleep Radio, to talk about baseball as ASMR, crafting a fictional league, broadcaster, and collection of players, replicating the soothing, white-noise sounds of a baseball broadcast, putting his listeners to sleep, and more. Then (34:32) Ben brings on coach and journalist John W. Miller to examine how the rise of private travel baseball clubs and pay-to-play tournaments has reshaped youth baseball and excluded some kids from the sport, discuss the ramifications from Little League to the major leagues, and propose some solutions. After that (1:18:12), former major leaguer (and former EW guest) John Poff rejoins, along with John Brave Bull and Ardyce Taken Alive from the Standing Rock Reservation, to talk about their histories, explain their efforts to bring baseball to kids at Standing Rock, and ask the EW audience for help (plus a reading of a Poff poem). Finally (1:50:05), Ben shares a baseball-history anecdote from 1860.

Audio intro: Julie Andrews, “Stay Awake
Audio interstitial 1: Dave Dudley, “George (and the North Woods)
Audio interstitial 2: Peter, Paul and Mary, “Right Field
Audio outro: Raye Zaragoza, “Driving to Standing Rock

Link to Baseball Sleep Radio website
Link to Baseball Sleep Radio on Spotify
Link to FG post on Baseball Sleep Radio
Link to the real Northwoods League
Link to Bloomberg on white noise podcasts
Link to The Universal Baseball Association
Link to old baseball broadcasts on YouTube
Link to old baseball broadcasts on archive.org
Link to GameChanger Plays Announcer post
Link to John Miller on youth baseball
Link to John on improving youth baseball
Link to Tom House baseball-size tweet
Link to McCutchen at The Players’ Tribune
Link to Pittsburgh Hardball Academy site
Link to info on the Dream Series
Link to RBI Baseball site
Link to article on commercializing youth sports
Link to data on youth sports participation
Link to John Miller’s baseball resume
Link to John Miller’s website
Link to John Poff’s SABR bio
Link to John’s first podcast appearance
Link to Poff Stat Blast episode
Link to Standing Rock Reservation wiki
Link to KLND website
Link to Community Alliance Group website
Link to John’s North Dakota Quarterly poems
Link to John’s GoFundMe fundraiser page
Link to Richard Hershberger’s Strike Four
Link to 1860 story source 1
Link to 1860 story source 2

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Effectively Wild Episode 1859: Three Strikes and Burnout

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Mike Yastrzemski trying the “KK play,” the distinctive smell of rat urine, Buck Showalter making a mid-PA pitching change, Dave Roberts running afoul of a position-player-pitcher rule, the wording of the zombie-runner rule, Nick Pivetta’s near-miraculous mechanical adjustment, and Mike Trout’s slump, plus a baseball-history fact from 1859. Then (38:54) they talk to former Phillies front-office executive Lewie Pollis about how working for an MLB team became his dream job and why, several years after fulfilling that dream, he decided to walk away from it by changing careers—a choice with wide-ranging lessons to offer about work-life balance in baseball and beyond (plus a postscript).

Audio intro: The Walkmen, “This Job is Killing Me
Audio interstitial: Ramones, “The Job That Ate My Brain
Audio outro: Dan Bern, “Burned Out Case

Link to Yaz play video
Link to play in full game highlights
Link to story about the “KK play”
Link to video of the “KK play”
Link to posts about unwritten rules of deking
Link to “rat urine” report
Link to Ben on mid-PA pitching changes
Link to Showalter pitching-change video
Link to article about the pitching change
Link to Mookie quote
Link to article on Girardi’s “Strategy”
Link to 2020 zombie-runner rule
Link to article about Roberts’ confusion
Link to 4/17 story on Pivetta’s mechanics
Link to 4/20 story on Pivetta’s mechanics
Link to other 4/20 story on Pivetta
Link to story on Pivetta’s turnaround
Link to EW episode about Trout going hitless
Link to story about the Angels’ losing streak
Link to Richard Hershberger’s Strike Four
Link to 1859 story source
Link to Lewie’s 2014 story on front-office pay
Link to Lewie’s Baseball Prospectus archive
Link to Lewie’s newsletter
Link to Lewie on leaving his dream job
Link to Lewie on the response to his essay
Link to “Great Resignation” wiki
Link to R.J. Anderson on MLB brain drain

