Where Could the Blue Jays Tuck Kyle?

Nobody’s having more fun this offseason than the Toronto Blue Jays, who celebrated their first pennant in 32 years (and near-miss at winning the World Series) by rearming and getting back into the fight. Midseason acquisition Shane Bieber re-committed for pennies on the dollar, and Toronto supplemented its rotation by landing the top free agent pitcher on the market, Dylan Cease, as well as KBO breakout star Cody Ponce.
The Jays then kicked January off by reaching back into the international market to purchase third baseman Kazuma Okamoto from the Yomiuri Giants of NPB. The Jays are already up to third in projected 2026 payroll, at least for now; the Phillies and Yankees are fourth and fifth, and both of those clubs have some rounding out of the roster to do before spring training.
Except apparently the Jays might not be done either.
In the wake of signing Okamoto, Mitch Bannon of The Athletic reported that Toronto’s pursuit of Kyle Tucker is only growing in intensity. And while Okamoto’s arrival would seem to obviate the need for incumbent shortstop Bo Bichette, anything is possible.
Only, where would these guys even play? The Blue Jays’ run to the World Series was complicated by injuries to Bichette and last offseason’s big signing, Anthony Santander, which led to way more high-leverage at-bats for Myles Straw and Isiah Kiner-Falefa than manager John Schneider would’ve liked.
But even the no-Tucker, no-Bichette version of the Blue Jays lineup looks pretty well stocked.
| Projected Blue Jays Lineup vs. RHP | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Order | Position | Name | AVG | OBP | SLG | wRC+ |
| 1 | DH | George Springer | .327 | .412 | .588 | 178 |
| 2 | RF | Addison Barger | .249 | .308 | .480 | 115 |
| 3 | 1B | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | .282 | .367 | .452 | 129 |
| 4 | LF | Anthony Santander | .185 | .277 | .329 | 70 |
| 5 | C | Alejandro Kirk | .284 | .348 | .423 | 116 |
| 6 | CF | Daulton Varsho | .232 | .274 | .591 | 129 |
| 7 | 3B | Kazuma Okamoto* | .327 | .416 | .598 | 210 |
| 8 | 2B | Ernie Clement | .254 | .295 | .327 | 75 |
| 9 | SS | Andrés Giménez | .221 | .301 | .329 | 80 |
| Projected Blue Jays Lineup vs. LHP | ||||||
| Order | Position | Name | AVG | OBP | SLG | wRC+ |
| 1 | DH | George Springer | .254 | .361 | .475 | 132 |
| 2 | LF | Davis Schneider | .215 | .344 | .364 | 106 |
| 3 | 1B | Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | .326 | .428 | .519 | 163 |
| 4 | C | Alejandro Kirk | .276 | .347 | .417 | 113 |
| 5 | 3B | Kazuma Okamoto* | .327 | .416 | .598 | 210 |
| 6 | 2B | Ernie Clement | .326 | .351 | .549 | 146 |
| 7 | CF | Daulton Varsho | .260 | .321 | .380 | 98 |
| 8 | RF | Anthony Santander | .146 | .255 | .188 | 32 |
| 9 | SS | Andrés Giménez | .175 | .233 | .263 | 39 |
Nathan Lukes, Toronto’s regular no. 2 hitter during this past postseason, is nowhere to be found. How could this team possibly find room for one or even two superstar hitters in this lineup?
One option, which Bannon mentioned, would be to trade Santander. The 31-year-old was Toronto’s big free agent signing last offseason, and I was among the many who raised an eyebrow at the time: A corner outfield bat who’d just posted a career-high season of 3.2 WAR, without any standout defensive or on-base ability, is hardly the kind of player I’d go out of my way to give a five-year contract.
Obviously, the Blue Jays were under no illusions about how he’d age, but hoped that the 40-homer power he’d just demonstrated would be valuable enough in 2025 and 2026 to make the decline palatable. Well, Santander couldn’t stay on the field, and when he was in the lineup, he hit .175/.271/.294. With penalties for positional adjustment, defense, and baserunning, that comes to -0.9 WAR. If the Blue Jays were the only team that thought he was worth $92.5 million over five seasons a year ago, I doubt anyone else thinks Santander is worth $74.5 million over four years, plus whatever it’d take to acquire him. If the Blue Jays want to move on from Santander, the question is not what they could get for him, but whether they’d be better off including prospects to entice a trade partner to take on some of the contract, or cutting their losses and eating the whole thing. At that point, you might as well hang on to the guy and see if he bounces back.
