FanGraphs Baseball

Job Posting: Tampa Bay Rays – Amateur Data Technician

Direct link to application (please see job details below):

Amateur Data Technician


Amateur Data Technician

Department: Amateur Scouting
Reports to: Senior Analyst, Baseball R&D
Location: St. Petersburg, FL

Overview
The Amateur Data Technician will sit at the intersection of Amateur Scouting and Data Engineering, ensuring the completeness, accuracy, and accessibility of college/high school data to maximize its impact on the player evaluation process for the annual MLB Draft. This person will develop a thorough understanding of available data sources and the full data pipeline, from ingestion into the database through integration into the amateur model. The technician will work alongside analysts and engineers to support and maintain data pipelines, ensure reliable and complete data delivery, develop quality-control processes, identify and reduce query bottlenecks, and explore opportunities to incorporate underutilized information. The technician will also gain an understanding of the amateur model, assist with its day-to-day operation and maintenance, and support various ad hoc statistical and draft-related tasks.

Responsibilities:

(65%) Amateur Data Oversight

  • Develop and maintain processes to track data delivery and ensure completeness
  • Implement quality checks to identify recurring issues, including erroneous or duplicate data
  • Develop a working understanding of existing data pipeline frameworks and historical considerations
  • Partner with Amateur Scouting staff to improve the accuracy and efficiency of data mapping processes
  • Optimize existing queries and develop new ones to reduce data-access bottlenecks
  • Maintain a thorough understanding of amateur data sources and their characteristics

(35%) Amateur Analytical Support

  • Understand the amateur model framework and impact of underlying data sources
  • Assist with the execution and maintenance of the amateur model pipeline
  • Conduct ad hoc analytical explorations and support other draft-related tasks

Qualifications:

  • Applied experience with SQL and relational databases
  • Fluency in R
  • Experience working with large or complex datasets and troubleshooting data-quality issues
  • Working knowledge of statistical modeling and machine learning
  • Experience in amateur baseball or with TrackMan data a plus
  • Fluency in Python a plus

All offers are contingent on a satisfactory background check.

We are an equal opportunity employer and all qualified applicants will receive consideration for employment without regard to race, color, religion, national origin, sex, sexual orientation, age, disability, gender identity, marital or veteran status, or any other protected class.

To Apply
To apply, please follow this link.

The content in this posting was created and provided solely by the Tampa Bay Rays.


Digging Through a Weak Free Agent Market

Denis Poroy and Steven Bisig-Imagn Images

There’s still a bit more baseball to be played this year — the most important baseball, in fact. But after the Dodgers got eliminated Thursday night, swept out of the NLCS by the Brewers, there are now 27 teams looking primarily at the offseason. When they get there, they’ll find a rather thin free agent market, especially if they are not the one to sign Tarik Skubal to the largest contract for a pitcher not named Brita. But even in a weak free agent market, there are plenty of lower-key free agents who would be nice fits for some teams, and being that I find myself employed as a baseball writer, I thought it might be fun to talk about some of them.

For this exercise, we’re limiting our suitors to the nine teams that missed making the playoffs by eight or fewer games this season, meaning they went into October empty-handed but were close enough to a playoff spot that they could stand to gain a lot from the right offseason signing. In matching these clubs with a player, I’m looking at free agents who fill a real need for each team, rather than just giving them the most talented player available. I’ve also included a preliminary ZiPS projection for each player. (There’s still a lot more work to do before Real Officially Licensed 2027 ZiPS Projections© are in.)

Pittsburgh Pirates: Seiya Suzuki, OF/DH

The Pirates’ offense had nearly a 50-point OPS platoon split disadvantage against lefties in 2026. Pirates DHs combined for an 83 wRC+ this year. Bringing in Seiya Suzuki would help immensely for both problems. Whether they play Suzuki at DH or shift another outfielder there, the Pirates were so close to the playoffs that it makes no sense to stick to their normal DH plan of Let’s Find a Dude Who Fans Will Remember Being Really Good 10 Years Ago.

ZiPS Projection – Seiya Suzuki
Year BA OBP SLG AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB OPS+ WAR
2027 .270 .355 .471 529 80 143 33 2 23 74 70 141 5 127 3.4
2028 .264 .350 .452 500 73 132 30 2 20 67 66 135 4 121 2.7
2029 .258 .343 .435 462 64 119 27 2 17 59 60 127 3 115 2.1
2030 .251 .335 .413 419 56 105 24 1 14 50 53 119 3 107 1.4

Read the rest of this entry »


Petey Halpin Has Sneaky Pop, and He Picks Good Times to Prove It

Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

When Petey Halpin hit a home run to lift the Cleveland Guardians to a 3-2 win over the Tampa Bay Rays in yesterday’s ALCS Game 3, it came as a surprise to many. That’s understandable. Coming into October, the 24-year-old outfielder had left the yard just four times in 203 major league plate appearances. Moreover, his career wRC+ was a paltry 69, and as Eric Longenhagen wrote back in May of last year, “Halpin has tracked like a future fifth outfielder for practically his entire pro career based largely on his speed and defense.” A power hitter he is not.

That said, he’s by no means devoid of juice. Not only did Halpin hammer 14 home runs with Triple-A Columbus last season — a career best since being selected in the third round of the 2020 draft — our lead prospect analyst recognized his under-the-radar thump when ranking him 13th in the Guardians system in 2022. Eric noted that, “Though he’s wiry and skinny looking, Halpin has sneaky pop.”

Cleveland’s unexpected Game 3 hero smiled appreciatively when I told him of Eric’s assessment during the final week of the regular season. He had hit an impactful home run just two weeks prior — more on that in a moment — so I asked him about his potential to provide more power than he has thus far displayed in The Show. Read the rest of this entry »


Brewers Rally Past Dodgers To Sweep Their Way to the World Series

Jayne Kamin-Oncea-Imagn Images

Orange County native Jake Bauers placed a stake against the heart of the two-time defending champion Dodgers, and Garrett Mitchell and Aaron Ashby drove it home. After an initial four-run flourish from the Dodgers offense, the Brewers plated six unanswered runs; they took the lead in the sixth and never looked back. Ashby worked three scoreless and twice stranded the tying run at third base. The Brewers won Game 4, swept the mighty Dodgers, and are now headed to their first World Series since 1982.

Initially, it looked as though fortune favored Tyler Glasnow and the Dodgers. Brewers star outfielder Jackson Chourio hit an absolute rocket on the first pitch of the game, but it ricocheted off Enrique Hernández at third and right into the hands of Mookie Betts, who was poised to make a bang-bang play. After that, Glasnow was untouchable for a bit, remaining perfect through three innings.

In the meantime, Los Angeles jumped out to a four-run lead. Brewers starter Shane Drohan was bailed out of a wild first by a Will Smith double play ball, then was removed after he allowed a Kyle Tucker leadoff single in the second. Former Dodger Dustin May relieved Drohan, gave up singles to Teoscar Hernández and Andy Pages, and then left a fastball in the happy zone of an ailing Shohei Ohtani, who vaporized it.

Though Ohtani’s catharsis was evident as he rounded the bases, the feeling proved fleeting and would be replaced by frustration, as the Brewers battled back and the Dodgers squandered opportunity after opportunity in the middle innings.

That began in the fourth. Glasnow surrendered his first baserunner via a walk to Brice Turang. Then, somehow, William Contreras (who would later have several consequential blocks on pitches in the dirt) turned on a 96-mph fastball in on his hands and ripped a ground rule double into the left field stands. Up stepped Bauers, who worked a full count when a Glasnow two-seamer nearly nicked the inside corner. In real time, it looked like a pitch that Smith perhaps should have challenged; Glasnow certainly seemed to think so, though Gameday had it off the plate. On the very next pitch, Bauers hit his own ground rule double, and plated two.

