| 5:45 |
: Hi everybody! I will be here at 9 pm ET to answer all of your baseballing queries. Jeff may be here too, but he may also be busy. This is the whole intro, because my kids are beating each other up right now. See you soon!
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| 9:01 |
: Hi people!
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| 9:01 |
: Yo
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| 9:01 |
Do you prefer $3 Thor or $1 Rodon for a dynasty? |
| 9:01 |
: $1 Rodon. Always take the cheaper pitcher.
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| 9:02 |
: Thor based on being in the NL and can throw strikes.
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| 11:41 |
: I’ll be back in 20 minutes to answer your questions
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| 12:04 |
: Okay I’m back let’s get started
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| 12:04 |
When are you going to Greenville to see Moncada, Devers, etc? |
| 12:05 |
: Working out the days, maybe this weekend
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| 12:05 |
I’m baffled by this Difo promotion. Can you try to explain why they would promote him this early and what should we expect out of him? |
| 12:06 |
: Sounds like they were short on 40-man hitters to call up and he’s an early-count contact guy that is less likely to be embarassed than other guys. He’s also 23 and was a late bloomer, so you can see what they’re thinking, don’t think this is helpful for his development, though.
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| 9:09 |
: Well let’s chat
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| 9:09 |
: Let’s just chat about baseball
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| 9:10 |
: Every so often there will probably be a question not about baseball, and then someone will complain about it
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| 9:10 |
Jeff Sullivan CorreaGraphs Chat – 5/15/15 |
| 9:10 |
: Good player. Not a major leaguer at the moment!
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| 9:10 |
: Was interesting to hear Dan Farnsworth talk about Correa’s swing in Arizona in March, but it would also be interesting to hear an update on that
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| 11:49 |
HI PAUL! |
| 11:49 |
: Hey everyone, we’ll get started shortly!
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| 11:49 |
: Hi Zach!!!
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| 11:49 |
Sporer is taking over!! |
| 11:49 |
A Thursday with Paul? Woohoo!!!! Ventura or Shoemaker ROS? |
| 11:51 |
: Shoemaker for me. They were very close for me to start the season, though, and they still are… albeit bumped down a little after their starts
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| 11:42 |
: It’s Wednesday, and somewhere the Dodgers just scored 15 more runs, so let’s chat before they run up the score anymore than they already have.
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| 11:43 |
: The queue is open, and we’ll start in 15 minutes.
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| 12:02 |
: Let’s do this.
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| 12:02 |
it seems crazy but I feel like Harper’s .308/.442/.675 is actually a realistic full season ceiling. disavow me of this |
| 12:03 |
: A .360 ISO isn’t really something that he can keep up, so ratchet down the power some, and the average will fall as some of those HRs get caught at the wall. But .280/.420/.580 or something? Sure.
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| 12:04 |
what do you make of a pitcher whose current xFIP, FIP, and ERA are wildly variant? |
| 5:35 |
: Hi everybody! Jeff is going to be helping coach his daughter’s machine pitch softball team tonight, so you’re stuck with just me. So that means we need extra questions in the queue. So get them in there and I’ll see you at 9 pm ET!
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| 9:01 |
: OK, let’s do this.
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| 9:02 |
: Note – I have Lance Lynn in fantasy, and I want it known that I’m nervous about the Cardinals’ bullpen blowing this win for me.
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| 9:02 |
: Fantasy baseball, yey!
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| 9:02 |
HI PAUL! |
| 9:03 |
: HI ZACH!
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| 12:03 |
: I’m here, sans beer, get used to it
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| 12:08 |
: Alrighty I’ll get the announcements out of the way about the existing content, in case your question is generall in terms of timeframe
General top prospects questions can usually be answered by the top 200 (though some things have changed for some of these guys already): http://www.fangraphs.com/bl… Check the team prospect lists for questions on some deeper cuts, here’s the last list with links to the other 29: http://www.fangraphs.com/bl… July 2 update in three parts: http://www.fangraphs.com/bl… http://www.fangraphs.com/bl… http://www.fangraphs.com/bl… And, finally, the draft content has been coming fast and furious of late and the 2015 stuff will get updated in a few weeks as the info is still rolling in Mock Draft: http://www.fangraphs.com/bl… |
| 12:08 |
how has evaluating prospects changed over the last 10, 20, 30 years? |
| 12:09 |
: I can only guess since I started in the last 10 years. Lots more phone calls and relationships, along with way poorer scouting info/consensus and stats due to communication via technology and showcases/access to players
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| 12:09 |
Is Mallex Smith the future starting center fielder in Atlanta? |
| 12:10 |
: Could be. Has the tools to be a solid starting center fielder, but the bat is seen as just okay, so the speed needs to play in all phases.
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| 9:09 |
: BASEBALL CHAT!
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| 9:10 |
: I thought maybe this would be the week I’d be early. Turns out it is not!
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| 9:10 |
: That’s what happens when you get your URL back from JABO right when the chat’s supposed to begin. Whatever, off we go. Hello friends
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| 9:11 |
So NBA teams almost exclusively use R. What do baseball teams use? |
| 9:11 |
: I wouldn’t be surprised if a bunch of them have different proprietary software
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| 9:11 |
Do you see Hanley’s injury lingering as the season moves forward? |
| 11:30 |
: welcome to my college hip hop collection
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| 11:35 |
: Shoot… YouTube embed might be broken.
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| 11:35 |
:
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| 12:01 |
according to the probables leaderboard, the a’s starter for today is… ike davis. should i start him? |
| 12:01 |
: eh. okay two-seamer but lacks repeatability and a great second offering.
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| 12:01 |
Who would you prefer as a bench player in an AL only league: Saunders or Bourn? |
| 11:26 |
: It’s Wednesday, so let’s do this.
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| 12:02 |
Is it possible speedy guys benefit more from soft contact vs. hard? |
| 12:03 |
: Yeah, one of the fun things about batted ball data is that you can actually see that production relative to how hard you hit the ball is almost like a U. There’s a big area in the middle where production is extremely low, because you hit it hard enough to go right at a defender, but if you hit it weaker than that, you might bloop one in or get an infield hit. Hitting the ball harder isn’t better at every velocity point.
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| 12:04 |
How many NL players would you pick ahead of Matt Carpenter for the next 2-3 years? |
| 12:04 |
Is Matt Carpenter literally the greatest baseball player in history? |
| 12:04 |
: Matt Carpenter, getting attention.
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