San Diego Hatches a Manaea-cal Plot in Trade With A’s

If you thought the Padres were done tinkering with the starting rotation, you thought wrong. On Sunday morning, San Diego agreed to a deal with the Athletics, acquiring pitchers Sean Manaea and Aaron Holiday in exchange for pitcher Adrian Martinez and infielder Euribiel Angeles.
In a season in which teams continued to be conservative at stretching out their starting pitchers, the A’s were more aggressive with the injury-prone Manaea last year. Over the short-term, that proved to be successful, as he remained healthy and threw 179 1/3 innings, his most as a professional. The plaudits aren’t just quantity; he set career-highs all over the place, from WAR (3.3) to full-season FIP (3.66) to strikeout rate (25.7%).
How did Manaea do it? The likeliest reason is velocity. No, he didn’t suddenly become Aroldis Chapman or Brusdar Graterol, but every pitcher — with the possible exception of knuckleballers — requires some level of velocity to achieve effectiveness. In Manaea’s career there’s nearly a 100-point delta in batter slugging percentage between his sinkers going 91 mph or slower (.491) and those traveling 92 mph or faster (.397). On a player-to-player comparison, I get in the neighborhood of 40 points of SLG being the norm.
Similarly, Manaea also gets a lot more strikeouts when he’s throwing harder. More than three-quarters of his career strikeouts from sinkers come from the harder ones despite less than half of his sinkers being in the category. It’s not just chicken-and-egg; this pattern existed prior to this season. Sinkers aren’t traditionally used to punch out batters, but for Manaea, they’re an important weapon. Statcast credits him with 114 strikeouts on sinkers in 2021, the third-most of the Statcast era and the most since Chris Sale had 124 in 2015 (David Price has the crown with 125 in 2014).
It’s not even that Manaea’s sinker is a particularly nasty pitch, such as a splitter in fastball’s clothing; he actually gets less break on his than the average pitcher. It’s that his deceptive delivery and his excellent control basically function as a force multiplier to his velocity, effectively reducing the distance between the mound and home plate. Even a 30-mph fastball can strike out Juan Soto if you get to determine the sliver of time he has to make a decision. Read the rest of this entry »
Emmanuel Clase Opts For Security

While the period for extensions is usually longer, this year’s circumstances have made it a brief one, squeezed between a flurry of arbitration hearings and the upcoming baseball season. That doesn’t mean there’s been a shortage, though; according to Spotrac, the 32 extensions signed so far in 2022 marks the highest total since 40 were agreed to in 2019. While I first assumed a much lower number, it’s important to remember some were signed pre-lockout, like with Byron Buxton and José Berríos.
Anyhow, here’s one I found interesting. Having completed his rookie campaign in 2021, Guardians closer Emmanuel Clase was slated to become arbitration-eligible ahead of ‘24, followed by an entry into the open market in ‘26. But an extension has wiped those years out and possibly more. Per Joel Sherman of the New York Post, Clase is guaranteed $20 million over five years. There are two options, worth $10 million apiece, that can either cover his first two years of free agency (2027 and ’28), or be bought out for $2 million each.
Some minor details include a $2 million signing bonus and escalators that can take the options to $13 million. The main point, though, is this is a long, affordable commitment made at the genesis of a player’s career, starting at pre-arbitration and possibly ending several years later. From the Guardians’ perspective, they’ve locked up a star reliever for cheap. But from Clase’s perspective, one has to wonder if he’s leaving money on the table. The future is hazy this early in someone’s career, but when said career has been brilliant thus far, the “what could have been” takes over. Read the rest of this entry »
Dodgers Land Kimbrel to Close, White Sox Add Pollock to Outfield

Having lost Kenley Jansen to the Braves via free agency, the Dodgers felt that they needed a closer, and that they had an outfielder to spare. Feeling uncertain about outfield depth in the wake of Andrew Vaughn’s hip injury, the White Sox were willing to part with a pricey setup man. Fittingly, then, the two contenders teamed up on a trade on Friday, with Chicago sending Craig Kimbrel to Los Angeles in exchange for AJ Pollock.
The 33-year-old Kimbrel spent less than half a season with the White Sox after being acquired from the Cubs in a crosstown deal at last year’s trade deadline, in exchange for second baseman Nick Madrigal and righty reliever Codi Heuer. Where Kimbrel had built on a late-2020 rebound and dominated for the Cubs — posting a 0.49 ERA, converting 23 out of 25 save chances, and making his eighth All-Star team — he slotted into a setup role in front of All-Star closer Liam Hendricks with the White Sox, notching just one save and getting hit for a 5.09 ERA. At least on paper, the Sox appeared ready to utilize a similar arrangement this year, though paying Hendriks $13 million and Kimbrel $16 million made for a particularly pricey late-inning combination.
Even with the late-season hiccups, Kimbrel still finished with his best rate stats since 2017 via a 2.26 ERA, 2.43 FIP, 42.6% strikeout rate, 9.8% walk rate, and 32.8% strikeout-walk differential. Among relievers, only Josh Hader had a higher strikeout rate, and only Hendriks, Hader, and Raisel Iglesias had a better strikeout-walk differential.
The 59.2-inning workload was Kimbrel’s largest since 2018; after helping the Red Sox win the World Series in what was a comparatively lackluster season, he didn’t sign with the Cubs until June 6, 2019, after the draft pick compensation that encumbered his free agency had expired. He threw just 36 innings in 2019–20, with a 6.00 ERA and 6.29 FIP, but during the latter season, the Cubs identified a mechanical issue. “Kimbrel was getting too rotational and was flying open early,” as The Athletic’s Sahadev Sharma described it in March 2021. “This led to multiple issues, all connected in various ways: his arm slot dropped, he was pulling his fastball, his velocity was dipping and he had no control of his breaking ball.” Read the rest of this entry »
2022 Positional Power Rankings: Bullpen (No. 1-15)

Earlier today, Eric Longenhagen kicked off our reliever rankings. Now we’ll take a look at the bullpens projected to be baseball’s best.
If you were hoping to see the rise in bullpen innings start to really reverse itself in 2021, you were no doubt disappointed. The percentage of all innings thrown by relievers did tick below 2020’s 44.5%, dropping to 42.7% last year, but it remained higher than in previous seasons. The differences from the past are even larger when you take into account that the zombie runner rule of 2020 and ’21 (and ’22, grrrrr) lopped off some reliever innings, artificially holding down the percentages. Don’t expect the trend to meaningfully reverse itself any time soon. Teams have extensive relief corps, and short of a dramatic rule/roster change, there’s little incentive for them to revert back to an older style of bullpen usage.
That doesn’t mean that things will always stay the same, however. Just as the Ace Reliever era eventually translated into the Modern Closer era, the idea of the closer as a superhuman entity at the front of the bullpen has and will continue to erode. That’s not to say there won’t still be elite relievers who get tons of save opportunities, just that the meaning of the word “closer” will continue to shift away from describing veterans like Todd Jones or Joe Borowski, among a multitude of others, who got high-leverage opportunities their performances didn’t warrant. Baseball’s top 20 closers combined for just 570 saves in 2021, the lowest number in a full season since 1987. The elite closer peaked around 20 years ago, with the top 20 closers combining for 788 saves in 2002. Save totals aren’t dramatically down (1,191 total last season vs. 1,224 in 2002), we’ve just seen the sanctity of the role of those collecting them fade. Read the rest of this entry »
2022 Positional Power Rankings: Bullpen (No. 16-30)

Last week, we ranked the game’s position players. This week, we turn our attention to the pitchers, starting with the bullpens in the bottom half of the reliever rankings.
As I said last year during this exercise, there are some positions for which an obvious, wide gap exists between the top teams and the bottom, where we can more definitively say that some teams are better than others. For instance, it’s clear the best third base situation belongs to the Guardians because of José Ramírez, and that the Phillies and Dodgers should be near the top of the catcher rankings due to J.T. Realmuto and Will Smith. Relief pitching is not one of those positions. Sure, we have the bullpens ranked, and you can see their statistical projections above and below, but be sure to also notice how thin the margins are here, and consider that relievers are generally volatile. I’ve indicated where I think the projection systems are under- or over-estimating these groups.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dylan Floro | 56 | 8.0 | 3.2 | 0.8 | .295 | 72.7% | 3.73 | 3.74 | 0.6 |
Anthony Bender | 63 | 9.7 | 3.7 | 1.0 | .293 | 73.0% | 3.81 | 3.85 | 0.5 |
Anthony Bass | 63 | 8.6 | 3.5 | 1.2 | .290 | 72.5% | 4.24 | 4.36 | 0.0 |
Cole Sulser | 62 | 9.9 | 3.6 | 1.4 | .287 | 74.3% | 4.08 | 4.19 | 0.2 |
Richard Bleier | 61 | 6.6 | 1.9 | 0.8 | .299 | 72.3% | 3.55 | 3.63 | 0.4 |
Tanner Scott | 60 | 11.3 | 4.9 | 0.9 | .301 | 75.6% | 3.64 | 3.80 | 0.3 |
Zach Pop | 55 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.0 | .298 | 72.2% | 4.13 | 4.30 | 0.0 |
Steven Okert | 46 | 9.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 | .285 | 73.2% | 4.17 | 4.31 | 0.1 |
Louis Head | 42 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 | .288 | 71.9% | 4.24 | 4.35 | 0.0 |
Cody Poteet | 30 | 7.9 | 3.5 | 1.5 | .290 | 69.9% | 4.86 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
Jordan Holloway | 28 | 8.6 | 5.6 | 1.1 | .290 | 71.3% | 4.81 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
Braxton Garrett | 26 | 8.0 | 3.8 | 1.2 | .298 | 72.0% | 4.51 | 4.59 | -0.0 |
Edward Cabrera | 22 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 1.2 | .294 | 73.2% | 4.20 | 4.28 | 0.0 |
Paul Campbell | 18 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 1.5 | .295 | 69.9% | 4.94 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
Jesús Luzardo | 16 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.4 | .299 | 72.9% | 4.42 | 4.51 | -0.0 |
Max Meyer | 15 | 8.1 | 3.8 | 1.1 | .299 | 71.8% | 4.29 | 4.30 | 0.0 |
Shawn Armstrong | 12 | 9.7 | 3.4 | 1.3 | .295 | 73.4% | 4.14 | 4.18 | 0.0 |
Tommy Nance | 11 | 8.9 | 3.9 | 1.0 | .298 | 72.1% | 4.16 | 4.13 | 0.0 |
Sixto Sánchez | 10 | 7.9 | 2.5 | 1.0 | .295 | 72.0% | 3.81 | 3.81 | 0.0 |
Nick Neidert | 8 | 6.4 | 3.7 | 1.5 | .292 | 69.7% | 5.18 | 5.35 | -0.0 |
Sean Guenther | 6 | 7.6 | 3.0 | 1.2 | .297 | 72.4% | 4.23 | 4.34 | 0.0 |
Total | 587 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.1 | .292 | 74.3% | 3.82 | 4.01 | 2.2 |
The Marlins have made a clear effort to add stable, short-term veterans like Dylan Floro, Anthony Bass, Louis Head, and Richard Bleier while also taking fliers on big velocity closer to their roster’s fringe (Rule 5’ing Zach Pop; signing Anthony Bender, who has become integral; adding Jimmy Yacabonis, Tommy Nance, and Aneurys Zabala). This org has leaned almost completely away from backspinning, carrying style fastballs and into sinkers, with only converted outfielder Sean Guenther and the newly acquired Cole Sulser working with a backspinning heater.