Bauers was named NLCS MVP after the game. He went a respectable 4-for-14 with three walks in the series, and a couple of the hits were doozies, most notably the epic at-bat that led to his backbreaking two-run homer in Game 3, which was the moment of the series.

In the fifth, the Brewers tied the game via some small ball and a bit of self-inflicted Dodger damage. Sal Frelick walked, stole second, and then was singled home by David Hamilton. That ended Glasnow’s night. Dodgers manager Dave Roberts turned to Evan Phillips, who struggled. After Chourio hit a 110-mph line out, Roberts decided to intentionally walk Turang, and then Phillips walked Contreras on his own and was removed for Alex Vesia, who walked Bauers to force in a run and knot the game up at four.

In the top of the sixth inning, Roberts turned to Tanner Scott to face the bottom portion of Milwaukee’s order, which is mostly left-handed. Mitchell, who went to high school at nearby Orange Lutheran and to college at UCLA, battled back from an 0-2 count and, on the sixth pitch of his at-bat, got a fastball down the middle.

It was Mitchell’s second home run off a lefty in the series, after he had just one against a southpaw during the regular season.

Brewers manager Pat Murphy would only need two relievers to navigate the final five innings of the game, which hung in the balance several times. Deadline acquisition Jojo Romero needed just 12 pitches to deal with three future Hall of Famers in Ohtani, Betts, and Freddie Freeman in the fifth and became the pitcher of record when Mitchell homered. In the sixth, Romero gave up a left-on-left double to Tucker (who had two hits on Thursday and was the Dodgers’ best hitter in this series) but was able to strike out Max Muncy and strand Tucker at third later that inning.

In the seventh, Murphy called upon Ashby. To call Ashby dominant would be correct – he matched his season-high fastball velocity at 100 mph and punched three tickets – but it would also undersell how many times he and the Brewers had to avoid danger during his three innings of work. Ashby pitched around a leadoff double from Pages (who moved to third via an Enrique Hernández sac bunt) by striking out Ohtani on three pitches and inducing Betts to ground out to shortstop Cooper Pratt, who made multiple dynamite throws from deep in the hole in this game.

In the eighth, Smith finally ran into one and hit a double of his own to right field, then advanced to third as the ball rattled around in the corner and was fumbled by Frelick. Tucker followed him with a jam-shot flare that looked like it could be real trouble off the bat, only for Mitchell to come streaking in so far from center field that he fielded the ball just a few strides from the infield.

After that, Ashby bent in a pair of curveballs from hell to strike out Teoscar Hernández and end the inning. He worked a 1-2-3 ninth to close things out, capping off 6.2 scoreless innings for the series. Once upon a time, Ashby looked like a shell of his former self coming off a shoulder injury. Now he’s one of the nastier lefty relievers on the planet and had about as good an argument for series MVP as Bauers did.

Milwaukee was able to tack on an insurance run in the ninth with a Hamilton homer off of Edwin Díaz, who pitched the final three innings of the game for the Dodgers. Though it was ultimately inconsequential, it was odd to see Díaz throw more than two innings for the first time since 2016 in a one-run elimination game. The homer was the lone blemish on his line. Hamilton had two hits after a failed attempt to bunt for a hit in the third, something Murphy told the fellas at the postgame desk he believed helped Hamilton get good pitches to hit later in the game.

That kind of minutiae has helped propel a very talented Brewers team, which has more wins than any other team in baseball over the last two seasons, within range of its first ever World Series title. Two weeks from now, we will either have a first-time champion in the Brewers or Rays, or watch the Guardians win their first World Series in nearly 80 years. The Dodgers, who should still hold their heads high after two consecutive titles, went 2-for-11 with runners in scoring position on Thursday. After a 100-win season, and despite a punishing rotation, they simply weren’t whole and healthy when the postseason arrived, and were outplayed in every facet by a balanced Milwaukee club. Sometimes that’s baseball.


William the Conqueror

Kirby Lee-Imagn Images

LOS ANGELES — The Brewers had the NLCS pretty much in the bag since they struck right back at Blake Snell in the top of the seventh on Wednesday night — it was just a matter of when the coup de grace came. You could argue when it became obvious that they’d log the Dodgers off with a sweep: Was it when they chased Tyler Glasnow, making it clear that this would become yet another battle of bullpens? When Jake Bauers worked his last climactic walk off Alex Vesia to tie the game?

I’ll tell you the exact pitch when I knew that Thursday was going to be the Brewers’ night. William Contreras came to the plate with two on and two out in the top of the fifth, and the Dodgers still up 4-3. Evan Phillips started Contreras off with a first-pitch sweeper, right down the middle for a called strike.

Contreras stepped back from the plate and nodded theatrically. That’s when I knew the Dodgers were drawing dead. Read the rest of this entry »


Pummelin’ Petey Halpin Pops Go-Ahead Blast, Guardians Silence Rays in Game 3

Ken Blaze-Imagn Images

The ALCS opened in Cleveland for Game 3 on Thursday afternoon, with the game time moved up five hours to account for the threat of heavy rain in the forecast. All that extra time turned out to be unneeded, however, as the Guardians dispatched the Rays 3-2 in a briskly played game to take a 2-1 lead in the series. Gavin Williams got the start in Game 3 and was perfect in all but one of his five innings of work. That lone blemish, coming in the fourth, temporarily put the Rays on top before Pummelin’ Petey Halpin gave Cleveland the lead for good an inning later. From that point onward, both bullpens worked so efficiently that it seemed as if there was more time spent on commercials for toothpaste and premium dishwasher pods than baseball.

There may be no hotter pitcher in baseball right now than the 27-year-old Williams, coming off starts of 11 and 12 strikeouts against the White Sox in the ALDS. The Rays are a far better contact team than the White Sox, but the story was the same to start off the game, as he cruised through the first three innings, nine up, nine down with five strikeouts. Williams is one of the most aggressive starters in baseball when it comes to peppering breaking pitches against any batter, in any count, and Game 3 was definitely no exception. He threw only six fastballs total over the first three innings. Honorable mention for Nathaniel Lowe, who clipped the corner of the seats while catching a foul pop on the first play of the game and hung on for the out, just barely missing a painful blooper reel moment.

Making his first start of the playoffs, Rays right-hander Griffin Jax appeared to be consciously pitching around José Ramírez in the first inning, walking the Cleveland third baseman with one out. An aggressive base-stealing team, the Guardians ranked third in the American League with 146 stolen bases this year, with an 82% success rate that led the Junior Circuit. Ramírez, who led the team with 37 steals during the regular season, wasted little time trying to get into scoring position, taking off for second on the second pitch to three-hole hitter Chase DeLauter. He got a great jump and picked an offspeed pitch to run on, but Rays catcher Liam Hicks made an even better throw to the right side of the bag, tailing into the runner, where shortstop Taylor Walls applied a perfect tag. Read the rest of this entry »


Breaking Down Jake Bauers’ 11-Pitch Masterclass

Kiyoshi Mio-Imagn Images

Whether or not you tuned in for Game 3 of the NLCS between the Brewers and the Dodgers, you surely know by now that the highlight of the game belonged to Jake Bauers. After working a back-breaking 12-pitch walk that hastened Yoshinobu Yamamoto’s early departure from Game 2, Bauers put the Brewers ahead with a homer in the seventh inning on the 11th pitch he saw from Blake Snell. Ben Clemens wrote about it in his game story. Michael Baumann wrote about it in his article about the perils of leaving a starter (particularly this starter) in too long. Over at Brewer Fanatic, Matthew Trueblood wrote about both it and the also-impressive walk that Andrew Vaughn worked immediately beforehand. This is the kind of of moment that deserves to be enjoyed from as many angles as possible. As such, what follows is a pitch-by-pitch breakdown of the at-bat, diving into the intention and execution behind each pitch.