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Effectively Wild Episode 1858: The Fan Who Knew Too Much

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Joe Girardi’s firing and where the Phillies go from here, the Astros’ Yordan Alvarez extension, the dip in DH offense, and the trade deadline, then answer listener emails about MLB.TV highlights, the upside of ignoring playoff odds, getting plunked on a full count, things that haven’t happened in an MLB game, players being coached by their romantic partners, and what would happen if no one wanted to play catcher, plus a history tidbit from 1858 and a few followups.

Audio intro: Ezra Furman, “Wobbly
Audio outro: Liz Phair, “Uncle Alvarez

Link to MLB.com on the Girardi firing
Link to ESPN on the Girardi firing
Link to Andy McCullough on Girardi
Link to wobbly chair/squid is fried explainer
Link to MLB.com on the Alvarez extension
Link to Dan on extension candidates
Link to Dan on more extension candidates
Link to Dan on the trade deadline
Link to Passan on the trade deadline
Link to DH stats by season
Link to Russell Carleton on resting hitters
Link to story about DH and roster decisions
Link to FanGraphs WPA Inquirer
Link to Ben Clemens on Holmes
Link to Smeltzer interview video
Link to Smeltzer story
Link to subsequent Smeltzer story
Link to EW listener emails database
Link to Richard Hershberger’s Strike Four
Link to story about the Mets’ pitching machine
Link to video of the machine
Link to Ben on “perfect” pitching machines
Link to story about the Turner deke
Link to Turner deke video

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Effectively Wild Episode 1857: Hit Me Right in the Phils

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley announce the availability of new Effectively Wild T-shirts, then follow up on the latest, Mike Trout-related developments in the Tommy PhamJoc Pederson fantasy-football/slap story as well as Josh Donaldson’s comments about his teammates not supporting him. After that, they banter about a home-run robbery that wasn’t, the homer hitting of Aaron Judge, a successful use of the “KK play” to deke a runner into leaving third base early, the return of MVP-caliber Mookie Betts, the Kevin Gausman vs. Robbie Ray debate revisited, unlikely contenders for the pitcher WAR lead (including Martín Pérez), and whether the Phillies are hopeless this season and long term, followed by the latest edition of Today’s Episode Number in Baseball History (plus a postscript).

Audio intro: The Skygreen Leopards, “Selling T-shirts
Audio outro: The Lemonheads, “It’s a Shame About Ray

Link to FG post about t-shirts
Link to t-shirts
Link to C. Trent on Trout
Link to Andy McCullough on Trout
Link to MLB.com on Trout
Link to Donaldson comments
Link to tweet about Ohtani’s rescheduling
Link to Ohtani game story
Link to Ohtani non-robbery video
Link to Ben on homer robberies
Link to Dan Szymborski on Judge
Link to “ordinary effort” definition
Link to story about the “KK play”
Link to video of the “KK play”
Link to Ben on mid-PA pitching changes
Link to story about Ray and vaccination
Link to Shapiro’s comments
Link to Levi Weaver on Pérez
Link to Sports-Reference newsletter
Link to changes in playoff odds
Link to Girardi on his job
Link to Ken Rosenthal on Girardi’s job
Link to The Ringer’s preseason predictions
Link to RosterResource payroll page
Link to 1857 convention story
Link to Richard Hershberger’s Strike Four
Link to 1857 story source 1
Link to 1857 story source 2
Link to 1857 story source 3
Link to Shanghaiing wiki
Link to sticky wicket wiki
Link to story on crank/fan
Link to “good hair day” clip
Link to overheard Hallion clip
Link to Hallion hot-mic clip
Link to “ass in the jackpot” video

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Effectively Wild Episode 1856: Slapped Silly