Assuming Santander returns, the Jays have high-profile veterans locked into four of the five easiest defensive positions: Springer at DH, Guerrero at first, Okamoto at third, and Santander in one of the outfield corners. Catcher isn’t really relevant to a lineup puzzle that involves Bichette or Tucker, but the Jays are set there with Alejandro Kirk.
The fun thing is this: The rest of Toronto’s returning position player group is made up of guys who are some combination of young, cheap, platoonable, and defensively versatile. In order to make the puzzle make sense, I’ve come up with a handy table.
| Player | C | 1B | 2B | 3B | SS | LF | CF | RF | DH |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Addison Barger | RHP | RHP | RHP | RHP | |||||
| Alejandro Kirk | |||||||||
| Andrés Giménez | RHP | ||||||||
| Anthony Santander | |||||||||
| Daulton Varsho | RHP | RHP | |||||||
| Davis Schneider | |||||||||
| Ernie Clement | LHP | ||||||||
| George Springer | |||||||||
| Kazuma Okamoto | |||||||||
| Nathan Lukes | |||||||||
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. | |||||||||
| Kyle Tucker | |||||||||
| Bo Bichette |
Red: Suboptimal defensively
Purple: Suboptimal offensively
Blue: Not currently on the roster
Can you make these pieces fit? Absolutely, if you’re willing to get creative.
I don’t think anyone wants Bichette to line up at shortstop every day going forward, but he could play second base, with Clement and Giménez sharing the load at short depending on the opponent and situation. You could use Clement, Barger, Bichette, Santander, Schneider, Lukes, and Giménez as a five-way platoon involving three quarters of the infield and both corner outfield spots. Casey Stengel’s clawing at the inside of his coffin trying to escape so he can come back to life and manage this team.
To be clear, the Blue Jays have had a good offseason even if they don’t spend another dime. The lineup as currently constituted, together with a strong rotation, should make Toronto an early favorite to repeat as AL Champions.
But if the Blue Jays wanted to add Tucker or Bichette, they’d be able to make it work. Think of how exciting that would be, both for Toronto fans and for Undead Casey Stengel.
Michael is a writer at FanGraphs. Previously, he was a staff writer at The Ringer and D1Baseball, and his work has appeared at Grantland, Baseball Prospectus, The Atlantic, ESPN.com, and various ill-remembered Phillies blogs. Follow him on Twitter, if you must, @MichaelBaumann.
Bichette would be a pretty expensive platoon player
He’d be the everyday 2B
From the article – “You could use Clement, Barger, Bichette, Santander, Schneider, Lukes, and Giménez as a five-way platoon involving three quarters of the infield and both corner outfield spots.”
I think the idea is Bichette plays SS against LHP and shifts to 2B to make room for Gimenez against RHP. So he’s involved in the platoon only in the sense that his position is. After all you can’t have five people in a three position platoon without one playing full time.
They would be better off just platooning Clement and Gimenez straight.
They’d be better off starting Clement. Past 2 years he has 5.3 WAR to Gimenez 3.8, and 96 wRC+ for Clement vs 78 for Gimenez.
You’re not even getting better offence from Gimenez vs RHP, they’ve been equal the past 2 years. Gimenez has a longer track record, but Clement has been better since 2024.
I can’t imagine there’s any meaningful difference defensively between the two. Clement played more innings at SS than Gimenez last year, so the Jays clearly trust him there.
Because Gimenez is a fabulous shortstop defender, he has more upside against right handed pitching, and because it doesn’t seem to affect Clement when you move him all over the field?
I guess you could just platoon Gimenez and some random dude at 2B but you would still have to move him whenever Clement sits or has to back up 3rd base.
Clement is also a fantastic defender at short, and he’s a better hitter at this point. Gimenez had that career year, and since then (2023-2025) he has an 85 wRC+ overall, and 89 wRC+ vs RHP. It has been 3 straight years of declining production. We are far enough away from the career year that we can pretty confidently say Gimenez isn’t likely gonna be much better than an 85 wRC+ bat.
Meanwhile, Clement has had back to back years better than 90 wRC+ overall, and 87 wRC+ the past 2 years vs RHP.
There isn’t an advantage to platooning Gimenez because Clement has been equally good vs RHP. I’d rather play the player who has produced well the last couple of years, then hand Gimenez at bats because he did something great in 2022.
The “random guy” I’d platoon Gimenez with is Davis Schneider.
Again this won’t matter unless the Jays sign Bichette, but the Jays are better off giving more PA to Clement (even vs RHP) than Gimenez.
i paid for premium just so i can tell you: shut up, nobody cares, log off.
Spahn’s famous quote, “I pitched for Casey Stengel before and after he was a genius”. Maybe he can also resurrect. Then he can say he pitched for Casey before and after death.