Pitch 1: Slider, Called Strike, 0-1

That may look like a get-me-over slider, and that Snell assumed Bauers would be taking on the first pitch because he’d just walked the previous batter, but it’s not. In his first plate appearance, Snell had started Bauers with a four-seamer and Bauers had fouled it off. In his second, he’d thrown a first-pitch slider just below the zone, and Bauers had whiffed. He’d swung at the first pitch in both his previous times up, and as you can see, he wasn’t up there looking to take. He fired his hips and had to check his swing. In fact, although Bauers had one of the lower swing rates in the league this season, his 33% swing rate on the first pitch was actually slightly above the league average.

Look at Will Smith’s glove as Snell delivers the ball. He’s got it all the way down on the ground. The plan was to repeat the first pitch from the second plate appearance, getting Bauers to chase another low slider for a whiff or maybe even hit a double-play ball. Instead, Snell missed — badly. The ball ended up right over the heart of the plate. This is a meatball, and Bauers failed to make Snell pay for it because he was focused on getting a fastball. “I was looking for a fastball, and I didn’t want to miss it,” he said after the game. “I said I’ll adjust to anything else, but get a heater, don’t miss it.” That’s certainly a reasonable approach, seeing as Snell throws his fastball half the time, and he’d already started Bauers with one earlier in the game. But it cost Bauers a chance at unloading on a good pitch and put him behind in the count.

Pitch 2: Changeup, Ball, 1-1

You can understand why Snell threw a changeup here. Bauers had tipped his hand with that check swing. He was way in front of that slider because he was looking fastball. You don’t want to give him a fastball, and you don’t want to give him two sliders in a row (especially because the last one ended up in murder-me territory). You want to throw something that starts out looking like a fastball, which eliminates the curveball. The changeup is all that’s left, but let’s be clear about how unusual that is. Snell throws his changeup to lefties just 3% of the time, and never in this situation. Over the past 10 seasons, he’d thrown just one 0-1 changeup to a lefty in the regular season. One. In 10 years. But he had also thrown one just 10 days earlier, to Drake Baldwin in Game 2 of the NLDS. The pressure of the playoffs can change even the most deeply ingrained tendencies.

Once again, Snell missed badly. The pitch was supposed to start out a strike and then drop below the zone, but it started too low and ended up bouncing. It never looked like a strike, and Bauers isn’t the kind of guy to chase on 0-1. This year, 206 batters saw at least 200 0-1 pitches. Among them, Bauers’ 35% swing rate ranked 200th.

Pitch 3: Fastball, Ball, 2-1

If we were talking about any other pitcher, you’d say this was supposed to be a get-me-over fastball, an attempt to get back on track after failing to execute two pitches in a row. But Blake Snell is not the kind of pitcher who lives up and chucks a pitch down the middle. Smith’s target was at the top of the zone. Snell had been racking up chases up above the zone for either whiffs or fouls all night, and he wanted another one. It sure looks like Snell yanked this one to his glove side because he was trying to put some mustard on it to make sure he blew it by Bauers. Instead, it was another bad miss and another easy take. This was a remarkable at-bat from Bauers, and it started out with him in an 0-1 hole against one of the best pitchers in the game, but it also started with Snell missing badly on the first three pitches.

Pitch 4: Changeup, Foul, 2-2

Now this is a gutsy pitch. You just walked someone. You’re behind 2-1 because you failed to execute your last three pitches. Why not aim another left-on-left changeup right at the very center of home plate, and just hope that it finishes with enough arm-side run to make it to the edge? If it doesn’t break as much as usual, or if you miss to your glove side, then it’ll just kind of sit there out over the plate begging to be pounded.

Incidentally, we should probably mention Statcast’s run values per 100 pitches. Did you know that when he saw left-on-left offspeed pitches this season, Bauers’ run value was 1.5, and the only lefties with a higher mark (minimum 25 pitches) were Jac Caglianone, Juan Soto, Yordan Alvarez, Shohei Ohtani, Gunnar Henderson, Pete Crow-Armstrong, and James Wood? Sort of sounds like a list of the very best left-handed hitters on the planet, right?

Luckily for Snell, this pitch was perfect. It clipped the very edge of the zone, and Bauers, still looking fastball, was way out ahead of it. He just managed to hold back long enough to nick it. Smith extended the catcher’s mitt toward his pitcher to congratulate him on a perfect pitch. That made it 2-2, and under normal circumstances, that would be a big deal. The league as a whole had a wRC+ of 70 from 2-2 onward this season. Had Snell missed the zone yet again, he’d be 3-1, when the league wRC+ was 214.

Bauers himself ran a wRC+ of 87 after reaching a 2-2 count. Oddly, though, he was up at 127 after getting to 2-2 against lefties, because he walked 24% of the time, the second-highest rate in baseball. Considering Snell’s above-average walk rate and Bauers’ unusual ability to draw a walk in this exact situation, a walk seemed very likely.

Pitch 5: Slider, Foul, 2-2 (again)

This was the slider Snell meant to throw on the first pitch. It was maybe an inch or two higher than he would’ve liked – if he got it down a little bit more, maybe Bauers would’ve missed it entirely rather than fouling it off – but Bauers was again way out in front and on top of it. Look at the way the ball comes off the bat, straight down and hooked so hard that bounces in the left-handed hitter’s batter’s box. That’s not something you see every day. Snell had thrown three pitches in the strike zone, and Bauers was way out in front on all three of them.

Pitch 6: Curveball, Foul, 2-2 (again again)

Oh right, Snell has a curveball. It was his second-best pitch this season, but this was just the second one he’d thrown Bauers all game, because Bauers was one of the best left-on-left curveball hitters in baseball this season. He ran a .458 wOBA against them and had just an 11% whiff rate. Most of the time, he took them for balls. But what else was Snell going to do? The curve is his best non-fastball pitch. He couldn’t seem to get a whiff on the slider, and he’d already risked two changeups to a guy who crushes them. The curveball was the only thing left that could surprise Bauers, and surprise him it did. He took a late, defensive hack, and met the pitch just 20 inches in front of his center of mass. He threw his mechanics out of whack in order to do so, and ended up with another odd foul, chopping it straight down only to bounce back up into his torso as he nearly fell backwards out of the box.

Here, we should stop and note something. This was Bauers’ third foul of the at-bat, and he would go on to foul off three more. In one sense, it shouldn’t be surprising that he has worked some impressive long at-bats in this series. He averaged just under 4.2 pitchers per plate appearances in 2026. Of the 205 players with at least 400 plate appearances, that ranked 24th, putting him in the 88th percentile. However, he didn’t get all the way up there because he’s a wizard at extending plate appearances. To do that, you need to be great at fouling off two-strike pitches and Bauers is actually well below average in that respect. He fouled off 20% of the two-strike pitches he swung at this year, which put him in just the 13th percentile. His plate appearances are long simply because he’s very passive. His 41% swing rate landed in just the sixth percentile. That’s all it takes, people. If you want to be one of the best hitters in baseball at working a count, just don’t swing much. Sometimes it’s a very simple game.

Pitch 7: Fastball, Ball, 3-2

Snell had been busting Bauers inside with fastballs all night. Five of the eight pitches he saw in his first two plate appearances were four-seamers, and he’d flied out and struck out. Bauers was ahead on soft stuff, but not so far ahead that he was whiffing entirely. Perhaps that meant that he was somewhere in between, and after seeing soft stuff for three straight pitches and five of the last six, it would be possible to blow one by him.

But Snell again missed his spot, this time to the arm side. Smith’s target was up again, but Snell was off the plate inside. It wasn’t a comfortable take for Bauers, who was finally seeing the pitch he’d been looking for, but it wasn’t easy either.

Pitch 8: Fastball, Foul, 3-2

There it is. That’s the elevated fastball Snell had been trying to throw. Nice and tempting, impossible to lay off. And at 98.2 mph, it was harder than the first two and with more induced rise than Snell’s average four-seamer. But Bauers wasn’t in between after all. With pinch-runner Christian Yelich breaking for second in the background, he still managed to get a piece of it. It was very high, and very definitely ball four. That’s a pitch designed to rack up whiffs. It was located 3.82 feet off the ground. This year, pitches that came in between 98 and 99 mph and between 3.8 and 4.0 feet had a 53% whiff rate. Maybe if he hadn’t just seen a fastball, Bauers would have been just that little bit farther behind, and Snell would’ve gotten the strikeout.