That’s fascinating and also potentially a problem, since pitchers with sinker shape fastballs tend to miss fewer bats than their backspinning counterparts, and arm slot/stylistic diversity would seem to be an advantage for bullpens. Miami lacks this, and will parade heavy fastball after heavy fastball out of their bullpen, though changeup artist Nick Neidert makes for an interesting change of pace option in long relief.
The shape of the movement on Sulser’s breaking ball and changeup both changed in 2021 and he had a career season at age 31. Hard-throwing enigma Tanner Scott, also acquired Sunday, had an ERA over 5.00 last year but his xFIP was closer to 4.00. He’s always going to have issues with walks, but his rare lefty velocity and plus-plus slider give him a shot to have dominant stretches when his delivery is clicking. It feels like he’s been around forever but Scott is only just on the precipice of his arbitration years.
It’s possible that a combination of injuries and team need will lead to one or both of Edward Cabrera and Sixto Sánchez ending the year as Miami’s high-leverage options coming out of the ‘pen. Those two have such incredible stuff that they could be dominant despite their fastballs’ underlying blemishes, and the young Marlins rotation may be tough to crack.
Having swingman Cody Poteet back for the entire year makes Miami’s group of swingman/long relief types deep with homegrown guys who have come up as starters, with Brax Garrett, Neidert, and Jordan Holloway fitting that bill as well.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lucas Sims | 58 | 12.9 | 4.2 | 1.4 | .289 | 76.4% | 3.81 | 3.88 | 1.0 |
Luis Cessa | 68 | 8.2 | 3.3 | 1.3 | .299 | 71.1% | 4.57 | 4.44 | 0.3 |
Justin Wilson | 64 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 1.5 | .298 | 72.1% | 4.90 | 4.96 | -0.1 |
Art Warren | 62 | 11.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 | .295 | 75.2% | 3.67 | 3.65 | 0.7 |
Hunter Strickland | 61 | 9.0 | 3.7 | 1.8 | .291 | 70.8% | 5.07 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
Tony Santillan | 61 | 10.3 | 4.4 | 1.5 | .295 | 72.3% | 4.72 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
Jeff Hoffman | 56 | 10.4 | 4.4 | 1.5 | .300 | 72.9% | 4.62 | 4.58 | 0.0 |
Dauri Moreta | 46 | 8.7 | 3.2 | 1.5 | .295 | 71.0% | 4.69 | 4.64 | 0.0 |
Ryan Hendrix | 36 | 9.8 | 4.8 | 1.4 | .303 | 71.7% | 4.88 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
Alexis Diaz | 32 | 9.8 | 4.9 | 1.3 | .296 | 72.0% | 4.67 | 4.70 | 0.0 |
Buck Farmer | 27 | 8.8 | 4.1 | 1.7 | .298 | 71.3% | 5.23 | 5.27 | -0.0 |
Kyle Zimmer | 23 | 9.1 | 5.3 | 1.4 | .298 | 72.2% | 4.91 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
Reiver Sanmartin | 20 | 7.9 | 2.9 | 1.4 | .303 | 72.0% | 4.46 | 4.50 | 0.0 |
Joel Kuhnel | 16 | 8.5 | 3.8 | 1.7 | .299 | 71.1% | 5.16 | 5.12 | -0.0 |
Trey Wingenter | 12 | 11.9 | 4.9 | 1.5 | .290 | 74.2% | 4.44 | 4.45 | 0.0 |
Riley O’Brien | 8 | 8.7 | 4.4 | 1.7 | .298 | 70.3% | 5.29 | 5.29 | -0.0 |
Graham Ashcraft | 4 | 8.3 | 3.6 | 1.3 | .303 | 70.9% | 4.68 | 4.61 | 0.0 |
Total | 571 | 10.0 | 4.0 | 1.5 | .296 | 73.5% | 4.48 | 4.52 | 2.0 |
This group is both extremely right-handed and in flux as the Reds rebuild. Lucas Sims has found consistency in the Reds ‘pen with his reworked arm action. His set a career-high in fastball velocity, slider usage, and strikeout rate last season. Luis Cessa was a middle-inning stalwart in New York for a long time and should be a four-to-six out option here. Jeff Hoffman is the higher-variance version of that multi-inning relief profile. The Reds gave Hoffman a slider in lieu of his curveball when they acquired him from Colorado, and his strikeout rate increased last year, but he still walks too many guys.
Justin Wilson had shoulder and hamstring issues in 2021 and had his worst season. He’s had injuries limit him to fewer than 40 innings in each of the last two complete seasons.
Watch Art Warren here. After dealing with many injuries and velo fluctuations in Seattle, he seems to have stabilized and was dominant across a small sample in the big leagues last year. He sits 95 mph and has a plus slider, which he throws nearly 60% of the time.
The Reds are Hunter Strickland’s seventh org since 2019, and his once prodigious velocity is now closer to average.
Tony Santillan and Ryan Hendrix are both mid-90s with a slider types. Young Dauri Moreta is a little athletic guy who fills the zone. Trey Wingenter looks svelte and sat 97-99 mph in my live looks at him this spring, but his command is all over the place. Reiver Sanmartin is more likely to pitch in the rotation than work out of the bullpen, unless some of the younger prospects bubble up through the system throughout the year.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Gregory Soto | 68 | 10.9 | 5.0 | 1.0 | .295 | 74.3% | 3.90 | 3.93 | 0.7 |
Andrew Chafin | 60 | 8.7 | 3.2 | 1.0 | .290 | 71.7% | 3.98 | 3.95 | 0.6 |
Michael Fulmer | 63 | 8.8 | 3.0 | 1.2 | .299 | 72.7% | 4.06 | 4.09 | 0.6 |
José Cisnero | 61 | 9.3 | 4.4 | 1.1 | .292 | 72.8% | 4.21 | 4.33 | 0.3 |
Alex Lange | 61 | 8.6 | 4.7 | 1.1 | .300 | 70.8% | 4.66 | 4.60 | -0.0 |
Kyle Funkhouser | 54 | 8.5 | 4.9 | 1.2 | .299 | 71.4% | 4.73 | 4.76 | -0.1 |
Joe Jiménez | 52 | 10.5 | 4.4 | 1.4 | .290 | 71.8% | 4.53 | 4.58 | 0.0 |
Tyler Alexander | 44 | 7.6 | 2.5 | 1.4 | .295 | 71.1% | 4.53 | 4.53 | 0.0 |
Jason Foley | 38 | 7.3 | 4.4 | 1.2 | .300 | 70.2% | 4.83 | 4.92 | -0.1 |
Rony García | 34 | 7.9 | 3.8 | 1.8 | .294 | 69.7% | 5.41 | 5.38 | -0.1 |
Jacob Barnes | 32 | 8.7 | 3.6 | 1.2 | .301 | 72.8% | 4.36 | 4.35 | 0.0 |
Bryan Garcia | 28 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 1.5 | .296 | 69.6% | 5.38 | 5.43 | -0.1 |
Drew Hutchison | 24 | 7.2 | 3.7 | 1.4 | .297 | 70.2% | 4.90 | 4.91 | -0.0 |
Wily Peralta | 22 | 6.7 | 3.9 | 1.3 | .295 | 70.2% | 4.87 | 4.95 | -0.0 |
Miguel Del Pozo | 18 | 9.0 | 4.3 | 1.3 | .299 | 71.4% | 4.63 | 4.60 | 0.0 |
Ricardo Pinto | 14 | 6.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | .299 | 69.8% | 4.90 | 4.90 | -0.0 |
Miguel Diaz | 10 | 8.9 | 4.5 | 1.4 | .291 | 70.7% | 4.85 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
Elvin Rodriguez | 8 | 7.1 | 3.7 | 1.6 | .293 | 68.5% | 5.41 | 5.36 | -0.0 |
Alex Faedo | 4 | 8.5 | 2.6 | 1.6 | .293 | 72.5% | 4.59 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
Total | 601 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 | .295 | 72.5% | 4.36 | 4.45 | 1.9 |
While he obviously has closer-quality stuff, can Gregory Soto execute with the consistency of a contending team’s closer? I’m skeptical. Alex Lange is a dark horse candidate to supplant him by the end of the year. While his fastball doesn’t miss a ton of bats, both of Lange’s secondaries generated swinging strike rates in excess of 22% last year. If any of Kyle Funkhouser (16% BB% last season), Joe Jiménez (nearly 17% BB%) or José Cisnero (12% BB%, has dealt with elbow issues this spring) progress from a strike-throwing standpoint, they’re all candidates to be the first bullpen banana by the end of the year, as they all have huge stuff. For this relief corps to hang with those of the true contenders, several of them would need to take that step.
