Dan Szymborski: Hello chatters and chatees

Joe: The Orioles will win 28 or more games. True or false.

Dan Szymborski: EVER? True.

Ben: Kyle Hendricks is good at pitching baseballs

Dan Szymborski: After facing his curve and change, Hendricks fastballs look like Jordan Hicks

Dan Szymborski: Well, Jordan Hicks fastballs. They don’t actually look like Jordan Hicks

Jay Jaffe: Good afternoon and welcome to another edition of my weekly chat. First off, here’s my piece from today about Fernando Tatis Jr.’s statistical dominance and the joy he’s bringing https://blogs.fangraphs.com/fernando-tatis-jr-enters-the-stratosphere/

Jay Jaffe: And here’s yesterday’s dispatch about the Marlins’ unlikely — and likely unsustainable — success amid a massive coronavirus outbreak https://blogs.fangraphs.com/despite-outbreak-marlins-skate-to-the-top-…

Jay Jaffe: And now, on with the show

Inaccessible Rail: Have you or anyone else looked at how lost playing time (wars, strikes, pandemics) affects one’s chances of HoF enshrinement?

Jay Jaffe: I took a stab in a 3-part series here https://blogs.fangraphs.com/missed-time-and-the-hall-of-fame-part-1/ (change the last digit in the URL) I have a couple stray thoughts that might lead me to revisit that down the road. It’s also worth noting that old friend Travis Sawchik did some of the heavy lifting for a piece on players missing time for WWII https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/what-a-year-off-might-do-to-baseb…

James: Manny Machado has logged 735 PA in a Padres uniform and has been good! At what point should the Padres be concerned that their $300 million man may actually be a good player instead of the excellent one that got him said contract?

Eric A Longenhagen: Good morning, all. There truthfully aren’t many of you in here so looks like this will be a quick one.

Pete: Who should we expect to rise in the next update of the BOARD for the 2021 draft?

Eric A Longenhagen: After showcase stuff is through

TDK: Should Ke’Bryan Hayes be the Pirates starting third baseman right now?

Eric A Longenhagen: Maybe not *right* now but I’d like to see it soon, especially since the DH enables them to play him, Bell and Moran all at once

AJ: Better prospect as an amateur, Zac Veen or David Dahl?

Dan Szymborski: And begun, the chat has!

Dan Szymborski: Once it starts, it can’t stop.

Dan Szymborski: Until 1 PM!

Dan Szymborski: Well I guess it could.

Dan Szymborski: If I have a stroke or something, I’m calling 911, not chilling with you guys.

Chris: Kyle Lewis is awesome still!!

Jay Jaffe: Good afternoon, folks, and welcome to today’s chat. While I wait fo the queue to fill, a bit of housekeeping…

Here’s my piece from today on Aaron Judge suddenly pulling the ball again https://blogs.fangraphs.com/aaron-judge-is-pulling-the-ball-again/

Jay Jaffe: Here’s yesterday’s piece on the opt-outs of Lorenzo Cain, Yoenis Céspedes et al https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/as-the-coronavirus-halts-teams-cain-ce…

Jay Jaffe: Here’s today’s FanGraphs must-read, Jon Tayler’s interview with epidemiologist Zachary Binney https://www.fangraphs.com/blogs/epidemiologist-zachary-binney-on-whats…

Jay Jaffe: And here’s a lovely little tribute to the late Terry Cannon of the Baseball Reliquary and Shrine of the Eternals by John Schulian http://www.thestacksreader.com/terry-cannon-the-great-enthusiast

BB: Think we ever see Yo play again?

Jay Jaffe: Yes, I think so, particularly if the designated hitter is here to stay in the NL (and I think it is) but given his injury history, he’s unlikely to find a guaranteed multiyear deal.

Dan Szymborski: Greetings and hello!

Chris: Are you on the Kyle Lewis hype train yet?

Dan Szymborski: July.

Dan Szymborski: More seriously, he’s been a lot of fun so far, but the threshold for me greatly changing my view of a player in a positive direction is quite high when just the season before, they struggled against Double-A pitchers. At least relative to how prospects typically fare.

Peter Thomas: Dan. How should we evaluate catcher defense? And if a team has one of the few top catchers, and they should be considered MVP candidates for their defense, doesn’t that automatically downgrade the value of the pitchers on his staff?

Dan Szymborski: It’s tricky. We do try to assign framing credit to the pitcher and hitter. And there’s stuff like passed balls, errors, stolen bases, etc.