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Nick Castellanos’s uncanny tater timing, and then (4:43) Ben attempts to explain the Joc PedersonTommy Pham fantasy-football dispute (and resulting slap) to Meg. After that (44:42), they discuss the Reds’ resurgence, an umpire’s hot mic, updates on defensive-positioning restrictions and the forthcoming pitch clock, and whether the standings will present enough suspense this summer. Finally (1:19:42), they debut a new history segment about an event that took place in the year of the episode number and Stat Blast (1:24:00) about multiple starting pitchers debuting in the same game, an odd pinch-hitting appearance by Darin Ruf, and the most consecutive pitcher innings with the same pitch count (plus a postscript with a few followups).

Audio intro: The Scruffs, “Revenge
Audio outro: Basic Plumbing, “Fantasy

Link to Castellanos clip
Link to Ben on the Castellanos meme
Link to video of the slap
Link to first Pederson video
Link to second Pederson video
Link to Mercury News on the slap
Link to ESPN on the slap
Link to Cincinnati.com on the slap
Link to the NYT on the slap
Link to CBS sports on the fantasy dispute
Link to Gaslamp Ball post
Link to Oakley-Hill dispute story
Link to Pham stabbing story
Link to Pham vs. fans story
Link to Pham vs. Voit story
Link to Pham on the pandemic delay
Link to story on Pham’s slow start
Link to SI Pham profile
Link to Tampa Bay Times Pham profile
Link to Strickland vs. Harper story
Link to Mets rat vs. raccoon story
Link to hot-mic tweet
Link to Stark on rules changes
Link to FG Playoff Odds
Link to Joe Posnanski on the standings
Link to Marc Normandin on the standings
Link to New York Clipper, 8/9/1856
Link to New York Clipper box score
Link to Richard Hershberger’s Strike Four
Link to Stathead
Link to Stathead query about two-SP debuts
Link to Stathead query about Ruf’s PH Ks
Link to Cangelosi Stat Blast text
Link to Stat Blast pitch-count data
Link to Pérez’s record game
Link to Trout commissioner story
Link to 1985 Raines story
Link to other 1985 Raines story
Link to Raines bio excerpt
Link to glass delusion wiki
Link to Boswell on big innings
Link to James vs. Boswell story

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Effectively Wild Episode 1855: Glass Ass of Emotion

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley answer listener emails about why we don’t see more hidden-ball tricks in MLB, why big leaguers practice fielding grounders between innings, comparing the careers of Paul Goldschmidt and Freddie Freeman, how baseball broadcasts should discuss domestic-violence suspensions, whether Rickey Henderson would still have stolen bases if he’d been inflicted with Glass Ass Syndrome, and whether teams could get more favorable calls by riding umpires even harder than they already do, then (58:01) field “How can you not be pedantic about baseball?” questions about hometown discounts for players who aren’t native to a town, who qualifies as a “phenom,” and pitches “on the corner,” followed by (1:08:53) Stat Blasts about pitchers who’ve lost to every current franchise and how patterns of starter wins and losses have changed, how often game times exactly match game start times, and whether Roger Angell was right about a bet in 1975.

Audio intro: Jim White, “Smart-Ass Reply
Audio outro: Beams, “Break Glass

Link to Double-A hidden-ball trick
Link to Retrosheet list of hidden-ball tricks
Link to MLB.com on Barrett
Link to Finding the Hidden-Ball Trick
Link to story on Goldschmidt’s 2013 nickname
Link to SI on Rickey’s SB technique
Link to first study on taking close pitches
Link to second study on taking close pitches
Link to pitcher leaderboard of teams lost to
Link to SP decision rates by year
Link to data on SP W/L correlations
Link to game times matching start times
Link to shortest game with matching times
Link to longest game with matching times
Link to list of longest regular-season games
Link to FG Roger Angell reading recs post
Link to Jay’s tribute to Angell
Link to “Agincourt and After”
Link to passage from “Agincourt and After”
Link to historical data on the Angell bet
Link to Ryan Nelson’s Twitter
Link to Stathead
Link to EW listener emails database
Link to TOOTBLAN glossary entry
Link to FARTSLAM introduction
Link to FARTSLAM discussion
Link to FARTSLAM montage