Andrew Chafin, who signed with Detroit in March, has been a steady primary lefty option out of big league bullpens since 2014 and is coming off a career-high innings total and career-low ERA. He’ll begin the season on the IL with a groin injury, but isn’t expected to be out for long. After he had dealt with consistent injury, Michael Fulmer’s arm strength seemed to be all the way back last year, as he sat 95.7 mph, up nearly three ticks from his 2020 fastball velo. He’s been averaging only about 92 so far this spring, though.
While the Tigers have built good-looking starter depth such that they can deal with the typical rate of injury while keeping pace with the other American League Central teams, that depth doesn’t seem to exist in their bullpen.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Paul Sewald | 67 | 11.7 | 3.2 | 1.4 | .286 | 75.1% | 3.78 | 3.69 | 0.9 |
Drew Steckenrider | 66 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | .280 | 71.9% | 4.37 | 4.55 | 0.1 |
Diego Castillo | 65 | 9.6 | 4.0 | 1.2 | .288 | 74.7% | 4.00 | 4.24 | 0.2 |
Anthony Misiewicz | 60 | 8.8 | 2.7 | 1.4 | .295 | 73.2% | 4.22 | 4.30 | 0.1 |
Sergio Romo | 60 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 1.5 | .288 | 72.1% | 4.49 | 4.56 | 0.0 |
Andrés Muñoz | 56 | 12.3 | 4.7 | 1.3 | .291 | 76.3% | 3.82 | 3.99 | 0.2 |
Erik Swanson | 52 | 9.3 | 2.8 | 1.6 | .285 | 72.3% | 4.42 | 4.46 | 0.0 |
Justus Sheffield | 42 | 8.1 | 4.1 | 1.2 | .300 | 72.6% | 4.53 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
Ken Giles | 40 | 10.8 | 3.0 | 1.3 | .287 | 75.9% | 3.69 | 3.73 | 0.1 |
Yohan Ramirez | 32 | 10.9 | 5.9 | 1.2 | .283 | 74.0% | 4.38 | 4.65 | 0.0 |
Devin Sweet | 24 | 8.4 | 3.0 | 1.5 | .291 | 72.7% | 4.55 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
Wyatt Mills | 22 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.1 | .294 | 74.3% | 3.88 | 4.01 | 0.0 |
Matthew Festa | 18 | 8.5 | 3.7 | 1.4 | .291 | 72.7% | 4.55 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
Matt Brash | 15 | 9.0 | 4.0 | 1.3 | .288 | 72.4% | 4.35 | 4.50 | -0.0 |
Nick Margevicius | 14 | 7.4 | 2.8 | 1.4 | .295 | 70.9% | 4.63 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
Roenis Elías | 12 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.4 | .285 | 73.2% | 4.38 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
Joey Gerber | 10 | 8.8 | 4.2 | 1.3 | .291 | 73.8% | 4.41 | 4.62 | -0.0 |
Penn Murfee | 8 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 | .294 | 72.5% | 4.25 | 4.34 | 0.0 |
Total | 554 | 9.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | .286 | 75.4% | 3.95 | 4.17 | 1.8 |
The Mariners’ combination of depth and high-end options might suffice to come away with enough tightly contested games to contend for their division crown, though we probably shouldn’t expect them to quite replicate last year’s 33-19 record in one-run games. Paul Sewald was still only sitting 91-92 mph in my live looks this spring, but the angle of his fastball and Sewald’s command of it make his power pitcher rebirth a viable mode of operation. Diego Castillo and Drew Steckenrider have upper-90s heat and late-inning experience, while Andrés Muñoz has been pumping 99-101 mph this spring and might be the best weapon in this bullpen by the end of the year if he can harness his slider.
Maybe some of Sergio Romo’s legendary slider command will rub off on Muñoz. The 39-year-old vet is still a viable middle-inning option and will present an awkward mid-game change of pace to opposing hitters. His addition here is a sign Wyatt Mills isn’t quite ready.
Anthony Misiewicz (pronounced mih-SEV-itch) is an athletic, multi-pitch lefty with a great arm action. He, Justus Sheffield, and Erik Swanson (Misiewicz is easily the best athlete of those three) all have starting experience but Sheffield is the one most likely to work multiple innings in relief. Matthew Festa has bounced back a bit and was sitting 90-92 mph during the spring.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Emmanuel Clase | 68 | 10.6 | 2.7 | 0.6 | .296 | 77.5% | 2.71 | 2.71 | 1.9 |
Bryan Shaw | 72 | 8.2 | 4.3 | 1.3 | .297 | 71.6% | 4.69 | 4.72 | -0.3 |
Nick Sandlin | 64 | 11.2 | 4.8 | 1.1 | .290 | 75.1% | 3.92 | 4.14 | 0.3 |
Anthony Gose | 62 | 11.0 | 7.9 | 1.4 | .295 | 69.4% | 5.91 | 5.58 | -0.8 |
Trevor Stephan | 60 | 10.2 | 4.0 | 1.6 | .296 | 72.4% | 4.65 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
James Karinchak | 56 | 13.3 | 4.5 | 1.0 | .288 | 77.7% | 3.34 | 3.34 | 0.5 |
Sam Hentges | 48 | 8.6 | 4.3 | 1.4 | .302 | 71.8% | 4.81 | 4.82 | -0.0 |
Logan Allen | 44 | 7.7 | 3.8 | 1.4 | .301 | 70.7% | 4.86 | 4.87 | -0.1 |
Konnor Pilkington | 36 | 8.9 | 4.0 | 1.3 | .296 | 72.6% | 4.42 | 4.53 | -0.0 |
Nick Mikolajchak | 32 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 1.6 | .291 | 73.4% | 4.48 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
Enyel De Los Santos | 28 | 9.8 | 3.7 | 1.5 | .298 | 72.9% | 4.46 | 4.49 | 0.0 |
Ian Gibaut | 25 | 8.9 | 4.1 | 1.2 | .300 | 72.1% | 4.46 | 4.51 | 0.0 |
Eli Morgan | 20 | 8.1 | 2.8 | 1.8 | .291 | 70.1% | 5.09 | 5.08 | -0.0 |
Cody Morris | 14 | 9.3 | 3.3 | 1.3 | .296 | 72.9% | 4.17 | 4.17 | 0.0 |
Adam Scott | 12 | 8.5 | 3.6 | 1.6 | .292 | 72.3% | 4.79 | 4.96 | -0.0 |
Justin Garza | 8 | 8.4 | 5.0 | 1.7 | .294 | 69.8% | 5.52 | 5.50 | -0.0 |
Total | 556 | 10.0 | 4.3 | 1.2 | .295 | 74.1% | 4.21 | 4.29 | 1.6 |
The Guardians feel as though they’re ranked too low relative to the quality of their stuff. Emmanuel Clase agreed to a five-year extension over the weekend. His 100 mph cutter is an elite, unique weapon, and Clase is the most electric of a very entertaining group in Cleveland.
James Karinchak and Nick Mikolajchak (if you pronounce it like “Michael Logic,” then you’re pretty close) each have fastballs with gigantic carry, though Karinchak’s stuff was less explosive after sticky stuff enforcement picked up last year. Young Mikolajchak has a chance to be a late-inning weapon thanks to his fastball’s riding action and his plus-plus slider.
Converted outfielder Anthony Gose also has premium stuff if we’re looking at fastball velocity and breaking ball shape, but he’s never commanded either pitch well enough to establish himself since he made the switch to the mound five years ago. Submariner Nick Sandlin was a starter in college and adds to this relief corps’ fun factor. Power lefty Sam Hentges might break out in a relief role, as he’ll be allowed to inelegantly bully hitters with his upper-90s gas.
Cutter maestro Bryan Shaw is in year two of his second tour of duty with Cleveland and still performs like a stable middle relief piece. Former Rule 5 pick Trevor Stephan is a traditional mid-90s/slider sixth- or seventh-inning type.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Giovanny Gallegos | 76 | 10.8 | 2.7 | 1.2 | .276 | 74.8% | 3.45 | 3.50 | 1.3 |
Génesis Cabrera | 68 | 10.3 | 4.3 | 1.2 | .284 | 74.7% | 3.93 | 4.22 | 0.3 |
Ryan Helsley | 64 | 9.2 | 4.6 | 1.3 | .286 | 73.1% | 4.41 | 4.59 | -0.1 |
Nick Wittgren | 60 | 8.6 | 3.0 | 1.3 | .288 | 73.1% | 4.16 | 4.36 | -0.0 |
T.J. McFarland | 56 | 5.8 | 3.0 | 1.1 | .295 | 71.6% | 4.31 | 4.54 | -0.1 |
Jordan Hicks | 55 | 9.9 | 5.0 | 0.9 | .290 | 73.6% | 3.88 | 4.06 | 0.1 |
Aaron Brooks | 55 | 7.1 | 2.9 | 1.4 | .292 | 71.0% | 4.61 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
Drew VerHagen | 54 | 7.2 | 3.2 | 1.3 | .292 | 71.4% | 4.50 | 4.69 | -0.1 |
Alex Reyes | 40 | 11.6 | 5.3 | 1.1 | .283 | 75.3% | 3.93 | 4.09 | 0.1 |
Kodi Whitley | 37 | 9.0 | 3.9 | 1.3 | .286 | 72.8% | 4.28 | 4.44 | -0.0 |
Jake Woodford | 26 | 6.8 | 3.7 | 1.6 | .286 | 70.4% | 5.10 | 5.35 | -0.1 |
Blake Parker | 22 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 1.3 | .289 | 71.8% | 4.29 | 4.36 | 0.0 |
Johan Oviedo | 18 | 7.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 | .294 | 71.8% | 4.59 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
Junior Fernández | 15 | 8.7 | 4.5 | 1.0 | .291 | 72.4% | 4.18 | 4.38 | -0.0 |
Connor Thomas | 13 | 7.0 | 2.7 | 1.0 | .297 | 72.6% | 3.99 | 4.18 | 0.0 |
T.J. Zeuch | 12 | 6.3 | 3.1 | 1.3 | .293 | 70.5% | 4.64 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
Dakota Hudson | 8 | 6.5 | 3.9 | 1.0 | .288 | 71.1% | 4.38 | 4.67 | -0.0 |
Angel Rondón | 4 | 7.2 | 3.0 | 1.4 | .289 | 72.1% | 4.49 | 4.73 | -0.0 |
Total | 546 | 8.7 | 3.5 | 1.2 | .285 | 74.8% | 3.87 | 4.19 | 1.6 |
There’s talent and volatility to the extreme in this group, such that I would not be surprised if it was one of the best five bullpens in baseball when the year concludes. All of Ryan Helsley, Alex Reyes, Giovanny Gallegos, Jordan Hicks, Génesis Cabrera, and even a healthy, in-shape Kodi Whitley have closer-quality stuff, but all of them have dealt with injury or fluctuations in that stuff. If this entire group is banging on all cylinders, it will be a contender-quality bullpen, though it has already taken a hit, as Reyes has a frayed labrum and was just put on the 60-day IL.