Perhaps we should acknowledge, though, just how good Bauers was against left-on-left four-seamers this season. He put up a .521 wOBA against them, second only to Ben Rice. His four home runs against them were tied for second. Snell was truly going strength against strength here.

Pitch 9: Changeup, Foul, 3-2 (again)

After throwing two fastballs in a row, and with Bauers clearly hunting velocity, Snell surely thought he’d set Bauers up so that he’d be out ahead of something soft. This changeup was much closer to where he wanted it, just an inch or so from the bottom of the zone. This time, though, Bauers didn’t look like he had to hold himself back for dear life. He was still very much ahead of the pitch, but by significantly less. You can tell because of the fact that he took a full, healthy hack, and Statcast backs it up; he made contact four inches deeper than he had on the first changeup.

Snell is no stranger to deep counts, but this is where things got scary. Bauers had been ahead of all the soft stuff he’d thrown at him. He took a defensive hack at that 2-2 curveball to stay alive. But then he got a piece of that absurdly high fastball, and on the very next pitch, a changeup down (though not quite as down as Snell would’ve liked it), he looked more comfortable. Look at the way he finishes his swing with a hop. This is what people mean when they say someone looks hitterish. That’s concerning.

Pitch 10: Slider, Foul, 3-2 (again again)

And we’re now escalating from concern to alarm. For Snell, it probably seemed like there was no right pitch to throw at this point. Even when he chased a fastball at his eyes, Bauers (like Vaughn before him) got a piece and stayed alive. He looked all too comfortable against the changeup, and how many left-on-left changeups can you really throw in one plate appearance? Until the playoffs, Snell had only once thrown more than one left-on-left changeup in a single game. The curveball might have made sense, but it also offered the least difference from the previous pitch in terms of velocity and movement profile. Snell had only followed a changeup with a curveball once all game, and it was to Vaughn in the previous plate appearance. The slider was the pitch Bauers had seen least recently, and sometimes it might just be that simple.

Regardless of the reasoning behind it, the pitch was nearly catastrophic. It was meant for the outside corner, and instead it ended up belt high out over the plate. Here’s a heat map that shows Bauers’ isolated power when he put the ball in play this season.

All the red and pink are up and out over the plate, right where this pitch was located. And it wasn’t just about the location. The location was a byproduct of the fact that this pitch was a hanger. Snell’s average slider this year had 7.2 inches of induced rise and 3.7 inches of glove-side break. This pitch had 9.4 inches of rise and 0.5 inches of horizontal break. It didn’t drop enough, and it basically didn’t slide at all. Snell hanged it and Bauers banged 305 feet — just foul. Whichever person at Dodger Stadium was caught on mic screaming for their life as this ball zoomed toward the foul pole was exactly right.

Pitch 11: Fastball, Home Run

Clearly, Snell wasn’t going back to the slider. At a certain point, the game theory starts to get too complicated to track. Sometimes you need to just throw your best pitch. Man cannot live on breakers alone. Snell threw Bauers his best pitch, and once again he couldn’t locate it. It ended up in almost exactly the same spot as the first pitch of the at-bat, and you should take that very literally. Pythagoras tells us that the ball crossed the plate a mere 0.87 inches closer to the very center of the zone than that first meatball. Bauers, who had been fighting to stay ready for the fastball throughout the entire at-bat, finally got one to hit. This was the ninth fastball Snell had thrown Bauers on the night. You don’t need to squint to see what’s different about it.

Aside from that one overthrown four-seamer earlier in the at-bat, every single one of those fastballs had been buried inside. Snell threw his second meatball of the at-bat, and Bauers was ready to dig in.

This was truly an impressive at-bat. Although Snell, at the end of a brilliant performance, failed to execute several of his pitches, most of his misses were either well out of the zone or within an inch or two of the edge. He threw Bauers every pitch he had, even the changeup. He changed speeds and eye levels. Across 11 pitches, he only threw the same pitch in a row once, and he only repeated the same two-pitch sequence twice. Bauers looked more and more comfortable as the at-bat went on, and when Snell missed over the fat part of the plate, he crushed the ball, twice. He went from taking defensive hacks to stay alive to punishing mistakes. It would be hard to ask for much more on an October evening.


José Ramírez Finds the October Spotlight, Mostly for the Better

David Richard-Imagn Images

It’s been a rough season for José Ramírez. After a sluggish start, the 34-year-old third baseman suffered a fractured left hamate that required surgery and knocked him out of action for nearly six weeks, then struggled so mightily upon returning that it took him nearly two months to barrel a ball. His bat showed some life in the second half of September as he helped the Guardians overtake the White Sox in the AL Central race, and with his team pushed to the brink of elimination in the Division Series against those same White Sox, he collected four extra-base hits and drove in eight runs over the final three games, most notably golfing a two-run homer off Sean Burke to provide all the scoring Cleveland would need in Game 5. After more heroics in the ALCS opener against the Rays, however, his costly error on Tuesday night helped Tampa Bay even the series.

Ramírez made his error during the fourth inning of a scoreless game, and while it was the only play scored an error, it was hardly the Guardians’ only miscue in that frame. After Parker Messick issued a leadoff walk to Junior Caminero, Victor Mesa Jr. hit a potential double-play grounder to second baseman Travis Bazzana, who tossed to shortstop Brayan Rocchio for the force out. Rocchio’s throw at first base was high enough to pull Nathaniel Lowe off the bag, and while Mesa was initially called out, the call was overturned when the Rays challenged it (the Rays also challenged the out at second, but that was upheld).

After Messick struck out Jonny DeLuca, Chandler Simpson hit a high chopper to Rocchio, who unhesitatingly fired to first base. Simpson beat the throw, while Mesa motored around second base and alertly took third because Ramírez had ranged so far to his left. Ben Williamson then hit a grounder whose second hop took an odd bounce off the edge of the turf in front of Ramírez; instead of winding up in his glove, it squirted through his legs and into left field as Mesa scored the game’s first run, with Simpson taking third and Williamson second. Liam Hicks plated them both on a single into right-center, giving the Rays a 3-0 lead. The three unearned runs were all the scoring the Rays would need in a 3-1 victory. Read the rest of this entry »


Members-Only Game Thread: LCS – Oct 15, 2026

Welcome to our Open Game Thread for the LCS games today. Chat with fellow readers as we watch the Rays play the Guardians then later tonight the Brewers play the Dodgers! Only Members can participate, and unlike our usual staff Q&A chats, your messages will be posted immediately.

Our Member community is made up of thousands of incredibly knowledgable baseball fans, and we think this is a great way to follow a game with like-minded baseball enthusiasts. We might even have some FanGraphs Staff drop in and join the fun. Please be courteous to your fellow Members, or you may find your chat privileges revoked.

Rob Manfred just announced that if the Guardians win today, tomorrow's game will be played at 9 a.m. as punishment.

When it rains, it gains.

I'm ok with that. Get it done and out of the way first thing in the morning. Like going to the gym.

Why does MLB hate baseball? Forcing most of the nation to have a tab open at work to track playoff baseball

Why does MLB hate baseball? Forcing most of the nation to stay up way too late to track playoff baseball

it moved due to impending weather

How does hockey and basketball do it? Longer time frames to complete the series?

shorter game times hlep

Was the weather supposed to be bad? My app shows only light rain starting around 10 PM…

they can finish well before 11 EST even with a 830 start

mine too L. Ron, but that is what was stated

Maybe the teams have better weather models than what is available to the public

Re: other game (Brewers) – it's that lovely time of year when the team with the best record in baseball, in the highest-stakes games of their season, can only trust 3 of their starting pitchers

Drohan+May is not embarrassing for your fourth starter. Unfortunately for the Brewers, the Dodgers' fourth starter is Tyler Glasnow

Looks like there are more people at the just-moved up early Cleveland game than the Dodgers game last night.