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Effectively Wild Episode 1854: Comedy of Errors

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the apparent end of Mike Trout’s long-lasting SuperPretzel sponsorship, Willians Astudillo’s return to the majors, the Phillies’ fielding and a seeming surfeit of amusingly bad defensive plays across the league, the arrival of overall no. 1 prospect (and Orioles catcher) Adley Rutschman and how to tell when a prospect is really ready, the postponement of the 13-pitcher limit, the Yankees signing Matt Carpenter, different facial hair changing players’ appearances, the fallout from Josh Donaldson calling Tim Anderson “Jackie,” and Anderson’s great start to the season, plus a few followups.

Audio intro: Great Lakes, “End of an Error
Audio outro: Joel Plaskett, “Tim

Link to news about J&J and Dippin’ Dots
Link to 2012 SuperPretzel press release
Link to SuperPretzel website
Link to “I’m a Mac” actor-switch story
Link to EW SuperPretzel episode
Link to latest Phillies flub
Link to Craig Goldstein on the Phillies
Link to earlier episode about bad defense
Link to Nats’ two-run pickoff attempt
Link to study on slippery baseballs
Link to team defensive efficiency
Link to BP on scouting Rutschman
Link to Craig on the Rutschman callup
Link to Rutschman callup video
Link to Rodríguez callup video
Link to Ben on the record prospect crop
Link to 13-pitcher-limit news
Link to Ken Rosenthal on Carpenter
Link to 2019 Tim Anderson SI story
Link to James Fegan on Anderson
Link to Anderson game story
Link to Anderson’s subsequent comments
Link to Donaldson statement
Link to 2016 Donaldson profile
Link to Judge’s comments
Link to Cashman on Donaldson
Link to Bradford’s interview
Link to Bradford’s podcast
Link to article on Anderson’s swing decisions
Link to FiveThirtyEight forecasts page
Link to Tom Tango on regression mistakes
Link to Phil Birnbaum on regression mistakes

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Effectively Wild Episode 1853: What Are the Odds?

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley talk to Kelly Pracht, the CEO and co-founder of predictive analytics startup nVenue, which has provided the real-time probabilities displayed on this season’s MLB Network-produced Friday Night Baseball broadcasts on Apple TV+. They discuss nVenue’s origin story, its sports-betting ambitions, its 100-plus-input machine-learning model, which factors are and aren’t predictive of performance, Ben and Meg’s misgivings about some of the displayed probabilities, and much more. Then (1:04:37) Ben and Meg bring on FanGraphs writer Ben Clemens to discuss the results of his study about how nVenue’s odds compare to a simplistic, one-factor model, and why they think the accuracy of the system matters.

Audio intro: Remember Sports, “Odds Are
Audio interstitial: Sunflower Bean, “Beat the Odds
Audio outro: The Rock*A*Teens, “Count in Odd Numbers

Link to Friday Night Baseball details
Link to nVenue’s website
Link to article about nVenue fundraising
Link to SportTechie on nVenue
Link to SportTechie on nVenue again
Link to D Magazine on nVenue
Link to InnovationMap on nVenue
Link to nVenue YouTube video
Link to nVenue on PitchBook
Link to nVenue on Crunchbase
Link to Emily Bender on AI
Link to machine learning wiki
Link to overfitting explainer
Link to SABR on machine learning
Link to “reach base probability” tweets
Link to Ben Clemens’s nVenue study
Link to Ben’s study data
Link to Brier score wiki
Link to league count splits

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Effectively Wild Episode 1852: Roger, Over and Out