Gallegos’ velocity dipped in the middle of last year, when he was part of ongoing trade rumors, then resurged toward the end of the season; he again finished with a FIP under 3.00. Cabrera has three plus pitches and 30-grade control. Helsley and Hicks have each dealt with myriad injuries throughout their careers, but look healthy this spring. Hicks was only sitting in the mid-90s during the 2021 Fall League, but he’s been sitting 99-101 mph as he tunes up in Eastern Florida; Helsley has been sitting 95-98. Both sinkerballers figure to work late innings here, and the hard-throwing hydra of Gallegos, Cabrera, Helsley and Hicks has the feel of a contender’s late-inning contingent.
Whitley or Junior Fernández could conceivably join that group. Whitley has only been sitting 91-94 mph this spring but his fastball’s carry and angle allow him to pump it past hitters at the letters, and his changeup is plus, as is Fernández’s.
Buttressing that group are the steady Nick Wittgren and T.J. McFarland. McFarland is the Platonic ideal of the second bullpen lefty, while Wittgren is an efficient, strike-throwing middle-inning option. Aaron Brooks and Drew VerHagen are the latest in a streak of Cardinals signed out of pro ball in Asia. Brooks (coming back from the KBO’s Kia Tigers) has a four-pitch mix and can really spin it, but he lost a tick of velo from 2020 to ’21. VerHagen’s delivery changed in Japan and he’s projected to open the season in the rotation, but could work a few innings in relief if Jack Flaherty comes back from injury in short order.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Tyler Rogers | 77 | 6.1 | 2.6 | 0.9 | .300 | 70.7% | 4.12 | 4.16 | 0.2 |
Camilo Doval | 67 | 11.0 | 5.1 | 0.8 | .297 | 74.3% | 3.75 | 3.83 | 0.4 |
Jake McGee | 66 | 9.1 | 2.4 | 1.4 | .289 | 72.5% | 4.08 | 4.10 | 0.4 |
Dominic Leone | 62 | 9.9 | 4.1 | 1.2 | .295 | 72.5% | 4.30 | 4.20 | 0.1 |
Jarlín García | 66 | 8.3 | 3.1 | 1.1 | .287 | 71.9% | 4.08 | 4.12 | 0.1 |
Zack Littell | 54 | 9.0 | 3.6 | 1.3 | .294 | 72.6% | 4.30 | 4.34 | -0.0 |
José Álvarez | 52 | 7.1 | 3.3 | 1.0 | .299 | 71.9% | 4.11 | 4.17 | 0.1 |
Jakob Junis | 47 | 8.7 | 2.6 | 1.4 | .302 | 71.5% | 4.40 | 4.30 | 0.0 |
Matthew Boyd | 42 | 9.8 | 2.5 | 1.4 | .296 | 73.0% | 4.07 | 4.00 | 0.1 |
Kervin Castro | 40 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 | .298 | 71.9% | 4.30 | 4.27 | 0.0 |
Carlos Martínez | 36 | 7.2 | 3.6 | 1.2 | .305 | 70.0% | 4.70 | 4.65 | -0.0 |
John Brebbia | 27 | 10.2 | 3.2 | 1.4 | .294 | 74.9% | 4.10 | 4.13 | 0.0 |
Tyler Beede | 22 | 8.7 | 5.0 | 1.3 | .302 | 70.6% | 4.98 | 4.94 | -0.1 |
Sammy Long | 18 | 8.5 | 3.5 | 1.3 | .295 | 71.8% | 4.42 | 4.46 | -0.0 |
Patrick Ruotolo | 11 | 9.3 | 3.5 | 1.2 | .292 | 72.4% | 4.17 | 4.18 | 0.0 |
Trevor Hildenberger | 8 | 8.0 | 4.2 | 1.2 | .306 | 70.0% | 4.90 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
Gregory Santos | 4 | 9.3 | 3.8 | 1.1 | .299 | 71.2% | 4.22 | 4.12 | 0.0 |
Total | 569 | 8.7 | 3.1 | 1.1 | .295 | 73.8% | 3.92 | 4.01 | 1.5 |
If the sidewinding Camilo Doval can continue to locate his slider with the consistency he found late last year, he’ll be one of the best relievers in baseball. That was not a feature of his skillset until crunch time in 2021.
Skee-Ball style righty Tyler Rogers is the most important pitcher in the game for your casual baseball-watching friends and family to see, as he defies all convention. As baseball becomes more fixated on low release heights, will we see more pitchers who use this style of bowling? And if we do, will hitters start to become more comfortable against them? In any event, Doval, Rogers, and 35-year-old Jake McGee (in year two of his deal, with a club option for 2023) figure to work in the back of this bullpen.
Like chunks of their big league roster, the Giants relief corp features several pieces who were squeezed off other clubs’ rosters. Veteran journeyman Dominic Leone’s fastball averaged a career-high 95 mph last year, and the same was true for former Twin Zack Littell. Former Marlin Jarlín García finally started leaning on his changeup (which was projected to be his best pitch while he was a prospect) in 2021 and posted a career-high strikeout rate. Groundball machine José Álvarez started using his changeup more often while he was with the Phillies, a trend which has continued with San Francisco.
New names here include Matthew Boyd (from Detroit) and Jakob Junis (from Kansas City). Junis’ repertoire shifted to include more cutters last year, and he had a career best season. Boyd will start the year on the IL. Converted catcher Kervin Castro made his debut last year, and sat 94-95 mph with a big curveball again this spring.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rowan Wick | 64 | 9.9 | 4.3 | 1.2 | .294 | 74.3% | 4.08 | 4.19 | 0.3 |
Chris Martin | 63 | 7.9 | 1.9 | 1.3 | .301 | 73.1% | 4.05 | 4.05 | 0.4 |
Mychal Givens | 63 | 10.4 | 4.3 | 1.4 | .289 | 72.0% | 4.49 | 4.43 | 0.1 |
David Robertson | 56 | 9.9 | 3.8 | 1.1 | .300 | 71.7% | 4.20 | 3.93 | 0.4 |
Daniel Norris | 55 | 9.2 | 3.5 | 1.2 | .298 | 73.7% | 4.09 | 4.15 | 0.2 |
Jesse Chavez | 52 | 8.3 | 2.9 | 1.5 | .292 | 72.4% | 4.43 | 4.52 | -0.0 |
Scott Effross | 48 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 1.4 | .301 | 70.4% | 4.70 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
Keegan Thompson | 38 | 8.5 | 4.2 | 1.6 | .296 | 71.1% | 5.03 | 5.07 | -0.1 |
Michael Rucker | 32 | 8.7 | 3.3 | 1.4 | .302 | 71.3% | 4.65 | 4.57 | -0.0 |
Steven Brault | 30 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 1.4 | .297 | 70.3% | 5.01 | 5.12 | -0.1 |
Manuel Rodríguez | 28 | 8.4 | 4.5 | 1.2 | .297 | 72.0% | 4.49 | 4.64 | 0.0 |
Justin Steele | 26 | 8.9 | 4.2 | 1.3 | .297 | 72.2% | 4.55 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
Alec Mills | 24 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.6 | .300 | 69.3% | 5.15 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
Brad Wieck | 18 | 11.2 | 4.3 | 1.4 | .289 | 73.5% | 4.37 | 4.33 | 0.0 |
Ethan Roberts | 16 | 8.4 | 3.3 | 1.1 | .301 | 71.8% | 4.24 | 4.18 | 0.0 |
Drew Smyly | 14 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1.7 | .298 | 71.7% | 4.91 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
Ben Leeper | 12 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 1.2 | .298 | 73.4% | 4.16 | 4.15 | 0.0 |
Cayne Ueckert | 10 | 8.3 | 4.8 | 1.2 | .298 | 70.7% | 4.87 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
Adbert Alzolay | 8 | 9.2 | 3.2 | 1.5 | .296 | 71.3% | 4.57 | 4.47 | 0.0 |
Robert Gsellman | 6 | 6.9 | 3.2 | 1.3 | .301 | 69.6% | 4.86 | 4.85 | -0.0 |
Mark Leiter Jr. | 4 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 1.5 | .299 | 71.3% | 4.54 | 4.49 | 0.0 |
Total | 569 | 8.9 | 3.4 | 1.3 | .296 | 73.3% | 4.28 | 4.35 | 1.3 |
During their rebuilding phase, the Cubs have targeted bullpen consistency rather than play strike-throwing roulette with young flamethrowers who theoretically have more ceiling. Former Brave Chris Martin has the third-lowest walk rate among relievers with at least 150 innings pitched since 2015 at a minuscule 4%. Jesse Chavez, Steven Brault (who, in true baseball rat fashion, was randomly hanging out at an ASU game earlier this spring), Daniel Norris and several others lower down the depth chart have starting experience and could provide multiple innings out of the bullpen, which is extremely valuable early on as starters continue to get their feet under them after an abbreviated spring training.