As far as I can tell, the Brewers have not even announced a starter for tonight, no?

Not as far as I can tell. Here's the exchange from last night's postgame press conference:

Q. Pitching tomorrow?

PAT MURPHY: Yeah, there will be pitching.

Wait this isn't a joke?

Day baseball is the best!

Also, hi

begging baseball broadcasts to show defensive stats when they show the defensive alignments instead of gold gloves

I appreciate Murphy being very literal as a source of snark, which is something I like to do

I still think my Nereus commercial would have been more effectively targeted during the playoffs.

I thought Kwan challenged that pitch

Nope on replay

But he probably should've

He's reacting to all the other early 1st inning challenges.

Perfect throw, great tag

something in me is convinced that if a starter comes out firing, they're bound to give up a homer or a big inning later in the game. so idk how to feel about either of these guys right now

but especially gavin williams, some fallacious, treacherous part of my gut is about 85% sure that yandy is going to go yabo off him in the 4th or something

or he makes me look totally stupid. that works too

I've been on Gavin train for a while now!

A gambling commercial centered around a guy with a $100M+ contract becoming homeless is a choice

The fans and players need to really push back on the gambling ads. I know Alex Call did but for the Sweeney of it

I'm putting some Cy Young money on him next year (since I'm not an AL voter)

I did really well on $200 on Scherzer Cy Young in 2013! Feels like this is gonna be the same type of value bet

I think it is funny. No NY and soon No LA.

don't jinx it, terry lol

I'm down for an all Midwest WS. We'll go all out here for that.

Don't know how many people will care.

i will be razzing the person who once used the handle "hoby milner defender" on the website formerly known as twitter the whole time

Turned on that one nicely

That was a crazy ricochet off the wall

This postseason has featured way more Petey Halpin than I expected

there's always one cleveland outfielder who goes nuclear for a postseason

some of them are out of the league by the next… rip spongebob and big christmas, we will tell our children your stories

I'm sorry, there's no way you can make a scour sponge exciting

chainsaw attachment might help

2 cylinder scrub sponge would revolutionize the kitchen (by giving everyone co poisoning)

I guess there's no rules about awards voters betting on awards?

There are!

If we're going to vote on them

Okay so only the awards you vote on are off limits?

I don't bet on any NL awards to avoid the chances I have to recuse

We also have rules about working for gambling

You're not worried about Williams's postseason dominance inflating his odds for 2027? I'm guessing he's much more on people's radars now than he was a month ago

It's kind of funny that Nereus discloses that it may inhibit your ability to use a vehicle or machinery at the same time their little animated video has a person driving a car in a high speed chase.

Oh, I'll definitely check the odds first, but he's definitely a player I'm watching from a +EV standpoint!

I don't gamble much, just opportunistically

I get no endorphin-related thrill

Gambling is too expensive nowadays. Money is better used elsewhere

That did not look like Gold Glove defense.

Walls *is* a good name for a defensive player

JRam is so fun to watch

he's like a little wrecking ball of baseball prowess

Whenever I hear the name Griffin Jax, I think of Jax from Mortal Kombat and his robot arms and I imagine him with robot arms. Mostly because part of my brain is broken

hah, he would become a must-watch just for the chance someone charges the mound

I'd watch that game/movie.

Mortal Kombat, but baseball.

Kinda like a modern Tungsten Arm O'Doyle

Just once I want them to say marooned a runner or abandoned a runner

Marooned seems good for a Seattle Mariners game

or maybe Taylor Walls immured a runner he tags out stealing

apparently shane drohan is starting game 4

I think starting a lefty is smart for Milwaukee. Roberts seems to bench Muncy vs lefties which I believe is detrimental to their offense

The Dodgers just went 0-27 against lefties. Drohan is the correct choice.

ZiPS has been meh on starter Drohan, so the probs are basically unchanged

They're probably not quite THAT bad

Though I do personally like the idea

with the way the Dodgers are hitting right now, Smoltz and Wainwright could come out of the booth and shut them out

as long as Wainwright doesn't catch the last batter looking with that curve…. =\

I am completely bent out of shape at the changing of the starting time. My day was carefully planned and 2:00 was mowing the lawn which I cannot fail to do since it is going to rain tomorrow then drop into the 40's which is too cold for these old bones. CYA tonight.

We'll be here!

i feel like there was an article recently about how win streaks increase the chance of winning the next game, and same with losing streaks increasing the chance of losing the next game. feels like the dodgers are in the midst of that, but with hitting lefties

Ohtani turning into a slap hitting DH hasn't helped

The Rays didn't even strike out seven times in a full game 73 times this year

How are we rating Mesa in drafts going into next year?

Extra bases for Simpson!

props to millvillemeltdown for calling this 45 minutes ago

you know what's funny, i was going to call simpson going yard but i thought it was too unrealistic. triples is fun though

Nice bit of hitting there

The 6th sweeper of the at-bat caught too much of the plate there

I think it'd be fun if we had a lottery before each season to let exactly one guy use steroids. Imagine Chandler Simpson on the early 2000's Bonds stack, he's giving you 5-7 homers no problem

Tyler Rogers would be a fun one too

jo is the king of hitting it hard into outs

Hi everyone, the Rays and Guardians are playing a game like the Rays and Guardians

Dear MLB advertising sales team – I live in Chicago. Why are you so determined to try to make me hate Sherrod Brown?

I thought I was just seeing so many being in Ohio…

No, I'm seeing them too in Massachusetts, but obviously because an Ohio team is playing

The worst part of the playoffs has been the national political ad buys

Anybody happen to know the record for most times struck out by a winning team?

JRam probably has the highest approval rating of any player in the league but his official MLB pic this year is surely unsettling

I knew Gavin Williams was good this year. I didn’t realize just how good he was by xFIP, SIERA, or K to BB though.

In the postseason, the most strikeouts for a winning team was 23 by the Orioles iN ALDS Game 4 in 1996. But that was a 12 inning game

In a regulation game, the record for a winning team in the postseason was Rangers (ALDS Game 1, 2023) and Yankees (ALDS Game 5, 2017), with both team striking out 16 times

16 is a lot. I guess I don't see the Rays striking out 17 times this game if it's only 9 innings.

they're only 1 K off the pace…

In the regular season, there are five teams that struck out 19 times and won

Including the Steve Carlton complete game loss in 1969 when he struck out 19 Mets but lost 4-3

I'm sorry Crest, there's only one Dr. Teeth and he woudln't have been the same without the Electric Mayhem

Should Jax have let Walls get that? Would Walls have had a chance?

I'd be in favor of a line on the pitching side of which only the pitcher can enter on defense

Or maybe, I'd have to give it more consideration than 15 seconds

BANGGG

Petey Halpin really

Petey

Petey Halpin

Just as everyone expected: Petey Halpin post season heroics

PETEY POWER

I was surprised Jax was still in

How does this guy keep coming through?

really wish I wasn't at work rn, this box score alone is exciting

and this is why i love working remotely (baseball playoffs)

He should just announce "for now on, I'm Pete."

Sure Peteyed that one.

Petey Halpin has to have the highest ratio of go-ahead HR per HR in baseball

2 guys in there for defense making a rally

Who TF is Petey Halpin

Took the words right out of my mouth

Just remembered this chat was going on, hi all!

Now that's a bat flip

So yeah, Griffin's allows some jax

kevin cash watching too much dave roberts

I know his given first name is Peter but Petey Lyndon Halpin is one of the finest full names in the league

A name that would fit seamlessly on the 1902 Brooklyn Superbas roster.

