FanGraphs Power Rankings: June 12–18
A bunch of teams have gone streaking up the standings and in these rankings this week, with the Giants making their first appearance in the top five and the Rays taking back the top spot from the Rangers.
A reminder for how these rankings are calculated: first, we take the three most important components of a team — their offense (wRC+), their pitching (a 50/50 blend of FIP- and RA9-, weighted by starter and reliever IP share), and their defense (RAA) — and combine them to create an overall team quality metric. I also add in a factor for “luck,” adjusting a team’s win percentage based on expected win-loss record. The result is a power ranking, which is then presented in tiers below.
Team | Record | “Luck” | wRC+ | SP- | RP- | RAA | Team Quality | Playoff Odds |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rays | 51-24 | 0 | 128 | 80 | 106 | 6 | 160 | 99.2% |
Rangers | 44-27 | -4 | 121 | 86 | 102 | 9 | 168 | 79.0% |
Neither the Rays or the Rangers had particularly good weeks last week; Tampa Bay split a series with an inspired A’s ballclub and then lost a series to the Padres, and Texas lost a big four-game series to the Angels before bouncing back against the Blue Jays over the weekend. Despite their excellent play this season, neither team has created much separation in their respective division races. The AL East has been competitive all season long, but the Rangers have let the Angels back into the AL West picture with that series loss. Read the rest of this entry »