David Robertson leaned into his fastball’s cut action and looked good down the stretch for the Rays last year. Rowan Wick and Mychael Givens are both converted position players. Wick, 29, has had trouble staying healthy for an entire season. Givens, who has one of the more entertaining deliveries of this century, doubled his changeup usage in 2021 and remains effective even though his velo has been slipping.
While these familiar names are the bedrock of the bullpen for now, several fresh-faced prospects will start to trickle in throughout this season and become the core of the next competitive Cubs contingent. Manuel Rodríguez and his upper-90s fastball arrived last year. Ben Leeper will likely be the first 2020 undrafted free agent to reach the big leagues, while Cayne Ueckert and Ethan Roberts, the latter of whom has elite curveball spin, are both potential long-term fits in the North Side ‘pen. Michael Rucker and Keegan Thompson are long relief/swingman types, with Thompson potentially vying for a rotation spot throughout the summer.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Kyle Finnegan | 66 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 1.1 | .303 | 73.0% | 4.20 | 4.17 | 0.5 |
Steve Cishek | 70 | 7.9 | 4.5 | 1.1 | .293 | 71.4% | 4.56 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
Tanner Rainey | 62 | 12.3 | 5.9 | 1.4 | .294 | 73.3% | 4.55 | 4.53 | 0.2 |
Will Harris | 60 | 9.1 | 3.0 | 1.1 | .299 | 72.9% | 3.99 | 3.87 | 0.6 |
Sean Doolittle | 56 | 9.1 | 3.2 | 1.7 | .286 | 72.9% | 4.70 | 4.88 | -0.0 |
Austin Voth | 53 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 1.7 | .297 | 71.4% | 4.90 | 4.86 | -0.1 |
Patrick Murphy | 48 | 8.4 | 3.8 | 1.2 | .300 | 70.8% | 4.51 | 4.46 | 0.0 |
Tyler Clippard | 42 | 8.4 | 3.1 | 1.9 | .280 | 71.2% | 5.09 | 5.25 | -0.1 |
Andres Machado | 35 | 7.7 | 4.1 | 1.6 | .296 | 70.1% | 5.24 | 5.28 | -0.1 |
Sam Clay | 32 | 7.2 | 4.4 | 0.9 | .309 | 70.9% | 4.54 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
Mason Thompson | 26 | 7.8 | 4.5 | 1.3 | .305 | 71.3% | 4.97 | 5.00 | -0.0 |
Erick Fedde | 22 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.4 | .303 | 70.5% | 4.85 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
Paolo Espino | 18 | 7.6 | 2.6 | 1.9 | .296 | 68.9% | 5.30 | 5.15 | -0.0 |
Hunter Harvey | 16 | 7.8 | 3.2 | 1.6 | .297 | 71.1% | 4.83 | 4.94 | -0.0 |
Francisco Perez | 15 | 9.7 | 4.4 | 1.2 | .296 | 72.8% | 4.37 | 4.37 | 0.0 |
Seth Romero | 13 | 9.1 | 4.1 | 1.2 | .298 | 72.6% | 4.42 | 4.43 | 0.0 |
Aaron Sanchez | 12 | 6.3 | 4.4 | 1.4 | .303 | 68.0% | 5.59 | 5.53 | -0.0 |
Josh Rogers | 12 | 5.6 | 2.9 | 2.0 | .297 | 67.5% | 5.91 | 5.90 | -0.0 |
Gabe Klobosits | 10 | 7.5 | 4.2 | 1.5 | .294 | 69.9% | 5.22 | 5.30 | -0.0 |
Jace Fry | 8 | 9.7 | 5.0 | 1.0 | .300 | 72.9% | 4.19 | 4.26 | 0.0 |
Gerardo Carrillo | 6 | 7.5 | 4.6 | 1.3 | .299 | 70.1% | 5.04 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
Total | 559 | 8.7 | 3.8 | 1.4 | .296 | 73.0% | 4.50 | 4.62 | 1.1 |
Sean Doolittle and Tyler Clippard are back for a bespectacled epilogue to their Nationals careers after having previously spent almost 11 combined seasons in D.C., with three combined All-Star appearances between them. Doolittle had a velo rebound in 2021 after a rough, shortened 2020 campaign during which he lost three ticks from the prior season. Clippard’s arm strength has been slowly seeping away since (checks) wow, 2012, dwindling into the upper-80s for the last few seasons. He’s 37 now and is near the end of an incredible 15-year big league career. Will Harris (age 37) and low-slot slingin’ Steve Cishek (35) each have merely a decade of experience under their belts. Cishek remains a middle-inning weapon against righties (opposing right-handed hitters have slashed .210/.278/.305 throughout his career) while Harris has only thrown 23 innings combined over the last two seasons.
Austin Voth moved to the bullpen in 2021 and picked up two ticks of velo. He’ll provide multiple innings in relief. So, too, could 24-year-old Francisco Perez (acquired last year from Cleveland), veteran Paolo Espino, or Aaron Sanchez, all of whom have experience starting.
The Nationals have a half-dozen hard-throwing enigmas in their mid-20s who have a chance to grow into true late-inning options. Finnegan was signed as a minor league free agent a couple of offseasons ago and established himself in a middle-inning role before closing several Nats games late last year. He sits 95 mph, but his splitter and slider miss bats more frequently than his heater. Patrick Murphy and Hunter Harvey have premium stuff but lost huge chunks of their tenures with their previous teams (Harvey mostly with Baltimore, Murphy with Toronto) to injury, and so has mercurial lefty Seth Romero. Tanner Rainey probably has the best pure stuff in this entire group but was extremely wild when he was healthy last season. Mason Thompson, 24, was acquired from San Diego for Daniel Hudson last year and sits 96-99 mph with a plus slider, but tends to be very wild.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Chris Stratton | 76 | 8.9 | 3.6 | 1.3 | .301 | 71.4% | 4.49 | 4.28 | 0.4 |
David Bednar | 64 | 10.7 | 3.5 | 1.1 | .293 | 74.0% | 3.69 | 3.62 | 0.8 |
Heath Hembree | 62 | 10.7 | 3.9 | 1.5 | .289 | 73.0% | 4.45 | 4.41 | 0.2 |
Anthony Banda | 70 | 7.7 | 3.7 | 1.3 | .299 | 71.4% | 4.69 | 4.77 | -0.1 |
Duane Underwood Jr. | 58 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 1.4 | .301 | 71.4% | 4.72 | 4.68 | -0.1 |
Sam Howard | 56 | 10.8 | 4.9 | 1.4 | .293 | 74.2% | 4.40 | 4.57 | 0.0 |
Dillon Peters | 48 | 7.6 | 3.1 | 1.4 | .299 | 70.4% | 4.77 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
Wil Crowe | 44 | 7.9 | 4.0 | 1.5 | .300 | 69.9% | 5.20 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
Aaron Fletcher | 40 | 6.8 | 3.5 | 1.1 | .301 | 71.2% | 4.52 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
Hunter Stratton | 36 | 8.6 | 5.5 | 1.2 | .292 | 70.6% | 5.01 | 5.02 | -0.1 |
Jerad Eickhoff | 33 | 7.3 | 2.9 | 1.7 | .296 | 69.4% | 5.23 | 5.20 | -0.0 |
Miguel Yajure | 30 | 7.3 | 3.3 | 1.4 | .295 | 69.8% | 4.85 | 4.86 | -0.0 |
Blake Cederlind | 28 | 8.6 | 4.5 | 1.1 | .301 | 70.9% | 4.57 | 4.44 | 0.0 |
Zach Thompson | 26 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.3 | .295 | 70.9% | 4.63 | 4.64 | -0.0 |
Austin Brice | 24 | 8.1 | 4.1 | 1.4 | .292 | 71.1% | 4.77 | 5.03 | -0.0 |
Nick Mears | 21 | 9.2 | 4.4 | 1.4 | .297 | 71.6% | 4.71 | 4.72 | -0.0 |
Max Kranick | 15 | 7.0 | 3.2 | 1.4 | .298 | 70.0% | 4.90 | 4.89 | -0.0 |
Mitch Keller | 10 | 8.1 | 3.9 | 1.3 | .310 | 71.0% | 4.81 | 4.69 | -0.0 |
Total | 607 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 1.3 | .296 | 72.8% | 4.43 | 4.51 | 1.0 |
Chris Stratton, a converted starter, had been an ultra-consistent middle-inning option for the last few years, and moved into the Pirates closer role very late in 2021. David Bednar, the older brother of 2021 College World Series Most Outstanding Player and Giants prospect Will Bednar, has more traditional closer’s stuff, pumping gas at 96 mph while both his curveball and splitter generate plus swinging strike rates.
Heath Hembree is on a one-year deal coming off a career season during which he scrapped his curveball and had a little velo bump, leading to a personal best strikeout rate. His 5.59 ERA in 2021 was a mirage.
This site was skeptical of Duane Underwood Jr. as a prospect, and while he hasn’t hit what his proponents hoped his ceiling would be, he has performed pretty well relative to the non-first round high school pitchers who were picked in his draft year, insofar as he’s had a multi-year big league career. He doubled his career innings total last season.
Anthony Banda, once a Top 100 prospect, struggled with injuries for several years just as he was on the precipice of the big leagues. He was claimed off waivers from San Francisco last season and made a change from a slider to a curveball immediately after the move, so maybe that pitch will progress this year. He is one of several lefties in the mix for big league reps next to the Allegheny. Aaron Fletcher (who has been traded a few times) lost velocity last year, but at peak he has worked in the mid-90s with sink and tail, and a big, sweeping slider. Sam Howard sits 93 mph and has a good slider, while Dillon Peters has a bevy of fringe pitches.