I think that if you’re signing Kyle Tucker a year after signing Anthony Santander you’re not so concerned about sunk cost. Between Tucker, Springer, and Santander someone’s going to get hurt anyway, and Santander has no trade value even if that wasn’t the case. Just, like…wait.
Bichette is a much cleaner fit with making the pieces work defensively because Gimenez seems to have left his ability to hit left-handed pitching in Cleveland, which means you can easily have Clement platoon with Gimenez and also let him spell Bichette (and maybe sometimes Okamoto) as well. Really, any middle infielder who hits left-handed pitching well would be fine here. Davis Schneider, for instance, might work out okay there if you can live with the defense (which might be fine, IDK, he hasn’t played there much).
And Tucker is a much better fit in terms of the lineup, because this team is already going to murder left-handed pitching with Vlad Jr, Springer, Clement (apparently), and now Okamoto. Right-handed pitching is a different story. It’s better than it was because they now have Barger and Varsho. But last year they relied on some wacky reverse splits from Springer against right handed pitching for offense. He’s been relatively platoon-neutral over his career but he’s not posting a 178 wRC+ against right handed pitching again.
Couldn’t agree more, also the regression gods are coming for Springer…
I’m surprised they are not more focused on the bullpen. Seems like that’s their biggest weakness at this point. But if money is no object, maybe they upgrade the bullpen and sign Bichette or Tucker.
They’ve got an interesting group with Rogers, Little, Hoffman, Fisher, Garcia, Varland, and Fluharty. Although the obsession with Varland is a little weird, and some of these guys didn’t pitch so well last year (Hoffman), these are a lot of players who have a recent track record of success and / or the stuff to do so. Even Tommy Nance was pretty good last year, something that doesn’t seem likely to continue but might anyway. Them plus Eric Lauer as a swingman pretty much rounds out the group.
It might be nice for them to get another guy to push everyone down the depth chart another rung, but most of the good ones out there still are left-handers.
“Undead Casey Stengel: new band name, I call it!”
– Andy Dwyer
You can’t keep Casey Stengel down
I’ve been embalmed but never frown
Soon I will be manager
Schneider power will soon go ‘way
Clement and Gimenez is an excellent middle infield but that offense woof. Gimenez and Clement put up a 75 and 80’s wRC’s vs righties respectively. Gimenez hasn’t really hit much since 2022 and Clement had his best offensive season of his career last year and was still a below average hitter by wRC+. I think if you bring in Tucker you can more than live with the offensively deficient middle infield though I can see Barger getting some reps at second though that won’t be pretty most likely. The Jays have 80 mil coming off the books after this year so they’ll have room to maneuver going forward. The only bad contract they have the next few years is Berrios’ really. I’d have them as the favorites for Tucker.
Oops forgot Santander that’s a very bad deal too
Tucker is the best long term fit. In 2027 you have:
Barger/Varsho/Tucker in the OF, assuming Varsho extends. Santander DH. Okamoto, Gimenez, Clement, Vlad and Kirk IF. Perfect. Platoons still exist with Schneider on the bench.
With Bichette it is weirder. Okamoto-Varsho-Barger OF, Santander DH, Clement (3B), Gimenez, Bichette, Vlad and Kirk IF.
The first group is likely better defensively and offensively. It is a way better long term to get Tucker.
As for 2026, Santander loses at bats for Tucker and finds a spot when there is an injured or under performing player. So he will still get a ton of ABs.
I love that chart
Wait … why is Gimenez not on the current roster? (Or, more likely, am I reading this incorrectly?)
Seems like an error.
The chart says Bichette and Tucker fit just fine. They’d replace Lukes with a backup catcher. The relievers might have to go multiple innings at times. They could do a 6 man rotation
Am I crazy for wanting to see Barger get some regular at bats versus LHPs?
Based on the eye test late last year he has upside against same side pitching and his defence is something the Jays should try to get on the field every day.
That depends on what you think of Santander. I’d not bother with Santander but he has to play at some point if he’s rostered.
I’d be surprised if more heavyweight teams don’t start signing more like LAD and constantly upgrade/optimize positions seemingly filled while worrying about fit and playing time later if health swings your way and there’s a true surplus
It’s reported that the Red Sox’s self described aggressive offer was for 5 years for a total of 165m it included significant deferrals that reportedly stretched decades which lol. Also refused to include a no-trade clause.
I’m not a fan of either Bregman or Bichette long term but Bichette honestly scares me more than Bregman despite being significantly younger. I wasn’t a fan of Bregman long term last off-season either.