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley pay tribute (for the umpteenth time) to the great Roger Angell, who died at 101 on Friday, then banter about which underperforming hitters are most in need of the kind of breakout game that slow-starting Trevor Story had this week. After that (21:41), they bring on listener and top-tier Patreon supporter Aaron Hartman to discuss his Effectively Wild, baseball, and betting origin stories, answer listener emails about umpire punch-out calls in the robo-umps era, quantifying clutchness at lower levels, and the most tortured fan bases in MLB, then (1:00:09) do a “How can you not be pedantic about baseball?” segment on ground-rule doubles, the infield “corners,” “scoreless” games, postseason stats, and walk-offs, and Stat Blast (1:26:10) about Mike Clevinger and pitchers facing players they were traded for, the longest strings of identical plate appearances for back-to-back batters, and the pitchers most helped or hurt by their bullpen support.

Audio intro: Neil Young, “Roger and Out
Audio outro: Band of Horses, “Heartbreak on the 101

Link to New Yorker Angell obit
Link to NYT Angell obit
Link to Angell SABR bio
Link to Tom Verducci Angell profile
Link to EW episode on Angell’s centennial
Link to centennial episode transcript
Link to Angell book interview episode
Link to Angell mentions on the EW wiki
Link to Patrick Dubuque on Story
Link to MLB.com on Story
Link to Robert Orr on Semien
Link to MLB.com on Gorman and Liberatore
Link to news about the Cardinals’ callups
Link to BP on Gorman
Link to BP on Liberatore
Link to article on debut dates for HoFers
Link to ground-rule double info
Link to MLB ground rules
Link to William Safire on walk-offs
Link to etymology of walk-off homers
Link to 2021 MLB walk-off montage
Link to EW email questions database
Link to Stathead
Link to player pairs with same 4 on-base events
Link to Duck Soup mirror scene
Link to rate of multi-player trades by decade
Link to Ben on pitchers vs. ex-catchers
Link to Stat Blast data on inherited runners
Link to Aaron’s Instagram
Link to Ryan Nelson’s Twitter
Link to article on trendiest names
Link to baby-name comparison tool

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Effectively Wild Episode 1851: You Say Tyler, I Say Taylor

EWFI
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about the rabidity of opossums and Eugenio Suárez‘s keepie-uppie skills, then discuss the White Sox offense and Tony La Russa’s rationale for batting Andrew Vaughn ninth, Max Scherzer’s oblique injury, and the possibility of a Juan Soto trade, before meeting major leaguers (53:30) Logan Gillaspie (Orioles) and Brandon Hughes (Cubs), and Stat Blasting (1:06:26) about the rapid Tyler/Taylor takeover of MLB player names.

Audio intro: We Are Scientists, “I Don’t Bite
Audio outro: Kiwi Jr., “Tyler

Link to the Human Society on opossums
Link to Wildlife Habitat Council on opossums
Link to Opossum Society FAQ
Link to press-box opossum pic
Link to story about press-box opossum
Link to possum vs. opossum definitions
Link to Reddit thread on Suárez
Link to La Russa comment on Vaughn
Link to Tango’s response
Link to Ben on batting pitchers eighth
Link to Jeremy Frank on Garcia
Link to Frank on Garcia again
Link to Scherzer news
Link to deGrom update
Link to Olney on Soto
Link to report on Soto extension offer
Link to Mark Feinsand on trade candidates
Link to video of Gillaspie’s debut
Link to MASN on Gillaspie’s debut
Link to Camden Chat on Gillaspie
Link to 2018 Gillaspie signing story
Link to FB group thread on Gillaspie
Link to Ben on the Salina Stockade
Link to The Only Rule Is it Has to Work
Link to story on Hughes’s debut
Link to video of Hughes’s debut
Link to Hughes fun fact
Link to Longenhagen on Hughes
Link to Tyler Holton story
Link to Stat Blast data on player names
Link to SSA baby names site
Link to The Bob Emergency, Part 1
Link to The Bob Emergency, Part II
Link to Tyler Kepner on Tylers
Link to Stathead on worst second-half tOPS+
Link to Stathead on second-half ERA rises
Link to 1995 article on Green, P. 1
Link to 1995 article on Green, P. 2

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