Blake Cederlind and Nick Mears have huge arm strength. Miguel Yajure hasn’t pitched yet this spring due to a lingering back issue. Injuries have now defined his last several seasons.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Mark Melancon | 65 | 7.4 | 3.2 | 0.8 | .307 | 71.9% | 3.95 | 3.90 | 0.5 |
Ian Kennedy | 64 | 9.7 | 2.9 | 1.6 | .293 | 73.1% | 4.39 | 4.36 | 0.3 |
Caleb Smith | 66 | 9.9 | 4.2 | 1.7 | .281 | 71.8% | 4.88 | 4.92 | -0.2 |
Noé Ramirez | 60 | 8.8 | 3.3 | 1.4 | .289 | 70.7% | 4.61 | 4.60 | 0.1 |
J.B. Wendelken | 58 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.3 | .298 | 71.2% | 4.60 | 4.51 | 0.1 |
Sean Poppen | 52 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.1 | .309 | 71.4% | 4.44 | 4.33 | 0.1 |
Joe Mantiply | 46 | 8.6 | 3.3 | 1.1 | .302 | 73.0% | 4.16 | 4.12 | 0.0 |
Humberto Castellanos | 42 | 7.2 | 2.8 | 1.5 | .296 | 69.6% | 4.84 | 4.82 | -0.1 |
Taylor Widener | 36 | 9.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 | .294 | 70.8% | 4.99 | 4.99 | -0.1 |
Oliver Pérez | 30 | 8.7 | 2.9 | 1.2 | .297 | 72.6% | 4.01 | 4.10 | 0.0 |
Keynan Middleton | 24 | 9.0 | 4.4 | 1.2 | .296 | 71.1% | 4.67 | 4.51 | -0.0 |
Chris Devenski | 22 | 8.0 | 3.0 | 1.8 | .295 | 69.7% | 5.13 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
Keone Kela | 21 | 10.4 | 3.3 | 1.4 | .295 | 73.6% | 4.08 | 4.00 | 0.0 |
J.B. Bukauskas | 18 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 1.2 | .299 | 71.2% | 4.78 | 4.79 | -0.0 |
Corbin Martin | 16 | 8.1 | 4.6 | 1.6 | .301 | 69.8% | 5.42 | 5.33 | -0.0 |
Matt Peacock | 14 | 5.9 | 3.5 | 1.2 | .308 | 69.6% | 4.87 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
Luis Frías | 12 | 8.6 | 3.9 | 1.2 | .295 | 71.4% | 4.44 | 4.40 | 0.0 |
Ryan Weiss | 11 | 8.2 | 3.5 | 1.2 | .300 | 71.4% | 4.38 | 4.31 | 0.0 |
Caleb Baragar | 10 | 7.7 | 4.6 | 1.6 | .289 | 69.6% | 5.50 | 5.57 | -0.0 |
Dan Straily | 8 | 6.7 | 3.4 | 2.0 | .294 | 68.5% | 5.85 | 5.79 | -0.0 |
Edwin Uceta | 7 | 9.4 | 4.0 | 1.3 | .298 | 71.4% | 4.53 | 4.41 | 0.0 |
Humberto Mejía | 6 | 7.7 | 3.1 | 1.5 | .299 | 70.2% | 4.85 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
Kyle Nelson | 4 | 8.7 | 4.9 | 1.3 | .298 | 72.1% | 4.76 | 4.87 | -0.0 |
Total | 569 | 8.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | .296 | 72.7% | 4.38 | 4.42 | 0.8 |
The 37-year-old Mark Melancon (on a two-year pact), prodigal son Ian Kennedy (one year with a mutual option for 2023) and 40-year-old lefty Oliver Pérez will all try to stabilize a D-backs bullpen that is in the midst of significant turnover. Given how effectively he varies the cadence of his delivery, it’s no wonder that Pérez, who on Saturday faced a lineup of Padres prospects literally half his age, has been able to cheat Father Time to this point. Melancon’s cutter was only sitting 88 mph at the end of March, which is four ticks below his 2021 level of velocity. Kennedy’s fastballs, sitting 92 mph, are down merely two ticks from 2021. It’s early… right?
Night owl baseball fans will recognize J.B. Wendelken and Noé Ramirez, who have been middle-inning stalwarts in Oakland and Anaheim, respectively, for most of their careers, and are now occupying the middle innings in the desert.
Looking for breakout candidates here? Sean Poppen, who couldn’t quite crack the Twins pitching staff and has since bounced around Pittsburgh, Tampa Bay, and now Arizona, has a great slider and his fastball has been peaking in the 96-97 mph area this spring, sitting 94. Young Luis Frías, in his second option year, has plus arm strength and a deep enough repertoire that he has been developed as a starter so far, though he may debut in the bullpen.
This is Joe Mantiply’s third year with Arizona, where he enjoyed a two-tick fastball velocity increase in his first season, and a return to emphasis of his changeup in his second.
Taylor Widener, Caleb Smith, and Edwin Uceta all have starter pedigrees and should provide multiple innings in relief. Keynan Middleton once looked like a set-up type reliever before settling into fringe 40-man territory coming off of a 2018 Tommy John.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lou Trivino | 70 | 8.7 | 4.2 | 1.1 | .286 | 72.7% | 4.22 | 4.40 | 0.0 |
Domingo Acevedo | 62 | 9.3 | 3.1 | 1.3 | .287 | 74.2% | 4.06 | 4.19 | 0.2 |
A.J. Puk | 60 | 9.2 | 3.7 | 1.2 | .295 | 74.3% | 4.01 | 4.19 | 0.3 |
Sam Moll | 56 | 8.9 | 4.6 | 1.1 | .291 | 73.2% | 4.22 | 4.42 | -0.1 |
Dany Jiménez | 52 | 10.7 | 4.4 | 1.1 | .288 | 75.6% | 3.85 | 4.05 | 0.2 |
Kirby Snead | 48 | 9.6 | 3.6 | 1.0 | .294 | 75.5% | 3.64 | 3.83 | 0.3 |
Justin Grimm | 44 | 9.6 | 4.2 | 1.4 | .287 | 72.0% | 4.55 | 4.61 | -0.0 |
Adam Kolarek | 36 | 5.8 | 3.3 | 0.9 | .296 | 71.0% | 4.16 | 4.36 | 0.0 |
Jacob Lemoine | 32 | 6.9 | 4.4 | 1.2 | .295 | 70.7% | 4.81 | 4.97 | -0.1 |
Sam Selman | 28 | 9.1 | 4.6 | 1.3 | .279 | 71.8% | 4.52 | 4.77 | -0.0 |
Zach Jackson | 24 | 8.5 | 4.8 | 1.2 | .291 | 71.9% | 4.62 | 4.76 | -0.0 |
Paul Blackburn | 22 | 6.4 | 2.5 | 1.3 | .300 | 69.9% | 4.58 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
Brent Honeywell Jr. | 20 | 6.9 | 3.0 | 1.5 | .294 | 70.5% | 4.86 | 4.95 | -0.0 |
Austin Pruitt | 18 | 7.2 | 2.4 | 1.2 | .294 | 71.0% | 4.24 | 4.22 | 0.0 |
Deolis Guerra | 14 | 8.9 | 3.0 | 1.3 | .288 | 72.0% | 4.26 | 4.32 | 0.0 |
Miguel Romero | 12 | 6.8 | 3.8 | 1.3 | .293 | 70.1% | 4.86 | 4.99 | -0.0 |
Zach Logue | 10 | 7.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 | .287 | 71.5% | 4.53 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
Adam Oller | 8 | 7.8 | 3.7 | 1.4 | .293 | 70.6% | 4.75 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
Wandisson Charles | 6 | 10.3 | 5.7 | 1.3 | .287 | 72.7% | 4.65 | 4.81 | -0.0 |
Parker Dunshee | 4 | 7.7 | 3.3 | 1.6 | .287 | 71.0% | 4.93 | 5.07 | -0.0 |
James Kaprielian | 3 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.6 | .286 | 71.8% | 4.67 | 4.74 | -0.0 |
Grant Holmes | 3 | 7.6 | 3.9 | 1.3 | .293 | 70.8% | 4.75 | 4.84 | -0.0 |
Total | 560 | 8.6 | 3.7 | 1.2 | .289 | 73.8% | 4.11 | 4.32 | 0.8 |
The shape of the movement of Trivino’s cutter and curveball became more distinct from one another in 2021, and it was the second consecutive year in which he spread his pitch usage more evenly across his four offerings. He’s an eventual trade candidate, but until then, he’s a steady, if unspectacular, closer option for the A’s.
Guerra arrived in Oakland last year on his seventh org since 2014 and had a career season amid similar changes to his pitch usage. He has an unpredictable four-pitch mix headlined by his excellent changeup.
Leviathan righty Domingo Acevedo — 6-foot-7, 240 pounds — fell off the Yankees roster after years of inconsistent, sometimes electric performance, and landed with the A’s on a minor league deal. He posted a dominant 32 innings at Triple-A last year before getting a cup of coffee late in September and October. His velo was down (92 mph) late in the year compared to while he was in Vegas (94 mph), but Acevedo also has good secondary stuff (both his slider and changeup) and could probably get by with fringe relief velo, but be really good if he ever sustains the mid-90s peaks he’s shown in the past. He’s a high-variance 28-year-old. So, too, are former Rule 5 pick (a couple of times) Dany Jiménez and two-down NFL linebacker Wandisson Charles, both of whom throw hard but have consistency issues.