He needs an adjective prefix. Like "Slidin' Petey Halpin"

some mf named petey

The full name has a better ring to it. Petey Lyndon Halpin rolls off the etongue really nicely IMO

That is a dead-ball era ass name

Exactly what I said in the Game 1 chat lol. It's just perfect.

Petey Halpin fits neatly into my mind's imagination of Brett Phillips

I would love it if announcers did middle names on emphatic home run calls

Are they telling them to go their room?

damn what a throw

By What Means Peter Halpin Acquired the Style and Title of Petey Lyndon

When was the last time a guy got caught stealing without doing the “Challenge it! Challenge it!” bit to his dugout?

I like the name Superbas

before challenges became a thing?

Pummelin' Petey Halpin?

Why were they singing Country Roads

It's DeLauter's walk-up song with lyrics tailored to him

DeLauter is from West Virginia.

I cannot learn which toolsy and generally injured outfielder is named Jonny DeLuca and which is named Chase DeLauter. I know the Cleveland one is the better one, but man their names are interchangeable to me

because chase delauter matches the meter of west virginia

Lifting Gavin here?

Lifting Gavin…jam band or Christian rock?

sappy rock like the Fray

It's always disappointing when a random bench postseason hero is from California. I usually hope they're from Bumblesville, Nebraska

We put it on driving through WV once which a mistake, cause my daughter made us listen to it 1000 times. It's good, but nothing is good 1000 times in a row

Apparently that song isn't actually about West Virginia, but actually the western part of Virginia

When I lived in Maryland I met a few people who insisted it was about Maryland. "The country roads in West Virginia are taking him home to Maryland!!"

madison bumgarner is from bumtown, north carolina

Between Packy Naughton, Petey Halpin, Liam Doyle, Mike McGreevy, Jack Flaherty, Kevin McGonigle, Jimmy Crooks, you got a pretty good Boardwalk Empire baseball crew

Crooks might be a bit on the nose

Yeah I'm surprised Williams is out of the game

Though NOTHING beats early baseball where everyone sounded like an Irish gangster

The best way to drive to Maryland from the midwest DOES go through west virginia extensively

Noted Irishman Honus Wagner ran the numbers racket on the side.

I-79 to I-68 > I-70

If Jimmy Crooks too on the nose you can put in Buddy Kennedy

or Mick Abel

Espino really went from chronically injured post-prospect to part of the leverage bullpen quickly

I love Junior but the zero homers in the playoffs has been a bummer so far

Sure sure, fantastic Irish mobster names abound in early baseball, but let's not forget about the man who remains the greatest German pitcher ever, Pretzels Getzien, who started 6 games of the best-of-15 1887 World Series for the Detroit Wolverines

That was some fairly impressive Espinoing

When you tell stories about Brickyard Kennedy or Silver King or The Only Nolan, people think you're making crap up

Does Old Hoss Radbourn imply the existence of New Hoss Radbourn?

Probably just Hoss Radbourn

The 'Kid' nicknames really fit for that era. Like Kid Gleason or Kid Carsey. Carsey also threw 415 innings in his age 18 rookie season for the Washington Statesmen which is very of its time.

Or that you could go by the name Rube and be taken seriously

It was a place holder just in case there was a new Hoss someday

Glenn Hubbard is the player from Germany with the most games played BTW

Max Kepler could theoretically pass him soon

and had the most baseball cards featuring a giant snake

Williams fastball velocity dropped to "only" 95mph in the 5th inning. Not surprised they pulled him based on that, plus it was the third time through the order.

The most recent game that had an Irish-born player was 1945 (Joe Cleary). And before him, it had been since 1918 (Jimmy Archer)

I imagine he probably will

"High Pockets" Kelly

He was pretty bad this year, but he's probably still going to get MLB time for a bit longer

Bazzana definitely sounds like something an Australian would say with several exclamation points

I could imagine Steve Irwin wrestling him to the ground and talking about how he could bite through an entire pack of big league chew with ease

Rough day for the ump.

bazzzzzaaaaannnnna

how many big league pitchers are now shorter than high pockets kelly? (6'4") is it 25%? more? less?

You know, Reggie's destroying his chances at getting easy service calls. Now he's not going to get a quick hour for a clogged dishwasher filter

I used to call Tim Collins Low Pockets

IM HERE IN JUNGAMUNGAWOOTSY AND CRIKEY, I SEE THE RECLUSIVE BAZZANA

The classic photo of Tim Collins and Everett Teaford inside Jonathan Broxton's pants. https://sports.cbsimg.net/images/mlb/photogallery/031512-tea…

the bazzana is faster than a speeding wombat, more powerful than a salty

popup petey

Rays went down QUICKLY last two innings

"The Bazzana" definitely sounds like how a bunch of Aussie dudes would describe attempting to drink 3 pints in 2 minutes or something

I've actually bugged MLB people to track bat flips

Apparently the ump can't handle the shadows. Just some terrible calls today. Can't imagine not having ABS already.

Did they run out of paid commercials? Just getting Commercial Break in Progress quiet

Apparently they think it only takes 7 innings for everyone watching to have already voted, taken their motion sickness pills, and traded (not gambled) on their favorite prediction market.

haha, I just saw the "Bio" at the bottom of the chat page "I build things here"

Sean has a very Spartan bio

If we ever get FanGraphs Lego, then we can all build things here

Shouldn't they pinch hit for Walls?

Honestly, if her oil pressure was low, she could either top off the oil if there was an action scene or something else was going on

I'll pitch the idea of FG Legos.

https://buildamoc.com/pages/business-project/microsoft-power…

This but with FG DataGrids and an FG Mug.

We should get products to partner with us before preseasons

FANGRAPH NEREUS DRUGS

I can confirm many of us on the engineering have many Lego sets.

And I've used Legos as a metaphor of cloud infrastructure.

This at bat is Bauers-esque

Despite a terrible strike call on pitch #1 too.

We need a good name for that kind of AB, like a Maddux or equivalent.

If only Yandy would challenge

There are too many teeth related commercials. While I brush my teeth they make me want to not brush my teeth out of spite

Love the little head shake by Hicks after that ABS overturn

He keeps having to challenge "balls" where the entire baseball is inside the strikezone.

I like ABS challenges better than abs challenges because I always lose the latter

When you're not there in person, it sounds like they're singing "Take me home, Jerry Lawler"

No, he plays for the Diamondbacks.

I really like that walk up song getting the crowd involved.

Please change fWAR to use DRS for defensive WAR instead of OAA. Taylor Walls just showed us yet again why OAA is completely worthless.

If tomorrow gets rained out, what's the plan? Doubleheader Saturday? Move everything back a day? Use the travel day for game 5?

Is Steven Matz proof you can just stay around as a lefty with a good changeup?

I'm pretty sure they'll just shift everything around. I can't see anyone wanting a double header unless they have to. Or deal with a suspended game.

Not necessarily proof, but gotta have a righty plan with LOOGYs dead

And now we wait……

I'm going to make dinner in between. And ship some free agent crowd source code. We'll be back before 8PM. But I'll leave this open.

w

not a fan; except maybe one using pre-agreed fans/actors as a bit

What'd everyone have for lunch? Mine was a meal-replacement shake, coffee, and a dried fruit bar.

Roasted butternut squash, spinach, tomato, apple vinaigrette, parmesan, pecans. Also doing a variation of that plus chicken / nutmeg caramelized onions for dinner.

very seasonal, nice

What's your replacement-level meal that your Quad-A shake is substituting for?

Is it just me or does A Rod look particularly orange this postseason?

Let's score some (a lot of) runs!

Glasnow warming up to Dazed and Confused rocks

Does he actually? Just tuned in and didn’t catch that. That rocks so hard. The “Song Remains the Same” live version of Dazed is still my favorite live performance of all time

It was definitely playing right before the start of the game. Not your typical game start music so it really stuck out

Just YouTubed it and it is indeed his song. That rips so hard

Man you really don't want to miss the first pitch to Chourio this series

That was crazy

How was your autumnal dinner, Sean?