Brent Honeywell and A.J. Puk are both former top prospects whose careers as mid-rotation starters were derailed by injury. Southpaw Sams Selman and Moll are part of a deep group of fringy lefties that also includes Adam Kolarek and the recently-acquired Kirby Snead.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Dillon Tate | 66 | 7.5 | 3.2 | 1.1 | .296 | 71.6% | 4.28 | 4.43 | 0.4 |
Jorge López | 64 | 8.5 | 3.2 | 1.4 | .303 | 71.1% | 4.57 | 4.53 | 0.2 |
Paul Fry | 60 | 9.8 | 5.1 | 0.9 | .298 | 72.9% | 4.08 | 4.18 | 0.5 |
Felix Bautista | 58 | 9.5 | 6.2 | 1.5 | .289 | 70.6% | 5.42 | 5.54 | -0.4 |
Cionel Pérez | 56 | 9.3 | 4.9 | 1.2 | .295 | 73.7% | 4.43 | 4.63 | 0.2 |
Joey Krehbiel | 52 | 8.5 | 4.0 | 1.8 | .291 | 71.2% | 5.16 | 5.26 | -0.1 |
Mike Baumann | 48 | 7.5 | 4.3 | 1.5 | .296 | 70.4% | 5.12 | 5.15 | -0.1 |
Travis Lakins Sr. | 44 | 8.1 | 4.3 | 1.4 | .295 | 72.0% | 4.85 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
Kyle Bradish | 42 | 9.2 | 4.2 | 1.4 | .297 | 71.7% | 4.66 | 4.66 | 0.0 |
Bryan Baker | 38 | 9.3 | 5.3 | 1.5 | .293 | 71.4% | 5.07 | 5.14 | -0.0 |
Alexander Wells | 32 | 6.5 | 2.4 | 1.8 | .293 | 69.9% | 5.20 | 5.30 | -0.0 |
Tyler Wells | 28 | 9.7 | 2.8 | 1.8 | .284 | 71.2% | 4.82 | 4.73 | 0.0 |
Isaac Mattson | 22 | 8.5 | 4.2 | 1.6 | .288 | 71.1% | 5.00 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
Dean Kremer | 18 | 8.1 | 3.6 | 1.7 | .297 | 69.9% | 5.27 | 5.22 | -0.0 |
Logan Gillaspie | 14 | 7.1 | 3.2 | 1.4 | .295 | 71.1% | 4.80 | 4.92 | -0.0 |
Marcos Diplán | 12 | 8.8 | 4.8 | 1.5 | .290 | 72.0% | 4.94 | 5.08 | -0.0 |
Spenser Watkins | 8 | 6.2 | 3.2 | 2.1 | .298 | 68.1% | 6.08 | 6.09 | -0.0 |
Conner Greene | 6 | 8.0 | 4.8 | 1.7 | .296 | 70.1% | 5.51 | 5.65 | -0.0 |
Total | 585 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 1.4 | .294 | 72.3% | 4.72 | 4.87 | 0.7 |
Former top five pick Dillon Tate has had velo increases each of the last two seasons and is once again working in the 94-97 mph range from his prospect peak. His heater doesn’t miss bats, but both his changeup and slider do at plus-plus rates, which are up across the board since the new Orioles regime has taken root.
Lefty Paul Fry has a plus slider, which he locates with much more consistency than his fastball. Hard-throwing Cuban southpaw Cionel Pérez, still only 25, is reunited with Mike Elias (Pérez originally signed with Houston) in Baltimore. Jorge López has long had tantalizing stuff and issues with walks, and yet he’s been continuously miscast in a starting role for almost his entire career. If he moves to the bullpen full-time, there’s a small chance he has a breakout season.
Several relief prospects bubbling up here now. Bryan Baker was drafted by the Rockies and traded to Toronto as the PTBNL in the Seunghwan Oh 오승환 deal. He had brief big league time with the Jays late last year but was squeezed off the roster and claimed off waivers by Baltimore in November. He throws really hard, sitting 96-97 mph and touching 99, which is up two ticks from 2019 when he was only sitting 94. Felix Bautista is also in that vein, sitting 97-99 with 20-grade command. Logan Gillaspie was a high school catcher who has already had quite a baseball journey and will soon be a big leaguer. Signed out of Indy Ball, Gillaspie was sitting 94-97 last Fall, and has a four-pitch mix. Mike Baumann’s vicious slider will likely find it’s way to Camden Yards, and Kyle Bradish (who a scout source raved about this spring) is starting to feel more likely to debut as a starter.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Joe Barlow | 64 | 9.7 | 5.0 | 1.3 | .283 | 71.6% | 4.67 | 4.74 | -0.1 |
Garrett Richards | 66 | 8.1 | 3.4 | 1.3 | .299 | 72.3% | 4.44 | 4.48 | 0.1 |
Brett Martin | 62 | 7.4 | 2.9 | 1.0 | .305 | 72.8% | 4.02 | 4.06 | 0.3 |
Josh Sborz | 60 | 10.5 | 4.0 | 1.3 | .296 | 73.1% | 4.23 | 4.12 | 0.3 |
Albert Abreu | 56 | 9.4 | 5.2 | 1.4 | .295 | 71.1% | 5.04 | 5.08 | -0.3 |
Dennis Santana | 55 | 9.0 | 4.7 | 1.3 | .298 | 70.6% | 4.80 | 4.75 | -0.1 |
Matt Bush | 54 | 8.8 | 4.4 | 1.7 | .300 | 68.5% | 5.47 | 5.27 | -0.1 |
John King | 48 | 7.9 | 3.0 | 1.1 | .302 | 72.2% | 4.13 | 4.18 | 0.1 |
Spencer Patton | 44 | 9.1 | 3.8 | 1.3 | .292 | 71.5% | 4.47 | 4.42 | 0.0 |
Brock Burke | 42 | 8.8 | 3.4 | 1.3 | .299 | 72.4% | 4.34 | 4.34 | 0.0 |
José Leclerc | 36 | 11.6 | 4.5 | 1.2 | .285 | 74.5% | 3.91 | 4.02 | 0.1 |
Nick Snyder | 34 | 9.0 | 4.5 | 1.3 | .295 | 72.4% | 4.67 | 4.75 | -0.0 |
Jonathan Hernández | 32 | 8.7 | 4.1 | 1.3 | .301 | 71.3% | 4.63 | 4.56 | -0.0 |
Kolby Allard | 28 | 7.8 | 2.9 | 1.6 | .295 | 69.5% | 4.93 | 4.80 | -0.0 |
Greg Holland | 24 | 9.2 | 4.5 | 1.3 | .296 | 72.3% | 4.64 | 4.68 | -0.0 |
Demarcus Evans | 14 | 10.1 | 5.1 | 1.5 | .290 | 72.2% | 4.88 | 4.95 | -0.0 |
Spencer Howard | 12 | 8.9 | 3.7 | 1.4 | .299 | 70.6% | 4.69 | 4.55 | 0.0 |
Justin Anderson | 12 | 10.2 | 5.4 | 1.1 | .295 | 72.7% | 4.48 | 4.48 | 0.0 |
Brandon Workman | 10 | 9.2 | 5.2 | 1.3 | .293 | 72.9% | 4.64 | 4.83 | -0.0 |
Dan Winkler | 8 | 9.1 | 5.1 | 1.3 | .290 | 71.0% | 4.88 | 5.10 | -0.0 |
Glenn Otto | 6 | 8.9 | 3.9 | 1.2 | .303 | 71.2% | 4.57 | 4.44 | 0.0 |
Taylor Hearn | 4 | 8.5 | 4.1 | 1.6 | .294 | 70.1% | 5.11 | 5.06 | -0.0 |
Total | 615 | 9.1 | 3.9 | 1.3 | .295 | 73.3% | 4.34 | 4.43 | 0.3 |
The Rangers bullpen is comprised of a bevy of 20-somethings — some homegrown, some acquired by the pro scouting department — who might establish themselves as integral parts of the long-term relief corps, with a few seasoned vets on short-term deals sprinkled in.
The veterans are Garrett Richards and Greg Holland, who combine for three decades in pro ball. Richards should provide valuable length out of the ‘pen, which will be especially important early in the season due to the short runway for starters to get ready. He’s on a one-year deal with a 2023 option. Holland, on a straight one-year deal, will look to continue his career’s improbable, post-surgery second act. Either of them could end the summer on a contender if they pitch well.
Of the relievers in their prime, former college swingman Josh Sborz had a velo spike, added a curveball, and established himself as a core Ranger reliever last year. Joe Barlow ended the 2021 season as the club’s closer, though Chris Woodward told MLB.com last week that he’d prefer Barlow not close to start the year. By far the most consistent strike-throwing in Barlow’s career came during his combined 50 IP between Triple-A and the majors in 2021. He may be due for a regression in that area, but he does have good stuff. Slider monster Glen Otto, who came over from New York in the Joey Gallo deal and was among the swinging strike rate leaders in the upper levels of the minors last year, is the most likely to join Sborz as the bedrock of Woodward’s bullpen. Albert Abreu, acquired from the Yankees in a smaller deal just before the season, will show you three plus pitches and 30 control. He’s out of options.
Other young relievers who might find another gear in the big leagues include Demarcus Evans (whose fastball has huge carry, though he lacks a second good pitch), Nick Snyder (who has premium velocity), and shooting star prospects Spencer Howard and Ricky Vanasco, who have had their young careers stalled by injury. Vanasco looked great last fall coming off of surgery.
Until that group steps up, veteran Spencer Patton (in his second season back from Japan) and three-pitch lefty Brett Martin figure to be the more reliable middle-inning guys. Dennis Santana (like Sborz, a former Dodgers prospect) and John King have missed fewer bats than expected during their prospect days. Former first overall pick (as a shortstop) Matt Bush will continue his second act as a big league reliever.
José Leclerc and Jonathan Hernández had Tommy John in March and April of last year, respectively, and could be back in the middle of the 2022 season, potentially before the trade deadline. That’s more relevant for backfield rehab scouting target Leclerc, who has a pair of team options in 2023 and ’24. Hernández has the stuff to be an impact late-inning arm if he can harness it.
Name | IP | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP | LOB% | ERA | FIP | WAR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Alex Colomé | 70 | 7.6 | 3.3 | 1.3 | .310 | 70.0% | 4.83 | 4.60 | 0.1 |
Daniel Bard | 66 | 10.1 | 4.5 | 1.3 | .312 | 72.1% | 4.61 | 4.49 | 0.4 |
Carlos Estévez | 63 | 8.9 | 3.3 | 1.6 | .314 | 70.8% | 5.03 | 4.70 | 0.0 |
Robert Stephenson | 62 | 10.1 | 3.8 | 1.5 | .303 | 71.1% | 4.80 | 4.53 | 0.1 |
Jhoulys Chacín | 62 | 7.6 | 3.8 | 1.5 | .306 | 67.8% | 5.44 | 5.09 | -0.2 |
Tyler Kinley | 58 | 9.2 | 4.5 | 1.6 | .301 | 69.4% | 5.33 | 5.03 | -0.1 |
Lucas Gilbreath | 48 | 8.3 | 5.0 | 1.4 | .314 | 69.2% | 5.49 | 5.18 | -0.1 |
Justin Lawrence | 42 | 7.8 | 5.8 | 1.2 | .316 | 68.3% | 5.67 | 5.28 | -0.1 |
Ashton Goudeau | 34 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.7 | .310 | 67.2% | 5.79 | 5.45 | -0.1 |
Jordan Sheffield | 28 | 8.4 | 5.2 | 1.5 | .302 | 69.3% | 5.56 | 5.31 | -0.0 |
Ty Blach | 24 | 5.7 | 2.8 | 1.5 | .324 | 65.9% | 5.80 | 5.14 | -0.0 |
Ben Bowden | 20 | 10.0 | 4.9 | 1.6 | .310 | 71.2% | 5.26 | 5.02 | 0.0 |
Julian Fernández | 16 | 8.2 | 4.1 | 1.6 | .307 | 69.4% | 5.39 | 5.13 | -0.0 |
Chad Kuhl | 14 | 8.2 | 4.3 | 1.7 | .311 | 68.9% | 5.68 | 5.40 | -0.0 |
Scott Oberg | 12 | 8.5 | 3.3 | 1.1 | .306 | 70.9% | 4.41 | 4.15 | 0.0 |
Ryan Feltner | 10 | 6.9 | 4.0 | 1.6 | .312 | 67.6% | 5.82 | 5.47 | -0.0 |
Peter Lambert | 6 | 6.4 | 3.3 | 1.7 | .317 | 66.5% | 6.00 | 5.53 | -0.0 |
Ryan Rolison | 0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | .000 | 100.0% | 0.00 | 3.17 | 0.0 |
Total | 583 | 8.4 | 4.1 | 1.5 | .311 | 69.8% | 5.20 | 4.91 | 0.1 |
Alex Colomé, who is on a one-year deal, rode his cutter and a straight fastball to a half-decade of rock solid eighth inning duty. His velocity has been trending down for the last few years and has lost about a tick-and-a-half from its peak.
The 6-foot-6, 277-pound Carlos Estévez’s release point changed throughout the 2019 season, and his fastball has featured more sink since then. In 2021, his arm strength climbed back to its pinnacle throughout the season, peaking in the 99-101 mph range late in the year. He’s also upped his changeup usage in two consecutive seasons and now has three pitches generating something close to the league-average swinging strike rate. He’s out of the gate sitting 93-95 mph early in the spring of 2022.
Daniel Bard has come into spring training with his usual upper-90s gas, sitting 97 mph at age 36. He’s upped his slider usage year-over-year for the last three seasons and is now at the point where he is using it about as often as his fastball. All three of Bard, Estévez, and Colomé are in their contract years and are candidates to move at the deadline, making all three key evaluation targets for contending teams.
Robert Stephenson came over from Cincinnati as part of a fairly sizable trade centered around him and Jeff Hoffman, and enjoyed a huge velo spike. He had become extremely slider-heavy with the Reds but returned to a more even fastball/slider split, and reintroduced the occasional curveball and changeup to his repertoire. He’s come out pumping 96-97 mph this spring.
Veteran Jhoulys Chacín will provide valuable length out of the bullpen, and it seemed as though the same might be asked of lefty Ty Blach, he of local powerhouse high school Regis Jesuit. The Rockies stretched Blach out to three innings early in the spring before deploying him in single-inning outings more recently. He is coming off of TJ.
Most of the rest of this bullpen is full of pitchers who either don’t miss as many bats as you might guess given their velocity and the visual explosiveness of their stuff (Tyler Kinley, Julian Fernández, Jordan Sheffield, Justin Lawrence), or have been unable to sustain impact arm strength for extended periods (Ben Bowden, Lucas Gilbreath). Gilbreath was a 2020 instructs breakout lefty who sat 93-96 mph that fall, but he’s been more 90-93 since. Lawrence is one of the hardest throwing sidearmers in the league, sitting 97 mph. Gilbreath, Sheffield, and Lawrence are the three guys most likely to be in Denver for the long haul as all of them only have a year or less of service time. Lefty Helcris Olivarez, 21, is also on the 40-man and is in his second option year. He’s so raw as a strike-thrower that he may be ‘penned at some point this year and end up getting a late-season cup of coffee.
Sunday Notes: NYY Righty Stephen Ridings Wants to Blow Your Doors Off
Stephen Ridings strikes an imposing figure on the mound. He also misses a lot of bats. Straddling the rubber at 6-foot-8, 225 pounds, the 26-year-old right-handed reliever is coming off a season where he recorded 42 strikeouts in 29 minor-league innings, and another seven in a five-inning cup of coffee with the New York Yankees. Moreover, he allowed just 20 hits and six walks in the 34 cumulative frames.
Drafted out of Division-III Haverford College by the Chicago Cubs in 2016 — the Yankees are his third organization — Ridings comes out of the bullpen with an attack-dog mindset.
“Right now, I’m the guy that wants to blow doors off,” explained Ridings, whom New York signed in January 2021 after he was released by the Kansas City Royals. “I’m trying to strike out as many guys as humanly possible.”
The 18% swinging strike rate that Eric Longenhagen noted when writing up Ridings for our 2022 Yankees Top Prospect list — the righty is No. 21 in those rankings — comes courtesy of three-pitch mix. A heater that sits mid-to-high 90s and tops out in triple digits is his bread-and-butter, and a slider he began throwing in spring training of last year is his best secondary. A knuckle-curve rounds out his repertoire. Read the rest of this entry »
Effectively Wild Episode 1831: Where the Rubber Meets the Mound
Ben Lindbergh and Meg Rowley banter about Jacob deGrom’s latest injury, the White Sox-Dodgers trade involving Craig Kimbrel and AJ Pollock, umpires explaining replay reviews, “Home Run Derby X,” a lousy likeness of Derek Jeter, Yankees games on Amazon Prime and the continued splintering of baseball broadcasts, and an update about MLB’s official cerveza and official beer, then (39:43) bring on listener and Patreon supporter Stefan Lund to discuss his podcast-listening and baseball-loving origin stories and a confusing Shohei Ohtani reference on Billions and answer listener emails about the lack of captains in baseball, whether a reliever could still win a Cy Young or MVP award, how innings totals are displayed, what to call players who bat left-handed and throw right-handed, the Guardians’ new theme song, and how different baseball would be if the pitching rubber extended from foul line to foul line, plus a Stat Blast (1:41:51) about Albert Pujols, Oliver Marmol, and players who are older than their managers.
Audio intro: Frank Zappa and the Mothers of Invention, “Go Cry on Somebody Else’s Shoulder”
Audio interstitial: Girlpool, “Emily”
Audio outro: Colin Blunstone, “This is Your Captain Calling”
Link to MLBTR on Pollock and Kimbrel
Link to Ben Clemens on the CBA/CBT change
Link to La Russa quote
Link to umpires and replay story
Link to Home Run Derby X video
Link to Home Run Derby X explainer
Link to Sam on home run derby
Link to Jeter giveaway
Link to Jeter’s HoF plaque
Link to Ronaldo statue story
Link to fresco restoration story
Link to story about Yankees broadcasts
Link to Ohtani/Trout/Watt photo
Link to Bourcard Nesin on Twitter
Link to Liquid Assets podcast
Link to SBJ story on splitting sponsorships
Link to 2015 story on US/Canada MLB sponsors
Link to 2018 story on US/Canada MLB sponsors
Link to 0-9 Twins/Braves EW episode
Link to The Billions Companion on Doyle
Ben on Billions dialogue
Link to baseball captains wiki
Link to hockey captains wiki
Link to story about Belt being captain
Link to THT story on L/R players
Link to WSJ story on R/L players
Link to THT story on R/L players
Link to story about Guardians theme song
Link to “We Are Cleveland” song
Link to Twins fight song
Link to “Get Metsmerized!”
Link to manager/player-age Stat Blast data
Link to Stefan’s Radke article
Link to Sam on Radke
Link to Aaron Gleeman on Radke
Link to Russell on hitting and defense
Link to AP story about minor leaguers
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Jay Jaffe FanGraphs Chat – 4/1/22
2:01 |
: Good afternoon, folks! Welcome to the April 1 edition of my chat. This April fool is still recovering from having accidentally sent my mom’s birthday gift to my Brooklyn apartment instead of her Salt Lake City residence.
|
2:01 | : In housekeeping news, my second entry in our Positional Power Rankings series went live this morning |
2:02 |
https://blogs.fangraphs.com/2022-positional-power-rankings-first-base/. And before that I was visiting my folks and skiing (advance celebration for my mom’s 80th bday), which is why you haven’t seen much of me on the home page lately
: I also did first basemen |
2:03 |
: But… that’s about to change. I’ll cover the Pollock/Kimbrel trade for Monday — had to see it about 18 times before I was willing to concede it was real and not an April 1 conspiracy on the part of the industry’s newsbreakers.
|
2:04 | : In other news, happy Jon Spencer and the Hitmakers release day to those celebrating! |
2:04 |
: And now, on with the show…
|
Jacob deGrom: Both Sides Now

Author’s note: Jacob deGrom was scratched from his scheduled start today after feeling tightness in his throwing shoulder. He will undergo an MRI. While that potential injury makes his availability for the start of the season murky, this article is about his spring start on March 27.
When you watch Jacob deGrom, he’ll make you question what you know about the fine art of pitching. Develop a mix of killer pitches to keep batters off balance? He has five excellent pitches, but he basically only uses two of them. Change speeds? He throws his fastball in a consistent band, his slider in a consistent band, and when he does deign to drop in a changeup, it matches his slider.
None of that is the most obviously extreme thing about deGrom, though. If you’ve paid attention through a few of his starts, you know what I’m talking about: he barely uses any of the plate. Home plate is 17 inches wide, and baseballs have a radius of roughly 1.5 inches. That means that pitchers have 18.5 inches of horizontal space to play with, from catching the edge on one side of the plate to catching it on the other. Read the rest of this entry »