Fantastic! Fall in a bowl!

I've been playing around with savory fall dishes this October.

Dodgers aren't losing!

I hope to some day love something as much as William Contreras loves early challenges

great ABS challenge. I've noticed that neither team has finished a game burning all their challenges. Are they too cautious?

ugly strikeout redeemed by a flurry of amazing hair

Ohtani is lost.

I understand he is Shohei Ohtani but at some point you gotta admit he just doesn't have it right now. Or you can put him leadoff for some reason. Idk I don't get paid millions of dollars to run a baseball team.

they're batting him first?

except that no one else is clearly meant to be on top of the order right now.

Not like anyone else is proving their worth in the box

The EV on the single yesterday from Ohtani was pretty impressive. Roberts might think it's the start of a turnaround. When you have to win 4 straight, I don't hate batting the generational superstar leadoff

^!!! If your superstar says "I got this," at some point you have to trust hiim

am i reading correctly that Ohtani has the 2nd highest wRC+ on LAD in the NLCS?

I am also surprised he has a .417 OBP. Just goes to show how good bad Ohtani is

That is correct. He's got some BBs and a HBP that help.

His wRC+ is 63 if you look at the whole postseason.

…*puts head in hands*

No Will Smith magic this time.

yeah, the cut off is hard. because the NLDS and NLCS performances are almost inverted across the entire lineup. Hard to tell what to look at (from my browser window)

I'm guessing the bats will come alive tonight.

See, back-to-back hits.

is max muncy pitch hitting? can there be a hitter/fielder version of an "opener"

Clint Hurdle did this with Pedro Alvarez in 2015. He didn't start, but pinch hit when his lineup spot came up.

How aggressively do you expect Murphy to manage his bullpen? Go all out to try to end it here or figure you've got three more shots at this thing so don't overdo it?

I expect him to go for the jugular

May will go 3+. If the game is still close, will play for the win

There he is

THERE IT IS

Ohtani's back!

Sean, you get the Ted (Double Duty) Radcliffe Award for the day.

was about to emoji reply to sean but my hands left my keys

I was really hoping Ohtani would be very bad so I could redraft him for cheap next year in fantasy…

May trade was so anti-Brewer and he has been a net negative add

Any Red Sox fan could have told them that he wasn't a positive addition to the Brewers.

If they had given up some mid-level prospects for him, whatever.

And there it is…

There's something about Brewers Dodgers NLCS game 4 that brings out Ohtani's best I guess

they're gonna announce that Ohtani is pitching tomorrow

That HR bat flip was pure catharsis.

Hello everyone

Did you make anything good since the last time we saw you?

For dinner?

Sadly no, I am having leftover pizza from my freezer that FanGraphs paid for (and by extension, our lovely Members paid for) during SaberSeminar though!

Popping in to say I found the brief split screen of Ohtani going through the dugout to be a little much

Well now seems like a good time to hop in here

Oh, now yinz show up!

113.1 mph, 428 feet

Emotionally, that felt like 700 feet lol

From Baumann: "I missed the bulk of the celebration because I was watching the ball" — That's how far it went

Dustin got angry there wasn't any gatorade left in that cooler

angry pat murphy time

Evergreen

Dodgers better hope that that wasn't a one off. Jays fans spent the summer thinking Vladdy was back every time he had a good AB or two, but he never got it together.

Wow Ohtani is back just like I knew he would be. Batting him leadoff was a genius move that I also would have done.

love that strike out. interrupted smoltz from talking for one thankfully quiet moment

Do people still get mad about bunting during a no hitter or have we moved past that?

do any paying members of FG care about bunting during a no-hitter? how weird are we?

I'm sure most players and people over 40 do.

I am well over 40 and don't care.

The Dustin May esophagus injury story never ceases to unsettle me

Like when it comes up, not all the time thankfully

indeed. life is freaky

Moral of the story: Never eat salad.

Oof, I just ate a salad and then read about that.

"I like when a tall pitcher pitches tall." The Smoltz Word Salad

The perceived velocity point was valid but yeah that's bad phrasing

I like when a Smoltzy announcer announces Smoltzy.

Back to back ground rule doubles

Unreal

Rake Bauers

You hang 'em, we bang 'em.

is he only good at full counts?

a billion dollars of pitchers can't get out noted health insurance needer jake bauers

cannot emphasize enough how much awful these in game interviews are

The Pat Murphy one where he finished by swearing at Jackson Merrill was incredible

the toy story shoes. wow. is he on the disney dole?

I really like David Hamilton. Fast guys with smarts are one of my favorite ballplayer types.

Hamilton was born 20 years too late

Vogelbach sighting. Loved that dude on the Buccos

what is this ???

Bauers coming up with the bases loaded…

he can't possibly get a clutch hit every night

Not if you walk him

Guy_tapping_his_head.gif

Pitching around Bauers with the bases loaded is an unusual strategy.

Man. The Dodgers are. . . not having a great week.

The half-intentional walk of Turang not looking great

I'll be really bummed if these LCSes are short series.

A full week between games would be sad

yeah i hope the NLCS goes 7🤣

Rust vs rust in the WS. 🤮

at least we won't be seeing the top of the Brewers line up for at least the first 10 minutes of their next half inning at the plate

If the Dodgers lose tonight, they won't have to face them again for months!

I hope this game goes to extras. I cherish every playoff extra inning ever since they ruined extras in the regular season. We haven't had many extra inning games this year yet

Games 4 &5 of the 2004 ALCS will forever be the most exciting and , life threatening to me, I ever watched.

I'm still very ok with the ghost runner. Those 18-inning regular season games were killers.

Game 3 of the 2018 WS is another unforgettable experience. They are rare so they are great in the post-season.

Game 3 last year was also incredibly fun

Game 3 in 2018 ended at 3:36 here in New England.

WOW

Is Garrett Mitchell even a homerun guy?

When he gets a hold of one they go far.

He hit 11 in 531 PA this year, so not really

Was he 18th in exit velocity this season ? The power is there

Good call – just hasn't consistently happened yet

These Brewers may be inevitable

Full Count Killers

Rang him up on strike 2.

Veteran pitcher.

I wonder if everybody is getting the TV feed at the same moment in time.

Got back from walking the dog! What'd I mi–wtf

bad bad not good

I believe Sæder is referring to the game. Your dog is presumed to be a very good boy or girl.

Rich Hill walking his dog; the rest of the Dodgers walking the Brewers

low key take away from this NLCS is that Kyle Tucker has been one of the only bright spots on this squad on offense.

I'm happy for him. This can't have been a fun year for him. Not that I'm getting out the smallest of violins for the very rich man who was sad sometimes, but still

Amazing to see Jo Jo still out there. In 55 appearances this year he went 2 exactly once.

He was well rested didn’t pitch since Monday and prior to that Oct 6th.

I would consider paying for a feed without the in-game interviews.

boog has been fantastic on the national radio call

Charlie Manuel, who refused to do them when they were first becoming a thing, had the right idea.

Bring back the Petriellocast!

Diaz wearing 3 for the Dodgers feels odd

Last I checked, 3 isn't even, so you're right

This is a big moment

And are any of us surprised?

I understood the Dodgers might lose but I never thought they could look so juiceless

kudos to MIL

truly, how hard have they been squoze, to have no juice

If the Dodgers do lose this, it'll be interesting to see the narrative around them heading into the offseason. It feels a little 2010 Phillies, but there's still a ton of talent and resources here.

might depend on how many players end up getting major surgery that they've not yet announced to the public

Also on some interesting decisions they need to make. I'll be fascinated to see what they do and say about JDP and other young players–are they prepared to get younger, even if it means moving on from some veterans or rethinking some positioning? Obviously that starts with Ohtani, which is tough.

would a busted ohtani be a better outfielder than jdp

im still slightly riding the high of calling "two good pitchers, cruising early, give up a crooked number in the middle innings" but had a truly awful nap and am debating calling it a day without having done anything productive today. anyway, how's the baseball been

18 inning game, here we come!

Whoa – potentially huge error there.

Why do they keep telling us the results of the ABS challenge before showing the graphic. So annoying.

Must be a mandate from FOX, as Davis didn't do this on SNLA broadcasts

Kyle Tucker, the rich man's Jake Bauer

Wow. Maybe the Brewers are truly blessed by the beer gods

dionysus more powerful than the abrahamic G-d?

Nice job by Mitchell there to call everyone else off. No chance to tag up

I was dreading a collision there.

Should they have run for Smith?

Arguably yes, though wouldn't have mattered on a ball that shallow

never thought i would be talking about running with known speed demon rich hill and his blazing mid-80s fastball

Excuse you, it was high 80s!

my deepest apologies for shorting you of a few crucial mph

The Dodgers' performance with RISP is just not survivable.

100 mph sinkers with that curve… I know it's been said, but how does anyone ever get a hit anymore? Like genuinely, do the biophysics add up?

the human nervous system is pretty nuts

Well, if there’s anyone on Earth who knows about being down a run in the ninth, down 3-0 in a 7 game series, staring elimination in the face, he’s managing the team that is…

See, you'd think Roberts would be very eager to deploy pinch-runners!

You definitely see things that you never see during the regular season, such as Edwin Diaz going 3.

Huge kudos to Edwin here, wow

Why did I talk

Hamilton! Wow.

david !???!?

Now the Brewers are ruining baseball

David Hamilton of all people

That is amazingly the first time this postseason I've said "I cannot believe that just happened"

I have a feeling this is it for the series

I was misled about the Brewers HR prowess

There's a soul jar somewhere in Wisconsin fueling all this

Brewers just making up new guys to hit homers now

Blew their last ABS challenge on a 0-0 count? Ok

Can't take 'em home with you.

You can take them to the bottom of the 9th in an elimination game when you need 2 runs, though

Did this graphic forget about Cleveland?

They appeared in the 2016 World Series

Oh, appearance, missed that thanks!

Rajai Davis had the biggest, most inconsequential World Series GM7 home run that year until… Bichette last year.

if this is it, talk about poetic justice

swept one way, swept the other

Hamilton had an ISO of .091 this year.

i'm waiting on the statcast bat speed on savant

He is tied with Ohtani for homers this post season

76.8 on the swing, exited at 105. solid

whoa chourio and bauers kind of mogging ohtani in swing speed

I see, the Dodgers are just setting it up to do something legendary

Is Muncy really this bad against lefties that he needs to be pulled here? I'd think he's one of the Dodgers better hitters

at least a pesky at bat…

muncy had looked completely lost today

edman's also good from the right side

Edman's one of those guys that make me annoyed that he's on the Dodgers, since he'd be a very helpful full-time player on lots of other teams.

Sean weren't you going to do a series on the best "picks" so far? That was incredible by Pratt!

Pat Murphy is an actual madman

As the great sage, Lawrence Peter Berra was credited with saying, "It is getting late early" for the Dodgers.

Ballgame. And season.

ICk

Been a pleasure, everyone

well. Milwaukee has been good for years and years.

Wow. That was just an unbelievable four-game performance, particularly the bullpen.

I have a hard time imagining the AL teams beating the Brewers

I did not think he was catching that ball

Ashby my god

i like MIL. But I actually quite like the rays and guards too. I'd think I'd root for the AL in this case

Going to be a great WS

Rob Manfred is in shambles

Good.

But doesn’t he want parity?????????

So are we!

Those small market teams just can’t compete without a salary cap.

MLBPA should demand an end to CBT. It’s only fair!

Blue Blood and rain,

I can hear the bugle playin

Go Guards! All Midwest series, let's go! It's going to be so frickin' cold.

Perfect for the offseason negotiations

If the Rays win we'll have a guaranteed new champion

even a guards ws is not a bad outcome given the drought, imo

And yet the Guardians have waited the longest!

yes i am biased because jose ramirez deserves a ring, but no matter the outcome i'm chillin

It is if you're a Tigers fan who hates the Guards

… ah, my condolences comrade

Here's hoping

in the midst of this Man City scandal, how can anyone take owners' claims seriously

pls give us more money plsplsplsplsplsplspls we're soooo hungry – owners

reminds me of my stupid hyperthyroid cat

Brewers going to the Series, and I'm going to bed. Merry Baseball, everyone!

gutenacht nick!

Rays have never won it. And yet have been an exceptional franchise for so many years. So many good story lines all around.

Alright everyone. One half of the WS is set. We'll be back for the next ALCS game.


Boston Prospect Brooks Brannon, No Longer a Backstop, Talks Hitting

ALEX HICKS JR./STAFF / USA TODAY NETWORK via Imagn Images

Brooks Brannon raised his prospect profile this season, and atypically he did so despite sliding down the defensive spectrum. Breaking out with the bat was the reason why. Now a first baseman after primarily wearing the tools of ignorance for his first four professional seasons, Brannon bashed 22 home runs while putting up a .280/.355/.560 slash line and a 133 wRC+ over 398 plate appearances with Double-A Portland. His slugging percentage led all qualified Eastern League hitters.

The positional change didn’t come as a surprise. As Brendan Gawlowski and Eric Longenhagen wrote when ranking him 29th when our 2026 Red Sox Top Prospects list came out in mid-May, Brannon “had been developed as a catcher throughout his career, though most scouts expected him to wind up at first base, which has finally come to pass.” With a caveat that strikeouts remain a concern — Brannon went on to finish the season with a 28.9% strikeout rate — our prospect analyst duo opined that he “could have a productive, bat-only prime.”

Again, Brannon broke out with the bat. Now ranked 22nd in the system with a 40 FV — not to mention a 70 grade for raw power — Boston’s ninth-round pick in the 2022 draft out of a Randleman, North Carolina high school has emerged as a prospect with more promise than he’d previously possessed as a bat-first backstop.

Brannon discussed his evolution, both positionally and as a hitter, in the final month of the regular season.

———

David Laurila: This is your fifth year in the system, yet you’re still just 22 years old. I have to admit I thought you were older than that.

Brooks Brannon: “I was a younger draft pick out of high school — I’d just turned 18 a month or two prior — so I’m blessed to have been in the org for quite awhile and still be on the younger side. But yes, I’m just 22.”

Laurila: Had you been drafted out of college, the numbers you’re putting up this year would draw a lot more attention than they are. With that in mind, what might your development path been like had you gone the college route?

Brannon: “It’s hard to say, because one thing the Red Sox are — and it took me awhile to appreciate this — is very analytical. The way they approach hitting is like blackjack almost. It’s, ‘This is what is expected to happen, so we’re going to live and die on this hill. Mathematically, this should happen.’ Air-pull being the optimal launch angle, focusing on hitting the ball hard in the air, making the right swing decisions and drawing walks to get on base… that’s what you want. I always prided myself on being a hitter, so it took time for me to understand what the most optimal way is to help the team win games.

“This past offseason was the first offseason where I really bought in to everything they were preaching. It has helped me tremendously. So, had I gone to college… you know, a lot of colleges are still kind of on the old-guard way of hitting. I don’t think I’d have had the growth I’ve had, even though it admittedly took awhile for me to realize what was optimal.”

Laurila: This year was a turning point for your career…

Brannon: “Yes. My first couple of years I had a lot of injuries, and then for a few seasons I wasn’t doing what I knew I could do. I knew that what I was doing wasn’t working, so something needed to change. Having conversations with our hitting coordinators and coaches, learning who moves like me — how people who have my skills and strengths play the game — and molding that into my game to the best of my ability… I mean, I couldn’t have been able to do that without their help.”

Laurila: Approach aside, there would have been mechanical changes, as well. Read the rest of this entry »